523
FXUS64 KMOB 012342
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
642 PM CDT THU MAY 1 2025
..NEW AVIATION
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 352 PM CDT THU MAY 1 2025
A SOGGY START TO THE WEEKEND AS AN UPPER LEVEL LOW STRENGTHENS TO
OUR WEST AND MOVES INTO THE OHIO VALLEY BY SUNDAY. AHEAD OF THIS
SYSTEM, DEEP MOISTURE HAS SURGED NORTHWARD WITH SOUTHWESTERLY
WINDS ALOFT. EXPECT SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS TO DEVELOP
MAINLY WEST OF I-65 ON FRIDAY AS THE INFLUENCES OF THE UPPER
TROUGH BEGIN TO NOSE INTO THE AREA. THE BEST RAIN CHANCES ARRIVE
ON SATURDAY AS THE UPPER TROUGH SWINGS THROUGH AND PUSHES A COLD
FRONT THROUGH OUR AREA. WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL MOVE IN
SATURDAY AFTERNOON FROM THE WEST AND SLOWLY PUSH ACROSS THE AREA
AS THE FRONT SLOWLY SLIPS OFFSHORE BY SATURDAY NIGHT. WHILE
OVERALL THE ENVIRONMENT IS NOT THAT CONDUCIVE FOR STRONG TO
SEVERE STORMS ACROSS OUR AREA, THERE SHOULD BE JUST ENOUGH DRY AIR
ALOFT AND SHEAR TO PROMOTE A STRONGER STORM OR TWO AND A DAMAGING
WIND GUSTS OR SMALL HAIL STONE CANNOT BE RULED OUT.
THINGS DRY INTO THE BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK AS THE UPPER LOW
LINGERS ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY AND OMEGA BLOCKING SETS UP. WITH
HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE CENTRAL US, DRIER AND COOLER AIR WILL
FILTER INTO THE AREA THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF THE WEEK. THIS WILL
MAINLY IMPACT TEMPERATURES AS LOWS BRIEFLY DROP INTO THE 50S AND
HIGHS INTO THE 70S BEFORE HEATING BACK UP BY MIDWEEK IN ADVANCE
OF THE NEXT UPPER LEVEL LOW. &THE DRY PERIOD LIKELY COMES TO AN
END AS BROAD SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW RETURNS DURING THE END OF THE
WEEK LEADING TO SCATTERED TO POSSIBLY NUMEROUS RAIN CHANCES
UPCOMING.
MUCH LIKE THE LAST FEW NIGHTS, LOCALIZED PATCHY FOG WILL BE
POSSIBLE TONIGHT AND FRIDAY NIGHT AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING
BOUNDARY. SOME AREAS COULD BE DENSE. LASTLY, WITH PERSISTENT
SOUTHERLY SURFACE FLOW AHEAD OF THE FRONT, WE WENT AHEAD AND
ISSUED A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS THROUGH SATURDAY AS THE
COMBINATION OF TIDES AND STEADY 2 TO 3 FOOT SURF HEIGHTS WILL
RESULT IN STRONG RIP CURRENTS. BB-8
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 638 PM CDT THU MAY 1 2025
VFR CONDITIONS GENERALLY PREVAIL THROUGH FRIDAY AT THE COASTAL
TERMINALS. SOME PATCHY FOG OR LOW STRATUS MAY DEVELOP OVER INLAND
LOCATIONS OVERNIGHT WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR MVFR/IFR VISIBILITIES
AND CEILINGS. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MAY RE-DEVELOP
THROUGHOUT THE DAY ON FRIDAY. 07/MB
MARINE
ISSUED AT 352 PM CDT THU MAY 1 2025
A LIGHT TO OCCASIONALLY MODERATE ONSHORE FLOW WILL
PERSIST THROUGH SATURDAY, THEN BECOME MORE LIGHT TO OCCASIONALLY
MODERATE OFFSHORE LATE IN THE WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT WEEK AS A
WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY PASSES ACROSS THE MARINE AREA. SCATTERED TO
NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING FRONT. BB-8
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 67 82 67 79 59 80 55 82 / 20 40 60 90 40 10 0 0
PENSACOLA 70 81 70 78 64 80 60 81 / 20 30 30 90 60 30 10 10
DESTIN 71 80 71 78 66 80 63 80 / 10 20 20 80 70 30 10 10
EVERGREEN 65 84 64 79 58 79 51 80 / 30 60 30 90 50 20 10 10
WAYNESBORO 64 84 64 78 54 77 50 79 / 40 60 60 90 30 10 0 0
CAMDEN 64 83 64 76 55 76 51 79 / 30 70 40 90 40 10 0 0
CRESTVIEW 64 85 64 79 60 82 53 83 / 10 30 20 80 70 30 10 10
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING FOR ALZ265-266.
FL...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING FOR FLZ202-204-
206.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
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