763
FNUS73 KOAX 151117
FWSOAX
SPOT FORECAST FOR SANTEE CRP RX...BIA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE
517 AM CST FRI FEB 15 2019
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 CST ON FEBRUARY 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
LIGHT NORTH WINDS AT IGNITION WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT TO THE
NORTHEAST THROUGH THE AFTERNOON, BUT SPEEDS SHOULD REMAIN BELOW
10 MPH ON AVERAGE. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN COLD, ONLY CLIMBING
FROM THE SINGLE DIGITS INTO THE LOWER TEENS. THE LIGHT WINDS
COMBINED WITH MIXING HEIGHTS BELOW 1200FT WILL MAKE FOR POOR
SMOKE DISPERSAL THROUGH THE DAY.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW
EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN CHANCE OF SNOW LATE
IN THE MORNING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW LATE IN
THE AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURE.........-1 AT IGNITION...MAX 11.
RH..................75 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 63 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTH AT 6 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 1100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 7 TO 14 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR /2600 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION. MAX...POOR
/6100 KNOT-FT/.
GFDI................LOW.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4.
TIME (CST) 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY (%).........86 95 97 98 99
WEATHER COV.....S CHC S CHC CHANCE CHANCE S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....SNOW SNOW SNOW SNOW SNOW
TSTM COV........
TEMP............-1 2 6 10 11
RH..............75 72 69 66 66
20 FT WIND......N 6 N 6 NE 5 NE 5 NE 5
20 FT WIND GUST.
MIX HGT (FT)....200 400 700 1000 1000
TRANSPORT WIND..N 14 N 12 NE 8 NE 7 NE 7
GFDI............1 1 1 1 1
HAINES INDEX....3 3 4 4 3
SDSPL KT-FT/1K..3 3 5 6 6
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW EARLY IN THE EVENING.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 6.
RH..................MAX 91 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 8 TO 14 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (2300 KNOT-FT).
GFDI................LOW.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
TIME (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY (%).........93 92 89 81 66 58
WEATHER COV.....S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....SNOW NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............11 9 8 7 6 6
RH..............69 76 79 83 91 91
20 FT WIND......E 5 E 5 E 5 SE 5 SE 5 SE 6
20 FT WIND GUST.
MIX HGT (FT)....700 400 200 300 300 300
TRANSPORT WIND..E 8 E 10 E 12 SE 12 SE 10 SE 13
GFDI............1 1 1 0 0 1
HAINES INDEX....2 2 2 2 2 2
SDSPL KT-FT/1K..4 3 2 2 2 3
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
FLURRIES LATE IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF SNOW
LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN SNOW LIKELY IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 17.
RH..................MIN 73 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 15 TO 17 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (3100 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO FAIR (17300 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
GFDI................LOW.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
TIME (CST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY (%).........57 67 78 88 94 96
WEATHER COV..... CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE SNSHWR SNOW SNOW SNOW
TSTM COV........
TEMP............6 7 10 15 17 16
RH..............91 91 87 73 73 80
20 FT WIND......SE 6 SE 7 SE 8 SE 8 SE 9 E 9
20 FT WIND GUST. 10 11 14 14 14
MIX HGT (FT)....300 200 200 300 1000 1000
TRANSPORT WIND..SE 15 SE 15 SE 16 SE 16 SE 17 E 16
GFDI............1 1 1 2 2 2
HAINES INDEX....2 2 2 2 2 2
SDSPL KT-FT/1K..3 3 3 5 15 14
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
SUNDAY
CLOUDY WITH SNOW. LOWS AROUND 10. HIGHS AROUND 19. NORTH WINDS
AROUND 7 MPH.
WASHINGTONS BIRTHDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 4. HIGHS
AROUND 13. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 3 BELOW. HIGHS AROUND 17. LIGHT WINDS.
FORECASTER...DERGAN
REQUESTED BY...DUWAYNE TRAVERSIE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1901381.0/OAX
.DELDT 02/15/19
.FORMATTERVERSION 1.0.23
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