555
ACPN50 PHFO 211156
TWOCP
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 AM HST MON OCT 21 2019
FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180W:
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH A WELL-DEFINED LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED MORE THAN 1000 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS HAVE INCREASED AND BECOME A LITTLE BETTER
ORGANIZED SINCE SUNDAY. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR CONDUCIVE
FOR ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM, AND A TROPICAL
DEPRESSION COULD FORM DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS WHILE THE
SYSTEM MOVES WESTWARD TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT ABOUT 10 MPH.
UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME LESS FAVORABLE FOR
DEVELOPMENT BY THE MIDDLE TO LATTER PART OF THE WEEK. THE LOW IS
EXPECTED TO CROSS INTO THE CENTRAL PACIFIC BASIN LATER THIS
MORNING.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...MEDIUM...40 PERCENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 5 DAYS...MEDIUM...40 PERCENT.
ELSEWHERE, NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.
FORECASTER KINEL
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