279
FXUS64 KMOB 202338
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
538 PM CST SAT DEC 20 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 538 PM CST SAT DEC 20 2025
- FOG DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT, POTENTIALLY BECOMING
DENSE IN SOME LOCATIONS.
- A MODERATE RIP CURRENT RISK WILL RETURN MONDAY INTO THE MIDDLE
OF NEXT WEEK AS EASTERLY WINDS INCREASE OVER THE GULF.
- WELL ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED FOR ALL OF NEXT
WEEK, INCLUDING CHRISTMAS DAY.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1109 AM CST SAT DEC 20 2025
AN UPPER TROF LOCATED MOSTLY OVER THE NORTH CENTRAL STATES
AMPLIFIES WHILE ADVANCING INTO THE EASTERN STATES ON SUNDAY, THEN
MOVES OFF INTO THE WESTERN ATLANTIC SUNDAY NIGHT. AN ASSOCIATED
SURFACE LOW WELL OFF TO THE NORTH BRINGS A WEAK COLD FRONT THROUGH
MUCH OF THE FORECAST AREA ON SUNDAY, STALLING OVER THE COASTAL
COUNTIES IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN CONTINUING INTO THE MARINE AREA
SUNDAY NIGHT. FOG IS ANTICIPATED TO DEVELOP LATE TONIGHT INTO
EARLY SUNDAY MORNING, THOUGH COVERAGE IS UNCERTAIN. HAVE GONE WITH
SLIGHT CHANCE TO CHANCE POPS FOR MOST OF AREA ON SUNDAY INTO
SUNDAY EVENING THEN TAPERING TO DRY CONDITIONS FOR MONDAY. A
SURFACE RIDGE SHIFTS ACROSS THE EASTERN STATES IN THE WAKE OF THE
FRONTAL PASSAGE, WHICH ALLOWS FOR A LIGHT RETURN FLOW TO ENSUE
OVER THE FORECAST AREA BY MONDAY AFTERNOON. A LIGHT SOUTHERLY
SURFACE FLOW PREVAILS OVER THE FORECAST AREA THROUGH SATURDAY WITH
A LARGE AND BROAD UPPER RIDGE GRADUALLY SHIFTING ACROSS THE
CENTRAL STATES AND INTO THE EASTERN STATES THROUGH THURSDAY. AN
UPPER TROF LOOKS TO PROGRESS ACROSS THE NORTHEASTERN STATES THIS
WEEKEND, BUT THE FORECAST AREA LOOKS TO BE SPARED FROM ANY
PRECIPITATION. AS A RESULT, A DRY FORECAST IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
THROUGH SATURDAY. MILD TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE
PERIOD, WITH LOWS MOSTLY IN THE 50S EXCEPT FOR 40S OVER SOME
INLAND PORTIONS TONIGHT AND MONDAY NIGHT. HIGHS WILL TREND MILDER,
WITH HIGHS SUNDAY AND MONDAY RANGING FROM THE MID 60S TO LOWER
70S, THEN TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY WILL HAVE HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO
MID 70S, VALUES WHICH ARE 10-15 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. A LOW RISK
OF RIP CURRENTS IS EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT, WITH A MODERATE
RISK FOR MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. /29
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 538 PM CST SAT DEC 20 2025
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THIS EVENING. VERY LOW CLOUDS
WILL DEVELOP AND INCREASE IN COVERAGE AFTER MIDNIGHT, FOLLOWED BY
PATCHY FOG DEVELOPMENT LATE TONIGHT. LOCALIZED VLIFR AND LIFR
CEILINGS AND IFR VISIBILITIES ARE EXPECTED. /22
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1109 AM CST SAT DEC 20 2025
A LIGHT EASTERLY TO SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW PREVAILS THROUGH SUNDAY. A
LIGHT TO MODERATE EASTERLY FLOW SUNDAY NIGHT BECOMES MODERATE TO
OCCASIONALLY STRONGER WELL OFFSHORE ON MONDAY. SMALL CRAFT MAY
NEED TO EXERCISE CAUTION WELL OFFSHORE ON MONDAY. A LIGHT TO
MODERATE SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW FOLLOWS FOR MONDAY NIGHT, THEN A LIGHT
EASTERLY TO SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW FOLLOWS FOR TUESDAY THROUGH
WEDNESDAY. /29
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 54 72 56 69 / 0 30 20 10
PENSACOLA 59 70 57 67 / 0 10 10 0
DESTIN 56 69 54 68 / 0 10 10 0
EVERGREEN 47 72 51 68 / 0 20 20 0
WAYNESBORO 51 69 53 68 / 10 40 30 10
CAMDEN 47 65 50 66 / 10 30 20 10
CRESTVIEW 46 72 50 69 / 0 10 10 0
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...NONE.
FL...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
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