398
FXUS63 KDDC 202205
AFDDDC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
505 PM CDT THU AUG 20 2026
..UPDATED AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- HOT AUGUST AFTERNOONS WILL CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS,
WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES WELL ABOVE LATE AUGUST NORMALS.
- RAIN CHANCES ARE VERY LIMITED THROUGH THE WEEKEND, BUT ARE
EXPECTED TO IMPROVE NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1100 AM CDT THU AUG 20 2026
RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS SITUATED ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST.
THE PLACEMENT OF THIS FEATURE WILL RESULT IN HOT TEMPERATURES
ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA TODAY AND TOMORROW. EXPECT TEMPERATURES
MAINLY IN THE 90S ACROSS THE AREA, WITH LOW 100S IN BARBER
COUNTY. A BIT HOTTER TEMPERATURES CAN BE EXPECTED AREA-WIDE WITH
WIDESPREAD 100S ACROSS MUCH OF THE FORECAST AREA ON FRIDAY.
TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO BE IN THE 90S FOR THE REST OF THE
FORECAST PERIOD, BUT 100S MAY BECOME LESS COMMON.
AS FAR AS THE STORM POTENTIAL IS CONCERNED TODAY, THE MINIMAL
CHANCES THAT WERE THERE, ARE LOOKING EVEN LESS SO. SPC CARRIES A
MARGINAL RISK FOR MUCH OF THE FORECAST AREA. HOWEVER, ANY
FORCING IS NEBULOUS, AND LIKELY WILL BE CONFINED NORTH OF
KANSAS. IF STORMS ARE CAPABLE OF DEVELOPING AND SUSTAINING, WITH
NORTHWEST FLOW, THEN STORMS COULD THEORETICALLY WORK INTO THE
AREA WITH A GUSTY WIND RISK. TIMING OF ANY POTENTIAL STORMS
WOULD BE LATE INTO THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. THOUGH LATEST 12Z
CAM GUIDANCE SUPPORTS THE IDEA OF LIMITED TO NO STORMS INTO THE
FORECAST, INCREASING THE CONFIDENCE OF MINIMAL STORM IMPACT.
LOOKING AT POPS INTO THE MEDIUM TO LONGER RANGE, SOME CHANCES
EXIST NEARLY EVERY DAY IN VARIOUS PARTS OF THE AREA AMID
NORTHWEST FLOW. NBM IS SUGGESTIVE OF THE GREATEST CHANCE PERIOD
IS TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SATURDAY/
ISSUED AT 505 PM CDT THU AUG 20 2026
EXCELLENT FLYING WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THIS TAF PERIOD, WITH
VFR/SKC, LIMITED CIRRUS, AND WITH LIGHT SOUTHEAST WINDS
PREVAILING.
DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...BENNETT
AVIATION...TURNER
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