441
FXUS63 KSGF 251733
AFDSGF
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1133 AM CST SUN JAN 25 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- EXTREME COLD WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR 6 PM TODAY THROUGH 12
PM MONDAY. SUB-ZERO LOW TEMPERATURES EXPECTED TONIGHT WITH
WIND CHILLS AS COLD AS -23 DEGREES BY MONDAY MORNING.
- BEHIND THE WINTER STORM, HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE 20S AND 30S
THROUGH THURSDAY ALONG WITH LOWS IN THE SINGLE DIGITS TO
TEENS WILL EXTEND THE TIME IT TAKES FOR ANY SNOW ON THE GROUND
TO CLEAR.
SHORT TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/
ISSUED AT 151 AM CST SUN JAN 25 2026
SNOW IS STILL ONGOING ACROSS THE AREA THIS MORNING WITH MOST
AREAS REPORTING 2 TO 4 INCHES MEASURED SO FAR. AN ADDITIONAL 3
TO 6 INCHES IS FORECAST TO FALL THROUGH THE REST OF TODAY WITH
SNOWFALL SLOWLY TAPERING OFF THIS AFTERNOON. LOOKING AT RADAR,
SLEET MIXED WITH SNOW APPEARS TO STILL BE FALLING OVER THE FAR
EASTERN OZARKS NEAR THE MO/AR BORDER. MODEL SOUNDINGS FOR THE
WEST PLAINS AREA HAVE THE COLUMN COOLING A BIT MORE OVER THE
NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS AND THAT PRECIP TYPE SHOULD CHANGE OVER TO
ALL SNOW HERE SHORTLY. THERE ARE AREAS OF BANDED SNOW OCCURRING
THAT HAVE BEEN DROPPING VISIBILITIES DOWN TO BELOW 1 MILE AS
THOSE BANDS MOVE THROUGH. NOT ONLY ARE MOST ROADS IN THE STATE
OF KS AND MO SNOW COVERED, THERE ARE PLACES WHERE SNOW WILL MAKE
IT DIFFICULT TO SEE THE ROAD AHEAD OF YOU. USE CAUTION IF OUT
DRIVING TODAY AND LEAVE PLENTY OF ROOM FOR THE PLOWS.
NORTHERLY WIND GUSTS WILL START TO INCREASE LATER THIS MORNING
AND GUST UP TO 25 MPH BY THIS AFTERNOON. HIGHS MAY ONLY MAKE IT
INTO THE TEENS TODAY WITH WIDESPREAD WIND CHILLS NEAR -10
DEGREES. SNOW IS EXPECTED TO END AROUND 1-3 PM FROM WEST TO EAST
ACROSS THE AREA AND CLOUDS WILL DISSIPATE THROUGH THE EVENING
HOURS. THIS WILL MAKE FOR A VERY COLD NIGHT AHEAD FOR US DUE TO
CLEAR SKIES AND THE SNOWPACK. AS ALLUDED TO IN THE PREVIOUS
FORECAST PACKAGES, MODEL GUIDANCE HAS LOWERED OUR OVERNIGHT
LOWS AND WIND CHILL TEMPERATURES DOWN EVEN MORE WHICH IS THE
REASON WHY WE UPGRADED OUR COLD WEATHER ADVISORY TO AN EXTREME
COLD WARNING FOR ALL OF OUR CWA FROM 6 PM TONIGHT TO 12 PM
MONDAY WITH WIND CHILLS AS LOW AS -23 DEGREES EXPECTED. THE
CRITERIA FOR THE AREA IS -15 TO -20 DEGREES AND WE ARE
DEFINITELY HITTING THAT THRESHOLD NOW. REMEMBER TO DRESS WARMLY,
BRING OUTDOOR PETS INSIDE, AND CHECK ON THE VULNERABLE.
NORTHWEST FLOW RETURNS AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE MOVES OVER THE
AREA. MONDAY WILL BE MOSTLY SUNNY BUT COLD WITH HIGHS ONLY IN THE
TEENS ONCE AGAIN. NORTHWEST WINDS WILL BE BREEZY WITH GUSTS UP
TO 20 MPH.
LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/
ISSUED AT 151 AM CST SUN JAN 25 2026
AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL BE OVER THE WEST COST WITH AN UPPER
LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN US. THIS WILL LEAVE THE REGION IN
AN UPPER LEVEL NORTHWEST FLOW PATTERN FOR MOST OF THE WEEK.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 30S WILL OCCUR TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY. THOUGH, DAYTIME HIGHS WILL STRUGGLE TO MAKE IT PAST
THE FREEZING MARK DUE TO THE LINGERING SNOWPACK. WINDS WILL BE
BREEZY JUST ABOUT EVERYDAY THIS WEEK AND MAY BLOW THE LIGHT
FLUFFY SNOW ONTO THE PLOWED ROADS. THIS MAY CONTINUE TO CAUSE
SLIPPERY ROADWAYS UNTIL THE SNOW COMPLETELY MELTS.
ANOTHER TROUGH WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION DURING THE END OF
THE WEEK BRINGING COLDER CONDITIONS BACK TO THE AREA ON FRIDAY
WITH HIGHS IN THE 20S. A DRY AIR MASS WILL BE IN PLACE ACROSS
THE AREA AND MOISTURE RETURN WILL BE LIMITED, SO MAINLY DRY
CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR THIS COMING WEEK. THERE IS 10-15% CHANCE
OF SNOW OVER CENTRAL MO ON FRIDAY, BUT PRECIP IS NOT VERY
WIDESPREAD AND NO ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. THE
CPC 8-14 DAY HAZARD OUTLOOK HAS OUR AREA OUTLINED FOR A SLIGHT
RISK OF MUCH BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES FOR THE START OF
FEBRUARY. THIS MEANS THAT OUR TEMPERATURES OVER THE NEXT COUPLE
OF WEEKS MAY STRUGGLE TO GET ABOVE OUR AVERAGE HIGH/LOW
TEMPERATURES FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR WHICH WOULD BE HIGHS IN THE
LOW TO MID 40S AND LOWS IN THE LOW TO MID 20S.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z MONDAY/
ISSUED AT 1133 AM CST SUN JAN 25 2026
THE BACK EDGE OF THE SNOW IS ENDING FROM WEST TO EAST ACROSS THE
AREA AND WILL CONTINUE TO END EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. MVFR
CEILINGS WILL LIKELY LINGER BEHIND THE SNOW THIS AFTERNOON THEN
CLEAR WITH HIGH CLOUDS REMAINING OVER THE AREA THIS EVENING AND
TONIGHT. NORTHERLY WINDS WILL OCCUR THIS AFTERNOON AND COULD
GUSTS UP TO 15 TO 20KT AT TIMES. WINDS WILL BECOME LIGHT AND
VARIABLE TONIGHT.
SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
KS...WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR KSZ073-
097-101.
EXTREME COLD WARNING FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON CST MONDAY
FOR KSZ073-097-101.
MO...WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR
MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106.
EXTREME COLD WARNING FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON CST MONDAY
FOR MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106.
SHORT TERM...SORIA
LONG TERM...SORIA
AVIATION...WISE
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