424  
FXUS63 KICT 211141  
AFDICT  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS  
641 AM CDT SUN OCT 21 2018  
   
SHORT TERM
 
(TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT)  
ISSUED AT 309 AM CDT SUN OCT 21 2018  
 
WITH THE EXCEPTION OF RAIN CHANCES WEDNESDAY THROUGH EARLY  
THURSDAY, FAIRLY QUIET WEATHER IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION THE  
NEXT 7 DAYS.  
 
SEASONABLY WARM AND SUNNY WEATHER EXPECTED TODAY AND MONDAY, WITH  
LOW-LEVEL THICKNESS VALUES SUPPORTING HIGH TEMPERATURES REACHING  
THE 60S TO MID 70S. A TIGHTENING PRESSURE GRADIENT AHEAD OF AN  
APPROACHING COLD FRONT WILL SUPPORT BREEZY SOUTHWEST WINDS TODAY.  
THE INFLUENCE OF CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE APPROACHING FROM THE NORTH  
WILL SUPPORT SLIGHTLY COOLER READINGS TUESDAY, ALTHOUGH STILL IN  
THE 60S.  
   
LONG TERM
 
(WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY)  
ISSUED AT 309 AM CDT SUN OCT 21 2018  
 
MODEL AND ENSEMBLE CONSENSUS CONTINUES TO SUPPORT INCREASING  
CHANCES FOR RAIN WEDNESDAY THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY, AS SHORTWAVE  
ENERGY APPROACHES FROM THE SOUTHWEST. LACK OF DEEP MOISTURE OWING  
TO A DISTURBANCE ANCHORED ALONG THE GULF OF MEXICO COAST SHOULD  
PREVENT WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAIN, WITH RAINFALL AMOUNTS LIKELY ONE-  
QUARTER INCH OR LESS FOR MOST. THE INCREASED CLOUDS AND  
PRECIPITATION WILL LIKELY HOLD HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE 50S FOR  
MOST AREAS WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.  
 
FOR FRIDAY-SATURDAY, A FAST-MOVING SHORTWAVE IN NORTHWEST FLOW  
ALOFT MAY PROVIDE ENOUGH FOCUS FOR A FEW SHOWERS ACROSS MAINLY  
EASTERN KANSAS. SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES IN THE 60S SHOULD CONTINUE  
FRIDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND.  
 

 
   
AVIATION
 
(FOR THE 12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z MONDAY MORNING)  
ISSUED AT 640 AM CDT SUN OCT 21 2018  
 
EXCELLENT WEATHER CONTINUES AT ALL TERMINALS THRU MON MORNING AND  
LIKELY BEYOND AS LARGE HIGH PRESSURE, THAT HAS BEEN COVERING MOST  
OF THE MIDWEST THROUGHOUT THE NIGHT, DRIFTS ACROSS THE LOWER MS  
VALLEY TONIGHT & TOMORROW. HOWEVER, LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPING ALONG  
THE CO/KS LINE WOULD CAUSE S WINDS TO INCREASE TO 17-22KTS  
SUSTAINED ACROSS CENTRAL WITH THE STRONGER SPEEDS AT KGBD & KRSL,  
WHERE 25-30KT GUSTS ARE LIKELY THIS AFTERNOON.  
 

 
   
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
 
 
WICHITA-KICT 68 46 70 47 / 0 0 0 0  
HUTCHINSON 71 45 69 45 / 0 0 0 0  
NEWTON 67 46 68 46 / 0 0 0 0  
ELDORADO 66 46 69 45 / 0 0 0 0  
WINFIELD-KWLD 68 45 71 47 / 0 0 0 0  
RUSSELL 74 44 67 41 / 0 0 0 0  
GREAT BEND 74 44 68 44 / 0 0 0 0  
SALINA 71 45 69 42 / 0 0 0 0  
MCPHERSON 70 45 69 44 / 0 0 0 0  
COFFEYVILLE 66 43 69 45 / 0 0 0 0  
CHANUTE 65 43 69 44 / 0 0 0 0  
IOLA 64 43 68 44 / 0 0 0 0  
PARSONS-KPPF 65 43 69 45 / 0 0 0 0  
 

 
   
ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
 
 
FROST ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM CDT THIS MORNING FOR KSZ069>072-  
093>096-098>100.  
 

 
 

 
 
SHORT TERM...ADK  
LONG TERM...ADK  
AVIATION...EPS  
 
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