331
FXUS64 KMOB 101839
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1239 PM CST SAT JAN 10 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION, MARINE
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1239 PM CST SAT JAN 10 2026
- A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE STORMS EXISTS SOUTHEAST OF THE I-65
CORRIDOR THIS AFTERNOON WITH DAMAGING WINDS BEING THE PRIMARY
THREAT.
- STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS WILL OCCUR OVER THE MARINE AREA TONIGHT
THROUGH MONDAY MORNING AND CREATE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR
SMALL CRAFT.
- SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES WILL OCCUR SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY
NIGHT FOR MOST INTERIOR AREAS.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1239 PM CST SAT JAN 10 2026
STRONG TO MARGINAL SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS REMAIN POSSIBLE SOUTHEAST
OF THE I-65 CORRIDOR THIS AFTERNOON WITH DAMAGING WINDS BEING THE
PRIMARY THREAT. THIS LINE OF CONVECTION WILL EXIT OUR AREA BY MID-
EVENING AS A STRONG COLD FRONT PASSING THROUGH OUR AREA BRINGS A
COLDER AND DRIER AIRMASS INTO THE REGION. LOW TEMPERATURES TONIGHT
WILL DROP INTO THE UPPER 30S TO MIDDLE 40S INTERIOR AREAS, WITH
UPPER 40S TO LOWER 50S ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST. OVERNIGHT LOWS
SUNDAY AND MONDAY NIGHTS ARE EXPECTED TO DIP INTO THE UPPER 20S TO
LOWER 30S INTERIOR AND MIDDLE 30'S ALONG THE COAST. EXPECT HIGH
TEMPERATURES ON SUNDAY AND TUESDAY TO ONLY TOP OUT IN THE MIDDLE
50S TO LOWER 60S, WITH THE COLDEST DAY (MONDAY) STRUGGLING TO
RANGE FROM 50 TO 55 DEGREES. THESE TEMPERATURES ARE ABOUT 5 TO 10
DEGREES BELOW NORMAL. HIGH AND LOW TEMPS THEN REBOUND TO NEAR
CLIMATOLOGICAL NORMS THROUGH MIDWEEK BEFORE ANOTHER STRONG COLD
FRONT PASSING THROUGH THE AREA LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY
BRINGS A FEW SHOWERS AND ANOTHER SIGNIFICANT DROP IN TEMPERATURES.
BEACH FORECAST: A MODERATE RIP CURRENT RISK WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
TONIGHT FOR THE ALABAMA BEACHES, AND THROUGH NOON SUNDAY FOR THE
FLORIDA BEACHES. A LOW RIP CURRENT RISK FOLLOWS THROUGH MIDWEEK.
/22
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1131 AM CST SAT JAN 10 2026
A BROKEN LINE OF SHRA/TSRA WAS TRANSLATING EASTWARD AND
APPROACHING THE I-65 CORRIDOR. POST CONVECTIVE -SHRA WILL FOLLOW
FOR KMOB/KBFM FOLLOWING THE PASSAGE OF THE LINE THROUGH EARLY
AFTERNOON AND BEGIN TO DIMINISH MID TO LATE AFTERNOON FROM WEST TO
EAST. CONSIDERING RADAR TRENDS AND SHORT RANGE HIGH RESOLUTION
MODELS, NOT ENTIRELY CONFIDENT THE LINE WILL MAINTAIN ENOUGH
INTEGRITY TO INTRODUCE PREVAILING WEATHER IN THE FORECAST FOR
KJKA/KPNS INTO MID AFTERNOON AND FEEL VCTS WORDING WILL BETTER
DESCRIBE. FRONT MAKES PASSAGE TONIGHT, BRINGING WIND SHIFT AND
GUSTY CONDITIONS. MVFR CIGS LOOK TO CONTINUE INTO TONIGHT BEFORE
CLEARING OUT SUNDAY AM. /10
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1239 PM CST SAT JAN 10 2026
A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE MARINE
AREA STARTING AT 9 PM THIS EVENING IN THE WAKE OF THE STRONG COLD
FRONT. GUSTS TO GALE FORCE WILL BE POSSIBLE OFFSHORE TONIGHT
THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT. THIS ADVISORY IS SET TO EXPIRE FOR ALL BAYS,
EXCEPT FOR MOBILE BAY, AT NOON SUNDAY, FOR MOBILE BAY AND THE
MISSISSIPPI SOUND AT MIDNIGHT SUNDAY NIGHT, AND FOR THE GULF
WATERS AT 9 AM MONDAY. OFFSHORE FLOW THEN DIMINISHES LATE SUNDAY
NIGHT AND MONDAY. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS ON TUESDAY WILL BECOME
WESTERLY TUESDAY NIGHT AND INCREASE TO LIGHT TO MODERATE THROUGH
MIDWEEK. /22
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 45 59 33 54 / 10 0 0 0
PENSACOLA 48 59 36 54 / 20 0 0 0
DESTIN 50 60 37 54 / 30 0 0 0
EVERGREEN 43 57 29 54 / 10 0 0 0
WAYNESBORO 39 55 30 52 / 10 0 0 0
CAMDEN 40 53 28 50 / 10 0 0 0
CRESTVIEW 46 59 30 55 / 30 0 0 0
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...NONE.
FL...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO MIDNIGHT CST
SUNDAY NIGHT FOR GMZ630>632.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON CST SUNDAY
FOR GMZ633>636.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 9 AM CST MONDAY
FOR GMZ650-655-670-675.
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