511
FXUS64 KMOB 261148
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
548 AM CST THU FEB 26 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 548 AM CST THU FEB 26 2026
- A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS IS IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY FOR
STRONG RIP CURRENTS CREATING DANGEROUS SWIMMING CONDITIONS.
- ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES HAVE RETURNED FOR THE FORESEEABLE
FUTURE. BEST RAIN CHANCES ARE EXPECTED LATE THURSDAY NIGHT INTO
FRIDAY.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1026 PM CST WED FEB 25 2026
RAIN CHANCES GRADUALLY RAMP UP THROUGH THE MORNING INTO AFTERNOON
HOURS AS ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS DEVELOP IN RESPONSE TO WARM
AIR ADVECTION ACROSS THE AREA. BEST RAIN CHANCES THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON HOURS WILL LIKELY REMAIN CONFINED TO INTERIOR AREAS. A
COLD FRONT WILL GRADUALLY WORK ITS WAY INTO THE FORECAST AREA LATE
THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY AS MODEST UPPER FORCING OVERSPREADS
THE AREA, LIKELY RESULTING IN NUMEROUS TO WIDESPREAD SHOWER AND
THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE. BEST RAIN AND STORM CHANCES WILL SHIFT
NEARER THE COAST FRIDAY MORNING INTO AFTERNOON AS THE COLD FRONT
SLOWLY WORKS ITS WAY THROUGH THE AREA. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED
SHOWERS MAY LINGER IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT INTO FRIDAY AFTERNOON
BEFORE DRY WEATHER CONDITIONS RETURN TO THE AREA FRIDAY EVENING.
OVERALL WE WILL SEE A TRANSITION INTO A LESS EXCITING PATTERN AS
UPPER TROUGHING THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS GIVES WAY TO MORE ZONAL FLOW
LATE WEEKEND WHILE UPPER RIDGING BEGINS TO BECOME DOMINANT ACROSS
THE SOUTHERN U.S. EARLY NEXT WEEK. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR US TO NOT
ONLY REMAIN DRY, BUT ALSO TO REMAIN QUITE WARM THROUGH NEXT WEEK.
TEMPERATURES WILL TAKE A BRIEF DIP FOR LOWS FRIDAY NIGHT INTO THE
UPPER 40'S AND LOWER 50'S, BUT THE REST OF THE FORECAST GENERALLY
KEEPS ALL AREAS IN THE 50'S FOR LOWS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MIDDLE
70'S TODAY AND FRIDAY BECOME UPPER 70'S TO LOWER 80'S THIS
WEEKEND INTO NEXT WEEK. A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON, TAPERING TO A MODERATE RISK FRIDAY
EVENING AND A LOW RISK FOR THIS WEEKEND. MM/25
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 548 AM CST THU FEB 26 2026
VFR FLIGHT CATEGORY PREVAILS ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH EARLY
EVENING OUTSIDE OF TEMPORARILY REDUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY ACROSS
INTERIOR SE MS AND SW AL ASSOCIATED WITH SCATTERED LIGHT SHOWERS.
A LINE OF NUMEROUS SHOWERS WITH EMBEDDED SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
APPROACHING FROM THE NORTH WILL MOVE SOUTHWARD ACROSS OUR AREA
OVERNIGHT, AND LIKELY REACH THE I-10 CORRIDOR BY LATE TONIGHT.
IFR/MVFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THIS LINE, WITH GUSTY
SURFACE WINDS TO 40 KNOTS ASSOCIATED WITH SOME OF THE STRONGER
STORMS. WINDS INCREASE TODAY OUT OF THE SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST TO 10
TO 15 KNOTS GUSTING TO 25 KNOTS AT TIMES. /22
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1026 PM CST WED FEB 25 2026
A LIGHT TO MODERATE ONSHORE FLOW PREVAILS TODAY. A LIGHT OFFSHORE
FLOW DEVELOPS ON FRIDAY AS A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH. A LIGHT TO
OCCASIONALLY MODERATE EASTERLY TO SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW DEVELOPS ON
SATURDAY AND CONTINUES INTO SUNDAY. MM/25
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 76 60 75 53 / 10 60 60 10
PENSACOLA 74 62 73 55 / 20 60 70 20
DESTIN 71 61 71 56 / 30 60 80 30
EVERGREEN 76 56 75 49 / 30 80 50 10
WAYNESBORO 74 57 73 47 / 60 80 30 0
CAMDEN 74 56 71 49 / 60 80 30 10
CRESTVIEW 77 58 75 52 / 30 70 80 20
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON FOR ALZ265-266.
FL...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON FOR FLZ202-204-
206.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page