511
FXUS63 KSGF 080445
AFDSGF
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1145 PM CDT THU AUG 7 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- A HEAT ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR MOSTLY ALONG AND WEST OF
HIGHWAY 65 FOR FRIDAY FROM 1-8 PM. HOT AND HUMID CONDITIONS
ACROSS THE AREA INTO THE WEEKEND. AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES IN
THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 90S, WITH HEAT INDEX VALUES APPROACHING
100 DEGREES.
- ADDITIONAL CHANCES LATE SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY, PERSISTING INTO
NEXT WEEK. NO WIDESPREAD CHANCES AT THIS TIME.
SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
ISSUED AT 311 PM CDT THU AUG 7 2025
A DYING MCS HAS MOVED ITS WAY INTO EASTERN MO THIS AFTERNOON
BRINING CLOUD COVER, COOLER TEMPERATURES, AND A FEW
THUNDERSTORMS/RAIN SHOWERS. THESE SHOWERS SHOULD DISSIPATE IN
THE NEXT HOUR OR SO AND TEMPERATURES WILL WARM UP INTO THE UPPER
80S OVER IN THE EASTERN OZARKS. THE REST OF OUR AREA IS
CURRENTLY IN THE LOWER 90S AND WILL TOP OUT IN THE MID 90S OVER
THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS. WINDS WILL STAY ELEVATED GUSTING TO 25
MPH THIS AFTERNOON BUT WILL DIMINISH THIS EVENING. CLOUD COVER
WILL CONTINUE TO DISSIPATE AND SKIES WILL CLEAR OUT THIS
EVENING. TONIGHT, EXPECT WARM TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER 60S TO
LOWER 70S.
LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
ISSUED AT 311 PM CDT THU AUG 7 2025
A HEAT ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR FRIDAY 1-8PM FOR AREAS
PRIMARILY WEST OF HIGHWAY 65 FOR HEAT INDICES REACHING 106
DEGREES TOMORROW. BE SURE TO DRINK PLENTY OF WATER AND TAKE
FREQUENT BREAKS IF WORKING OUTSIDE.
FRIDAY-SUNDAY: THE UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE BUILDS INTO LATE
WEEK/WEEKEND WITH INCREASING MID-LEVEL HEIGHTS. THIS WILL
SUPPORT TEMPERATURES A FEW DEGREES WARMER ON FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY, WITH HIGHS VARYING FROM LOWER 90S (EAST) TO
MIDDLE/UPPER 90S (WEST). MAXIMUM AFTERNOON HEAT INDEX VALUES ARE
PROGGED TO REACH INTO THE UPPER 90S TO AROUND 100 ONCE. ANOTHER
HEAT ADVISORY MAY BE ISSUED FOR SATURDAY, BUT THAT WILL BE
EVALUATED IN THE OVERNIGHT FORECAST UPDATE. MEANWHILE, POPS
REMAIN MINIMAL (<10%) THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING, WITH DRY
CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO PREVAIL.
BY SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY, A SLIGHT BREAKDOWN IN THE RIDGE
OCCURS AS A TROUGH TRANSLATES ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS. THIS
WILL SUPPORT THE RETURN OF ADDITIONAL RAIN CHANCES (10-20%)
ACROSS WEST CENTRAL AND CENTRAL MO. CONFIDENCE REMAINS LOW ON
ANY WIDESPREAD RAINFALL CHANCES THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
NEXT WEEK: THE GENERAL TREND SUPPORTS TEMPERATURES REMAINING
NEAR NORMAL TO A FEW DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL AS WE HEAD INTO MID-
AUGUST. THIS WOULD BE CHARACTERIZED BY DAILY HIGHS IN THE LOWER
90S. WHILE THERE IS SOME UNCERTAINTY DEPICTED IN THE ENSEMBLES,
THE PATTERN APPEARS TO SUPPORT DAILY RAIN CHANCES (10-30%) AS IT
BECOMES QUASI- ZONAL IN NATURE. FUTURE FORECAST UPDATES WILL
WORK TO PIN DOWN THE BEST RAIN CHANCES, AND POTENTIAL COVERAGE.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SATURDAY/
ISSUED AT 1145 PM CDT THU AUG 7 2025
VFR CONDITIONS PREVAIL THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. INCREASING
SOUTHERLY WINDS ON FRIDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON, WITH WIND GUSTS
APPROACHING 20 TO 25 KNOTS AT KJLN AND KSGF.
SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
KS...HEAT ADVISORY FROM 1 PM TO 8 PM CDT FRIDAY FOR KSZ073-097-101.
MO...HEAT ADVISORY FROM 1 PM TO 8 PM CDT FRIDAY FOR MOZ055-056-
066>069-077>080-088>091-093>095-101>104.
SHORT TERM...SORIA
LONG TERM...SORIA
AVIATION...PEREZ
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