876
FXUS64 KMOB 091715
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1215 PM CDT SUN AUG 9 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1213 PM CDT SUN AUG 9 2026
- ISOLATED TO SCATTERED STORMS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
- HEAT INDICES AROUND 100-107 DEGREES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH MID
NEXT WEEK.
- A LOW RISK OF RIP CURRENTS DEVELOPS IS EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY
AT AREA BEACHES.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1225 AM CDT SUN AUG 9 2026
THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT, AN UPPER RIDGE CENTERED OFF THE EAST COAST
SHIFTS WEST OVER THE NORTHERN GULF COAST, WITH A SURFACE RIDGE
SHIFTING WEST OVER THE CENTRAL GULF. GUIDANCE IS ADVERTISING
MOISTURE LEVELS OVER THE FORECAST AREA RISING INTO THE 2.1"-2.3"
RANGE, THOUGH VARY ON RAINFALL TODAY, WITH VARYING SUBSIDENCE FROM
THE SHIFTING UPPER RIDGE. DID GO A BIT ABOVE SEASONAL NORMS FOR
POPS TODAY, WITH SCATTERED, MAINLY AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. POPS WILL SEE A DOWNWARD TREND INTO TUESDAY, WITH
MOISTURE LEVELS DECREASING OVER THE AREA COMBINING WITH INCREASING
UPPER SUBSIDENCE FROM THE UPPER RIDGE AS IT MOVES OVER THE
NORTHERN GULF COAST. TEMPERATURES REMAIN A BIT ABOVE SEASONAL
NORMS OVER THE FORECAST AREA, RANGING FROM AROUND 90 ALONG THE
COAST TO AROUND 95 INLAND. DAYTIME HEAT INDICES GENERALLY IN THE
100-107 RANGE ARE EXPECTED, THOUGH LOCAL VALUES NEAR 110 ARE
POSSIBLE TUESDAY. LOW TEMPERATURE REMAIN AT ABOVE SEASONAL NORMS
THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT, WITH LOW TO MID 70S INLAND, UPPER 70S ALONG
THE COAST.
WEDNESDAY ON, THE UPPER RIDGE OVER THE NORTHERN GULF COAST SHIFTS
NORTH TO OVER THE SOUTHEAST. INCREASING SUBSIDENCE WILL BRING
INCREASING TEMPERATURES (MID TO UPPER 90S BY FRIDAY), WITH
ACCOMPANYING HEAT INDICES RISING TO ADVISORY LEVELS FOR THE LATTER
HALF OF THE COMING WEEK. POPS DECREASE WITH THE INCREASING UPPER
SUBSIDENCE, WITH GENERAL ISOLATED POPS BY THE END OF THE WEEK.
TAKING A LOOK AT THE RIP CURRENT RISK ON AREA BEACHES, A GENERAL
LOW RISK IS EXPECTED INTO MID WEEK, WITH THE ONSHORE FLOW LESS
ORGANIZED. AN UPTICK TO A LOW MODERATE IS INDICATED THE END OF THE
WEEK, ESPECIALLY OVER OUR FLORIDA BEACHES. /16
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1214 PM CDT SUN AUG 9 2026
MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITH ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS
AND STORMS THIS AFTERNOON, WITH PATCHY FOG POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT
AS WELL. VFR CONDITIONS ARE OTHERWISE ANTICIPATED TO PREVAIL. A
SOUTHEASTERLY TO SOUTHERLY FLOW AT 5-10 KNOTS THIS AFTERNOON
BECOMES LIGHT AND VARIABLE THIS EVENING. /29
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1225 AM CDT SUN AUG 9 2026
AN AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD WESTWARD ACROSS THE NORTHERN
GULF THROUGH NEXT WEEK. A LIGHT TO OCCASIONALLY MODERATE SOUTHERLY
FLOW DEVELOPS ON SUNDAY AND BECOMES SOUTHWEST BY THE MIDDLE OF
NEXT WEEK AS THE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS WEST. /16
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 75 91 74 91 / 20 40 10 20
PENSACOLA 79 90 78 91 / 20 40 10 10
DESTIN 80 89 79 90 / 10 20 0 10
EVERGREEN 73 92 73 93 / 10 40 10 20
WAYNESBORO 73 94 74 95 / 10 30 10 20
CAMDEN 73 91 74 92 / 10 30 10 20
CRESTVIEW 73 92 73 93 / 10 30 0 20
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...NONE.
FL...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
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