904
FXUS64 KMOB 151136
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
636 AM CDT SAT AUG 15 2026
..NEW UPDATE, AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 635 AM CDT SAT AUG 15 2026
- HOT CONDITIONS CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND INTO NEXT WEEK.
HEAT ADVISORIES REMAIN IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON
AND AGAIN SATURDAY AFTERNOON FOR HIGH HEAT INDICES UP TO 112.
ADDITIONAL HEAT ADVISORIES WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED.
- A LOW RISK OF RIP CURRENTS CONTINUES THROUGH THE WEEKEND, WITH A
MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS RETURNING FOR FLORIDA PANHANDLE
BEACHES ON MONDAY.
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 635 AM CDT SAT AUG 15 2026
NO UPDATES PLANNED AT THIS TIME.
/16
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1201 AM CDT SAT AUG 15 2026
HOT CONDITIONS CONTINUE THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK AS A
STRONG MID AND UPPER LEVEL RIDGE REMAINS CENTERED JUST WEST OF THE
AREA. THE STRONG SUBSIDENCE AND WARM MID LEVEL TEMPS UNDER THIS
RIDGE WILL CONTINUE TO LIMIT THE DEVELOPMENT OF SHOWERS AND STORMS
EACH DAY, ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE WESTERN HALF OF THE AREA WHERE
SUBSIDENCE WILL BE STRONGEST. THE EASTERN HALF OF THE AREA WILL
SEE ISOLATED TO SCATTERED STORMS MAINLY DURING THE AFTERNOON AND
EARLY EVENING HOURS. THE HOT CONDITIONS WILL CREATE VERY STEEP LOW
LEVEL LAPSE RATES THAT ARE FAVORABLE FOR GUSTY WINDS IN ANY
STRONGER STORMS. BRIEF HEAVY RAIN AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING CAN ALSO
BE EXPECTED WITH THE THUNDERSTORMS.
HOT AND VERY MUGGY CONDITIONS WILL BE THE MAIN IMPACT THROUGH THE
NEXT WEEK WITH HIGHS IN THE MID AND UPPER 90S, WITH A FEW AREAS IN
THE 100 TO 102 RANGE ACROSS SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI. THESE TEMPS
COMBINED WITH HIGH HUMIDITY WILL CREATE HEAT INDEX VALUES OF 108 TO
112 IN MOST AREAS EACH AFTERNOON WITH A FEW AREAS BRIEFLY REACHING
AROUND 115. A HEAT ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE ENTIRE AREA ON
SATURDAY AND WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED EACH DAY THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF
NEXT WEEK. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL ALSO REMAIN WARM AND MUGGY. /13
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 635 AM CDT SAT AUG 15 2026
MARINE
ISSUED AT 156 AM CDT SAT AUG 15 2026
A LIGHT TO OCCASIONALLY MODERATE DIURNAL FLOW PATTERN
PERSISTS ACROSS THE MARINE WATERS INTO THE COMING WEEK, WITH
LIGHT TO MODERATE WESTERLY FLOW BECOMING ESTABLISHED BY MID WEEK.
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS CAN BE EXPECTED EACH
MORNING. NO IMPACTS EXPECTED OTHER THAN LOCALLY HIGHER WINDS AND
SEAS POSSIBLE NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
/16
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 97 77 98 77 / 30 10 20 0
PENSACOLA 95 80 96 80 / 30 10 30 0
DESTIN 93 82 94 82 / 30 10 30 0
EVERGREEN 98 76 99 76 / 40 10 10 0
WAYNESBORO 99 76 99 74 / 10 10 0 0
CAMDEN 97 76 99 77 / 20 10 0 0
CRESTVIEW 97 76 98 76 / 50 10 40 0
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...HEAT ADVISORY FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM CDT THIS EVENING
FOR ALZ051>060-261>266.
FL...HEAT ADVISORY FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM CDT THIS EVENING
FOR FLZ201>206.
MS...HEAT ADVISORY FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM CDT THIS EVENING
FOR MSZ067-075-076-078-079.
GM...NONE.
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