898  
FGUS73 KARX 291407  
ESFARX  
IAC005-037-043-065-067-089-131-191-MNC039-045-055-099-109-157-169-  
WIC001-011-019-023-043-053-057-063-081-103-119-121-123-282359-  
 
PROBABILISTIC HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI  
800 AM CST THU FEB 29 2024  
 
   
..SECOND 2024 SPRING FLOOD AND WATER RESOURCES OUTLOOK
 
 
THE OVERALL RISK FOR FLOODING THIS SPRING IS BELOW NORMAL ALONG THE  
MAINSTEM OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER AND ITS ASSOCIATED TRIBUTARIES  
ACROSS SOUTHEAST MINNESOTA, NORTHEAST IOWA, AND SOUTHWEST WISCONSIN.  
 
THE FINAL PLANNED SPRING FLOOD OUTLOOK RELEASE WILL BE ON THURSDAY,  
MARCH 14TH, 2024.  
 
THIS INFORMATION IS THE SECOND OF THREE PLANNED SPRING FLOOD AND  
WATER RESOURCES OUTLOOKS PROVIDING SPRING SNOWMELT AND FLOOD  
POTENTIAL INFORMATION FOR THIS UPCOMING SPRING. THE INFORMATION THAT  
GOES INTO THIS OUTLOOK WAS COLLECTED FROM A NUMBER OF NATIONAL  
WEATHER SERVICE PARTNERS INCLUDING THE UNITED STATES GEOLOGICAL  
SURVEY, US ARMY CORPS OF ENGINEERS, MIDWESTERN REGIONAL CLIMATE  
CENTER, US DROUGHT MONITOR, CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER, AND NOAA’S  
OFFICE OF WATER PREDICTION.  
 
THIS OUTLOOK IS A SUMMARY OF THE PAST AND PRESENT BASIN CONDITIONS  
FOR PARTS OF SOUTHEAST MINNESOTA, NORTHEAST IOWA, AND SOUTHWEST INTO  
CENTRAL WISCONSIN.  
   
..FLOOD POTENTIAL SUMMARY HIGHLIGHTS
 
 
THE OVERALL FLOOD RISK FOR THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI RIVER BASIN IS  
BELOW NORMAL.  
   
..PAST PRECIPITATION
 
 
DURING AUTUMN 2023, IT WAS MAINLY DRIER THAN NORMAL (UP TO 4” DRIER  
THAN NORMAL) ACROSS NORTHEAST IOWA, SOUTHEAST MINNESOTA, AND SOUTH  
OF INTERSTATE 90 IN WESTERN WISCONSIN. MEANWHILE, IT WAS WETTER-THAN-  
NORMAL (1 TO 6” ABOVE NORMAL) NORTH OF INTERSTATE 90. MUCH OF THIS  
PRECIPITATION FELL (2 TO 7”) FROM OCTOBER 23 THROUGH OCTOBER 25.  
 
AS TYPICAL DURING EL NIñO, MUCH OF THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI RIVER  
VALLEY WAS DRIER THAN NORMAL DURING METEOROLOGICAL WINTER.  
PRECIPITATION DEFICITS RANGED FROM NEAR NORMAL TO 2” DRIER THAN  
NORMAL NORTH OF A CHARLES CITY, IA TO BLACK RIVER FALLS, WI LINE.  
PRECIPITATION SURPLUSES WERE UP 1” IN SOUTHWEST WISCONSIN.  
 
THIS PRECIPITATION DURING AUTUMN AND WINTER WAS NOT ENOUGH TO  
ALLEVIATE THE LARGE PRECIPITATION DEFICITS THAT HAD INCREASED DURING  
THE 2023 GROWING SEASON (SINCE APRIL 1). PRECIPITATION DEPARTURES  
RANGED FROM 8 TO JUST OVER 19 ALONG AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 90. THE  
DRIEST AREAS WERE IN NORTHEAST IOWA. DUE TO THIS, THESE AREAS ARE  
STILL EXPERIENCING MODERATE (D1) TO EXTREME DROUGHT (D3). THE LAST  
TIME THAT IT HAS BEEN THIS DRY GOING INTO A SPRING WAS BACK IN 2004.  
DURING THAT YEAR, NEARLY 60% OF THE LA CROSSE HYDROLOGIC SERVICE  
AREA (HSA) WAS IN SEVERE (D2) DROUGHT.  
 
