300
FXUS64 KMOB 082318
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
618 PM CDT MON JUN 8 2026
..NEW UPDATE, AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 608 PM CDT MON JUN 8 2026
- INCREASING CONCERN FOR HEAT STRESS LATE THIS WEEK AND INTO THE
WEEKEND AS HOT AND HUMID CONDITIONS RETURN.
- RISK FOR RIP CURRENTS INCREASES TO MODERATE BY FRIDAY FOR THE
NORTHWEST FLORIDA BEACHES.
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 608 PM CDT MON JUN 8 2026
THE CURRENT FORECAST IS ON TRACK, WITH PASSING SHORTWAVE ENERGY
BRINGING ABUNDANT MID/UPPER LEVEL CLOUDS, BUT LITTLE TO NO SHOWERS
ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA. NO UPDATES NEEDED AT THIS TIME.
/16
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 334 PM CDT MON JUN 8 2026
ISOLATED SHOWERS CONTINUE TO DEVELOP ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI AND SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AT THIS HOUR. THESE SLOW-MOVING
SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TO GENERALLY DRIFT NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS
THE AFOREMENTIONED AREAS THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING HOURS BEFORE
DWINDLING WITH THE LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING. WHILE CONFIDENCE
REMAINS LOW, THERE IS THE POSSIBILITY FOR ANOTHER ROUND OF PATCHY
FOG IS POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT AND INTO THE PRE-DAWN HOURS TUESDAY.
RIDGING ALOFT REMAINS PARKED TO OUR SOUTH OVER THE GULF TODAY AS THE
LOCAL AREA REMAINS ON THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF A SURFACE HIGH
SLIDING INTO THE WESTERN ATLANTIC. THE RIDGE ALOFT RETROGRADES
WESTWARD (SOMEWHAT) TOMORROW AS A SHORTWAVE TROUGH PIVOTS INTO THE
UPPER MIDWEST. THIS WILL SET THE STAGE FOR A BRIEF PERIOD OF
NORTHERLY FLOW ALOFT TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY. THE RIDGE ALOFT EXPANDS
BACK INTO THE SOUTHEAST/DEEP SOUTH AS WE ROLL INTO THE BACK HALF OF
THE WEEK AND INTO THE WEEKEND. MEANWHILE, ONSHORE FLOW AT THE
SURFACE PERSISTS THROUGH THURSDAY AS THE SURFACE HIGH MEANDERS
ACROSS THE WESTERN ATLANTIC.
ANOTHER ROUND OF ISOLATED SHOWERS AND STORMS IS POSSIBLE TUESDAY
AFTERNOON, GENERALLY EAST OF I-65 ACROSS SOUTH-CENTRAL ALABAMA.
EXPECT TOMORROW AFTERNOON'S STORMS TO BE SLOW-MOVERS DROPPING SOUTH
INTO THE AREA FROM THE NORTHWEST. MUCH OF THE HIGH-RES GUIDANCE
KEEPS THE BULK OF THE CONVECTION FURTHER TO OUR EAST AS A PLUME OF
DRIER-ISH AIR BRIEFLY WORKS ITS WAY INTO THE WESTERN PORTION OF OUR
AREA. AT THIS POINT, BOTH WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY LOOK TO BE RAIN-
FREE AREA-WIDE. SCATTERED, DIURNALLY-DRIVEN CONVECTION RETURNS LATE
IN THE WEEK AND THROUGH THE WEEKEND. TEMPERATURES STEADILY INCREASE
AS WE ROLL INTO THE MIDDLE TO LATTER HALF OF THE WEEK WITH HIGHS
TOPPING OUT IN THE MID TO LOW 90S FOR INLAND AREAS AND UPPER 80S AT
THE BEACHES LATE THIS WEEK. HEAT INDEX WILL RISE TO 100-105° ONCE WE
GET LATE IN THE WEEK AND INTO THE WEEKEND.
BEACH FORECAST - THE RISK FOR RIP CURRENTS REMAINS LOW THROUGH
THURSDAY FOR THE COASTAL ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA BEACHES.
PROBABILISTIC GUIDANCE BEGINS TO TREND UPWARD LATE IN THE WEEK
WITH A MODERATE RISK EXPECTED BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON FOR THE
NORTHWEST FLORIDA BEACHES. 07/MB
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 608 PM CDT MON JUN 8 2026
VFR CONDITIONS UNDER MID TO UPPER LEVEL CLOUDS EXPECTED THROUGH
THE FORECAST. GENERAL SOUTHEAST TO SOUTHERLY WINDS EXPECTED, WITH
LIGHT WINDS OVERNIGHT RISE TO AROUND 10 KNOTS BY AFTERNOON
TUESDAY.
/16
MARINE
ISSUED AT 334 PM CDT MON JUN 8 2026
NO IMPACTS EXPECTED OTHER THAN LOCALLY HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS
POSSIBLE NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY NEXT WEEK. 07/MB
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 73 90 72 90 / 0 0 0 0
PENSACOLA 76 90 75 89 / 0 10 0 0
DESTIN 76 89 75 88 / 0 10 0 0
EVERGREEN 72 92 71 93 / 10 10 10 10
WAYNESBORO 71 92 71 93 / 10 0 0 0
CAMDEN 72 90 72 91 / 10 0 0 10
CRESTVIEW 72 92 70 93 / 0 20 10 10
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...NONE.
FL...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
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