675
FXUS64 KMOB 141920
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
220 PM CDT THU MAY 14 2026
..NEW MARINE
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 219 PM CDT THU MAY 14 2026
- DRY WEATHER EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND, WITH RAIN RETURNING
IN THE COMING WEEK.
- WELL BELOW NORMAL OVERNIGHT LOWS EXPECTED TONIGHT. HIGHS AND
LOWS TREND WARMER AND WELL ABOVE NORMAL BY EARLY NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1116 AM CDT THU MAY 14 2026
AN EASTERN STATES UPPER TROF MOVES OFF INTO THE WESTERN ATLANTIC
THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT. A SURFACE RIDGE SHIFTS ACROSS THE FORECAST
REGION AND BECOMES ORIENTED OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN STATES ON
SATURDAY, WITH A LIGHT ONSHORE SURFACE FLOW MEANWHILE BECOMING
ESTABLISHED OVER THE FORECAST AREA. AN UPPER RIDGE BUILDS OVER
THE EASTERN HALF OF THE CONUS BY SUNDAY AS AN UPPER TROF ADVANCES
INTO THE WESTERN STATES. AS THE UPPER TROF SLOWLY ADVANCES INTO
THE CENTRAL STATES AND THE UPPER RIDGE MOVES INTO THE WESTERN
ATLANTIC, AN ASSOCIATED SURFACE LOW IS ANTICIPATED TO LIFT WELL
OFF TO THE NORTH AND EVENTUALLY BRING A WEAK COLD FRONT INTO
CENTRAL ALABAMA/MISSISSIPPI BETWEEN WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE FORECAST AREA THROUGH
SUNDAY, THEN POPS TREND TO SLIGHT CHANCE TO CHANCE POPS FOR MUCH
OF THE AREA BY TUESDAY, WITH SIMILAR RAIN CHANCES FOR WEDNESDAY
AND THURSDAY AS THE WEAK BOUNDARY APPROACHES AND LIKELY STALLS. A
LOW RISK OF RIP CURRENTS IS ANTICIPATED THROUGH SUNDAY, WITH A
MODERATE RISK FOR TUESDAY. HIGHS WILL BE IN THE LOWER TO MID 80S
THROUGH SATURDAY THEN TREND TO THE MID TO UPPER 80S FOR MONDAY
THROUGH THURSDAY. LOWS TONIGHT RANGE FROM THE LOWER 50S WELL
INLAND TO AROUND 60 AT THE COAST THEN TREND STEADILY WARMER
THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT TO RANGE FROM THE MID 60S WELL INLAND TO THE
LOWER 70S AT THE COAST, WITH SIMILAR VALUES CONTINUING INTO
THURSDAY NIGHT. /29
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1203 PM CDT THU MAY 14 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. WINDS STAY
NORTHERLY AND LIGHT AROUND 5-10 KNOTS WITH PERIODIC GUSTS AROUND
15-20 KNOTS. WINDS WILL SLOWLY SHIFT THROUGH THE NIGHT TO EASTERLY
BY MORNING. /SS
MARINE
ISSUED AT 219 PM CDT THU MAY 14 2026
LIGHT TO OCCASIONALLY MODERATE OFFSHORE WINDS SWITCH TO ONSHORE BY
FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. /29
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 57 82 60 82 / 0 0 0 0
PENSACOLA 61 81 64 82 / 0 0 0 0
DESTIN 62 80 64 81 / 0 0 0 0
EVERGREEN 50 84 53 86 / 0 0 0 0
WAYNESBORO 53 85 58 84 / 0 0 0 0
CAMDEN 50 83 56 84 / 0 0 0 0
CRESTVIEW 52 86 54 88 / 0 0 0 0
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...NONE.
FL...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
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