555  
ACPN50 PHFO 211156  
TWOCP  
 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK  
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI  
200 AM HST MON OCT 21 2019  
 
FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180W:  
 
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH A WELL-DEFINED LOW  
PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED MORE THAN 1000 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE  
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS HAVE INCREASED AND BECOME A LITTLE BETTER  
ORGANIZED SINCE SUNDAY. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR CONDUCIVE  
FOR ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM, AND A TROPICAL  
DEPRESSION COULD FORM DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS WHILE THE  
SYSTEM MOVES WESTWARD TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT ABOUT 10 MPH.  
UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME LESS FAVORABLE FOR  
DEVELOPMENT BY THE MIDDLE TO LATTER PART OF THE WEEK. THE LOW IS  
EXPECTED TO CROSS INTO THE CENTRAL PACIFIC BASIN LATER THIS  
MORNING.  
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...MEDIUM...40 PERCENT.  
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 5 DAYS...MEDIUM...40 PERCENT.  
 
ELSEWHERE, NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.  
 

 
FORECASTER KINEL  
 
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