788
FXUS64 KMOB 142009
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
209 PM CST SUN DEC 14 2025
..NEW DISCUSSION, MARINE
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 209 PM CST SUN DEC 14 2025
- DANGEROUSLY COLD TEMPERATURES AND WIND CHILLS WILL OCCUR
TONIGHT INTO MONDAY. WIND CHILLS COULD DROP TO 10 DEGREES
OVER INTERIOR COUNTIES AND TO AROUND 15 DEGREES OVER COASTAL
COUNTIES.
- STRONG MARINE WINDS WILL CONTINUE INTO MONDAY BEHIND THE COLD
FRONT PUSHING SOUTH OVER THE GULF. FREQUENT GUSTS TO GALE
FORCE ARE LIKELY OVER THE OPEN GULF WATERS.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 209 PM CST SUN DEC 14 2025
THE COLDEST AIR MASS OF THE SEASON WILL CONTINUE TO FILTER IN
FROM THE NORTH AS A STRONG SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM BUILDS
INTO THE REGION. THE COLD WEATHER ADVISORY FOR OUR ENTIRE AREA WAS
UPDATED FOR A SLIGHTLY EARLIER START TIME, AND IS NOW IN EFFECT
FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 9 AM CST MONDAY. LOW TEMPERATURES
TONIGHT ARE STILL FORECAST TO DROP DOWN INTO THE UPPER TEENS TO
LOWER 20S INLAND, AND FROM 23 TO 28 DEGREES ALONG THE IMMEDIATE
COAST. THESE TEMPERATURES RANGE FROM 13 TO 19 DEGREES BELOW
NORMAL. AS MENTIONED EARLIER, WE MAY GET TO WITHIN A FEW DEGREES
OF OUR DAILY RECORD LOW FOR MOBILE. THE RECORD LOW FOR DECEMBER 15
IS 20 DEGREES SET WAY BACK IN 1901, AND OUR FORECAST LOW IS 23
DEGREES. THE RECORD LOW FOR PENSACOLA IS ALSO 20 DEGREES SET IN
1901, BUT OUR FORECAST LOW IS 29 DEGREES.
DANGEROUSLY WIND CHILLS WILL ALSO OCCUR TONIGHT INTO MONDAY AS
THE BREEZY CONDITIONS CONTRIBUTE TO APPARENT TEMPERATURES (WIND
CHILLS) DROPPING TO AS LOW AS 10 TO 15 DEGREES INLAND, WITH UPPER
TEENS POTENTIALLY REACHING THE IMMEDIATE COAST. WE STILL THINK
THAT A FEW LOCATIONS ALONG THE COAST MAY REACH EXTREME COLD
WARNING CRITERIA (15 DEGREES OR LOWER) FROM TIME TO TIME, BUT IS
NOT WIDESPREAD ENOUGH TO ISSUE A WARNING AT THIS TIME. HIGH
TEMPERATURES ON MONDAY WILL BE AROUND 15 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL, AND
ONLY REACH THE MIDDLE TO UPPER 40S DESPITE THE SUNNY SKIES. LOWS
MONDAY NIGHT WILL GENERALLY BE IN THE 20S AREA-WIDE.
WITH THE SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM SHIFTING OFF TO OUR EAST,
TEMPERATURES MODERATE TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY AS FLOW ALOFT
BECOMES MORE WESTERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY. HIGHS BY THURSDAY WILL
REBOUND TO 5 TO 10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL, AND SHOULD RANGE FROM 67
TO 72 DEGREES. RAIN CHANCES SHOULD ALSO RETURN TO THE AREA BY
THURSDAY AS THE NEXT, WEAKER COLD FRONT APPROACHES AND PASSES
THROUGH THE REGION.
BEACH FORECAST: A LOW RISK OF RIP CURRENTS WILL OCCUR THROUGH
WEDNESDAY, INCREASING TO A MODERATE RISK ON THURSDAY. /22
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1154 AM CST SUN DEC 14 2025
MVFR CEILINGS WILL CLEAR THIS AFTERNOON WITH VFR CONDITIONS
THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST. STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS OF
20 TO 30 KNOTS WILL CONTINUE THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. /13
MARINE
ISSUED AT 209 PM CST SUN DEC 14 2025
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES REMAIN IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY MORNING AS
NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS OF 20 TO 30 KNOTS CONTINUES.
WAVES UP TO 3 FT FOR THE BAYS AND SOUNDS AND SEAS 6 TO 9 FT FOR
THE GULF CAN BE EXPECTED. A GALE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE GULF
BEYOND 20 NM FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON UNTIL 8 PM CST THIS EVENING
DUE TO FREQUENT GUSTS UP TO 35 KNOTS. WINDS SUBSIDE ON MONDAY,
BECOMING LIGHT EASTERLY FOR TUESDAY. A LIGHT TO OCCASIONAL
MODERATE ONSHORE FLOW WILL DEVELOP MIDWEEK, SHIFTING TO AN
OFFSHORE FLOW THURSDAY NIGHT AS ANOTHER COLD FRONT PASSES THROUGH
THE REGION. /22
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 23 48 28 59 / 0 0 0 0
PENSACOLA 29 49 32 58 / 0 0 0 0
DESTIN 31 49 36 58 / 0 0 0 0
EVERGREEN 22 48 22 59 / 0 0 0 0
WAYNESBORO 20 45 22 57 / 0 0 0 0
CAMDEN 20 45 23 55 / 0 0 0 0
CRESTVIEW 22 48 22 58 / 0 0 0 0
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...COLD WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 9 AM CST MONDAY
FOR ALZ051>060-261>266.
FL...COLD WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 9 AM CST MONDAY
FOR FLZ201>206.
MS...COLD WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 9 AM CST MONDAY
FOR MSZ067-075-076-078-079.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM CST MONDAY FOR GMZ630>636.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL NOON CST MONDAY FOR GMZ650-655.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 3 PM CST THIS AFTERNOON FOR GMZ670-
675.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON CST MONDAY
FOR GMZ670-675.
GALE WARNING UNTIL 8 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR GMZ670-675.
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