014
FXUS64 KMOB 112345
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
645 PM CDT SAT APR 11 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 645 PM CDT SAT APR 11 2026
- TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO WARM THROUGH NEXT WEEK AND REMAIN
ABOVE NORMAL.
- MODERATE TO EXTREME DROUGHT WITH NO RAIN IN THE FORECAST
THROUGH NEXT WEEK WILL EXACERBATE WILDFIRE ACTIVITY.
- A MODERATE RIP CURRENT RISK IS EXPECTED FOR COASTAL ALABAMA AND
NORTHWEST FLORIDA BEACHES SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1131 AM CDT SAT APR 11 2026
AN UPPER RIDGE BUILDS INTO THE REGION TODAY THEN BECOMES ORIENTED
ACROSS THE EASTERN GULF TO MIDWAY UP ALONG THE EAST COAST ON
SUNDAY. THE UPPER RIDGE REMAINS CLOSE TO THIS POSITION THROUGH
WEDNESDAY THEN IS DEFLECTED PARTIALLY OFF INTO THE WESTERN
ATLANTIC ON THURSDAY BY AN UPPER TROF PROGRESSING ACROSS THE
EASTERN STATES. THE UPPER RIDGE RETURNS BACK CLOSE TO ITS ORIGINAL
POSITION FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY WHILE A LARGE UPPER TROF ADVANCES
INTO/ACROSS THE CENTRAL STATES. A SURFACE RIDGE ORIENTED OVER THE
SOUTHEASTERN STATES ALLOWS FOR A LIGHT SOUTHEASTERLY TO SOUTHERLY
SURFACE FLOW TO BECOME ESTABLISHED OVER THE FORECAST AREA WHICH
BECOMES PREDOMINATELY SOUTHERLY FOR WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.
DEPENDING ON HOW QUICKLY THE LARGE UPPER TROF PROGRESSES
INTO/ACROSS THE CENTRAL STATES LATE IN THE PERIOD, IT'S POSSIBLE
THAT AN ASSOCIATED SURFACE LOW COULD BRING A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY
INTO THE FORECAST AREA AS EARLY AS SATURDAY NIGHT. WE WILL
MONITOR THIS UPCOMING SYSTEM TO SEE IF IT BRINGS SOME RESPITE FROM
THE LACK OF RAIN, BUT OTHERWISE SUBSIDENCE EFFECTS FROM THE UPPER
RIDGE LOOK TO MAINTAIN DRY CONDITIONS FOR THE FORECAST AREA.
HAVE GONE WITH A LOW RISK OF RIP CURRENTS TONIGHT, THEN A MODERATE
RISK FOLLOWS FOR SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. HIGHS WILL BE MOSTLY IN
THE LOWER TO MID 80S THROUGH THURSDAY, THEN TREND TO MOSTLY THE
MID TO UPPER 80S FOR FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. LOWS TONIGHT RANGE FROM
THE MID 50S WELL INLAND TO AROUND 60 AT THE COAST THEN GRADUALLY
TREND TO THE LOWER TO MID 60S BY SATURDAY NIGHT. /29
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 645 PM CDT SAT APR 11 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH LATE EVENING FOLLOWED BY
VISIBILITIES LOWERING AS PATCHY TO AREAS OF FOG FORMING ALONG THE
COAST SPREADS INLAND TO HIGHWAY-84 OVERNIGHT. IFR LEVELS ARE
LIKELY, WITH LOCALIZED VLIFR AND LIFR LEVELS POSSIBLE, ESPECIALLY
TOWARDS SUNRISE. THIS FOG IS EXPECTED TO QUICKLY MIX OUT SOON
AFTER SUNRISE. WINDS BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE OVERNIGHT WILL
RESUME AN SOUTHERLY COMPONENT AT 5 TO 10 KNOTS SUNDAY MORNING,
WITH COASTAL SITES BECOMING SOUTHEASTERLY TO SOUTHERLY AROUND 10
KNOTS. /22
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1131 AM CDT SAT APR 11 2026
A LIGHT TO MODERATE SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW DEVELOPS THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENTUALLY TURNS SOUTHERLY ON THURSDAY. /29
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 58 82 61 82 / 0 0 0 0
PENSACOLA 61 77 63 78 / 0 0 0 0
DESTIN 62 76 64 75 / 0 0 0 0
EVERGREEN 54 87 54 85 / 0 0 0 0
WAYNESBORO 55 85 59 85 / 0 0 0 0
CAMDEN 55 86 56 84 / 0 0 0 0
CRESTVIEW 54 85 54 83 / 0 0 0 0
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...NONE.
FL...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
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