799
FXUS64 KMOB 080922
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
422 AM CDT WED JUL 8 2026
..NEW MARINE
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 422 AM CDT WED JUL 8 2026
- HEAT INDICES REMAIN IN THE 100 TO 107 RANGE EACH AFTERNOON
THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK.
- ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS CONTINUE EACH
AFTERNOON. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL, GUSTY WINDS, AND FREQUENT
LIGHTNING CAN BE EXPECTED WITH ANY STORMS.
- A MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS WILL RETURN FOR ALL AREA
BEACHES FRIDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1249 AM CDT WED JUL 8 2026
THE UPPER TROUGH EXTENDING FROM THE LOWER GREAT LAKES TO EAST
TEXAS HAS AN EMBEDDED CUTOFF LOW CENTERED OVER THE CONFLUENCE OF
OHIO AND MISSISSIPPI RIVERS VISIBLE ON WATER VAPOR IMAGERY. THIS
TROUGH WILL LIFT NORTHEASTWARD AND DIMINISH THROUGH THURSDAY
MORNING AS IT GETS CAUGHT UP IN INCREASINGLY WESTERLIES. AN UPPER
RIDGE OVER FLORIDA, A SMALL PORTION OF THE SOUTHEAST STATES, AND
THE EASTERN GULF WILL PERSIST INTO THE WEEKEND AS A SERIES OF WEAK
SHORTWAVES PASS OVER THE OHIO RIVER REGION. THE UPPER RIDGE WILL
GET NUDGED WESTWARD OVER THE WEEKEND AS A STRONGER SHORTWAVE DIVES
SOUTHEASTWARD FROM THE OHIO RIVER TO THE EASTERN SEABOARD WITH A
LARGE UPPER HIGH BUILDING OVER THE CENTRAL U.S. PUTTING OUR REGION
UNDER NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT. A WEAK SURFACE LOW IS EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP OFFSHORE ON MONDAY UNDER THE TROUGH AND SEND A BACKDOOR
SURFACE COOL FRONT INTO THE REGION LATE MONDAY NIGHT.
THE DIURNAL PATTERN CONTINUES THROUGH THE NEAR TERM WITH ISOLATED
TO LOW-END SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING EACH DAY
AS A SEABREEZE PUSHES INLAND AND DISSIPATES THROUGH MID- EVENING.
RAIN CHANCES WILL INCREASE TO 30-50% ON SATURDAY, FOLLOWED BY
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS COVERAGE ON SUNDAY AND NUMEROUS TO
WIDESPREAD COVERAGE ON MONDAY. AS WITH ALL SUMMERTIME CONVECTION,
INSTANCES OF STRONGER STORMS WITH FREQUENT LIGHTNING, GUSTY
SURFACE WINDS AND LOCALLY HEAVY DOWNPOURS CAN BE EXPECTED.
HIGH TEMPERATURES THE REST OF THE WEEK WILL AVERAGE JUST ABOVE
NORMAL, WITH LOWS ABOUT 4 TO 9 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. WITH SURFACE
DEWPOINTS MOSTLY RANGING FROM 72 TO 77 DEGREES, MAXIMUM APPARENT
TEMPERATURES (HEAT INDICES) SHOULD RANGE FROM 100-107 DEGREES WITH
ISOLATED SHORT-DURATION INSTANCES AS HIGH AS 110 DEGREES. /22
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1249 AM CDT WED JUL 8 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH MUCH OF THE PERIOD AT AREA
TAF SITES. BRIEF REDUCTIONS IN CEILINGS AND VISIBILITIES CAN BE
EXPECTED IN ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
DEVELOPING DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING HOURS. /13
MARINE
ISSUED AT 422 AM CDT WED JUL 8 2026
NO IMPACTS EXPECTED OTHER THAN LOCALLY HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS
POSSIBLE NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. /13
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 95 76 93 76 / 20 10 30 0
PENSACOLA 95 80 93 81 / 20 10 30 10
DESTIN 93 82 92 82 / 20 10 30 10
EVERGREEN 93 74 93 73 / 10 20 40 10
WAYNESBORO 94 74 93 73 / 20 20 40 10
CAMDEN 91 74 90 74 / 10 20 40 10
CRESTVIEW 96 76 93 75 / 30 10 40 0
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...NONE.
FL...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
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