080
FXUS63 KARX 090537
AFDARX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
1137 PM CST SUN FEB 8 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE WEEK. VARIABILITY
IN TEMPERATURES AND WIND GUSTS TO START THE WEEK.6
- PRECIPITATION CHANCES REMAIN MOSTLY NORTH OF INTERSTATE 94
THROUGH MIDWEEK, BECOMING MORE WIDESPREAD THURSDAY AND THIS
WEEKEND.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 151 PM CST SUN FEB 8 2026
WARMER THROUGH MUCH OF THE FORECAST PERIOD:
SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES TODAY STICK AROUND THROUGH MUCH
OF THE FORECAST PERIOD AS LOCAL FORECAST AREA REMAINS BETWEEN
CANADIAN AND CONUS CONTINENTAL AIRMASSES, THE LATTER INFLUENCED
BY GULF AIR ATTEMPTING TO ADVECT NORTH THROUGH THE MID
MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY.
WHILE HIGH TEMPERATURES ON MONDAY WILL BE A FEW DEGREES WARMER, A
TIGHTENING LOW LEVEL ISOHEIGHT GRADIENT INCREASES SURFACE WINDS,
KEEPING APPARENT TEMPERATURES FROM THE 20S TO MID 30S. STRONGER
WIND GUSTS EXPECTED TO STICK AROUND THROUGH TUESDAY.
LREF DISAGREEMENT IN STRENGTH OF RESPONSIBLE ASSOCIATED
DEEPENING EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE SAGGING SOUTHEAST NORTH OF THE
GREAT LAKES (GEFS) AND STRENGTH OF CENTRAL CONUS RIDGING (GEPS) CAUSES
SOME DISCREPANCIES IN TEMPERATURES THROUGH MIDWEEK. THE DEEPEST
SOLUTION IN THE GEFS (08.12Z) KEEPS SURFACE TEMPERATURES A FEW
DEGREES COLDER THAN THE EPS (08.12Z) WITH HIGHER POTENTIAL FOR
SLIGHTLY GUSTIER WINDS. THE COLDEST SOLUTION IN THE GEPS
RESULTANT OF THE WEAKEST CENTRAL CONUS RIDGE. REGARDLESS, NBM
INTERQUARTILE SPREAD REMAINS NEAR 5 DEGREES THROUGH THE END OF
THE WORK WEEK, 30S DURING THE DAYTIME AND 20S OVERNIGHT.
MOSTLY DRY UNTIL THURSDAY & THIS WEEKEND:
PRECIPITATION CHANCES REMAIN MOSTLY NORTH OF INTERSTATE 94 THROUGH
MIDWEEK. MORE WIDESPREAD PRECIPTIATION CHANCES INITIALLY THURSDAY
MORNING AND AGAIN THIS WEEKEND. LARGE INTER AND INTRA ENSEMBLE
SPREAD CAN BE SEEN FOR SATURDAY GIVEN THE LONGER FORECAST HOUR AND
INCONSPICUOUS PATTERN.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z TUESDAY/
ISSUED AT 1135 PM CST SUN FEB 8 2026
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. SOUTHERLY WINDS
WILL PREVAIL THROUGH MUCH OF THE PERIOD BEFORE WINDS SHIFT TO
THE NORTHWEST BEHIND A COLD FRONT THAT MOVES INTO THE AREA AFTER
00Z. SPEEDS THROUGH THE PERIOD WILL GENERALLY STAY IN THE 5-12
KT RANGE. LOW LEVEL TURBULENCE LOOKS TO BE POSSIBLE LATE IN THE
PERIOD AT BOTH KLSE AND KRST WITH SPEEDS CURRENTLY FORECAST TO
STAY BELOW LLWS THRESHOLDS.
ARX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
WI...NONE.
MN...NONE.
IA...NONE.
DISCUSSION...JAR
AVIATION...BARENDSE
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