969
FXUS64 KMOB 291120
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
520 AM CST THU JAN 29 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 519 AM CST THU JAN 29 2026
- A PAIR OF COLD FRONTS MOVE ACROSS THE AREA FRIDAY AND SATURDAY,
USHERING IN AN ARCTIC AIRMASS. BITTERLY COLD TEMPERATURES AND
WIND CHILLS ARE EXPECTED LATE FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY.
- HAZARDOUS MARINE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO IMPACT OUR LOCAL
MARINE ZONES FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING.
WINDS TO GALE FORCE ARE LIKELY, ESPECIALLY OVER THE GULF.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1134 PM CST WED JAN 28 2026
NOW THROUGH WEDNESDAY...
FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK THROUGH THE WEEKEND, A STRONG COLD FRONT
MOVES ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA FRIDAY, WITH A REINFORCING FRONT
MOVING ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA SATURDAY IN RESPONSE TO TWO PASSING
UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVES. WINDS BEHIND THE FIRST FRONT WILL REMAIN
BREEZY FRIDAY, WITH LOW TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER TEENS NORTH OF
HIGHWAY 84 TO UPPER 20S NEAR THE COAST AND WIND CHILLS DROPPING INTO
THE SINGLE DIGITS NORTH OF HIGHWAY 84 AND TEENS SOUTH FRIDAY NIGHT.
BUT STRONG WINDS (A WIND ADVISORY WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED) SATURDAY
ACCOMPANY THE SECOND FRONT, USHERING IN EVEN COLDER AIR AND LIMITING
HIGH TEMPERATURES TO THE 30S SATURDAY AND DAYTIME WIND CHILLS IN THE
TEENS TO LOW 20S OVER MOST OF THE FORECAST AREA. TEMPERATURES
SATURDAY NIGHT DROP EVEN LOWER THE PREVIOUS NIGHT, BOTTOMING OUT
INTO TEENS OVER AREAS INLAND FROM THE COAST, AROUND 20 ALONG THE
COAST. WIND CHILLS DROPPING INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS FORECAST AREA
WIDE ARE EXPECTED SATURDAY NIGHT. AN EXTREME COLD WATCH IS IN EFFECT
FROM LATE FRIDAY EVENING INTO SUNDAY MORNING. ANY PRECIPITATION FROM
THESE PASSING SHORTWAVES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN WELL OFFSHORE. SOME
RECOVERY IS EXPECTED SUNDAY AS THE COLD AIRMASS THAT MOVES OVER THE
WESTERN HALF OF THE SOUTHEAST BEGINS TO SHIFT EAST AS AN UPPER RIDGE
THAT HAS BUILT NORTH OVER THE WESTERN CONUS SHIFTS EAST.
IN THE COMING WEEK, SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE MOVES OVER THE FORECAST
AREA MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY, SHIFTING ONSHORE FLOW BACK TO
ONSHORE BY TUESDAY. A MODEST MOISTURE RETURN OCCURS BY MID WEEK
BEFORE ANOTHER FRONT APPROACHES THE SOUTHEAST. DETERMINISTIC
GUIDANCE DIVERGES INTO MID WEEK WITH THIS PASSAGE, BUT ARE IN
AGREEMENT THAT TEMPERATURES RISE BACK TO NEAR SEASONAL NORMS BY THE
END OF THE FORECAST.
OFFSHORE FLOW THROUGH MOST OF THE FORECAST WILL LIMIT ANY SWELL,
KEEPING THE RIP RISK LOW THROUGH THE WEEKEND INTO THE COMING WEEK.
/16
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 519 AM CST THU JAN 29 2026
VFR FLIGHT CATEGORY PREVAILS ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH TONIGHT.
LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS THIS MORNING BECOME LIGHT SOUTHERLIES
DURING THE DAY, ONCE AGAIN BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE AFTER
SUNSET TONIGHT. MM/25
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1134 PM CST WED JAN 28 2026
WEAK ONSHORE FLOW SHIFTS TO MODERATE TO STRONG FRIDAY AS A
COLD FRONT PASSES. A REINFORCING FRONT PASSES SATURDAY, KEEPING
OFFSHORE FLOW STRONG TO VERY STRONG INTO SUNDAY. A GALE WATCH IS IN
EFFECT FOR OPEN GULF WATERS BEGINNING LATE FRIDAY NIGHT, WITH A SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY LIKELY TO BE ISSUED FOR PROTECTED WATERS THURSDAY.
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE APPROACHES AREA WATERS LATE SUNDAY INTO THE
COMING WEEK, EASING WINDS OVER AREA WATERS INTO MONDAY, THEN
SHIFTING THEM TO ONSHORE IN THE COMING WEEK.
/16
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 57 38 59 26 / 0 0 10 0
PENSACOLA 55 43 61 29 / 0 10 10 0
DESTIN 56 46 61 29 / 0 10 20 10
EVERGREEN 56 33 57 21 / 0 0 20 0
WAYNESBORO 55 32 51 20 / 0 0 10 0
CAMDEN 53 31 50 20 / 0 0 20 0
CRESTVIEW 58 35 62 25 / 0 10 20 10
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...EXTREME COLD WATCH FROM LATE FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING
FOR ALZ051>060-261>266.
FL...EXTREME COLD WATCH FROM LATE FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING
FOR FLZ201>206.
MS...EXTREME COLD WATCH FROM LATE FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING
FOR MSZ067-075-076-078-079.
GM...GALE WATCH FROM FRIDAY EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING FOR GMZ650-
655-670-675.
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