947  
FXUS63 KSGF 190857  
AFDSGF  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO  
257 AM CST SUN JAN 19 2020  
   
SHORT TERM
 
(TODAY AND TONIGHT)  
ISSUED AT 221 AM CST SUN JAN 19 2020  
 
COLD SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WAS MOVING ACROSS THE PLAINS AND WILL  
CONTINUE TO MAKE ITS WAY INTO THE OZARKS THROUGH TODAY. ONGOING  
COLD AIR ADVECTION WILL LIMIT HIGH TEMPERATURES TODAY DESPITE  
AMPLE SUNSHINE. CENTRAL MISSOURI WILL STRUGGLE TO REACH THE  
MIDDLE 20S WITH FAR SOUTHWESTERN MISSOURI RISING INTO THE UPPER  
30S TO NEAR 40.  
 
BY TONIGHT, HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE OVER THE REGION. CONTINUED CLEAR  
SKIES WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO DROP INTO THE UPPER SINGLE DIGIT  
ACROSS CENTRAL MISSOURI TO THE LOWER TO MIDDLE TEENS FOR THE  
REMAINDER OF THE AREA.  
 
WINDS WILL BE NORTHERLY AND FROM 5 TO 10 MPH FOR THE MOST PART  
BUT THIS WILL PRODUCE WIND CHILLS DURING THE DAY IN THE TEENS IN  
THE NORTH TO NEAR THE FREEZING MARK IN THE SOUTHWEST. TONIGHT,  
WIND CHILLS WILL DROP INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS NEAR ZERO IN THE  
NORTH TO THE MIDDLE TEENS IN THE SOUTHWEST.  
   
LONG TERM
 
(MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY)  
ISSUED AT 221 AM CST SUN JAN 19 2020  
 
A QUICK MOVING CLIPPER SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO SLIDE ACROSS  
MISSOURI MONDAY AFTERNOON INTO EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. THIS SYSTEM  
WILL HAVE TO OVERCOME SOME LOW LEVEL DRY AIR IN PLACE OVER THE  
AREA AND WILL HAVE LIMITED MOISTURE TO WORK WITH. HOWEVER, IF IT  
CAN OVERCOME THE DRY AIR, A DUSTING OF SNOW MAY BE POSSIBLE ACROSS  
THE EASTERN OZARKS. ELSEWHERE, ONLY FLURRIES OR VERY LIGHT SNOW  
MAY OCCUR.  
 
COLD AIR WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE AREA UNTIL WEDNESDAY WHEN  
SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL BRING WARMER AND MORE MOIST AIR TO THE AREA.  
THIS WILL ALSO BRING ANOTHER PERIOD OF PRECIPITATION WHICH WILL  
FALL MAINLY AS RAIN DURING THE DAY WEDNESDAY. AS THE PRECIPITATION  
MOVES INTO THE AREA WEDNESDAY IT MAY BEGIN AS SNOW BEFORE CHANGING  
OVER TO RAIN.  
 
THE RAIN IS THEN EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY AND INTO  
FRIDAY MORNING AS AN UPPER LEVEL LOW MOVES ACROSS KANSAS AND  
MERGES WITH AND ULTIMATELY LIFT OUT THE WEDNESDAY SYSTEM. FROM  
WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING, BETWEEN A HALF INCH TO UP TO TWO  
INCHES OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE. THIS MAY LEAD TO ANOTHER ROUND OF  
FLOODING FOR SOME LOCATIONS IN THE OZARKS.  
 
NEXT WEEKEND DOES LOOK RATHER QUIET, MILD AND DRY AFTER THE END OF  
WEEK SYSTEM LIFT NORTH OF THE AREA.  
 

 
   
AVIATION
 
(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SUNDAY NIGHT)  
ISSUED AT 1126 PM CST SAT JAN 18 2020  
 
KSGF/KJLN/KBBG TAFS: VFR WITH DRY NORTHWEST WINDS (MODERATELY  
GUSTY AT TIMES AFTER 15Z) WITH A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE  
PLAINS.  
 

 
   
SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
 
 
MO...NONE.  
KS...NONE.  

 
 

 
 
SHORT TERM...HATCH  
LONG TERM...HATCH  
AVIATION...DSA  
 
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