461
FNUS73 KICT 061736
FWSICT
SPOT FORECAST FOR LCC FIRE SCHOOL LIVE BURN...KANSAS FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
1236 PM CDT SAT APR 6 2024
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1900 CDT ON APRIL 06.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
PLEASE CONTACT US VIA NWS CHAT, 800MHZ RADIO OR PHONE IF YOU HAVE
QUESTIONS OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST,
..WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM CDT THIS EVENING
DISCUSSION
GUSTY SOUTHEAST WINDS TODAY WITH SPEEDS 25 TO 30 MPH LIKELY WITH
GUSTS AROUND 40 MPH. WINDS WILL DECREASE SLIGHTLY TOWARD SUNSET.
LINE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA IN THE 6 PM
TO 9 PM TIMEFRAME. THEY WILL BE MOVING VERY QUICKLY EAST WITH
HEAVY RAIN NOT EXPECTED.
WINDS WILL TURN TO THE WEST AND SOUTHWEST FOR SUNDAY AFTERNOON
AND WILL BE SUSTAINED AROUND 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35. AFTERNOON
RH'S ON SUNDAY WILL BE IN THE 20-25% RANGE. FOR MONDAY, WINDS WILL
RETURN TO THE SOUTH AND WILL BE IN THE 20-25 MPH RANGE WITH GUSTS
30-35 MPH. RH'S MONDAY AFTERNOON WILL GENERALLY BE IN THE 30-35%
RANGE.
REST OF TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
EVENING, THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE EVENING.
CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 50 PERCENT EARLY IN
THE EVENING, THEN INCREASING TO 80 PERCENT LATE
IN THE EVENING DECREASING TO 50 PERCENT LATE IN
THE EVENING DECREASING TO 0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 48.
MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 14 TO 22 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 38 MPH
DECREASING TO 26 MPH OVERNIGHT. GUSTY AND
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY
IN THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 21 TO 30 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 17
TO 20 MPH OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 6 OR VERY LOW TO HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
TIME (CDT) 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID
SKY (%).........34 64 77 75 71 69 43 25 21 24 23
WEATHER COV..... CHC DEF DEF CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ CHC DEF DEF CHC CHC
CWR.............10 50 80 80 50 50 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............70 67 65 62 61 59 58 57 56 53 51
RH..............49 55 68 78 84 86 87 90 86 87 80
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..22 21 21 21 20 17 14 14 14 14 14
20 FT WIND GUST.30 29 29 29 26 23 21 20 21 21 21
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.0 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
MIXING WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S SW SW
MIXING WIND SPD.30 28 26 26 25 21 17 17 20 20 20
HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 4 4 5 5 6 6 6
SUNDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.
MIN HUMIDITY........24 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 14 TO 17 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
AROUND 26 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7900 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 21 TO 30 MPH INCREASING TO 26 TO 31
MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 TO 6 OR MODERATE TO HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
TIME (CDT) 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P
SKY (%).........11 7 6 5 4 2 1 1 1 1 1 1
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............50 48 49 52 57 61 64 67 69 70 71 71
RH..............73 66 60 53 43 36 31 27 25 24 24 25
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..15 14 14 15 16 16 15 15 16 17 17 16
20 FT WIND GUST.22 21 21 22 22 22 22 24 24 26 26 24
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.6 0.9 1.3 1.7 3.3 5.0 6.6 7.1 7.5 7.9 5.5
MIXING WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
MIXING WIND SPD.21 21 22 24 25 26 28 29 30 31 30 26
HAINES INDEX....6 6 6 6 6 6 5 5 5 6 6 6
SUNDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 42.
MAX HUMIDITY........71 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
AROUND 21 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AROUND 5
MPH AFTER 3 AM.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 13 TO 22 MPH DECREASING TO 9 TO 10
MPH OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
TIME (CDT) 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID
SKY (%).........2 2 3 3 4 4 3 4 5 7 9 12
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............69 67 63 59 55 53 52 51 49 47 46 44
RH..............28 32 38 39 44 47 49 52 56 61 65 71
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW S S SW SW SW SW S S SE
20 FT WIND SPD..14 11 10 8 8 8 8 7 6 5 5 5
20 FT WIND GUST.21 16 13 10 10 10 6 6
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.0 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3
MIXING WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
MIXING WIND SPD.22 18 17 17 17 15 13 10 9 10 10 10
HAINES INDEX....6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6
MONDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.
MIN HUMIDITY........37 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTH 7 TO 9 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 10 TO 16 MPH INCREASING TO 18 TO 23 MPH
IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 6 OR LOW TO HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
TIME (CDT) 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P
SKY (%).........14 26 25 24 23 29 36 43 45 47 49 52
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 10
TEMP............42 43 46 51 58 64 67 69 72 73 73 73
RH..............75 71 66 61 53 46 42 40 38 37 38 40
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE S S S S S SW SW S
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 6 7 9 9 9 9 9 8 8 7
20 FT WIND GUST. 8 11 13 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 13
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.4 0.6 1.0 1.6 2.3 3.1 3.9 4.8 5.5 5.5 4.1
MIXING WIND DIR.S SE SE S S S S S S SW SW SW
MIXING WIND SPD.10 10 13 16 20 22 23 23 23 23 22 18
HAINES INDEX....6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 5 5 4 4
FORECASTER...LAWSON
REQUESTED BY...JEFF LAWLER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2409556.0/ICT
.DELDT 04/06/24
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL JLAWLER@KSU.EDU
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