475
FXUS63 KGID 232334
AFDGID
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE
634 PM CDT FRI OCT 23 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- WINDS THIS AFTERNOON COULD GUST UP TO 35 TO 45 MPH OUT OF THE
SOUTH IN SOME AREAS.
- RAIN AND STORM CHANCES INCREASE TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY. THE
HIGHEST CHANCES WILL BE SUNDAY AND MONDAY (80% TO NEAR 100% IN
SOME AREAS).
- A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH INTO THE AREA ON SATURDAY. TEMPERATURES
WILL BE ON A COOLING TREND THROUGH MONDAY (HIGHS IN THE 50S
AND 60S).
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 201 PM CDT FRI OCT 23 2026
AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE EXTENDS FROM TEXAS TO THE UPPER MIDWEST WITH AN
UPPER TROUGH JUST BEHIND THE UPPER RIDGE. WINDS ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL
AND CENTRAL NEBRASKA AND NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS ARE GUSTING OUT OF THE
SOUTH IN RESPONSE TO A STRENGTHENING SURFACE TROUGH ACROSS WESTERN
NEBRASKA AND EASTERN COLORADO. WIND GUSTS UP TO 35 TO 45 MPH ARE
EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE AREA. TEMPERATURES
THIS AFTERNOON ARE EXPECTED TO WARM UP INTO THE MID 70S TO LOWER
80S. WINDS WILL WEAKEN SOME THIS EVENING (AROUND 15 TO 20 MPH
SUSTAINED) AND MORESO LATE TONIGHT (AROUND 5 TO 10 MPH) BUT WILL
REMAIN OUT OF THE SOUTH. LOW TEMPERATURES TONIGHT WILL BE IN THE LOW
50S TO LOW 60S. LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS MAY DEVELOP ACROSS PORTIONS OF
THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON IN RESPONSE TO A NEAR SHORTWAVE TROUGH, BUT
THE MAIN DEVELOPMENT OF RAIN AND POSSIBLY ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IS
NOT EXPECTED UNTIL LATER THIS EVENING INTO TONIGHT.
A COLD FRONT WILL BEGIN TO PUSH INTO THE AREA ON SATURDAY AS THE
UPPER TROUGH BEGINS TO MOVE OVER THE REGION. RAIN AND STORM CHANCES
WILL INCREASE ON SATURDAY (UP TO AROUND 70% IN SOME AREAS) NEAR AND
BEHIND THE FRONT. HIGH TEMPERATURES ON SATURDAY ARE SOMEWHAT
UNCERTAIN DUE TO STRENGTH AND TIMING OF THE FRONT BUT GENERALLY
EXPECT TEMPERATURES TO RANGE FROM THE LOW 60S TO UPPER 70S. LOW
TEMPERATURES SATURDAY NIGHT ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM THE MID/UPPER
30S TO MID 50S. THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED
UPPER TROUGH WILL STILL BE TO THE WEST AND SOUTHWEST OF THE AREA
(JUST BEGINNING TO MOVE OVER NEBRASKA AND KANSAS) ON SUNDAY WHICH
WILL KEEP UPPER LIFT OVER THE AREA. THIS WILL RESULT IN MORE RAIN
(AND POSSIBLY ISOLATED STORM) CHANCES ON SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT
(CHANCES RANGING FROM AROUND 40% TO NEAR 100%). TEMPERATURE
UNCERTAINTY WILL CONTINUE INTO SUNDAY BUT GENERALLY EXPECT HIGH
TEMPERATURES TO RANGE FROM THE MID 50S TO MID 70S. THE UPPER TROUGH
IS EXPECTED TO BE OVER THE REGION ON MONDAY ALLOWING FOR RAIN AND
STORM CHANCES TO CONTINUE (AROUND 60% TO 90%). HIGH TEMPERATURES ON
MONDAY WILL MAINLY BE IN THE 50S AND 60S. LOW TEMPERATURES MONDAY
NIGHT ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM THE LOW 30S TO LOW 50S.
HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE 50S AND 60S WILL CONTINUE FOR TUESDAY WITH
MOSTLY DRY CONDITIONS. THERE MAY BE A SLIGHT WARM UP FOR WEDNESDAY
(HIGHS IN THE 60S AND 70S) WITH TEMPERATURES COOLING AGAIN FOR
THURSDAY (HIGHS IN THE 50S AND 60S). LOW TEMPERATURES TUESDAY NIGHT
AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT WILL GENERALLY BE IN THE MID 30S TO LOW 50S.
VARIOUS LOW-END (15% TO NEAR 30%) PRECIPITATION CHANCES WILL BE
PRESENT TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT.
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SUNDAY/
ISSUED AT 633 PM CDT FRI OCT 23 2026
FOR KGRI/KEAR AIRPORTS:
MAIN CONCERNS THROUGH THIS TAF PERIOD LIE WITH WINDS, THE
PASSAGE OF A COLD FRONT, AND PRECIPITATION CHANCES. GUSTY
SOUTHERLY WINDS CURRENTLY IN PLACE ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO
THE EVENING/OVERNIGHT HOURS…BUT EVEN WITH THE GUSTY CONDITIONS,
MODELS STILL SHOWING THE POTENTIAL FOR LLWS AT BOTH TERMINAL
SITES, SO KEPT THAT MENTION GOING. ROUGHLY AROUND 10Z, WINDS
TAPER OFF A BIT AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING SURFACE COLD FRONT, AND
THE POTENTIAL FOR AT LEAST SCATTERED PRECIPITATION STARTS
WORKING INTO THE AREA. MODELS VARY WITH JUST HOW MUCH COVERAGE
THERE IS WITH THIS ACTIVITY, SO BECAUSE OF LINGERING UNCERTAINTY
WENT WITH A PROB30 MENTION…WHICH CONTINUES ON THROUGH THE
REMAINDER OF THIS TAF PERIOD. THOSE PROB30 GROUPS ALSO INCLUDE
THE POTENTIAL FOR MVFR CEILINGS. THE COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO
MOVE THROUGH THE TERMINAL AREAS MID-LATE MORNING, WITH NORTHERLY
WINDS BUILDING IN FOR THE REST OF THIS PERIOD. GUSTS NEAR 20-25
MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS.
GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NE...NONE.
KS...NONE.
DISCUSSION...MANGELS
AVIATION...PFANNKUCH
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