286
FNUS75 KPIH 090325
FWSPIH
SPOT FORECAST FOR BLACKTAIL FIRE...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO ID
925 PM MDT TUE JUL 8 2025
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 2100 MDT ON JULY 08.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT 208-232-9357 IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.
DISCUSSION
MAIN CONCERN THIS EVENING IN THE GENERAL REGION OVER THE FIRE WILL
BE A FEW MORE DRY-LEANING CONVECTIVE SHOWERS OR VIRGA POTENTIALLY
PRODUCING A LIGHTNING STRIKE OR TWO OR A FEW ROGUE/ERRATIC WIND
GUSTS AS HIGH AS 40 MPH. MOST HIGH-RES MODELS TREND THIS ACTIVITY
DOWN BETWEEN 10 PM AND MIDNIGHT, BUT HARD TO COMPLETELY RULE OUT
A SURPRISE DRY-LEANING NEARBY SHOWER OR VIRGA OVERNIGHT AS WELL.
WEDNESDAY WILL BE WARM, DRY, AND BREEZY, ALL THREE ELEMENTS PEAKING
DURING THE AFTERNOON LEADING TO NEAR-CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS. THE OVERALL ENVIRONMENT WILL BE VERY FAVORABLE FOR
ISOLATED DRY THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING GUSTY/ERRATIC DOWNDRAFT AND
OUTFLOW WINDS OF 40 TO 55 MPH, WITH THE GREATEST RISK OVER THE
FIRE BETWEEN 2 PM AND 10 PM. OVERALL COVERAGE MAY STAY ISOLATED
AND IT'S ALMOST IMPOSSIBLE TO PREDICT IF THE FIRE WILL RECEIVE A
DIRECT HIT WITH ANY CONFIDENCE THIS FAR OUT, BUT WINDS AND
LIGHTNING WILL DEFINITELY BE THE PRIMARY HAZARDS TO WATCH OUT
FOR WITH THIS ACTIVITY. A DRY COLD FRONT WILL ALSO CROSS THE
REGION JUST AFTER SUNSET WITH OVERALL WINDS SHIFTING INTO THE
NORTHWEST.
REST OF TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.
SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS PRODUCING GUSTY
WINDS AND A FEW LIGHTNING STRIKES THROUGH
ABOUT MIDNIGHT.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...10 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....55 TO 59 DEGREES.
MAX HUMIDITY........50 TO 55 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH OVERNIGHT.
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.01 INCHES.
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WITH LIGHTNING AND STRONG WIND
GUSTS BETWEEN 2 PM AND 10 PM.
CWR.................25 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...25 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....77 TO 81 DEGREES.
MIN HUMIDITY........16 TO 21 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTHWEST 10 TO 16 MPH GUSTING TO 25 MPH
IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS AS
HIGH AS 55 MPH POSSIBLE NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN
THE AFTERNOON.
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.10 INCHES.
FORECASTER...KSMITH
REQUESTED BY...TARA KURTZBEIN
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2517635.0/PIH
.DELDT 07/08/25
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL IDCIC@FIRENET.GOV,GABRIELLE.PILKERTON@USDA.GOV
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page