401  
FNUS73 KFSD 041138  
FWSFSD  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR WATERMAN PRAIRIE - STAMMER...IOWA DNR  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD  
638 AM CDT MON MAY 4 2026  
 
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
CHANGING WIND DIRECTIONS AND OCCASIONAL GUSTINESS WILL BE THE  
PRIMARY CHALLENGES TODAY. CONFIDENCE IN THE FRONTAL TIMING IS  
MODERATE (50-60%), WITH A POTENTIAL FOR EARLIER ARRIVAL OR A  
MORE RAPID CHANGE IN WIND DIRECTION WITH FRONTAL PASSAGE.  
 
A COOL FRONT WILL DROP SOUTH THROUGH THE REGION TODAY, TURNING  
WEST-SOUTHWEST WINDS THIS MORNING TO THE NORTH WITH THE FRONTAL  
PASSAGE. GUSTS IN ADVANCE OF THE FRONT MAY BE SOMEWHAT SPORADIC,  
BUT AFTER WINDS SWING TO THE NORTH, MORE CONSISTENT GUSTS UP TO  
30 MPH ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON. IF SPRINKLES OR LIGHT RAIN  
SHOWERS DEVELOP ALONG AND BEHIND THE FRONT, ISOLATED STRONGER  
GUSTS OF 40 TO 45 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE, THOUGH THE PROBABILITY  
OF THIS OCCURRING IS LOW (<15%).  
 
NORTHERLY WINDS DECREASE AFTER SUNSET AND THE DIRECTION BY EARLY  
TUESDAY MAY BE VARIABLE AT TIMES. HOWEVER, MIXING SHOULD HELP  
WINDS SETTLE OUT TO NORTHWEST BY MIDDAY WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS  
TO AROUND 20 MPH TUESDAY AFTERNOON.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.  
MIN HUMIDITY........30 PERCENT.  
 
TIME (CDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY COVER.......MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR PC PC MC MC  
SKY (%).........22 20 19 19 18 29 40 51 65  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 20 20 20 10 10  
TEMP............61 66 68 69 70 70 70 68 66  
DEWPOINT........41 42 43 43 42 40 38 36 34  
RH..............48 42 40 39 36 34 31 31 30  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W NW NNW NNW NNW NW NW NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..14 16 17 18 18 20 21 21 22  
20 FT WIND GUST.26 24 24 24 24 25 28 30 29  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.4 2.3 4.0 4.9 5.5 6.1 6.6 6.6 6.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR.WSW W WNW NW NNW NNW NW NW NW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.24 26 23 21 22 23 24 25 25  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.GD GD EX EX EX EX EX EX EX  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 38.  
MAX HUMIDITY........67 PERCENT.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY COVER.......MC CDY CDY CDY CDY MC MC MC MC PC PC MC  
SKY (%).........79 93 92 91 90 78 67 56 53 50 47 51  
WEATHER COV.....ISO ISO ISO ISO  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
CHC OF THDR (%).10 M M M M M M M M M M M  
TEMP............62 60 57 54 51 49 48 45 44 42 40 40  
DEWPOINT........33 32 31 30 29 29 29 29 29 28 28 28  
RH..............34 35 37 40 42 46 47 53 55 57 62 62  
20 FT WIND DIR..NNW NW NW NW NW NNW NNW N N N N N  
20 FT WIND SPD..21 17 15 13 10 9 8 7 6 6 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.28 28 24 21 16 15 13 12 10 9 9 9  
MIX HGT (KFT)...5.2 4.7 2.6 1.4 1.0 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.9  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NNW NW NNW NNW NNW N N N N N N  
TRANSP WIND SPD.26 24 22 18 17 16 13 10 10 13 14 10  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.EX EX GD FR FR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
TUESDAY
 
 
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.  
MIN HUMIDITY........27 PERCENT.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY COVER.......MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC  
SKY (%).........54 58 60 62 64 64 63 63 63 64 64 67  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF THDR (%).M M M M M M M M M M M M  
TEMP............39 38 41 44 47 50 52 54 55 56 57 56  
DEWPOINT........27 28 27 27 27 27 26 25 24 24 23 23  
RH..............62 67 57 51 45 41 36 32 30 29 27 28  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N NNW NNW NW NW NW NW NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 7 8 9 12 13 14 15 15 15  
20 FT WIND GUST.8 9 9 10 13 15 17 18 20 21 21 21  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.8 0.8 2.4 4.0 5.4 6.4 7.0 7.5 8.0 8.4 8.6 8.8  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N NNW NNW NW NW NW WNW WNW WNW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 8 9 12 14 15 16 17 18 20 20 20  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.PR PR FR GD EX EX EX EX EX EX EX EX  
 

 
FORECASTER...JH  
REQUESTED BY...STEVEN BURKETT  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2612603.0/FSD  
.DELDT 05/04/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL STEVEN.BURKETT@DNR.IOWA.GOV  
 
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