187
FNUS73 KOAX 041358
FWSOAX
SPOT FORECAST FOR CARRIGAN SUMMER 22...IOWA DNR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE
817 AM CDT THU AUG 4 2022
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 CDT ON AUGUST 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
WINDS WILL BE EAST OR SOUTHEAST AT 5 TO 7 MPH TODAY. THE WEAK
WINDS WILL RESULT IN POOR TO FAIR SMOKE DISPERSAL WITH MAXIMUM
MIXING HEIGHTS OF 3500 TO 3600 FEET. UNDER MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES,
TEMPERATURES WILL WARM TO AROUND 90 WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES
FALLING TO 40 PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON.
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-5 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 89.
MIN HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 4 MPH IN
THE AFTERNOON.
20 FOOT WIND........EAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING
BECOMING LIGHT, THEN BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 6
MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
30 FOOT WINDS (MPH).LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 6 TO 8 MPH IN
THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 8 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (8800 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO FAIR (25600 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
GFDI................LOW.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
TIME (CDT) 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM
SKY (%).........1 2 3 2 2
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............71 78 83 87 89
RH..............70 59 46 40 40
EYE LEVEL WIND..E 3 E 3 E 4 E 4 SE 4
EYE LVL WND GST.
20 FT WIND......E 4 E 4 E 5 E 5 SE 6
20 FT WIND GUST.
30 FT WIND......E 5 E 5 E 6 E 6 SE 8
30 FT WIND GUST.
MIX HGT (FT)....1200 2000 2800 3400 3600
TRANSPORT WIND..E 7 SE 8 E 6 E 7 E 8
GFDI............0 0 0 0 0
HAINES INDEX....6 6 6 6 6
SDSPL KT-FT/1K..9 12 14 23 25
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.
MAX HUMIDITY........87 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 4 MPH.
20 FOOT WIND........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
30 FOOT WINDS (MPH).SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 9 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (21800 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING
DECREASING TO POOR (1200 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE
NIGHT.
GFDI................LOW.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY (%).........2 3 5 6 7 7
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............88 83 75 71 69 67
RH..............41 51 72 73 75 83
EYE LEVEL WIND..SE 4 SE 4 SE 4 SE 4 SE 4 SE 4
EYE LVL WND GST. 5 5
20 FT WIND......SE 6 SE 6 SE 6 SE 6 SE 6 SE 6
20 FT WIND GUST.
30 FT WIND......SE 8 SE 8 SE 8 SE 8 SE 8 SE 8
30 FT WIND GUST.
MIX HGT (FT)....3200 700 400 400 400 400
TRANSPORT WIND..SE 9 SE 9 E 9 SE 9 SE 8 SE 7
GFDI............0 0 0 0 0 0
HAINES INDEX....6 6 6 6 6 6
SDSPL KT-FT/1K..22 12 3 3 3 3
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 93.
MIN HUMIDITY........38 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS UP TO 8 MPH.
20 FOOT WIND........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 12 MPH.
30 FOOT WINDS (MPH).SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 14 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 14 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTH 17 TO
23 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (400 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (97800 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
GFDI................LOW.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY (%).........7 6 5 4 3 3
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............65 70 80 87 91 93
RH..............84 81 68 52 42 38
EYE LEVEL WIND..SE 4 SE 4 S 6 S 8 S 8 S 8
EYE LVL WND GST. 5 10 12 12
20 FT WIND......SE 6 SE 6 S 8 S 10 S 11 S 11
20 FT WIND GUST. 13 16 16
30 FT WIND......SE 8 SE 8 S 10 S 13 S 14 S 14
30 FT WIND GUST. 16 20 20
MIX HGT (FT)....400 500 1600 3100 4700 5100
TRANSPORT WIND..SE 5 SE 9 S 17 S 20 S 21 S 22
GFDI............0 0 0 1 1 1
HAINES INDEX....6 6 6 6 6 6
SDSPL KT-FT/1K..0 6 24 52 80 97
FORECASTER...MEAD
REQUESTED BY...JEFF SEAGO
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2216207.0/OAX
.DELDT 08/04/22
.FORMATTERVERSION 1.0.26
.EMAIL JEFFREY.SEAGO@DNR.IOWA.GOV
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