865
FXUS63 KDDC 120300
AFDDDC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
1000 PM CDT SUN OCT 11 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY WITH HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 80S TO LOW 90S
- PRECIPITATION CHANCES INCREASE TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THE
MID PART OF NEXT WEEK
- THERE COULD BE A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS TUESDAY
AFTERNOON/EVENING
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 219 PM CDT SUN OCT 11 2026
AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS CURRENTLY SITTING ABOVE THE PLAINS AND WILL
SLOWLY INCH EASTWARD AS AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH DIGS INTO THE WESTERN
UNITED STATES. TOWARDS THE SURFACE, LEE TROUGHING WILL BE THE MAIN
FEATURE ACROSS EASTERN COLORADO LEADING TO SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS
ACROSS WESTERN KANSAS THROUGH AT LEAST TUESDAY MORNING. SKIES WILL
BE MOSTLY CLEAR WITH OCCASIONAL INCREASE IN HIGH LEVEL CLOUDINESS.
HIGHS DURING THIS TIME FRAME WILL SOAR INTO THE UPPER 80S TO LOW 90S
WHICH IS ABOVE NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF THE YEAR. LOWS WILL GENERALLY
RANGE FROM THE UPPER 50S TO LOW 70S.
THE AFOREMENTIONED UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL THEN MOVE CLOSER TO THE
AREA DURING THE MID PART OF NEXT WEEK EJECTING DISTURBANCES TOWARDS
THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS. PRECIPITATION CHANCES INCREASE TUESDAY
AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE MID PART OF NEXT WEEK. THERE MAY
BE A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS TUESDAY AFTERNOON/EVENING BUT WILL
NEED TO BE MONITORED THROUGH FUTURE MODEL RUNS. CURRENTLY SPC HAS A
SLIGHT RISK OF SEVER STORMS. WE THEN START TO DRY OUT BY LATE NEXT
WEEK AS UPPER LEVEL RIDING BUILDS ACROSS THE WESTERN UNITED STATES.
AS FOR TEMPERATURES, HIGHS IN THE 70S ARE EXPECTED WEDNESDAY AND
THURSDAY WITH 60S LATE WEEK INTO THE WEEKEND. LOWS WILL SETTLE INTO
THE 40S BY NEXT WEEKEND.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z TUESDAY/
ISSUED AT 1000 PM CDT SUN OCT 11 2026
VFR WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS TAF PERIOD, WITH VFR/SKC
PREVAILING. WITH 850 MB WINDS NEAR 50 KTS OVERNIGHT, MAINTAINED
A MENTION OF LOW LEVEL WIND SHEAR IN ALL TAFS THROUGH 12Z MON.
SURFACE SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL REMAIN ELEVATED AT
12-15 KTS THROUGH SUNRISE. AFTER 15Z MON, STRONG SOUTHWEST WINDS
ARE EXPECTED AT ALL AIRPORTS, GUSTING 28-32 KTS.
DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...HOVORKA_42
AVIATION...TURNER
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