304
FXUS63 KARX 011849
AFDARX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
149 PM CDT MON JUN 1 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- DRY CONDITIONS INTO MIDWEEK WITH HIGHS GENERALLY IN THE UPPER
70S TO LOW 80S.
- WIDESPREAD SHOWER AND STORM CHANCES RETURN THURSDAY AND
CONTINUE INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
- TEMPERATURES WARM UP INTO THE MID TO UPPER 80S FOR END OF THE
WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 148 PM CDT MON JUN 1 2026
TODAY-WEDNESDAY: DRY AND TRENDING WARMER
WHILE A SHORTWAVE REMAINS OVER THE AREA THROUGH THE EVENING, LITTLE
TO NO RAIN SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED. A FEW OF THE CAMS WANT TO HAVE A
FEW SHOWERS FORM NORTH OF I-94 THIS AFTERNOON SO AS A RESULT HAVE
PUT IN SOME 10% PROBABILITIES FOR A RAIN SHOWER IN THOSE LOCATIONS.
ALL PRECIPITATION CHANCES SUBSIDE THIS EVENING AS THE WAVE
DISSIPATES. SHORTWAVE RIDGING BUILDS IN TONIGHT AND LINGERS THROUGH
WEDNESDAY AS A SURFACE HIGH MOVES OVER THE UPPER MIDWEST. THIS WILL
KEEP THE FORECAST AREA DRY AND HELP WARM UP TEMPERATURES SLIGHTLY
OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS WITH HIGHS GENERALLY IN THE UPPER 70S
TO LOW 80S.
THURSDAY-MONDAY: SHOWER AND STORM CHANCES RETURN
ENSEMBLE AND DETERMINISTIC GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO SHOW SOUTHWEST FLOW
PUSHING NORTH INTO THE UPPER MIDWEST FROM THURSDAY INTO EARLY NEXT
WEEK. AS A RESULT HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE ON THE INCREASE WITH
MOST LOCATIONS SEEING HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 80S. MULTIPLE CHANCE
OF SHOWERS AND STORMS ARE EXPECTED DURING THIS PERIOD AS A FEW
SHORTWAVES MOVE THROUGH THE REGION. THE FIRST SHOWER AND STORM
CHANCE IS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND THEN ANOTHER CHANCE ON FRIDAY. THE
CHANCE ON FRIDAY COULD BEAR SOME WATCHING AS A SURFACE LOW DEVELOPS
SOMEWHERE OVER CENTRAL MINNESOTA. THE ASSOCIATED COLD AND WARM FRONT
LOCATIONS WILL BE IMPORTANT FOR STORM POTENTIAL. THERE DOES NOT LOOK
TO BE A WHOLE LOT OF SHEAR WITH THIS BUT BETWEEN 1500 AND 2000 J/KG
OF SBCAPE LOOK TO BE POSSIBLE FOR FRIDAY INDICATING THAT SOME STORMS
COULD BE STRONG TO SEVERE, BUT IT IS TOO EARLY TO TELL AS THERE
REMAIN SEVERAL UNKNOWNS SUCH AS THE LOCATION OF THE SURFACE LOW AND
THE SPEED AT WHICH THE TROUGH MOVES THROUGH THE REGION. OTHER STORM
CHANCES ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND INTO MONDAY. OVERALL,
AFTER A BREAK FROM WIDESPREAD STORM CHANCES, THE END OF THIS WEEK
AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK LOOKS TO BE SOMEWHAT ACTIVE.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z TUESDAY/
ISSUED AT 1220 PM CDT MON JUN 1 2026
LIGHT NORTHEAST WINDS CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON BEFORE
TRANSITIONING TO LIGHT SOUTHEAST WINDS FOR THE OVERNIGHT AND
MORNING PERIODS. A LOW CHANCE (10%) EXISTS FOR SHOWERS TO FORM
LATER THIS AFTERNOON IN WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN. CIGS THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING HANG AROUND 10KFT FOR AREAS ALONG AND EAST
OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER. SKIES BECOME MOSTLY CLEAR LATER THIS
EVENING.
ARX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
WI...NONE.
MN...NONE.
IA...NONE.
DISCUSSION...CECAVA
AVIATION...CECAVA
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