695
FNUS73 KEAX 191409
FWSEAX
SPOT FORECAST FOR SWAN LAKE G UNITS...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
809 AM CST THU DEC 19 2024
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 CST ON DECEMBER 19.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT 1-800-438-0596, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.
DISCUSSION
THE MAIN ISSUE TODAY WILL BE THE GUSTY WINDS WHICH LOOK LIKELY TO
GUST BETWEEN 25 AND 30 MPH THIS AFTERNOON. THIS LOOKS MOST LIKELY
BETWEEN THE SCHEDULED INITIATION TIME AND 4 TO 5 THIS AFTERNOON.
WINDS LOOK TO DIMINISH WITH THE LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING/ MIXING.
HOWEVER A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA THIS
EVENING, SHIFTING WINDS TO THE NW AND INCREASING GUSTS TO AROUND
30 MPH. THERE IS ALSO A GOOD CHANCE (60-80%) FOR WINDS TO GUST IN
EXCESS OF 35 MPH BEHIND THE FRONT THIS EVENING.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.
MIN HUMIDITY........47 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 14 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
WEST 10 TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS UP TO
29 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 21 TO 26 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST
AROUND 14 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
TIME (CST) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........51 27 31 30 36 17 24 11 6
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............34 37 43 45 47 49 50 49 46
RH..............82 80 64 62 56 51 50 47 53
20 FT WIND DIR..S SW SW SW SW W W W W
20 FT WIND SPD..10 14 14 15 15 14 14 13 10
20 FT WIND GUST.23 26 26 28 28 29 26 25 23
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.3 1.9 2.1 2.3 2.6 3.0 3.1 1.5 0.7
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW W W W W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.21 26 25 24 24 25 24 20 14
HAINES INDEX....4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 4
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 21.
MAX HUMIDITY........67 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
NORTHWEST 15 TO 18 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 16 TO 21 MPH INCREASING TO 28 TO 32
MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........20 21 6 6 5 8 30 33 28 26 27 38
WEATHER COV.....M M M M M M M M M M M M
WEATHER TYPE....M M M M M M M M M M M M
TSTM COV........M M M M M M M M M M M M
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............42 40 36 32 29 26 25 25 24 24 23 23
RH..............60 59 54 53 53 57 57 60 60 62 66 63
20 FT WIND DIR..W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
20 FT WIND SPD..9 12 14 15 16 16 16 17 17 18 18 18
20 FT WIND GUST.23 25 28 29 30 30 29 29 30 30 30 30
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.6 0.9 2.5 2.2 2.4 2.5 2.4 2.4 2.6 2.6 2.6
TRANSP WIND DIR.W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.16 21 28 32 30 30 30 30 30 31 31 30
HAINES INDEX....4 4 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 31.
MIN HUMIDITY........49 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 17 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
AROUND 29 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 5 TO 7 MPH
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 20 TO 29 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 13
TO 17 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........37 42 24 15 5 9 12 14 15 17 22 28
WEATHER COV.....M M M M M M M M M M M M
WEATHER TYPE....M M M M M M M M M M M M
TSTM COV........M M M M M M M M M M M M
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............22 21 22 23 25 27 28 29 30 31 29 28
RH..............65 67 65 65 60 55 52 50 51 49 52 56
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW N N N N N N N
20 FT WIND SPD..17 17 16 15 15 14 14 13 12 9 7 5
20 FT WIND GUST.29 29 28 26 25 25 24 22 20 17 14 10
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.3 2.6 2.4 2.4 2.5 2.6 2.7 2.7 2.8 2.5 2.0 1.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW NW NW N N N N N N N
TRANSP WIND SPD.29 28 25 28 24 23 22 21 20 17 15 13
HAINES INDEX....2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4
FORECASTER...BOWMAN
REQUESTED BY...CHRIS WOODSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2428694.2/EAX
.DELDT 12/19/24
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL CHRIS_WOODSON@FWS.GOV
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