730
FXUS64 KMOB 222323
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
523 PM CST SUN FEB 22 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 520 PM CST SUN FEB 22 2026
- HIGH WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL CREATE DANGEROUS
BURNING CONDITIONS TODAY AND AGAIN ON MONDAY.
- STRONG WINDS WITH FREQUENT GUSTS TO GALE FORCE WILL CREATE
HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT TODAY THROUGH MONDAY
MORNING.
- WINDY CONDITIONS OVER LAND WILL OCCUR TODAY AND BLOW AROUND
UNSECURED OBJECTS. TREE LIMBS COULD BE BLOWN DOWN AND A FEW
POWER OUTAGES MAY RESULT.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 150 PM CST SUN FEB 22 2026
A MUCH COLDER AND DRIER AIRMASS CONTINUES TO MOVE INTO THE REGION
UNDER STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS. WINDS WILL DECREASE SOME THIS
EVENING AND TONIGHT BUT REMAIN IN THE 10 TO 15 MPH RANGE. THE WIND
COMBINED WITH LOWS IN THE UPPER 20 AND LOW 30S WILL LEAD TO WIND
CHILL VALUES OF 15 TO 20 DEGREES INLAND AND 20 TO 25 ALONG THE
COAST. A COLD WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR TONIGHT DUE TO
THE LOW WIND CHILL VALUES. HIGHS ON MONDAY WILL ONLY BE IN THE
MID/UPPER 40S INLAND TO LOW 50S ALONG THE COAST. MONDAY NIGHT WILL
BE THE COLDEST NIGHT WITH LOW/MID 20S INLAND TO UPPER 20S/LOW 30S
ALONG THE COAST. TEMPS MODERATE BACK INTO THE MID/UPPER 50S IN
MOST AREAS ON TUESDAY.
HIGHS QUICKLY WARM BACK INTO THE LOWER 70S ON WEDNESDAY AND THE
MIDDLE 70S ON THURSDAY AS SOUTHERLY WINDS RETURN TO THE REGION.
THE DRY WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING,
FOLLOWED BY INCREASING RAIN CHANCES LATE WEDNESDAY THROUGH
THURSDAY NIGHT AHEAD AND ALONG ANOTHER APPROACHING COLD FRONT.
THIS WEAKER FRONT SHOULD MOVE ACROSS THE AREA THURSDAY NIGHT, WITH
RAIN ENDING ON FRIDAY. /13
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 520 PM CST SUN FEB 22 2026
VFR FLIGHT CONDITIONS WILL PERSISTS THROUGH NOON MONDAY, ALONG
WITH SUSTAINED NORTH-NORTHWESTERLY WINDS AROUND 12-17 KNOTS WITH
FREQUENT GUSTS AROUND 22-28 KNOTS. /22
MARINE
ISSUED AT 150 PM CST SUN FEB 22 2026
STRONG NORTHWESTERLY TO NORTHERLY WINDS WILL OCCUR TODAY INTO
MONDAY IN THE WAKE OF A COLD FRONT. FREQUENT GUSTS TO AROUND 40
KNOTS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE GULF, AND NEAR GALE FORCE ACROSS THE
BAYS AND SOUNDS. OFFSHORE FLOW DIMINISHES MONDAY AFTERNOON INTO
TUESDAY MORNING, SHIFTING TO LIGHT TO MODERATE ONSHORE FLOW BY
MIDWEEK AND CONTINUING THROUGH THURSDAY. /13
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 150 PM CST SUN FEB 22 2026
A RED FLAG WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AGAIN
ON MONDAY DUE TO THE COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY
LEVELS. WHILE THE REQUIREMENT OF A MODERATE SIGNIFICANT FIRE
POTENTIAL FOR THE ISSUANCE OF A RED FLAG WARNING FOR SOUTHWEST
ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA IS NOT BEING MET, OFFICIALS SHOULD
BE ON THE ALERT AS ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOPS MAY CATCH AND SPREAD
QUICKLY. /13
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 58 31 53 26 / 0 0 0 0
PENSACOLA 57 34 51 30 / 0 0 0 0
DESTIN 58 35 51 31 / 0 0 0 0
EVERGREEN 55 28 49 24 / 0 0 0 0
WAYNESBORO 54 29 49 24 / 0 0 0 0
CAMDEN 51 28 44 23 / 0 0 0 0
CRESTVIEW 58 29 51 24 / 0 0 0 0
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...COLD WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 3 AM TO 8 AM CST MONDAY FOR
ALZ051>060-261>266.
FL...COLD WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 3 AM TO 8 AM CST MONDAY FOR
FLZ201>206.
MS...RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR MSZ067-075-076-
078-079.
RED FLAG WARNING FROM 9 AM TO 6 PM CST MONDAY FOR MSZ067-075-076-
078-079.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL NOON CST MONDAY FOR GMZ630>636-650-
655.
GALE WARNING UNTIL NOON CST MONDAY FOR GMZ670-675.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM NOON MONDAY TO MIDNIGHT CST MONDAY
NIGHT FOR GMZ670-675.
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