049
FXUS63 KGID 010520
AFDGID
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
1220 AM CDT FRI MAY 1 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- A FEW LIGHT SHOWERS OR SPRINKLES (10-20%) WILL BE POSSIBLE
ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS. CLEARING
SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS EXPECTED THIS EVENING. LIGHT SHOWERS AND
A VERY ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM (10-20%) POSSIBLE ACROSS NORTH
CENTRAL KANSAS AGAIN FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
- WIDESPREAD FROST FORMATION IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA
TONIGHT/FRIDAY MORNING AND AGAIN FRIDAY NIGHT/SATURDAY
MORNING. A FROST ADVISORY IS CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT
CDT TONIGHT THROUGH 9 AM CDT FRIDAY.
- WARMER TEMPERATURES (70S TO NEAR 80) AND DRY CONDITIONS
EXPECTED OVER THE UPCOMING WEEKEND. A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS
RETURNS TO THE LOCAL AREA MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 238 PM CDT THU APR 30 2026
A WEAK FRONT CROSSED THE LOCAL AREA TODAY WITH NORTHERLY BREEZES
AND MODESTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES IN ITS WAKE. WITH THE COLDER
AIR ADVECTING IN ALOFT, STEEP LAPSE RATES HAVE LED TO SOME
DIURNALLY DRIVEN CLOUDS/SHOWERS/SPRINKLES POPPING UP THIS
AFTERNOON...ALL OF WHICH SHOULD RAPIDLY DIMINISH BY EARLY
EVENING. AS SKIES CLEAR AND WINDS BECOME LIGHT OVERNIGHT, A
RECIPE FOR WIDESPREAD FROST APPEARS TO BE IN STORE, WITH MOST
LOCATIONS FORECAST TO DROP INTO THE LOWER TO MID-30S. AS A
RESULT, A FROST ADVISORY GOES INTO EFFECT AT MIDNIGHT TONIGHT
AND LINGERS THROUGH 9 AM FRIDAY MORNING.
A WEAK DISTURBANCE IN NORTHERLY FLOW IS THEN EXPECTED TO CLIP
THE LOCAL AREA FRIDAY AFTERNOON, SPARKING ANOTHER ROUND OF LIGHT
SHOWERS (AND POSSIBLY A VERY WEAK THUNDERSTORM) FOCUSED ACROSS
OUR KANSAS COUNTIES FRIDAY AFTERNOON. AS SKIES BEHIND THIS
DISTURBANCE CLEAR FRIDAY NIGHT, FROST IS AGAIN EXPECTED TO BE AN
ISSUE, ALBEIT EVEN COLDER TEMPS MAY EVENTUALLY JUSTIFY A FREEZE
WARNING IN SPOTS.
AFTER A COLD START TO THE WEEKEND SATURDAY MORNING, HEIGHTS
ALOFT WILL BEGIN TO CLIMB AS HIGH PRESSURE MOVES IN FROM THE
WEST, MAKING FOR A PRETTY SPECTACULAR WEEKEND ACROSS THE LOCAL
AREA WITH GENERALLY LIGHT WESTERLY BREEZES AND ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES IN THE 70S (SATURDAY) TO NEAR 80 (SUNDAY). WHILE
THESE WARMER TEMPERATURES WILL PERSIST INTO THE NEW WEEK, THE
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL EVENTUALLY GIVE WAY TO A DISTURBANCE
FROM THE WEST, WHICH WILL BRING AT LEAST A CHANCE FOR SOME
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA AS EARLY AS
MONDAY EVENING AND CONTINUING THROUGH WEDNESDAY. WHILE THERE ARE
DECENT SIGNALS FOR SOME UNSETTLED WEATHER OVER THIS PERIOD IN
ENSEMBLES, ACTIVITY LOOKS FAIRLY SCATTERED IN NATURE AND QPF
ESTIMATES ARE FAIRLY MODEST.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SATURDAY/
ISSUED AT 1217 AM CDT FRI MAY 1 2026
FOR KGRI/KEAR AIRPORTS:
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TAF PERIOD. WINDS WILL
REMAIN LIGHT AND VARIABLE THROUGH SUNRISE. DURING THE MID-LATE
MORNING HOURS WINDS SHIFT TO THE NORTH AND INCREASE WITH GUSTS
AROUND 20KTS THROUGHOUT THE AFTERNOON HOURS. WINDS BECOME LIGHT
AND VARIABLE AFTER SUNSET. FEW-SCT AT TIMES BKN MID-HIGH LEVEL
CLOUDS ARE POSSIBLE THROUGHOUT THE TAF PERIOD BUT WILL BE MOST
WIDESPREAD DURING THE DAYTIME HOURS.
GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NE...FROST ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM CDT THIS MORNING FOR NEZ039>041-
046>049-060>064-072>077-082>087.
KS...FROST ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM CDT THIS MORNING FOR KSZ005>007-
017>019.
DISCUSSION...ROSSI
AVIATION...DAVIS
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