626
FXUS63 KDDC 070000
AFDDDC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
600 PM CST FRI FEB 6 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- CONTINUED DRY AND MILD FOR SEVERAL DAYS
- NO MAJOR WEATHER IMPACTS
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1100 AM CST FRI FEB 6 2026
A QUIET WEATHER PATTERN IS EXPECTED FOR TONIGHT. THERE IS A CHANCE
OF STRATUS CLOUDS BY MORNING. OTHERWISE, A SHALLOW COLDER AIRMASS
WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE EASTERN ZONES SATURDAY. THIS IS IN OPPOSITION
TO A DOWNSLOPE WARMED AIRMASS ACROSS THE WESTERN ZONES. AS A RESULT,
THERE SHOULD BE A LARGE HIGH TEMPERATURE GRADIENT FROM CENTRAL KANSAS
TO EXTREME SOUTHWEST KANSAS TOMORROW. IT IS BELIEVED THAT THE NAM
SOLUTION IS AN OUTLIER AS IT IS VERY COLD IN THE EAST. ANYWAY, HIGHS
RANGING FROM THE 50S NORTHEAST TO THE 70S SOUTHWEST ARE EXPECTED.
FIRE DANGER LOOKS TO BE MITIGATED THROUGH MODERATE AFTERNOON RELATIVE
HUMIDITY AND WEAKER WINDS. AS FOR LOWS BOTH TONIGHT AND INTO SUNDAY
MORNING, LOOKS LIKE MINIMUMS WILL BE ON THE MILD SIDE AND LIKELY
ABOVE FREEZING.
FOR SUNDAY AND MONDAY, WE WILL SEE UL SHORTWAVE RIDGING. THE NET RESULT
IS A DRY AND WARM FORECAST CONTINUING DURING THIS PERIOD. THE DOWNSLOPING
BECOMES MORE PRONOUNCED MONDAY, AND HIGHS SHOULD BE WELL ABOVE NORMAL
AS A RESULT - WIDESPREAD 70S. WILL HAVE TO WATCH AFTERNOON RELATIVE
HUMIDITY LEVELS ACROSS FAR SOUTHWEST KANSAS. HERE, RH'S IN THE 10-15%
RANGE CANNOT BE RULED OUT. THE FIRE DANGER THROUGH MIGHT BE SOMEWHAT
MITIGATED WITH WEAKER WINDS IN CLOSER PROXIMITY TO A SFC TROF.
AN UPPER LEVEL TROF WILL SKIRT SOUTH OF THE FA TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.
BOTH THE GEFS AND ENS ARE TRENDING SOUTH WITH THIS SYNOPTIC SYSTEM.
BOTH POPS HAVE BEEN LOWERED AND WEATHER HAS BEEN REMOVED AS THIS
SOUTHERN TREND SOLUTION CONTINUES. WE WILL SEE COOLER HIGHS, BUT
EVEN THESE READINGS ARE LIKELY TO BE STILL ABOVE NORMAL.
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SUNDAY/
ISSUED AT 555 PM CST FRI FEB 6 2026
LIGHT, UPSLOPE EAST WINDS WILL GRADUALLY BECOME SOUTHEASTERLY
AND THEN SOUTHERLY OVERNIGHT. THERE IS A SMALL CHANCE (10-20%)
OF LIFR CIGS AND FOG AT KHYS BETWEEN 10-13Z; BUT IT WILL LIKELY
NOT BE MOIST ENOUGH. OTHERWISE, EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS TO
PERSIST. EXPECT WINDS TO SUBSIDE BY LATE AFTERNOON AS THE
SURFACE TROUGH CROSSES THE TAF SITES.
DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...SUGDEN
AVIATION...FINCH
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