SINCE THE LAST OUTLOOK, WE HAVE NOT SEEN ENOUGH ADDITIONAL  
PRECIPITATION TO TIP THE FLOOD PROBABILITY SCALES THE OTHER  
DIRECTION. ACROSS THE REGION, PRECIPITATION VALUES FOR THE PAST TWO  
WEEKS HAVE RANGED FROM AROUND 0.25 INCHES UP TO 0.75 INCHES NEAR THE  
TWIN CITIES IN MINNESOTA.  
   
..RIVER CONDITIONS
 
 
OVERALL, THE AMOUNT OF WATER CURRENTLY MOVING THROUGH OUR RIVERS IS  
NEAR THE LONG-TERM AVERAGE. DUE TO A DECEMBER RAIN AND AN EARLIER-  
THAN-NORMAL SNOW MELT, A FEW RIVERS ARE FLOWING ABOVE NORMAL, BUT  
THAT’S SIMPLY AN ARTIFACT OF RIVERS NORMALLY NOT ADDING ADDITIONAL  
INFLOW THIS EARLY IN THE YEAR.  
   
..SOIL MOISTURE AND FROST DEPTHS
 
 
LAST SEPTEMBER, MOST OF THE REGION WAS IN A DROUGHT STATUS. SINCE  
THEN, PARTS OF THE AREA HAVE EXPERIENCED HEAVIER RAINS IN OCTOBER  
AND AGAIN IN DECEMBER. WHILE DROUGHT CONDITIONS HAVE IMPROVED FOR  
SOME, SIGNIFICANT AREAS OF DROUGHT STILL PREVAIL, ESPECIALLY ACROSS  
PARTS OF IOWA.  
 
DUE TO THE ABNORMALLY WARM TEMPERATURES THIS WINTER, FROST DEPTHS  
ARE WELL BELOW NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. OUR ENTIRE REGION IS  
FREE OF FROST AND ANY FUTURE PRECIPITATION WILL BE ABLE TO ABSORB  
INTO THE SOILS FREELY.  
   
..SNOW COVER AND LIQUID WATER CONTENT
 
 
A STRONG EL-NIñO THIS WINTER HAS PLAYED A BIG ROLE IN ONE OF THE  
WARMEST WINTERS ON RECORD ACROSS THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI RIVER BASIN.  
ANY SNOW THAT THE REGION HAS RECEIVED HAS LARGELY MELTED ALREADY,  
LEAVING LITTLE TO NO SNOWPACK LEFT FOR A SPRING MELT RUNOFF.  
   
..RIVER ICE CONDITIONS
 
 
THE NEAR RECORD-SETTING WARMTH THIS WINTER HAS LED TO WELL-BELOW-  
NORMAL RIVER ICE CONDITIONS ACROSS THE REGION.  
   
..WEATHER OUTLOOK
 
 
THE ABOVE CONDITIONS CAN AND OFTEN CHANGE. THE BIGGEST FACTOR  
AFFECTING SPRING FLOOD RISKS IS THE WEATHER CONDITIONS DURING THE  
SENSITIVE PERIOD OF MELTING SNOW. THIS YEAR, WITHOUT THE PRESENCE OF  
A SNOWPACK, FUTURE PRECIPITATION IS THE MAIN DRIVER OF ANY FLOOD  
RISK MOVING FORWARD.  
 
