488
FXUS61 KILN 192327
AFDILN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
727 PM EDT FRI JUN 19 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES.
KEY MESSAGES
1) HEAVY RAIN IS POSSIBLE SUNDAY AFTERNOON INTO MONDAY.
2) BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1)
LOW PRESSURE WILL SHIFT FROM THE MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY SUNDAY
INTO THE LOWER GREAT LAKES MONDAY. WHILE THE VERTICAL WIND FIELDS
WILL NOT BE AS STRONG WITH THIS SYSTEM COMPARED TO YESTERDAY'S, DEEP
MOISTURE WILL BE PRESENT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT.
IF THE EXPECTED PATH OF THIS SYSTEM HOLDS, A LENGTHY PERIOD OF
SHOWERS -- HEAVY AT TIMES -- WILL BE POSSIBLE SUNDAY NIGHT. GLOBAL
ENSEMBLE SYSTEMS SHOW 24-HOUR PRECIPITATION RANGING FROM 1" TO 2"
(ENSEMBLE MEAN), WITH THE HEAVIEST BASED ON A LOW TRACK FURTHER SOUTH
THROUGH CENTRAL OHIO.
KEY MESSAGE 2)
BEHIND THE SYSTEM, DRY WEATHER WILL RETURN LATE MONDAY INTO MID-WEEK
AS COOL HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE MIDDLE OHIO VALLEY. WITH NORMAL
HIGHS NEARING THEIR PEAK SUMMERTIME VALUES IN THE MIDDLE 80S, HIGHS
EARLY NEXT WEEK WILL STAY IN THE 70S.
AVIATION /00Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
VFR WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE PERIOD. MID CLOUDS WILL SPREAD ACROSS
THE REGION AFTER 05Z AND THEN SCATTER LATE IN THE PERIOD. WINDS WILL
DECREASE AND BACK TO THE SOUTH SOUTHWEST TONIGHT BUT THEN DURING THE
DAY VEER TO THE WEST NORTHWEST AND INCREASE WITH GUSTS AT OR ABOVE 20
KT.
OUTLOOK...THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
MONDAY. MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ON SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY AS
WELL.
ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OH...NONE.
KY...NONE.
IN...NONE.
DISCUSSION...04
AVIATION...35
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