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FXUS63 KOAX 270413
AFDOAX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE
1113 PM CDT TUE MAY 26 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- DRY AND HOT CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.
- A SHIFT IN THE WEATHER PATTERN WILL BRING CHANCES FOR SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS BACK TO THE AREA THURSDAY AFTERNOON/EVENING.
THERE WILL BE A POSSIBILITY FOR DAILY SHOWER/THUNDERSTORM
CHANCES THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1108 PM CDT TUE MAY 26 2026
THE FORECAST PERIOD STARTS OUT FAIRLY QUIET WITH JUST A FEW CLOUDS
MOVING ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN NEBRASKA/SOUTHWESTERN IOWA. A RIDGE IS IN
PLACE OVER THE DAKOTAS AND A BROAD LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO
DIVE SOUTH ACROSS CALIFORNIA AND NEVADA.
HEADING INTO WEDNESDAY, MODELS SHOW A NEGATIVELY TILTED SHORTWAVE
TROUGH MOVING AROUND THE BROAD LOW, LIFTING UP INTO THE NORTHERN
TEXAS PANHANDLE AND WESTERN OKLAHOMA. WHILE NOT EXPECTED TO DIRECTLY
IMPACT US ON WEDNESDAY/THURSDAY WITH PRECIPITATION, IT WILL BE A
FEATURE TO KEEP AN EYE ON HEADING INTO THE WEEKEND. HIGH PRESSURE
WILL SET UP OVER THE DAKOTAS AND NORTHEASTERN NEBRASKA WILL GIVE US
A PRETTY QUIET AND HOT FORECAST THE NEXT TWO DAYS. EXPECT WEDNESDAY
HIGHS TO REACH THE UPPER 80S TO MID-90S. THURSDAY HIGHS WILL RANGE
FROM THE MID-80S TO MID-90S.
THURSDAY AFTERNOON INTO FRIDAY MORNING, THE AFOREMENTIONED TROUGH
WILL SLOWLY SHIFT NORTHEAST OVER NORTHERN OKLAHOMA AND EASTERN
KANSAS. THE SYSTEM WILL BE ABLE TO TAP INTO WARM, GULF AIR AND
TRANSPORT IT INTO OUR REGION. MOST AREAS ARE EXPECTED TO STAY DRY
OVERNIGHT THURSDAY, WITH SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES EXPECTED
FOR AREAS MAINLY SOUTH OF I-80 FRIDAY AFTERNOON. THIS SYSTEM WILL
LIFT TO THE NORTH AROUND THE RIDGE ON FRIDAY.
A BROAD UPPER TROUGH REMAINS IN PLACE OVER THE WESTERN CONUS THROUGH
THE WEEKEND WITH SEVERAL SHORTWAVES MOVING AROUND IT INTO THE
CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS AND GREAT PLAINS. THERE IS STILL SOME
UNCERTAINTY INTO TIMING AND AMOUNTS FOR POTENTIAL PRECIPITATION;
HOWEVER, WITH THE CURRENT PATTERN, IT APPEARS WE WILL HAVE DAILY
CHANCES (20-40%) FOR PRECIPITATION ACROSS AT LEAST A PORTION OF OUR
FORECAST AREA.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z THURSDAY/
ISSUED AT 1113 PM CDT TUE MAY 26 2026
VFR CONDITIONS PREVAIL AT ALL TERMINALS LATE THIS EVENING AND WILL
LAST FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE TAF CYCLE. WINDS REMAIN LIGHT AT LESS
THAN 12 KTS FROM THE SOUTHEAST OVERNIGHT, BECOMING EAST SOUTHEAST BY
MID MORNING BUT STILL UNDER 12 KTS. EXPECT A FEW HIGH BASED CLOUDS
THIS AFTERNOON WITH CEILINGS AT 25,000 FT.
OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NE...NONE.
IA...NONE.
DISCUSSION...ANW
AVIATION...CASTILLO
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