730
FXUS63 KICT 271703
AFDICT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
1103 AM CST TUE JAN 27 2026
..UPDATED AVIATION DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
- INCREASING TEMPS EXPECTED FOR TODAY INTO WEDNESDAY WITH
ANOTHER SHOT OF COLDER AIR MOVING-IN THURSDAY AND REMAINING
THROUGH AT LEAST SATURDAY.
- SOME SMALL SNOW CHANCES WILL ARRIVE THURSDAY NIGHT INTO
FRIDAY, BUT CONFIDENCE IS HIGH THAT WE ARE NOT LOOKING AT A
SIGNIFICANT EVENT.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 308 AM CST TUE JAN 27 2026
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY CURRENTLY SHOWS A WEAK SOUTHERN STREAM
IMPULSE TRACKING OVER BAJA AND APPROACHING THE DESERT SOUTHWEST
WITH A MUCH MORE ROBUST UPPER LOW TRACKING ACROSS THE GREAT
LAKES REGION. AT THE SURFACE, HIGH PRESSURE EXTENDS ACROSS
THE TX GULF COAST WITH A COLD FRONT STRETCHING FROM EASTERN IA
INTO CENTRAL NEBRASKA.
FOR TODAY THROUGH WED, NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL REMAIN IN PLACE
WITH A SERIES OF UPPER IMPULSES TRACKING FROM ONTARIO THROUGH
THE GREAT LAKES REGION. TEMPS WILL START TO MODERATE SOME
THROUGH WED, BUT WIDESPREAD SNOW COVER WILL KEEP THE WARMING IN
CHECK WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE THAT AFTERNOON HIGHS WILL REMAIN
BELOW NORMAL. MODELS ARE STARTING TO HINT AT SOME FOG POTENTIAL
WED MORNING ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL KS INTO THE FLINT HILL. AT THIS
TIME THE BETTER CHANCES LOOK TO BE SOUTH, SO WILL LEAVE OUT FOR
NOW BUT WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED IF SOME IS ADDED WITH LATER
FORECASTS. THERE IS GOOD MODEL AGREEMENT IN A WEAK FAST MOVING
PIECE OF ENERGY TRACKING OUT OF THE GREAT BASIN, ACROSS THE
CENTRAL ROCKIES AND ACROSS KS BY THU MORNING. HOWEVER, THIS
FEATURE IS NOT EXPECTED TO GENERATE ANY PRECIP ACROSS THE
FORECAST AREA.
ONE OF THE CHANGES FROM YESTERDAY'S FORECAST IS THAT IT NOW
LOOKS LIKE COLDER AIR WILL ARRIVE ON THURSDAY, WHICH IS FASTER
THAN WHAT IT LOOKED LIKE YESTERDAY. AS THE COLD FRONT PUSHES
SOUTHEAST, SOME LIGHT SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE FROM NEBRASKA INTO
NORTHERN KS ALONG THE LOW LEVEL BAROCLINIC ZONE AND ALSO IN AN
AREA THERE A FEW UPPER PERTURBATIONS WILL SLIDE THROUGH IN THE
NORTHWEST FLOW. CENTRAL AND WESTERN KS WILL HAVE THE BEST CHANCE
TO SEE SOME LIGHT SNOW THU NIGHT INTO FRI BUT THIS IS NOT
LOOKING LIKE A SIGNIFICANT EVENT. THE BIGGER STORY WILL BE
ANOTHER ARCTIC AIRMASS TO SPILL SOUTH ACROSS THE REGION FOR THU
THROUGH SAT. AT THIS TIME, IT LOOKS LIKE THE FRI NIGHT INTO SAT
TIME FRAME WILL BE THE COLDEST, WITH WIND CHILLS SAT MORNING IN
THE 10 TO 15 BELOW ZERO RANGE WITH LOW TEMPS BELOW ZERO FOR MOST
OF THE AREA. WE WILL START TO SEE TEMPS MODERATE FOR SUN AS THE
SURFACE HIGH SHIFTS SOUTHEAST.
AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z WEDNESDAY/
ISSUED AT 1057 AM CST TUE JAN 27 2026
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
A SURFACE TROUGH SAGGING ACROSS THE AREA WILL SUPPORT LIGHT
WINDS ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. SCT TO BKN
MID LEVEL CLOUDS CONTINUE TO OVERSPREAD THE REGION, AND THESE
SHOULD SHIFT EASTWARD BY TONIGHT OR WEDNESDAY MORNING.
ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...RBL
AVIATION...JC
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