242
FXUS63 KDDC 060430
AFDDDC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
1130 PM CDT MON OCT 5 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- HIGHS IN THE 80S FOR THE REST OF THE WORKWEEK
- QUIET WEATHER PATTERN WILL LEAD TO LITTLE TO NO PRECIPITATION
CHANCES (LESS THAN 10%) THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1129 PM CDT MON OCT 5 2026
0430Z SYNOPSIS SHOWS A LARGE RIDGE WITH A 591 DM HIGH LOCATED
OVER THE WESTERN CONUS WITH NORTHWEST FLOW THROUGH THE CENTRAL
AND NORTHERN PLAINS. AT THE SURFACE A 1008 MB LOW IS LOCATED IN
NORTHEAST COLORADO AND WINDS ARE GENERALLY SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST IN
THE BOUNDARY LAYER AT AROUND 10 MPH.
TUESDAY SHOULD BE NOTICEABLY WARMER AS 850MB TEMPERATURES WARM TO 21-
23(C) THANKS TO PLENTIFUL SUNSHINE. WINDS SHOULD BE LIGHTER AS THE
UPPER HIGH WILL MOVE EAST INTO COLORADO AND THE 700 MB LOW TURNS
MORE NORTHERLY WHICH WILL KEEP THE LEE SIDE LOW ON THE WEAKER SIDE
DURING THE AFTERNOON. SURFACE WINDS SHOULD GENERALLY BE 5-15 MPH
OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST. HIGHS WILL BE IN THE MID 80S.
UPPER LEVEL FLOW STAYS IN A RIDGE PATTERN THROUGH THE MIDDLE AND END
OF THE WORKWEEK LEADING TO MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES, LIGHT WINDS AND HIGHS
IN THE 80S. NO REAL GREAT CHANCES OF RAIN WILL BE IN THE FORECAST
THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. A QUICK SHORTWAVE MOVING THROUGH
SOUTHERN NEBRASKA INTO NORTHEAST KANSAS FOR THURSDAY MORNING THAT
COULD LEAD TO SOME RAIN IN THOSE AREAS.
LONG TERM ENSEMBLES ARE HINTING AT A PATTERN SHIFT BY EARLY NEXT
WEEK WITH A LARGE TROUGH AND UPPER LOW MOVING INTO THE WESTERN CONUS
THAT COULD INTRODUCE SOME RAIN CHANCES EARLY NEXT WEEK.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z WEDNESDAY/
ISSUED AT 1128 PM CDT MON OCT 5 2026
VFR FLIGHT CATEGORY FOR ALL TERMINALS DURING THE TIME PERIOD.
SUSTAINED WINDS IN GENERAL SHOULD BE LIGHT (12 KTS OR LESS)
WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS AROUND 15 KTS.
DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...TATRO
AVIATION...TATRO
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