748
FXUS64 KMOB 251125
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
525 AM CST WED FEB 25 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 516 AM CST WED FEB 25 2026
- A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS WILL RETURN ALONG THE
BEACHES THURSDAY AND FRIDAY AND CREATE DANGEROUS SWIMMING
CONDITIONS.
- ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES HAVE RETURNED THROUGH TUESDAY, WITH
THE NEXT BEST CHANCES FOR RAIN OCCURRING LATE THURSDAY
AFTERNOON INTO FRIDAY.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1204 AM CST WED FEB 25 2026
DRY WEATHER CONDITIONS TODAY GIVE WAY TO SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS
SHOWERS AND STORMS THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY AS A WEAK COLD FRONT PUSHES
ACROSS THE AREA. THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING MOSTLY BENEFICIAL RAIN TO
THE AREA WITH NO EXPECTATION FOR ANY STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS AT THIS
TIME. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL THROUGHOUT THE ENTIRE
FORECAST WITH HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 70'S THIS WEEK ULTIMATELY
GIVING WAY TO UPPER 70'S AND LOWER 80'S THIS WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT
WEEK. OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE UPPER 50'S AND LOWER 60'S THE NEXT
COUPLE NIGHTS WILL SEE A BRIEF DIP FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY NIGHT
IN THE WAKE OF THE COLD FRONT INTO THE UPPER 40'S AND LOWER 50'S.
THEY SLOWLY REBOUND AS WE HEAD INTO NEXT WEEK.
WHILE THE RIP CURRENT FORECAST CONTINUES TO ADVERTISE A MODERATE
RISK, IT IS POSSIBLE THE RISK INCREASES IF ONSHORE WINDS ARE
SLIGHTLY STRONGER THAN CURRENTLY EXPECTED TODAY. AT A MINIMUM, THE
RISK INCREASES AS WE HEAD INTO TONIGHT AND THURSDAY, BECOMING A HIGH
RISK THROUGH FRIDAY. GIVEN THIS, A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS HAS
BEEN ISSUED WITH THIS FORECAST PACKAGE. THE RIP CURRENT RISK
GRADUALLY DECREASES IN THE WAKE OF THE COLD FRONT BACK TO A MODERATE
RISK BY FRIDAY NIGHT AND A LOW RISK FOR SATURDAY. MM/25
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 516 AM CST WED FEB 25 2026
VFR CONDITIONS PREVAIL. SOUTH-SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS INCREASE
THROUGHOUT THE MORNING WITH GUSTS OF 20-25 KNOTS EXPECTED THIS
AFTERNOON AT THE TERMINALS. 07/MOB
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1204 AM CST WED FEB 25 2026
MODERATE ONSHORE FLOW CONTINUES THROUGH THURSDAY. SMALL CRAFT SHOULD
EXERCISE CAUTION THROUGH THURSDAY OVER THE OPEN GULF WATERS. LIGHT
OFFSHORE FLOW PREVAILS IN THE WAKE OF A COLD FRONT FRIDAY INTO
SATURDAY. LIGHT TO OCCASIONALLY MODERATE EASTERLY TO SOUTHEASTERLY
FLOW PREVAILS SUNDAY INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. MM/25
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 73 60 76 59 / 0 10 20 70
PENSACOLA 71 62 74 62 / 0 10 30 70
DESTIN 69 61 72 61 / 10 20 50 70
EVERGREEN 73 55 77 56 / 0 10 40 90
WAYNESBORO 72 57 75 56 / 0 10 60 90
CAMDEN 72 57 74 55 / 0 10 60 90
CRESTVIEW 73 56 78 59 / 0 20 40 80
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY
AFTERNOON FOR ALZ265-266.
FL...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY
AFTERNOON FOR FLZ202-204-206.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
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