066  
FNUS73 KOAX 021512  
FWSOAX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR WILLOW LAKE 2025...HARRISON COUNTY CONSERVATION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE  
912 AM CST SUN MAR 2 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 CST ON MARCH 03.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
ATMOSPHERIC MOISTURE WILL INCREASE TONIGHT INTO MONDAY, LIMITING  
FIRE DANGER TO MODERATE AT MOST LOCATIONS. WINDS WILL BE FROM THE  
SOUTH AT 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 25 TO 30 MPH. MONDAY  
AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOW 60S WITH  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY OF 50 PERCENT.  
 
STRONGEST POSSIBLE WIND SPEEDS ON DAY OF BURN: 35 MPH  
 
LOWEST POSSIBLE RELATIVE HUMIDITY ON DAY OF BURN: 45 PERCENT  
   
MONDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT).  
TEMPERATURE.........40 AT IGNITION...MAX 57.  
RH..................90 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 58 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN  
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).SOUTH WINDS 11 TO 16 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN  
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 9 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE  
SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 14 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN  
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 2100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 22 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR /8100 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION. MAX...GOOD  
/41700 KNOT-FT/.  
GFDI................5.  
HAINES INDEX........MISSING.  
 
TIME (CST) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........50 57 63 69 73 76 78 80 83 85  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............40 44 47 51 53 55 56 57 56 54  
RH..............90 81 75 69 65 61 58 58 60 63  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..9 10 11 12 12 12 13 13 12 11  
20 FT WIND GUST.14 17 18 18 19 20 20 20 19 18  
EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S  
EYE LVL WND SPD.7 8 8 9 9 9 10 10 9 8  
EYE LVL WND GST.11 13 13 14 14 15 15 15 14 14  
SURFACE WND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S  
SURFACE WND SPD.11 13 14 15 15 15 16 16 15 14  
SURFACE WND GST.18 21 22 23 24 25 25 25 24 23  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.8 1.2 1.8 2.1 2.0 2.0 2.1 2.0 1.7  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.15 17 20 21 22 22 22 21 21 22  
GFDI............2 3 4 5 6 7 7 7 6 5  
HAINES INDEX....M M M M M M M M M M  
SDSPL KT-FT/10008 12 21 31 39 42 41 38 36 32  
   
MONDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS  
LIKELY OVERNIGHT. SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 3 AM.  
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 46.  
RH..................MAX 98 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 22 MPH  
IN THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.  
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 13 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 22  
MPH IN THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 9 TO 12 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 22 MPH  
IN THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC  
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 3 AM.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 16 TO 22 MPH.  
GFDI................4.  
HAINES INDEX........MISSING.  
 
TIME (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM  
SKY (%).........89 84 79 74 73 74  
WEATHER COV..... LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........ S CHC  
TEMP............53 51 51 50 49 49  
RH..............66 74 79 83 87 92  
20 FT WIND......S 10 S 9 S 9 SE 8 SE 8 SE 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.18 17 17 16 14 14  
EYE LEVEL WIND..S 8 S 7 S 7 SE 6 SE 6 SE 6  
EYE LVL WND GST.13 13 13 12 11 11  
SURFACE WIND....S 13 S 11 S 11 SE 10 SE 10 SE 10  
SURFACE WND GST.22 21 21 20 18 18  
TRANSPORT WIND..SE 22 SE 20 SE 18 SE 17 SE 16 SE 16  
GFDI............5 4 3 3 2 2  
HAINES INDEX....M M M M M M  
   
TUESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS  
LIKELY IN THE MORNING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE DAY. RAIN SHOWERS IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 56.  
RH..................MIN 79 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....EAST WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 11  
TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 17 MPH LATE IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
NORTH 18 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 29 MPH  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
NORTH 15 TO 17 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 23 MPH  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE  
MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR  
THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 14 TO 17 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST 14  
TO 20 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN SHIFTING  
TO THE NORTH AROUND 24 MPH LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
GFDI................4.  
HAINES INDEX........MISSING.  
 
TIME (CST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY (%).........76 74 77 84 82 86  
WEATHER COV.....LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE  
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RAIN RNSHWR RNSHWR RAIN  
TSTM COV........S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC  
TEMP............48 48 51 54 54 51  
RH..............96 98 91 80 79 81  
20 FT WIND......SE 8 E 8 E 8 E 9 NE 12 N 14  
20 FT WIND GUST.14 14 14 14 18 22  
EYE LEVEL WIND..SE 6 E 6 E 6 E 7 NE 9 N 11  
EYE LVL WND GST.10 10 10 11 14 17  
SURFACE WIND....SE 10 E 10 E 10 E 11 NE 15 N 18  
SURFACE WND GST.17 17 17 18 23 28  
TRANSPORT WIND..SE 17 SE 17 E 15 E 14 NE 14 NE 20  
GFDI............2 2 2 3 5 6  
HAINES INDEX....M M M M M M  
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
 
   
WEDNESDAY
 
 
COLDER. MOSTLY CLOUDY. RAIN WITH SNOW LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID  
20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 18 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. WEST  
WINDS AROUND 6 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S.  
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. EAST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH.  
 

 
FORECASTER...KG  
REQUESTED BY...LANE VENNINK  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2504599.0/OAX  
.DELDT 03/02/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL LVENNINK@HARRISONCOUNTYPARKS.ORG  
 
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