050
FXUS63 KDDC 171046
AFDDDC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
546 AM CDT FRI JUL 17 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- A CARBON COPY OF WEATHER FOR FRIDAY AS WITH THURSDAY
- SEASONABLY HOT TEMPERATURES OVER THE WEEKEND
- A HOTTER BUSINESS WEEK
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1111 PM CDT THU JUL 16 2026
A WEAKER 591 DECAMETER ANTICYCLONE WAS LOCATED ACROSS THE GREAT PLAINS
EARLIER THIS EVENING. THIS FEATURE WILL BE THE MAIN WEATHER DRIVER
FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. ITS POSITION WILL GRADUALLY CHANGE LOCATION
THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEKEND AND INTO NEXT WEEK, BUT THE NET RESULT
IS STILL THE SAME. A DRY AND HOT WEATHER WILL CONTINUE FOR SEVERAL
DAYS.
THERE IS REALLY NOT MUCH TO SAY FOR THE WEATHER PATTERN FOR FRIDAY.
TAKE THURSDAYS WEATHER AND REPEAT IT FOR ANOTHER DAY. SEASONABLY
HOT TEMPERATURES WITH VALUES PEAKING FROM THE UPPER 80S TO NEAR 90F
FOR MUCH OF THE AREA (EXCEPT LOWER 90S ACROSS THE SOUTHERN ZONES).
A DIURNALLY DRIVEN CUMULUS FIELD IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ONCE AGAIN
WITH HEATING. WINDS WILL ALSO DIURNALLY INCREASE AROUND NOON THROUGH
EARLY DUSK. LOWS WILL BE NEAR NORMAL TONIGHT WITH VALUES RANGING
FROM THE 60S IN THE WEST TO THE 70S IN THE EAST.
A 592 TO 594 DECAMETER ANTICYCLONE WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE GREATER
REGION THROUGHOUT THE WEEKEND PERIOD. THE NET RESULT IS SEASONABLY
HOT TEMPERATURES WITH VALUES PEAKING IN THE MID 90S. LOWS WILL BE
IN THE 60S TO 70S, WITH THE WARMEST VALUES ACROSS THE EASTERN ZONES.
NO STORMS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE WEEKEND.
GLOBAL MODELS AND THEIR ENSEMBLE COUNTERPARTS ARE SHOWING THE RIDGE
TO CONTINUE AND ACTUALLY AMPLIFY OVER THE STATE FOR MUCH OF THE BUSINESS
WEEK. THE STRENGTHENING RIDGE IS ALSO REFLECT IN THE QPF (OR LACK
THEREOF IN SEVERAL ENSEMBLE MEMBERS). THIS DECREASING TREND IN STORM
CHANCES IS ALSO NOW REFLECTED IN THE NBM POPS, AS THESE VALUES ARE
NOW LOWER FROM PREVIOUS RUNS. THE NET RESULT IS A CONTINUED HOT AND
MOST DRY WEATHER PATTERN FOR MUCH OF NEXT WEEK.
AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SATURDAY/
ISSUED AT 546 AM CDT FRI JUL 17 2026
VFR FLIGHT CATEGORY FOR ALL TERMINALS DURING THE TIME PERIOD.
WINDS WILL PICK UP IN THE AFTERNOON WITH GUSTS AROUND 20 KTS FOR
DDC, GCK, AND LBL.
DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...SUGDEN
AVIATION...TATRO
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