701
FXUS64 KMOB 120536
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1136 PM CST WED FEB 11 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION, MARINE
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1135 PM CST WED FEB 11 2026
- A STRONG SYSTEM COULD BRING GUSTY WINDS AND STRONG STORMS TO
THE AREA SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY.
- STRONG MARINE WINDS ARE ANTICIPATED SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY
NIGHT WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO GALE FORCE
RESULTING IN HAZARDOUS BOATING CONDITIONS.
- HIGH SURF MAY CAUSE ISSUES, PARTICULARLY IN TROUBLE SPOTS
ACROSS COASTAL ALABAMA AND THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE WITH POTENTIAL
FOR OVERWASH AND BEACH EROSION SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1135 PM CST WED FEB 11 2026
A SLIGHTLY COOLER AND DRIER AIRMASS WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA
TONIGHT IN THE WAKE OF A COLD FRONT. ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK WITH HIGHS IN THE LOW
TO MID 70S. MOISTURE LEVELS INCREASE RAPIDLY ON SATURDAY AHEAD OF
AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT. A LINE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AHEAD OF THE FRONT AND MOVE ACROSS THE AREA
SUNDAY MORNING. THE SEVERE THREAT REMAINS IN QUESTION DUE TO WEAK
INSTABILITY, HOWEVER PLENTY OF DEEP LAYER SHEAR WILL BE PRESENT.
THIS WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED AS AN INCREASE IN INSTABILITY
LEVELS WOULD LEAD TO A GREATER SEVERE THREAT. WINDY CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AHEAD OF THE SYSTEM ON SATURDAY DUE TO AN
INCREASING PRESSURE GRADIENT AS THE SFC LOW APPROACHES AND A
STRONG LOW LEVEL JET DEVELOPS.
A HIGH SURF ADVISORY OR WARNING MAY BE NEEDED THIS WEEKEND FOR
SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY AS SURF HEIGHTS RAPIDLY INCREASE INTO
THE 5 TO 9 FOOT RANGE ALONG COASTAL ALABAMA AND THE FLORIDA
PANHANDLE. IN THE WAKE OF THE SYSTEM, ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS CONTINUE
THROUGH NEXT WEEK. A LOW RISK OF RIP CURRENTS TODAY BECOMES A
MODERATE RISK BY THURSDAY AND A HIGH RISK FOR SATURDAY INTO
SUNDAY. /13
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS) ISSUED AT 1135 PM CST WED FEB 11 2026
VFR TO MVFR CONDITIONS ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA ARE EXPECTED TO
BECOME GENERAL VFR AS A WEAK COLD FRONT MOVES SOUTH ACROSS THE AREA
AND STALLS NEAR THE COAST TONIGHT INTO EARLY THURSDAY MORNING.
NORTHERLY WINDS AROUND 5 KNOTS WILL FOLLOW THE FRONT'S PASSAGE FOR
THURSDAY, THEN BECOME LIGHT THURSDAY EVENING. /16
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1135 PM CST WED FEB 11 2026
A LIGHT TO OCCASIONALLY MODERATE OFFSHORE FLOW WILL PREVAIL TONIGHT
INTO THURSDAY IN THE WAKE OF A WEAK COLD FRONT. LIGHT ONSHORE FLOW
RETURNS LATE FRIDAY, BECOMING MODERATE SATURDAY MORNING AND STRONG
SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY. OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO GALE FORCE ARE
POSSIBLE SUNDAY. A MODERATE TO STRONG OFFSHORE FLOW BECOMES
ESTABLISHED SUNDAY NIGHT IN THE WAKE OF A COLD FRONT, GRADUALLY
WANING TO A LIGHT TO MODERATE OFFSHORE FLOW BY MONDAY AFTERNOON.
/13
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 78 53 73 49 / 20 20 0 0
PENSACOLA 76 55 71 50 / 30 30 0 0
DESTIN 68 54 68 51 / 20 30 0 0
EVERGREEN 77 46 71 42 / 30 30 0 0
WAYNESBORO 76 47 70 45 / 20 10 0 0
CAMDEN 75 44 67 42 / 40 10 0 0
CRESTVIEW 78 49 73 43 / 20 20 0 0
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...NONE.
FL...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
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