311  
FNUS73 KARX 261320  
FWSARX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR GRB HILL...MINNESOTA DNR  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI  
820 AM CDT FRI APR 26 2024  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 CDT ON APRIL 26.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (608) 784-8292 IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
RAIN SHOWERS MOVE IN AROUND 10 TO 11 AM, THOUGH THEY WILL BE IN A  
WEAKENING STATE AND BECOMING MORE SCATTERED IN NATURE. ADDITIONAL  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MAY REDEVELOP DURING THE MID-AFTERNOON  
HOURS WITH A THIRD ROUND OF STORMS POSSIBLE AFTER SUNSET. OVERALL  
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE TO TWO TENTHS OF AN INCH ARE EXPECTED  
THROUGH THE DAY, BUT COULD BE HIGHER IN ANY THUNDERSTORM. RIDGE TOP  
WINDS WILL BE FROM THE SOUTHEAST AROUND 20 MPH, GUSTING TO 30 TO  
35 MPH. WHILE RH VALUES WILL BE AROUND 50 PERCENT AND FUELS ARE  
GREENING UP, THESE WINDS MAY MAKE IT MORE DIFFICULT TO CONTROL ANY  
BURNS.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS  
LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY  
AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................20 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........48 AT IGNITION...MAX 55.  
RH..................51 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 48 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 20 MPH GUSTING TO AROUND 30  
TO 35 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR  
THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 2100 FT  
AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 25 TO 31 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR /28500 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION. MAX...GOOD  
/55100 KNOT-FT/.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4.  
 
TIME (CDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........87 93 94 96 97 96 95 95 95  
WEATHER COV.....SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH  
CWR.............20 30 30 40 50 50 60 70 60  
TEMP............48 49 52 52 53 53 52 52 53  
RH..............51 54 48 52 52 57 63 66 66  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE  
20 FT WIND SPD..20 20 20 20 21 21 21 21 21  
20 FT WIND GUST.29 29 27 29 30 30 32 32 32  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.3 1.8 2.1 2.0 2.0 1.6 1.7 1.6 1.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.25 29 29 30 31 28 29 26 26  
HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 3  
SDSPL KT-FT/100029 45 52 52 55 37 43 36 32  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS IN  
THE EVENING. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH  
THE NIGHT. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY OVERNIGHT.  
CWR.................90 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 50.  
RH..................MAX 86 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 18 TO 21 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTH AROUND 18 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. GUSTS  
UP TO 35 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 22 TO 26 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (31600 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING  
DECREASING TO POOR (12200 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE  
NIGHT.  
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM  
SKY (%).........95 95 95 94 84 75  
WEATHER COV.....LIKELY DEFNTE DEFNTE LIKELY LIKELY CHANCE  
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........S CHC CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE  
CWR.............60 90 80 70 60 50  
TEMP............51 52 53 55 56 59  
RH..............74 77 80 83 86 80  
20 FT WIND......SE 21 SE 20 SE 19 SE 19 S 18 S 18  
20 FT WIND GUST.32 29 28 27 27 28  
MIX HGT (FT)....1400 900 700 700 600 800  
TRANSPORT WIND..SE 26 SE 25 SE 26 S 24 S 22 S 24  
HAINES INDEX....3 2 2 2 3 3  
SDSPL KT-FT/100032 19 16 15 12 17  
   
SATURDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. SLIGHT  
CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................30 PERCENT DECREASING TO 10 PERCENT EARLY IN  
THE MORNING, THEN INCREASING TO 20 PERCENT LATE  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 73.  
RH..................MIN 48 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........BREEZY. SOUTHWEST WINDS 17 TO 25 MPH. GUSTY  
AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS  
EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4400 FT AGL IN THE  
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 23 TO 31 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 18  
TO 24 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (18700 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (105700 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY (%).........75 62 56 52 51 54  
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE S CHC S CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........CHANCE  
CWR.............30 10 0 0 20 20  
TEMP............60 61 64 68 71 72  
RH..............78 78 65 59 53 49  
20 FT WIND......S 17 S 23 SW 25 SW 22 SW 23 W 20  
20 FT WIND GUST.28 29 30 28 26 22  
MIX HGT (FT)....900 1900 3100 3800 4300 4400  
TRANSPORT WIND..S 23 SW 26 SW 30 SW 29 SW 26 W 22  
HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 3  
SDSPL KT-FT/100019 44 82 95 99 84  
 

 
FORECASTER...KS  
REQUESTED BY...ANTON BENSON  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2412555.0/ARX  
.DELDT 04/26/24  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL ANTON.BENSON@STATE.MN.US  
 
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