694  
FNUS73 KDDC 190645  
FWSDDC  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR MURPHY TRAILHEAD...USDA FOREST SERVICE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS  
145 AM CDT SUN JUL 19 2020  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0700 CDT ON JULY 19.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (620) 225-6514, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE  
AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT INCREASING TO 32 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 92.  
MIN HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC  
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6500-8000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 3 TO 10 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 6 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO HIGH POTENTIAL FOR  
LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (CDT) 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM  
SKY (%).........58 54 55 52 50 58  
WEATHER COV..... S CHC S CHC CHANCE  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........ S CHC S CHC CHANCE  
CWR.............0 0 0 20 20 30  
TEMP............70 75 82 88 90 89  
RH..............81 69 56 43 41 42  
20 FT WIND......SE 5 SE 6 E 5 SE 6 SE 8 SE 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.12 12 6 10 11  
MIX HGT (FT)....200 700 2400 4900 7700 6500  
TRANSPORT WIND..SE 7 S 6 S 5 SE 3 SE 7 E 10  
HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 5 6 6  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING, THEN  
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS  
AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
CWR.................45 PERCENT INCREASING TO 51 PERCENT EARLY IN  
THE EVENING, THEN DECREASING TO 39 PERCENT LATE  
IN THE EVENING DECREASING TO 0 PERCENT AFTER  
MIDNIGHT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.  
MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC  
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 700-2100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 13 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTHWEST LATE IN THE EVENING, THEN SHIFTING TO  
THE SOUTH 6 TO 14 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 6 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO HIGH POTENTIAL FOR  
LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM  
SKY (%).........78 87 82 81 76 68  
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC S CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC S CHC  
CWR.............40 50 50 40 0 0  
TEMP............87 80 74 71 69 68  
RH..............45 60 74 84 90 90  
20 FT WIND......SE 10 SE 8 SE 7 S 7 S 6 S 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.13 11 8 8 7  
MIX HGT (FT)....4200 1200 800 700 900 1100  
TRANSPORT WIND..E 13 N 13 W 10 S 7 SE 6 S 9  
HAINES INDEX....6 4 3 3 3 3  
   
MONDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 94.  
MIN HUMIDITY........37 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE  
MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR  
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7700-8800 FT  
AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 14 TO 22 MPH BECOMING SOUTH 6 TO 9  
MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR  
LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY (%).........53 39 26 17 15 20  
WEATHER COV.....S CHC CHANCE CHANCE  
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........S CHC CHANCE CHANCE  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............66 70 76 84 89 92  
RH..............93 84 71 53 44 38  
20 FT WIND......S 6 S 6 SW 8 S 8 S 7 S 7  
20 FT WIND GUST. 7 10 10 10 10  
MIX HGT (FT)....1000 1100 2000 4400 6800 8200  
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 20 SW 20 W 9 S 6 S 6 S 7  
HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 4 5  
 

 
FORECASTER...HOVORKA  
REQUESTED BY...SHAWN WYCKOFF  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2009589.0/DDC  
.DELDT 07/19/20  
.EMAIL COPBC@FIRENET.GOV  
 
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