699  
FXUS63 KICT 290817  
AFDICT  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS  
317 AM CDT FRI AUG 29 2025  
   
KEY MESSAGES
 
 
- FOG THIS MORNING, ESPECIALLY ACROSS SOUTHEAST KANSAS.  
 
- SCATTERED RAIN CHANCES RETURN TONIGHT AND REMAIN THROUGH MUCH  
OF THE WEEKEND.  
 
- CONFIDENCE REMAINS HIGH IN BELOW NORMAL TEMPS STAYING IN  
PLACE THROUGH AT LEAST THE NEXT 7 DAYS, IF NOT LONGER.  
 

 
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
ISSUED AT 317 AM CDT FRI AUG 29 2025  
 
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY CURRENTLY SHOWS AN UPPER IMPULSE LIFTING  
ACROSS SOUTHERN UT WITH SOME ADDITIONAL UPPER ENERGY ROTATING  
ACROSS MT. AT THE SURFACE, HIGH PRESSURE IS CENTERED OVER THE  
GREAT LAKES WITH A COLD FRONT STRETCHING ACROSS CENTRAL TX WITH  
ANOTHER SURGE OF COLD AIR PUSHING INTO THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI  
VALLEY.  
 
LOW LEVELS REMAIN VERY SATURATED WITH LOW CLOUDS ACROSS MOST OF  
THE AREA. SOME CLEARING IS TAKING PLACE ACROSS FAR SOUTHEAST KS  
AND IS ALLOWING FOG TO QUICKLY DEVELOP, WITH SOME PATCHY DENSE  
FOG LIKELY. SO WHILE SOME LIGHT FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE AREA WIDE  
THIS MORNING, SOUTHEAST KS WILL HAVE THE BEST CHANCE TO SEE  
DENSE FOG.  
 
OUTSIDE OF FOG AND POSSIBLY SOME LIGHT DRIZZLE THIS MORNING, DRY  
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE DAY. SHOWER  
AND STORM CHANCES WILL INCREASE TONIGHT AS THE UPPER IMPULSE  
OVER SOUTHERN UT LIFTS INTO SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA/WESTERN KS.  
PRECIP CHANCES WILL CONTINUE TO MIGRATE EAST ON SAT INTO SAT  
NIGHT AS THE UPPER PERTURBATION OVER MT SLIDES INTO CENTRAL  
NEBRASKA AND NORTHERN KS. LACK OF SURFACE FOCUS OR STRONG UPPER  
FORCING SHOULD KEEP PRECIP ACTIVITY TONIGHT THROUGH SAT  
SCATTERED. PW VALUES WILL REMAIN FAIRLY HIGH SO IT'S NOT OUT OF  
THE QUESTION A FEW SHOWERS/STORMS MAY PRODUCE HIGH RAINFALL  
RATES. THERE IS GOOD AGREEMENT BETWEEN THE ECMWF AND GFS THAT  
THE UPPER ENERGY OVER CENTRAL/EASTERN NEBRASKA WILL SINK  
SOUTHEAST FOR SUN NIGHT INTO MON AND WILL KEEP PRECIP CHANCES IN  
PLACE, ESPECIALLY ACROSS EASTERN KS.  
 
MEDIUM RANGE MODELS REMAIN CONSISTENT IN A DIGGING DOWN A VERY  
DEEP UPPER LOW OVER THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES REGION FOR WED INTO  
WED NIGHT. THIS WILL PULL DOWN A VERY ANOMALOUSLY COLD AIRMASS  
ACROSS THE UPPER/MID MISSISSIPPI VALLEY INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS,  
KEEPING HIGHS IN THE 70S FOR BOTH THU AND FRI.  
 

 
   
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SATURDAY/
 
 
ISSUED AT 1238 AM CDT FRI AUG 29 2025  
 
EXPECT CONDITIONS TO GRADUALLY DETERIORATE TO IFR AND LIFR OVERNIGHT  
THROUGH EARLY TO MID-MORNING FRIDAY. POTENTIAL FOR DENSE FOG IS  
GREATEST GENERALLY ALONG/EAST OF THE FLINT HILLS. HIT CNU TAF  
FAIRLY HARD WITH LIFR VISIBILITIES BETWEEN 09-13Z. CONDITIONS  
SHOULD GRADUALLY IMPROVE TO HIGH MVFR OR LOW VFR BY EARLY  
AFTERNOON FRIDAY AREAWIDE.  
 

 
   
ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
 
 
NONE.  
 

 
 

 
 
DISCUSSION...RBL  
AVIATION...ADK  
 
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