566
FXUS64 KMOB 270533
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1133 PM CST THU FEB 26 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1047 PM CST THU FEB 26 2026
- A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS IS IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY FOR
STRONG RIP CURRENTS CREATING DANGEROUS SWIMMING CONDITIONS.
- ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES HAVE RETURNED FOR THE FORESEEABLE
FUTURE. BEST RAIN CHANCES ARE EXPECTED LATE THURSDAY NIGHT INTO
FRIDAY.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1047 PM CST THU FEB 26 2026
RAIN AND STORM CHANCES CONTINUE TO INCREASE THROUGH THE REST OF
TONIGHT INTO EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. ISOLATED COVERAGE OVER INTERIOR
SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI WILL GRADUALLY SPREAD INTO INTERIOR
SOUTHWEST ALABAMA OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS
COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS CAN BE EXPECTED DURING THE
OVERNIGHT NEAR AND NORTH OF HIGHWAY 84, SPREADING CLOSER TO THE
COAST AS WE GET TOWARDS DAYBREAK. WHILE STORMS SHOULD REMAIN TAME
THROUGHOUT THE NIGHT OWING TO WEAK MUCAPE AND MODEST FORCING.
THERE MAY BE A STRONGER STORM OR TWO NEARER THE COAST NEAR OR
AFTER DAYBREAK INTO THE MORNING HOURS AS INSTABILITY INCREASES AND
THE MAIN TROUGH BEGINS TO SWING THROUGH, WITH THE MAIN HAZARD
BEING GUSTY WINDS. AHEAD OF THE FRONT DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS,
SOME PATCHY FOG MAY DEVELOP IN SPOTS TEMPORARILY REDUCING
VISIBILITY TO AROUND A MILE AT TIMES.
OVERALL WE WILL SEE A TRANSITION INTO A LESS EXCITING PATTERN AS
UPPER TROUGHING GIVES WAY TO MORE ZONAL FLOW LATE WEEKEND WHILE
UPPER RIDGING BEGINS TO BECOME DOMINANT ACROSS THE SOUTHERN U.S.
EARLY NEXT WEEK. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR US TO NOT ONLY REMAIN DRY,
BUT ALSO TO REMAIN QUITE WARM THROUGH NEXT WEEK. TEMPERATURES WILL
TAKE A BRIEF DIP FOR LOWS FRIDAY NIGHT INTO THE MIDDLE 40'S AND
LOWER 50'S, BUT THE REST OF THE FORECAST GENERALLY KEEPS ALL AREAS
IN THE 50'S FOR LOWS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 70'S BECOME
UPPER 70'S TO LOWER 80'S THIS WEEKEND INTO NEXT WEEK. A HIGH RISK
OF RIP CURRENTS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON, TAPERING
TO A MODERATE RISK FRIDAY EVENING AND A LOW RISK FOR THIS WEEKEND.
A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS MAY RETURN ONCE AGAIN AS WE HEAD INTO
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY OF NEXT WEEK. MM/25
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1047 PM CST THU FEB 26 2026
VFR TO MVFR FLIGHT CATEGORY PREVAILS ACROSS THE AREA FOR THE TIME
BEING, WITH A COUPLE PATCHES OF FOG REDUCING FLIGHT CATEGORY TO
IFR AT TIMES NEARER THE COAST. SHOWERS SHOULD CONTINUE TO
GRADUALLY INCREASE IN COVERAGE THROUGH THE NIGHT, PARTICULARLY
LATE IN THE OVERNIGHT INTO THE MID MORNING HOURS AS THE FRONT
MOVES THROUGH. TEMPORARY REDUCTIONS IN CEILING AND VISIBILITY CAN
BE EXPECTED UNDERNEATH THE HEAVIEST SHOWERS AND ISOLATED STORMS.
WINDS WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT FROM
SOUTHWESTERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY, BECOMING NORTHERLY BY MID TO LATE
MORNING. WINDS WILL REMAIN AROUND 5 TO 10 KNOTS FOR THE MOST
PART OUTSIDE OF STORMS. MM/25
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1047 PM CST THU FEB 26 2026
A LIGHT TO MODERATE ONSHORE FLOW BECOMES A LIGHT OFFSHORE FLOW
THIS MORNING INTO AFTERNOON AS A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH. SOME
PATCHY FOG MAY REDUCE VISIBILITY AT TIMES ACROSS BAYS AND SOUNDS
PRIOR TO THE FRONT MOVING THROUGH. A LIGHT EASTERLY TO
SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW DEVELOPS ON SATURDAY AND CONTINUES INTO SUNDAY,
BECOMING LIGHT TO MODERATE EASTERLY FLOW MONDAY THROUGH
WEDNESDAY. MM/25
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 76 61 73 54 / 20 70 70 10
PENSACOLA 74 62 71 56 / 10 60 70 20
DESTIN 71 61 69 56 / 20 60 70 30
EVERGREEN 76 57 73 51 / 30 90 70 10
WAYNESBORO 74 57 73 49 / 60 90 30 0
CAMDEN 74 56 71 51 / 60 90 40 10
CRESTVIEW 76 59 73 52 / 20 70 80 20
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON FOR ALZ265-266.
FL...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON FOR FLZ202-204-
206.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
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