276  
FNUS73 KOAX 221119  
FWSOAX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR WINNEBAGO BIL RX...BIA-WINNEBAGO  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE  
619 AM CDT MON JUL 22 2024  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON JULY 22.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
THERE COULD BE SOME PATCHY FOG EARLY THIS MORNING, AND THEN A 20%  
CHANCE OF A SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORMS BY LATE MORNING THROUGH THE  
AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL BE QUITE LIGHT TODAY, GENERALLY 6 MPH OR  
LESS. THE WINDS COULD BE VARIABLE THIS MORNING, AND FROM THE SOUTH  
SOUTHWEST THIS AFTERNOON.  
 
STRONGEST POSSIBLE WIND SPEEDS ON DAY OF BURN: 10 MPH  
 
LOWEST POSSIBLE RELATIVE HUMIDITY ON DAY OF BURN: 55 PERCENT  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 82.  
MIN HUMIDITY........57 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS.  
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).LIGHT WINDS.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 3 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 2 TO 5  
MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (6300 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO FAIR (15100 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
GFDI................0.  
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE  
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (CDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........40 47 46 53 54 47 52 43  
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
TEMP............74 76 78 78 80 80 81 81  
RH..............76 73 67 67 61 60 58 59  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 2 2 3 3 4 4  
20 FT WIND GUST.4 4 4 4 4 4 5 5  
EYE LVL WND DIR.SW S S S S S S S  
EYE LVL WND SPD.2 2 1 1 2 2 3 3  
EYE LVL WND GST.3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4  
SURFACE WND DIR.SW S S S S S S S  
SURFACE WND SPD.4 4 3 3 4 4 5 5  
SURFACE WND GST.5 5 5 5 5 5 6 6  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.1 3.4 4.0 4.5 4.4 4.5 4.9 4.6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.3 3 3 3 2 5 3 5  
GFDI............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4  
SDSPL KT-FT/10007 9 12 14 15 15 15 14  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.  
MAX HUMIDITY........95 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS.  
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).LIGHT WINDS.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 9 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (13100 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING  
DECREASING TO POOR (1300 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE  
NIGHT.  
GFDI................0.  
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE  
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM  
SKY (%).........39 26 15 20 23 25  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............82 79 72 69 67 66  
RH..............57 63 79 84 90 91  
20 FT WIND......S 4 S 4 S 3 SW 4 SW 4 SW 4  
20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 6 6 6  
EYE LEVEL WIND..S 3 S 3 S 2 SW 3 SW 3 SW 3  
EYE LVL WND GST.4 4 4 4 4 4  
SURFACE WIND....S 5 S 5 S 4 SW 5 SW 5 SW 5  
SURFACE WND GST.6 6 6 7 7 7  
MIX HGT (FT)....4000 300 300 300 300 300  
TRANSPORT WIND..S 5 S 6 S 7 S 8 SW 8 SW 9  
GFDI............0 0 0 0 0 0  
HAINES INDEX....4 3 3 3 4 4  
SDSPL KT-FT/100013 8 2 2 3 3  
   
TUESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 85.  
MIN HUMIDITY........56 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 4 MPH  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 6 MPH  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE  
IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 6 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST  
AROUND 9 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1500 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO FAIR (29400 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
GFDI................0.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY (%).........25 16 10 22 36 41  
WEATHER COV..... S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........ S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC  
TEMP............65 68 77 80 83 83  
RH..............93 91 72 65 58 56  
20 FT WIND......SW 4 W 4 W 4 W 3 W 4 NW 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 6 5 6 8  
EYE LEVEL WIND..SW 3 W 3 W 3 W 2 W 3 NW 4  
EYE LVL WND GST.5 5 4 4 4 6  
SURFACE WIND....SW 5 W 5 W 5 W 4 W 5 NW 6  
SURFACE WND GST.8 8 7 6 7 10  
MIX HGT (FT)....300 400 1800 3800 5400 3500  
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 9 W 8 W 7 W 6 W 6 NW 9  
GFDI............0 0 0 0 0 0  
HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4  
SDSPL KT-FT/10002 4 11 20 27 29  
 

 
FORECASTER...NWS OMAHA/VALLEY  
REQUESTED BY...DUWAYNE TRAVERSIE  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2418641.0/OAX  
.DELDT 07/22/24  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL DUWAYNE.TRAVERSIE@BIA.GOV  
 
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