434
FXUS63 KICT 120807
AFDICT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
207 AM CST FRI DEC 12 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- COOLER TEMPERATURES EXPECTED TODAY AND A REINFORCING SHOT OF
COLD AIR THIS WEEKEND WITH TEENS FOR SAT. NIGHT/SUN. MORNING.
- MODERATING TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED FOR MUCH OF NEXT WEEK
WITH THE DRY CONDITIONS PERSISTING.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 206 AM CST FRI DEC 12 2025
CURRENTLY, BROAD SCALE UPPER-LEVEL NORTHWESTERLY FLOW IS PRESENT
OVER THE REGION. IN THE MID-LEVELS, A SHORT WAVE TROUGH IS VISIBLE
THAT IS DRAGGING A COLD FRONT ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS EARLY THIS
MORNING. AT THE SURFACE, WINDS HAVE ALREADY TURNED OUT OF THE NORTH
FOR MOST OF OUR CENTRAL AND SOUTH-CENTRAL KANSAS COUNTIES, WITH FAR
SOUTHERN AND SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS TO FOLLOW SUITE SHORTLY. WHILE A
COOL DOWN IS FORECAST BEHIND THIS FRONTAL BOUNDARY, TEMPERATURES
WILL RETURN CLOSE TO NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR FOR TODAY WITH
HIGHS TOPPING OUT IN THE 40S AREAWIDE. LITTLE MOISTURE IS PRESENT
WITH THIS FRONT THEREFORE NO PRECIP IS EXPECTED, THOUGH SOME LOWER
LEVEL STRATUS MAY BE POSSIBLE ACROSS OUR CENTRAL KANSAS COUNTIES
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.
FOR THIS WEEKEND, A MORE POTENT UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL SWEEP ACROSS
THE GREAT LAKES REGION ON SATURDAY. THIS FEATURE WILL SEND ANOTHER,
REINFORCING COLD FRONT ACROSS THE AREA ON SATURDAY AFTERNOON. PRIOR
TO THE COLDER AIR ARRIVING, TEMPERATURES WILL BE ABLE TO WARM INTO
THE 40S AREAWIDE. HOWEVER, BEHIND THE FRONT ON SATURDAY NIGHT
TEMPERATURES WILL TUMBLE INTO THE TEENS. THEN, HIGHS ON SUNDAY WILL
ONLY WARM INTO THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 30S. AS HAS BEEN THE PATTERN
OF LATE, THE MUCH COLDER AIR WILL BE CONFINED TO OUR EAST AND OUR
COLDER TEMPERATURES WILL BE FLEETING.
AS WE MOVE INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK, STOUT RIDGING AND NORTHWESTERLY
FLOW WILL BUILD BACK OVER THE REGION. TEMPERATURES WILL QUICKLY
REBOUND WITH HIGHS ON MONDAY NEAR NORMAL TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL
WITH HIGHS REACHING INTO THE UPPER 40S. WARMER AND MORE MILD WEATHER
WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK AS BROAD RIDGING DOMINATES
THE PATTERN. HIGHS IN THE 50S AND 60S WITH LOWS IN THE 30S AND 40S
ARE EXPECTED AS THERE IS QUITE A BIT OF AGREEMENT ACROSS MODELS. A
COUPLE OF BENIGN PERTURBATIONS IN THE PATTERN ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH
THE WEEK LEADING TO SLIGHT VARIATIONS IN TEMPERATURES AND OCCASIONAL
CLOUD COVER. OVERALL, WE ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN DRY THROUGHOUT THE
FORECAST PERIOD.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SATURDAY/
ISSUED AT 1047 PM CST THU DEC 11 2025
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH MUCH OF THE PERIOD. A COLD
FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE TERMINALS THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT,
SHIFTING WINDS FROM THE NORTH AT 10-15 KT. A PERIOD OF MVFR CIGS
CANNOT BE ENTIRELY RULED OUT FRIDAY MORNING, ESPECIALLY ACROSS
CENTRAL KS. LATEST HREF PROBABILITIES HAVE INCREASED SLIGHTLY
WITH MVFR CIG PROBABILITIES NEAR 30 PERCENT ACROSS CENTRAL KS
AFTER 12Z, CONTINUING THROUGH MID TO LATE AFTERNOON. OTHERWISE,
WINDS WILL BECOME LIGHT AND VARIABLE LATE FRIDAY
AFTERNOON/EVENING.
ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...AMD
AVIATION...BRF
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