794
FXUS64 KMOB 031202
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
602 AM CST TUE MAR 3 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 602 AM CST TUE MAR 3 2026
- WELL ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEK.
- FOG DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE EACH NIGHT THIS WEEK, ESPECIALLY
THE MIDDLE TO LATTER PART OF THE WEEK. FOG COULD BECOME DENSE
IN SPOTS.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1259 AM CST TUE MAR 3 2026
AN UPPER-LEVEL SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW PATTERN WILL DEVELOP BY
WEDNESDAY AS AN ANOMALOUSLY STRONG UPPER RIDGE BUILDS OVER THE
EASTERN US/WESTERN ATLANTIC. THIS RIDGE WILL LIKELY ANCHOR ITSELF
IN PLACE THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK AND INTO THE UPCOMING
WEEKEND. SIMILARLY AT THE SURFACE, HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE
APPALACHIANS TODAY WILL SHIFT EASTWARD AND SETTLE OVER THE WESTERN
ATLANTIC BY WEDNESDAY. WITH ITS RIDGE AXIS DRAPED ACROSS NORTHERN
TO CENTRAL GA/AL/MS, A PERSISTENT SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW PATTERN WILL
PREVAIL OVER THE LOCAL AREA THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD. THIS ONSHORE
FLOW, BOTH ALOFT AND AT THE SURFACE, WILL HELP TO ADVECT BETTER
MOISTURE VALUES INTO THE AREA FROM THE GULF (PWATS INCREASING FROM
0.8-1.0 INCHES TO AROUND 1.2-1.4 INCHES). THIS WILL ALLOW FOR
RAIN CHANCES TO INCREASE AS WE GET TO THE LATTER PART OF THE WEEK
AND INTO THE WEEKEND, PRIMARILY DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS.
HOWEVER, WITH SUBSIDENCE FROM THE NEARBY RIDGE IN PLACE AND THE
BEST FORCING REMAINING TO OUR WEST, CONVECTIVE COVERAGE LOOKS TO
REMAIN ISOLATED TO SCATTERED AT THIS POINT.
WITH THE INCREASE IN MOISTURE, AS WELL AS RIDGING ALOFT, AND LIGHT
SURFACE WINDS AT NIGHT, FOG DEVELOPMENT (SOME OF WHICH COULD BE
DENSE) WILL CONTINUE TO BE POSSIBLE EACH NIGHT THROUGHOUT THE
PERIOD. IT IS ALSO POSSIBLE THAT SEA FOG MAY DEVELOP EACH NIGHT
STARTING WEDNESDAY NIGHT AS DEW POINTS RISE INTO THE MID TO UPPER
60S OVERTOP LOW 60 WATER TEMPERATURES. IF SEA FOG DOES MANAGE TO
DEVELOP, CANNOT RULE OUT THAT SOME COASTAL SPOTS COULD SEE LOW
VISIBILITIES LINGER LONGER INTO THE DAYTIME HOURS.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE VERY WARM FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. HIGHS BY
LATE WEEK AND INTO THE WEEKEND WILL RANGE FROM THE UPPER 70S ALONG
THE COAST TO THE LOW TO MID 80S ELSEWHERE. THESE TEMPERATURES ARE
ROUGHLY 12-18 DEGREES ABOVE AVERAGE. SIMILARLY, LOWS STARTING
THURSDAY NIGHT WILL ONLY DROP INTO THE LOW TO MID 60S (SOME UPPER
60S POSSIBLE). THESE TEMPERATURES ARE AN IMPRESSIVE 18-23 DEGREES
ABOVE AVERAGE. A MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS WILL BE IN PLACE
THROUGH THE WEEK. /96
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 602 AM CST TUE MAR 3 2026
IFR AND MVFR CEILINGS WEST OF THE ALABAMA RIVER SHOULD LIFT TO VFR
AROUND MID-MORNING, BUT RETURN LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE
EVENING HOURS. LIGHT SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW TONIGHT WILL INCREASE TO
AROUND 10-15 KNOTS BY THE AFTERNOON. /22
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1259 AM CST TUE MAR 3 2026
A LIGHT TO MODERATE SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW PATTERN WILL PREVAIL
THROUGHOUT THE WEEK. WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE LIGHTER AT NIGHT AND
STRONGER DURING THE DAY. SEA FOG DEVELOPMENT MAY BECOME POSSIBLE
DURING THE LATTER HALF OF THE WEEK AND INTO THE WEEKEND, PRIMARILY
OVER MOBILE BAY AND THE MISSISSIPPI SOUND.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 77 57 79 61 / 0 0 0 0
PENSACOLA 72 58 74 61 / 0 0 0 0
DESTIN 72 59 73 61 / 0 0 0 0
EVERGREEN 81 53 83 56 / 0 0 0 0
WAYNESBORO 80 57 81 59 / 0 0 0 0
CAMDEN 80 55 82 57 / 0 0 0 0
CRESTVIEW 80 52 81 56 / 0 0 0 0
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...NONE.
FL...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
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