976
FXUS64 KMOB 222112
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
412 PM CDT WED JUL 22 2026
..NEW MARINE
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 412 PM CDT WED JUL 22 2026
- TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS AND COASTAL FLOODING IS
IMPACTING THE IMMEDIATE ALABAMA COASTAL AREAS WITH ANOTHER
ROUND OF MINOR COASTAL FLOODING LIKELY THURSDAY MORNING.
- DANGEROUS AND LIFE-THREATENING BEACH CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST
THROUGH THURSDAY.
- HEAT WILL BUILD OVER THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK AND HEAT
ADVISORIES OR EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNINGS MAY BECOME NECESSARY.
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 412 PM CDT WED JUL 22 2026
MULTIPLE HAZARDS REMAIN IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY AS TROPICAL
STORM BERTHA CONTINUES TO MOVE SLOWLY WESTWARD ALONG THE NORTHERN
GULF COAST. OUTER RAIN BANDS CONTINUE ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA
BRINGING BRIEF HEAVY RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS TO AROUND 40MPH. THE
TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR COASTAL COMMUNITIES
ALONG THE ALABAMA COAST AND ADJACENT MARINE WATERS THROUGH MID-
EVENING.
A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS REMAINS IN PLACE FOR ALL BEACHES
THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT. A HIGH SURF WARNING WILL REMAIN IN EFFECT
THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY AFTERNOON. SURF HEIGHTS OF 6 TO 10 FEET
ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THIS EVENING, GRADUALLY RELAXING
BELOW 8 FEET PRIOR TO DAYBREAK THURSDAY MORNING. SURF HEIGHTS ARE
EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW 5 FEET BY LATE THURSDAY AFTERNOON. THE
HIGH SURF HEIGHTS AND HIGH RIP CURRENTS WILL RESULT IN HAZARDOUS
BEACH CONDITIONS. RESIDENTS AND TOURISTS ARE STRONGLY ENCOURAGED
TO STAY OUT OF THE WATER!
MINOR COASTAL FLOODING IS ALSO EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OWING TO THE
STRONG ONSHORE WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH BERTHA. A COASTAL FLOOD
ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF THE ALABAMA AND WESTERN
FLORIDA PANHANDLE COASTS THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. MINOR COASTAL
FLOODING HAS BEEN OBSERVED THIS MORNING WITH MOST GAUGES MEASURING
2 TO 2.5 FOOT MHHW. THE EXPECTATION IS FOR MINOR INUNDATION OF UP
TO 2 FEET ABOVE NORMALLY DRY GROUND DURING PERIODS OF HIGH TIDE
AGAIN TONIGHT INTO EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. THE HIGH SURF HEIGHTS
COMBINED WITH THE MINOR COASTAL FLOODING WILL LIKELY RESULT IN
MINOR BEACH EROSION. MM/25 /22
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 242 PM CDT WED JUL 22 2026
WITH TROPICAL STORM BERTHA FORECAST TO MAKE A SECOND LANDFALL NEAR
THE HOUSTON AREA THURSDAY AFTERNOON, THERE WILL BE SOME LINGERING
ISOLATED TO LOW-END SCATTERED SHOWERS AND PERHAPS A FEW STORMS
ALONG AND WEST OF I-65 ON TOMORROW. AN UPPER RIDGE IN PLACE OVER
THE SOUTHEAST STATES AS WE HEAD INTO THE WEEKEND, DRY CONDITIONS
WILL OCCUR FRIDAY. THE RIDGE GETS NUDGED WESTWARD OVER THE WEEKEND
AS AN UPPER TROUGH DIGS SOUTHWARD JUST OFF THE EASTERN SEABOARD.
AS THE FLOW ALOFT TURNS NORTHWESTERLY, THERE WILL BE A RETURN OF A
FEW DAYTIME SHOWERS AND STORMS ACROSS OUR EASTERN ZONES OVER THE
WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. THE MAIN WEATHER STORY WILL BE THE
RETURN OF HIGH HEAT INDICES WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES INCREASING INTO
THE MIDDLE TO UPPER 90S AND APPARENT TEMPERATURES CLIMBING TO
BETWEEN 100-107 OVER THE WEEKEND FROM 105-112 EARLY IN THE WORK
WEEK.
BEACH FORECAST
DANGEROUS AND LIFE-THREATENING BEACH CONDITIONS
ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. THE RIP CURRENT RISK HIGH FOR OUR
ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA BEACHES AND WILL LAST THROUGH
THURSDAY BEFORE DROPPING TO MODERATE FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. A
HIGH SURF WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR SURF HEIGHTS UP TO 8-12 FEET
THROUGH 6 AM THURSDAY FOR BEACHES. /22
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1255 PM CDT WED JUL 22 2026
A MIX OF VFR AND MVFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH PERIOD, WITH
TEMPO IFR CONDITIONS POSSIBLE UNDER SPORADIC RAINBANDS ASSOCIATED
WITH TROPICAL STORM BERTHA THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING. EXPECT
GENERALLY SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS AROUND 15-25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO
AROUND 30-35 KNOTS NEAR THE COAST, AND GENERALLY 10-15 KNOTS
INLAND. WINDS SHOULD GRADUALLY WANE THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT, BUT
REMAINING AROUND 10-15 KNOTS NEAR THE COAST THROUGH THE END OF THE
PERIOD. JGC/98
MARINE
ISSUED AT 412 PM CDT WED JUL 22 2026
TROPICAL STORM BERTHA WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE SLOWLY WESTWARD ACROSS
THE MISSISSIPPI DELTA THROUGH THIS EVENING WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 45 MILES PER HOUR. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE
IMPACTING THE ALABAMA GULF WATERS AND WILL DECREASE TO MODERATE
SOUTHERLY WINDS BY LATE TONIGHT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FEET THIS EVENING
WILL CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY SUBSIDE THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT. LIGHT
SOUTHWESTERLY TO WESTERLY WINDS BEGIN THURSDAY NIGHT AND CONTINUE
THROUGH THE WEEKEND. /22
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 77 91 74 93 / 40 20 10 10
PENSACOLA 80 90 77 92 / 20 10 0 0
DESTIN 81 89 78 91 / 20 0 0 0
EVERGREEN 74 92 72 94 / 20 20 0 0
WAYNESBORO 76 93 74 95 / 30 30 10 10
CAMDEN 75 90 74 91 / 20 30 10 10
CRESTVIEW 75 92 72 95 / 20 0 0 0
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM CDT THURSDAY FOR ALZ263>266.
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR ALZ263>266.
HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT FOR ALZ265-266.
HIGH SURF WARNING UNTIL 3 PM CDT THURSDAY FOR ALZ265-266.
FL...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM CDT THURSDAY FOR FLZ202-204-
206.
HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT FOR FLZ202-204-
206.
HIGH SURF WARNING UNTIL 3 PM CDT THURSDAY FOR FLZ202-204-206.
MS...NONE.
GM...TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR GMZ630>633-650-670.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 10 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR GMZ634>636.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 3 PM CDT THURSDAY FOR GMZ655-675.
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