037
FXUS64 KMOB 270528
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1228 AM CDT TUE OCT 27 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1228 AM CDT TUE OCT 27 2026
- MODERATE TO STRONG NORTHEAST WINDS WILL CREATE HAZARDOUS
CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT OVER THE OPEN GULF WATERS OVERNIGHT.
- MODERATE TO STRONG NORTHEASTERLY WINDS MAY CREATE HAZARDOUS
CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT MAINLY WELL OFFSHORE FROM WEDNESDAY
THROUGH SATURDAY.
- A MODERATE TO HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS IS EXPECTED FOR BEACH
AREAS THE REST OF THE WEEK THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1129 PM CDT MON OCT 26 2026
NOW THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT, AN UPPER RIDGE STRETCHING NORTH OVER THE
EASTERN CONUS SHIFTS SOUTH TO BECOME CENTERED OVER THE GULF. AN
UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH OFF THE EAST COAST SHIFTS SOUTH
ORGANIZING INTO A CLOSED UPPER LOW OVER THE CARIBBEAN, WHERE IT
REMAINS INTO THE END OF THE WEEK. THE UPPER RIDGE OVER THE GULF
BUILDS NORTH OVER THE SOUTHEAST THE END OF THE WEEK AS A WEAK UPPER
TROUGH DEVELOPS OFF THE WEST COAST OF THE US/MEX. SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE MEANDERS AROUND OVER THE EASTERN CONUS, AND IN COMBINATION
WITH A SURFACE LOW DEVELOPING NEAR SOUTHERN FL, A TIGHT PRESSURE
GRADIENT DEVELOPS WEDNESDAY ON OVER THE OPEN GULF.
SUBSIDENCE FROM THE UPPER RIDGE WILL HELP HIGH TEMPERATURES TO
REMAIN ABOVE SEASONAL NORMS, OVERRIDING COOLER NORTHEASTERLY FLOW
OVER THE FORECAST AREA. HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOW
80S EXPECTED THROUGH MID WEEK. LOW TEMPERATURES REMAIN AROUND
SEASONAL TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHTS, RANGING FROM THE UPPER 40S
NORTH OF HIGHWAY 84 TO MID 50S OVER THE I-10 CORRIDOR. THERE IS AN
UPTICK THURSDAY NIGHT WITH GUIDANCE ADVERTISING AN UPTICK IN
MOISTURE MOVING OVER THE FORECAST AREA THURSDAY INTO THURSDAY NIGHT.
LOW TEMPERATURES IN THE MID 50S TO AROUND 60 EXPECTED THURSDAY NIGHT.
FRIDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND...A SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVES OVER THE
SOUTHEAST, BRINGING RAIN BACK TO THE REGION FOR THE WEEKEND.
TEMPERATURES SEE A BIT OF A DOWNWARD TREND, BUT OTHERWISE REMAIN
ABOVE SEASONAL NORMS.
TAKING A LOOK AT THE RIP RISK ON AREA BEACHES, A MODERATE RISK OF
RIP CURRENTS IS MAINTAIN INTO THE COMING WEEK, WITH SOME GUIDANCE
ADVERTISING OCCASIONAL UPTICKS TO A LOW HIGH.
/16
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1228 AM CDT TUE OCT 27 2026
VFR CONDITIONS PREVAIL THROUGH THE PERIOD. GENERALLY NORTHEASTERLY
TO EASTERLY WINDS PERSIST THROUGH THE DAY AT 5-10 KNOTS. PERIODIC
GUSTS UP TO 15 KNOTS ARE POSSIBLE, ESPECIALLY NEAR THE COAST.
SS/97
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1129 PM CDT MON OCT 26 2026
LIGHT TO OCCASIONALLY MODERATE NORTHEASTERLY FLOW IS MAINTAINED
OVER PROTECTED WATERS, WITH MODERATE TO STRONG WINDS OVER OPEN
GULF WATERS.
/16
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 79 54 80 52 / 0 0 0 0
PENSACOLA 79 60 80 61 / 0 0 0 0
DESTIN 80 61 81 63 / 0 0 0 0
EVERGREEN 79 48 79 50 / 0 0 0 0
WAYNESBORO 79 47 80 45 / 0 0 0 0
CAMDEN 76 47 78 48 / 0 0 0 0
CRESTVIEW 80 51 81 54 / 0 0 0 0
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...NONE.
FL...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
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