632
FXUS63 KICT 290528
AFDICT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
1228 AM CDT MON JUN 29 2026
..UPDATED AVIATION DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
- WARM, MOSTLY DRY, AND BREEZY CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS
THE AREA THROUGH SATURDAY.
- A HEAT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH
THURSDAY.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 116 PM CDT SUN JUN 28 2026
BROAD UPPER TROUGHING PERSISTS OVER THE WESTERN CONUS WITH AN UPPER
LOW OVER THE CENTRAL GREAT BASIN AND AN ADDITIONAL LOW OVER THE
NORTHERN PLAINS. UPPER RIDGING IS SHIFTING FROM THE MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY INTO THE GREAT LAKES AREA. A SURFACE LOW SITS OVER CENTRAL
NEBRASKA WITH A DRYLINE EXTENDING DOWN THROUGH WESTERN KS. AN
INCREASED PRESSURE GRADIENT REMAINS OVER EASTERN KS INTO THE
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY, RESULTING IN BREEZY SOUTHERLY WINDS IN OUR AREA.
WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE 90S TO AROUND 100 AND DEWPOINTS IN THE
70S, HEAT INDICES ARE BETWEEN 100 TO 110 WITH THESE VALUES
CONTINUING INTO THE EARLY EVENING HOURS. AS WE MOVE INTO TONIGHT,
LOW TEMPERATURES WILL STAY ABOUT 10 TO 15 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL FOR
THIS TIME OF YEAR WITH LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S. A HEAT ADVISORY
REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY.
UPPER RIDGING IS PROGGED TO CONTINUE BUILDING OVER THE EASTERN CONUS
FOR MUCH OF THIS FORECAST PERIOD. UPPER TROUGHING WILL REMAIN OVER
THE WESTERN CONUS WITH MULTIPLE EMBEDDED SHORTWAVES EJECTING OUT
INTO THE NORTHERN PLAINS. THIS MAY RESULT IN SLIGHT RAIN CHANCES
(GENERALLY UNDER A 20% CHANCE) IN CENTRAL KS FROM MONDAY EVENING
THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT. GIVEN ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE ISOLATED
TO WIDELY SCATTERED, CONFIDENCE REMAINS HIGH THAT MOST OF THE REGION
WILL REMAIN DRY. SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED WITH THIS
ACTIVITY, THOUGH FOR MONDAY EVENING A FEW STRONG WIND GUSTS CANNOT
BE RULED OUT GIVEN THE INVERTED V PROFILES. OUTSIDE OF THESE SLIGHT
CHANCES, MOSTLY DRY CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST THROUGH SATURDAY.
FOR TEMPERATURES AND WIND, INCREASING THICKNESS AS HEIGHTS RISE WILL
AID IN WARMER TEMPERATURES PERSISTING THROUGHOUT THE WEEK. HIGH
TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST FOR THE 90S WITH HIGHS INCREASING TO
AROUND 100 FOR MANY LOCATIONS AS WE MOVE INTO NEXT WEEKEND. THE
INCREASED PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL REMAIN LIKELY THROUGH SATURDAY,
KEEPING BREEZY SOUTHERLY WINDS WITH DEWPOINTS IN THE 60S AND 70S
OVER THE AREA. GIVEN THESE CONDITIONS, HEAT INDICES UP TO 105 ARE
LIKELY FOR MONDAY AFTERNOON INTO THE EARLY EVENING HOURS. FOR
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY, HEAT INDICES WILL LIKELY BE LOWER BETWEEN THE
UPPER 90S TO AROUND 100 BEFORE THEY INCREASE AGAIN ON THURSDAY WITH
THE WARMEST INDICES IN SOUTHEAST KANSAS.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z TUESDAY/
ISSUED AT 1225 AM CDT MON JUN 29 2026
LITTLE TO NO CHANGES FROM 00Z TAF ISSUANCE.
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
STOUT/GUSTY SOUTH WINDS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE PERIOD AS LEE
TROUGHING REMAINS ANCHORED OVER THE HIGH PLAINS. ADDITIONALLY, A
STOUT SOUTH-SOUTHWESTERLY LOW-LEVEL JET WILL SUPPORT LOW-LEVEL
WIND SHEAR AROUND 1500-2000 FT AGL TONIGHT INTO EARLY MONDAY FOR
ALL TAF SITES.
ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM CDT THURSDAY FOR KSZ032-033-047>053-
067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100.
DISCUSSION...GC
AVIATION...ADK
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