673
FXUS63 KDDC 231023
AFDDDC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
523 AM CDT SUN AUG 23 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- EARLY MORNING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE
- ISOLATED STORMS POSSIBLE SUNDAY EVENING
- HIGHEST CHANCE OF STORMS TUESDAY
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1111 PM CDT SAT AUG 22 2026
EARLY MORNING RADAR SHOWS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LOCATED
ACROSS COLORADO. THE ACTIVITY SHOULD CONTINUE TO PROPAGATE
EASTWARD THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. THIS ACTIVITY MAY REACH
ACROSS NW KS/WC KS AND N KS BY THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. THIS
ACTIVITY IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE STRONG OR SEVERE. AS SUCH, HAVE
THE HIGHEST POPS ACROSS THE NORTHERN ZONES DURING THE MORNING
HOURS. THE CAMS SHOW THE POTENTIAL FOR ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING ACROSS COLORADO SUNDAY EVENING. THIS
ACTIVITY MAY REACH FAR SOUTHWEST KANSAS DURING THE LATE EVENING
HOURS. AGAIN, THIS ACTIVITY IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE STRONG OR
SEVERE BY THE TIME IT REACHES INTO WESTERN KANSAS. OTHERWISE,
HIGHS WILL CONTINUE TO REMAIN SEASONABLY HOT WITH VALUES PEAKING
IN THE 90S. LOWS WILL BE IN A MIX OF 60S TO 70S. THE SAME
WEATHER PATTTERN WITH DIURNAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS
EXPECTED BY THE MODELS FOR MONDAY. AGAIN, FAR WESTERN KANSAS
STANDS TO SEE THE HIGHEST POPS, AS IS THIS AREA IS IN CLOSER
PROXIMITY TO THE DIURNALLY DEVELOPING CONVECTION ACROSS THE HIGH
PLAINS.
LONG RANGE MODELS AND THEIR ENSEMBLE COUNTERPARTS SHOWS THE MID
LEVEL RIDGE SINKING SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES BY
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. DIURNALLY INDUCED STORMS MAY RIDE THE
EDGE OF THIS RIDGE AND MAY PROPAGATE ONCE AGAIN INTO WESTERN
KANSAS. TUESDAY STANDS WITH THE HIGHEST POPS AND LARGE AREAL
COVERAGE OF STORMS DURING THE EVENING HOURS. A SIMILAR WEATHER
PATTERN IS FORECAST BY THE MODELS WEDNESDAY AND POSSIBLY
THURSDAY. OTHERWISE, HIGHS WILL REMAIN SEASONABLY HOT WITH
VALUES IN THE 90S AND LOWS IN THE 60S AND 70S.
AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z MONDAY/
ISSUED AT 522 AM CDT SUN AUG 23 2026
MID CLOUDS WILL DISSIPATE AROUND THE HYS TERMINAL THIS MORNING
WITH VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED OTHERWISE. WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE
FROM THE SOUTHEAST, GUSTING TO OVER 20 KNOTS BY THE AFTERNOON.
DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...SUGDEN
AVIATION...HOVORKA_42
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page