022
FXUS63 KDDC 020448
AFDDDC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
1148 PM CDT SAT AUG 1 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- SOUTHWEST KANSAS IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN MAINLY DRY FOR THE
UPCOMING WEEK.
- AFTER SEASONABLY HOT TEMPERATURES SATURDAY AFTERNOON, A RAPID
HEATING TREND IS EXPECTED SUNDAY AND MONDAY AFTERNOONS WITH
100+ DEGREE READINGS RETURNING.
- VERY HOT AFTERNOONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND, HOTTER
THAN NBM GUIDANCE.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1147 PM CDT SAT AUG 1 2026
THE UPPER-LEVEL LOW PRESSURE PREVIOUSLY OVER MINNESOTA HAS DUG
DEEPER INTO ILLINOIS. THIS IS PAIRED A CONTINUED HIGH PRESSURE
SYSTEM OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN CONUS. NEARER TO THE SURFACE, HIGH
PRESSURE CONTINUES TO RESIDE AND KEEP SKIES CLEAR WITH FAIRLY
LIGHT WINDS. TOMORROW IS FORECAST TO WARM BACK UP TOWARDS TRIPLE
DIGIT HIGHS WITH THE WARMEST AREAS IN THE FAR WESTERN PORTIONS
OF KANSAS. LIGHT WINDS AND PLEASANT WEATHER WILL ACCOMPANY THE
EARLY AUGUST HEAT.
MONDAY IS FORECAST TO BE THE HOTTEST DAY THIS WEEK WITH HIGHS NEAR
THE COLORADO BORDER UP TO 108 DEGREES. HIGHEST AREAS OF APPARENT
TEMPERATURES IN THOSE AREAS ARE AROUND 104/105 DEGREES... WITH 105
BEING THE CRITERIA FOR A HEAT ADVISORY, IT WILL NEED TO BE MONITORED
CLOSELY. WHETHER OR NOT IT MEETS PRECISE CRITERIA, IT WILL BE HOT
AND TRADITIONAL HEAT PRECAUTIONS ARE STRONGLY ADVISED.
HYDRATION AND COOLING BREAKS ARE ENCOURAGE NOT JUST MONDAY, BUT
EVERY DAY THIS WEEK WITH THE SUMMER HEAT.
TUESDAY ONWARD SEES CONTINUED HEAT AND OCCASIONAL PERIODS OF
SLIGHT (10-25%) PROBABILITY CHANCES. TUESDAY WILL START COOLER
BACK IN THE 90S, BUT THROUGH SATURDAY ARE EXPECTED TO BE OF
SIMILAR TEMPERATURES, WARMING ABOUT A DEGREE PER DAY WITH ENDING
AROUND 100- 105 DEGREES. ESPECIALLY TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY WILL
SEE THE HIGHEST PRECIPITATION CHANCES IN THE
WESTERN/NORTHWESTERN COUNTIES AND NEAR THE COLORADO BORDER.
ENSEMBLE PERCENTAGES REACH AS HIGH AS 30%. STILL A HEALTHY
AMOUNT OF UNCERTAINTY REMAINS IN BOTH SCOPE AND STRENGTH, BUT
THE CURRENT EXPECTATION IS IF THERE IS A SEVERE THREAT IT WILL
BE VERY LIMITED.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z MONDAY/
ISSUED AT 1147 PM CDT SAT AUG 1 2026
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD.
WITH A CONTINUED COLUMN OF HIGH PRESSURE, SKIES ARE FORECAST TO
REMAIN MOSTLY CLEAR WITH A LIGHT (5-10 KTS) AND VARIABLE WIND TO
START THE PERIOD. AROUND 15Z THE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN
OUT OF THE SOUTH/SOUTHEAST.
DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...KBJ
AVIATION...KBJ
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