333
FXUS63 KDDC 031105
AFDDDC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
605 AM CDT SAT OCT 3 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- RAIN CHANCES ARE NEAR 0% FOR THE NEXT TEN DAYS.
- SEASONAL TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST THROUGH MONDAY, WITH WARMER
THAN AVERAGE TEMPERATURES STARTING TUESDAY.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 124 AM CDT SAT OCT 3 2026
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL RIDGE TO THE SOUTHWEST ACROSS THE
PLAINS, RESULTING IN SEASONAL TEMPERATURES FOR SOUTHWEST KANSAS
DESPITE THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGING. SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL DEVELOP
THIS MORNING IN RESPONSE TO A SURFACE TROUGH, WITH INCREASING
SPEEDS TO 10-15 MPH BY LATE MORNING. AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH
TRAVERSING THE NORTHERN PLAINS WILL PUSH A WEAK COLD FRONT
THROUGH KANSAS AFTER MIDNIGHT, WITH WINDS BECOMING NORTHERLY AT
10-12 KTS. DESPITE THE FRONTAL PASSAGE, TEMPERATURES ARE
FORECAST TO RISE INTO THE 70S AND STAY IN THAT RANGE THROUGH
SUNDAY AND MONDAY. THESE READINGS ARE NEAR THE CLIMATOLOGICAL
AVERAGE.
HOWEVER, THE MID TO UPPER LEVEL FLOW IS FORECAST TO BECOME MORE
ZONAL NEXT WEEK, ALLOWING FOR WEAK DOWNSLOPE FLOW AND WARMER
THAN AVERAGE TEMPERATURES. HIGHS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 80S
EACH DAY TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE LIGHT,
THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD, WITH THE EXCEPTION OF MONDAY WHEN
10-20 MPH SOUTHWEST WINDS START TO ADVECT WARMER AIR INTO
KANSAS.
WITH THE LACK OF ANY UPPER LEVEL TROUGH ACROSS THE WESTERN USA,
DRY WEATHER WILL PERSIST FOR THE NEXT WEEK TO TEN DAYS GIVEN THE
LACK OF LOW TO MID LEVEL MOISTURE AND FORCING MECHANISMS. THE
VARIOUS ENSEMBLE SUITES SHOW MEASURABLE RAIN CHANCES NEAR 0%
THROUGH ALL OF NEXT WEEK.
AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SUNDAY/
ISSUED AT 605 AM CDT SAT OCT 3 2026
VFR FLYING CONDITIONS THIS TAF CYCLE FOR ALL TERMINALS. CURRENT
LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS WILL INCREASE BRIEFLY OUT OF THE SOUTH
TO AROUND 10-12 KTS, BUT WEAKEN BACK TO LIGHT AND VARIABLE BY
22-23Z.
DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...FINCH
AVIATION...SPRINGER
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