927
FXUS63 KICT 092303
AFDICT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
503 PM CST TUE DEC 9 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- SEASONABLY MILD TEMPERATURES RETURN ON WEDNESDAY WITH ANOTHER
UNSEASONABLY MILD DAY EXPECTED ON THURSDAY.
- ANOTHER SHOT OF COLD AIR WILL ARRIVE ON FRIDAY, WITH A
REINFORCING SURGE OF COLD AIR OVER THE WEEKEND.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1201 PM CST TUE DEC 9 2025
A SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVING OVER THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AREA
THIS EVENING WILL HELP DRIVE A COLD FRONT SOUTH OVER THE CENTRAL
PLAINS TONIGHT. THIS FRONT WILL USHER MORE SEASONABLE AIR ON
WEDNESDAY ALTHOUGH VALUES ARE STILL EXPECTED TO BE ABOVE
AVERAGE FOR MID DECEMBER WITH HIGHS TOPPING OUT IN THE LOWER 50S
FOR MOST AREAS. AS HIGH PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE BUILDS SOUTH
AND EAST OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND LOWER/MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY AREA ON THURSDAY, SOUTHWEST LOW LEVEL FLOW WILL RETURN TO
THE CENTRAL PLAINS. THIS WILL ALLOW ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES
TO RETURN OVER THE AREA WITH HIGHS CLIMBING INTO THE 60S ONCE
AGAIN.
A PROGRESSIVE NORTHWEST MID/UPPER FLOW REGIME IS PROGGED TO PERSIST
WITH ANOTHER FROPA ANTICIPATED ON FRIDAY. THIS FRONT WILL PACK A
BIGGER PUNCH WITH SEASONABLY COOL TEMPERATURES ON FRI-SAT (40S)
ALTHOUGH AS THE COLD AIR CONTINUES TO SETTLE OVER THE AREA THIS
WEEKEND, VALUES MAY STRUGGLE TO RISE ABOVE FREEZING IN SOME
AREAS AS WE MOVE INTO SUNDAY. DRY WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED TO PREVAIL THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK
ALTHOUGH TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO MODERATE AS WE MOVE INTO
MON-TUE WITH ABOVE AVERAGE VALUES RETURNING TO THE AREA.
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z THURSDAY/
ISSUED AT 503 PM CST TUE DEC 9 2025
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL AT ALL SITES THROUGH THE END
OF THE PERIOD. PRIMARY AVIATION CONCERNS REMAIN TIED TO THE PASSAGE
OF A COLD FRONT LATER THIS EVENING INTO TONIGHT.
WINDS WILL GRADUALLY VEER AROUND TO THE NORTHWEST LATER THIS EVENING
IN THE 03-07Z TIMEFRAME AS THE SURFACE BOUNDARY TRACKS FROM NORTH TO
SOUTH. LLWS ALONG THIS FEATURE IS ALSO ANTICIPATED DUE TO A LLJ THAT
WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE PRE-DAWN HOURS ON WEDNESDAY BEFORE
DISSIPATING BY 12-13Z. SUSTAINED SPEEDS IN THE 12-15 KT RANGE
ARE FORECAST BY EARLY/MID MORNING WITH GUSTS UP TO 20-22 KTS.
ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...MWM
AVIATION...JWK
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