974  
FXUS64 KMOB 182338  
AFDMOB  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL  
638 PM CDT SAT APR 18 2026  
   
..NEW AVIATION  
 
   
KEY MESSAGES  
 
ISSUED AT 616 PM CDT SAT APR 18 2026  
 
- MODERATE TO EXTREME DROUGHT WILL EXACERBATE WILDFIRE ACTIVITY.  
 
- RAIN CHANCES INCREASE TONIGHT WITH THE PASSAGE OF A COLD FRONT,  
BUT RAINFALL TOTALS WILL BE LOW WITH NO IMPROVEMENT TO THE  
DROUGHT CONDITIONS.  
 
- STRONG MARINE WINDS WILL CREATE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL  
CRAFT FROM LATE TONIGHT INTO EARLY MONDAY AFTERNOON.  
 
 
   
DISCUSSION  
 
ISSUED AT 250 PM CDT SAT APR 18 2026  
 
RAIN CHANCES INCREASE THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT AS A COLD FRONT  
APPROACHES FROM THE NORTHWEST. THE FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE  
AREA LATE TONIGHT WITH A COOLER AND DRIER AIRMASS MOVING INTO THE  
REGION. LOW CLOUDS AND LIGHT SHOWERS WILL LINGER SUNDAY MORNING  
BEFORE CLEARING OUT BY THE AFTERNOON. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER  
THE AREA ON MONDAY WITH LOWER HUMIDITY LEVELS. AN UPPER RIDGE  
BUILDS OVER THE REGION DURING THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK WITH  
CONTINUED DRY CONDITIONS AND WARMER TEMPS. RAIN CHANCES INCREASE  
LATE IN THE WEEK AS THE NEXT SYSTEM APPROACHES THE AREA.  
 
HIGH TEMPS ON SUNDAY WILL BE IN THE UPPER 60S AND LOW 70S. HIGHS  
WILL WARM INTO THE UPPER 70S AND LOW 80S THROUGH MIDWEEK. MUCH  
COOLER OVERNIGHT LOWS CAN BE EXPECTED BEHIND THE FRONT TONIGHT  
AND SUNDAY NIGHT WITH LOWS IN THE MID AND UPPER 40S INLAND TO LOW  
50S NEAR THE COAST. LOWS WILL SLOWLY MODERATE THROUGH MIDWEEK. /13  
 
 
   
AVIATION  
 
(00Z TAFS)  
ISSUED AT 616 PM CDT SAT APR 18 2026  
 
THE CURRENT VFR CONDITIONS OVER THE FORECAST AREA WILL SEE DROPS  
TO LOW END MVFR OR LOWER AS A COLD FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE AREA.  
THIS FRONT WILL START CROSSING THE FORECAST AREA SOON AFTER 01Z  
THIS EVENING, REACHING AREA TAFS SITES AROUND 06Z. LOCAL DROPS TO  
IFR ARE POSSIBLE, ESPECIALLY IN ANY STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS THAT  
PASS. ANY CONVECTION IS EXPECTED TO MOVE PAST THE COAST BY MID  
MORNING, FOLLOWED BY NORTHWEST TO NORTH WINDS AROUND 15 KNOTS.  
/16  
 
 
   
MARINE  
 
ISSUED AT 250 PM CDT SAT APR 18 2026  
 
LIGHT SOUTHERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW THROUGH THIS EVENING WILL  
SHIFT TO A STRONG OFFSHORE FLOW LATE TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY AS A  
COLD FRONT PASSES THROUGH THE REGION. THIS OFFSHORE FLOW WILL  
DECREASE TO MODERATE ACROSS THE BAYS AND SOUNDS BY EARLY SUNDAY  
AFTERNOON, BUT REMAIN STRONG OVER THE GULF THROUGH AT LEAST  
MONDAY MORNING. A LIGHT TO MODERATE EASTERLY TO SOUTHEASTERLY  
FLOW FOLLOWS THROUGH MIDWEEK.  
 
 
   
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS  
 
MOBILE 51 72 49 80 / 60 30 0 0  
PENSACOLA 57 72 53 79 / 30 30 0 0  
DESTIN 59 73 54 77 / 20 20 0 0  
EVERGREEN 49 71 43 80 / 50 20 0 0  
WAYNESBORO 48 71 44 78 / 80 10 0 0  
CAMDEN 48 69 45 77 / 70 20 0 0  
CRESTVIEW 53 73 45 81 / 20 20 0 0  
 
 
   
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES  
 
AL...NONE.  
FL...NONE.  
MS...NONE.  
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 3 AM TO 1 PM CDT SUNDAY FOR GMZ630>636.  
 
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 3 AM SUNDAY TO 5 PM CDT MONDAY FOR  
GMZ650-655-670-675.  
 
 
 
 
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