216
FXUS63 KDDC 252202
AFDDDC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
502 PM CDT SAT JUL 25 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- HEAT INDICES AT OR ABOVE 105 DEGREES EXPECTED IN THE AFTERNOONS
THROUGH MONDAY
- THUNDERSTORM CHANCES INCREASE MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY
NIGHT WITH FAR WESTERN KANSAS AND NORTHERN KANSAS HAVING THE
HIGHEST PROBABILITY
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1216 PM CDT SAT JUL 25 2026
A STRONG UPPER LEVEL HIGH WILL SPIN OVER THE CENTRAL ROCKIES AND
CENTRAL PLAINS THROUGH MID WEEK THEN SHIFT WEST LATE WEEK INTO THIS
WEEKEND. AS FOR THE SHORT RANGE FORECAST, EXPECT MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES
WITH PERIODS OF HIGH CLOUDS. DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITH WINDS
FROM A SOUTHERLY DIRECTION. HIGHS THROUGH MONDAY WILL REACH AROUND
100 DEGREES TO LOW 100S WITH LOWS TONIGHT AND TOMORROW NIGHT IN THE
70S. THE MAIN CONCERN WILL BE THE HEAT INDICES THAT ARE EXPECTED TO
REACH AT OR ABOVE 105 DEGREES. A HEAT ADVISORY AS BEEN ISSUED TO
ACCOUNT FOR THIS. THE NBM HAS THE HIGHEST PROBABILITY OF HEAT
INDICES EXCEEDING 110 DEGREES WILL BE ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL
KANSAS EACH AFTERNOON.
MID RANGE MODELS SHOW INCREASING CHANCES OF THUNDERSTORMS MONDAY
NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT AS WEAK DISTURBANCES MOVE THROUGH THE
AREA. THE BEST CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION CURRENTLY LOOK TO BE ACROSS
FAR WESTERN KANSAS AND NORTHERN KANSAS. OTHERWISE EXPECT AN INCREASE
IN CLOUD COVER. HIGHS LOOK TO REACH INTO THE 90S TO LOW 100S WITH
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S TO UPPER 70S.
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SUNDAY/
ISSUED AT 502 PM CDT SAT JUL 25 2026
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. EXPECT
SOUTHERLY WINDS 5-10 KNOTS THROUGH TONIGHT AND INTO SUNDAY
MORNING, INCREASING 10-15 KNOTS SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM CDT /7 PM MDT/ MONDAY FOR KSZ030-031-
043>046-061>066-074>081-084>089.
EXTREME HEAT WARNING UNTIL 8 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR KSZ090.
HEAT ADVISORY FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 8 PM CDT MONDAY FOR
KSZ090.
DISCUSSION...HOVORKA_42
AVIATION...BENNETT
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