381
FXUS61 KILN 240559
AFDILN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
159 AM EDT TUE MAR 24 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
TIMING OF THURSDAY NIGHT'S STORMS HAS SHIFTED SLIGHTLY LATER.
KEY MESSAGES
1) TEMPERATURES WILL RISE TO WELL ABOVE NORMAL ON THURSDAY AHEAD OF A
COLD FRONT THAT WILL CROSS IN THE EVENING. THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR
ALONG AND BEHIND THE FRONT WITH WIDESPREAD TRAILING SHOWERS, EXITING
IN THE MORNING. SOME FORM OF SEVERE WEATHER IS LIKELY WITH THIS
SYSTEM BUT TOO EARLY TO PROVIDE ANY FINER DETAIL AT THIS TIME.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1) A SURGE OF UNSEASONABLY WARM/MOIST AIR WILL ARRIVE
EARLY THURSDAY MORNING, WITH SOME WAA-INDUCED SHOWERS EXPECTED
ACROSS PARTS OF THE CWA DURING THE PREDAWN AND EARLY MORNING HOURS.
WARM ADVECTION ON GOOD SW WINDS WILL PUSH TEMPERATURES INTO THE MID-
UPPER 70S. ANY LINGERING CLOUD COVER FROM MORNING SHOWERS WILL HELP
THIS PRE-FRONTAL WARMTH TO BE SLIGHTLY CURTAILED, AS OPPOSED TO THE
RECORD SETTING TEMPERATURES FOUND AHEAD OF THIS PAST SATURDAY'S
FRONTAL PASSAGE.
AS THE COLD FRONT MOVE SOUTH, THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR AS IT PASSES,
FOLLOWED BY WIDESPREAD SHOWERS WITH SOME EMBEDDED THUNDER FOR THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS. THIS FRONT WILL EXIT THE CWA FRIDAY MORNING. TRAILING
SHOWERS WITH SOME LINGERING THUNDER MAY BE PRESENT FOR A FEW HOURS
AFTER DAYBREAK FRIDAY, MAINLY ALONG/SOUTH OF THE OHIO RIVER.
AVIATION /06Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
LIGHT AND ERRATIC BUT GENERALLY WITH A SOUTHERLY COMPONENT TO THE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT 24-36 HOURS. HIGH CLOUDS WILL BE A
BIT MORE THICK AT CVG/LUK BUT SHOULD BE SCT THROUGH THE DAY AND LOWER
TO A MID DECK IN THE EVENING.
OUTLOOK...MVFR CIGS WITH LIGHT RAIN ARE POSSIBLE WED NIGHT/EARLY THU. ,
THUNDERSTORMS WITH ASSOCIATED MVFR TO IFR CIGS/VSBYS ARE EXPECTED
OVERNIGHT THURS, POSSIBLY BEGINNING IN THE LATE EVENING. MVFR CIGS
IN -SHRA MAY LINGER INTO EARLY FRIDAY.
ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OH...NONE.
KY...NONE.
IN...NONE.
DISCUSSION...FRANKS
AVIATION...FRANKS
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