583
FXUS64 KMOB 030023
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
723 PM CDT THU APR 2 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 718 PM CDT THU APR 2 2026
- A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS CONTINUES THROUGH THIS WEEKEND FOR
COASTAL ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA BEACHES.
- NEXT CHANCE FOR MEANINGFUL RAIN WILL ACCOMPANY A COLD FRONT
THIS WEEKEND, BUT IT WILL NOT BE A DROUGHT-BUSTING RAIN.
- A FEW ROUNDS OF SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY-LEVEL CONDITIONS (GUSTS
POTENTIALLY REACHING GALE-FORCE) ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE GULF AND
LOCAL BAYS/SOUNDS SUNDAY THROUGH MUCH OF NEXT WEEK BEHIND THE
COLD FRONT.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 144 PM CDT THU APR 2 2026
AT THE SURFACE, HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE APPALACHIANS CONTINUES TO
PROMOTE DRY WEATHER CONDITIONS ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST US THROUGH
FRIDAY NIGHT. WE TRANSITION TO A WETTER PATTERN FOR THIS WEEKEND
AS UPPER RIDGING OVER THE SOUTHEAST US PUSHES TO THE EAST AND AN
UPPER SHORTWAVE EXITING THE CENTRAL ROCKIES FRIDAY MORNING MOVES
OVER THE CENTRAL/NORTHERN GREAT PLAINS AND UPPER MIDWEST THROUGH
THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK. THE AXIS OF THIS TROUGH WILL THEN SLIP
EAST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER ON SUNDAY. IN RESPONSE TO THIS,
WINDS ALOFT TURN SOUTHWESTERLY, ALLOWING FOR MOISTURE TO SLOWLY
ADVECT BACK INTO THE LOCAL AREA SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY, WITH A
MODEST INCREASE IN PWATS TO 1.5-1.7 INCHES SUNDAY MORNING. A
SURFACE LOW PRESSURE AREA FORMING ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS ON
FRIDAY WILL LIFT NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE MIDWEST STATES AND
WESTERN GREAT LAKES THROUGH SATURDAY. AN ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT
APPROACHING FROM THE NORTHWEST SATURDAY EVENING WILL PASS THROUGH
OUR AREA LATE SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY. THIS FRONT WILL BRING
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND A CHANCE OF GENERAL STORMS
SLOWLY PASSING THROUGH OUR AREA FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SUNDAY AFTERNOON. GENERAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE
FROM ONE-HALF TO ONE INCH, WITH HIGHEST TOTALS NORTHWEST OF I-65.
GUSTY NORTHERLY WINDS ARE LIKELY IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT ON
MONDAY. THIS FRONT WILL ALSO USHER IN A COOLER AND DRIER AIRMASS
WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES ON MONDAY IN THE MIDDLE TO UPPER 60S INLAND
TO NEAR 70 ALONG THE COAST.
PATCHY TO AREAS OF FOG ARE LIKELY LATE TONIGHT, FRIDAY NIGHT, AND
POSSIBLY SATURDAY NIGHT. SOME LOCALLY DENSE FOG IS POSSIBLE AT
TIMES, AND THIS WILL NEED TO BE MONITORED FOR POSSIBLE ADVISORIES
DOWN THE ROAD. AS ALWAYS CONTINUE TO USE CAUTION WHEN DRIVING WITH
FOG. /22
BEACH HAZARDS...A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS WILL LIKELY CONTINUE
THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS A MODERATE ONSHORE FLOW SHOULD PERSIST.
WHILE THE WINDS WILL NOT BE STRONG, THERE SHOULD BE ENOUGH OF A
FETCH AND INCREASINGLY STRONG TIDES FALLING DURING THE AFTERNOONS
TO RESULT IN LIKELY HAZARDOUS SWIMMING CONDITIONS AND RIP
CURRENTS. BE SURE TO CONTINUE TO SWIM NEAR LIFEGUARDS. BB-8
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 718 PM CDT THU APR 2 2026
VFR CEILINGS WILL GRADUALLY BECOME MVFR THEN IFR TO LIFR AFTER
MIDNIGHT AS A LOW CLOUD DECK MOVES IN. SOME PATCHY FOG MAY
ACCOMPANY THE LOWER CEILINGS MAINLY EAST OF I-65. CEILINGS AND
VISBYS WILL QUICKLY IMPROVE AFTER DAYBREAK RETURNING TO VFR BY
MID-MORNING. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT OUT OF THE SOUTH. BB-8
MARINE
ISSUED AT 315 PM CDT THU APR 2 2026
A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED BEGINNING SUNDAY
EVENING AS A STRONG COLD FRONT PASSES THROUGH THE REGION, WITH
GUSTS TO GALE FORCE POSSIBLE. A MODERATE TO STRONG OFFSHORE FLOW
PERSISTS THROUGH TUESDAY BEFORE WINDS GRADUALLY TURN EASTERLY
MIDWEEK. EXPECT A PROLONGED PERIOD OF SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY-LEVEL
CONDITIONS ALL NEXT WEEK, ESPECIALLY FOR THE GULF WATERS. PRIOR
TO THE ARRIVAL OF THE COLD FRONT, A LIGHT ONSHORE FLOW WILL
PERSIST. /22
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 64 83 65 83 / 0 10 0 30
PENSACOLA 65 78 67 79 / 0 10 0 10
DESTIN 64 76 66 77 / 0 10 0 10
EVERGREEN 59 85 61 86 / 0 10 0 30
WAYNESBORO 64 85 64 85 / 0 10 0 50
CAMDEN 61 84 62 85 / 0 10 0 40
CRESTVIEW 59 84 62 85 / 0 10 0 20
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING FOR ALZ265-266.
FL...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING FOR FLZ202-204-206.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
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