272
FXUS64 KMOB 091730
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1230 PM CDT MON MAR 9 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1230 PM CDT MON MAR 9 2026
- PATCHY DENSE FOG IS POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT INTO THE PRE-DAWN HOURS
OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL NIGHTS.
- STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WITH LARGE HAIL POSSIBLE THIS
AFTERNOON AND ANOTHER ROUND OF SEVERE STORMS POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY
NIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING.
- NEAR GALE FORCE SUSTAINED WINDS AND FREQUENT GALE FORCE GUSTS
POSSIBLE OVER THE OPEN GULF WATERS WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO
THURSDAY.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1258 AM CDT MON MAR 9 2026
AREAS OF DENSE FOG WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE
MORNING HOURS AND A DENSE FOG ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT THROUGH 9AM.
ONCE THE FOG CLEARS, TEMPS WILL WARM INTO THE UPPER 70S AND LOW
80S. MOISTURE LEVELS WILL ALSO INCREASE TODAY AHEAD A SHORTWAVE
MOVING THROUGH THE ZONAL FLOW ALOFT. THIS WILL LEAD TO THE
DEVELOPMENT OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS NORTHERN PORTIONS
OF THE AREA DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. FAVORABLE INSTABILITY AND
DEEP LAYER SHEAR WILL CREATE AN ENVIRONMENT FAVORABLE FOR STRONG
TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY NORTH OF HIGHWAY 84 WHERE THERE IS
A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE STORMS TODAY. THE MAIN THREAT IS LARGE
HAIL, POTENTIALLY UP TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER. THE TORNADO THREAT
IS LOW BUT CANNOT BE COMPLETELY RULED OUT. DRY CONDITIONS FOLLOW
IN THE WAKE OF THE SHORTWAVE ON TUESDAY AS UPPER RIDGING BUILDS
OVER THE AREA WITH HIGH TEMPS IN THE LOW TO MID 80S. THE NEXT
SYSTEM APPROACHES WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING. THIS WILL
BRING ANOTHER CHANCE FOR STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS TO THE AREA. A
MUCH COOLER AND DRIER AIRMASS MOVES INTO THE AREA ON THURSDAY WITH
HIGHS IN THE LOW TO MID 60S INLAND TO NEAR 70 ALONG THE COAST.
LOWS THURSDAY NIGHT FALL INTO THE LOW 40S INLAND TO UPPER 40S
ALONG THE COAST. TEMPERATURES WARM BACK INTO THE UPPER 70S AND LOW
80S BY THE WEEKEND. /13
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1230 PM CDT MON MAR 9 2026
GENERAL VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON, WITH INCREASING
COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS BRINGING LOCAL DROPS TO LOW
END MVFR/IFR LEVELS. THE GREATEST COVERAGE IS EXPECTED TO BE OVER
THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE FORECAST AREA AND NORTH. TIMING IS EXPECTED
TO BE LATE AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING. AFTER MIDNIGHT, FOG
DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. AREA TAF SITES WILL
LIKELY BE AFFECTED AFTER 08Z, WITH THE FOG QUICKLY MIXING OUT AFTER
SUNRISE TUESDAY MORNING. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE SOUTHERLY LESS THAN
10 KNOTS THROUGH THE FORECAST.
/16
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1258 AM CDT MON MAR 9 2026
A LIGHT TO MODERATE SOUTHEASTERLY TO SOUTHERLY FLOW CONTINUES
INTO THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. DENSE FOG REMAINS POSSIBLE NEAR THE
COASTLINE FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL NIGHTS. SMALL CRAFT CONDITIONS ARE
LIKELY BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY NIGHT AND GALE CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE AS WINDS TURN NORTHERLY BEHIND AN ADVANCING COLD
FRONT. /13
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 80 66 83 66 / 30 10 0 0
PENSACOLA 77 67 78 67 / 20 10 0 0
DESTIN 74 65 75 66 / 10 10 0 0
EVERGREEN 82 63 85 62 / 30 20 10 0
WAYNESBORO 81 65 84 66 / 50 20 10 0
CAMDEN 81 64 84 64 / 40 20 10 0
CRESTVIEW 81 63 83 62 / 10 10 0 0
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...NONE.
FL...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
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