437
FXUS63 KGID 300913
AFDGID
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
313 AM CST FRI JAN 30 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- AN AREA OF LIGHT SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH SSE ACROSS THE
AREA DURING THE DAY TODAY, MAINLY DURING THE MORNING-EARLY
AFTERNOON HOURS. SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE
LESS THAN 1 INCH.
- A COLD FRONT SINKING SSW THROUGH THE AREA TODAY WILL USHER IN
NNE WINDS, WITH GUSTS OF 20-25 MPH NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION
THIS AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES FOR MANY SPOTS WON'T REALLY GO
MUCH OF ANYWHERE...HIGHS EXPECTED TO BE IN THE TEENS IN THE
NNE TO MID 20S SW.
- CLEARING SKIES, LIGHT WINDS AND A COLDER AIRMASS WILL ALLOW
FOR LOWS TONIGHT TO DROP BELOW ZERO. WIND CHILL VALUES OF -10
TO -20 WILL BE POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT-EARLY SAT AM.
- ANOTHER DISTURBANCE PUSHING SE THROUGH THE AREA WILL BRING
ADDITIONAL CHANCES FOR LIGHT SNOW DURING THE DAY ON SATURDAY.
AGAIN NOTABLE ACCUMULATIONS ARE NOT EXPECTED, WITH TOTALS LESS
THAN 1 INCH.
- DRY CONDITIONS AND WARMER TEMPS RETURN TO START THE NEW WEEK,
WITH HIGHS MON-TUE FURTHER INTO THE 40S, AND SOME 50S IN THE
WEST.
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 306 AM CST FRI JAN 30 2026
CURRENTLY THROUGH THE DAYTIME HOURS TODAY...
OVERALL, BEEN A QUIET NIGHT ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA...AND
OUTSIDE OF A FEW BREAKS IN CLOUD COVER, SKIES ARE MOSTLY
CLOUDY. LOOKING ALOFT, UPPER AIR AND SATELLITE DATA ARE SHOWING
NORTH-NORTHWESTERLY FLOW IN PLACE ACROSS THE REGION...SET UP
BETWEEN WEAKER RIDGING ALONG THE WEST COAST, AND LOW
PRESSURE/TROUGHING OVER EASTERN CANADA/NORTHEASTERN US. RADAR
CONTINUES TO SHOW A SWATH OF SCATTERED LIGHT SNOW EXTENDING SW
OUT OF WESTERN SD INTO NNWRN PORTIONS OF NE AND INTO PORTIONS OF
OUR FORECAST AREA. A FEW OF OUR AUTOMATED SENSORS HAVE REPORTED
LIGHT SNOW AT TIMES, LIKELY AMOUNTING TO LITTLE IF ANYTHING UP
TO THIS POINT. THIS SNOW IS BEING DRIVEN BY LIFT AT THE BASE OF
TROUGHING EXTENDING EAST ROUGHLY FROM THE NRN PLAINS THROUGH THE
GREAT LAKES INTO THE NERN CONUS. AT THE SURFACE, CURRENTLY HAVE
LIGHT/VARIABLE WINDS AT MOST LOCATIONS...WITH A COLD FRONTAL
BOUNDARY SITTING JUST NNE OF THE OUR FORECAST AREA ACROSS NORTH
CENTRAL/EASTERN NE.
FOR THE REST OF THIS MORNING ON THROUGH THE DAYTIME HOURS
TODAY...THINGS WILL CONTINUE TO BE DRIVEN BY THIS SOUTHWARD
SINKING UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES, KEEPING THE POTENTIAL FOR
LIGHT SNOW AROUND MUCH OF THE DAY. THE BETTER CHANCES WILL
GRADUALLY FOCUS FURTHER SOUTH WITH TIME, BY MID-LATE AFTERNOON
HAVE CHANCES MAINLY ALONG/SOUTH OF A LEXINGTON TO BELOIT
LINE...THEN ENDING BY EARLY EVENING. NOT LOOKING AT ANY NOTABLE
ACCUMULATIONS, EXPECTING LESS THAN 1 INCH TOTAL. THE SFC COLD
FRONT BOUNDARY WILL ALSO BE SINKING SOUTH WITH TIME TODAY, AS
HIGH PRESSURE PUSHES SOUTH OUT OF CENTRAL CANADA. THIS BOUNDARY
WILL USHER IN NNERLY WINDS ACROSS THE AREA, WITH SPEEDS AROUND
15 MPH, BUT GUSTS NEAR 20-25 MPH ARE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON.
COLD AIR ADVECTING IN WITH THIS FRONT WILL KEEP TEMPS FROM GOING
MUCH OF ANYWHERE THROUGH THE DAY...MANY (MOST?) LOCATIONS MAY
BE SEEING THEIR HIGH FOR THE DAYS OCCUR DURING THE MORNING
HOURS. FORECAST HIGHS ARE IN THE MID-UPPER TEENS IN THE NNE TO
MID 20S FURTHER SW.