FOR MARCH, NOAA’S CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER (CPC) HAS A SLIGHT SHIFT  
IN THE PROBABILITIES TOWARD WARMER THAN NORMAL ALONG AND NORTH OF  
INTERSTATE 94. ELSEWHERE, THERE ARE EQUAL CHANCES OF WARMER-, NEAR-,  
AND COLDER-THAN-NORMAL. THERE ARE EQUAL CHANCES OF WETTER-, NEAR-,  
AND DRIER-THAN-NORMAL. NORMAL TEMPERATURES IN MARCH RANGE FROM 27 TO  
30°F NORTH OF WISCONSIN HIGHWAY 29 AND FROM 30 TO 35°F ELSEWHERE.  
MARCH PRECIPITATION NORMALS RANGE FROM 1.6 TO 2 INCHES ALONG AND  
NORTH OF INTERSTATE 94, AND FROM 2 TO 2.4 ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF  
THE AREA. THIS FORECAST WILL BE UPDATED ON FRIDAY, MARCH 1.  
 
DURING THE 7 STRONG EL NIñOS SINCE 1949-50, 4 HAVE BEEN AMONG THE  
WARMEST THIRD, AND THE REMAINING 3 WERE NEAR NORMAL. PRECIPITATION  
WAS HIGHLY VARIABLE WITH 4 BEING AMONG THE WETTEST THIRD, 2 AMONG  
THE DRIEST THIRD, AND 1 NEAR NORMAL. SNOWFALL WAS ALSO HIGHLY  
VARIABLE WITH 4 AMONG THE THIRD LEAST, 2 AMONG THE SNOWIEST THIRD,  
AND 1 NEAR NORMAL.  
 
FOR SPRING, NOAA’S CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER CURRENTLY SHOWS AROUND  
A 40 PERCENT CHANCE FOR ABOVE-NORMAL TEMPERATURES THROUGH MARCH,  
APRIL, AND MAY. THERE ARE EQUAL CHANCES FOR WETTER, NEAR, AND DRIER-  
THAN-NORMAL PRECIPITATION THIS SPRING. THE NORMAL PRECIPITATION  
RANGE DURING THESE 3 MONTHS RANGES FROM ROUGHLY 8 TO 11 INCHES OF  
PRECIPITATION.  
   
..DEFINITIONS
 
 
IN TABLE 1 BELOW, THE CURRENT (CS) AND HISTORICAL (HS) OR NORMAL  
PROBABILITIES OF EXCEEDING MINOR, MODERATE, AND MAJOR FLOOD STAGES  
ARE LISTED FOR THE VALID TIME PERIOD.  
 
CS VALUES INDICATE THE PROBABILITY OF REACHING A FLOOD CATEGORY  
BASED ON CURRENT CONDITIONS.  
 
HS VALUES INDICATE THE PROBABILITY OF REACHING A FLOOD CATEGORY  
BASED ON HISTORICAL OR NORMAL CONDITIONS.  
 
WHEN THE VALUE OF CS IS GREATER THAN HS, THE PROBABILITY OF  
EXCEEDING THAT LEVEL IS HIGHER THAN NORMAL. WHEN THE VALUE OF CS IS  
LESS THAN HS...THE PROBABILITY OF EXCEEDING THAT LEVEL IS LOWER THAN  
NORMAL.  
 
THE TERM MINOR FLOODING IS USED TO INDICATE MINIMAL OR NO PROPERTY  
DAMAGE. HOWEVER, SOME PUBLIC INCONVENIENCE IS POSSIBLE.  
 
THE TERM MODERATE FLOODING IS USED TO INDICATE SOME INUNDATIONS OF  
STRUCTURES AND ROADS NEAR STREAMS. SOME EVACUATIONS OF PEOPLE AND/OR  
TRANSFER OF PROPERTY TO HIGHER ELEVATIONS MAY BE NEEDED.  
 
THE TERM MAJOR FLOODING IS USED TO INDICATE EXTENSIVE INUNDATIONS OF  
STRUCTURES AND ROADS. SIGNIFICANT EVACUATIONS OF PEOPLE AND/OR  
TRANSFER OF PROPERTY TO HIGHER ELEVATIONS WILL BE NEEDED.  
 
