185
FXUS63 KICT 312003
AFDICT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
203 PM CST SAT JAN 31 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- A FEW SNOW FLURRIES MAY LINGER INTO THE EVENING HOURS OVER PARTS
OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN KANSAS BUT NO ACCUMULATION IS ANTICIPATED.
- A WARMING TREND BEGINS ON SUNDAY INTO MONDAY WHILE A SLIGHT
COOL DOWN IS EXPECTED TUE-WED BEFORE A WARMING TREND RETURNS
LATE IN THE WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 200 PM CST SAT JAN 31 2026
A 140 KNOT NORTHERLY JET WAS RESPONSIBLE FOR MID CLOUDS AND A FEW
FLURRIES IMPACTING PARTS OF WESTERN KANSAS EARLY THIS AFTERNOON.
THIS JET IS PROGGED TO TRANSLATE SLOWLY EASTWARD AND COULD BRING A
FEW FLURRIES TO PARTS OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN KANSAS THROUGH THE
EVENING HOURS. VERY DRY SUBCLOUD LAYER AIR IN THE 2K-3K FT
RANGE SHOULD PRECLUDE ANY MEASURABLE SNOW. BREEZY SOUTHERLY
WINDS WILL RETURN TONIGHT KEEPING LOWS FROM BOTTOMING OUT. MOST
AREAS WILL SEE LOWS IN THE 12-16 DEGREE RANGE.
A WARMING TREND IS STILL ANTICIPATED AS WE MOVE INTO SUNDAY,
ESPECIALLY FOR AREAS WEST OF I-35 WHERE HIGHS IN THE 50S ARE
ANTICIPATED. SOME LINGERING SNOW IN SOUTH CENTRAL AND PARTS OF
CENTRAL KS COULD STILL IMPACT HIGHS BUT WE EXPECT PLENTY OF MELTING
ON SUNDAY.
MON-WED...A SHORTWAVE TROUGH IS PROGGED TO MOVE OVER THE NORTHERN
PLAINS LATE MONDAY DRIVING A COLD FRONT SOUTH LATE IN THE PERIOD.
THIS WILL USHER IN SLIGHTLY COOLER AIR AS WE MOVE INTO TUE-WED WITH
MORE SEASONABLE VALUES WHILE REMAINING NEAR CLIMATE AVERAGES FOR
EARLY FEB. WE CAN'T RULE OUT A BRIEF SNOW SHOWER TUE NIGHT INTO
EARLY WED AS A SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVES OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS BUT
THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD IMPACTFUL PRECIPITATION APPEARS LOW
AT THIS TIME.
THU-SAT...MILD AND DRY WEATHER WILL PREVAIL LATE IN THE WEEK AND
INTO THE WEEKEND WITH ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES. WE COULD SEE HIGHS
IN THE 60S FOR MANY AREAS ON THU-FRI BEFORE A COLD FRONT USHERS IN
SLIGHTLY COOLER AIR FOR SAT.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SUNDAY/
ISSUED AT 1134 AM CST SAT JAN 31 2026
MID CLOUDS IN THE 6K-8K FT RANGE WILL IMPACT PARTS OF CENTRAL KS
THIS AFTERNOON WITH A FEW FLURRIES POSSIBLE AT TIMES, BUT MUCH
OF THE PRECIPITATION MAY SUBLIMATE AS THE COLUMN REMAINS VERY
DRY IN THE 2000-3000 FT LAYER. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS EARLY
WILL GRADUALLY BECOME SOUTHERLY IN THE 10-15 KNOT RANGE AS WE
MOVE INTO THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT HOURS.
ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...MWM
AVIATION...MWM
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