TONIGHT THROUGH THE WEEKEND...
EXPECTING A LULL IN BETWEEN DISTURBANCES THIS EVENING AND
TONIGHT, SO THE FORECAST REMAINS DRY. MAIN CONCERN OVERNIGHT
WILL BE WITH TEMPERATURES AND WIND CHILL VALUES. LATER TODAY, AS
THAT DISTURBANCE/SFC BOUNDARY AND SNOW CHANCES SINK SOUTH, SO
WILL THE GREATER CLOUD COVERAGE...ALLOWING FOR MOSTLY CLEAR
SKIES FOR MOST LOCATIONS TONIGHT. MODELS ARE SHOWING THE CENTER
OF THE AREA OF SFC HIGH PRESSURE CURRENTLY OVER CENTRAL CANADA
SLIDING SOUTH RIGHT THROUGH CENTRAL/EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE
FORECAST AREA...BRINGING LIGHT/VARIABLE WINDS, TURNING MORE
SOUTHERLY AS WE GET CLOSER TO SUNRISE SATURDAY. THE COMBO OF A
COLDER AIRMASS, LIGHT WINDS, AND LITTLE SKY COVER IS EXPECTED TO
BRING LOW TEMPERATURES DROPPING BELOW ZERO. OVERALL NOT MUCH
CHANGE IN WIND CHILLS TONIGHT, WITH VALUES AROUND -10 TO -20
POSSIBLE. VALUES REMAIN MARGINAL FOR A FORMAL COLD WEATHER
ADVISORY...AND AFTER COLLAB WITH NEIGHBORS DECIDED TO HOLD OFF.
MAIN QUESTION MARKS LIE WITH WINDS...THE LONGER THEY REMAIN
LIGHT/VARIABLE BEFORE INCREASING OUT OF THE SOUTH THE
BETTER...AND ACROSS WESTERN AREAS THAT WILL HAVE THOSE
INCREASING SOUTHERLIES FIRST, MODELS ARE SHOWING INCREASING MID-
UPPER LEVEL CLOUD COVER PUSHING IN FROM THE WEST...WHICH COULD
STEADY-OUT/RAISE TEMPS ENOUGH TO KEEP WIND CHILLS UP. THOUGHT
IT'D BE BEST FOR THE DAY SHIFT TO GET ANOTHER RUN OF MODELS TO
FURTHER FINE TUNE THINGS.
DURING THE DAYTIME HOURS ON SATURDAY, MODELS SHOWING ANOTHER
UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE DISTURBANCE PUSHING SOUTHEAST OUT OF THE
NRN ROCKIES AND ONTO THE PLAINS...BRINGING ADDITIONAL SHOW
CHANCES TO THE FORECAST AREA. NOT MUCH CHANGE WITH MODELS
SHOWING THIS BEING ANOTHER QUICK-HITTING DISTURBANCE, WITH SNOW
TOTALS AGAIN MAINLY UNDER 1 INCH. TEMPS WILL AGAIN BE BELOW
NORMAL, WITH THE FORECAST IN THE UPPER TEENS EAST TO MID 20S
WEST.
SUNDAY BRINGS UPPER LEVEL RIDGING WORKING ITS WAY EAST THROUGH
THE ROCKIES...KEEPING THE FORECAST FOR THE DAY DRY, WITH
WARMER TEMPERATURES IN THE MID 40S EAST TO MID 50S WEST.
MONDAY ON...
NO NOTABLE CHANGES MADE TO THE FORECAST FOR THE NEW WORK
WEEK...AN OVERALL DRY WEEK, WITH ONLY PRECIPITATION CHANCES
CURRENTLY FORECAST COMING TUE NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY. FORECAST
HIGHS ARE IN THE 40S-50S MON-TUE, BRIEF COOLDOWN WED INTO THE
30S-40S, WITH MAINLY 50S FOR THU-FRI.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 235 PM CST THU JAN 29 2026
THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING...
TEMPERATURES ARE CURRENTLY SITTING IN THE 20S TO 30S THIS AFTERNOON.
A FEW LINGERING SNOW SHOWERS ARE DISSIPATING ACROSS
SOUTHEASTERN PORTIONS OF THE AREA. A FEW ADDITIONAL SNOW SHOWERS
MAY DEVELOP/IMPACT AREAS MAINLY ALONG/NORTH OF INTERSTATE 80
THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS. LITTLE IF ANY ACCUMULATION (UP TO A
COUPLE OF TENTHS) IS EXPECTED WITH THESE SHOWERS.
TONIGHT-SATURDAY...
