750
FXUS64 KMOB 210531
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1231 AM CDT THU MAY 21 2026
..NEW AVIATION, MARINE
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1230 AM CDT THU MAY 21 2026
- RAIN CHANCES INCREASE THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK,
ESPECIALLY OVER THE WESTERN HALF OF THE FORECAST AREA.
- LOCALIZED PATCHY DENSE FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT FEW
NIGHTS.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1204 AM CDT THU MAY 21 2026
LIGHT SOUTHERLY SURFACE WINDS WILL OCCUR TODAY THROUGH THE
UPCOMING WEEKEND AS A SURFACE RIDGE REMAINS INTACT ACROSS THE
SOUTHEAST STATES AND NORTHEAST GULF. ATMOSPHERIC MOISTURE WILL
REMAIN MODERATE WITH PWATS GENERALLY RANGING FROM 1.8 TO 2.0
INCHES THROUGH SATURDAY. A CONTINUOUS STREAM OF UPPER MINI-
SHORTWAVES MOVING OVER THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI RIVER IN A DEEP
SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW WILL RESULT IN A STEADY INCREASE IN SHOWER AND
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK,
ESPECIALLY DURING THE DAYTIME HOURS WITH DECREASING STABILITY FROM
DIURNAL HEATING. THE HIGHEST CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION OCCURRING
TODAY AND FRIDAY WILL ALONG AND WEST OF I- 65, AND THEN NORTH OF
I-10 ON SATURDAY. WE STILL DO NOT ANTICIPATE ANY ORGANIZED SEVERE
WEATHER, BUT SOME OF THE STRONGER STORMS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL
OF PRODUCING GUSTY SURFACE WINDS AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING. IN
ADDITION, SOME OF THE SLOWER MOVING STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING LOCALIZED NUISANCE FLOODING.
THE LIGHT SOUTHERLY WIND FLOW MENTIONED EARLIER PERSISTING ALL
WEEK DOES MAINTAIN SOME BOUNDARY-LAYER MOISTURE ACROSS OUR AREA
THAT SHOULD RESULT IN PATCHY LATE NIGHT/EARLY MORNING FOG OVER THE
COURSE OF THE WEEK. HIGH TEMPERATURES INLAND WILL REACH THE
MIDDLE TO UPPER 80S OVER THE NEXT THREE DAYS, WITH A FEW LOCALIZED
SPOTS REACHING THE 90 DEGREE MARK EAST OF I-65. APPARENT TEMPS IN
THE MIDDLE 90S ARE POSSIBLE ON SATURDAY ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA.
LOWS HOWEVER WILL REMAIN STEADY THROUGH SATURDAY WITH UPPER 60S TO
LOWER 70S INLAND AND MIDDLE 70S ALONG THE COAST. THESE LOWS WILL
BE ABOUT 6 TO 11 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. /22
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1230 AM CDT THU MAY 21 2026
VFR FLIGHT CATEGORY GENERALLY PREVAILS FOR THE MOMENT BUT SHOULD
GIVE WAY TO MVFR CEILINGS AS WE HEAD INTO THE LATE OVERNIGHT AND
DAYBREAK HOURS THIS MORNING. SOME PATCHY FOG, LOCALLY DENSE, CAN'T
BE RULED OUT AS WELL IN THE USUAL TROUBLE SPOTS EARLY THIS
MORNING. CEILINGS IMPROVE QUICKLY AFTER SUNRISE, WITH VFR FLIGHT
CATEGORY PREVAILING AGAIN FOR ALL LOCATIONS BY MID MORNING. WINDS
REMAIN LIGHT OUT OF THE SOUTHEAST NEAR OR LESS THAN 5 KNOTS THIS
MORNING, BECOMING 5 TO 10 KNOTS OUT OF THE SOUTHEAST TO SOUTH LATE
MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON HOURS. MM/25
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1230 AM CDT THU MAY 21 2026
LIGHT TO OCCASIONALLY MODERATE SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW WILL PREVAIL
THROUGH THIS WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. SEAS WILL GENERALLY BE 1
TO 3 FEET. NO IMPACTS ARE EXPECTED OTHER THAN LOCALLY HIGHER
WINDS AND SEAS POSSIBLE NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. MM/25
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 86 72 84 72 / 30 40 70 40
PENSACOLA 86 74 84 74 / 10 30 50 30
DESTIN 85 74 84 74 / 0 10 30 20
EVERGREEN 89 70 86 70 / 40 20 70 30
WAYNESBORO 87 70 83 70 / 60 50 80 60
CAMDEN 87 69 83 70 / 50 20 80 40
CRESTVIEW 90 70 88 71 / 10 10 30 20
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...NONE.
FL...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
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