763  
FNUS73 KOAX 151117  
FWSOAX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR SANTEE CRP RX...BIA  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE  
517 AM CST FRI FEB 15 2019  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 CST ON FEBRUARY 15.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
LIGHT NORTH WINDS AT IGNITION WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT TO THE  
NORTHEAST THROUGH THE AFTERNOON, BUT SPEEDS SHOULD REMAIN BELOW  
10 MPH ON AVERAGE. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN COLD, ONLY CLIMBING  
FROM THE SINGLE DIGITS INTO THE LOWER TEENS. THE LIGHT WINDS  
COMBINED WITH MIXING HEIGHTS BELOW 1200FT WILL MAKE FOR POOR  
SMOKE DISPERSAL THROUGH THE DAY.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW  
EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN CHANCE OF SNOW LATE  
IN THE MORNING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW LATE IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
TEMPERATURE.........-1 AT IGNITION...MAX 11.  
RH..................75 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 63 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTH AT 6 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE  
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 1100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 7 TO 14 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR /2600 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION. MAX...POOR  
/6100 KNOT-FT/.  
GFDI................LOW.  
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4.  
 
TIME (CST) 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY (%).........86 95 97 98 99  
WEATHER COV.....S CHC S CHC CHANCE CHANCE S CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....SNOW SNOW SNOW SNOW SNOW  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............-1 2 6 10 11  
RH..............75 72 69 66 66  
20 FT WIND......N 6 N 6 NE 5 NE 5 NE 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.  
MIX HGT (FT)....200 400 700 1000 1000  
TRANSPORT WIND..N 14 N 12 NE 8 NE 7 NE 7  
GFDI............1 1 1 1 1  
HAINES INDEX....3 3 4 4 3  
SDSPL KT-FT/1K..3 3 5 6 6  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SNOW EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 6.  
RH..................MAX 91 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 8 TO 14 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (2300 KNOT-FT).  
GFDI................LOW.  
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM  
SKY (%).........93 92 89 81 66 58  
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....SNOW NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............11 9 8 7 6 6  
RH..............69 76 79 83 91 91  
20 FT WIND......E 5 E 5 E 5 SE 5 SE 5 SE 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.  
MIX HGT (FT)....700 400 200 300 300 300  
TRANSPORT WIND..E 8 E 10 E 12 SE 12 SE 10 SE 13  
GFDI............1 1 1 0 0 1  
HAINES INDEX....2 2 2 2 2 2  
SDSPL KT-FT/1K..4 3 2 2 2 3  
   
SATURDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF  
FLURRIES LATE IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF SNOW  
LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN SNOW LIKELY IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 17.  
RH..................MIN 73 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 15 TO 17 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (3100 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO FAIR (17300 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
GFDI................LOW.  
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (CST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY (%).........57 67 78 88 94 96  
WEATHER COV..... CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE SNSHWR SNOW SNOW SNOW  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............6 7 10 15 17 16  
RH..............91 91 87 73 73 80  
20 FT WIND......SE 6 SE 7 SE 8 SE 8 SE 9 E 9  
20 FT WIND GUST. 10 11 14 14 14  
MIX HGT (FT)....300 200 200 300 1000 1000  
TRANSPORT WIND..SE 15 SE 15 SE 16 SE 16 SE 17 E 16  
GFDI............1 1 1 2 2 2  
HAINES INDEX....2 2 2 2 2 2  
SDSPL KT-FT/1K..3 3 3 5 15 14  
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
 
   
SUNDAY
 
 
CLOUDY WITH SNOW. LOWS AROUND 10. HIGHS AROUND 19. NORTH WINDS  
AROUND 7 MPH.    
WASHINGTONS BIRTHDAY
 
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 4. HIGHS  
AROUND 13. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 3 BELOW. HIGHS AROUND 17. LIGHT WINDS.  
 

 
FORECASTER...DERGAN  
REQUESTED BY...DUWAYNE TRAVERSIE  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 1901381.0/OAX  
.DELDT 02/15/19  
.FORMATTERVERSION 1.0.23  
 
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