625
FXUS63 KGID 262347
AFDGID
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
647 PM CDT MON OCT 26 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- SCATTERED SHOWER ACTIVITY WILL CONTINUE TO WIND DOWN ACROSS
THE LOCAL AREA THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS. LITTLE ADDITIONAL
RAINFALL ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED.
- LIGHT FOG IS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA THE NEXT TWO
MORNINGS WITH A LOW CHANCE (10-20%) FOR SPOTTY SHOWERS AGAIN
TUESDAY NIGHT. OTHERWISE, DRY CONDITIONS ARE FAVORED UNTIL
AT LEAST THURSDAY NIGHT.
- MILD FALL TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TUESDAY AND THROUGH THE
EXTENDED PERIODS WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES MOSTLY IN THE 60S/70S.
THERE REMAINS A SMALL POTENTIAL FOR RAIN ON HALLOWEEN NIGHT
(10-20%), WITH THE BETTER CHANCES FOR RAIN COMING
FRIDAY/FRIDAY NIGHT (50-70%) AND AGAIN SUNDAY NIGHT/MONDAY
(40-60%).
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 248 PM CDT MON OCT 26 2026
THE UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVING OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST TROUGH
CONTINUED TO LIFT NORTHEAST AS IT EXITS THIS REGION THIS
AFTERNOON. A COLD FRONT ACROSS OUR WESTERN FRINGES CAN BE SEEN
IN OBSERVATIONS MOVING INTO DAWSON COUNTY, WITH ONE FINAL PUSH
OF LIGHT SHOWERS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE AREA AS IT TRACKS EASTWARD
THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS. AHEAD OF THIS FRONT, CANNOT
COMPLETELY RULE OUT AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM, BUT GIVEN THE
LACK OF INSTABILITY AND THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT DURING THE
DAYTIME HOURS THUS FAR, THE PROBABILITY OF THIS REMAINS VERY
LOW. AS THIS SYSTEM EXITS THE REGION LATE TONIGHT, EXPECT LIGHT
WINDS IN ITS WAKE WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME LIGHT FOG
DEVELOPMENT ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA TO START THE DAY TUESDAY.
GIVEN THE LIGHT WESTERLY COMPONENT OF THE WIND, DO NOT THINK FOG
DEVELOPMENT ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA WILL BE WIDESPREAD OR DENSE,
WITH THE BETTER PROBABILITIES EXISTING ACROSS WESTERN NEBRASKA.
FOR TUESDAY, EXPECT SIGNIFICANT CLOUD COVER TO REMAIN IN PLACE
ACROSS THE REGION, BUT FOR A DRY DAY WITH A RETURN TO MORE MILD
TEMPERATURES. AS TEMPERATURES RISE, SOME OF THE MESOSCALE
MODELS INDICATE SOME LIGHT SHOWER POTENTIAL LATE TUESDAY
AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING, WITH SPOTTY COVERAGE AND MINIMAL QPF.
GIVEN THIS, MAINTAINED A LOW END CHANCE FOR SHOWERS OVER THIS
PERIOD, ALTHOUGH MOST OF THE AREA SHOULD REMAIN DRY.
MORE WIDESPREAD SUNSHINE WILL LIKELY RETURN TO THE LOCAL AREA ON
WEDNESDAY, AFTER ANOTHER CHANCE FOR SOME MORNING FOG ACROSS THE
LOCAL AREA. GIVEN THE MORE FAVORABLE LIGHT SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW
ACROSS THE AREA AND HIGH SREF PROBS WEDNESDAY MORNING, COULD SEE
MORE WIDESPREAD FOG TO START THE DAY. THAT SAID, AFTER ANY
MORNING FOG CLEARS, WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON LOOKS LIKE A
SPECTACULAR FALL AFTERNOON WITH AMPLE SUNSHINE, LIGHT WINDS, AND
HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE LOW TO MID 70S ACROSS THE BOARD.
TWO ADDITIONAL DISTINCT CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION RETURN THROUGH
THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD WITH THE FIRST COMING
THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT WITH A DISTURBANCE MOVING
OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST, AND A SECOND CHANCE LATE IN THE
WEEKEND/EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH A DISTURBANCE MOVING OUT OF THE
PACIFIC NORTHWEST. THIS LEAVES HALLOWEEN INBETWEEN SYSTEMS, AND
WHILE THERE IS A SMALL CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION HALLOWEEN
NIGHT - DUE IN PART TO THE BLENDING OF DIFFERENT COMPUTER
MODELS, MOST (IF NOT ALL) OF THE LOCAL AREA SHOULD BE DRY WITH
MILD TEMPERATURES IN THE 60S EXPECTED DURING THE EVENING HOURS.
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z WEDNESDAY/
ISSUED AT 637 PM CDT MON OCT 26 2026
FOR KGRI/KEAR AIRPORTS:
MAIN STORY FOR THIS TAF PERIOD REMAINS WITH THE SUB-VFR
CONDITIONS EXPECTED AT BOTH TERMINAL SITES. MODELS AND GUIDANCE
SHOWING LOW-LEVEL STRATUS STICKING AROUND THE REGION, AND HAVE
SUB-1K FT CEILINGS LINGERING THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.
APPROACHING SUNRISE, WILL BE CONCERNED ABOUT CEILINGS CLOSER TO
100-200FT, AND AT LEAST PATCHY FOG DROPPING VISIBILITIES. MID-
LATE MORNING TUESDAY, HAVE MVFR CEILINGS RETURNING, WITH
CEILINGS AROUND 1500FT. WINDS THIS EVENING LOOK TO REMAIN
NORTHWESTERLY BEHIND THE WEAK SFC BOUNDARY PASSING
THROUGH...WITH MORE LIGHT/VARIABLE WINDS IN THE PRE-DAWN HOURS
THROUGH MID-MORNING, THEN TURNING MORE SOUTHERLY FOR THE
REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD.
GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NE...NONE.
KS...NONE.
DISCUSSION...ROSSI
AVIATION...ADP
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