708
FXUS63 KIWX 091908
AFDIWX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
208 PM EST MON FEB 9 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- QUIET WEATHER IS EXPECTED THIS WEEK. THE NEXT CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION IS NOT UNTIL LATE SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY.
- WARMER THIS WEEK. HIGHS MOST DAYS WILL BE IN THE 30S AND LOW
40S, EXCEPT THIS TUESDAY AND NEXT MONDAY WHEN HIGHS COULD
REACH THE MID 40S FOR AREAS FURTHER SOUTH AND WEST. THIS WILL
SUPPORT A GRADUAL MELT OF THE EXISTING SNOWPACK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 143 PM EST MON FEB 9 2026
QUIET WEATHER CONTINUES WITH UPPER LEVEL RIDGING OVER THE
CENTRAL CONUS MOVING EASTWARD AND BUILDING INTO THE REGION.
SOME MODERATION IN TEMPERATURES TOWARDS MORE NORMAL LEVELS.
CURRENT NORMAL HIGHS FOR FORT WAYNE IS AT 34 DEGREES AND NORMAL
LOWS AT 19 DEGREES WITH SOUTH BEND VALUES AT 33 AND 15
RESPECTIVELY. TOMORROW LOOKS TO BE THE WARMEST DAY OF THIS WEEK
WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES GETTING CLOSE TO THE 40 DEGREE MARK. OF
COURSE THIS WILL FEEL BALMY COMPARED TO WHAT WE HAVE BEEN
ENDURING OVER THE LAST SEVERAL WEEKS. OTHERWISE, HIGH TEMPERATURES
THIS WEEK WILL GENERALLY SIT AROUND THE LOW 30S EACH DAY AND
THE SNOWPACK WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES ON THE COOLER SIDE.
WITH A MORE SPLIT FLOW ALOFT ENERGY WILL PRIMARILY PASS WELL
NORTH OR WELL SOUTH OF OUR AREA FOR MOST OF THE WEEK. A WEAK
TROUGH DOES MOVE SOUTHEAST INTO THE REGION BY THE WEEKEND FROM
WESTERN CANADA AND WILL MOVE A FEW DISTURBANCES THROUGH THE
NORTHWESTERLY FLOW INTO THE AREA INCREASING CHANCES OF
PRECIPITATION BEGINNING SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY. PERIODS OF LIGHT
SNOW SHOWERS AND EVEN A BIT OF RAIN MAY MIX IN BUT WE WILL
CONTINUE TO MONITOR AS WE GET CLOSER TO NAIL DOWN THE EXACT
DETAILS AND THERMAL PROFILES AS IT DOES APPEAR THE RAIN/SNOW
LINE SETS UP OVER OUR CWA.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z TUESDAY/
ISSUED AT 1239 PM EST MON FEB 9 2026
PREDOMINANTLY VFR CONDITIONS AT THE TERMINALS THIS PERIOD, WITH
LLWS OF 45-50 KNOTS OVERNIGHT INTO TUESDAY MORNING. STRATUS DECK
AROUND 4-5KFT IS SLOWLY SHIFTING SOUTHEASTWARD, WITH SCT-BKN
CEILINGS AROUND 25KFT BUILDING IN FROM THE WEST-NORTHWEST. WINDS
WILL VEER FROM THE E-SE TO THE SOUTHWEST THROUGH TOMORROW
MORNING, THEN SHIFT WEST BEHIND A COLD FRONT THAT PASSES
THROUGH. MVFR CEILINGS ARE MOST LIKELY AT KFWA, WITH GUIDANCE
SUGGESTING AROUND 1500-3000 FT. FOR NOW, STARTED WITH BKN025 AT
15Z GIVEN THE LOWER END CEILINGS ARE MOST LIKELY CLOSER TO 18Z.
THERE ARE A FEW MODELS DEPICTING LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS AT KFWA
DURING THIS PERIOD AS WELL, HOWEVER HELD OFF ON ANY MENTION FOR
NOW GIVEN LOW CONFIDENCE.
IWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
IN...NONE.
OH...NONE.
MI...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.
DISCUSSION...ANDERSEN
AVIATION...MCD
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