223
FXUS64 KMOB 011147
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
647 AM CDT WED APR 1 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 643 AM CDT WED APR 1 2026
- A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS WILL PERSIST THROUGH AT LEAST
SATURDAY FOR ALL AREA BEACHES.
- ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS EACH DAY THIS WEEK
WITH A MORE SUBSTANTIAL CHANCE FOR RAIN LATE IN THE WEEKEND.
- INCREASING WINDS AND SEAS MAY BECOME HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT
SUNDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1227 AM CDT WED APR 1 2026
A RATHER SOUPY WEEK IS ON TAP WITH SEVERAL ROUNDS OF RAIN AND
PLENTY OF MOISTURE TO GO AROUND LINGERS THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
RATHER STRONG HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC WILL
GRADUALLY RETROGRADE WESTWARD THROUGH THE WEEK AS SEVERAL
SHORTWAVE TROUGHS MOVE ACROSS THE CENTRAL US. MOISTURE WILL
CONTINUE TO SURGE NORTHWARD AS DEWPOINTS HOVER IN THE 60S INTO THE
WEEKEND. RAIN CHANCES WILL BE BEST THIS AFTERNOON AS THE FIRST OF
SEVERAL SHORTWAVES WILL PASS TO OUR WEST. WE SHOULD BE JUST ENOUGH
ON THE EDGE OF THE RIDGE WITH ENOUGH LIFT TO SUPPORT WIDELY
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY WEST OF I-65 TODAY.
NOTHING TOO SERIOUS BUT ENOUGH FOR SOME SPOTS TO PICKUP A QUICK
SPLASH OF RAIN. UNFORTUNATELY, WITH OUR CURRENT DROUGHT CONDITIONS
THIS RAIN WILL LIKELY ONLY BE ENOUGH TO HELP SPROUT A FEW WEEDS.
BY THURSDAY THE UPPER RIDGE WILL NOSE IN FROM THE EAST ALLOWING
FOR A DRY THURSDAY AND FRIDAY AS SUBSIDENCE FROM THE RIDGE SHOULD
SQUASH MOST SHOWERS. CANNOT RULE OUT A SPRINKLE OR VERY ISOLATED
SHOWER BUT OVERALL THE AREA SHOULD REMAIN DRY. EVENTUALLY BY THE
WEEKEND, THE PARADE OF UPPER TROUGHS WILL BE ABLE TO BREAK DOWN
THE HIGH AND PUSH IT BACK EAST ALLOWING FOR A MORE SIGNIFICANT
RAIN CHANCE TO ARRIVE BY SUNDAY. A RATHER POTENT SHORTWAVE WILL
PROGRESS ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES DRIVING A "COLD" FRONT INTO THE
DEEP SOUTH. GIVEN THE PLENTIFUL MOISTURE IN PLACE, SHOWERS AND
STORMS WILL LIKELY ACCOMPANY THE FRONT AS IT PROGRESSES THROUGH
OUR AREA ON SUNDAY. UNFORTUNATELY, WE ARE IN THE TIME OF THE YEAR
WHERE FRONTS GET HUNG UP AND WEAKEN AS THEY APPROACH THUS RAIN
CHANCES LOOK TO BECOME DRAWN OUT ON SUNDAY. THE GOOD NEWS IS THAT
A GOOD CHUNK OF THE AREA SHOULD SEE SOME HELP IN THE
AFOREMENTIONED DROUGHT CONDITIONS. BY SUNDAY NIGHT, THE FRONT
SHOULD PUSH OFFSHORE GIVING WAY TO A SIGNIFICANTLY DRIER AND
COOLER WEEK NEXT WEEK. HECK WE MIGHT EVEN SEE LOWS IN THE 40S AS
EARLY SPRING MAKES ONE LAST DITCH EFFORT BEFORE SUMMER KICKS IN.
SOME PATCHY FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF MORNING
MAINLY ALONG AND EAST OF I-65 WHERE THE INFLUENCES OF THE UPPER
RIDGE AND MOISTURE OVERLAP THE BEST. WHILE WE DO NOT EXPECT ANY
DENSE FOG AT THIS TIME, THERE ARE ENOUGH SIGNALS TO AT LEAST
SUPPORT SOME PATCHY FOG REDUCING VISIBILITIES TO AROUND 1 MILE OR
LESS IN SOME SPOTS. AS ALWAYS CONTINUE TO USE CAUTION WHEN DRIVING
WITH FOG.
BEACH HAZARDS... A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS WILL LIKELY CONTINUE
THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS A MODERATE ONSHORE FLOW SHOULD PERSIST.
WHILE THE WINDS WILL NOT BE STRONG, THERE SHOULD BE ENOUGH OF A
FETCH AND INCREASINGLY STRONG TIDES FALLING DURING THE AFTERNOONS
TO RESULT IN LIKELY HAZARDOUS SWIMMING CONDITIONS AND RIP
CURRENTS. BE SURE TO CONTINUE TO SWIM NEAR LIFEGUARDS. BB-8
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 647 AM CDT WED APR 1 2026
PREDOMINATELY IFR TO LIFR CONDITIONS IMPROVE TO VFR THROUGH THE
MORNING HOURS. PATCHY FOG DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE TONIGHT,
POTENTIALLY BECOMING LOCALLY DENSE. WINDS BECOME SOUTHEAST TO
SOUTH AROUND 10 KNOTS TODAY, THEN DIMINISH BY/DURING EARLY
EVENING. /29
MARINE
ISSUED AT 251 AM CDT WED APR 1 2026
A LIGHT TO MODERATE SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW IS EXPECTED TO PREVAIL
THROUGH SATURDAY. WINDS SWITCH TO THE NORTHWEST ON SUNDAY AS A COLD
FRONT MOVES THROUGH, WITH A MODERATE TO STRONG OFFSHORE FLOW
FOLLOWING FOR SUNDAY NIGHT. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MAY BECOME
NECESSARY FOR SUNDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY MONDAY AFTERNOON, POSSIBLY
LONGER. /29
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 81 63 82 64 / 50 0 0 0
PENSACOLA 78 65 78 65 / 20 0 0 0
DESTIN 76 64 77 65 / 10 0 0 0
EVERGREEN 84 59 85 59 / 20 10 0 0
WAYNESBORO 82 61 85 62 / 60 10 10 0
CAMDEN 83 60 85 60 / 40 10 10 0
CRESTVIEW 83 59 85 59 / 20 0 0 0
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK THROUGH LATE SATURDAY NIGHT FOR ALZ265-266.
FL...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK THROUGH LATE SATURDAY NIGHT FOR FLZ202-204-
206.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
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