311
FXUS61 KILN 091753
AFDILN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
153 PM EDT THU APR 9 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES.
KEY MESSAGES
1) WARM CONDITIONS CONTINUE INTO FRIDAY BEFORE A COLD FRONT MOVES
THROUGH THE AREA, BRINGING CHANCES FOR RAIN AND SLIGHTLY COOLER
CONDITIONS INTO SATURDAY. WARM TEMPERATURES RETURN SUNDAY THROUGH THE
MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK WITH RAINFALL CHANCES RESUMING MONDAY THROUGH
THURSDAY.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1)
A COLD FRONT APPROACHES THE AREA ON FRIDAY, WITH WARM AND DRY
CONDITIONS IN PLACE AHEAD OF IT. CANNOT RULE OUT A STRAY SHOWER OR
THUNDERSTORM ACROSS THE FAR NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE AREA IN WEST-
CENTRAL OHIO, HOWEVER, THESE CHANCES ARE QUITE LOW.
RAINFALL CHANCES INCREASE WITH THE ARRIVAL OF THE FRONT TOMORROW.
THE FRONT WILL DROP DOWN THROUGHOUT THE AFTERNOON AND INTO THE EARLY
EVENING. A BAND OF SHOWERS AND PERHAPS A FEW ELEVATED THUNDERSTORMS
WILL ACCOMPANY THE FRONT. OVERALL, RAINFALL AMOUNTS ACROSS THE AREA
WILL BE LIGHT.
HIGH PRESSURE MOVES THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES ON SATURDAY, PROVIDING
DRY CONDITIONS WITH SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES.
DEEP MID-LEVEL RIDGING BUILDS INTO THE REGION ON SUNDAY AS A TROUGH
DEEPENS OVER THE WESTERN CONUS. SEVERAL WEAK DISTURBANCES WITHIN THE
NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE RIDGE PROVIDE CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND
PERHAPS SOME THUNDERSTORMS MONDAY AND TUESDAY. DEPENDING ON HOW
QUICKLY THE TROUGH OVER THE WESTERN CONUS EJECTS EASTWARD, A BETTER
CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MAY ARRIVE ON WEDNESDAY. IF THIS
TROUGH ENDS UP PIVOTING INTO THE GREAT LAKES, THE RIDGE WILL BECOME
ESTABLISHED OVER THE OHIO VALLEY ONCE AGAIN TO WRAP UP THE WORK WEEK.
UNTIL THESE DETAILS CAN BE IRONED OUT, THE ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES
WILL REMAIN THE MAIN STORY.
AVIATION /18Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
CONTINUED VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THIS UPCOMING TAF PERIOD. WIND GUSTS
RELAX OVERNIGHT, BUT WILL PICK UP ONCE AGAIN FRIDAY MORNING AND
PERSIST THROUGH THE END OF THE TAF. A FEW HOURS OF LLWS IS EXPECTED
FOR SOME SITES EARLY FRIDAY MORNING.
AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES, RAINFALL CHANCES AND MVFR CIGS WILL
INCREASE, HOWEVER FOR NOW, THESE REMAIN OUT SIDE THE TAF PERIOD.
OUTLOOK...MVFR CONDITIONS POSSIBLE FRIDAY LATE AFTERNOON INTO FRIDAY
NIGHT AND THEN AGAIN ON MONDAY. WIND GUSTS AROUND 30 KNOTS POSSIBLE
ON MONDAY.
ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OH...NONE.
KY...NONE.
IN...NONE.
DISCUSSION...MCGINNIS
AVIATION...MCGINNIS
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