086
FXUS63 KICT 210504
AFDICT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
1204 AM CDT SAT JUN 21 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
- STRONG SOUTH-SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY
WITH A HIGH WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
AND SOUTH-CENTRAL KANSAS ON SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
- PRECIP CHANCES WILL START TO INCREASE FOR MON NIGHT THROUGH
TUESDAY, ESPECIALLY ACROSS CENTRAL KANSAS.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 331 PM CDT FRI JUN 20 2025
MOSTLY CLEAR TO PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES, BREEZY SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS, AND
HOT CONDITIONS ARE BEING SEEN ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTH-CENTRAL
KANSAS THIS AFTERNOON. THIS TREND WILL CONTINUE TOMORROW WITH BOTH
WINDS AND TEMPERATURES DIMINISHING SOME ON SUNDAY.
A STRONG MID-LEVEL RIDGE IS CENTERED OVER THE PLAINS. AT THE SURFACE,
A HIGH PRESSURE IS LOCATED OVER THE EASTERN U.S. WITH A LOW PRESSURE
OVER THE ROCKIES. THE RIDGE WILL SLOWLY SHIFT EAST OVER THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS, BUT HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE MID TO UPPER 90S WILL
CONTINUE, WITH A FEW LOCATIONS IN CENTRAL KANSAS REACHING NEAR 100.
DEW POINTS WILL REMAIN ELEVATED ACROSS THE REGION, HOVERING IN THE
MIDDLE TO UPPER 60S, LEADING TO HEAT INDICES AROUND 100 FOR SATURDAY
AND SUNDAY, WITH THOSE IN CENTRAL KANSAS SEEING HEAT INDEX VALUES
REACH INTO THE 100-104 RANGE ON SATURDAY AFTERNOON. A HEAT ADVISORY
IS NOT NEEDED AT THIS TIME, BUT CONTINUE TO EXERCISE HEAT SAFETY IF
OUTSIDE FOR EXTENDED PERIODS.
DUE TO THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE SURFACE HIGH TO OUR EAST
AND THE LOW OVER THE ROCKIES, STOUT SOUTH-SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS
BETWEEN 20-30 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH SOME GUSTS IN CENTRAL KANSAS
REACHING UP TO 45 MPH ON SATURDAY AFTERNOON. A WIND ADVISORY HAS
BEEN ISSUED FROM 10A-8P ON SATURDAY ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
KANSAS TO COVER THE AREA OF HIGHEST WINDS. BY SUNDAY, THE PRESSURE
GRADIENT RELAXES SOME, BUT BREEZY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST WITH GUSTS
BETWEEN 35-40 MPH STILL POSSIBLE.
FOR NEXT WEEK, THE UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE WILL CONTINUE TO SHIFT FURTHER
EAST AND THE TROUGH TO OUR WEST WILL CREEP INTO THE PLAINS. THIS
WILL LEAD TO INCREASING PRECIPITATION CHANCES ACROSS CENTRAL KANSAS
AS A FEW IMPULSES GRAZE THE AREA BEGINNING ON MONDAY EVENING. ON AND
OFF ISOLATED RAIN CHANCES WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT EAST ACROSS THE
FORECAST AREA THROUGH THE WEEK AS THE TROUGH EASES INTO THE AREA.
THIS SHIFT IN THE OVERALL PATTERN WILL ALSO ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO
COOL OFF CLOSER TO NORMAL WITH HIGHS NEXT WEEK ONLY WARMING INTO THE
LOWER TO MIDDLE 90S.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SUNDAY/
ISSUED AT 1203 AM CDT SAT JUN 21 2025
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AT ALL SITES THROUGH THE END OF THE
PERIOD. LLWS AT ALL SITES WILL GRADUALLY END BY 13-14Z WHILE
SOUTHERLY WINDS PICK UP BY MID MORNING. STILL ANTICIPATING SUSTAINED
WINDS AT 20-30 KTS AND GUSTS AREAWIDE UP TO 30-35 KTS THROUGHOUT
THE DAY, WITH GUSTS AS STRONG AS 45 KTS POSSIBLE IN CENTRAL KS.
GUSTS WILL SLIGHTLY WEAKEN BUT REMAIN STRONGER THAN 30 KTS
AFTER SUNDOWN TO THE END OF THE PERIOD.
ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
WIND ADVISORY FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM CDT THIS EVENING
FOR KSZ032-033-047>053-067-068.
DISCUSSION...AMD
AVIATION...JWK
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