733
FXUS63 KGID 270702
AFDGID
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
202 AM CDT TUE OCT 27 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- TODAY WILL REMAIN CLOUDY AND RELATIVELY COOL.
- A FEW RAIN SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY
MORNING, ALONG WITH AREAS OF FOG (POSSIBLY DENSE).
- ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES RETURN FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK.
- RAIN SHOWERS AND A FEW WEAK T-STORMS ARE POSSIBLE THURSDAY
NIGHT (25% CHANCE) AND BECOME LIKELY ON FRIDAY (70% CHANCE).
- HALLOWEEN (SATURDAY) EVENING CONTINUES TO TREND DRIER.
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 202 AM CDT TUE OCT 27 2026
AS OF 2AM, A FEW LIGHT SHOWERS PERSIST OVER SOUTHEAST PARTS OF
THE AREA. THESE SHOULD CONTINUE TO WANE AND DIMINISH COMPLETELY
BY AROUND OR SHORTLY AFTER SUNRISE. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL TOTALS
ARE UNLIKELY TO BE ANYTHING MORE THAN A HUNDREDTH OR TWO.
NEAR TERM MODELS HINT THAT SOME FOG MAY DEVELOP ON THE WESTERN
EDGE OF THE WIDESPREAD STRATUS AROUND SUNRISE. MOST OF OUR AREA
SHOULD REMAIN CLOUDY ENOUGH TO PREVENT THIS, BUT SOME PATCH FOG
IS POSSIBLE IN WESTERN/NORTHERN AREAS (DAWSON/VALLEY/GREELEY
COUNTIES MAINLY).
SKIES REMAIN MOSTLY CLOUDY TODAY, RESULTING IN A SEASONABLY COOL
DAY. HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE 50S AND LOW 60S ARE ONLY SLIGHTLY
BELOW NORMAL FOR LATE OCTOBER.
TONIGHT, THERE WILL BE ANOTHER OPPORTUNITY FOR FOG AS LIGHT
SOUTH-SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS RETURN. MODELS FAVOR THE HIGHEST
POTENTIAL FOR DENSE FOG TO BE OVER NORTHWESTERN PARTS OF THE
AREA (NEAR AND NORTHWEST OF A LINE FROM CAMBRIDGE TO KEARNEY TO
GREELEY, NE). ADDITIONALLY, A FEW WARM-AIR ADVECTION SHOWERS ARE
POSSIBLE. THESE WILL BE SPOTTY AND VERY LIGHT (RAIN AMOUNTS
0.00 TO 0.05").
ONCE WE OVERCOME ANY LINGERING FOG AND CLOUD COVER, TEMPERATURES
SHOULD REBOUND NICELY ON WEDNESDAY, POTENTIALLY REACHING THE 70S
IN MUCH OF NEBRASKA AND EVEN PUSHING 80 IN PORTIONS OF KANSAS.
SEASONABLE WARMTH CONTINUES ON THURSDAY AS WELL.
AFTER A COUPLE DRY DAYS, A FEW RAIN SHOWERS (OR WEAK T-STORMS)
COULD ARRIVE AS EARLY AS THURSDAY NIGHT. SHOWERS AND T-STORMS
THEN BECOME LIKELY ON FRIDAY AS AN UPPER SHORTWAVE MOVES
THROUGH THE CENTRAL PLAINS. SOME ACTIVITY COULD LINGER INTO
SATURDAY MORNING, BUT ENSEMBLES CONTINUE TO TREND DRIER FOR THE
REST OF THE DAY.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 248 PM CDT MON OCT 26 2026
THE UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVING OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST TROUGH
CONTINUED TO LIFT NORTHEAST AS IT EXITS THIS REGION THIS
AFTERNOON. A COLD FRONT ACROSS OUR WESTERN FRINGES CAN BE SEEN
IN OBSERVATIONS MOVING INTO DAWSON COUNTY, WITH ONE FINAL PUSH
OF LIGHT SHOWERS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE AREA AS IT TRACKS EASTWARD
THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS. AHEAD OF THIS FRONT, CANNOT
COMPLETELY RULE OUT AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM, BUT GIVEN THE
LACK OF INSTABILITY AND THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT DURING THE
DAYTIME HOURS THUS FAR, THE PROBABILITY OF THIS REMAINS VERY
LOW. AS THIS SYSTEM EXITS THE REGION LATE TONIGHT, EXPECT LIGHT
WINDS IN ITS WAKE WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME LIGHT FOG
DEVELOPMENT ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA TO START THE DAY TUESDAY.
