907
FXUS63 KSGF 042338
AFDSGF
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
638 PM CDT SAT APR 4 2020
SYNOPSIS
ISSUED AT 205 PM CDT SAT APR 4 2020
STRATUS AND LIGHT FOG WERE HELPING TO KEEP TEMPERATURES IN THE 30S
ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA. SOME AREAS OF SOUTH CENTRAL MO WERE IN
THE LOW 40S. COULD REACH A FEW RECORD LOWEST HIGH TEMPERATURE
RECORDS TODAY. THE CLOUDS EXTEND WELL BACK INTO KANSAS AND
OKLAHOMA, SO WE WILL LIKELY REMAIN CLOUDY THE REMAINDER OF THE DAY
INTO TONIGHT.
MAIN FOCUS IN THIS FORECAST WILL BE WITH THE CLOUDS/FOG TONIGHT
AND WITH THE ROLLER COASTER TEMPERATURES THROUGHOUT THE WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 205 PM CDT SAT APR 4 2020
FOR TONIGHT, CEILINGS WILL LIKELY LOWER AGAIN TONIGHT ALONG WITH
SOME PATCHY DRIZZLE AND FOG DEVELOPING OVERNIGHT. NOT EXPECTING
ANY WIDESPREAD DENSE FOG, BUT WE HAVE VISIBILITY DOWN INTO THE 1
TO 2 MILE RANGE FOR PARTS OF SOUTHERN MO. DUE TO THE STAGNANT
TEMPERATURE RISES TODAY, WE HAVE LOWERED TEMPERATURES FOR TONIGHT
SLIGHTLY INTO THE UPPER 30S TO LOW 40S. THIS MAY NEED TO BE
ADJUSTED AGAIN IF WE DON'T RISE ANYMORE THIS AFTERNOON. THE
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL SHIFT EAST OF THE AREA ON SUNDAY AND WE
SHOULD START TO SEE SOME LOW LEVEL WARM ADVECTION. IF THE CLOUDS
CAN CLEAR OUT, WE SHOULD BE ABLE TO GET BACK INTO THE UPPER 50S TO
LOW 60S FOR HIGHS. WHILE PRECIPITATION CHANCES ARE NOT ZERO FOR
TONIGHT AND SUNDAY, MOST AREAS WILL REMAIN DRY WITH ONLY SPOTTY
AREAS OF DRIZZLE AND A FEW LIGHT SHOWERS OVER SOUTHERN MO
POSSIBLE.
LONG TERM
(SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 205 PM CDT SAT APR 4 2020
AS WE HEAD INTO SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY, LOW LEVEL WARM ADVECTION
WILL CONTINUE AND A WARM FRONT SHOULD LIFT THROUGH THE AREA ON
MONDAY. SURFACE LOW PRESSURE WILL REMAIN WELL WEST OF THE AREA IN
THE HIGHER PLAINS AND WE REMAIN IN SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WITH WEAK
SHORTWAVE ENERGY MOVING INTO THE AREA FROM THE SOUTHWEST. DO SEE
SOME INSTABILITY DEVELOP DURING THE DAY MONDAY WHICH MAY ALLOW FOR
SOME SCATTERED CONVECTION TO DEVELOP, ESPECIALLY IN THE AFTERNOON
INTO THE EVENING. RIGHT NOW IT DOESN'T LOOK LIKE ANY SEVERE
WEATHER OVER THE AREA. HIGH TEMPERATURES SHOULD CLIMB BACK INTO
THE 70S ON MONDAY AND THEN THE UPPER 70S TO LOW 80S BY TUESDAY.
AGAIN CAN'T RULE OUT SOME CONVECTION DURING THE AFTERNOON AND
EVENING, BUT NOT EXPECTING ANYTHING SEVERE AT THIS TIME.
ANOTHER STRONG COLD FRONT SHOULD MOVE THROUGH THE AREA WEDNESDAY
NIGHT WITH THE DEEPER COLD AIR MOVING INTO THE AREA THURSDAY NIGHT
INTO FRIDAY, WHERE WE'LL LIKELY SEE TEMPERATURES DIP BACK DOWN
INTO THE 30S FOR LOWS.
OVERALL PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS THROUGH THE 7 DAYS LOOK TO BE ON THE
LOW SIDE DESPITE SEVERAL DAYS THAT HAVE SOME SHOWER AND
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES.
AVIATION
(FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SUNDAY EVENING)
ISSUED AT 622 PM CDT SAT APR 4 2020
FLIGHT CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN STUCK BETWEEN IFR AND LIFR
THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. THIS IS DUE IN LARGE PART TO A STALLED
850-MB FRONT POSITIONED ROUGHLY PARALLEL TO I-44. LOW- LEVEL
STRATUS AND PERIODS OF DRIZZLE/SHOWERS WILL PERSIST UNTIL 15Z (9
AM) AS RICH LOW- LEVEL MOISTURE REMAINS TRAPPED BENEATH A SHALLOW
INVERSION. MVFR CONDITIONS WILL RETURN BY 18Z (1 PM) SUNDAY FOR
THE SGF/JLN/BBG TERMINALS AS A DRIER AIR MASS BEGINS TO MIX IN.
SURFACE WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE FROM THE NORTHEAST AROUND 5 KTS
OVERNIGHT.
SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
SYNOPSIS...LINDENBERG
SHORT TERM...LINDENBERG
LONG TERM...LINDENBERG
AVIATION...ALBANO
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page