395
FXUS63 KGID 302348
AFDGID
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
548 PM CST TUE DEC 30 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- MAINLY DRY AND MILD/WARM FOR THE NEXT WEEK, OR SO.
- A "BACKDOOR" COLD FRONT WILL BRING A BRIEF COOLDOWN TOWARD
AVERAGE FOR THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.
- ENSEMBLES ARE SHOWING SOME INDICATIONS FOR A PATTERN SHIFT
TOWARDS THE MIDDLE THIRD OF JANUARY - COOLER AND MAYBE MORE
ACTIVE, BUT THIS IS OBVIOUSLY STILL A WAYS OFF.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 410 PM CST TUE DEC 30 2025
HIGHLY AMPLIFIED UPPER PATTERN REMAINS IN PLACE ACROSS THE
CONUS THANKS TO DEEP TROUGHING FROM THE HUDSON BAY TO NEW
ENGLAND AND BROAD RIDGING CENTERED OVER THE N ROCKIES. THIS
LEAVES US IN-BETWEEN UNDER FAST NW UPPER FLOW AND WITHIN
DOWNSLOPING/DRY LOW LEVEL FLOW. TEMPERATURES HAVE RISEN
NICELY TODAY INTO THE UPPER 40S AND LOWER 50S UNDER PARTLY TO
MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES. QUIET AND MILD CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE INTO
TONIGHT, WHICH WILL PROVIDE A NICE SPRINGBOARD FOR TEMPERATURES
ON NEW YEAR'S EVE/WEDNESDAY. LATEST FORECAST STILL CALLS FOR 50S
AREAWIDE, AND THINK AREAS FROM AROUND ARAPAHOE TO STOCKTON COULD
EVEN GET INTO THE LOW 60S. WINDS WILL BE A BIT MORE NWRLY AND
STILL MILD AND DRY, BUT NOT SO MUCH SO THAT THE WARMTH COMES
WITH FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS. RHS SHOULD REMAIN MOSTLY UPPER 20S
TO 30S, AND GUSTS ONLY 20-25 MPH. SO A BIT ELEVATED - AND FUELS
ARE CERTAINLY DRY - BUT NOT REALLY A "NEAR-CRITICAL" SETUP.
A RATHER SIGNIFICANT FRONT/TEMPERATURE GRADIENT WILL GRADUALLY
BACK INTO THE AREA FROM THE NE ON THURSDAY. THIS COULD SET THE
STAGE FOR A FAIRLY TIGHT TEMP GRADIENT FROM SW TO NE ACROSS
NEB/KAN...RANGING FROM NEAR 50 ALONG HWY 283, TO ONLY 30S ALONG
AND E OF HWY 81. LOW LEVEL MIXING REMAINS VERY WEAK INTO FRIDAY,
SO THIS WILL KEEP TEMPS COOL FOR ONE MORE DAY IN THE 30S TO MID
40S. FORTUNATELY, THE COOLER (BUT STILL ONLY NEAR-NORMAL) WILL
COME WITHOUT MUCH WIND CHILL.
TEMPERATURES WARM UP YET AGAIN FOR THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT
WEEK. IN FACT, LATEST ENSEMBLES ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT IN
WIDESPREAD 50S AND EVEN SOME LOWER 60S FOR SUN-MON. NEITHER DAY
LOOKS OVERLY WINDY, SO ONCE AGAIN, THE NICE WEATHER SHOULD COME
WITHOUT ANY SIGNIFICANT FIRE WX THREAT. LOWS WILL ALSO REMAIN
MILD AND ONLY SLIGHTLY BELOW FREEZING.
ENSEMBLES ALSO INDICATE AND GENERAL DOWNWARD TREND IN
TEMPERATURES FOR THE SECOND HALF OF NEXT WEEK, POTENTIALLY
SETTING THE STAGE FOR AN ACTUAL WINTRY PATTERN FOR THE MIDDLE
THIRD, OR SO, OF JANUARY. OBVIOUSLY, ANY SIGNIFICANT PATTERN
CHANGE IS STILL AT LEAST 10+ DAYS OUT, BUT SOMETHING WE'LL BE
MONITORING OVER THE COMING DAYS...BECAUSE THERE'S SIMPLY NOT
MUCH ELSE TO LOOK AT. HA! UNTIL THEN, ENJOY THE DRY AND MILD END
TO 2025 AND START TO 2026!
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z THURSDAY/
ISSUED AT 540 PM CST TUE DEC 30 2025
FOR KGRI/KEAR AIRPORTS:
A FEW CLOUDS EXITING TO THE SOUTH TONIGHT AND SWEEPING BY FROM
THE NORTHEAST WEDNESDAY WILL NOT IMPACT VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH
THE PERIOD. LIGHT WINDS TONIGHT WILL START OUT OF THE NORTHWEST
BETWEEN 5-10KTS, BRIEFING BECOMING SOUTHWESTERLY FOR THE EARLY
MORNING. WINDS PICKING UP DURING THE LATER MORNING AND AFTERNOON
HOURS WILL PEAK BETWEEN 10-15KTS WITH GUST AS HIGH AS 20-25KTS.
DIRECTIONS WILL TURN BACK TO THE NORTH BY WEDNESDAY EVENING.
PRECIPITATION IS NOT EXPECTED.
GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NE...NONE.
KS...NONE.
DISCUSSION...THIES
AVIATION...STUMP
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