496
FNUS73 KSGF 150021
FWSSGF
SPOT FORECAST FOR WATER HOLE...US FOREST SERVICE - USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
621 PM CST WED JAN 14 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CST ON JANUARY 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT 1-800-762-4363, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.
DISCUSSION
MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES (PERHAPS A FEW TRANSIENT HIGH CLOUDS THROUGH THE
DAY) AND LIGHTER WINDS THAN THE PAST FEW DAYS. WINDS WILL GRADUALLY
SHIFT FROM NORTHERLY TO WESTERLY THROUGH THE DAY THURSDAY, BECOMING
SOUTHWESTERLY BY EVENING. SOME GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE
BETWEEN 1-5PM AS DAYTIME HEATING HELPS MAXIMIZE MIXING EFFICIENCY
AND HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN THE PLAINS RESULTS IN STRENGTHENING
WINDS.
THE AIR MASS WILL REMAIN VERY DRY, WITH MINIMUM RHS NEAR 20%, AND
STRONGEST MOISTURE RETURN PUSHING EAST INTO THE AREA WILL REMAIN WEST
OF THE BURN SITE. OVERNIGHT RH RECOVERY THURSDAY MORNING WILL ONLY BE
INTO THE 60-70% RANGE, WHICH COULD ACT TO MITIGATE SOME OF THE
MOISTURE RETURN THAT WOULD REACH THE BURN SITE.
THURSDAY
TIME (CST) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........9 6 4 7 9 15 24 34
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............26 30 33 37 39 40 41 39
RH..............52 41 36 32 31 31 32 35
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W SW SW SW SW S
20 FT WIND SPD..6 7 7 7 7 7 7 6
20 FT WIND GUST.13 14 13 13 14 14 14 14
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.6 2.1 2.3 2.6 2.6 2.5 2.2 0.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W SW SW S
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 12 13 13 14 13 13 9
VRATE KT-FT/1K..15 21 25 29 31 27 24 4
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
THURSDAY NIGHT
TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........54 59 50 37 37 28 18 16 14 12 12 13
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............38 37 35 35 34 33 33 32 32 32 33 32
RH..............39 40 45 47 51 56 58 67 70 76 75 78
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S SW SW SW SW W W W W
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 6 6 6 6 7 7 8 8 9
20 FT WIND GUST.12 14 15 16 16 16 16 17 18 20 20 20
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.S SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W W NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 13 13 13 14 13 12 12 13 14 14 13
VRATE KT-FT/1K..2 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 4 4 5 5
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
FRIDAY
TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........13 27 41 55 55 56 56 55 54 53 54 56
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............32 33 35 37 39 42 44 45 45 45 44 43
RH..............82 82 78 72 64 53 45 41 40 38 38 39
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW W W W W
20 FT WIND SPD..9 10 10 13 14 15 16 16 16 16 15 14
20 FT WIND GUST.20 21 22 26 29 31 32 33 32 32 30 28
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.7 1.0 1.6 2.7 4.1 5.3 6.2 6.8 6.9 6.2 5.0
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW NW NW NW W W W W W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 13 13 15 20 24 29 31 32 31 28 23
VRATE KT-FT/1K..7 11 17 29 54 92 131 174 200 203 163 107
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR FR GD VGD EXL EXL EXL EXL VGD
FORECASTER...CAMDEN
REQUESTED BY...REGGIE BRAY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2600198.0/SGF
.DELDT 01/14/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL REGGIE.BRAY@USDA.GOV
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