GIVEN THE LIGHT WESTERLY COMPONENT OF THE WIND, DO NOT THINK FOG
DEVELOPMENT ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA WILL BE WIDESPREAD OR DENSE,
WITH THE BETTER PROBABILITIES EXISTING ACROSS WESTERN NEBRASKA.
FOR TUESDAY, EXPECT SIGNIFICANT CLOUD COVER TO REMAIN IN PLACE
ACROSS THE REGION, BUT FOR A DRY DAY WITH A RETURN TO MORE MILD
TEMPERATURES. AS TEMPERATURES RISE, SOME OF THE MESOSCALE
MODELS INDICATE SOME LIGHT SHOWER POTENTIAL LATE TUESDAY
AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING, WITH SPOTTY COVERAGE AND MINIMAL QPF.
GIVEN THIS, MAINTAINED A LOW END CHANCE FOR SHOWERS OVER THIS
PERIOD, ALTHOUGH MOST OF THE AREA SHOULD REMAIN DRY.
MORE WIDESPREAD SUNSHINE WILL LIKELY RETURN TO THE LOCAL AREA ON
WEDNESDAY, AFTER ANOTHER CHANCE FOR SOME MORNING FOG ACROSS THE
LOCAL AREA. GIVEN THE MORE FAVORABLE LIGHT SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW
ACROSS THE AREA AND HIGH SREF PROBS WEDNESDAY MORNING, COULD SEE
MORE WIDESPREAD FOG TO START THE DAY. THAT SAID, AFTER ANY
MORNING FOG CLEARS, WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON LOOKS LIKE A
SPECTACULAR FALL AFTERNOON WITH AMPLE SUNSHINE, LIGHT WINDS, AND
HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE LOW TO MID 70S ACROSS THE BOARD.
TWO ADDITIONAL DISTINCT CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION RETURN THROUGH
THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD WITH THE FIRST COMING
THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT WITH A DISTURBANCE MOVING
OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST, AND A SECOND CHANCE LATE IN THE
WEEKEND/EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH A DISTURBANCE MOVING OUT OF THE
PACIFIC NORTHWEST. THIS LEAVES HALLOWEEN INBETWEEN SYSTEMS, AND
WHILE THERE IS A SMALL CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION HALLOWEEN
NIGHT - DUE IN PART TO THE BLENDING OF DIFFERENT COMPUTER
MODELS, MOST (IF NOT ALL) OF THE LOCAL AREA SHOULD BE DRY WITH
MILD TEMPERATURES IN THE 60S EXPECTED DURING THE EVENING HOURS.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z WEDNESDAY/
ISSUED AT 1202 AM CDT TUE OCT 27 2026
FOR KGRI/KEAR AIRPORTS:
MAIN CONCERNS FOR THIS TAF PERIOD REMAIN WITH LOW-LEVEL CLOUD
COVER AND POTENTIAL FOR FOG. AT THE START OF THE PERIOD, BOTH
TERMINALS LOOK TO HOVER AROUND/EITHER SIDE OF THE MVFR/IFR BREAK
FOR CEILINGS (1000FT)...WITH SOME PATCHY LIGHT FOG POSSIBLE. AS
WE GET CLOSER TO SUNRISE, MAINLY AROUND/AFTER 10Z, POTENTIAL FOR
LIFR CONDITIONS INCREASE, WITH CEILINGS BELOW 500FT POSSIBLE,
AND VISIBILITIES AT LEAST IN THE AREA AROUND/LESS THAN 1SM ALSO
POSSIBLE. CONFIDENCE IN JUST HOW LOW ESPECIALLY VISIBILITIES GET
IS NOT HIGH. WINDS START OUT NORTHWESTERLY, BECOMING MORE
LIGHT/VARIABLE NEAR/AFTER 10Z. MODELS SUGGEST SOME IMPROVEMENT
MID-MORNING ON...CONFIDENCE IN TIMING OF THAT IS NOT HIGH, NOR
IS JUST HOW MUCH THINGS WILL INCREASE...KEPT THINGS ON THE
PESSIMISTIC SIDE, WITH MVFR LINGERING THROUGH THE DAYTIME HOURS.
WINDS MID-MORNING ON TURN MORE SOUTHERLY, REMAINING LIGHTER,
GENERALLY AROUND 10-15 MPH.
GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NE...NONE.
KS...NONE.
UPDATE...MANGELS
DISCUSSION...ROSSI
AVIATION...ADP
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