732
FXUS63 KGID 240821
AFDGID
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
321 AM CDT SAT OCT 24 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- A COLD FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE AREA TODAY, TURNING WINDS TO THE
NORTH AND RESULTING A WIDE RANGE OF TEMPERATURES FROM NORTH TO
SOUTH.
- SCATTERED SHOWERS WITH A FEW EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS MOVE
THROUGH THE AREA TODAY AND SUNDAY, BUT MANY LOCATIONS WILL
REMAIN DRY.
- MORE WIDESPREAD RAIN OVERSPREADS THE AREA SUNDAY NIGHT INTO
MONDAY. HIGHEST RAIN TOTALS (1.00"+) IS FAVORED IN AREAS WEST
OF HIGHWAY 281.
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 321 AM CDT SAT OCT 24 2026
AS OF 3AM, RADAR DEPICTS A CLUSTER OF SCATTERED SHOWERS WITH A
FEW WEAK THUNDERSTORMS SLIDING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD INTO SOUTH-
CENTRAL NEBRASKA. SOME AREAS NEAR AND WEST OF HIGHWAY 281 COULD
PICK A TENTH OR TWO OF RAIN AS THEY CONTINUE NORTHWARD THIS
MORNING, BUT MANY AREAS WILL REMAIN DRY.
A COLD FRONT THAT IS CURRENTLY NUDGING INTO NORTH-CENTRAL
NEBRASKA WILL CONTINUE INTO THE AREA TODAY. THIS FRONT IS
ANTICIPATED TO REACH I-80 AROUND NOON AND THEN CONTINUE
SOUTHWARD INTO NORTHERN KANSAS BEFORE STALLING OUT THIS EVENING
EVENING. AS SUCH, NORTHERN AREAS MAY HAVE ALREADY SEEN THEIR
HIGH TEMPERATURES FOR TODAY (LOW TO MID 60S), WHILE PORTIONS OF
KANSAS COULD ONCE AGAIN REACH THE LOW 80S. A FEW SHOWERS REMAIN
POSSIBLE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING, BUT CAMS SHOW THIS
REMAINING FAIRLY ISOLATED AND LIGHT.
ON SUNDAY, THE STALLED FRONT WILL ONCE AGAIN RESULT IN A WIDE
RANGE OF TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE AREA...RANGING FROM THE LOW 50S
IN THE NORTH TO THE MID 70S IN THE SOUTHEAST. SPOTTY SHOWERS
REMAIN POSSIBLE IN WESTERN AREAS, BUT MOST OF THE DAYTIME LOOKS
TO REMAIN DRY. MORE WIDESPREAD RAIN CHANCES ARRIVE AS THE UPPER
LEVEL SHORTWAVE MOVES THROUGH THE AREA SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH
MONDAY EVENING.
THE HIGHEST RAINFALL TOTALS CONTINUE TO FAVOR THE WESTERN HALF
OF THE AREAS. THE 00Z GLOBAL ENSEMBLES HAVE NUDGED THE MAXIMA
EVEN A BIT FURTHER WEST. IN TOTAL, SOME AREAS ALONG HIGHWAY 81
MAY STRUGGLE TO SEE 0.10", WHILE AREAS IN NEBRASKA WEST OF
HIGHWAY 183 ARE MOST FAVORED TO SEE 1.00" OR MORE (50-70%
CHANCE).
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 201 PM CDT FRI OCT 23 2026
AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE EXTENDS FROM TEXAS TO THE UPPER MIDWEST WITH AN
UPPER TROUGH JUST BEHIND THE UPPER RIDGE. WINDS ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL
AND CENTRAL NEBRASKA AND NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS ARE GUSTING OUT OF THE
SOUTH IN RESPONSE TO A STRENGTHENING SURFACE TROUGH ACROSS WESTERN
NEBRASKA AND EASTERN COLORADO. WIND GUSTS UP TO 35 TO 45 MPH ARE
EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE AREA. TEMPERATURES
THIS AFTERNOON ARE EXPECTED TO WARM UP INTO THE MID 70S TO LOWER
80S. WINDS WILL WEAKEN SOME THIS EVENING (AROUND 15 TO 20 MPH
SUSTAINED) AND MORESO LATE TONIGHT (AROUND 5 TO 10 MPH) BUT WILL
REMAIN OUT OF THE SOUTH. LOW TEMPERATURES TONIGHT WILL BE IN THE LOW
50S TO LOW 60S. LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS MAY DEVELOP ACROSS PORTIONS OF
THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON IN RESPONSE TO A NEAR SHORTWAVE TROUGH, BUT
THE MAIN DEVELOPMENT OF RAIN AND POSSIBLY ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IS
NOT EXPECTED UNTIL LATER THIS EVENING INTO TONIGHT.
