923
FXUS63 KDDC 010501
AFDDDC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
1201 AM CDT SAT AUG 1 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND DRY CONDITIONS OVER THE WEEKEND
- BECOMING HOT AGAIN THROUGH MUCH OF NEXT WEEK
- MAINLY A DRY FORECAST WITH ONLY ISOLATED STORM CHANCES IN THE
WEST
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1200 AM CDT SAT AUG 1 2026
TODAY STARTED WHAT IS EXPECTED TO BE A PROLONGED STRETCH OF QUIET
AND DRY WEATHER. THE SYNOPTIC HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE SOUTH
CENTRAL CONUS FINALLY HAS SOME COMPANY WITH A SMALL TROUGH SITUATED
OVER SOUTHERN MINNESOTA. THE TROUGH HOWEVER IS NOT FORECAST TO
TANGIBLY AFFECT THE WEATHER OVER THE FORECAST AREA. UNLIKE THE LAST
FEW DAYS, THE HIGH PRESSURE EXTENDS TO THE SURFACE, ALL BUT ENDING
ANY PRECIPITATION CHANCES FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THANKS TO THE COLD
FRONT AND LINGERING CAA, HIGHS THIS WEEKEND WILL BE A COOLER BREAK
FROM THE TRIPLE DIGITS RESIDING IN THE 90S. STILL HOT BUT WITHIN
WHAT IS EXPECTED FOR SW KANSAS IN EARLY AUGUST.
BY MONDAY, THE HEAT RETURNS WITH HIGHS IN THE TRIPLE DIGITS AND AS
HIGH AS 107 IN THE WESTERN COUNTIES. AT THIS MOMENT, IT LOOKS LIKE
THE HOTTEST DAY OF THE STRETCH. THE ASPECT THAT WARRANTS MONITORING
WHETHER THE APARANT TEMPERATURES REACH THE 105 MARK FOR HEAT
ADVISORY CRITERIA. FOR THE MONDAY TEMPERATURES, THE HOTTEST AREAS
FLIRT WITH THE LINE. AFTER MONDAY, ONLY BARBER COUNTY CURRENTLY
REACHES THE 105 LINE. THIS WILL BE MONITORED FOR CHANCES, ESPECIALLY
IF THE ENSEMBLES CONTINUE TO BE A COUPLE DEGREES TOO COOL IN THIS
PATTERN. BY TUESDAY MORNING, ENSEMBLES HAVE PRECIPITATION CHANCES AT
AROUND 10-20% IN THE WESTERN COUNTIES. WITH THE LOW CHANCES AND
UNCERTAINTY, NOT MUCH MORE INFORMATION CAN BE GLEANED FROM THE
SIGNAL.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SUNDAY/
ISSUED AT 1123 PM CDT FRI JUL 31 2026
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD.
WITH A COLUMN OF HIGH PRESSURE, SKIES ARE FORECAST TO REMAIN MOSTLY
CLEAR WITH A LIGHT (5-10 KTS) AND VARIABLE WIND PRIMARILY OUT OF THE
NORTH/NORTHEAST.
DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...KBJ
AVIATION...KBJ
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