454
FXUS64 KMOB 301134
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
534 AM CST TUE DEC 30 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 535 AM CST TUE DEC 30 2025
- A COLD WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE AREA
UNTIL TO 9 AM THIS MORNING WITH WIND CHILLS IN THE TEENS TO
LOWER 20S.
- A COLD WEATHER ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT
TO 9 AM CST WEDNESDAY OVER AREAS ALONG I-10 AS WIND CHILLS
AGAIN FALL INTO THE 20 TO 25 DEGREE RANGE.
- STRONG WINDS OVER THE MARINE AREA WILL CREATE HAZARDOUS
CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT THROUGH TONIGHT.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1135 PM CST MON DEC 29 2025
NOW THROUGH MONDAY...
THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEK, SHORTWAVE ENERGY MOVES THROUGH A
MEAN UPPER TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN CONUS, WITH A WEAK REINFORCING
FRONT MOVING SOUTH OVER THE SOUTHEAST TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY
MORNING. COOLER, DRIER AIR CONTINUES TO MOVE SOUTH OVER THE
SOUTHEAST AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE PUSHES EAST OVER THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS AND LOWER MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY. THIS SURFACE HIGH
PASSES SOUTH OF LAND PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA THURSDAY INTO
THURSDAY NIGHT, RESTORING ONSHORE FLOW BY FRIDAY. AN UPPER LEVEL
SHORTWAVE TROUGH PASSES OVER THE SOUTHEAST FRIDAY NIGHT INTO
SATURDAY, BRINGING ANOTHER ROUND OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO
THE AREA AS A WEAKLY ORGANIZED SURFACE LOW MOVES OVER THE
SOUTHEAST. CURRENT GUIDANCE IS INDICATING MODEST INSTABILITY AND
UPPER SUPPORT, LEADING TO A LOW CHANCE OF ROWDY STORMS. BEHIND THE
SYSTEM, MODEST NORTHERLY FLOW USHERS IN A DRIER AND SOME WHAT
COOLER AIRMASS OVER THE REGION FOR SUNDAY INTO THE COMING WEEK.
LOOKING CLOSER TO TEMPERATURES, HIGH TEMPERATURES TUESDAY ARE
EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM THE MID 40S TO AROUND 50. FROM THERE, THEY
SLOWLY WARM INTO THE MID 60S TO AROUND 70 FOR SATURDAY, WITH A
SMALL DROP FOR SUNDAY. LOW TEMPERATURES IN THE MID 20S NORTH OF
HIGHWAY 84 TO LOW 30S ALONG AND SOUTH OF I-10 EXPECTED TONIGHT AND
TUESDAY NIGHTS, WITH WIND CHILLS TONIGHT IN THE 15 TO LOW 20S.
TUESDAY NIGHT, WITH A DECREASE IN WINDS, WINDCHILLS BOTTOMING OUT
IN THE LOW TO MID 20S ARE EXPECTED. FROM THERE, LOW TEMPERATURES
CLIMB INTO THE 50S FORECAST AREA WIDE BY FRIDAY NIGHT.
OFFSHORE FLOW WILL KEEP THE RIP RISK LOW THROUGH THE WEEK. AN
UPTICK TO MODERATE IS EXPECTED FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY AS A
PASSING SYSTEM BRINGS INCREASED ONSHORE FLOW. /16
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 535 AM CST TUE DEC 30 2025
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH TONIGHT. NORTH TO NORTHWEST
WINDS OF 10 TO 15 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 20 KNOTS TODAY WILL
LOWER TO AROUND 5 KNOTS THIS EVENING. /22
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1135 PM CST MON DEC 29 2025
STRONG OFFSHORE FLOW WILL SLOWLY EASE MID WEEK, THEN SHIFT TO
ONSHORE FOR THE COMING WEEKEND. /16
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 49 28 57 36 / 0 0 0 0
PENSACOLA 49 32 56 41 / 0 0 0 0
DESTIN 50 33 55 43 / 0 0 0 0
EVERGREEN 47 25 56 32 / 0 0 0 0
WAYNESBORO 47 25 56 32 / 0 0 0 0
CAMDEN 44 24 54 31 / 0 0 0 0
CRESTVIEW 49 25 55 32 / 0 0 0 0
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...COLD WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM CST THIS MORNING FOR ALZ051>060-
261>266.
COLD WEATHER ADVISORY FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 AM CST
WEDNESDAY FOR ALZ263>266.
FL...COLD WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM CST THIS MORNING FOR FLZ201>206.
COLD WEATHER ADVISORY FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 AM CST
WEDNESDAY FOR FLZ201>206.
MS...COLD WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM CST THIS MORNING FOR MSZ067-075-
076-078-079.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL NOON CST TODAY FOR GMZ630>636.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM CST WEDNESDAY FOR GMZ650-655-670-
675.
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