636
FXUS63 KDDC 261023
AFDDDC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
523 AM CDT WED AUG 26 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- THERE ARE MODERATE TO HIGH CHANCES(30-60%) OF T-STORMS LATE
THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT ACROSS FAR WESTERN KANSAS INCLUDING
THE LOCATIONS OF SYRACUSE, GARDEN CITY, SCOTT CITY AND LAKIN.
- HOT WEATHER WILL RETURN FOR SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY, WITH
HIGHS APPROACHING 100, ALONG WITH SMALL CHANCES FOR T-STORMS
BY SUNDAY.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 123 AM CDT WED AUG 26 2026
A MINOR UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL APPROACH THE CENTRAL HIGH
PLAINS TODAY. SURFACE BASED T-STORMS WILL DEVELOP WELL TO THE
NORTH AND WEST OF THIS AFTERNOON AND THEN PROGRESS SOUTHWARD IN
A WEAKENED STATE INTO WEST CENTRAL KANSAS BY MIDNIGHT. THE
STORMS COULD CONTAIN WIND GUSTS OF 50-60 MPH AND SMALL HAIL
GIVEN THE LINEAR AND OUTFLOW DOMINATED STORM NATURE BY THE TIME
STORMS ARRIVE. SOME LOCATIONS COULD RECEIVE UP TO A HALF INCH
OR MORE OF RAIN; BUT TOTALS IN GENERAL WILL BE HIGHLY VARIABLE
AS IS NORMALLY THE CASE IN LATE SUMMER. THE BEST CHANCE FOR
SIGNIFICANT RAINS ARE WEST OF A LINE FROM WAKEENEY TO DODGE
CITY. EXPECT HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 90S TODAY. CHANCES FOR
RAIN THURSDAY NIGHT ARE LOW IN THE WAKE OF WEDNESDAY NIGHT'S
STABILIZING STORM CLUSTER THAT WILL TEND TO HAVE A SLIGHT
COOLING EFFECT.
UPPER LEVEL RIDGING WILL SLOWLY DEVELOP ACROSS THE HIGH PLAINS
BY FRIDAY AND INTO THE WEEKEND. HOWEVER, A SHORTWAVE TROUGH
TRAVERSING THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO
PUSH A WEAK COLD FRONT INTO WESTERN KANSAS BY SUNDAY. HOT
TEMPERATURES NEAR 100 DEGREES ARE FORECAST ALONG AND SOUTH OF
THE FRONT FOR SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. THERE ARE SMALL CHANCES FOR
T-STORMS ALONG THE STALLED FRONT BY SUNDAY EVENING, MAINLY
ACROSS WEST CENTRAL KANSAS AND ALONG I-70. THE FRONT WILL NOT
MAKE IT VERY FAR SOUTH NEXT WEEK GIVEN THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE
FROM TEXAS EASTWARD. THEREFORE, HOT WEATHER WILL PERSIST THROUGH
MID NEXT WEEK DESPITE THE PRESENCE OF A WEAKENING FRONTAL
BOUNDARY. T-STORMS CAN'T BE RULED OUT ON ANY DAY GIVEN THAT
WESTERN KANSAS WILL BE ON THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE MID TO
HIGH LEVEL WESTERLIES; BUT WIDESPREAD RAINS ARE UNLIKELY. THE
GRAND ENSEMBLE INDICATES ONLY 10-20% DAILY CHANCES FOR >.25" OF
RAIN.
AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z THURSDAY/
ISSUED AT 522 AM CDT WED AUG 26 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL WITH SKIES BECOMING MOSTLY CLEAR.
WINDS WILL BE FROM THE NORTH THIS MORNING, SHIFTING TO AN
EASTERLY DIRECTION THIS AFTERNOON. WIND SHOULD REMAIN BELOW 12
KNOTS.
DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...FINCH
AVIATION...HOVORKA_42
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page