   
..TABLE 1--PROBABILITIES FOR MINOR, MODERATE AND MAJOR FLOODING
 
 
VALID PERIOD: 03/04/2024 - 06/02/2024  
 
: CURRENT AND HISTORICAL  
: CHANCES OF EXCEEDING  
: FLOOD CATEGORIES  
: AS A PERCENTAGE (%)  
CATEGORICAL :  
FLOOD STAGES (FT) : MINOR MODERATE MAJOR  
LOCATION MINOR MOD MAJOR : CS HS CS HS CS HS  
 
-------- ----- ----- ----- : --- --- --- --- --- ---  
:MISSISSIPPI RIVER  
LAKE CITY 16.0 18.0 20.0 : <5 26 <5 8 <5 <5  
WABASHA 12.0 14.0 16.0 : 24 61 <5 23 <5 8  
ALMA DAM 4 16.0 17.0 18.0 : <5 7 <5 6 <5 <5  
MN CITY DAM 5 660.0 662.0 665.0 : 6 28 <5 15 <5 6  
WINONA DAM 5A 655.0 659.0 661.0 : 9 39 <5 9 <5 5  
WINONA 13.0 15.0 18.0 : 13 47 <5 24 <5 8  
TREMPEALEAU 647.0 649.0 651.0 : 8 37 <5 16 <5 6  
LA CRESCENT 641.0 643.0 645.0 : 7 30 <5 14 <5 7  
LA CROSSE 12.0 13.0 15.5 : 12 49 6 26 <5 8  
GENOA 631.0 634.0 636.0 : 16 51 <5 14 <5 7  
LANSING 17.0 19.0 20.0 : <5 12 <5 7 <5 <5  
LYNXVILLE 625.0 628.0 631.0 : 5 25 <5 9 <5 <5  
MCGREGOR 16.0 19.0 22.0 : 14 55 <5 32 <5 10  
GUTTENBERG 15.0 18.0 21.0 : 11 47 <5 16 <5 6  
:ZUMBRO RIVER  
ZUMBRO FALLS 18.0 24.0 26.0 : <5 10 <5 <5 <5 <5  
:SOUTH FORK ZUMBRO RIVER  
ROCHESTER 14.0 18.0 20.0 : <5 <5 <5 <5 <5 <5  
:ROOT RIVER  
HOUSTON 15.0 17.0 18.0 : <5 9 <5 <5 <5 <5  
:SOUTH BRANCH ROOT RIVER  
LANESBORO 12.0 16.0 18.0 : <5 <5 <5 <5 <5 <5  
:CEDAR RIVER  
LANSING 18.0 20.0 22.0 : <5 6 <5 <5 <5 <5  
AUSTIN 15.0 18.0 20.0 : <5 7 <5 5 <5 <5  
CHARLES CITY 12.0 15.0 18.0 : <5 22 <5 8 <5 7  
:TURTLE CREEK  
AUSTIN 10.5 12.0 14.0 : 7 17 <5 11 <5 <5  
:TURKEY RIVER  
SPILLVILLE 9.0 11.0 13.0 : 5 42 <5 31 <5 16  
ELKADER 12.0 16.0 20.0 : 16 45 5 18 <5 <5  
GARBER 17.0 20.0 23.0 : 10 34 8 20 5 8  
:UPPER IOWA RIVER  
BLUFFTON 14.0 16.0 18.0 : <5 <5 <5 <5 <5 <5  
DECORAH 12.0 13.0 14.0 : <5 <5 <5 <5 <5 <5  
DORCHESTER 14.0 17.0 19.0 : 10 23 6 10 <5 <5  
:TREMPEALEAU RIVER  
ARCADIA 8.0 9.0 10.0 : 7 <5 <5 <5 <5 <5  
DODGE 10.5 11.0 12.0 : 10 22 8 10 <5 <5  
:BLACK RIVER  
NEILLSVILLE 18.0 20.0 22.0 : <5 <5 <5 <5 <5 <5  
BLACK RIVER FALLS 47.0 51.0 55.0 : 28 62 12 30 <5 8  
GALESVILLE 12.0 13.0 15.0 : 23 56 11 39 <5 <5  
:KICKAPOO RIVER  
LA FARGE 12.0 13.0 14.0 : <5 <5 <5 <5 <5 <5  
VIOLA 14.0 16.0 18.0 : <5 7 <5 <5 <5 <5  
READSTOWN 11.0 14.0 16.0 : 13 30 <5 <5 <5 <5  
SOLDIERS GROVE 13.0 16.0 19.0 : 7 19 <5 <5 <5 <5  
GAYS MILLS 13.0 15.0 17.0 : 25 42 <5 7 <5 <5  
STEUBEN 12.0 13.0 15.0 : <5 16 <5 6 <5 <5  
:WISCONSIN RIVER  
MUSCODA 9.0 10.0 11.0 : <5 18 <5 7 <5 <5  
:YELLOW RIVER  
NECEDAH 15.0 16.5 18.0 : 28 76 9 47 <5 16  
 
