244
FXUS63 KICT 112307
AFDICT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
507 PM CST SUN JAN 11 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- MOSTLY DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE WORK WEEK.
- GRADUAL WARMING TREND TO START THE WEEK WITH COOLER
TEMPERATURES AND BREEZY NORTHERLY WINDS ON WEDNESDAY.
- COLDER TEMPERATURES ARE LIKELY ON FRIDAY AND INTO THE WEEKEND.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 248 PM CST SUN JAN 11 2026
CURRENT WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH MOVING
ACROSS THE EASTERN CONUS. WEAK UPPER RIDGING IS BUILDING OVER THE
WESTERN CONUS WITH MULTIPLE EMBEDDED SHORTWAVES RIDING THE UPPER
RIDGE. THIS HAS RESULTED IN A NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT REGIME OVER THE
PLAINS. AT THE SURFACE, HIGH PRESSURE IS POSITIONED ACROSS EASTERN
KS INTO MISSOURI AND DOWN INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. SURFACE
TROUGHING EXTENDS FROM THE NORTHERN PLAINS DOWN INTO THE HIGH
PLAINS.
AS WE MOVE INTO TONIGHT, WINDS WILL REMAIN RELATIVELY LIGHT WITH LOW
TEMPERATURES DROPPING INTO THE 20S. BY MONDAY MORNING, A SHORTWAVE
TROUGH WILL MOVE INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS/MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY.
THIS WILL SHIFT THE SURFACE HIGH SOUTHEAST INTO THE LOWER
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. SURFACE TROUGHING WILL MOVE INTO THE GREAT LAKES
AREA AND EXTEND DOWN THROUGH THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY INTO THE CENTRAL
PLAINS. BY MONDAY AFTERNOON, LOW-LEVEL WINDS WILL SHIFT TO WESTERLY,
ALLOWING LOW-LEVEL WAA TO BRING HIGH TEMPERATURES INTO THE UPPER 50S
ACROSS THE AREA WITH SOME LOCATIONS SEEING THE LOWER 60S. THIS
WARMING TREND WILL CONTINUE INTO TUESDAY AS HIGHS IN THE 60S ARE
EXPECTED AREAWIDE.
AFTER TUESDAY, THE UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE WESTERN CONUS WILL
SHIFT EAST TOWARDS THE PLAINS AS A TROUGH DIGS OVER THE MIDWEST WITH
THE TROUGH AXIS EXTENDING DOWN INTO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY.
THIS WILL PUSH A COLD FRONT THROUGH OUR AREA ON TUESDAY NIGHT,
BRINGING IN SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES FOR WEDNESDAY. THERE IS A
SLIGHT CHANCE FOR SPRINKLES TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY; HOWEVER,
ACCUMULATING PRECIP IS NOT CURRENTLY ANTICIPATED. ADDITIONALLY, A
SURFACE HIGH WILL DEVELOP OVER THE NORTHERN PLAINS/UPPER MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY, TIGHTENING THE PRESSURE GRADIENT OVER OUR AREA ON WEDNESDAY.
NORTHERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE WITH SUSTAINED WINDS BETWEEN 20-25 MPH
AND GUSTS UP TO 35-40 MPH. HIGH TEMPERATURES ON WEDNESDAY LOOK TO BE
IN THE 40S, THOUGH TEMPERATURES ARE LIKELY TO REBOUND A BIT ON
THURSDAY. ANOTHER COLD FRONT IS PROGGED TO MOVE THROUGH THE AREA ON
FRIDAY, WHICH IS FORECAST TO BRING MUCH COOLER TEMPERATURES INTO THE
WEEKEND. AT THIS TIME, MOSTLY DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH
THE WORK WEEK.
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z MONDAY/
ISSUED AT 506 PM CST SUN JAN 11 2026
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED OVER CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS OVER
THE NEXT 24HRS. LIGHT SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS AND CLEAR SKIES WILL
PREVAIL ACROSS THE REGION.
ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...GC
AVIATION...CDJ
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page