789
FXUS63 KDDC 061003
AFDDDC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
403 AM CST THU NOV 6 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- MILD TEMPERATURES THROUGH SATURDAY
- STRONG COLD FRONT OVER THE WEEKEND
- CHILLY TEMPERATURES SUNDAY AND MONDAY
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 222 AM CST THU NOV 6 2025
A MILD DAY IS EXPECTED TODAY. HIGHS SHOULD PEAK MAINLY IN THE 70S
FOR MUCH OF THE FA. 80 DEGREES CANNOT BE RULED OUT NEAR ELKHART.
A WEAK FROPA IS EXPECTED TONIGHT WITH S/SW WINDS SWITCHING TO THE
NW/N IN THE WAKE OF THE WEAK BOUNDARY. LOWS TONIGHT WILL BE MILD
WITH VALUES IN THE 30S AND 40S. THERE WILL BE WEAK CAA FRIDAY. HIGHS
FRIDAY WILL DECREASE DOWN INTO THE 60S.
WE WILL SEE MORE SIGNIFICANT CAA SUNDAY IN THE WAKE OF A STRONG
FRONT OVER THE WEEKEND. HAVE OPTED TO GO WITH A COLDER AND WINDIER
SOLUTION THAN COMPARED TO THE WARMER AND LESS WINDY NBM. THIS IS
PARTICULARLY TRUE FOR THE SUNDAY AND MONDAY PERIOD. AGAIN, WENT WITH
A MORE COLDER AND WINDY SOLUTION. HIGHS SUNDAY MAY STRUGGLE TO GET
OUT OF THE LOWER 40S. MONDAY MORNING LOOKS TO BE VERY COLD WITH LOWS
IN THE TEENS TO LOWER 20S.
THE COLD AIR WILL NOT STICK AROUND FOR THE LONG OF A PERIOD. A DOWNSLOPE
FLOW PATTERN IS EXPECTED TO RESUME MONDAY. THIS SHOULD SEND HIGHS
BACK INTO THE 50S AND 60S. MORE DOWNSLOPING IS EXPECTED TUESDAY.
HIGHS SHOULD PEAK INTO THE 70S TUESDAY. THE WARMER AND MILD TEMPERATURES
LOOK TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE MIDDLE PORTION OF THE NEXT BUSINESS
WEEK. ALL THE LONG TERM MODELS AS WELL AS THEIR ENSEMBLE COUNTERPARTS
CONTINUE TO ADVERTISE A DRY FORECAST LASTING THROUGH MID NOVEMBER.
AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z FRIDAY/
ISSUED AT 400 AM CST THU NOV 6 2025
VFR IS EXPECTED THROUGH TAF PD. SE/S WINDS 5-10 KT WILL BECOME SSW/SW
10-20 KT TODAY. A WEAK FROPA IS EXPECTED BY TONIGHT WITH LIGHT NW/N
WINDS IN ITS WAKE.
DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...SUGDEN
AVIATION...SUGDEN
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