LEGEND  
CS = CONDITIONAL SIMULATION (CURRENT OUTLOOK)  
HS = HISTORICAL SIMULATION  
FT = FEET  
 
IN TABLE 2 BELOW, THE 95 THROUGH 5 PERCENT COLUMNS INDICATE THE  
PROBABILITY OF EXCEEDING THE LISTED STAGE LEVELS (FT) FOR THE VALID  
TIME PERIOD.  
   
..TABLE 2--EXCEEDANCE PROBABILITIES
 
 
CHANCE OF EXCEEDING STAGES  
AT SPECIFIC LOCATIONS  
VALID PERIOD: 03/04/2024 - 06/02/2024  
LOCATION 95% 90% 75% 50% 25% 10% 5%  
-------- ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------  
:MISSISSIPPI RIVER  
LAKE CITY 7.7 8.0 9.8 11.4 13.6 15.1 15.8  
WABASHA 7.9 8.1 9.2 10.2 11.9 12.9 13.4  
ALMA DAM 4 5.6 5.8 7.0 8.3 10.5 11.9 12.7  
MN CITY DAM 5 651.9 652.2 653.5 655.0 657.5 659.1 660.4  
WINONA DAM 5A 646.7 646.9 648.7 650.4 653.1 654.8 656.4  
WINONA 6.0 6.2 7.1 8.7 11.5 13.3 14.8  
TREMPEALEAU 640.6 640.9 642.1 643.3 645.4 646.7 648.0  
LA CRESCENT 633.1 633.5 635.3 636.6 639.1 640.3 641.6  
LA CROSSE 5.7 6.0 7.2 8.5 10.9 12.1 13.2  
GENOA 623.4 623.9 626.1 627.6 630.1 631.3 632.6  
LANSING 8.2 8.4 8.9 9.8 11.8 13.2 14.9  
LYNXVILLE 615.6 616.0 618.2 619.5 622.0 623.5 625.2  
MCGREGOR 8.6 9.2 10.7 12.0 14.5 17.0 18.3  
GUTTENBERG 7.2 8.4 9.8 11.2 13.4 15.2 16.1  
:ZUMBRO RIVER  
ZUMBRO FALLS 5.8 6.2 7.2 9.4 10.5 12.5 16.8  
:SOUTH FORK ZUMBRO RIVER  
ROCHESTER 3.5 3.8 4.3 5.3 6.2 7.3 10.9  
:ROOT RIVER  
HOUSTON 3.7 4.0 4.7 5.6 6.9 8.2 9.7  
:SOUTH BRANCH ROOT RIVER  
LANESBORO 1.7 1.9 2.2 2.6 3.6 5.4 6.9  
:CEDAR RIVER  
LANSING 10.8 11.3 12.4 13.6 14.8 15.6 16.0  
AUSTIN 4.8 5.4 6.4 7.9 9.4 10.7 11.3  
CHARLES CITY 2.8 3.2 4.1 5.8 7.5 9.4 10.9  
:TURTLE CREEK  
AUSTIN 2.5 2.8 4.4 5.9 7.6 9.6 11.2  
:TURKEY RIVER  
SPILLVILLE 2.0 2.2 2.9 3.9 4.9 6.2 10.2  
ELKADER 6.6 7.2 7.6 8.9 10.6 13.7 16.4  
GARBER 7.2 7.7 8.6 10.3 13.1 16.9 23.9  
:UPPER IOWA RIVER  
BLUFFTON 4.2 4.5 5.2 5.7 6.7 7.8 8.5  
DECORAH 2.7 2.9 3.2 3.7 4.6 6.6 8.4  
DORCHESTER 8.0 8.3 8.9 9.7 11.0 13.8 17.9  
:TREMPEALEAU RIVER  
ARCADIA 4.1 4.2 5.6 6.5 7.1 7.7 8.1  
DODGE 6.7 6.9 8.4 8.9 9.5 10.6 11.2  
:BLACK RIVER  
NEILLSVILLE 6.0 7.2 8.0 9.3 10.5 12.8 13.2  
BLACK RIVER FALLS 39.9 41.1 42.5 44.4 47.3 51.1 52.2  
GALESVILLE 6.9 7.8 8.9 10.3 11.9 13.1 13.4  
:KICKAPOO RIVER  
LA FARGE 4.2 4.8 5.4 6.3 7.7 9.1 9.9  
VIOLA 8.6 9.2 9.7 10.3 11.5 13.0 13.4  
READSTOWN 5.5 6.2 7.1 8.5 10.4 11.4 11.9  
SOLDIERS GROVE 6.5 6.9 8.4 9.8 12.1 12.9 13.3  
GAYS MILLS 7.9 8.3 9.3 11.3 12.9 13.6 14.0  
STEUBEN 7.4 7.8 8.6 9.7 10.4 11.5 11.9  
:WISCONSIN RIVER  
MUSCODA 2.8 3.2 3.7 4.5 6.2 7.2 7.9  
:YELLOW RIVER  
NECEDAH 11.5 11.8 13.0 13.9 15.4 16.4 17.1  
 
