408  
FNUS73 KDMX 180035  
FWSDMX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR CALKINS BRUSH PILES...HARDIN COUNTY CONSERVATION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA  
635 PM CST WED DEC 17 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 2000 CST ON DECEMBER 17.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
AN INITIAL OBSERVATION AT IGNITION AND A MID BURN OBSERVATION ARE REQUIRED.  
 
PLEASE RELAY THEM TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR EACH PRESCRIBED BURN.  
   
..WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 6 PM CST THURSDAY
 
 
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
BREEZY TO GUSTY SOUTH WINDS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH MIDNIGHT THEN  
GRADUALLY TURNING MORE WESTERLY. RAIN WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION  
AFTER MIDNIGHT AS WELL WITH THE GREATEST CHANCE AFTER 2 PM.  
   
REST OF TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). RAIN OVERNIGHT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 33.  
MAX HUMIDITY........92 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 20 TO 22 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST  
EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 25 TO 28 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 17 TO  
23 MPH AFTER 3 AM.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (14500 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING  
DECREASING TO POOR (8500 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE  
NIGHT.  
GFDI................5.  
 
TIME (CST) 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........81 87 88 94 96 97 98 99 94 95  
WEATHER COV..... CHC LKY DEF DEF DEF LKY  
WEATHER TYPE.... RN RN RN RN RN RN  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............34 35 37 38 38 39 39 38 37 36  
RH..............85 86 88 89 92 92 92 92 92 92  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S SW SW W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..20 20 21 22 21 20 18 17 17 17  
20 FT WIND GUST.28 28 29 26 25 24 23 22 23 22  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S SW W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.28 28 26 26 28 26 25 23 21 17  
GFDI............5 6 6 5 5 4 4 3 4 3  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.13 13 13 14 15 13 13 14 12 9  
SMOKE CAT.......PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
THURSDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN  
EARLY IN THE MORNING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 35.  
MIN HUMIDITY........75 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WINDY. WEST WINDS 18 TO 24 MPH INCREASING TO 29  
TO 35 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 18 TO 24 MPH INCREASING TO NORTHWEST 37 TO  
43 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (6500 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (62400 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (82400  
KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON.  
GFDI................8 INCREASING TO 12 IN THE AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (CST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY (%).........89 55 47 60 76 77  
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE S CHC S CHC S CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....RAIN NONE NONE SNOW SNOW SNOW  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............35 34 33 29 23 19  
RH..............92 89 78 75 77 77  
20 FT WIND......W 18 W 22 W 29 W 33 W 35 NW 32  
20 FT WIND GUST.23 28 36 40 43 41  
MIX HGT (FT)....500 700 1400 3300 3100 3200  
TRANSPORT WIND..W 18 W 22 W 29 W 41 W 40 NW 38  
GFDI............4 5 10 14 14 12  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.7 14 36 118 110 106  
SMOKE CAT.......POOR POOR POOR VYGD VYGD VYGD  
   
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 5 ABOVE.  
MAX HUMIDITY........80 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........BREEZY. NORTHWEST WINDS 21 TO 28 MPH DECREASING  
TO AROUND 8 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 30 TO 39 MPH DECREASING TO 21 TO 25  
MPH AFTER 3 AM.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (102600 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING  
DECREASING TO FAIR (24500 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE  
NIGHT.  
GFDI................4.  
 
TIME (CST) 6 PM 9 PM MIDNGT 3 AM  
SKY (%).........77 62 42 19  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............14 11 9 7  
RH..............73 76 76 72  
20 FT WIND......NW 28G33 NW 23G33 NW 18G26 NW 13G20  
MIX HGT (FT)....2900 2400 2000 1500  
TRANSPORT WIND..NW 38 NW 38 NW 32 NW 25  
GFDI............7 6 3 2  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.94 78 55 34  
SMOKE CAT.......GOOD GOOD FAIR POOR  
 

 
FORECASTER...DONAVON  
REQUESTED BY...NICHOLAS STAVROPLUS  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2527721.2/DMX  
.DELDT 12/17/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL NSTAVROPLUS@HARDINCOUNTYIA.GOV  
 
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