783
FXUS63 KICT 011902
AFDICT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
202 PM CDT SAT AUG 1 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- WARMING TREND EXPECTED THIS COMING WEEK WITH A RETURN OF HIGHS
IN THE MIDDLE TO UPPER 90S FOR MOST LOCATIONS BY TUESDAY.
- LOW CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND STORMS MAY RETURN TO THE REGION BY
MIDWEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 202 PM CDT SAT AUG 1 2026
CURRENT WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND RAP ANALYSIS INDICATE BROAD RIDGING
OVER THE DESERT SOUTHWEST AS A SHORTWAVE ENTERS THE PACIFIC
NORTHWEST. AT THE SURFACE, HIGH PRESSURE RESIDES OVER THE
NORTHERN/CENTRAL PLAINS. A TIGHTENED PRESSURE GRADIENT CONTINUES TO
BE OBSERVED PARTICULARLY ACROSS SOUTHEAST KANSAS WITH A SURFACE LOW
SHIFTING EASTWARD ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY. AS A RESULT, BREEZY NORTH
WINDS CONTINUE TO BE NOTED ACROSS AREAS PRIMARILY EAST OF
INTERSTATE 135 EARLY THIS AFTERNOON AND WILL PERSIST INTO THE
EARLY EVENING HOURS. LOW TEMPERATURES ARE ONCE AGAIN FORECAST IN
THE LOW TO MID 60S HEADING INTO SUNDAY MORNING THANKS TO THE
SLIGHTLY COOLER AND DRIER AIRMASS IN PLACE. AS THE SURFACE HIGH
SHIFTS EAST TOWARD THE GREAT LAKES, WINDS WILL GRADUALLY TURN TO
THE EAST AND THEN SOUTHEAST BY SUNDAY EVENING. DESPITE THIS
TURNING THROUGHOUT THE DAY, SLIGHTLY BELOW AVERAGE HIGHS RANGING
FROM THE MID 80S TO LOW 90S CONTINUE TO BE EXPECTED TO CLOSE
OUT THE WEEKEND.
INCREASING HEIGHTS AND THICKNESSES ARISING FROM THE BUILDING OF A
WEAK UPPER RIDGE CENTERED NEAR THE FOUR CORNERS WILL PROMOTE A
WARMING TREND THIS COMING WEEK. SHORT-TERM GUIDANCE INDICATES
HIGH TEMPERATURES BACK IN THE MIDDLE TO UPPER 90S FOR AREAS
ALONG AND WEST OF I-135 ON MONDAY, AND THESE ARE EXPECTED TO
OVERSPREAD A MAJORITY OF THE AREA BY TUESDAY. ADDITIONALLY, SOME
LOCATIONS MAY EVEN SEE HIGHS NEAR 100 DEGREES ESPECIALLY TOWARD
THE END OF THE WORK WEEK. PER THE PRIOR DISCUSSION, DESPITE
HIGH TEMPERATURES BEING ABOVE AVERAGE FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR,
DEWPOINTS REMAINING IN THE UPPER 50S AND MIDDLE 60S SHOULD
LARGELY PREVENT HEAT INDICES FROM CLIMBING TOO FAR ABOVE 100
DEGREES.
CONCERNING RAINFALL, CONDITIONS SHOULD REMAIN LARGELY DRY THROUGH
THE BEGINNING OF THE WEEK THANKS TO LARGE-SCALE SUBSIDENCE FROM THE
UPPER RIDGE. A SLIGHT CHANGE TO THIS PATTERN LOOKS TO ARRIVE IN THE
AREA BY MIDWEEK, AS MODEL CONSENSUS HIGHLIGHTS A STALLED OUT FRONTAL
BOUNDARY SETTING UP ACROSS KANSAS INTO NEBRASKA DUE TO A
MID/UPPER WAVE TRAVERSING THE NORTHERN PLAINS. THIS FEATURE WILL
PROVIDE CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND STORMS ACROSS THE BROADER
REGION EARLY ON IN THE WEEK, BUT FOR NOW, BETTER CHANCES FOR
RAIN ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA APPEAR TO ARRIVE DURING THE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.
UNCERTAINTY REMAINS REGARDING COVERAGE AND INTENSITY OF ANY
ACTIVITY THAT WE MAY SEE, SO STAY TUNED TO UPCOMING FORECASTS AS
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE.
AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SUNDAY/
ISSUED AT 1050 AM CDT SAT AUG 1 2026
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. NORTHERLY
WINDS WILL CONTINUE GUSTING BETWEEN 25-30 KNOTS FOR SOUTH-
CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS THROUGH 00Z. WINDS FOR ALL
LOCATIONS WILL FALL BELOW 10 KNOTS GENERALLY BETWEEN 00-03Z. A
WEAK SURFACE TROUGH WILL PASS OVER CENTRAL KANSAS DURING THE
OVERNIGHT AND MORNING HOURS LEADING TO VERY LIGHT AND VARIABLE
WINDS.
ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...JWK
AVIATION...AMD
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page