385
FXUS64 KMOB 171926
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
226 PM CDT TUE MAR 17 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION, MARINE
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 211 PM CDT TUE MAR 17 2026
- SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE ONCE AGAIN EXPECTED ACROSS THE
REGION LATE TONIGHT AND INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING, WITH THE
EXCEPTION OF THE IMMEDIATE COAST.
- TEMPERATURES WILL QUICKLY WARMUP THROUGH THE WEEK AND INTO THE
UPCOMING WEEKEND.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 211 PM CDT TUE MAR 17 2026
NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MUCH OF THE PERIOD
AS OUR LOCAL AREA REMAINS SANDWICHED BETWEEN UPPER-LEVEL
TROUGHING OVER THE EASTERN US AND STRONG UPPER RIDGING OVER THE
WESTERN US. AT THE SURFACE, HIGH PRESSURE CURRENTLY CENTERED OVER
THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY WILL SHIFT EASTWARD TONIGHT AND
INTO TOMORROW, EVENTUALLY SETTLING OVER THE NORTHERN GULF. WITH
THE HIGH IN PLACE, ALONG WITH THE DRY NORTHWESTERLY FLOW PATTERN
ALOFT, NO RAIN IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK AND
INTO THE WEEKEND.
TEMPERATURES OVER THE NEXT 36 HOURS WILL REMAIN WELL BELOW AVERAGE
FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. IN FACT, KMOB COULD GET VERY CLOSE, OR MAY
EVEN BREAK, THE DAILY RECORD LOW TOMORROW MORNING (MARCH 18TH RECORD
LOW: 32). NBM PROBABILITIES GIVE A ROUGHLY 30-40% CHANCE OF MEETING
OR BREAKING THIS RECORD LOW. HOWEVER, CONSIDERING THAT GUIDANCE
TENDS TO HAVE A WARM BIAS IN THESE EXTREMELY EFFICIENT RADIATIONAL
COOLING SETUPS (LIKE TONIGHT), I WOULD ARGUE THAT WE PROBABLY HAVE A
HIGHER CHANCE THAN WHAT THE NBM IS SUGGESTING. OTHERWISE, WE ARE
ONCE AGAIN ANTICIPATING A WIDESPREAD FREEZE ACROSS ALL AREAS EXCEPT
FOR THE IMMEDIATE COASTLINE, WITH TEMPERATURES PLUMMETING INTO THE
UPPER 20S TO LOW 30S INLAND AND THE MID 30S ALONG THE COAST. BEING
THAT WE ARE WELL INTO OUR GROWING SEASON NOW THANKS TO THE RECENT
STRETCH OF WARM WEATHER, WENT AHEAD AND ISSUED ANOTHER FREEZE
WARNING FOR ALL ZONES NORTH OF THE IMMEDIATE COAST. EXPECT AREAS TO
REMAIN BELOW FREEZING FOR ROUGHLY 5-8 HOURS TONIGHT. THIS COLD SNAP
IS VERY SHORT-LIVED, AS TEMPERATURES WILL QUICKLY WARM THROUGH THE
PERIOD. HIGHS BY THE WEEKEND WILL REACH THE LOW TO MID 80S (UPPER
70S ALONG THE COAST) AND LOWS WILL ONLY DROP INTO THE UPPER 50S TO
LOW 60S. A LOW RISK OF RIP CURRENTS CONTINUES THROUGH THE WEEK AND
INTO THE UPCOMING WEEKEND. /96
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1208 PM CDT TUE MAR 17 2026
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE FORECAST. NORTHERLY WINDS
AROUND 10 KNOTS THIS AFTERNOON WILL BECOME A CALM TO LIGHT
NORTHERLY TONIGHT, THEN SHIFT TO EASTERLY 5 TO 10 KNOTS WEDNESDAY
MORNING.
/16
MARINE
ISSUED AT 211 PM CDT TUE MAR 17 2026
LIGHT TO MODERATE OFFSHORE FLOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
WINDS WILL BECOME LIGHT AND RATHER VARIABLE WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO
THURSDAY. A LIGHT TO MODERATE WESTERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW BECOMES
PREVALENT ON FRIDAY, LINGERING INTO THE UPCOMING WEEKEND. /96
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 31 61 40 72 / 0 0 0 0
PENSACOLA 36 59 43 68 / 0 0 0 0
DESTIN 40 60 45 67 / 0 0 0 0
EVERGREEN 30 63 33 74 / 0 0 0 0
WAYNESBORO 31 62 37 72 / 0 0 0 0
CAMDEN 30 60 35 71 / 0 0 0 0
CRESTVIEW 28 62 34 72 / 0 0 0 0
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...FREEZE WARNING FROM 1 AM TO 8 AM CDT WEDNESDAY FOR ALZ051>060-
261>264.
FL...FREEZE WARNING FROM 1 AM TO 8 AM CDT WEDNESDAY FOR FLZ201-203-
205.
MS...FREEZE WARNING FROM 1 AM TO 8 AM CDT WEDNESDAY FOR MSZ067-075-
076-078-079.
GM...NONE.
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