292
FXUS63 KDDC 292253
AFDDDC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
553 PM CDT WED APR 29 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- RAIN SHOWERS ARE LIKELY ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY
WITH THE BEST CHANCE ALONG THE KS/CO BORDER
- BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY
- NEXT SYSTEM NEXT TUESDAY/WEDNESDAY
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1225 PM CDT WED APR 29 2026
SHORT RANGE MODELS CONTINUE TO BRING SOUTHWEST KANSAS INCREASED
PRECIPITATION CHANCES STARTING AROUND MIDNIGHT TONIGHT AND
CONTINUING THROUGH FRIDAY. THE BEST CHANCES OF PRECIPITATION WILL BE
ACROSS FAR WESTERN KANSAS WITH LESSER AMOUNTS AS YOU HEAD EAST. AS
FOR TIMING, THE BEST CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION WILL BE TOMORROW
MORNING AND AGAIN ACROSS FAR SOUTHWESTERN KANSAS FRIDAY MORNING. NO
SEVERE WEATHER IS EXPECTED WITH THIS SYSTEM AND THERE MAY NOT EVEN
BE ANY RUMBLES OF THUNDER, WITH THE EXCEPTION OF TOMORROW AFTERNOON.
SKIES WILL BECOME MOSTLY CLOUDY TONIGHT AND CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY
MORNING. SOME CLEARING IS EXPECTED DURING THE DAY FRIDAY. THE
CURRENT RUN OF THE NBM SHOWS RAIN TOTALS WITH THIS SYSTEM TO
GENERALLY BE AROUND A QUARTER OF AN INCH WEST OF HIGHWAY 83 WITH
AROUND A HALF OF AN INCH CLOSER TO THE KS/CO BORDER. AROUND A TENTH
OF PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED ALONG THE I-70 CORRIDOR AND BETWEEN
HIGHWAY 283 AND 83. NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED ACROSS SOUTH
CENTRAL KANSAS. WINDS THROUGH THIS PERIOD WILL BE FROM AN EASTERLY
DIRECTION THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE FIRST PART OF THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD
THEN BECOME LIGHT AND VARIABLE AFTER MIDNIGHT. WINDS WILL CONTINUE
TO BE LIGHT AND FROM THE NORTHEAST THROUGH FRIDAY. AS FOR
TEMPERATURES, HIGHS THIS AFTERNOON WILL RANGE FROM THE LOW 60S NORTH
TO UPPER 60S SOUTH WITH LOWS TONIGHT IN THE LOW 40S. HIGHS TOMORROW
WILL GENERALLY BE IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOW 60S WITH MID 60S ACROSS
SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS. LOWS TOMORROW NIGHT WILL DIP INTO THE MID TO
UPPER 30S WITH LOW 40S ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS. HIGHS FRIDAY
WILL THEN REACH INTO THE 60S.
THE WEEKEND INTO THE FIRST PART OF NEXT WEEK LOOKS DRY AS UPPER
LEVEL RIDGING BUILDS OVER THE ROCKIES. LONG RANGE ENSEMBLE MODELS
DEPICT THE NEXT STORM SYSTEM TO MOVE INTO THE AREA TUESDAY INTO
WEDNESDAY, BUT FUTURE MODEL RUNS WILL NEED TO BE WATCHED TO SEE IF
THIS COMES TO FRUITION. A WARMING TREND IS EXPECTED DURING THIS
PERIOD WITH HIGHS IN THE 70S SATURDAY, THEN 80S SUNDAY INTO NEXT
WEEK. LOWS WILL GENERALLY BE IN THE MID 30S TO MID 40S SATURDAY AND
SUNDAY MORNINGS, WITH 40S AND 50S AS WE HEAD INTO NEXT WEEK.
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z FRIDAY/
ISSUED AT 551 PM CDT WED APR 29 2026
THROUGH THIS TAF PERIOD, LIGHT RAIN WILL SLOWLY OVERSPREAD
WESTERN KANSAS, INCLUDING THE HYS, GCK, AND EVENTUALLY DDC AND
LBL TERMINALS. DESPITE THE PRECIPITATION, FLIGHT CATEGORY IS
EXPECTED TO REMAIN VFR OR PERIODICALLY MVFR GIVEN THE LACK OF
APPRECIABLE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE. WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT THROUGH
THE PERIOD GIVEN LIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT THROUGH THE PERIOD.
DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...HOVORKA_42
AVIATION...UMSCHEID
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