842
FXUS64 KMOB 290529
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1229 AM CDT WED JUL 29 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1229 AM CDT WED JUL 29 2026
- EXTREME HEAT WARNING IN EFFECT FOR COASTAL AREAS WITH A HEAT
ADVISORY FOR REMAINDER OF THE AREA TODAY
- HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS IS EXPECTED TO RETURN BY THIS WEEKEND
FOR ALL AREA BEACHES.
- DAILY AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORM CHANCES INCREASE IN THE
MIDDLE TO LATTER PART OF THE WEEK. A FEW STORMS MAY PRODUCE
STRONG WIND GUSTS, HEAVY RAINFALL, AND DANGEROUS CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1141 PM CDT TUE JUL 28 2026
ONE MORE VERY HOT DAY TODAY BEFORE A PATTERN CHANGE BRINGS COOLER
TEMPS AND HIGHER RAIN CHANCES. HIGHS TODAY WILL AGAIN CLIMB INTO
THE UPPER 90S TO AROUND 100. THE COMBINATION OF THE HIGH TEMPS
AND HIGH HUMIDITY WILL SEND HEAT INDEX VALUES INTO THE 110 TO 115
RANGE ALONG THE COAST AND 105 TO 110 LEVEL ACROSS THE REMAINDER
OF THE AREA. AN EXTREME HEAT WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE IMMEDIATE
COAST WITH A HEAT ADVISORY ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA.
THURSDAY THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK, THE UPPER RIDGE WILL WEAKEN
AS AN UPPER TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN STATES DIGS SOUTHWARD. THIS
WILL ERODE THE EASTERN SIDE OF THE RIDGE AS A WEAK FRONTAL
BOUNDARY SINKS SOUTHWARD. THE COOLER MID LEVEL TEMPS ALONG WITH
THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL BRING INCREASED CHANCES OF RAIN FOR THE
LATTER HALF OF THE WEEK. ADDITIONAL IMPULSES MOVING THROUGH THE
UPPER TROUGH, COOLER MID LEVEL TEMPS AND WEAK SFC CONVERGENCE
ALONG A STALLED BOUNDARY OVER THE AREA WILL CONTINUE HIGH RAIN
CHANCES THROUGH THE WEEKEND, WITH SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS
AND STORMS EACH DAY. THE STORMS WILL BE MOIST NUMEROUS DURING
PEAK HEATING. THE ADDITIONAL CLOUDS AND RAIN WILL KNOCK HIGH
TEMPS BACK INTO THE UPPER 80S AND LOW 90S FOR THE END OF THE WEEK
INTO THE WEEKEND. /13
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1229 AM CDT WED JUL 29 2026
VFR CONDITIONS PREVAIL THROUGH THE PERIOD. THE CURRENT WESTERLY
WINDS WILL BE NORTHWESTERLY AROUND 10 KNOTS BY MORNING. THE WINDS
WILL SLOWLY SHIFT BY THE AFTERNOON IN COASTAL COUNTIES TO
GENERALLY SOUTHWESTERLY TO WESTERLY WITH GUSTS OF 15-20 KNOTS
ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS RETURN
TOMORROW AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING. THESE ARE ACCOMPANIED BY
STRONGER WIND GUSTS AND DROPS OF CIGS/VIS TO MVFR AND EVEN LOCALLY
IFR WITHIN THE STRONGEST STORMS. SS/97
MARINE
ISSUED AT 238 PM CDT TUE JUL 28 2026
A DIURNAL WIND PATTERN WILL LIKELY PERSIST THROUGH THE WEEK EVEN
AS A WEAK FRONT DROPS INTO THE AREA WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THIS FRONT
WILL DRIFT OVER THE COAST AND INTO THE COASTAL WATERS THURSDAY AND
FRIDAY BUT AS IT STALLS THE WINDS WILL STILL BE MOSTLY DICTATED
BY DAYTIME HEATING AND SLIGHT COOLING AT NIGHT. WITH THAT LIGHT TO
MODERATE ONSHORE WINDS EACH DAY DRIVEN BY THE SEA BREEZE AND
LIGHT TO MODERATE OFFSHORE WINDS EACH NIGHT DRIVEN BY THE LAND
BREEZE. STORM COVERAGE WILL START TO INCREASE WEDNESDAY BUT LOOK
FOR STORMS TO REALLY RAMP UP BY THURSDAY WITH WIDESPREAD COVERAGE
BY THE WEEKEND. WINDS AND WAVES WILL BE LOCALLY HIGHER NEAR ANY
STORMS ALONG THE INCREASED THREAT FOR DANGEROUS CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP OVER THE GULF WATERS BY
NEXT WEEKEND.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 98 77 94 74 / 20 40 80 50
PENSACOLA 98 79 93 77 / 20 30 70 50
DESTIN 95 81 92 78 / 20 40 60 50
EVERGREEN 97 74 93 71 / 20 40 60 20
WAYNESBORO 99 76 93 72 / 20 50 70 10
CAMDEN 96 74 91 71 / 30 40 30 10
CRESTVIEW 99 76 94 73 / 30 40 70 50
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...HEAT ADVISORY FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING
FOR ALZ051>060-261>264.
EXTREME HEAT WARNING FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 9 PM CDT THIS
EVENING FOR ALZ265-266.
FL...HEAT ADVISORY FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING
FOR FLZ201-203-205.
EXTREME HEAT WARNING FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 9 PM CDT THIS
EVENING FOR FLZ202-204-206.
MS...HEAT ADVISORY FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING
FOR MSZ067-075-076-078-079.
GM...NONE.
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