406
FXUS64 KMOB 232007
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
307 PM CDT THU JUL 23 2026
..NEW UPDATE
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 307 PM CDT THU JUL 23 2026
- HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS WILL CONTINUE FOR THE ALABAMA AND
WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE BEACHES THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
- HEAT BUILDS OVER THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK AND HEAT
ADVISORIES OR EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNINGS WILL LIKELY BECOME
NECESSARY.
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 307 PM CDT THU JUL 23 2026
UPDATED THE COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE TO EXTEND HIGH RISK OF RIP
CURRENTS FOR THE ALABAMA AND WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE BEACHES
THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON. IN ADDITION, THE HIGH SURF WARNING WAS
ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 300 PM AS BREAKER HEIGHTS HAVE DECREASED TO
3-4 FEET. /22
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 138 PM CDT THU JUL 23 2026
THE HIGH SURF CONDITIONS ALONG THE AREA BEACHES CONTINUE TO SLOWLY
SUBSIDE AND WE EXPECT BREAKERS IN THE 3-4 FOOT RANGE BY LATE THIS
AFTERNOON. THEREFORE, THE HIGH SURF WARNING WILL BE ALLOWED TO
EXPIRE AT 300 PM. THE 12Z RIP CURRENT PROBABILITY GUIDANCE IS
SHOWING THE HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS FOR THE WESTERN FLORIDA
PANHANDLE BEACHES EXTENDING INTO FRIDAY. GUIDANCE IS ALSO SHOWING
A HIGH-END MODERATE RISK FOR THE ALABAMA BEACHES EAST OF FORT
MORGAN. THEREFORE, WE WILL BE UPDATE THE COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
AT THE TOP OF THE HOUR TO EXTEND THE RIP CURRENT THREAT.
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED LATE AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING SHOWERS AND
PERHAPS A STORM OR TWO ACROSS OUR SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI ZONES AND
NORTH OF HIGHWAY-84 SHOULD DISSIPATE BY MIDNIGHT. DRY CONDITIONS
WILL FOLLOW THROUGH MID-AFTERNOON FRIDAY, WITH A REEMERGENCE OF
ISOLATED LATE AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING SHOWERS AND STORMS OCCURRING
NORTH OF HIGHWAY-84 AS AN RIDGE RESIDES IN THE UPPER LEVELS. BY
SATURDAY, ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS OVER SOUTH
CENTRAL ALABAMA INTO NORTHWEST FLORIDA ARE EXPECTED AS THE UPPER
RIDGE GETS NUDGED WESTWARD OVER THE WEEKEND AS AN UPPER TROUGH
DIGS SOUTHWARD JUST OFF THE EASTERN SEABOARD. DRY CONDITIONS
SHOULD RETURN AREA-WIDE THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK AS THE UPPER RIDGE
TO OUR WEST REBUILDS OVER THE REGION.
THE HEAT MISER RETURNS FOR A WEEKEND VISIT AND WILL MOST
DEFINITELY EXTEND HIS STAY THROUGH MIDWEEK AS TEMPERATURES
INCREASE TO WELL ABOVE NORMAL. HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE MIDDLE TO
UPPER 90S WITH APPARENT TEMPERATURES (HEAT INDICES) BETWEEN
100-107 DEGREES ARE EXPECTED OVER THE WEEKEND. FOR THE HOTTEST
DAYS (MONDAY-TUESDAY-WEDNESDAY) WE ARE FORECASTING HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 90S TO LOWER 100S INLAND (MIDDLE 90S ALONG THE COAST) WITH
APPARENT TEMPERATURES BETWEEN 105-112 DEGREES. THE AMBIENT HIGHS
ARE ABOUT 5-10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. THERE WILL BE NO OVERNIGHT
RELIEF FROM THE HEAT AS LOWS SATURDAY NIGHT WILL BE AROUND 5
DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL, INCREASING TO 7-9 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL BY
TUESDAY NIGHT. /22
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1242 PM CDT THU JUL 23 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL OUTSIDE OF OCCASIONAL BROKEN MVFR
CEILINGS THIS AFTERNOON UNDER FAIR WEATHER CUMULUS. SOUTHERLY
WINDS 10-15 KNOTS GUSTING TO NEAR 20 KNOTS AT TIMES THIS AFTERNOON
WILL BECOME LIGHT AND VARIABLE OVERNIGHT INTO FRIDAY. /22
MARINE
ISSUED AT 138 PM CDT THU JUL 23 2026
A LIGHT SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL BECOME VARIABLE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY
MORNING AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES ACROSS THE AREA. A LIGHT
ONSHORE FLOW WILL RESUME FRIDAY AFTERNOON SHIFTING WESTERLY IN THE
EVENING AND THEN NORTHWESTERLY LATE FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY. A
MORE ESTABLISHED LIGHT TO MODERATE WESTERLY FLOW WILL OCCUR OVER
THE WEEKEND AS A SURFACE RIDGE SETS UP ACROSS THE GULF. /22
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 74 95 74 97 / 0 0 0 10
PENSACOLA 76 93 77 95 / 0 0 0 10
DESTIN 77 91 78 93 / 0 0 0 10
EVERGREEN 71 94 73 94 / 10 10 10 20
WAYNESBORO 74 96 75 97 / 10 20 10 10
CAMDEN 74 92 75 92 / 10 20 20 20
CRESTVIEW 71 96 73 97 / 0 10 10 20
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON FOR ALZ265-266.
FL...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON FOR FLZ202-204-
206.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
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