ANOTHER ROUND OF SNOW SHOWERS/BANDS DEVELOPS OVERNIGHT ACROSS
NORTHERN NEBRASKA AS TROUGHING DEEPENS OVER THE CENTRAL U.S. THIS
SNOW WILL ENTER NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE AREA DURING THE EARLY
MORNING HOURS ON FRIDAY. AROUND SUNRISE, AREAS MOST FAVORED TO SEE
SNOW WILL BE ALONG AND NORTHEAST OF THE TRI-CITIES. SNOW WILL
STEADILY SHIFT SOUTHWEST ACROSS THE AREA FRIDAY MORNING-
AFTERNOON AS AN ARCTIC HIGH MOVES INTO THE AREA. ANY REMAINING
SNOW IS FAVORED TO EXIT FAR SOUTHWESTERN PORTIONS OF THE AREA
DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON-EARLY EVENING HOURS. CLOUD COVERAGE
AND INCREASING COLD AIR ADVECTION FRIDAY AFTERNOON WILL CONFINE
HIGHS TO THE TEENS (NORTHEAST) AND 20S (SOUTHWEST).
SKIES CLEAR AND WINDS DECREASE FRIDAY NIGHT-SATURDAY MORNING UNDER
THE HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM. THIS WILL RESULT IN FAVORABLE CONDITIONS
FOR TEMPERATURES TO DROP BELOW ZERO SATURDAY MORNING. LIGHT
WINDS SHOULD KEEP WIND CHILLS IN THE NEGATIVE TEENS, AND JUST
SHY OF "OFFICIAL" ADVISORY CRITERIA. STRONGER WINDS LOOK TO
ARRIVE IN THE MID-LATE MORNING HOURS, JUST PAST THE COLDEST
TEMPERATURES AND AVOIDING MORE FRIGID WIND CHILLS. SOUTHERLY
FLOW STRENGTHENS ON SATURDAY AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING CLIPPER
SYSTEM, ALLOWING HIGHS TO REACH THE 20S DESPITE THE COLD START.
AS THE CLIPPER SYSTEM MOVES INTO THE AREA SATURDAY AFTERNOON, IT
WILL BRING ANOTHER CHANCE FOR LIGHT SNOW TO THE AREA. THIS BAND OF
SNOW WILL MOVES WEST TO EAST ACROSS THE AREA. THERE REMAINS SOME
UNCERTAINTY IN REGARDS TO HOW WIDESPREAD AND HOW FAR SOUTH THIS BAND
OF SNOW DEVELOPS. THE 12Z ECMWF SHOWS A MORE ROBUST BAND THAT
IMPACTS ALL OF OUR NEBRASKA COUNTIES AND PORTIONS OF NORTH-CENTRAL
KANSAS, WHEREAS THE NAM AND GFS KEEP SNOW ACROSS NORTHERN PORTIONS
OF THE AREA OR EVEN NORTH OF THE AREA ENTIRELY. EITHER WAY, ANY SNOW
THAT FALLS IN THIS BAND WILL BE LIGHT, WITH ACCUMULATIONS GENERALLY
UNDER AN INCH. ANY LINGERING SNOW WOULD EXIT EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE
AREA BY THE LATE EVENING HOURS.
SUNDAY ONWARDS...
RIDGING BUILDS OVER THE ROCKIES AND PLAINS ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY
ALLOWING TEMPERATURES TO CLIMB ABOVE ABOVE NORMAL, IN THE 40S AND
50S. A PASSING DISTURBANCE BRINGS A LOW (15-20%) CHANCE FOR PRECIP
ON TUESDAY, THOUGH THE BEST CHANCES LOOK TO BE EAST OF THE AREA AT
THIS TIME. OTHERWISE NORTHWESTERLY FLOW-RIDGING IS EXPECTED THROUGH
THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD/END OF NEXT WEEK. HIGHS WILL
GENERALLY BE IN THE 40S AND 50S, WITH LOWS IN THE 10S/20S.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SATURDAY/
ISSUED AT 1127 PM CST THU JAN 29 2026
FOR KGRI/KEAR AIRPORTS:
MVFR AND POSSIBLY IFR CEILINGS ARE EXPECTED TO IMPACT THE AREA
BY AROUND 09Z AND CONTINUE UNTIL AROUND 15Z TO 19Z. LIGHT SNOW
SHOWERS MAY IMPACT THE AREA OVERNIGHT BUT THE HIGHEST CHANCE OF
SNOW WILL BE FROM 13Z TO 19Z. THE SNOW AND LOW CEILINGS ARE
EXPECTED TO BE OUT OF THE AREA BY 21Z.
GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NE...NONE.
KS...NONE.
UPDATE...ADP
DISCUSSION...DAVIS
AVIATION...SCHULDT
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