014  
FNUS73 KOAX 211113  
FWSOAX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR CONTROLED BURN...SCRIBNER VFD  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE  
613 AM CDT SAT SEP 21 2019  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 CDT ON SEPTEMBER 21.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
FIRE DANGER WILL REMAIN LOW TODAY WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES MOSTLY IN  
THE MID 80S. WINDS WILL BE GUSTY FROM THE SOUTH, GRADUALLY SHIFTING  
TO SOUTHWEST. A COLD FRONT WILL BE PUSHING THROUGH THE REGION LATER  
TODAY AND INTO THIS EVENING. WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST OR  
NORTH BEHIND THE FRONT.  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY  
SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING SUNNY  
(15-25 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 84.  
MIN HUMIDITY........53 PERCENT.  
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).WEST WINDS 8 TO 15 MPH.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 8 TO 15 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5200 FT AGL.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1200 KNOT-FT).  
 
TIME (CDT) 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM  
SKY (%).........99 92 66 46 25 18  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............70 70 75 80 83 83  
RH..............98 97 84 69 57 51  
20 FT WIND......S 15 S 15 SW 15 SW 14 SW 10 W 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.21 22 22 20 15 12  
SURFACE WIND....S 15 S 15 SW 15 SW 14 SW 10 W 8  
SURFACE WND GST.21 22 22 20 15 12  
MIX HGT (FT)....500 900 2700 3800 5000 5100  
SDSPL KT-FT/1K..1 3 9 9 8 7  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
MAX HUMIDITY........85 PERCENT.  
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).NORTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT. GUSTY  
AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS  
EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING,  
THEN SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 9 TO 12 MPH EARLY IN  
THE EVENING.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (400 KNOT-FT).  
 
TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM  
RH..............53 64 73 75 78 78  
20 FT WIND......W 7 W 5 NW 5 NW 5 N 7 N 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 7 7 7 9 9  
SURFACE WIND....W 7 W 5 NW 5 NW 5 N 7 N 7  
SURFACE WND GST.10 7 7 7 9 9  
MIX HGT (FT)....2600 500 500 500 400 400  
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 9 N 9 N 12 N 10 N 12 N 12  
SDSPL KT-FT/1K..3 1 1 1 1 1  
   
SUNDAY
 
 
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC  
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE  
MORNING.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
20 FT WIND......N 6 N 7 N 7 N 7 N 6 NW 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.8 9 9 9 8 8  
 

 
FORECASTER...MILLER  
REQUESTED BY...FIRE CHIEF  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 1915838.0/OAX  
.DELDT 09/21/19  
.FORMATTERVERSION 1.0.26  
 
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