777
FXUS63 KDDC 131043
AFDDDC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
543 AM CDT MON JUL 13 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- LITTLE TO NO PRECIPITATION CHANCES THIS WEEK
- TEMPERATURES WILL BE AROUND 90 DEGREES FOR HIGHS THROUGH THE
MIDWEEK
- WARMER TEMPERATURES NEARING 100 DEGREES FOR HIGHS POSSIBLE THIS
WEEKEND
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1154 PM CDT SUN JUL 12 2026
05Z SYNOPSIS SHOWS A LARGE 600 DM UPPER LEVEL HIGH OVER THE NORTHERN
PLAINS WITH A SURFACE HIGH LOCATED IN IOWA. WINDS IN THE BOUNDARY
LAYER CONTINUE TO BE EAST TO SOUTHEASTERLY WITH THE CLOCKWISE FLOW
AROUND THE HIGHS. WITH THE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WE ARE ALSO SEEING
MAINLY CLEAR SKIES.
OVERALL WEATHER PATTERN FOR MUCH OF THE WEEK WILL BE DOMINATED BY A
UPPER HIGH LOCATED ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS INTO THE GREAT LAKES.
THE CORE OF THE HOTTEST AIR SHOULD REMAIN TO THE WEST AND NORTH
ACROSS THE ROCKIES AND NORTHERN PLAINS. WINDS FROM THE SURFACE TO
THE MID LEVELS WILL BE MORE EASTERLY IN KANSAS AS A RESULT OF THE
CLOCKWISE FLOW AROUND THE HIGH. THE EASTERLY WINDS SHOULD KEEP
TEMPERATURES A FEW DEGREES COOLER WITH HIGHS EXPECTED TO BE AROUND
OUR NORMAL HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE LOWER 90S. WITH THE POLAR JET
STREAM WELL FAR TO THE NORTH IN CANADA AND THE GULF MOISTURE BLOCKED
OFF DUE TO AN UPPER LOW IN THE SOUTHEAST CONUS...PRECIPITATION
CHANCES THIS WEEK WILL BE LITTLE TO NONE (LESS THAN 10% THROUGH THE
WEEKEND).
LONG RANGE ENSEMBLE MODELS SHOW A BREAKDOWN OF THE UPPER HIGH IN THE
GREAT LAKES BY THE WEEKEND WITH A STRENGTHENING UPPER LEVEL HIGH
OVER THE ROCKIES. THIS WILL SWITCH THE LOWER LEVEL WINDS TO THE
SOUTHWEST AND USHER IN HOTTER AIR FOR SATURDAY AND SUNDAY AS HIGHS
ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE UPPER 90S. SUNDAY LOOKS TO BE THE BEST
CHANCE OF 100 DEGREE WEATHER WITH NBM PROBABILITIES OF 10-30% OF 100
DEGREE HIGHS.
AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z TUESDAY/
ISSUED AT 541 AM CDT MON JUL 13 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL WITH MID LEVEL CLOUDS DISSIPATING
EARLY THIS MORNING WITH A FEW MID TO UPPER LEVEL CLOUDS THIS
AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE FROM THE SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST
THROUGHOUT THE DAY.
DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...TATRO
AVIATION...HOVORKA_42
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