460  
FNUS73 KSGF 031515  
FWSSGF  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR PRAIRIE FIRES...US PARK SERVICE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO  
1015 AM CDT FRI APR 3 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1000 CDT ON APRIL 03.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT 1-800-762-4363, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
FOR TODAY, EXPECT SOUTHERLY WINDS SUSTAINED UP TO 15MPH GUSTING TO  
25MPH AND MINIMUM AFTERNOON RHS IN THE UPPER 50% RANGE THIS  
AFTERNOON. SOME ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS  
WILL BE POSSIBLE LATER THIS AFTERNOON BEGINNING AS EARLY AS  
12-1PM, HOWEVER THIS ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN SUB-SEVERE,  
AND WOULD JUST BRING A LIGHTNING/BRIEF GUSTY WIND HAZARD.  
 
LATER THIS AFTERNOON (AS EARLY AS 4PM) THROUGH THIS EVENING AND  
TONIGHT, A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE WEATHER EXISTS FOR THE BURN  
LOCATION. SOME DISCRETE STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE  
POSSIBLE LATE AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING, HOWEVER THERE'S LOW  
CONFIDENCE IN THIS ACTIVITY OCCURRING. THE HIGHER CONFIDENCE  
SITUATION IS A LINE OF STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS MOVING IN  
LATER THIS EVENING THROUGH TONIGHT, GENERALLY AFTER MIDNIGHT FOR  
THE BURN LOCATION. BEHIND THIS LINE/FRONTAL BOUNDARY, EXPECT WINDS  
TO BEGIN SHIFTING DIRECTIONS, BECOMING NORTHWESTERLY BY THE EARLY  
MORNING HOURS.  
 
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81.  
MIN HUMIDITY........58 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 9 TO 13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25  
MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR  
THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND  
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5300 FT AGL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...914-1615 METERS AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 25 TO 30 MPH.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTH 11 TO 13 METERS/SECOND.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (66400 KNOT-FT).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.03 INCHES.  
 
TIME (CDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........83 84 74 68 56 69 70 64  
WEATHER COV..... SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC  
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 0 20 30 50 40 40 50  
TEMP............74 77 78 79 80 80 80 81  
RH..............74 67 67 64 62 60 58 58  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..10 13 14 14 14 14 13 12  
20 FT WIND GUST.23 24 25 25 25 25 25 24  
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.0 4.0 4.6 4.9 5.2 5.3 4.9 4.6  
MIX HGT (KM)....0.9 1.2 1.4 1.5 1.6 1.6 1.5 1.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.25 28 29 30 30 30 28 25  
TRANS WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S  
TRANS SPD (M/S).11 13 13 13 13 13 13 11  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..66 96 114 126 134 137 118 101  
VENTRATE CAT....GD GD VGD VGD VGD VGD VGD VGD  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS  
LIKELY IN THE EVENING. THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY  
THROUGH THE NIGHT. RAIN SHOWERS OVERNIGHT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......100 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51.  
MAX HUMIDITY........96 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 23  
MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AROUND 6 MPH  
AFTER 3 AM. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. GUSTY  
AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS  
EARLY IN THE EVENING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE  
EVENING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR  
THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...213-1250 METERS AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 13 TO 22 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 14  
TO 16 MPH OVERNIGHT.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTH AROUND 10 METERS/SECOND DECREASING TO 6  
TO 8 METERS/SECOND IN THE EVENING AND  
OVERNIGHT, THEN SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 6 TO  
7 METERS/SECOND OVERNIGHT.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (78800 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING  
DECREASING TO POOR (8100 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE  
NIGHT.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.67 INCHES.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........71 81 63 71 73 74 77 86 91 94 94 93  
WEATHER COV.....CHC SCH CHC CHC LKY DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........CHC SCH CHC CHC LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC  
CHC OF PCPN (%).40 10 20 30 40 60 80 80 90 90 100 80  
TEMP............80 77 76 73 72 71 69 68 65 63 61 57  
RH..............58 64 66 71 76 79 84 84 90 93 93 96  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S SW SW W NW NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..10 10 9 8 7 7 6 6 6 6 6 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.23 20 20 20 18 17 17 16 16 16 16 16  
MIX HGT (KFT)...4.1 1.1 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.8 0.7 1.3 1.0 1.3 1.5  
MIX HGT (KM)....1.2 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S SW SW W W NW NW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.22 17 16 17 15 15 16 13 15 14 14 16  
TRANS WIND DIR..S S S S S S SW SW W W NW NW  
TRANS SPD (M/S).10 8 7 8 7 7 7 6 7 6 6 7  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..79 17 9 11 11 12 12 8 17 12 15 21  
VENTRATE CAT....GD PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
SATURDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS  
LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE  
MORNING.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.  
MIN HUMIDITY........49 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC  
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE  
MORNING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...244-1067 METERS AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 9 TO 18 MPH INCREASING TO 20 TO 22  
MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.NORTHWEST 4 TO 10 METERS/SECOND DECREASING TO 4  
TO 8 METERS/SECOND EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN  
INCREASING TO 9 TO 10 METERS/SECOND LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (6800 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (65300 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.15 INCHES.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........95 92 91 91 94 88 75 69 49 45 41 33  
WEATHER COV.....LKY LKY LKY CHC SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........CHC  
CHC OF PCPN (%).60 70 70 40 20 20 10 10 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............55 53 51 53 54 54 55 57 59 60 61 60  
RH..............96 93 96 89 86 86 77 67 62 58 50 49  
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 7 8 9 10 10 10 10 10 12 12  
20 FT WIND GUST.16 16 17 17 18 20 20 20 21 21 22 22  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.4 0.8 1.3 1.5 2.0 2.1 2.5 2.8 3.1 3.3 3.5 3.4  
MIX HGT (KM)....0.4 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.8 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.0  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW N NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.14 10 9 13 17 18 16 17 20 21 21 22  
TRANS WIND DIR..NW N NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW  
TRANS SPD (M/S).6 4 4 6 8 8 7 8 9 9 9 10  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..17 7 10 16 30 34 35 42 52 60 63 65  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR FR FR GD GD GD  
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
 
   
SUNDAY
 
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S.  
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. LIGHT  
WINDS.    
TUESDAY
 
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.  
EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 

 
FORECASTER...MELTO  
REQUESTED BY...PATRIC MARLOW  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2608849.1/SGF  
.DELDT 04/03/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL MOMOC.DISPATCH@USDA.GOV,JESS.REGISTER@USDA.GOV  
 
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