201
FXUS64 KMOB 220022 AAA
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
622 PM CST SAT FEB 21 2026
..NEW UPDATE
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 622 PM CST SAT FEB 21 2026
- AREAS OF DENSE SEA-FOG OVER THE NEAR-SHORE WATERS AND BAYS FROM
ORANGE BEACH TO DESTIN WILL CREATE HAZARDOUS NAVIGATIONAL
CONDITIONS FOR MARINERS THIS EVENING.
- HIGH WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL CREATE DANGEROUS
BURNING CONDITIONS ON SUNDAY.
- STRONG WINDS WILL CREATE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT
FROM TONIGHT INTO MONDAY NIGHT. GALE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
LATE TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY NIGHT.
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 622 PM CST SAT FEB 21 2026
NUMEROUS WEBCAMS ALONG THE COAST FROM ORANGE BEACH ALABAMA TO
DESTIN FLORIDA ARE SHOWING REDUCED VISIBILITIES, AND THE NIGHT FOG
SATELLITE PRODUCT IS DETECTING SEA-FOG CONTINUING TO EXPAND OVER
THE NEAR-SHORE WATERS AND AREA BAYS. WENT AHEAD AND ISSUED A SHORT
DURATION MARINE DENSE FOG ADVISORY THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS
PRIOR TO THE ARRIVAL OF THE STRONG COLD THAT WILL PUSH THE FOG OUT
OF OUR AREA. /22
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1240 PM CST SAT FEB 21 2026
WELL ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS CONTINUE TODAY AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING
STRONG COLD FRONT THAT WILL BRING MUCH COLDER TEMPS TO THE AREA
THROUGH TUESDAY. A COUPLE OF STRONG STORMS REMAIN POSSIBLE THIS
AFTERNOON DUE TO THE INSTABILITY AVAILABLE AHEAD OF THE FRONT WITH
TEMPS IN THE LOW 80S AND DEWPOINTS IN THE MID/UPPER 60S. HOWEVER,
WEAK FORCING ACROSS THE AREA WILL KEEP THE THREAT MARGINAL. A
ISOLATED STRONG WIND GUST AND/OR SMALL HAIL CANNOT BE COMPLETELY
RULED OUT. MUCH COLDER TEMPS RETURN IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT
TONIGHT. HIGHS TOMORROW WILL ONLY BE IN THE LOW TO MID 50S INLAND
TO UPPER 50S ALONG THE COAST. A GUSTY NORTHWEST WIND WILL MAKE IT
FEEL EVEN COLDER. HIGHS ON MONDAY WILL BE IN THE MID AND UPPER 40S
INLAND TO LOW 50S ALONG THE COAST. LOWS TONIGHT WILL BE IN THE
UPPER 30S AND LOW 40S. MOST AREAS WILL SEE A FREEZE SUNDAY NIGHT
WITH LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S INLAND TO LOW/MID 30S ALONG THE COAST.
MONDAY NIGHT LOOKS TO BE THE COLDEST NIGHT WITH LOWS IN THE
LOW/MID 20S INLAND TO NEAR 30 ALONG THE COAST.
HIGHS QUICKLY WARM BACK INTO THE LOW 70S ON WEDNESDAY AHEAD OF
ANOTHER APPROACHING COLD FRONT. THIS FRONT WILL BRING RAIN CHANCES
BACK INTO THE AREA ON THURSDAY AS IT MOVES ACROSS THE AREA.
A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS CONTINUES THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. /13
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 551 PM CST SAT FEB 21 2026
REGIONAL RADAR MOSAIC IS CURRENTLY DETECTING A CLUSTER OF SHOWERS
WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A JUST EAST OF THE I-65
CORRIDOR. THIS ACTIVITY WILL SLOWLY PUSH EASTWARD THROUGHOUT THE
EVENING HOURS, AND SHOULD EXIT OUR FORECAST AREA BY LATE EVENING.
VFR TO MVFR CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING ACROSS OUR ENTIRE AREA, WITH
TEMPORARY REDUCTIONS IN FLIGHT CATEGORIES TO IFR AS THIS ACTIVITY
PASSES THROUGH. A COUPLE STRONGER STORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
GUSTY, ERRATIC WINDS CANNOT BE RULED OUT. VFR CONDITIONS WILL
RETURN A LITTLE AFTER MIDNIGHT AFTER A COLD FRONT PUSHES THROUGH
THE AREA. LIGHT WESTERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS THIS EVENING WILL
BECOME PREDOMINATELY NORTHWESTERLY AROUND 20 KNOTS WITH GUSTS AS
HIGH AS 30 KNOTS, AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE
FORECAST. /22
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1240 PM CST SAT FEB 21 2026
A LIGHT TO MODERATE ONSHORE FLOW WILL CONTINUE TODAY AHEAD OF A
STRONG COLD FRONT. THIS STRONG COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE AREA
TONIGHT, WITH A STRONG OFFSHORE FLOW DEVELOPING IN THE WAKE OF THE
FRONT. FREQUENT GUSTS TO GALE FORCE ARE EXPECTED LATE TONIGHT
THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT. OFFSHORE FLOW DIMINISHES LATE MONDAY NIGHT
INTO TUESDAY MORNING. /13
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 1240 PM CST SAT FEB 21 2026
A RED FLAG WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI ON
SUNDAY DUE TO THE COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY
LEVELS. /13
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 42 58 32 53 / 60 0 0 0
PENSACOLA 45 56 35 51 / 70 0 0 0
DESTIN 47 58 35 51 / 70 0 0 0
EVERGREEN 41 56 28 48 / 60 0 0 0
WAYNESBORO 39 54 29 48 / 20 0 0 0
CAMDEN 38 51 28 45 / 30 0 0 0
CRESTVIEW 44 58 30 51 / 80 0 0 0
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK UNTIL 6 AM CST SUNDAY FOR ALZ265-266.
FL...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK UNTIL 6 AM CST SUNDAY FOR FLZ202-204-206.
MS...RED FLAG WARNING FROM 9 AM TO 6 PM CST SUNDAY FOR MSZ067-075-076-
078-079.
GM...GALE WARNING FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO NOON CST SUNDAY FOR
GMZ630>632-650-655.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM NOON SUNDAY TO NOON CST MONDAY FOR
GMZ630>632-650-655.
DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT FOR GMZ633>636-650-
655.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO NOON CST MONDAY
FOR GMZ633>636.
GALE WARNING FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO NOON CST MONDAY FOR GMZ670-
675.
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page