958  
FNUS73 KEAX 111316  
FWSEAX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR DUNN RANCH: THE SIXHUNDRED...THE NATURE CONSERVANCY  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO  
816 AM CDT SUN APR 11 2021  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 CDT ON APRIL 11.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT 1-800-438-0596, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
NORTHWEST WINDS WILL BE PREDOMINANT THROUGH THE DAY, BUT THEY WILL  
BE PRETTY LIGHT. RAPID FIRE GROWTH IS NOT ANTICIPATED GIVEN THE  
LIGHT WINDS, BUT A DEEPER MIXED LAYER SHOULD HELP GET SLIGHTLY  
HIGHER GUSTS TO AROUND 10-15 MPH, ALONG WITH GOOD VENTILATION.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-5 PERCENT).  
CWR.................1 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68.  
MIN HUMIDITY........34 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 22 TO 31 MPH BECOMING WEST 12 TO 18  
MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE  
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (CDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............38 41 45 49 54 58 62 65 67 68 68  
RH..............89 82 74 68 56 47 41 37 35 34 36  
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW W W NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 7 8 8 8 7 8 8 8 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 8 10 10 10  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.1 0.4 0.8 1.3 2.0 2.7 3.3 3.7 3.9 3.7 2.6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW NW NW NW W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.31 29 26 25 22 18 16 15 14 13 12  
HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).  
CWR.................1 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 41.  
MAX HUMIDITY........98 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......0 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 12 TO 20 MPH INCREASING TO 24 TO 33  
MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.  
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR VERY LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR  
LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........2 3 4 5 7 10 13 16 17 19 21 20  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............67 65 60 56 53 51 49 48 46 45 44 43  
RH..............39 44 51 57 61 61 63 60 63 62 65 67  
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 6 7 8 8 9 9 9 9 9  
20 FT WIND GUST. 8 10 11 11 12 12 13 13  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 13 16 20 24 26 29 30 31 32 32 33  
HAINES INDEX....5 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 3  
   
MONDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).  
CWR.................1 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58.  
MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 28 MPH  
EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 25 TO 33 MPH DECREASING TO 20 TO 23  
MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.  
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR VERY LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR  
LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........19 18 16 13 11 9 8 7 7 6 6 4  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............42 41 42 45 48 50 53 55 56 57 58 58  
RH..............70 73 70 64 57 52 46 41 40 37 34 34  
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW W W W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..10 10 11 13 14 15 15 15 15 15 14 13  
20 FT WIND GUST.13 14 17 18 21 21 21 21 22 21 21 19  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.9 1.3 1.7 2.0 2.4 3.0 3.5 3.9 4.3 4.4 4.0 3.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.33 32 30 28 25 23 23 22 22 21 21 20  
HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 3 3 5 5 5 5 5  
 

 
FORECASTER...LEIGHTON  
REQUESTED BY...RYAN GAUGER  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2108542.0/EAX  
.DELDT 04/11/21  
.FORMATTERVERSION 1.0.26  
.EMAIL RGAUGER@TNC.ORG  
 
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