175
FXUS63 KGID 262333
AFDGID
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
633 PM CDT WED AUG 26 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- INCREASED CHANCES (AROUND 15% TO 35%) OF SHOWERS AND STORMS
LATE TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. HIGHEST CHANCES WILL BE
WEST OF HIGHWAY 281.
- THERE IS A LOW CHANCE (20%) THAT SOME OF THESE STORMS (LATE
TONIGHT INTO TOMORROW MORNING) COULD BECOME SEVERE WITH HAIL
UP TO QUARTER SIZE AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH.
- WARMER AND DRIER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THIS WEEKEND.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 211 PM CDT WED AUG 26 2026
AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS CENTERED OVER THE GREAT LAKES REGION
AND EXTENDS OVER THE MIDWEST. AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS CENTERED
OVER ARIZONA AND NEW MEXICO AND EXTENDS NORTHWARD TO MONTANA.
NEBRASKA AND KANSAS ARE IN BETWEEN THESE 2 FEATURES. A SURFACE
HIGH OVER THE NORTHERN PLAINS EXTENDS SOUTHWARD TO NEBRASKA AND
KANSAS. WINDS ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL AND CENTRAL NEBRASKA AND
NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS ARE MOSTLY OUT OF THE EAST TO NORTH AT
AROUND 5 TO 10 MPH. HIGH TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL MAINLY BE IN
THE 80S WITH MOSTLY SUNNY TO PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES THIS AFTERNOON.
AN UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE WILL MOVE OVER THE AREA TONIGHT WHICH
WILL BRING INCREASED CHANCES (AROUND 30% TO 40%) OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY FOR AREAS WEST OF THE TRI-CITIES. ALTHOUGH,
AREAS AS FAR WEST AS HIGHWAY 281 WILL HAVE A 15% TO 25% CHANCE
OF SHOWERS AND STORMS LATE TONIGHT. WHILE SEVERE WEATHER IS
GENERALLY NOT EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS, IT CANNOT BE RULED OUT
EITHER (AROUND A 20% CHANCE). HAIL UP TO QUARTER SIZE AND WIND
GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH WILL BE THE MAIN THREATS WITH THESE
STORMS.LOW TEMPERATURES TONIGHT WILL MAINLY BE IN THE LOW TO MID
60S.
THE SHOWERS AND STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE
MORNING HOURS (15% TO AROUND 35% CHANCE) ON THURSDAY AND INTO
THE AFTERNOON. MOST LOCATIONS ALONG AND EAST OF HIGHWAY 81 ARE
EXPECTED TO REMAIN DRY. HIGH TEMPERATURES ON THURSDAY WILL BE IN
THE 80S. THERE ARE SOME INDICATIONS OF SOME SHOWERS AND STORMS
DEVELOPING ACROSS MAINLY WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA
(SIMILAR AREAS AS THE PREVIOUS NIGHT) LATE THURSDAY NIGHT.
THE PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED UPPER RIDGE TO THE WEST WILL SHIFT
EASTWARD BY FRIDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THE RIDGE WILL HAVE MORE
IMPACT OVER SOUTH CENTRAL AND CENTRAL NEBRASKA AND NORTH CENTRAL
KANSAS RESULTING IN DRIER AND WARMER CONDITIONS. THE WARMEST 2
DAYS APPEAR TO BE SATURDAY AND SUNDAY WITH TEMPERATURES POSSIBLY
RANGING FROM THE MID 80S TO AROUND 100 DEGREES. TEMPERATURES
COOL SLIGHTLY DURING THE EARLY TO MIDDLE PART OF NEXT WEEK WITH
THE UPPER RIDGE BECOMING MORE CENTERED OVER THE SOUTHEAST PART
OF THE COUNTRY. VARIOUS UPPER DISTURBANCES MAY BRING MORE RAIN
AND STORMS TO PORTIONS OF THE AREA EARLY TO MID NEXT WEEK.
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z FRIDAY/
ISSUED AT 627 PM CDT WED AUG 26 2026
FOR KGRI/KEAR AIRPORTS:
EXPECTING AN OVERALL QUIET TAF PERIOD. CURRENTLY HAVE VFR
CONDITIONS FORECAST, WITH CLOUD COVER EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN THE
MID-UPPER LEVELS. KEPT THE FORECAST FOR KGRI DRY, DID KEEP A
PROB30 GROUP GOING AT KEAR EARLY-MID MORNING ON THURSDAY...WITH
SOME MODELS STILL SHOWING THE POTENTIAL FOR AN AXIS OF SCATTERED
ACTIVITY DEVELOP ROUGHLY NEAR/WEST OF HWY 183. WINDS THIS
EVENING/OVERNIGHT EXPECTED TO BE LIGHT/VARIABLE...TURNING MORE
SSERLY DURING THE DAYTIME HOURS, STILL ON THE LIGHTER SIDE OF
THINGS AROUND 10-15 MPH.
GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NE...NONE.
KS...NONE.
DISCUSSION...SCHULDT
AVIATION...ADP
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