A COLD FRONT WILL BEGIN TO PUSH INTO THE AREA ON SATURDAY AS THE
UPPER TROUGH BEGINS TO MOVE OVER THE REGION. RAIN AND STORM CHANCES
WILL INCREASE ON SATURDAY (UP TO AROUND 70% IN SOME AREAS) NEAR AND
BEHIND THE FRONT. HIGH TEMPERATURES ON SATURDAY ARE SOMEWHAT
UNCERTAIN DUE TO STRENGTH AND TIMING OF THE FRONT BUT GENERALLY
EXPECT TEMPERATURES TO RANGE FROM THE LOW 60S TO UPPER 70S. LOW
TEMPERATURES SATURDAY NIGHT ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM THE MID/UPPER
30S TO MID 50S. THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED
UPPER TROUGH WILL STILL BE TO THE WEST AND SOUTHWEST OF THE AREA
(JUST BEGINNING TO MOVE OVER NEBRASKA AND KANSAS) ON SUNDAY WHICH
WILL KEEP UPPER LIFT OVER THE AREA. THIS WILL RESULT IN MORE RAIN
(AND POSSIBLY ISOLATED STORM) CHANCES ON SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT
(CHANCES RANGING FROM AROUND 40% TO NEAR 100%). TEMPERATURE
UNCERTAINTY WILL CONTINUE INTO SUNDAY BUT GENERALLY EXPECT HIGH
TEMPERATURES TO RANGE FROM THE MID 50S TO MID 70S. THE UPPER TROUGH
IS EXPECTED TO BE OVER THE REGION ON MONDAY ALLOWING FOR RAIN AND
STORM CHANCES TO CONTINUE (AROUND 60% TO 90%). HIGH TEMPERATURES ON
MONDAY WILL MAINLY BE IN THE 50S AND 60S. LOW TEMPERATURES MONDAY
NIGHT ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM THE LOW 30S TO LOW 50S.
HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE 50S AND 60S WILL CONTINUE FOR TUESDAY WITH
MOSTLY DRY CONDITIONS. THERE MAY BE A SLIGHT WARM UP FOR WEDNESDAY
(HIGHS IN THE 60S AND 70S) WITH TEMPERATURES COOLING AGAIN FOR
THURSDAY (HIGHS IN THE 50S AND 60S). LOW TEMPERATURES TUESDAY NIGHT
AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT WILL GENERALLY BE IN THE MID 30S TO LOW 50S.
VARIOUS LOW-END (15% TO NEAR 30%) PRECIPITATION CHANCES WILL BE
PRESENT TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SUNDAY/
ISSUED AT 1226 AM CDT SAT OCT 24 2026
FOR KGRI/KEAR AIRPORTS:
LLWS IS EXPECTED THROUGH SUNRISE. A COLD FRONT WILL SHIFT
SURFACE WINDS TO THE NORTH AT AROUND 17Z.
MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD.
CONFIDENCE IN EXACT TIMING IS NOT HIGH, BUT THE FIRST ROUND IS
MOST FAVORED IN THE 10-15Z TIMEFRAME. THIS MAY BE FOLLOWED BY A
DRY BREAK FOR A GOOD CHUNK OF THE DAYTIME HOURS, FOLLOWED BY
ANOTHER ROUND IN THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
CEILINGS ARE EXPECTED TO FLIRT BETWEEN MVFR AND VFR FROM 17Z
THROUGH THE END OF THE PERIOD. EXPECT EAR TO HAVE SLIGHTLY LOWER
CEILINGS THAN AT GRI.
GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NE...NONE.
KS...NONE.
UPDATE...MANGELS
DISCUSSION...SCHULDT
AVIATION...MANGELS
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