566
FXUS63 KEAX 291116
AFDEAX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
516 AM CST MON DEC 29 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- WINDY (25-35 MPH WIND GUSTS) AND COLD CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE
TODAY. WIND CHILL VALUES THIS MORNING WILL RANGE BETWEEN ZERO
TO 10 BELOW ZERO. WIND CHILL VALUES THIS AFTERNOON WILL ONLY
MAX OUT IN THE UPPER SINGLE DIGITS AND TEENS.
- TEMPERATURES REBOUND GOING INTO TUESDAY WITH RELATIVELY MILD,
DRY WEATHER EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 233 AM CST MON DEC 29 2025
EARLY THIS MORNING, THE UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM THAT BROUGHT YESTERDAY'S
SHOWERS/STORMS/SNOW IS EXITING HE AREA AND MOVING INTO THE GREAT
LAKES. THIS WILL LEAVE THE AREA UNDER COLD NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT.
COLD AIR WILL CONTINUE TO ADVECT INTO THE AREA ON STRONG NORTHWEST
WINDS GUSTING 25 TO 35 MPH THROUGH THE DAY TODAY. THIS WILL HOLD
HIGH IN THE 20S TODAY WITH WINDS CHILLS REMAINING IN THE SINGLE
DIGITS AND TEENS THIS AFTERNOON. THIS EVENING/TONIGHT A SURFACE
RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE AREA FROM THE
NORTHERN/CENTRAL PLAINS ALLOWING WINDS TO RELAX. LIGHT WINDS AND
CLEAR SKIES WILL PROVIDE A GOOD RADIATIONAL COOLING SETUP TONIGHT
AGAIN ALLOWING LOWS TO FALL BACK INTO THE TEENS. THE SURFACE RIDGE
WILL QUICKLY SHIFT SOUTH OF THE AREA BY TUESDAY MORNING WITH SURFACE
WINDS SHIFTS TO THE SOUTHWEST PROVIDING MODEST WAA. THIS WILL ALLOW
HIGHS TO REBOUND TO NEAR NORMAL ON TUESDAY WITH HIGHS IN THE MID 30S
TO MID 40S.
THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK INTO THE WEEKEND CONTINUES TO LOOK DRY
WITH NEAR TO ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE PERIOD.
WEDNESDAY, SUBTLE HEIGHT RISES WILL ALLOW HIGHS TO RISE INTO THE
UPPER 30S (NORTHEAST) TO NEAR 50 (SOUTHWEST). WEDNESDAY NIGHT A MID-
LEVEL TROUGH WILL DIG THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES REGION FORCING A
BACKDOOR COLD FRONT THROUGH THE AREA. THE FRONTAL PASSAGE WILL REMAIN
DRY HOWEVER, IT WILL RETURN TEMPERATURES TO NEAR NORMAL ON THURSDAY
WITH HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. A GRADUAL WARMING TREND IS THEN
FORECAST FOR NEXT WEEKEND AS AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE EASTERN
ROCKIES SLOWLY SHIFTS EASTWARD THROUGH THE PERIOD PROVIDING DAILY
HEIGHT RISES. HIGHS FRIDAY WILL RANGE FROM THE MID 30S TO MID 40S
AND WILL RISE TO THE LOWER 40S TO LOWER 50S BY SUNDAY.
AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z TUESDAY/
ISSUED AT 516 AM CST MON DEC 29 2025
VFR CONDS ARE EXPECTED WITH SCT CLOUDS BTN 2-3KFT EXPECTED THRU
21Z-23Z AFT WHICH CLR SKIES ARE FCST. STRONG NW WINDS ARE
EXPECTED THRU 21Z-23Z WITH SUSTAIN WINDS AT 15-20KTS AND GUSTS
BTN 25-30KTS. AFT 21Z-23Z...WINDS WILL REMAIN OUT OF THE NW AND
DIMINISH TO 7-12KTS BEFORE BECMG LGT AND VRB AFT 03Z-05Z.
EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MO...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM CST EARLY THIS MORNING FOR MOZ001>008-
011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-043>046-053-054.
KS...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM CST EARLY THIS MORNING FOR KSZ025-057-
060-102>105.
DISCUSSION...73
AVIATION...73
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