550
FXUS63 KGID 142332
AFDGID
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
632 PM CDT TUE JUL 14 2026
..AVIATION UPDATE
KEY MESSAGES
- THE REST OF THE WORKWEEK WILL BE SEASONABLY WARM, AND THIS
WEEKEND WILL BE HOT!
- OVERALL DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO EARLY
NEXT WEEK, BUT A STRAY SHOWER OR WEAK THUNDERSTORM CANNOT BE
ENTIRELY RULED OUT (MAINLY THURSDAY).
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 231 PM CDT TUE JUL 14 2026
RIDGING CONTINUES TO DOMINATE THE UPPER LEVEL PATTERN THROUGH
THIS WEEK. NEAR-NORMAL TEMPERATURES TODAY (UPPER 80S AND LOW
90S) WILL TREND WARMER THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WORKWEEK AND
WILL PEAK THIS WEEKEND. TEMPERATURES FOR THIS WEEKEND HAVE
TRENDED A TOUCH HIGHER. THIS IS ESPECIALLY TRUE FOR SUNDAY WHERE
THE 50TH PERCENTILE NBM IS NEAR 100 DEGREES FOR THE ENTIRE AREA.
HEAT INDEX VALUES DON'T LOOK TO BE "EXTREME," BUT A FEW AREAS
COULD SEE VALUES AS HIGH AS 105.
THE MODEL CONSENSUS FAVORS DRY CONDITIONS THROUGH THE WEEKEND,
ALTHOUGH A FEW MODELS HINT AT ISOLATED CONVECTION AS MOISTURE
AND WEAK LIFT NUDGE IN FROM THE SOUTH. THIS WOULD PRIMARILY BE
THURSDAY, ALTHOUGH IT WOULD NOT BE IMPOSSIBLE TO SEE SOMETHING
ISOLATED ANY DAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND. ALL THAT BEING SAID, THE
STRONG CONSENSUS IS FOR DRY CONDITIONS TO PREVAIL FOR THE
MAJORITY OF THE AREA. GLOBAL ENSEMBLES DEPICT AN 80-100% CHANCE
FOR LESS THAN 0.10" THROUGH MONDAY. NORMAL RAINFALL DURING THIS
PERIOD IS ROUGHLY 0.10" PER DAY.
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z THURSDAY/
ISSUED AT 630 PM CDT TUE JUL 14 2026
FOR KGRI/KEAR AIRPORTS:
HIGH CONFIDENCE VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH SOME
LIGHT HAZE FROM SMOKE POSSIBLE ALONG WITH A FEW DIURNALLY DRIVEN
FAIR WEATHER CU THROUGH 15/01Z AND AGAIN TOMORROW AFTERNOON.
OVERALL, WINDS WILL BE LIGHT AT LESS THAN 12 KTS OUT OF THE
EAST SOUTHEAST THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD.
GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NE...NONE.
KS...NONE.
DISCUSSION...MANGELS
AVIATION...ROSSI
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