496
FXUS64 KMOB 021110
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
610 AM CDT SAT AUG 2 2025
..NEW AVIATION
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1237 AM CDT SAT AUG 2 2025
AN UPPER HIGH PRESSURE AREA WILL REMAIN CENTERED OVER THE DESERT
SOUTHWEST THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST. A WEAK UPPER TROUGH WILL RESIDE
OVER OUR REGION OVER THE WEEKEND, FOLLOWED BY A STRONGER MEDIUM
AMPLIFIED UPPER TROUGH DIGGING OVER MUCH OF THE EASTERN CONUS AND
NORTHERN GULF THROUGH NEXT WEEK. A SURFACE FRONTAL BOUNDARY ACROSS
THE FORECAST AREA WILL SLIP JUST SOUTH OF THE COAST TONIGHT AND
STALL, THEN LIFT BACK NORTH AND SLOWLY DISSIPATE THROUGH EARLY
NEXT WEEK. WITH PERSISTENT WEAKNESS ALOFT, ENHANCED DAILY RAIN
CHANCES WILL CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST. ACTIVITY WILL
GENERALLY FOLLOW A TYPICAL DIURNAL PATTERN, WITH SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING DURING THE MORNING OVER OUR MARINE ZONES
AND ALONG THE COAST, AND THEN SPREAD INLAND THROUGHOUT THE DAY
WITH SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
BY EARLY AFTERNOON. SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL THEN LINGER THROUGH AT
LEAST MID-EVENING BEFORE DISSIPATING. WE CAN'T RULE OUT A FEW
STRONG STORMS WITH GUSTY WINDS, FREQUENT LIGHTNING, AS WELL AS
VERY HEAVY RAINFALL.
WITH THE STRONGER MEDIUM AMPLIFIED UPPER TROUGH OVER OUR AREA
EARLY NEXT WEEK, WE EXPECT SOME COOLER TEMPERATURES. HIGHS ARE
EXPECTED TO DROP INTO THE LOW/MID 80S NORTHEAST OF A BUTLER TO
CRESTVIEW LINE MONDAY AND TUESDAY, WITH UPPER 80S TO AROUND 90
DEGREES ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST AREA. A LOW RISK OF
RIP CURRENTS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. /22
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 609 AM CDT SAT AUG 2 2025
VFR FLIGHT CATEGORY PREVAILS ACROSS THE REGION OUTSIDE OF SHOWERS
AND STORMS THROUGH THIS EVENING. TEMPORARY REDUCTIONS IN CEILING
AND VISIBILITY CAN BE EXPECTED UNDERNEATH ANY SHOWERS OR STORMS.
WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE LIGHT AND VARIABLE ACROSS THE REGION AT
LESS THAN 5 KNOTS, WITH SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS PREVAILING NEARER THE
COAST AT AROUND 5 TO 10 KNOTS. MM/25
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1237 AM CDT SAT AUG 2 2025
A LIGHT WESTERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW TODAY WILL BECOME VARIABLE
ALONG THE COAST THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEKEND AS A FRONTAL
BOUNDARY SLIPS JUST SOUTH OF THE COAST AND STALLS. A LIGHT ONSHORE
FLOW WILL FOLLOW THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. SEAS WILL REMAIN
GENERALLY 2 FEET OR LESS. /22
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 91 74 90 74 86 72 87 73 / 80 50 80 50 80 60 90 50
PENSACOLA 92 77 90 76 85 76 87 77 / 70 50 90 60 80 80 90 50
DESTIN 92 78 90 77 87 77 89 78 / 60 50 90 70 90 80 80 50
EVERGREEN 93 72 90 72 85 71 87 70 / 80 60 80 50 80 60 90 50
WAYNESBORO 90 72 89 70 87 70 86 70 / 80 50 50 20 60 40 70 30
CAMDEN 90 72 88 70 83 70 84 70 / 80 50 70 40 70 50 80 40
CRESTVIEW 93 73 89 72 86 72 87 72 / 70 60 90 70 90 70 90 50
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...NONE.
FL...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
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