184
FXUS64 KMOB 162326
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
626 PM CDT THU APR 16 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 625 PM CDT THU APR 16 2026
- MODERATE TO EXTREME DROUGHT, WITH LITTLE TO NO RAIN OVER THE
NEXT 7 DAYS, WILL EXACERBATE WILDFIRE ACTIVITY.
- PATCHY TO AREAS OF FOG DEVELOPMENT, SOME OF WHICH COULD BE
DENSE, IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT FEW NIGHTS. SUPER FOG
DEVELOPMENT, WHICH COULD REDUCE VISIBILITIES TO NEAR ZERO, IS
POSSIBLE NEAR AND AROUND PRESCRIBED BURNS/WILDFIRES.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 230 PM CDT THU APR 16 2026
DEEP LAYER RIDGING OVER THE SOUTHEAST STATES WILL WEAKEN AND
SHIFT SOUTHEAST THIS WEEKEND AS AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH DIGS ACROSS
THE PLAINS STATES. AHEAD OF THE TROUGH, A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE
THROUGH THE AREA LATE SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING. AHEAD
OF THE FRONT, CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR PATCHY DENSE
FOG DEVELOPMENT THE NEXT FEW NIGHTS. A WEAKENING LINE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL ENTER THE AREA SATURDAY NIGHT AS THE FRONT
MOVES INTO THE AREA. THE HIGHEST RAIN CHANCES WILL BE ACROSS
NORTHWEST PORTIONS OF THE AREA WITH LOWER CHANCES ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN HALF OF THE AREA. A FEW SHOWERS MAY LINGER SUNDAY
MORNING, BUT WILL QUICKLY MOVE EAST AS A COOLER AND DRIER AIRMASS
MOVES INTO THE REGION. DRY CONDITIONS RETURN FOR THE REMINDER OF
THE PERIOD.
HIGH TEMPS WILL BE IN THE MID AND UPPER 80S FRIDAY AND SATURDAY
BEFORE DROPPING BACK INTO THE LOW TO MID 70S FOR SUNDAY. HIGHS
WILL THEN BE IN THE UPPER 70S AND LOW 80S THROUGH MIDWEEK. MUCH
COOLER OVERNIGHT LOWS CAN BE EXPECTED BEHIND THE FRONT SATURDAY
AND SUNDAY NIGHTS WITH LOWS IN THE MID AND UPPER 40S INLAND TO
LOW 50S NEAR THE COAST. LOWS WILL SLOWLY MODERATE THROUGH MIDWEEK.
/13
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 625 PM CDT THU APR 16 2026
VFR FLIGHT CATEGORY PREVAILS ACROSS THE AREA THIS EVENING. SOME
SPOTS MAY DEAL WITH PATCHY TO AREAS OF FOG OVERNIGHT REDUCING
CEILING AND VISIBILITY TO OR BELOW IFR FLIGHT CATEGORY. AFTER
DAYBREAK, VFR FLIGHT CATEGORY RETURNS FAIRLY QUICKLY AS FOG ERODES
ACROSS THE AREA. WINDS WILL GENERALLY REMAIN OUT OF THE SOUTH
AROUND 5 TO 10 KNOTS DURING THE DAY, RELAXING BELOW 5 KNOTS
OVERNIGHT. MM/25
MARINE
ISSUED AT 230 PM CDT THU APR 16 2026
A LIGHT ONSHORE CONTINUES THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING THEN SHIFTS
WESTERLY BY LATE SATURDAY NIGHT AS A STRONG COLD FRONT APPROACHES
FROM THE NORTHWEST. MODERATE TO STRONG OFFSHORE FLOW FOLLOWS ON
SUNDAY INTO MONDAY IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT. /13
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 63 85 62 83 / 0 0 0 0
PENSACOLA 65 80 65 80 / 0 0 0 0
DESTIN 65 78 66 78 / 0 0 0 0
EVERGREEN 58 89 57 86 / 0 0 0 0
WAYNESBORO 62 88 60 85 / 0 0 0 0
CAMDEN 61 88 60 84 / 0 0 0 0
CRESTVIEW 58 88 57 85 / 0 0 0 0
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...NONE.
FL...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
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