016  
FNUS73 KTOP 231900  
FWSTOP  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR EVENT AT STATE CAPITOL...SHAWNEE COUNTY SHERIFF/YWCA  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS  
200 PM CDT THU OCT 23 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1000 CDT ON OCTOBER 24.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
RAIN SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD ACROSS EASTERN  
KS DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS INTO EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. THESE  
WILL LIKELY IMPACT TOPEKA DURING THE MORNING HOURS WITH PERHAPS  
SOME BREAKS IN THE RAIN AT TIMES DURING THE AFTERNOON AS COVERAGE  
BECOMES MORE SCATTERED. THUNDERSTORM CHANCES LOOK LOW AS THERE  
SHOULD ONLY BE A FEW ISOLATED STORMS EMBEDDED WITHIN THE SHOWERS,  
BUT CANNOT ENTIRELY RULE OUT SOME LIGHTNING BEING A CONCERN DURING  
THE EVENT IF A STORM MOVES THROUGH TOPEKA. TEMPERATURES ARE  
FORECAST ON THE COOL SIDE DUE TO THE RAIN AND PERSISTENT CLOUD  
COVER, KEEPING HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. WINDS SHOULD STAY STEADY FROM  
THE SOUTHEAST AT 5-15MPH.  
   
FRIDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN RAIN  
SHOWERS LIKELY EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE  
OF RAIN SHOWERS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........51 AT FORECAST START...MAX 55.  
RH..................100 PERCENT AT FORECAST START...MIN 69 PERCENT.  
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).SOUTHEAST WINDS 9 TO 10 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR /17900 KNOT-FT/ AT FORECAST START.  
MAX...FAIR /26300 KNOT-FT/.  
 
TIME (CDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY COVER.......CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY  
WEATHER COV.....DEF DEF DEF LKY LKY LKY CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........SCH SCH SCH  
CHC OF PCPN (%).80 80 80 60 60 60 50 50  
TEMP............51 53 54 54 54 54 54 55  
RH..............100 96 93 96 93 93 96 90  
SURFACE WND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE  
SURFACE WND SPD.9 9 10 10 10 10 10 10  
SURFACE WND GST.18 18 18 20 20 20 20 18  
SDSPL KT-FT/100018 24 19 23 23 25 26 24  
   
FRIDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 50.  
RH..................MAX 100 PERCENT.  
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (22000 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING  
DECREASING TO POOR (11600 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE  
NIGHT.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY COVER.......CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY  
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).50 40 40 40 40 40 40 50 50 50 50 50  
TEMP............54 54 53 53 53 53 52 51 51 52 52 52  
RH..............93 90 93 94 94 91 94 99 99 98 97 97  
SURFACE WND DIR.E SE E E E E E E E SE SE SE  
SURFACE WND SPD.9 8 7 7 7 7 6 6 6 6 6 6  
SURFACE WND GST.18 16 16 16 15 15 14 14 14 14 14 14  
SDSPL KT-FT/100022 21 21 21 21 21 19 18 16 14 12 13  
   
SATURDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING,  
THEN RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 58.  
RH..................MIN 92 PERCENT.  
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (15300 KNOT-FT).  
 
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY COVER.......CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY  
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).50 50 50 50 50 50 50 60 60 60 60 60  
TEMP............52 52 52 52 53 54 55 56 57 57 57 57  
RH..............98 98 99 100 100 99 97 95 94 93 92 92  
SURFACE WND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE SE E E E E E E  
SURFACE WND SPD.6 6 6 7 7 7 8 8 8 8 8 8  
SURFACE WND GST.15 15 15 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 15  
SDSPL KT-FT/100015 17 17 17 16 17 18 19 21 22 23 21  
 
 
FORECASTER...PICHA  
REQUESTED BY...SCOTT GARCIA  
TYPE OF REQUEST...OTHER  
.TAG 2524342.0/TOP  
.DELDT 10/23/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL SCOTT.GARCIA@SNCO.US  
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
The Nexlab KS Page
Main Text Page