244
FXUS63 KDVN 101916
AFDDVN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
216 PM CDT FRI OCT 10 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- AREAS OF FOG POSSIBLE SOUTH OF I-80 TONIGHT.
- WARM FALL WEATHER IS EXPECTED THIS WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT
WEEK WITH HIGHS IN THE 60S AND 70S.
SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
ISSUED AT 200 PM CDT FRI OCT 10 2025
A LARGE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE UPPER MIDWEST
AND WESTERN GREAT LAKES AREA TONIGHT, LEADING TO LIGHT N TO NE
WINDS AND COOL TEMPERATURES. FORECAST LOWS FOR EASTERN IOWA AND
NORTHWEST ILLINOIS ARE IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S (COLDEST
ALONG/NORTH OF HIGHWAY 20). PATCHY TO AREAS OF FOG MAY DEVELOP
AFTER 9-10 PM TONIGHT SOUTH OF I-80 WHERE WINDS ARE FORECAST TO
BE LIGHT & VARIABLE AND SURFACE DEWPOINTS WILL BE HOLDING IN
THE MID 40S TO MID 50S. THE HRRR AND RAP ARE HIGHLIGHTING THE
AREA AROUND BURLINGTON AND POINTS TO THE SOUTH/SOUTHWEST AS THE
MOST LIKELY LOCATIONS TO HAVE A PERIOD OF FOG, WHICH COULD BE
LOCALLY DENSE.
LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
ISSUED AT 200 PM CDT FRI OCT 10 2025
A PLEASANT WEEKEND IS IN STORE, WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER 60S
TO LOWER 70S SATURDAY AND LOWER 70S (NORTH) TO UPPER 70S CENTRAL AND
SOUTH SUNDAY. THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON, DRY WEATHER IS CONFIDENTLY
FORECAST, AS A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE MOVES THROUGH THE REGION.
BREEZY CONDITIONS (SE 15-30 MPH) COMBINED WITH WELL ABOVE
NORMAL TEMPERATURES ON SUNDAY WILL LEAD TO ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS FOR UNHARVESTED FIELDS, ESPECIALLY NW OF THE QUAD
CITIES. FOLLOWING THE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE, SUNDAY NIGHT AND
MONDAY MAY SEE SOME SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY AS A SHORTWAVE
MOVES THROUGH THE UPPER MIDWEST. THE LATEST NBM HAS 20-40%
CHANCES FOR RAIN NORTH AND WEST OF THE QUAD CITIES.
LOOKING TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY, ANOTHER PASSING HIGH PRESSURE
SYSTEM AT THE SURFACE IS FORECAST BY THE BULK OF AVAILABLE
GUIDANCE, RESULTING IN PLEASANT TEMPERATURES IN THE 60S AND 70S
EACH DAY, AND LOWS IN THE 40S AND 50S. THERE COULD BE A FEW
BOUTS OF PASSING SHOWERS AS UPPER LEVEL ENERGY MOVES EAST OVER
THE BROAD UPPER RIDGE WHICH IS INDICATED BY MODELS OVER THE
SOUTHERN CONUS.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY/
ISSUED AT 1220 PM CDT FRI OCT 10 2025
GENERALLY VFR IS ANTICIPATED TODAY INTO SATURDAY AM AS A WEAK
COLD FRONT SHIFTS THROUGH THE REGION. SW TO W WINDS WILL SHIFT
TO THE NE FROM LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT AND DECREASE TO
UNDER 10 KTS. PATCHY FOG IS POSSIBLE NEAR BRL LATE TONIGHT INTO
SATURDAY AM, BUT DID NOT INCLUDE IN THE TAFS YET DUE TO LOW
CONFIDENCE.
DVN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
IA...NONE.
IL...NONE.
MO...NONE.
SHORT TERM...UTTECH
LONG TERM...ERVIN/UTTECH
AVIATION...UTTECH
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