098
FXUS64 KMOB 220732
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
232 AM CDT SUN MAR 22 2026
..NEW MARINE
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 232 AM CDT SUN MAR 22 2026
- TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN WELL ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH NEXT WEEK.
- MODERATE TO EXTREME DROUGHT ALONG WITH LITTLE TO NO RAIN IN THE
FORECAST THROUGH NEXT WEEK WILL EXACERBATE WILDFIRE ACTIVITY.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1038 PM CDT SAT MAR 21 2026
A NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT PERSISTS OVER THE AREA THROUGH MIDWEEK
AS AN UPPER RIDGE BUILDS OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN STATES AND A BROAD
UPPER TROF PATTERN TENDS TO PREVAIL OVER MUCH OF THE EASTERN
STATES. A SURFACE LOW PASSES WELL OFF TO THE NORTH AND BRINGS A
WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA ON MONDAY. DEEP
LAYER MOISTURE REMAINS LIMITED AND AM NOT EXPECTING PRECIPITATION
WITH THE PASSING FRONT. CHANGES IN THE PATTERN OCCUR LATER IN THE
WEEK AND INTO SATURDAY WITH THE UPPER RIDGE FIRST BUILDING ACROSS
THE SOUTHEAST STATES THEN WEAKENING AS A LARGE UPPER TROF EVOLVES
OVER MUCH OF THE EASTERN STATES. ANOTHER FRONTAL BOUNDARY LOOKS TO
MOVE THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA BETWEEN FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT,
BUT AGAIN DEEP LAYER MOISTURE LOOKS TOO LIMITED TO SUPPORT
PRECIPITATION. OVERALL AM EXPECTING DRY AND WARM CONDITIONS TO
PREVAIL THROUGH SATURDAY, THOUGH A SERIES OF SHORTWAVES COULD
ALLOW FOR SOME SPOTTY CONVECTION TO DEVELOP TUESDAY NIGHT INTO
WEDNESDAY.
SOME PATCHY FOG COULD DEVELOP MAINLY OVER INTERIOR AREAS LATE
TONIGHT AND AGAIN SUNDAY NIGHT. HIGHS EACH DAY TEND TO BE IN THE
LOWER TO MID 80S INLAND AND IN THE MID TO UPPER 70S AT THE COAST,
EXCEPT FOR A BIT WARMER ON THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. LOWS EACH NIGHT
TEND TO RANGE FROM THE MID 50S TO AROUND 60. /29
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1212 AM CDT SUN MAR 22 2026
VFR FLIGHT CATEGORY PREVAILS ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA THROUGH THE
DAY TODAY. PATCHY FOG CAN'T BE RULED OUT IN THE LOW LYING SPOTS OF
THE AREA JUST PRIOR TO DAYBREAK TEMPORARILY REDUCING FLIGHT
CATEGORY. WINDS REMAIN OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST GENERALLY NEAR OR LESS
THAN 5 KNOTS THE REST OF TONIGHT, INCREASING MID TO LATE MORNING
TO AROUND 10 KNOTS GUSTING 15 TO 20 KNOTS AT TIMES. MM/25
MARINE
ISSUED AT 232 AM CDT SUN MAR 22 2026
A LIGHT TO MODERATE WESTERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW CONTINUES INTO
EARLY NEXT WEEK, BECOMING A LIGHT EASTERLY TO SOUTHERLY FLOW MID TO
LATE WEEK. MM/25
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 80 58 84 59 / 0 0 0 0
PENSACOLA 77 61 81 61 / 0 0 0 0
DESTIN 73 61 76 61 / 0 0 0 0
EVERGREEN 84 55 85 56 / 0 0 0 0
WAYNESBORO 83 58 83 58 / 0 0 0 0
CAMDEN 83 58 81 56 / 0 0 0 0
CRESTVIEW 82 55 85 56 / 0 0 0 0
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...NONE.
FL...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
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