659  
FXUS63 KDVN 050924  
AFDDVN  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL  
324 AM CST TUE MAR 5 2024  
   
KEY MESSAGES
 
 
- NOTICEABLY COOLER TODAY BUT STILL ABOVE NORMAL.  
 
- RAIN LIKELY THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY.  
 
- DRY AND COOL WEEKEND.  
 

 
   
SHORT TERM /TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT/
 
 
ISSUED AT 320 AM CST TUE MAR 5 2024  
 
TODAY: THE STRONG COLD FRONT THAT BROUGHT NUMEROUS HAIL REPORTS  
YESTERDAY WAS LOCATED FROM THE THUMB OF MICHIGAN TO CENTRAL  
ILLINOIS TO NORTH TEXAS. THE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH  
EASTWARD SETTING UP A DRY BUT NOTICEABLY COOLER DAY. EXTENSIVE  
CLOUD COVER THIS MORNING SHOULD GIVE WAY TO AT LEAST PARTLY  
SUNNY SKIES. HIGHS SHOULD PUSH INTO THE LOWER 50S AT MOST  
LOCATIONS WHICH IS STILL AT LEAST 10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL FOR  
EARLY MARCH.  
 
TONIGHT: PARTLY CLOUDY AND COOL WITH LOWS RANGING FROM THE UPPER  
20S NORTH TO THE LOWER TO MID 30S SOUTH.  
 

 
   
LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
 
 
ISSUED AT 320 AM CST TUE MAR 5 2024  
 
WEDNESDAY: MORE OF THE SAME AS WE ARE BETWEEN SYSTEMS SO DRY  
WITH HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S UNDER PARTLY SUNNY SKIES.  
 
THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY: GFS/ECMWF CONTINUES TO DEPICT A RATHER  
LARGE/DEEP TROUGH MOVING INTO THE AREA. THIS SYSTEM LOOKS TO  
BRING WIDESPREAD RAIN WITH AMOUNTS GENERALLY IN THE 1/2 TO 1  
INCH RANGE AT MOST LOCATIONS. THE BULK OF THE RAIN SHOULD OCCUR  
THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY. FORECAST SOUNDINGS SHOW WEAK  
INSTABILITY AND SHEAR SO IF ANY THUNDER OCCURS IT WOULD BE  
ISOLATED (AS OF NOW). NBM HAS HIGHS IN THE MID 50S THURSDAY AND  
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S ON FRIDAY.  
 
THIS WEEKEND: A COOL BUT DRY COUPLE OF DAYS IN THE WAKE OF THE  
STORM SYSTEM, AS A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE BUILDS INTO THE FORECAST  
AREA. H8 TEMPS OF -6C SHOULD TRANSLATE TO HIGHS IN THE MID TO  
UPPER 40S WITH LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 20S.  
 
EARLY NEXT WEEK: WE WARM RIGHT BACK UP WELL INTO THE 60S AS  
HEIGHTS RISE AHEAD OF ANOTHER DEEPENING TROUGH IN THE ROCKIES.  
ANY RAIN FROM THIS SYSTEM LOOKS TO BE LATE IN THE WEEK.  
 

 
   
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z WEDNESDAY/
 
 
ISSUED AT 1038 PM CST MON MAR 4 2024  
 
AN AREA OF SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO  
STREAM EAST OVER EASTERN IOWA AND NORTHWEST ILLINOIS THROUGH THE  
EARLY MORNING HOURS. THOUGH LIGHT RAIN CONNECTS THIS AREA, THE  
STORMS ARE VERY SMALL, AND WILL RESULT IN A VICINITY THUNDER  
SITUATION MORE THAN ACTUAL THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH 08Z. STRATUS IS  
FORMING BEHIND THE RAIN, AROUND 1000-1200 FT, AND THIS WILL  
BECOME THE MAIN IMPACT THE AVIATION OVERNIGHT AND EARLY  
WEDNESDAY. EXPECT CIGS TO GRADUALLY IMPROVE TO VFR TUESDAY MORNING,  
WITH WINDS REMAINING 10-15KTS NORTHEAST THROUGH THE PERIOD.  
 

 
   
DVN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
 
 
IA...NONE.  
IL...NONE.  
MO...NONE.  
 

 
 

 
 
SHORT TERM...HAASE  
LONG TERM...HAASE  
AVIATION...ERVIN  
 
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