447
FXUS64 KMOB 172324
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
624 PM CDT FRI APR 17 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 621 PM CDT FRI APR 17 2026
- MODERATE TO EXTREME DROUGHT WILL EXACERBATE WILDFIRE ACTIVITY.
- PATCHY TO AREAS OF FOG, SOME OF WHICH COULD BE DENSE, IS
POSSIBLE AGAIN TONIGHT.
- STRONG MARINE WINDS MAY CREATE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL
CRAFT MAINLY FROM SUNDAY INTO EARLY MONDAY AFTERNOON.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 150 PM CDT FRI APR 17 2026
DEEP LAYER RIDGING OVER THE SOUTHEAST STATES WILL CONTINUE TO
WEAKEN AND SHIFT SOUTHEAST THIS WEEKEND AS AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH
DIGS ACROSS THE PLAINS STATES. AHEAD OF THE TROUGH, A COLD FRONT
WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA LATE SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY
MORNING. AHEAD OF THE FRONT, CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR
PATCHY DENSE FOG DEVELOPMENT AGAIN TONIGHT. A WEAKENING LINE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL ENTER THE AREA SATURDAY NIGHT AS
THE FRONT MOVES INTO THE AREA. THE HIGHEST RAIN CHANCES WILL BE
ACROSS NORTHWEST PORTIONS OF THE AREA WITH LOWER CHANCES ACROSS
THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE AREA. A FEW SHOWERS MAY LINGER SUNDAY
MORNING, BUT WILL QUICKLY MOVE EAST AS A COOLER AND DRIER AIRMASS
MOVES INTO THE REGION. DRY CONDITIONS RETURN FOR THE REMINDER OF
THE PERIOD.
HIGH TEMPS WILL BE IN THE MID AND UPPER 80S ON SATURDAY BEFORE
DROPPING BACK INTO THE LOW TO MID 70S FOR SUNDAY. HIGHS WILL THEN
BE IN THE UPPER 70S AND LOW 80S THROUGH MIDWEEK. MUCH COOLER
OVERNIGHT LOWS CAN BE EXPECTED BEHIND THE FRONT SATURDAY AND
SUNDAY NIGHTS WITH LOWS IN THE MID AND UPPER 40S INLAND TO LOW 50S
NEAR THE COAST. LOWS WILL SLOWLY MODERATE THROUGH MIDWEEK. /13
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 621 PM CDT FRI APR 17 2026
VFR FLIGHT CATEGORY IS EXPECTED TO PREVAIL FOR MOST LOCATIONS THIS
EVENING, WITH SOME PATCHES OF MVFR TO IFR CEILINGS AND VISIBILITY
TRYING TO SETTLE IN LATE INTO THE OVERNIGHT AND DAYBREAK HOURS
SATURDAY IN ASSOCIATION WITH PATCHY FOG. THE FOG MAY BECOME
LOCALLY DENSE REDUCING FLIGHT CATEGORY BELOW IFR AT TIMES. ANY
LINGERING FOG QUICKLY LIFTS AFTER DAYBREAK, WITH VFR FLIGHT
CATEGORY RETURNING TO THE AREA. WINDS WILL GENERALLY REMAIN OUT OF
THE SOUTH THIS EVENING, CALMING AFTER SUNSET BELOW 5 KNOTS. WINDS
RETURN TO 5 TO 10 KNOTS, GUSTING TO 15 TO 20 KNOTS AT TIMES DURING
THE AFTERNOON SATURDAY. MM/25
MARINE
ISSUED AT 150 PM CDT FRI APR 17 2026
LIGHT ONSHORE CONTINUES THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING THEN SHIFTS
WESTERLY BY LATE SATURDAY NIGHT AS A STRONG COLD FRONT APPROACHES
FROM THE NORTHWEST. MODERATE TO STRONG OFFSHORE WILL OCCUR SUNDAY
INTO MONDAY IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT, FOLLOWED BY A LIGHT TO
MODERATE EASTERLY TO SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW INTO MIDWEEK.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 62 83 55 71 / 0 0 40 30
PENSACOLA 66 80 60 73 / 0 0 20 30
DESTIN 66 78 63 74 / 0 0 10 30
EVERGREEN 57 86 53 71 / 0 0 30 30
WAYNESBORO 60 85 50 70 / 0 10 60 30
CAMDEN 60 85 51 69 / 0 0 50 30
CRESTVIEW 57 85 57 74 / 0 0 10 30
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...NONE.
FL...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
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