553
FXUS64 KMOB 211720
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1120 AM CST SAT DEC 21 2024
..NEW AVIATION, NEAR TERM
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1120 AM CST SAT DEC 21 2024
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS, WITH MOSTLY
CLEAR SKIES AND NORTHERLY WINDS. /73
NEAR TERM
(NOW THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 431 AM CST SAT DEC 21 2024
A MUCH COLDER AIRMASS WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA TODAY AS SFC
PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE REGION UNDER NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT. HIGHS
TODAY WILL ONLY CLIMB INTO THE UPPER 40S AND LOW 50S IN MOST
AREAS. UPPER LEVEL FLOW BECOMES WESTERLY ON SUNDAY, ALLOWING TEMPS
TO MODERATE SLIGHTLY. HIGHS ON SUNDAY WILL BE IN THE MID AND
UPPER 50S. LOWS TONIGHT WILL FALL INTO THE MID AND UPPER 20S
INLAND TO MID 30S ALONG THE COAST. /13
SHORT THROUGH EXTENDED TERMS...
(MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 431 AM CST SAT DEC 21 2024
A WEAK UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVES OVER THE SOUTHEAST MONDAY
INTO TUESDAY, HELPING TO SHIFT A SURFACE RIDGE ALONG THE EAST COAST
EASTWARD TO OVER THE EAST COAST. GENERALLY EASTERLY FLOW OVER THE
FORECAST AREA AT THE BEGINNING OF THE WEEK SHIFTS TO MORE
SOUTHEASTERLY BY MID WEEK IN RESPONSE, BRINGING GULF MOISTURE
INLAND. THE MOISTURE RETURN IS A BIT SLOWER MONDAY INTO TUESDAY THAN
IN PREVIOUS DAYS, KEEPING ANY RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SOUTH
OF THE COAST BEFORE A MORE SOUTHERLY FLOW SETS UP TUESDAY NIGHT INTO
WEDNESDAY AS ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE APPROACHES THE FORECAST
AREA. CONVECTION MOVES INLAND OVER LAND PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST
AREA IN RESPONSE. ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE MOVES OVER THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER THURSDAY INTO THURSDAY NIGHT. THE TIMING OF THIS
SHORTWAVE IS INCONSISTENT AT THIS TIME, THOUGH PATH IN BOTH IS MORE
OF A GLANCING BLOW TO WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEAST. ANY
INSTABILITY REMAINS WEST OF THE FORECAST AREA FOR THE END OF THE
WEEK, SO RUMBLES WILL BE LIMITED. LOOKING AT ANY STRONG TO SEVERE
STORMS MID TO END OF THE WEEK, UPPER SUPPORT REMAINS MEH, WITH BEST
INSTABILITY AND WIND SHEAR REMAINING WELL WEST AND SOUTH OF THE
FORECAST AREA. WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR, THOUGH, IN CASE OF ANY
SHIFTING.
THE RETURN OF SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL BRING AN INCREASE IN TEMPERATURES
THROUGH THE WEEK. HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOW 60S
MONDAY RISE INTO THE MID 60S TO LOW 70S BY WEDNESDAY, THEN AROUND 70
TO LOW 70S BY FRIDAY. LOW TEMPERATURES MONDAY NIGHT IN THE MID 30S
NORTH OF HIGHWAY 84 TO LOW 40S SOUTH OF I-10 RISE INTO THE 50S FOR
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHTS
THE RISK OF DANGER RIP CURRENTS REMAINS GENERALLY LOW THROUGH THE
WEEK, WITH INCOMING SWELL FROM SOUTHERLY WINDS OVER THE GULF REMAINS
MODEST.
/16
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 31 56 35 63 43 68 52 70 / 0 0 0 0 0 10 30 50
PENSACOLA 35 56 40 62 46 67 54 70 / 0 0 0 0 0 10 20 50
DESTIN 38 58 42 62 48 68 55 70 / 0 0 0 0 10 10 20 40
EVERGREEN 27 56 31 60 36 66 45 68 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 40
WAYNESBORO 27 54 29 60 36 66 47 67 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 20 50
CAMDEN 26 51 29 57 34 63 44 64 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 20 40
CRESTVIEW 28 58 32 62 38 68 47 71 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 40
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...NONE.
FL...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
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