607
FXUS64 KMOB 250559
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1259 AM CDT TUE AUG 25 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION, AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1259 AM CDT TUE AUG 25 2026
- SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL INCREASE IN COVERAGE EACH
AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY AND CONTINUE INTO FRIDAY. STORMS
WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING GUSTY WINDS, HEAVY RAIN, AND
FREQUENT LIGHTNING.
- HOT CONDITIONS CONTINUE, WITH HEAT INDICES TOPPING OUT AT AROUND
102-107 DEGREES EACH DAY.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1259 AM CDT TUE AUG 25 2026
WE START OFF TODAY'S PACKAGE WITH A LARGE SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE
AREA ACROSS THE EASTERN U.S. RESULTING IN LOWER RAIN CHANCES. THE
FORECAST AREA WILL BE DRY UNTIL AROUND MID-AFTERNOON UNTIL
MAXIMUM SURFACE TEMPERATURES RANGING FROM 90-95 DEGREES RESULT IN
A 20-30% CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS TO DEVELOPING. DESPITE THE
LOWER RAIN CHANCES THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS MOST OF OUR
AREA EAST OF THE ALABAMA RIVER OUTLOOKED FOR A MARGINAL RISK OF
SEVERE WEATHER. LINGERING CONVECTION INTO EARLY THIS EVENING
SHOULD COMPLETELY DISSIPATE AROUND 9 PM. PATCHY FOG IS EXPECTED
EARLY THIS MORNING AND AGAIN LATE TONIGHT INLAND AREAS WITH
LOCALIZED VISIBILITIES DOWN TO 1 MILE IN FOG PRONE AREAS. HIGH
RAIN CHANCES (30-50%) WILL OCCUR ON WEDNESDAY AS AN UPPER TROUGH
OVER THE MIDWEST STATES SHIFTS EASTWARD AND DIGS SOUTHWARD WITH
THE BASE REACHING THE TENNESSEE VALLEY. THIS WILL ALLOW THE
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS THE EASTERN U.S. TO SHIFT EASTWARD AS
A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH MOVES IN.
NUMEROUS TO WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST FOR
THURSDAY AS THE UPPER TROUGH DIGS FURTHER SOUTHWARD WITH THE BASE
REACHING THE NORTHEAST GULF. WITH PWATS INCREASING TO AN AVERAGE
AROUND 2.3" ON THURSDAY, THE POTENTIAL FOR LOCALIZED FLOODING WILL
NEED TO BE CLOSELY MONITORED. HIGH TEMPERATURES TODAY AND
WEDNESDAY WILL RANGE FROM 90-95 DEGREES, AND WHEN COMBINED WITH
SURFACE DEWPOINTS RANGING FROM 74 TO 78 DEGREES, MAXIMUM APPARENT
TEMPERATURES (HEAT INDICES) SHOULD RANGE FROM 100-107 DEGREES.
HIGH TEMPERATURES THURSDAY SHOULD ONLY REACH AROUND 90 DEGREES DUE
TO THE HIGHER RAIN CHANCES. /22
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1259 AM CDT TUE AUG 25 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL MUCH OF THE PERIOD OUTSIDE OF SOME
PATCHY FOG TONIGHT WITH BRIEF REDUCTIONS TO MVFR/IFR CONDITIONS.
ANOTHER ROUND OF SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS IS POSSIBLE TUESDAY
AFTERNOON. EXPECT BRIEF REDUCTIONS IN VISIBILITIES AND CEILINGS IN
SOME OF THE HEAVIER ACTIVITY. A FEW STRONG STORMS CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING GUSTY, ERRATIC WINDS CANNOT BE RULED OUT. /13
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1215 PM CDT MON AUG 24 2026
NO IMPACTS EXPECTED OTHER THAN LOCALLY HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS
POSSIBLE NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. /73
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 91 73 93 73 / 30 10 50 40
PENSACOLA 90 75 90 76 / 30 10 40 40
DESTIN 88 77 88 78 / 20 20 40 40
EVERGREEN 93 70 94 71 / 20 10 50 30
WAYNESBORO 93 72 95 72 / 10 10 50 40
CAMDEN 93 72 94 73 / 10 10 50 30
CRESTVIEW 92 71 92 72 / 30 20 50 30
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...NONE.
FL...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
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