331
FXUS63 KDDC 081008
AFDDDC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
508 AM CDT THU OCT 8 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- DRY AND UNSEASONABLY WARM CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
THE WEEKEND.
- AFTERNOON WIND GUSTS OVER 40 MPH POSSIBLE THIS WEEKEND.
- THE CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION WILL RETURN TO SOUTHWEST KANSAS
EARLY NEXT WEEK ALONG WITH MUCH COOLER TEMPERATURES.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1104 PM CDT WED OCT 7 2026
AT THE UPPER-LEVELS, A DEEP LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS DIGGING DOWN INTO
EASTERN ONTARIO, BUT IT LEAVES VERY STAGNANT FLOW ABOVE THE FORECAST
AREA. NEAR TO THE SURFACE, A WEAK HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM RESTS OVER
NORTHERN KANSAS SEEN CLEARLY AT 850 MB. SIMILAR TO LAST NIGHT, SOME
VERY THIN AND PATCHY FOG IS POSSIBLE TONIGHT WITH VISIBILITIES
DROPPING DOWN TO 4-5 MILES IN FOG PRONE AREAS. THIS WILL KEEP
WEATHER EXCEEDING QUIET AND WINDS LIGHT. THURSDAY WILL CONTINUE TO
SEE HIGHS IN THE MID-80S AND LIGHT WINDS OWING TO THE HIGH PRESSURE.
THE NEXT FEW DAYS CONTINUE TO LOOK EXCEEDINGLY QUIET WITH VIRTUALLY
NO ACTIVE WEATHER. THESE HIGHS IN THE 80S WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE
WEEKEND AND REMAIN WITHIN THE PATTERN THAT IS AROUND 10 DEGREES
WARMER THAN NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF THE YEAR. BY THE WEEKEND WINDS
WILL UPTICK CONSIDERABLY WITH WINDS OF 20-30 OUT OF THE SOUTH. NO
WEATHER HEADLINES ARE FORECAST OVER THIS SPAN EVEN WITH THE WINDS.
THE RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL STAY WELL ABOVE FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS
AT 30-35%.
SUNDAY INTO MONDAY, ENSEMBLES HAVE AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH DEVELOPING
OVER THE WEST COAST. THIS PATTERN CHANGE WILL START HEAVILY
IMPACTING SW KANSAS INTO TUESDAY WITH HIGHS CONSIDERABLY COOLER DOWN
IN THE 60S. A CHANCE OF WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION RETURNS. ENSEMBLES
HAVE CHANCES AROUND 20-30%. THE SAME ENSEMBLES ONLY HAVE AMOUNTS IN
THE 0.01-0.05" RANGE. SOME UNCERTAINTY REMAINS ABOUT THE
PRECIPITATION, BUT BASED ON THAT INFORMATION EARLY INDICATIONS
SUGGEST IT MAY BE WIDESPREAD LIGHT RAIN. CLEARER FORECASTS WILL
ARRIVE IN THE COMING DAYS WHEN THE SYNOPTIC SYSTEM IS BETTER
RESOLVED.
AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z FRIDAY/
ISSUED AT 506 AM CDT THU OCT 8 2026
AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL KEEP THE SKIES MOSTLY CLEAR SO AS A
RESULT VFR FLIGHT CATEGORY IS EXPECTED FOR ALL TERMINALS DURING
THE TIME PERIOD. WINDS WILL INCREASE IN THE AFTERNOON WITH A LEE
SIDE TROUGH TO 10-12 KTS SUSTAINED AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 20 KTS.
DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...KBJ
AVIATION...TATRO
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