179
FXUS61 KILN 092353
AFDILN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
753 PM EDT THU APR 9 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES.
KEY MESSAGES
1) WARM CONDITIONS CONTINUE INTO FRIDAY BEFORE A COLD FRONT MOVES
THROUGH THE AREA, BRINGING CHANCES FOR RAIN AND SLIGHTLY COOLER
CONDITIONS INTO SATURDAY. WARM TEMPERATURES RETURN SUNDAY THROUGH THE
MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK WITH RAINFALL CHANCES RESUMING MONDAY THROUGH
THURSDAY.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1)
A COLD FRONT APPROACHES THE AREA ON FRIDAY, WITH WARM AND DRY
CONDITIONS IN PLACE AHEAD OF IT. CANNOT RULE OUT A STRAY SHOWER OR
THUNDERSTORM ACROSS THE FAR NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE AREA IN WEST-
CENTRAL OHIO, HOWEVER, THESE CHANCES ARE QUITE LOW.
RAINFALL CHANCES INCREASE WITH THE ARRIVAL OF THE FRONT TOMORROW.
THE FRONT WILL DROP DOWN THROUGHOUT THE AFTERNOON AND INTO THE EARLY
EVENING. A BAND OF SHOWERS AND PERHAPS A FEW ELEVATED THUNDERSTORMS
WILL ACCOMPANY THE FRONT. OVERALL, RAINFALL AMOUNTS ACROSS THE AREA
WILL BE LIGHT.
HIGH PRESSURE MOVES THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES ON SATURDAY, PROVIDING
DRY CONDITIONS WITH SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES.
DEEP MID-LEVEL RIDGING BUILDS INTO THE REGION ON SUNDAY AS A TROUGH
DEEPENS OVER THE WESTERN CONUS. SEVERAL WEAK DISTURBANCES WITHIN THE
NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE RIDGE PROVIDE CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND
PERHAPS SOME THUNDERSTORMS MONDAY AND TUESDAY. DEPENDING ON HOW
QUICKLY THE TROUGH OVER THE WESTERN CONUS EJECTS EASTWARD, A BETTER
CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MAY ARRIVE ON WEDNESDAY. IF THIS
TROUGH ENDS UP PIVOTING INTO THE GREAT LAKES, THE RIDGE WILL BECOME
ESTABLISHED OVER THE OHIO VALLEY ONCE AGAIN TO WRAP UP THE WORK WEEK.
UNTIL THESE DETAILS CAN BE IRONED OUT, THE ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES
WILL REMAIN THE MAIN STORY.
AVIATION /00Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
VFR CONDITIONS WILL START OUT THE TAF PERIOD. HIGH CLOUDS WILL BE
AROUND AT TIMES THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. LLWS WILL BE POSSIBLE
LATE IN THE OVERNIGHT AND INTO THE DAYTIME MORNING HOURS ON FRIDAY.
WINDS WILL INCREASE ON FRIDAY AND BECOME GUSTY. CLOUD COVER WILL
INCREASE AND RAIN SHOWERS WILL MOVE INTO THE TAF SITES. WINDS WILL
SHIFT WITH A FRONTAL BOUNDARY. CIGS WILL START TO LOWER AT THE END OF
THE TAF PERIOD WITH MVFR CIGS AT SOME OF THE AREA TAF SITES.
OUTLOOK...MVFR CONDITIONS POSSIBLE INTO FRIDAY NIGHT AND THEN AGAIN
ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY. WIND GUSTS AROUND 30 KNOTS POSSIBLE ON MONDAY.
ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OH...NONE.
KY...NONE.
IN...NONE.
DISCUSSION...MCGINNIS
AVIATION...
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