565
FNUS73 KSGF 080346
FWSSGF
SPOT FORECAST FOR WKT SOUTH PRESCRIBED FIRE...GATLINBURG FIRE DEPARTMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
946 PM CST SAT MAR 7 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON MARCH 08.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT 1-800-762-4363, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.
DISCUSSION
A FAIR WEATHER DAY IS EXPECTED SUNDAY AS CLOUD COVER GIVES WAY TO
SUNNY SKIES. A SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVING SOUTHEAST OF
THE AREA WILL BRING SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS AT 8-12 MPH. SOME GUSTS
MAY REACH 20 MPH THANKS TO THE TERRAIN AROUND THE SPOT.
WITH SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS, MOISTURE WILL BE A TAD SLOW TO RETURN,
BRINGING AFTERNOON RH VALUES DOWN TO THE 35-40% RANGE. THERE IS A
LOW-END 15-25% CHANCE FOR VALUES TO DROP BELOW 35% INTO THE 25-35%
RANGE, BUT EVEN OUR DRY BIASED MODELS SHY AWAY FROM THIS SCENARIO,
SO CONFIDENCE IN RHS LOWER THAN 30% IS CURRENTLY LOW.
OTHERWISE, CLEAR SKIES SHOULD LEAD TO MIXING HEIGHTS OF 3-3.5 KFT
AND DECENT VENTRATES. SINCE THIS AIRMASS IS BEHIND A COLD FRONT,
THOUGH, WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED THAT THE INVERSION ALOFT STUNTS
MIXING HEIGHTS A BIT LOWER TOWARD THE 2.5-3 KFT RANGE.
PERSISTENT SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL EVENTUALLY ADVECT IN BETTER
MOISTURE FOR MONDAY WITH MINIMUM RHS ONLY DROPPING TO AROUND 50%.
SUNDAY
TIME (CDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........3 1 2 2 5 4 5 6
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............52 56 60 63 64 64 66 64
RH..............62 55 47 44 42 41 39 44
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..10 10 12 12 12 12 10 9
20 FT WIND GUST.18 18 20 20 20 21 18 17
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.3 1.6 2.0 2.5 3.1 3.6 3.1 2.5
MIX HGT (KM)....0.4 0.5 0.6 0.8 0.9 1.1 0.9 0.8
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.17 17 18 20 20 20 18 16
TRANS WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
TRANS SPD (M/S).8 8 8 9 9 9 8 7
VRATE KT-FT/1K..20 25 32 43 52 61 49 35
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR FR FR GD FR PR
SUNDAY NIGHT
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........3 5 5 4 4 3 3 3 2 2 2 2
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............60 57 54 51 50 51 51 51 50 50 49 49
RH..............47 53 59 66 68 63 63 65 66 70 74 77
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..8 8 8 9 9 10 10 12 12 13 13 14
20 FT WIND GUST.16 16 17 18 20 20 21 22 22 23 24 24
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.8 1.5 1.2 1.0 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.7 1.8 1.7 1.7
MIX HGT (KM)....0.5 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW S S S S S S S SW SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.16 16 17 18 20 21 21 21 21 21 22 23
TRANS WIND DIR..SW S S S S S S S SW SW SW SW
TRANS SPD (M/S).7 7 8 8 9 9 9 9 9 9 10 10
VRATE KT-FT/1K..25 22 19 16 18 22 26 28 31 33 34 34
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
MONDAY
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........2 2 3 3 3 2 2 2 3 3 3 3
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............50 53 57 61 65 69 72 74 76 76 76 74
RH..............80 80 75 72 68 61 57 55 52 52 52 55
20 FT WIND DIR..S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..14 15 16 17 18 18 18 18 18 17 15 13
20 FT WIND GUST.25 26 29 30 31 31 31 31 30 29 25 22
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.7 1.7 1.9 2.2 2.5 2.8 3.1 3.5 3.7 3.8 3.3 2.7
MIX HGT (KM)....0.5 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 0.9 1.1 1.1 1.2 1.0 0.8
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.25 29 31 33 33 33 32 32 32 30 25 20
TRANS WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
TRANS SPD (M/S).11 13 14 15 15 15 14 14 14 13 11 9
VRATE KT-FT/1K..36 44 52 63 72 82 88 98 105 98 74 46
VENTRATE CAT....PR FR FR GD GD GD GD GD VGD GD GD FR
FORECASTER...PRICE
REQUESTED BY...LT ANDREW QUILLIAMS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2605037.0/SGF
.DELDT 03/08/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL ANDREWQ@GATLINBURGTN.GOV
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