IN TABLE 3 BELOW, THE 95 THROUGH 5 PERCENT COLUMNS INDICATE THE  
PROBABILITY OF FALLING BELOW THE LISTED STAGE LEVELS (FT) FOR  
THE VALID TIME PERIOD.  
   
..TABLE 3--NONEXCEEDANCE PROBABILITIES
 
 
CHANCE OF FALLING BELOW STAGES  
AT SPECIFIC LOCATIONS  
VALID PERIOD: 03/04/2024 - 06/02/2024  
LOCATION 95% 90% 75% 50% 25% 10% 5%  
-------- ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------  
:MISSISSIPPI RIVER  
LAKE CITY 6.9 6.8 6.5 6.4 6.2 6.0 5.9  
WABASHA 7.5 7.4 7.2 7.2 7.1 6.9 6.9  
ALMA DAM 4 5.0 4.8 4.6 4.5 4.4 4.3 4.3  
MN CITY DAM 5 651.4 651.4 651.3 651.2 651.2 651.1 651.1  
WINONA DAM 5A 646.1 646.1 646.0 645.9 645.8 645.7 645.6  
WINONA 5.7 5.7 5.6 5.5 5.5 5.5 5.4  
TREMPEALEAU 640.2 640.0 639.8 639.7 639.6 639.5 639.4  
LA CRESCENT 632.3 632.1 631.8 631.7 631.5 631.4 631.3  
LA CROSSE 5.4 5.3 5.2 5.1 5.0 4.9 4.8  
GENOA 622.4 622.1 621.8 621.5 621.2 620.9 620.8  
LANSING 8.0 8.0 7.9 7.9 7.8 7.8 7.7  
LYNXVILLE 614.6 614.1 613.9 613.5 613.1 612.7 612.4  
MCGREGOR 8.3 8.1 8.1 7.9 7.7 7.5 7.3  
GUTTENBERG 6.1 5.6 5.3 4.8 4.3 4.1 3.9  
:ZUMBRO RIVER  
ZUMBRO FALLS 5.5 5.2 5.1 5.0 5.0 4.8 4.8  
:SOUTH FORK ZUMBRO RIVER  
ROCHESTER 2.7 2.6 2.5 2.4 2.4 2.3 2.3  
:ROOT RIVER  
HOUSTON 3.3 3.2 3.1 3.0 2.9 2.9 2.8  
:SOUTH BRANCH ROOT RIVER  
LANESBORO 1.5 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.3 1.2 1.2  
:CEDAR RIVER  
LANSING 9.3 9.2 9.1 9.0 9.0 9.0 9.0  
AUSTIN 3.4 3.3 3.2 3.0 3.0 3.0 2.9  
CHARLES CITY 2.2 2.0 1.9 1.9 1.8 1.7 1.7  
:TURTLE CREEK  
AUSTIN 1.6 1.4 1.3 1.2 1.1 1.0 1.0  
:TURKEY RIVER  
SPILLVILLE 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.6  
ELKADER 5.6 5.5 5.3 5.3 5.2 5.1 5.0  
GARBER 6.2 6.2 6.0 5.9 5.8 5.7 5.6  
