727
FXUS64 KMOB 130540
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1240 AM CDT WED MAY 13 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1239 AM CDT WED MAY 13 2026
- DRY WEATHER AND NEAR SEASONAL TEMPERATURES MUCH OF MID TO LATE
WEEK TREND WELL ABOVE NORMAL BY EARLY NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1133 PM CDT TUE MAY 12 2026
THROUGH FRIDAY, A MEAN UPPER TROUGH THAT HAS SET UP OVER THE
EASTERN SEABOARD WILL BRING DRY NORTHWESTERLY UPPER FLOW TO THE
FORECAST AREA INTO THE WEEKEND. A REINFORCING FRONT WILL MOVE
ACROSS THE AREA THURSDAY MORNING, BRINGING A DRIER AND A BIT
COOLER AIRMASS TO THE FORECAST AREA. WITH THE DRIER AIR MOVING
OVER THE AREA, HAVE DROPPED DEWPOINTS ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA
FOR THURSDAY. THE NORTHERLY LOW LEVEL FLOW OVER THE SOUTHEAST
THROUGH FRIDAY WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES AT OR BELOW SEASONAL
NORMS, WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOW 80S.
LOW TEMPERATURES SEE A DROP, WITH THE DRIER AND A BIT COOLER
AIRMASS ALLOWING FOR BETTER OVERNIGHT COOLER AND LOW
TEMPERATURES DROPPING INTO THE UPPER 50S TO LOW 60S OVER MOST
OF THE FORECAST AREA WEDNESDAY NIGHT DROPPING INTO THE LOW 50S
WELL INLAND, MID TO UPPER 50S CLOSER TO THE COAST.
SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY, SHORTWAVE ENERGY DIGGING SOUTH OVER THE
WESTERN CONUS SHIFTS AND UPPER RIDGE OVER THE PLAINS WESTWARD TO
OVER THE EASTERN CONUS, WITH TEMPERATURES RISING BACK INTO THE UPPER
80S TO AROUND 90 IN THE COMING WEEK.
TAKING A LOOK AT THE RIP CURRENT RISK ON AREA BEACHES, GENERAL
NORTHERLY FLOW WILL KEEP ANY SWELL ON AREA BEACHES LOW, WITH A LOW
RISK OF RIP CURRENTS EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
/16
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1239 AM CDT WED MAY 13 2026
LOW-END MVFR CEILINGS ARE CURRENTLY SPREAD ACROSS COASTAL ALABAMA
AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AT ISSUANCE TIME. EXPECT THESE
LOW CEILINGS TO CONTINUE EXPANDING ACROSS THE REST OF THE AREA
THROUGHOUT THE REMAINDER OF THE OVERNIGHT HOURS, POTENTIALLY
DROPPING TO IFR IN SPOTS BY AROUND 09-10Z. VFR CONDITIONS SHOULD
RETURN BY THE LATE MORNING HOURS AND WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE
REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD. NORTHEASTERLY WINDS OF AROUND 5-10 KNOTS
SHOULD TURN MORE NORTHERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY BY THE AFTERNOON
HOURS. /96
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1134 PM CDT MON MAY 11 2026
DUE TO A LIGHT TO OCCASIONALLY MODERATE NORTH TO NORTHEAST FLOW
THROUGH TONIGHT, THE FETCH SUPPORTS SEAS RANGING 2 TO 4 FEET
THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. FOLLOWING, WINDS DECREASE AND SEAS
SUBSIDE THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD. /10
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 85 63 85 59 / 0 0 0 0
PENSACOLA 82 66 84 62 / 0 0 0 0
DESTIN 82 67 84 62 / 0 0 0 0
EVERGREEN 84 59 82 50 / 0 0 0 0
WAYNESBORO 84 59 82 55 / 0 0 0 0
CAMDEN 81 58 79 52 / 0 0 0 0
CRESTVIEW 84 59 85 52 / 0 0 0 0
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...NONE.
FL...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
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