798
FXUS64 KMOB 090526
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1226 AM CDT SUN AUG 9 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1225 AM CDT SUN AUG 9 2026
- ISOLATED TO SCATTERED STORMS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
- HEAT INDICES AROUND 100-107 DEGREES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH MID
NEXT WEEK.
- A LOW RISK OF RIP CURRENTS DEVELOPS IS EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY
AT AREA BEACHES.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1225 AM CDT SUN AUG 9 2026
THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT, AN UPPER RIDGE CENTERED OFF THE EAST COAST
SHIFTS WEST OVER THE NORTHERN GULF COAST, WITH A SURFACE RIDGE
SHIFTING WEST OVER THE CENTRAL GULF. GUIDANCE IS ADVERTISING
MOISTURE LEVELS OVER THE FORECAST AREA RISING INTO THE 2.1"-2.3"
RANGE, THOUGH VARY ON RAINFALL TODAY, WITH VARYING SUBSIDENCE FROM
THE SHIFTING UPPER RIDGE. DID GO A BIT ABOVE SEASONAL NORMS FOR POPS
TODAY, WITH SCATTERED, MAINLY AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
POPS WILL SEE A DOWNWARD TREND INTO TUESDAY, WITH MOISTURE LEVELS
DECREASING OVER THE AREA COMBINING WITH INCREASING UPPER SUBSIDENCE
FROM THE UPPER RIDGE AS IT MOVES OVER THE NORTHERN GULF COAST.
TEMPERATURES REMAIN A BIT ABOVE SEASONAL NORMS OVER THE FORECAST
AREA, RANGING FROM AROUND 90 ALONG THE COAST TO AROUND 95 INLAND.
DAYTIME HEAT INDICES GENERALLY IN THE 100-107 RANGE ARE EXPECTED,
THOUGH LOCAL VALUES NEAR 110 ARE POSSIBLE TUESDAY. LOW TEMPERATURE
REMAIN AT ABOVE SEASONAL NORMS THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT, WITH LOW TO
MID 70S INLAND, UPPER 70S ALONG THE COAST.
WEDNESDAY ON, THE UPPER RIDGE OVER THE NORTHERN GULF COAST SHIFTS
NORTH TO OVER THE SOUTHEAST. INCREASING SUBSIDENCE WILL BRING
INCREASING TEMPERATURES (MID TO UPPER 90S BY FRIDAY), WITH
ACCOMPANYING HEAT INDICES RISING TO ADVISORY LEVELS FOR THE LATTER
HALF OF THE COMING WEEK. POPS DECREASE WITH THE INCREASING UPPER
SUBSIDENCE, WITH GENERAL ISOLATED POPS BY THE END OF THE WEEK.
TAKING A LOOK AT THE RIP CURRENT RISK ON AREA BEACHES, A GENERAL LOW
RISK IS EXPECTED INTO MID WEEK, WITH THE ONSHORE FLOW LESS
ORGANIZED. AN UPTICK TO A LOW MODERATE IS INDICATED THE END OF THE
WEEK, ESPECIALLY OVER OUR FLORIDA BEACHES.
/16
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1225 AM CDT SUN AUG 9 2026
GENERAL VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED OVERNIGHT OVER LAND AREAS, WITH
RAINSHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING OVER THE OPEN GULF. THESE
STORMS WILL REDEVELOP INLAND IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON HOURS,
LASTING INTO THE EVENING. LOW END MVFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN
THE STRONGER STORMS, THOUGH THE SLOW MOVEMENT OF THE STORMS WILL
MAKE IMPACTS TO OPERATIONS LOW.
/16
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1225 AM CDT SUN AUG 9 2026
AN AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD WESTWARD ACROSS THE
NORTHERN GULF THROUGH NEXT WEEK. A LIGHT TO OCCASIONALLY MODERATE
SOUTHERLY FLOW DEVELOPS ON SUNDAY AND BECOMES SOUTHWEST BY THE
MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK AS THE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS WEST.
/16
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 75 91 74 91 / 30 50 0 40
PENSACOLA 78 90 77 90 / 20 30 0 20
DESTIN 79 89 79 89 / 10 20 0 10
EVERGREEN 72 91 72 92 / 10 50 10 30
WAYNESBORO 73 93 71 94 / 20 50 10 30
CAMDEN 73 90 74 91 / 20 40 10 30
CRESTVIEW 73 92 73 93 / 10 40 0 30
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...NONE.
FL...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
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