105  
FNUS73 KICT 221706  
FWSICT  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR TPNP BIG PASTURE PRESCRIBED BURN...THE NATURE CONSERVANCY  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS  
1206 PM CDT SAT APR 22 2023  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0600 CDT ON APRIL 23.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT US VIA NWS CHAT, 800MHZ RADIO OR PHONE IF YOU HAVE  
QUESTIONS OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST,  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS WILL BE ON THE DECREASE TONIGHT INTO SUN  
MORNING. BY LATE SUN MORNING WINDS WILL COME AROUND TO THE  
SOUTHEAST BUT WILL BE ON THE LIGHT SIDE, GENERALLY 10 MPH OR LESS  
AS A SURFACE HIGH MOVES OVER THE AREA.  
   
SUNDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT). WIDESPREAD FROST EARLY  
IN THE MORNING.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.  
MIN HUMIDITY........22 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH  
LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN SHIFTING TO THE  
NORTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND  
EARLY AFTERNOON SHIFTING TO THE WEST AROUND 6  
MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......8100 FT AGL.  
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 6 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST  
AROUND 7 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN  
SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST LATE IN THE MORNING  
SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 6 TO 9 MPH IN THE  
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE  
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........10 16 24 27 18 11 8 6 9 15 24 32  
WEATHER COV..... WID  
WEATHER TYPE.... FST  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............30 30 33 38 46 49 52 54 56 58 59 60  
RH..............68 70 63 54 39 34 30 26 24 22 22 22  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N SE N N N NW NW NW W SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..4 4 4 5 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 5 5 6 6 8 10 10 10 10 10  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.8 1.6 3.2 4.5 5.7 6.9 7.3 7.7 8.1 7.4  
MIXING WIND DIR.NE NE E SW NW NW NW NW NW NW W W  
MIXING WIND SPD.6 7 7 7 6 8 9 9 9 9 9 8  
HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5  
   
SUNDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 36.  
MAX HUMIDITY........64 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 7 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 12  
TO 16 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.  
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE  
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........38 38 34 29 25 31 37 43 44 45 46 53  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............60 58 55 50 46 44 42 41 40 39 39 37  
RH..............22 23 27 33 40 44 47 50 53 56 59 64  
20 FT WIND DIR..S SE SE SE SE SE S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 5 6 7 8 9 10 10 10 9 8 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 7 10 11 12 13 14 14 14 14 13 12  
MIX HGT (KFT)...6.6 5.8 4.0 2.2 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4  
MIXING WIND DIR.W W SW SE SE SE SE S S S S S  
MIXING WIND SPD.7 7 9 12 14 15 16 16 16 15 14 13  
HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4  
   
MONDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 30 PERCENT IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.  
MIN HUMIDITY........32 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 14 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN  
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......6900 FT AGL.  
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 13 TO 22 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE  
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........60 67 66 65 64 69 74 79 80 82 83 87  
WEATHER COV..... CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 10 10 10 10 10 10 30 30 30 30 30  
TEMP............36 37 42 47 53 56 59 60 61 60 59 57  
RH..............68 68 60 51 43 38 34 32 32 34 37 39  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..8 8 9 10 11 12 12 13 14 14 14 14  
20 FT WIND GUST.11 11 13 16 18 18 19 19 20 20 20 20  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 1.3 2.2 3.1 3.8 4.5 5.2 5.8 6.3 6.9 4.7  
MIXING WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S  
MIXING WIND SPD.13 13 15 18 21 22 22 22 22 22 22 21  
HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 4 4  
 
 
FORECASTER...LAWSON  
REQUESTED BY...TONY CAPIZZO  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2310288.0/ICT  
.DELDT 04/22/23  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL ACAPIZZO@TNC.ORG  
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