828
FXUS63 KDDC 150616
AFDDDC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
116 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- RAIN, STORMS, AND FOG TAPERING OFF THIS MORNING; CHILLY
TEMPERATURES TONIGHT
- FROST/FREEZE LIKELY SATURDAY MORNING
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 116 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2026
MID-UPPER LEVEL TROUGH THAT HAS BEEN SUPPLYING THE AREA WITH
DREARY WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL DEPART LATER THIS MORNING AND
INTO THIS AFTERNOON. ANY LINGERING RAIN, STORMS, AND FOG WILL
DIMINISH FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST LATE THIS MORNING WITH
CLEARING SKIES AND BREEZY CONDITIONS INTO THE LATER AFTERNOON.
TONIGHT HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BRING SOME FROST AND PERHAPS A
FREEZE. HOWEVER, UNCERTAINTY REMAINS WITH THE LEVEL OF WINDS
THAT COULD LIMIT THOSE IMPACTS, SO HELD OFF ON ANY HEADLINES FOR
NOW.
FROST/FREEZE HEADLINES WILL BE NEAR CERTAIN FRIDAY NIGHT INTO
SATURDAY MORNING AS WIDESPREAD UPPER 20S TO LOW 30S ARE EXPECTED
ACROSS NEARLY ALL OF WESTERN AND CENTRAL KANSAS. WITH LIGHT
WINDS AND CLEAR SKIES, FREEZE AND FROST ARE HIGHLY LIKELY. THIS
IS SHAPING UP TO BE A WIDESPREAD ISSUE FOR PLANTS, SO
PRECAUTIONS SHOULD BE STARTED TO PROTECT ANY MOST VULNERABLE
CROPS AND PLANTS. A WARMING TREND WILL COMMENCE FOR THE LATTER
HALF OF THE WEEKEND AND INTO NEXT WEEK AS 850 MB TEMPERATURE
ANOMALIES GO BACK TO ABOVE AVERAGE PER GLOBAL MODELS. AS FAR AS
THE NEXT CHANCE OF ANY PRECIPITATION IS CONCERNED, ONLY LOW POPS
(30-40%) ARE IN THE FORECAST WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY, BUT VARYING
PATTERNS ARE EVIDENT AMONG THE GLOBALS, PUTTING LOW CONFIDENCE
IN THE LONGER RANGE.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z FRIDAY/
ISSUED AT 1157 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2026
LIFR CONDITIONS WILL BEGIN THE TAF PERIOD AT ALL SITES GIVEN LOW
CIGS AND OCCASIONAL SPOTTY DENSE FOG. CIGS WILL REMAIN IN LIFR
THROUGH 15-17Z THURSDAY, IMPROVING TO IFR 17-19Z, AND MVFR
19-22Z. FOG WILL DISSIPATE COMPLETELY THROUGH 13-17Z THIS
MORNING. CONDITIONS WILL GRADUALLY IMPROVE FROM SOUTHWEST TO
NORTHEAST. SPOTTY RAIN AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO
CONTINUE THROUGH 15Z THIS MORNING. SKIES CLEAR AFTER 00Z FRIDAY.
REGARDING WIND, EXPECT BREEZY NORTHWEST WINDS 15-25 KNOTS WITH
GUSTS 30-35 KNOTS. WINDS WILL INCREASE TO THOSE LEVELS BEGINNING
15Z THIS MORNING UNTIL A WEAKENING TREND AFTER 00Z FRIDAY.
DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...BENNETT
AVIATION...BENNETT
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page