491
FXUS64 KMOB 132350
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
650 PM CDT SAT JUN 13 2026
..NEW UPDATE, AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 650 PM CDT SAT JUN 13 2026
- HOT AND HUMID CONDITIONS CONTINUE ON SUNDAY WITH AFTERNOON HEAT
INDEX VALUES BETWEEN 100 AND 106 DEGREES.
- A MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY
NEXT WEEK FOR COASTAL ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA BEACHES,
BECOMING A HIGH RISK BY WEDNESDAY.
- COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS INCREASES SIGNIFICANTLY
FOR EARLY TO MID NEXT WEEK BRINGING THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY
RAINFALL AND LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING.
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 650 PM CDT SAT JUN 13 2026
VERY ISOLATED SHOWERS EARLY THIS EVENING WILL DISSIPATE THROUGH
SUNSET WITH NO RAIN EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE REMAINDER
OF THE NIGHT. NO UPDATES TO THE FORECAST ARE NEEDED AS TEMPS IN
THE MIDDLE 80S DROP TO THE MIDDLE 70S INLAND BY DAYBREAK SUNDAY,
WITH UPPER 70S CLOSER TO THE COAST. /22
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 225 PM CDT SAT JUN 13 2026
HOT AND HUMID CONDITIONS CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY ACROSS THE AREA.
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL END THIS EVENING. MUCH OF
THE AREA WILL REMAIN DRY ON SUNDAY WITH ONLY A FEW ISOLATED
SHOWERS POSSIBLE ACROSS EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE AREA. THIS WILL
LEAD TO WARMER TEMPS WITH HIGHS IN THE LOW TO MID 90S IN MOST
AREAS AWAY FROM THE BEACH. HEAT INDEX VALUES WILL CLIMB INTO THE
100 TO 106 RANGE.
A WETTER PATTERN RETURNS MONDAY INTO TUESDAY AS A BROAD TROUGH
MOVES ACROSS THE EAST AND A WEAK FRONT SLOWLY MOVES INTO THE
SOUTHEAST. DEEP LAYER MOISTURE WILL INCREASE ON MONDAY WITH
PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES APPROACHING 2.2 INCHES. THIS DEEP
TROPICAL MOISTURE COMBINED WITH A SLOW MOVING BOUNDARY WILL SET
THE STAGE NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MONDAY THROUGH
TUESDAY. THE HEAVIEST RAIN WILL DEPEND ON WHERE THE BOUNDARY
STALLS AS TRAINING CELLS MOVE ALONG THE BOUNDARY. WPC HAS PLACED
THE NORTHWESTERN PORTION OF THE FORECAST AREA UNDER A SLIGHT RISK
OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL ON MONDAY, WITH NEARLY THE ENTIRE AREA
INCLUDED IN A SLIGHT RISK FOR TUESDAY. THE STALLED BOUNDARY BEGINS
TO MOVE BACK NORTHWARD AND WASH OUT WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY WITH
THE HIGHEST RAIN CHANCES ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS WHERE A HEAVY RAIN
RISK MAY CONTINUE. TEMPERATURES WILL BE HELD DOWN BY THE RAIN AND
INCREASED CLOUD COVER WITH MANY AREAS IN THE 70S AND LOW 80S ON
TUESDAY.
A MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS WILL CONTINUE AT ALL AREA BEACHES
THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. ONSHORE FLOW IS EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN BY
THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK, RESULTING IN A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS
BY WEDNESDAY. /13
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 650 PM CDT SAT JUN 13 2026
VERY ISOLATED SHOWERS EARLY THIS EVENING WILL DISSIPATE THROUGH
SUNSET. NO RAIN IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA UNTIL VERY ISOLATED
SHOWERS AND STORMS AGAIN REFORM MID-AFTERNOON SUNDAY CLOSE TO THE
COAST ALONG A SEABREEZE. VFR CONDITIONS WILL OTHERWISE PREVAIL
ALONG WITH LIGHT WESTERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS. /22
MARINE
ISSUED AT 225 PM CDT SAT JUN 13 2026
NO IMPACTS EXPECTED OTHER THAN LOCALLY HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS
POSSIBLE NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. /13
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 74 95 76 89 / 10 10 20 70
PENSACOLA 79 94 79 92 / 10 10 10 50
DESTIN 79 91 79 89 / 10 10 10 40
EVERGREEN 75 94 74 87 / 10 10 30 80
WAYNESBORO 74 94 73 83 / 10 0 50 90
CAMDEN 75 92 72 82 / 10 10 50 90
CRESTVIEW 74 95 76 91 / 10 20 10 80
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...NONE.
FL...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
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