813
FXUS63 KDDC 180303
AFDDDC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
1003 PM CDT FRI JUL 17 2026
..UPDATED AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- RELATIVELY DRY CONDITIONS CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
- WARMING TREND CONTINUES THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1243 PM CDT FRI JUL 17 2026
WV IMAGERY INDICATES A BROAD UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OF HIGH
PRESSURE LOCKED IN ACROSS THE WESTERN HIGH PLAINS. NEAR THE
SURFACE, A WEAK LEE SIDE TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE REMAINS ANCHORED
IN EASTERN COLORADO.
RELATIVELY DRY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST EARLY IN THE PERIOD
WITH THE SREF INDICATING VERY LITTLE CHANGE TO THE
AFOREMENTIONED PATTERN ACROSS THE REGION. AN EXTREMELY WEAK FLOW
ALOFT COMBINED WITH MARGINAL INSTABILITY/DEEP LAYER SHEAR WILL
KEEP PRECIP CHANCES AT BAY FOR THE MOST PART THROUGH THE
WEEKEND. NEAR SEASONAL TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST TONIGHT WITH
LOWS IN THE 60S(F) TO THE LOWER 70S(F). A GRADUAL WARMING TREND
IS LIKELY THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES ALOFT
WHILE PREVAILING SOUTHERLIES CONTINUE TO DRAW WARMER AIR INTO
THE AREA, PUSHING H85 TEMPERATURES UP AROUND 25C IN CENTRAL
KANSAS TO NEAR 30C IN VICINITY OF THE COLORADO LINE SATURDAY.
LOOK FOR WIDESPREAD AFTERNOON HIGHS IN THE 90S(F) WITH THE HREF
INDICATING A 70-90% PROBABILITY OF TEMPERATURES EXCEEDING 90F.
EXPECT HIGHS PUSHING 100F BY EARLY NEXT WEEK.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SUNDAY/
ISSUED AT 1000 PM CDT FRI JUL 17 2026
EXCELLENT FLYING WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS TAF PERIOD,
WITH VFR/SKC AND LIGHT SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WINDS. SOUTHEAST WINDS
ARE EXPECTED TO BE WEAKER SATURDAY COMPARED TO RECENT DAYS, WITH
ANOTHER CROP OF SCATTERED CUMULUS EXPECTED AFTER 18Z SAT.
DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...JJOHNSON
AVIATION...TURNER
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