033
FXUS63 KICT 222320
AFDICT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
620 PM CDT SAT AUG 22 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- LINGERING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL EXIT SOUTHEAST KS
THIS AFTERNOON
- ADDITIONAL STORM CHANCES, ESPECIALLY AT NIGHT, TONIGHT INTO
NEXT WEEK
- TEMPERATURES REMAIN NEAR OR ABOVE NORMAL
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 126 PM CDT SAT AUG 22 2026
AS OF 130 PM SATURDAY AFTERNOON, THE AMPLIFIED MIDLEVEL PATTERN
REMAINS ACROSS THE CONUS WITH TROUGHING ACROSS THE EAST AND RIDGING
ACROSS THE WEST. THIS PLACES THE CENTRAL PLAINS WITHIN A NORTHWEST
MIDLEVEL FLOW REGIME. A CLUSTER OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
CONTINUE TO MOVE SOUTHEAST WITH A REMNANT MCV. BEHIND THIS
CLUSTER, A WAKE LOW HAS DEVELOPED ACROSS PORTIONS OF EASTERN KS,
YIELDING NORTHERLY WINDS AT 20-30 KT WITH GUSTS NEAR 35 KT. AS
THE AFTERNOON PROGRESSES, THESE SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL DEPART
SOUTHEAST KS WITH MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES RETURNING AREA WIDE.
TEMPERATURES WILL QUICKLY REBOUND INTO THE 90S. AN AREA OF
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE, CURRENTLY FROM ND THROUGH NORTHERN NE,
WILL SLIDE INTO EASTERN KS THIS EVENING INTO TONIGHT. THIS WILL
RESULT IN EASTERLY (UPSLOPE) LOW-LEVEL FLOW ACROSS MUCH OF THE
CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT IS
EXPECTED ACROSS EASTERN CO AND WY THIS EVENING. THUNDERSTORMS
MAY GRADUALLY GROW UPSCALE AND MOVE EAST/SOUTHEAST INTO THE
NIGHTTIME HOURS. CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY REMAINS WITH THE THE
EASTERN EXTENT THESE STORMS WILL PROGRESS. INSTABILITY GREATLY
DECREASES WITHIN THE AREA OF SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS
EASTERN KS. IN ADDITION, THE LOW/MIDLEVEL WAA IS QUITE WEAK.
COMBINING THOSE TWO TOGETHER SUGGEST ANY STORM ACTIVITY WILL BE
ON A WEAKENING AND DECREASING COVERAGE TREND UPON REACHING
CENTRAL/EASTERN KS. THE GREATEST POTENTIAL FOR RAINFALL LATE
TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING APPEARS TO BE ALONG AND NORTH OF
I-70.
TRANSITIONING INTO SUNDAY, THE AREA OF SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL
REMAIN ACROSS EASTERN KS, YIELDING LIGHT EASTERLY WINDS.
TEMPERATURES WILL ALSO BE NOTABLY COOLER WITH HIGHS RANGING FROM THE
MID 80S TO THE LOW 90S. THE FORECAST AREA WILL REMAIN WITHIN A
NORTHWEST MIDLEVEL FLOW REGIME INTO NEXT WEEK, AS SUBTLE
PERTURBATIONS EJECT INTO PLAINS ON A NEAR-DAILY OCCURRENCE. THIS
WILL SUPPORT AT LEAST SMALL RAIN CHANCES ALMOST EVERY NIGHT NEXT
WEEK.
IN REGARDS TO THE TEMPERATURES, THE CORE OF THE MIDLEVEL RIDGE WILL
REMAIN SOUTHWEST OF THE FORECAST AREA OVER THE NEXT 7 DAYS. THIS
SHOULD KEEP THE HOTTEST TEMPERATURES SOUTHWEST OF THE STATE WITH
HIGHS GENERALLY IN THE LOW TO MID 90S EACH AFTERNOON.
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SUNDAY/
ISSUED AT 618 PM CDT SAT AUG 22 2026
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION FOR TONIGHT
WITH SLIGHT CHANCES FOR STORMS TO MOVE ACROSS CENTRAL KANSAS
DURING THE MORNING HOURS ON SUNDAY. LIGHT EASTERLY WINDS WILL
SWITCH TO THE SOUTHEAST DURING THE DAY ON SUNDAY.
ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...BRF
AVIATION...CDJ
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