240
FXUS63 KICT 231134
AFDICT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
534 AM CST TUE DEC 23 2025
..UPDATED AVIATION DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
- DENSE FOG POTENTIAL THROUGH THIS MORNING, AND AGAIN LATER TONIGHT
THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING.
- WELL ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES LIKELY THROUGH SATURDAY, WITH
RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES IN JEOPARDY.
- A FAIRLY DRASTIC COOL DOWN SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.
- MOSTLY DRY WEATHER THROUGH THE NEXT 7 DAYS.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 148 AM CST TUE DEC 23 2025
FOG:
UNSEASONABLY RICH MOISTURE ADVECTING IN FROM THE SOUTH INTERACTING
WITH A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH APPROACHING FROM THE NORTHWEST WILL SET
THE STAGE FOR FOG DEVELOPING DURING THE PREDAWN HOURS AND PERSISTING
THROUGH THIS MORNING. PER LATEST SHORT-TERM GUIDANCE, THINKING THE
GREATEST POTENTIAL FOR DENSE FOG WILL BE GENERALLY ALONG/SOUTHEAST
OF A LINE EXTENDING FROM ANTHONY TO WICHITA TO NEWTON TO EMPORIA,
AND ALONG/NORTHWEST OF A LINE EXTENDING FROM BARTLESVILLE TO PARSONS
TO FORT SCOTT. WOULDN'T BE SURPRISED IF A DENSE FOG ADVISORY WILL
EVENTUALLY BE NEEDED. WILL BE MONITORING OBSERVATIONAL TRENDS OVER
THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS.
MORE FOG IS EXPECTED TONIGHT (TUESDAY NIGHT) INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING
ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION, AS THE MOIST AIRMASS AND SURFACE TROUGH
AXIS REMAINED ANCHORED ACROSS THE REGION.
TEMPERATURES:
DAYTIME HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE TRICKY TO PIN DOWN THE NEXT FEW
DAYS, AS LINGERING LOW CLOUDS/FOG NEAR AND NORTH OF THE SURFACE
TROUGH AXIS COULD HAVE A SIGNIFICANT IMPACT ON WARMING.
ADDITIONALLY, LIMITED MIXING NORTH OF THE SURFACE TROUGH WILL
SUPPORT THESE COOLER TEMPERATURES AS WELL. CONSEQUENTLY, LOWERED
HIGHS A FEW DEGREES OVER CENTRAL AND NORTH-CENTRAL KS TODAY THROUGH
THURSDAY, WITH WORST CASE SCENARIO KEEPING THOSE LOCATIONS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO NEAR 60 DEGREES. FURTHER SOUTH OVER SOUTHERN AND
SOUTHEAST KANSAS, BETTER MIXING WILL SUPPORT HIGHS IN THE 70S BY
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. THE UNSEASONABLY MILD TEMPERATURES LOOK TO
PERSIST THROUGH SATURDAY.
BY SATURDAY EVENING-NIGHT, A STRONG COLD FRONT SURGING SOUTH THROUGH
THE REGION WILL USHER IN STOUT/GUSTY NORTH WINDS AND MUCH COOLER
TEMPERATURES, WITH SUNDAY AND MONDAY HIGHS ONLY IN THE 30S AND 40S,
AND EARLY MORNING WIND CHILLS IN THE SINGLE DIGITS AND TEENS.
PRECIPITATION:
CAN'T COMPLETELY RULE OUT SOME BRIEF LIGHT PRECIPITATION OVER
SOUTHEAST KANSAS SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY, IN RESPONSE TO
THE STRONG COLD FRONT BLASTING SOUTH THROUGH MID-AMERICA, ALTHOUGH
THESE CHANCES LOOK FAIRLY SMALL PER MODEL CONSENSUS. OTHERWISE,
CONTINUED DRY WEATHER LOOKS PROBABLE THROUGH AT LEAST MID NEXT WEEK.
AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z WEDNESDAY/
ISSUED AT 528 AM CST TUE DEC 23 2025
WIDESPREAD LIFR CONDITIONS WILL IMPACT BOTH THE ICT AND CNU TAF
SITES THIS MORNING, POSSIBLY ALSO FLIRTING WITH HUT.
VISIBILITIES AND CEILINGS WILL BE NEAR TO BELOW AIRPORT LANDING
MINIMUMS. LIFR CONDITIONS SHOULD GRADUALLY IMPROVE AS WE HEAD
TOWARD LATE MORNING OR MIDDAY.
FOR TONIGHT, IFR OR LIFR CONDITIONS LOOK POSSIBLE ONCE AGAIN, AS
A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH REMAINS IN PLACE AMIDST UNSEASONABLY RICH
LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE. FOR NOW, ONLY HINTED AT THIS POTENTIAL IN
THE 12Z ROUTINE TAFS, BUT LATER SHIFTS MAY GET MORE PESSIMISTIC
IF MODEL TRENDS CONTINUE.
CLIMATE
ISSUED AT 148 AM CST TUE DEC 23 2025
RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES IN JEOPARDY THIS WEEK:
TODAY DECEMBER 23...
SITE FORECAST HIGH RECORD HIGH (YEAR)
WICHITA 63 67 (1893)
CHANUTE 66 68 (1982)
THURSDAY DECEMBER 25...
SITE FORECAST HIGH RECORD HIGH (YEAR)
WICHITA 72 68 (2019)
SALINA 67 69 (1922)
CHANUTE 73 71 (1922)
FRIDAY DECEMBER 26...
SITE FORECAST HIGH RECORD HIGH (YEAR)
WICHITA 72 69 (2021)
SALINA 67 67 (2008)
CHANUTE 73 75 (2021)
SATURDAY DECEMBER 27...
SITE FORECAST HIGH RECORD HIGH (YEAR)
WICHITA 66 68 (1946)
SALINA 64 68 (1928)
CHANUTE 69 74 (1946)
RUSSELL 61 66 (1956)
ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 11 AM CST THIS MORNING FOR KSZ069>072-
083-091>096-098-099.
DISCUSSION...ADK
AVIATION...ADK
CLIMATE...ADK
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