251
FXUS64 KMOB 261110
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
610 AM CDT SAT SEP 26 2026
..NEW UPDATE, AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 607 AM CDT SAT SEP 26 2026
- A COOLER AND DRIER AIR MASS REMAINS PRESENT INTO THE BEGINNING
OF NEXT WEEK BRINGING BELOW NORMAL LOW TEMPERATURES AND LOWER
HUMIDITY.
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 607 AM CDT SAT SEP 26 2026
CURRENT FORECAST ON TRACK WITH NO UPDATES NEEDED AT THIS TIME.
/16
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1136 PM CDT FRI SEP 25 2026
WE HAD OUR FIRST REAL TASTE OF FALL FRIDAY WITH LARGELY BELOW
NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND VERY COMFORTABLE DEWPOINTS IN THE LOW 60S.
HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL SLOWLY INCREASE TO AT/ABOVE NORMAL BY
SUNDAY WITH LARGELY UPPER 80S AND LOW 90S EXPECTED THROUGH THE
REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. THANKS TO SUCH A DRY AIR MASS,
THE AFTERNOON DEWPOINTS ARE DECENT IN THE LOW 60S SATURDAY AND
FURTHER DROP FOR INTERIOR AREAS INTO THE 50S THROUGH TUESDAY. THIS
KEEPS HUMIDITY QUITE LOW AND IT WILL FEEL MUCH MORE COMFORTABLE
THAN TYPICAL WHEN TEMPERATURES ARE NEAR 90. EVEN THOUGH HIGH
TEMPERATURES WILL BE ABOVE NORMAL, LOW TEMPERATURES WILL GENERALLY
BE SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL WITH UPPER 60S ALONG THE COAST AND LOW
60S INLAND, POTENTIALLY EVEN SOME UPPER 50S FOR OUR FAR NORTHERN
COUNTIES.
THE AREA CONTINUES TO HAVE DRY CONDITIONS WITH NEAR ZERO POPS
THROUGH AT LEAST THE BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK. PWATS ARE WELL BELOW
NORMAL AROUND 1.1 INCHES. PWATS STAY BELOW NORMAL LEADING INTO NEXT
WEDNESDAY BEFORE MORE APPRECIABLE MOISTURE RETURN PUTS THE AREA
AT/ABOVE NORMAL TO END THE WEEK IN CONJUNCTION WITH DECREASING
SUBSIDENCE AS A TROUGH MOVES IN FROM THE WEST. THIS CHANGE INCREASES
PRECIPITATION CHANCES WITH SCATTERED TO LOCALLY NUMEROUS STORMS TO
END THE WEEK.
..BEACH FORECAST
FOR THE BEACHES IN SOUTHERN ALABAMA AND THE NORTHWEST FLORIDA
PANHANDLE, THE RIP CURRENT RISK DROPS TO LOW FOR SATURDAY INTO MID
NEXT WEEK AND SURF HEIGHTS REMAIN AROUND 1 FOOT.
SS/97
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 607 AM CDT SAT SEP 26 2026
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE FORECAST. LIGHT NORTHEASTERLY
WINDS WILL BECOME EASTERLY, THEN SOUTHEASTERLY 5 TO 10 KNOTS BY
THIS AFTERNOON.
/16
MARINE
ISSUED AT 336 AM CDT SAT SEP 26 2026
LIGHT TO AT TIME MODERATE NORTHEASTERLY FLOW WILL TRANSITION TO
A LIGHT ONSHORE TODAY, THEN BECOME MORE VARIABLE INTO THE COMING
WEEK. A MORE PERSISTENT ONSHORE FLOW RETURNS BY MID WEEK AS A
SURFACE RIDGE BUILDS WEST OVER THE SOUTHEAST.
/16
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 87 68 90 63 / 0 0 0 0
PENSACOLA 86 70 89 66 / 0 0 0 0
DESTIN 84 72 88 68 / 0 0 0 0
EVERGREEN 86 63 87 56 / 0 0 0 0
WAYNESBORO 87 64 88 58 / 0 0 0 0
CAMDEN 86 62 86 56 / 0 0 0 0
CRESTVIEW 87 64 89 59 / 0 0 0 0
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...NONE.
FL...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
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