024
FXUS63 KEAX 251726
AFDEAX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
1126 AM CST SAT JAN 25 2020
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 330 AM CST SAT JAN 25 2020
A MORE QUIET WEATHER PATTERN BEGINS TODAY ON THE HEELS OF THE
EXITING STORM SYSTEM, NOW PIVOTING OVER THE GREAT LAKES. LOW-LEVEL
STRATUS ON THE BACKSIDE OF THE ASSOCIATED SURFACE LOW, WILL HOWEVER,
CONTINUE TO INFLUENCE THE LOCAL AREA TODAY WITH OVERCAST SKY
CONDITIONS FOR SATURDAY MORNING. THE BACK EDGE OF THE STRATUS LAYER
ISN'T FAR AWAY, THOUGH, AND AREAS OVER EASTERN KANSAS AND WESTERN
MISSOURI MAY SEE A BRIEF PERIOD OF SUN TODAY AS THE STRATUS LAYER
SLOWLY MOVES EAST WITH TIME. OVERALL EXPECTING TO SEE CLOUD COVER
PERSIST OVER MUCH OF THE AREA TODAY AS MID-LEVEL CLOUDS WILL ARRIVE
FROM THE WEST, AFTER LOW-LEVEL CLOUD COVER CLEARS TO THE EAST. A
WEAK WARM FRONT WILL LIFT NORTH TODAY UP TO CENTRAL MISSOURI, WHICH
SHOULD BRING AFTERNOON HIGHS INTO THE UPPER 30S AND LOWER 40S TODAY.
WILL NEED TO MONITOR THE POTENTIAL FOR PATCHY BLACK ICE EARLY SUNDAY
MORNING AS ANY MELTING SNOW DURING THE DAY WILL REFREEZE TONIGHT AS
SURFACE TEMPS AVERAGE NEAR THE LOWER TO MID 20S. STILL WARMER TEMPS
ARE EXPECTED SUNDAY, WHICH SHOULD CONTINUE THE SNOW-MELTING TREND
THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
THE OVERALL UPPER-LEVEL PATTERN WILL REMAIN FAIRLY ACTIVE ACROSS THE
CONUS THROUGH THE WORK WEEK, THOUGH LOCALLY, WE'LL SEE ONLY LOW-
CHANCE ROUNDS OF PRECIP THROUGH THE MID-WEEK IN RESPONSE TO A SERIES
OF SHORTWAVE TROUGHS EMBEDDED WITHIN NORTHWEST FLOW. FOR NOW, HAVE
MAINTAINED SLIGHT CHANCE POPS TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY, WITH OFF AND
ON CHANCES FOR WINTRY PRECIP TO AFFECT THE AREA. AT THIS TIME, NOT
ANTICIPATING ANYTHING SIGNIFICANT WITH ANY OF THIS ACTIVITY. IT'S
NOT UNTIL THE LATE WEEK THAT THE UPPER-LEVEL FLOW BECOMES MORE
AMPLIFIED AS A PROGGED TROUGH DEEPENS ACROSS THE MIDWEST AHEAD OF A
BUILDING RIDGE OVER THE WESTERN CONUS. MOST OF THE MORE NOTABLE
CHANCES FOR PRECIP/IMPACTS LOOK TO REMAIN WELL EAST OF THE LOCAL
AREA AT THAT TIME, THOUGH THIS MAY PRESENT THE NEXT REASONABLE
CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION FOR THE FORECAST AREA NEXT WEEKEND.
AVIATION
(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SUNDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1122 AM CST SAT JAN 25 2020
HAVE PUSHED BACK THE SCATTERING OF THE IFR/MVFR CIGS TO 23Z AS
CLOUDS ON VIS SAT ARE SLOW TO ERODE. MODELS HINTING AT THE
POTENTIAL FOR LIGHT FOG TONIGHT/TOMORROW MORNING SO HAVE ADDED A
GROUP TO LOWER VSBYS TO 4-5SM AS EARLY AS 02Z AT STJ, 08Z AT IXD
AND 12Z AT MKC AND MCI. WINDS SHOULD BE LGT AND VRB THRU THE PD.
EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
KS...NONE.
MO...NONE.
DISCUSSION...WELSH
AVIATION...73
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page