474  
FNUS73 KOAX 211222  
FWSOAX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR FC RX...POTTAWATTAMIE CONSERVATION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE  
722 AM CDT TUE JUL 21 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 CDT ON JULY 21.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
FIRE DANGER REMAINS LIMITED OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS, WITH MUCH  
COOLER CONDITIONS BECOMING WIDESPREAD THANKS TO A FRONT AND  
THAT MOVED THROUGH THE REGION. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN OUT  
OF THE NORTH WITH AFTERNOON GUSTS OF 20-25 MPH, WITH MINIMUM  
HUMIDITY VALUES RANGING FROM 40-50%. TOMORROW, COOLER CONDITIONS  
ARE FORECAST WITH WEAKER WINDS AND MINIMUM RH VALUES CLOSER TO 50% THANKS  
TO INCOMING RAIN.  
 
STRONGEST POSSIBLE 30 FT WIND SPEEDS ON DAY OF BURN: 30 MPH  
 
LOWEST POSSIBLE RELATIVE HUMIDITY ON DAY OF BURN: 30-35%  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).  
TEMPERATURE.........73 AT IGNITION...MAX 84.  
RH..................76 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 48 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTH WINDS 7 TO 11 MPH.  
WIND (30 FT)........NORTH WINDS 11 TO 18 MPH.  
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTH AT 9 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE  
NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 5200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 13 TO 22 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR /13100 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION.  
MAX...EXCELLENT /93600 KNOT-FT/.  
GFDI................0.  
 
TIME (CDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........44 34 26 29 30 23 11 9 7 1  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............73 74 77 79 80 82 82 83 83 84  
RH..............76 71 64 60 58 55 53 51 49 48  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N N N N N  
20 FT WIND SPD..9 10 12 13 13 14 14 13 12 12  
20 FT WIND GUST.14 14 17 18 18 19 19 18 18 17  
EYE LVL WND DIR.N N N N N N N N N N  
EYE LVL WND SPD.7 8 9 10 10 11 11 10 9 9  
EYE LVL WND GST.10 11 13 13 14 14 14 14 13 13  
30 FT WND DIR...N N N N N N N N N N  
30 FT WND SPD...11 13 15 16 16 18 18 16 15 15  
30 FT WND GST...17 18 21 22 23 24 24 23 22 21  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 1.4 2.1 3.1 3.6 4.3 4.6 4.9 5.2 5.2  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N N N N N N  
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 16 18 20 21 22 21 20 20 18  
GFDI............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
SDSPL KT-FT/100013 23 34 51 69 82 91 94 88 71  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT).  
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 61.  
RH..................MAX 81 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 8 MPH IN THE EVENING AND  
OVERNIGHT BECOMING LIGHT.  
WIND (30 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 14 MPH IN THE EVENING AND  
OVERNIGHT BECOMING LIGHT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE EVENING AND  
OVERNIGHT BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 8 TO 17 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST 7  
TO 8 MPH AFTER 3 AM.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (48600 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING  
DECREASING TO POOR (1800 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE  
NIGHT.  
GFDI................0.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........21 23 24 24 24 23 23 22 23 23 23 23  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............82 82 80 75 72 70 68 66 65 63 63 62  
RH..............49 49 51 58 61 66 70 73 75 81 78 81  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N NE NE NE NE NE NE  
20 FT WIND SPD..11 9 7 6 6 6 6 5 4 4 4 4  
20 FT WIND GUST.16 14 11 10 10 10 8 7 6 6 6 6  
EYE LVL WND DIR.N N N N N N NE NE NE NE NE NE  
EYE LVL WND SPD.8 7 5 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 3  
EYE LVL WND GST.12 10 8 8 8 7 6 5 5 5 5 5  
30 FT WND DIR...N N N N N N NE NE NE NE NE NE  
30 FT WND SPD...14 11 9 8 8 8 8 6 5 5 5 5  
30 FT WND GST...20 17 14 13 13 12 10 9 8 8 8 8  
MIX HGT (KFT)...4.7 2.5 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N NE N NE NE NE NE NE NE NE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.17 13 10 10 9 9 10 9 9 8 7 8  
GFDI............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
SDSPL KT-FT/100049 28 16 8 4 2 2 4 3 3 3 2  
   
WEDNESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 78.  
RH..................MIN 52 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST AROUND 4 MPH  
EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN BECOMING LIGHT EARLY  
IN THE MORNING BECOMING NORTH AROUND 4 MPH IN  
THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON BECOMING  
LIGHT BECOMING NORTH AROUND 4 MPH LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON BECOMING LIGHT.  
WIND (30 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH  
EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN BECOMING LIGHT EARLY  
IN THE MORNING BECOMING NORTH AROUND 6 MPH IN  
THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON BECOMING  
LIGHT BECOMING NORTH AROUND 6 MPH LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON BECOMING LIGHT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH  
EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN BECOMING LIGHT EARLY  
IN THE MORNING BECOMING NORTH AROUND 5 MPH IN  
THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON BECOMING  
LIGHT BECOMING NORTH AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 6 TO 9 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (2000 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO FAIR (24300 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
GFDI................0.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........25 26 32 50 35 56 63 69 69 94 86 85  
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............61 62 64 68 71 73 74 76 76 76 77 76  
RH..............81 81 81 70 64 59 55 52 52 54 52 54  
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE NE N N N N N N NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..4 5 4 4 5 5 5 5 4 4 5 4  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 7 6 6 7 7 7 7 7 7 6 6  
EYE LVL WND DIR.NE NE NE NE NE N N N N N N NW  
EYE LVL WND SPD.3 4 3 3 4 4 4 4 3 3 4 3  
EYE LVL WND GST.5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5  
30 FT WND DIR...NE NE NE NE NE N N N N N N NW  
30 FT WND SPD...5 6 5 5 6 6 6 6 5 5 6 5  
30 FT WND GST...8 9 8 8 9 9 9 9 9 9 8 8  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.6 1.3 2.0 2.9 3.3 3.5 3.3 3.2 3.0 2.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE NE NE N N N N N N N N  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 8 9 9 8 9 8 8 8 8 7 6  
GFDI............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
SDSPL KT-FT/10002 3 6 10 14 19 22 24 24 21 18 14  
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
 
   
THURSDAY
 
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.  
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 7 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTH  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 

 
FORECASTER...KG  
REQUESTED BY...ARIC PING  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2617860.0/OAX  
.DELDT 07/21/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL ARIC.PING@POTTCOUNTY-IA.GOV  
 
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