456
FXUS63 KGID 022332
AFDGID
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
632 PM CDT FRI OCT 2 2026
..AVIATION UPDATE
KEY MESSAGES
- MINOR FLOODING LINGERS ALONG PARTS OF THE BIG BLUE, LITTLE
BLUE, AND SOLOMON RIVERS. ALL OF THESE RIVERS HAVE CRESTED AND
WILL CONTINUE TO FALL THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
- HIGH CONFIDENCE IN DRY CONDITIONS THROUGH MOST OF, IF NOT ALL,
OF NEXT WEEK.
- SEASONABLY PLEASANT TEMPERATURES CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 155 PM CDT FRI OCT 2 2026
AFTER A VERY RAINY FEW DAYS ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA, A MUCH
DRIER PATTERN IS NOW IN-PLACE.A FEW SHORTWAVES WILL MOVE
THROUGH THE REGION, BUT GLOBAL ENSEMBLES HAVE FEW, IF ANY,
MEMBERS PRODUCING PRECIPITATION THROUGH THE END OF NEXT WEEK.
THIS SHOULD BE GOOD NEWS FOR AREAS WITH LINGERING FLOODING AND
FOR HARVEST OPERATIONS.
DRIER AIR ALLOWED TEMPERATURES TO DIP INTO THE 40S THIS
MORNING, BUT TEMPERATURES QUICKLY RETURNED TO MID TO UPPER 60S
IN THE AFTERNOON UNDER CLEAR SKIES. TONIGHT WILL BE A TOUCH
WARMER THAN LAST NIGHT AS SOUTHERLY WINDS INCREASE AHEAD OF AN
APPROACHING SHORTWAVE. SATURDAY MORNING LOW TEMPERATURES SHOULD
RANGE FROM THE MID 40S TO LOW 50S.
CONTINUED SOUTH TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS AND CLEAR SKIES ON
SATURDAY WILL PROMOTE ANOTHER VERY EFFECTIVE WARMUP....LIKELY
INTO THE 70S FOR MOST OF THE AREA. THE NBM IS ON THE COOL SIDE
OF GUIDANCE, LIKELY DUE TO WARM- SEASON BIAS CORRECTION CARRYING
OVER INTO THE THE MORE FALL-LIKE REGIME WE ARE CURRENTLY IN.
A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING, RESULTING IN A
COOLER (BUT NOT OVERLY COLD) DAY ON SUNDAY. MUCH LIKE TODAY
(FRIDAY), HIGH TEMPERATURES SHOULD REACH THE 60S TO LOW 70S,
ACCOMPANIED BY LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS.
TEMPERATURES THEN GRADUALLY WARM AS WE HEAD INTO NEXT WEEK.
HIGHS IN THE 70S AND LOWS IN THE 50S WILL BE COMMON, WHICH IS
SLIGHTLY ABOVE OUR CLIMATOLOGICAL NORMALS FOR EARLY OCTOBER.
RAIN CHANCES REMAIN MINIMAL (BELOW 10%), EVEN INTO NEXT WEEKEND
(OCTOBER 10-11TH).
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SUNDAY/
ISSUED AT 622 PM CDT FRI OCT 2 2026
FOR KGRI/KEAR AIRPORTS:
HIGH CONFIDENCE VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH MOSTLY
CLEAR SKIES AND GOOD VSBYS ANTICIPATED. AS A RESULT, WINDS WILL
BE THE MAIN FOCUS WITH STEADY SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS LESS THAN 12
KTS THIS EVENING BECOMING MORE SOUTHERLY OVERNIGHT. WHILE THERE
ARE SOME HINTS AS SOME WEAK LLWS, THIS WILL LIKELY REMAIN LESS
THAN 25 KTS AND DID NOT INCLUDE IN THE 00Z TAFS.
AS THE SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT THEN TIGHTENS ON SATURDAY IN
RESPONSE TO A DISTURBANCE PASSING WELL NORTHEAST OF THE LOCAL
AREA, EXPECT INCREASING SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS ACROSS THE LOCAL
AREA DURING THE DAYTIME HOURS, WITH A FEW GUSTS TO AROUND 25 KTS
POSSIBLE DURING THE MID TO LATE AFTERNOON HOURS.
GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NE...NONE.
KS...NONE.
DISCUSSION...MANGELS
AVIATION...ROSSI
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