528  
FNUS71 KILN 111301  
FWSILN  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR J ROAD RX...USFWS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH  
901 AM EDT THU APR 11 2019  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON APRIL 11.  
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS OR CONCERNS  
WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
WARM AND BREEZY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TODAY. A COLD FRONT  
WILL PUSH EAST ACROSS THE AREA LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY  
MORNING, BRINGING A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS,  
ALONG WITH COOLER TEMPERATURES HEADING INTO THE WEEKEND. DRY  
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON SATURDAY BEFORE A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM  
BRINGS ANOTHER CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FOR SUNDAY.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 79.  
MIN HUMIDITY........44 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 33 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......6600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 10 TO 18 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTH 25  
TO 33 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE  
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (EDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........54 52 54 56 57 61 65 69  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............60 67 71 75 78 79 79 79  
RH..............61 55 52 47 42 39 39 38  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..10 10 12 14 16 17 17 17  
20 FT WIND GUST.14 13 18 22 24 26 26 26  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.9 1.2 3.0 4.7 6.5 6.5 6.5 6.6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 10 18 25 33 33 32 32  
HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 5 5 4 4  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SHOWERS LIKELY  
AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55.  
MAX HUMIDITY........83 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 14 TO 17 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND  
26 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR  
THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 20 TO 25 MPH DECREASING TO 13 TO 20 MPH  
EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE  
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........69 69 69 71 73 74 77 81 84 87 90 93  
WEATHER COV..... SCH CHC CHC CHC LKY  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH SCH  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 10 10 10 10 20 30 30 50 70  
TEMP............77 76 74 73 71 71 70 69 68 67 67 65  
RH..............43 47 51 52 55 53 55 57 59 63 70 76  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..16 15 14 14 15 16 16 16 16 17 17 16  
20 FT WIND GUST.26 24 24 20 23 24 24 25 25 26 26 25  
MIX HGT (KFT)...4.9 3.2 1.4 1.5 1.5 1.6 1.8 2.1 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.25 20 13 15 16 18 18 20 20 20 18 18  
HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 2  
   
FRIDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY  
SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN  
THE MORNING. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY LATE IN THE  
MORNING, THEN CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS LATE IN  
THE MORNING.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......90 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 67.  
MIN HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 13 TO 16 MPH WITH GUSTS TO  
AROUND 22 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 13 TO 21 MPH INCREASING TO 24 TO 25  
MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 5 OR VERY LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR  
LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........93 94 95 92 88 85 69 52 36 30 24 18  
WEATHER COV.....DEF DEF DEF DEF LKY CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........SCH SCH  
CHC OF PCPN (%).80 90 80 80 60 40 10 10 10 10 10 10  
TEMP............63 60 57 55 54 55 57 60 63 64 65 65  
RH..............79 82 81 83 83 77 69 60 52 48 46 44  
20 FT WIND DIR..S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..13 11 11 11 11 11 12 13 14 15 15 15  
20 FT WIND GUST.22 18 18 19 20 21 21 22 21 21 21 21  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.6 0.9 0.3 1.0 1.7 2.4 2.9 3.4 4.0 4.2 4.5 4.8  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.18 20 20 17 15 13 16 21 24 24 25 25  
HAINES INDEX....2 3 3 3 2 2 3 3 4 4 5 5  
 

 
FORECASTER...CONIGLIO  
REQUESTED BY...BRIAN WINTERS  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 1905989.0/ILN  
.DELDT 04/11/19  
.FORMATTERVERSION 1.0.26  
.EMAIL BRIAN_WINTERS@FWS.GOV  
 
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