824
FXUS64 KMOB 140907
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
407 AM CDT WED OCT 14 2026
..NEW UPDATE, MARINE
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 407 AM CDT WED OCT 14 2026
- DENSE FOG WILL SPREAD ACROSS SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI, MOBILE
COUNTY, AND MISSISSIPPI SOUND. A DENSE FOG ADVISORY IS NOW IN
EFFECT THROUGH 10 AM WEDNESDAY FOR THESE AREAS.
- NEAR RECORD HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S TO LOWER 90S ARE EXPECTED
THROUGH LATE WEEK. WITH MANY AREAS STILL WITHOUT POWER AND
RECOVERY EFFORTS FROM HURRICANE ISAIAS ONGOING, THESE
TEMPERATURES COULD LEAD TO AN INCREASED RISK FOR HEAT-RELATED
ILLNESSES.
- STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS DEVELOP OVER THE MARINE AREA FRIDAY
NIGHT, BECOMING EASTERLY AND LASTING INTO THE WEEKEND. GALE
FORCE WIND GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE, WITH CONDITIONS POSING A HAZARD
TO SMALL CRAFT.
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 407 AM CDT WED OCT 14 2026
THE LATEST NIGHT FOG SATELLITE PRODUCT IS SHOWING THAT THE AREAS
OF FOG HAS EXPANDING EASTWARD ACROSS SOUTHERN MOBILE COUNTY, AND
THE ALABAMA DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION WEBCAMS ARE CONFIRMING
DENSE FOG HAS MOVED INTO THE AREA. THEREFORE, THE DENSE FOG
ADVISORY HAS BEEN EXPANDED TO INCLUDE MOBILE COUNTY AND EXTENDED
ONE HOUR IN TIME. THE NPW HAS BEEN UPDATED WITH AN EXPIRATION TIME
OF 10 AM. IN ADDITION, RECENT CAMS ARE SHOWING THIS DENSE FOG
ADVECTING OFFSHORE INTO MISSISSIPPI SOUND, SO A MARINE WEATHER
MESSAGE HAS BEEN ISSUED WITH THE SAME EXPIATION TIME. /22
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1127 PM CDT TUE OCT 13 2026
DRY CONDITIONS CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY. RECORD OR NEAR RECORD
WARM TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH AT LEAST THURSDAY, WITH A
COLD FRONT SWEEPING THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON INTO FRIDAY NIGHT AND
USHERING IN COOLER AIR. HIGHS WILL BE IN THE UPPER 80S TO LOWER
90S WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. HIGHS ON FRIDAY ARE LESS CERTAIN AND
DEPEND ON HOW QUICKLY THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH, AND FOR NOW AM
ANTICIPATING HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 80S. LOWS TONIGHT,
WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY NIGHT TYPICALLY RANGE FROM AROUND 60
WELL INLAND TO THE MID 60S AT THE COAST. HERE'S A LOOK AT THE
CURRENT FORECAST FOR HIGHS ON WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY ALONG WITH
THE RECORD VALUES:
WEDNESDAY (10/14):
MOBILE 90, RECORD 90
PENSACOLA 89, RECORD 89
THURSDAY (10/15):
MOBILE 88, RECORD 89
PENSACOLA 87, RECORD 89
THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR FOG DEVELOPMENT OVERNIGHT AND POSSIBLY
WEDNESDAY NIGHT. FOR THE REST OF TONIGHT, THE BEST POTENTIAL FOR
FOG DEVELOPMENT LOOKS TO BE OVER MUCH OF SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND
EXTREME SOUTHWEST ALABAMA, THOUGH PATCHY FOG WILL ALSO BE
POSSIBLE ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA NORTH OF THE COAST. IT'S
POSSIBLE THAT A DENSE FOG ADVISORY COULD BECOME NECESSARY, BUT
WILL NEED TO MONITOR AT THIS POINT. FOR THE UPCOMING FRONTAL
PASSAGE LATE FRIDAY AFTERNOON INTO FRIDAY NIGHT, DEEP LAYER
MOISTURE CONTINUES TO LOOK TOO LIMITED TO SUPPORT PRECIPITATION.
LOWS FRIDAY NIGHT RANGE FROM AROUND 50 WELL INLAND TO THE MID 50S
AT THE COAST, THEN LOWS SATURDAY NIGHT WILL BE SIMILAR EXCEPT FOR
A BIT COOLER WELL INLAND. OVERNIGHT LOWS THEN MODERATE GOING INTO
MONDAY NIGHT WHEN LOWS RANGE FROM THE MID/UPPER 50S INLAND TO THE
LOWER 60S CLOSER TO THE COAST. HIGHS ON SATURDAY RANGE FROM THE
UPPER 60S TO LOWER 70S THEN TREND TO THE MID 70S TO AROUND 80 BY
MONDAY. A LOW RISK OF RIP CURRENTS IS EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY.
/29
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1127 PM CDT TUE OCT 13 2026
PATCHY TO AREAS OF FOG ARE POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT, PARTICULARLY ACROSS
MUCH OF SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST ALABAMA,
THOUGH WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA
NORTH OF THE COAST. DENSE FOG DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE MAINLY
ACROSS EXTREME SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST
ALABAMA. THE FOG DISSIPATES TUESDAY MORNING LEAVING VFR CONDITIONS
WHICH CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING. CALM OR LIGHT AND
VARIABLE WINDS OVERNIGHT BECOME AN EASTERLY TO SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW
AROUND 5 KNOTS ON TUESDAY. /29
MARINE
ISSUED AT 407 AM CDT WED OCT 14 2026
STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS ARE FORECAST FOR FRIDAY NIGHT AS A
POWERFUL COLD FRONT PASSES THROUGH THE REGION, WITH GUSTS TO GALE
FORCE POSSIBLE. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY OR POSSIBLY A GALE WARNING
MAY BECOME NECESSARY STARTING FRIDAY NIGHT. UNTIL THEN, A DIURNAL
FLOW CYCLE CONTINUES THROUGH FRIDAY WITH AN OFFSHORE FLOW
DEVELOPING LATE EACH NIGHT INTO THE MORNING HOURS THEN BECOMING
ONSHORE NEAR THE COAST DURING THE AFTERNOON. /22
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 90 64 88 65 / 0 0 0 0
PENSACOLA 89 67 87 65 / 0 0 0 0
DESTIN 87 69 85 67 / 0 0 0 0
EVERGREEN 92 61 90 60 / 0 0 0 0
WAYNESBORO 91 60 89 61 / 0 0 0 0
CAMDEN 91 60 90 60 / 0 0 0 0
CRESTVIEW 91 62 89 62 / 0 0 0 0
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM CDT THIS MORNING FOR ALZ261-263-
265.
FL...NONE.
MS...DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM CDT THIS MORNING FOR MSZ067-075-
076-078-079.
GM...DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM CDT THIS MORNING FOR GMZ632.
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