363  
FNUS73 KDDC 161102  
FWSDDC  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR LOWE CROSSING RX...U.S. FOREST SERVICE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS  
502 AM CST SUN FEB 16 2020  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0600 MST ON FEBRUARY 16.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (620) 225-6514, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.  
MIN HUMIDITY........28 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING  
BECOMING LIGHT, THEN BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 6  
MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3900-4600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 3 TO 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 5 TO 10  
MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.  
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR  
LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (CST) 5 AM 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM  
SKY (%).........25 21 27 34 40 46  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............29 31 38 47 53 61  
RH..............81 81 70 51 41 28  
20 FT WIND......W 5 W 4 NW 2 E 2 SE 5 SE 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 6 10  
MIX HGT (FT)....300 100 800 2300 4100 4400  
TRANSPORT WIND..W 5 W 5 NW 5 N 3 SE 5 S 8  
HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 33.  
MAX HUMIDITY........82 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST  
AROUND 6 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100-3100 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-1000 FT AGL  
EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 13 TO 18 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 13 TO  
14 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
HAINES INDEX........5 TO 6 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO HIGH POTENTIAL FOR  
LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (CST) 5 PM 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM  
SKY (%).........52 40 30 22 21 26  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............56 47 41 38 36 35  
RH..............37 53 67 76 79 78  
20 FT WIND......SE 6 SE 7 SE 7 S 6 SW 6 W 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 7 7  
MIX HGT (FT)....3100 1000 BLW100 300 300 200  
TRANSPORT WIND..S 13 SE 17 SE 17 S 16 SW 14 W 13  
HAINES INDEX....5 6 6 5 6 6  
   
WASHINGTONS BIRTHDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55.  
MIN HUMIDITY........28 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTH WINDS 6 TO 14 MPH INCREASING TO 15 TO 21  
MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH IN THE LATE  
MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5800-6600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 16 TO 21 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 24  
TO 31 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN DECREASING  
TO 9 TO 18 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
HAINES INDEX........5 TO 6 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO HIGH POTENTIAL FOR  
LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (CST) 5 AM 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM  
SKY (%).........31 32 33 34 40 47  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............34 37 43 50 54 54  
RH..............78 75 57 39 31 28  
20 FT WIND......NW 6 N 11 N 16 N 21 N 21 N 13  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 16 22 25 22 18  
MIX HGT (FT)....300 300 1200 3100 5800 6600  
TRANSPORT WIND..NW 16 N 28 N 31 N 24 N 21 N 9  
HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 6 6  
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
 
   
TUESDAY
 
 
COLDER. MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID 20S.  
HIGHS AROUND 40. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS  
IN THE MID 30S. LIGHT WINDS.    
THURSDAY
 
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE LOWER  
40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 

 
FORECASTER...FINCH  
REQUESTED BY...JOSEPH WILLIAMS  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2002259.0/DDC  
.DELDT 02/16/20  
.EMAIL JOSEPH.L.WILLIAMS@USDA.GOV  
 
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