421  
FNUS73 KSGF 021138  
FWSSGF  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR LONG HOLLOW...USDA - FOREST SERVICE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO  
638 AM CDT THU APR 2 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0714 CDT ON APRIL 02.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT 1-800-762-4363, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
REMNANT SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE MAKING THEIR WAY EAST ACROSS  
THE AREA THIS MORNING, SUB-SEVERE BUT PROVIDING WIDESPREAD SOAKING  
RAIN AND OCCASIONAL LIGHTNING. IT WILL TAKE A FEW MORE HOURS FOR  
PRECIPITATION TO REACH THE BURN, LATE MORNING TOWARD MIDDAY.  
HOWEVER, REDEVELOPMENT OF STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON  
INTO THE EVENING, WITH MARGINAL SEVERE POTENTIAL. HAIL AND  
DAMAGING WINDS WOULD BE THE PRIMARY HAZARDS WITH THESE STORMS, IF  
THEY ARE ABLE TO OVERCOME THE EFFECTS OF THE MORNING ACTIVITY.  
 
BESIDES ACTIVE PRECIPITATION, IT WILL BE QUITE BREEZY TODAY, WITH  
SURFACE SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 20 MPH AND GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH. WINDS  
WILL BE OUT OF THE SOUTH-SOUTHWEST. MOSTLY CLOUDY TODAY. HIGH  
TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER 70S TODAY WITH LOWS TONIGHT IN THE LOW  
60S. ADDITIONAL STORMS WITH SEVERE POTENTIAL WILL BE POSSIBLE  
TOMORROW.  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). ISOLATED  
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. NUMEROUS SHOWERS  
THROUGH THE DAY. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77.  
MIN HUMIDITY........58 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 15 TO 18 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND  
37 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR  
THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND  
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3900 FT AGL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...274-1189 METERS AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 24 TO 30 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 29  
TO 38 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTH 12 TO 17 METERS/SECOND SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTHWEST 13 TO 17 METERS/SECOND IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (18700 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (111900 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.09 INCHES.  
 
TIME (CDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........87 92 95 94 89 84 84 70 61 43 54  
WEATHER COV.....SCT NUM SCT ISO SCT SCT NUM SCT SCT SCT SCT  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ ISO ISO ISO SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT  
CHC OF PCPN (%).30 70 50 20 30 40 60 50 50 40 40  
TEMP............66 66 66 68 69 71 72 74 76 76 77  
RH..............81 81 84 81 78 73 71 69 62 60 58  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..16 17 18 20 21 21 20 21 18 18 16  
20 FT WIND GUST.29 33 37 37 37 37 37 37 36 35 32  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.9 1.0 1.3 2.2 2.9 3.2 3.1 3.5 3.8 3.9 3.2  
MIX HGT (KM)....0.3 0.3 0.4 0.7 0.9 1.0 0.9 1.1 1.2 1.2 1.0  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.24 26 30 35 38 37 36 36 33 33 29  
TRANS WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S SW SW SW  
TRANS SPD (M/S).11 12 13 16 17 17 16 16 15 15 13  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..19 24 35 66 96 103 98 109 110 112 79  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR GD GD VGD GD VGD VGD VGD GD  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING, THEN  
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE  
EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 3 AM.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.  
MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 29  
MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR  
THUNDERSTORMS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...183-579 METERS AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 22 MPH.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTHWEST 7 TO 10 METERS/SECOND.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (35400 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING  
DECREASING TO POOR (8200 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE  
NIGHT.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06 INCHES.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........50 31 45 58 62 54 41 42 46 53 58 62  
WEATHER COV.....ISO ISO ISO SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT ISO  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ISO ISO ISO SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT ISO  
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 30 40 30 30 40 40 30 20 10  
TEMP............75 74 72 70 69 68 68 66 65 65 65 64  
RH..............60 62 66 71 73 78 78 81 87 87 90 93  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..14 13 12 10 10 9 8 8 8 8 8 9  
20 FT WIND GUST.29 25 25 23 23 22 20 20 20 21 22 21  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.9 1.1 0.7 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.8  
MIX HGT (KM)....0.6 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.22 18 17 17 15 15 15 15 16 15 16 16  
TRANS WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S S  
TRANS SPD (M/S).10 8 8 8 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..35 18 10 9 9 9 9 8 10 9 10 11  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
FRIDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS IN THE MORNING, THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 82.  
MIN HUMIDITY........51 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 28  
MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR  
THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND  
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5400 FT AGL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...213-1646 METERS AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 16 TO 25 MPH INCREASING TO 26 TO 30 MPH  
IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTH 7 TO 13 METERS/SECOND INCREASING TO 12 TO  
13 METERS/SECOND IN THE LATE MORNING AND  
AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (9900 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (100700 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (100700  
KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.05 INCHES.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........69 37 57 67 77 73 69 65 64 64 63 60  
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC  
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 20 20 20 20 20 20 50 50 50 50 50  
TEMP............65 65 65 68 71 74 76 78 80 81 81 80  
RH..............90 90 90 84 79 71 66 60 54 53 51 52  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..9 10 10 12 14 15 15 15 15 14 14 14  
20 FT WIND GUST.21 22 23 25 26 28 28 28 28 28 26 25  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.8 0.7 1.5 2.1 2.6 3.3 4.0 4.6 5.2 5.4 5.2 4.2  
MIX HGT (KM)....0.2 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.17 16 22 25 26 28 29 29 30 30 30 28  
TRANS WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S  
TRANS SPD (M/S).8 7 10 11 12 13 13 13 13 13 13 13  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..13 10 28 46 60 79 101 116 134 141 136 101  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR FR FR GD VGD VGD VGD VGD VGD VGD  
 
 
FORECASTER...NELSON  
REQUESTED BY...H. WISSMILLER  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2608787.2/SGF  
.DELDT 04/02/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL MOMOC.DISPATCH@USDA.GOV  
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