409  
FNUS73 KDMX 121942  
FWSDMX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR ENGELDINGER MARSH...POLK COUNTY CONSERVATION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA  
142 PM CST MON JAN 12 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 CST ON JANUARY 13.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
AN INITIAL OBSERVATION AT IGNITION AND A MID BURN OBSERVATION ARE REQUIRED.  
 
PLEASE RELAY THEM TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR EACH PRESCRIBED BURN.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
BREEZY WINDS OUT OF THE WEST ARE EXPECTED AT IGNITION TIME, WITH  
GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH POSSIBLE BY MIDDAY. RHS WILL BE IN THE 60S IN  
THE MORNING, DROPPING INTO THE 50S IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE FOR  
SPRINKLES FROM 2-4PM, BUT ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE LITTLE TO NONE.  
WINDS WILL THEN BE FROM THE NORTHWEST FOLLOWING THE SPRINKLES.  
   
TUESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51.  
MIN HUMIDITY........61 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 14 TO 16 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 29  
MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 18 TO 21 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (12200 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO GOOD (34500 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
GFDI................6.  
 
TIME (CST) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........60 62 60 70 59 66 75 68 69  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............41 44 47 49 50 51 50 51 49  
RH..............79 76 68 66 66 63 66 61 66  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..14 15 15 15 16 16 16 16 15  
20 FT WIND GUST.23 24 26 28 28 29 28 28 25  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.8 0.9 1.2 1.3 1.5 1.7 1.9 1.6 1.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W NW NW NW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.18 18 21 21 20 20 21 21 20  
GFDI............4 4 6 6 7 7 7 7 6  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.12 15 21 24 25 30 35 29 24  
SMOKE CAT.......PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
TUESDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 25.  
MAX HUMIDITY........88 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 14 TO 22 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 17 TO 26 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 29  
TO 31 MPH AFTER 3 AM.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (73700 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING  
DECREASING TO POOR (10200 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE  
NIGHT.  
GFDI................5.  
 
TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........65 47 43 56 65 67 66 65 66 66 66 66  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............47 46 43 42 41 41 40 38 36 34 31 29  
RH..............68 71 79 82 82 82 82 82 85 85 88 88  
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW N  
20 FT WIND SPD..14 14 14 15 15 15 16 17 18 21 21 22  
20 FT WIND GUST.24 23 24 23 23 23 24 25 28 31 31 31  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.0 1.1 0.9 0.7 1.3 2.0 2.6 2.6 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW N N  
TRANSP WIND SPD.21 20 18 17 18 21 23 25 26 29 30 31  
GFDI............5 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 6 5 5  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.18 18 14 10 21 35 52 58 61 67 70 74  
SMOKE CAT.......PR PR PR PR PR PR FR FR GD GD GD GD  
 
 
FORECASTER...JIMENEZ  
REQUESTED BY...LAEL NEAL  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2528851.0/DMX  
.DELDT 01/12/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL LAEL.NEAL@POLKCOUNTYIOWA.GOV  
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