:UPPER IOWA RIVER  
BLUFFTON 3.2 3.0 2.9 2.8 2.8 2.7 2.7  
DECORAH 1.8 1.6 1.5 1.4 1.4 1.3 1.3  
DORCHESTER 6.9 6.8 6.7 6.6 6.6 6.5 6.5  
:TREMPEALEAU RIVER  
ARCADIA 3.4 3.3 3.3 3.2 3.2 3.1 3.1  
DODGE 5.5 5.5 5.3 5.2 5.1 5.0 5.0  
:BLACK RIVER  
NEILLSVILLE 3.4 3.2 3.1 3.0 2.9 2.9 2.9  
BLACK RIVER FALLS 36.6 36.4 36.3 36.2 36.1 36.0 36.0  
GALESVILLE 4.0 3.8 3.6 3.5 3.4 3.4 3.3  
:KICKAPOO RIVER  
LA FARGE 3.2 3.1 3.0 3.0 2.9 2.9 2.8  
VIOLA 7.4 7.3 7.2 7.1 7.0 6.8 6.8  
READSTOWN 4.1 3.9 3.8 3.7 3.7 3.6 3.5  
SOLDIERS GROVE 5.1 4.6 4.4 4.0 3.7 3.3 3.2  
GAYS MILLS 6.8 6.6 6.5 6.4 6.2 5.9 5.8  
STEUBEN 6.5 6.3 6.2 6.0 5.8 5.7 5.6  
:WISCONSIN RIVER  
MUSCODA 1.4 0.9 0.4 0.1 -0.2 -0.3 -0.3  
:YELLOW RIVER  
NECEDAH 9.8 9.7 9.6 9.6 9.5 9.4 9.4  
 
THESE LONG-RANGE PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOKS CONTAIN FORECAST VALUES THAT  
ARE CALCULATED USING MULTIPLE SEASON SCENARIOS FROM 30 OR MORE YEARS  
OF CLIMATOLOGICAL DATA, INCLUDING CURRENT CONDITIONS OF THE  
RIVER, SOIL MOISTURE, SNOW COVER, AND 30 AND 90 DAY LONG-RANGE  
OUTLOOKS OF TEMPERATURE AND PRECIPITATION. BY PROVIDING A RANGE  
OF PROBABILITIES...THE LEVEL OF RISE ASSOCIATED WITH LONG-RANGE  
PLANNING DECISIONS CAN BE DETERMINED. THESE PROBABILISTIC  
FORECASTS ARE PART OF THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE'S ADVANCED  
HYDROLOGIC PREDICTION SERVICE.  
 
ALL OF THIS INFORMATION IS ALSO AVAILABLE IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT  
ON THE INTERNET AT:  
 
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/LACROSSE  
 
THE NEXT OUTLOOK WILL BE ISSUED MARCH 14TH.  
 

 
 
JAW  
 
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