934  
FNUS73 KTOP 211648  
FWSTOP  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR KICK2...LOCAL/COUNTY OFFICIAL  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS  
1048 AM CST SAT DEC 21 2024  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 CST ON DECEMBER 21.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SOUTHERLY SURFACE WINDS ARE EXPECTED AT IGNITION AND THEN THROUGH  
THE AFTERNON AND EVENING AT SPEEDS OF 5 TO 8 MPH. RELATIVE  
HUMIDITY 53 PERCENT AT IGNITION WITH A AFTERNOON MINIMUM OF 42  
PERCENT AROUND 4 PM CST.  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........31 AT IGNITION...MAX 37.  
RH..................53 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 42 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......WINDS SOUTH AT 5 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE  
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 2100 FT  
AGL.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR /15100 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION. MAX...FAIR  
/18900 KNOT-FT/.  
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 3.  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 25.  
RH..................MAX 86 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN  
THE EVENING, THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN THE  
EVENING BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 6 MPH LATE IN THE  
EVENING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (4000 KNOT-FT).  
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR VERY LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR  
LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
 

 
FORECASTER...WOYNICK  
REQUESTED BY...JON  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2428847.0/TOP  
.DELDT 12/21/24  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL JON.J693@GMAIL.COM  
 
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