993
FXUS63 KOAX 131956
AFDOAX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE
256 PM CDT MON OCT 13 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- COOLER TEMPERATURES WITH HIGHS MAINLY IN THE 60S TODAY AND
TOMORROW. THERE IS AN INCREASING CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATER THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING, CONTINUING INTO TUESDAY.
- TEMPERATURES QUICKLY WARM BACK UP ON WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY
WITH AFTERNOON HIGHS REACHING BACK INTO THE 70S AND EVEN LOW
80S. WINDS MAY BE GUSTY, ESPECIALLY ON THURSDAY.
- ANOTHER COLD FRONT SWEEPS THROUGH THROUGH THE REGION ON FRIDAY
BRINGING COOLER TEMPERATURES AND INCREASED RAIN CHANCES INTO
THE WEEKEND.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 256 PM CDT MON OCT 13 2025
THE COLD FRONT YESTERDAY BROUGHT COOLER TEMPERATURES TO THE AREA TO
START THE WORK WEEK. DESPITE THE EARLY AFTERNOON SUNSHINE, HIGH
TEMPERATURES REMAIN LARGELY IN THE 60S TO NEAR 70 THIS AFTERNOON.
CLOUDS ARE BEGINNING TO ENTER OUR AREA FROM THE SOUTHWEST THIS
AFTERNOON. THIS IS INDICATIVE OF A COUPLE WEAK DISTURBANCES LIFTING
NORTHEAST ACROSS THE GREAT PLAINS OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO. AS A
RESULT, RAIN CHANCES IN THE FORM OF SHOWERS WILL BE ON THE INCREASE
THROUGHOUT THE REMAINDER OF THE DAY INTO THIS EVENING. THIS IS
DESPITE THE COLD FRONT CONTINUING TO MOVE AWAY FROM THE REGION AND
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE ATTEMPTING TO FILL IN BEHIND IT. THOUGH, THAT
BEING THE CASE, EXPECT PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS TO BE LIMITED DUE TO
THESE FACTORS. WITH INCREASING CLOUD COVER, TEMPERATURES WON'T FALL
AS LOW AS THIS DID THIS MORNING, BUT WILL REMAIN CHILLY. UPPER 40S
AND LOW 50S WILL START THE DAY ON TUESDAY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY ACROSS
THE REGION. SHOWERS CONTINUE THROUGH THE MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON,
BEFORE SLOWLY DEPARTING BY EVENING. THESE SHOWERS AND ASSOCIATED
CLOUDS WILL RESULT IN EVEN COOLER TEMPERATURES THAN THIS AFTERNOON.
MOST WILL STRUGGLE TO CLIMB OUT OF THE LOW TO MID 60S WITH A FEW
LOCATIONS LIKELY HOLDING ONTO THE 50S.
STRENGTHENING MID-LEVEL RIDGING OFFERS A QUICK REBOUND TO
TEMPERATURES ON WEDNESDAY. SUNSHINE, SOUTHERLY WINDS, AND HIGHS IN
THE 70S ARE LIKELY UNDER THE BUILDING RIDGE. THIS PATTERN CONTINUES
INTO THURSDAY AS THE PATTERN FURTHER AMPLIFIES. THE 80S ARE NOT
QUITE DONE YET FOR THE YEAR WITH MANY LOCATIONS EXPECTED TO MEET OR
EXCEED THIS ON THURSDAY. WITH THE AMPLIFIED PATTERN, EXPECT SOME
GUSTY WINDS ON THURSDAY AS WELL. BY FRIDAY, A TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED
COLD FRONT SWINGS EAST THROUGH THE REGION. THIS WILL BRING COOLER
TEMPERATURES AND INCREASED RAIN CHANCES TO THE AREA ONCE AGAIN.
WHILE WARM TEMPERATURES IN THE 70S MAY HOLD ON INTO FRIDAY
AFTERNOON, COOLER TEMPERATURES IN THE 60S RETURN FOR THE
WEEKEND.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z TUESDAY/
ISSUED AT 1220 PM CDT MON OCT 13 2025
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO THE OVERNIGHT
HOURS. NORTH WINDS GRADUALLY BECOME INCREASINGLY NORTHEASTERLY
THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. CLOUD COVER BEGINS TO INCREASE DURING
THE AFTERNOON, BUT CEILINGS REMAIN VFR WITH 5 TO 10 KFT CLOUD
HEIGHTS. RAIN CHANCES INCREASE LATER THIS EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT. WHILE AN ISOLATED SHOWER MAY BRIEFLY IMPACT A TAF
SITE DURING THIS TIME, THE BEST CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IS NOT
EXPECTED UNTIL EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. AVIATION IMPACTS SHOULD
REMAIN LIMITED DESPITE THESE SHOWERS, WITH VISIBILITY AND
CEILINGS EXPECTED TO LARGELY REMAIN VFR. TOWARDS THE END OF THE
TAF PERIOD, CEILINGS WILL BE ON A GRADUAL LOWERING TREND. MVFR
CEILINGS MAY BEGIN TO OVERSPREAD THE AREA DURING THIS TIME.
OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NE...NONE.
IA...NONE.
DISCUSSION...CHEHAK
AVIATION...CHEHAK
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