837  
FNUS73 KSGF 011300  
FWSSGF  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR LONG HOLLOW...US FOREST SERVICE - USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO  
800 AM CDT WED APR 1 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0800 CDT ON APRIL 01.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT 1-800-762-4363, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
CONFIDENCE IS HIGH THAT AN AREA OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL APPROACH AND PERHAPS MOVE  
OVER THE BURN SITE THIS MORNING WITH ADDITIONAL CHANCES TONIGHT. WINDS WILL BE ERRATIC  
THIS MORNING WITH CHANGES IN THE DIRECTION FROM EAST TO THE NORTHWEST AND THEN PERHAPS  
BACK TO THE SOUTH. WIND SPEEDS AND GUSTS WILL ALSO INCREASE THIS MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON.  
 
ADDITIONAL RAIN CHANCES OCCUR THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. WIND GUSTS ON THURSDAY WILL LIKELY INCREASE TO  
AROUND 30-35MPH OUT OF THE SOUTH.  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SHOWERS EARLY IN  
THE MORNING. NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE  
DAY. NUMEROUS SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......90 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........65 AT FORECAST START...MAX 75.  
RH..................78 PERCENT AT FORECAST START...MIN 61 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 5 MPH AT FORECAST  
START...OTHERWISE SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH. GUSTY  
AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS  
EARLY IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE  
MORNING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL AT FORECAST START...OTHERWISE 3200  
FT AGL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...600 METERS AGL AT FORECAST START...OTHERWISE  
183-975 METERS AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8 TO 16 MPH.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTH 4 TO 7 METERS/SECOND.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR /4000 KNOT-FT/ AT FORECAST START.  
MAX...GOOD /44500 KNOT-FT/.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.33 INCHES.  
 
TIME (CDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........80 86 89 91 92 91 88 85 87 85  
WEATHER COV.....NUM DEF DEF SCT SCT SCT NUM NUM SCT SCT  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........NUM NUM NUM SCT SCT SCT NUM NUM SCT SCT  
CHC OF PCPN (%).60 90 80 50 50 50 60 60 50 50  
TEMP............65 66 67 68 69 70 72 72 72 74  
RH..............78 78 78 78 78 76 71 71 71 64  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE S S S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 6 7 8 8 9 8 8 9 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 14 18 17 15 18 18 18 18 18  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.9 1.7 1.8 2.4 2.8 2.8 3.2 2.7 1.9  
MIX HGT (KM)....0.2 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.7 0.9 0.9 1.0 0.8 0.6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S SW S S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 9 12 14 14 15 16 16 16 14  
TRANS WIND DIR..S S SW S S S S S S S  
TRANS SPD (M/S).4 4 5 6 6 7 7 7 7 6  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..4 7 17 22 29 37 40 45 38 23  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR FR PR PR  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SCATTERED  
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. SCATTERED SHOWERS  
THROUGH THE NIGHT. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS  
OVERNIGHT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 65.  
RH..................MAX 78 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 14 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 26 MPH  
LATE IN THE EVENING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE  
EVENING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR  
THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. GUSTY AND  
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS AFTER  
3 AM.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...183-427 METERS AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 12 TO 21 MPH INCREASING TO 22 TO 25 MPH  
OVERNIGHT.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTH 5 TO 11 METERS/SECOND DECREASING TO 6 TO  
10 METERS/SECOND EARLY IN THE EVENING, THEN  
INCREASING TO 10 TO 11 METERS/SECOND AFTER 3  
AM.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (26600 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING  
DECREASING TO POOR (7500 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE  
NIGHT.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.07 INCHES.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........90 84 77 62 70 78 77 77 80 78 77 83  
WEATHER COV.....SCT SCT SCT ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO SCT  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........SCT ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO  
CHC OF PCPN (%).40 40 30 20 10 10 10 20 20 20 20 30  
TEMP............72 72 71 69 68 68 68 68 67 67 67 66  
RH..............68 66 66 68 70 70 70 70 73 73 73 75  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S SE S S S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..8 7 9 10 10 10 12 13 13 14 15 15  
20 FT WIND GUST.17 16 18 20 18 21 22 22 24 25 26 26  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.4 1.0 0.7 0.6 0.7 0.9 0.9 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.2  
MIX HGT (KM)....0.4 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 12 13 15 15 17 18 21 22 23 25 25  
TRANS WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S  
TRANS SPD (M/S).6 5 6 7 7 8 8 9 10 10 11 11  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..16 10 8 8 10 13 14 19 20 22 24 27  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
THURSDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). SHOWERS LIKELY IN  
THE MORNING. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH  
THE DAY. SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 78.  
RH..................MIN 54 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 14 TO 17 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND  
35 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR  
THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND  
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN  
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5200 FT AGL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...366-1585 METERS AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 26 TO 33 MPH INCREASING TO 32 TO 39 MPH  
IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTH 13 TO 17 METERS/SECOND.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (28400 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (109100 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (113700  
KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE MORNING.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.10 INCHES.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........85 94 92 92 92 88 84 80 71 61 52 43  
WEATHER COV.....SCT LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ISO CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC  
CHC OF PCPN (%).30 70 70 70 70 70 70 80 80 80 80 80  
TEMP............66 66 66 67 69 70 71 72 74 76 77 77  
RH..............78 78 78 78 76 73 71 68 62 58 54 54  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..16 15 16 17 17 18 20 20 18 17 16 15  
20 FT WIND GUST.29 30 32 33 33 35 35 35 33 32 31 29  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.2 1.2 1.6 2.4 3.3 3.8 4.2 4.4 4.9 5.2 5.1 4.1  
MIX HGT (KM)....0.4 0.4 0.5 0.7 1.0 1.2 1.3 1.3 1.5 1.6 1.6 1.2  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.26 29 29 33 38 39 39 38 38 38 37 32  
TRANS WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S SW SW SW  
TRANS SPD (M/S).12 13 13 15 17 17 17 17 17 17 17 14  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..28 30 40 70 109 131 143 146 162 172 162 114  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR FR GD VGD VGD VGD VGD EXL EXL EXL VGD  
 
 
FORECASTER...BURCHFIELD  
REQUESTED BY...H. WISSMILLER  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2608787.0/SGF  
.DELDT 04/01/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL MOMOC.DISPATCH@USDA.GOV  
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