907  
FXUS63 KSGF 042338  
AFDSGF  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO  
638 PM CDT SAT APR 4 2020  
   
SYNOPSIS
 
 
ISSUED AT 205 PM CDT SAT APR 4 2020  
 
STRATUS AND LIGHT FOG WERE HELPING TO KEEP TEMPERATURES IN THE 30S  
ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA. SOME AREAS OF SOUTH CENTRAL MO WERE IN  
THE LOW 40S. COULD REACH A FEW RECORD LOWEST HIGH TEMPERATURE  
RECORDS TODAY. THE CLOUDS EXTEND WELL BACK INTO KANSAS AND  
OKLAHOMA, SO WE WILL LIKELY REMAIN CLOUDY THE REMAINDER OF THE DAY  
INTO TONIGHT.  
 
MAIN FOCUS IN THIS FORECAST WILL BE WITH THE CLOUDS/FOG TONIGHT  
AND WITH THE ROLLER COASTER TEMPERATURES THROUGHOUT THE WEEK.  
 

 
   
SHORT TERM
 
(THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY)  
ISSUED AT 205 PM CDT SAT APR 4 2020  
 
FOR TONIGHT, CEILINGS WILL LIKELY LOWER AGAIN TONIGHT ALONG WITH  
SOME PATCHY DRIZZLE AND FOG DEVELOPING OVERNIGHT. NOT EXPECTING  
ANY WIDESPREAD DENSE FOG, BUT WE HAVE VISIBILITY DOWN INTO THE 1  
TO 2 MILE RANGE FOR PARTS OF SOUTHERN MO. DUE TO THE STAGNANT  
TEMPERATURE RISES TODAY, WE HAVE LOWERED TEMPERATURES FOR TONIGHT  
SLIGHTLY INTO THE UPPER 30S TO LOW 40S. THIS MAY NEED TO BE  
ADJUSTED AGAIN IF WE DON'T RISE ANYMORE THIS AFTERNOON. THE  
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL SHIFT EAST OF THE AREA ON SUNDAY AND WE  
SHOULD START TO SEE SOME LOW LEVEL WARM ADVECTION. IF THE CLOUDS  
CAN CLEAR OUT, WE SHOULD BE ABLE TO GET BACK INTO THE UPPER 50S TO  
LOW 60S FOR HIGHS. WHILE PRECIPITATION CHANCES ARE NOT ZERO FOR  
TONIGHT AND SUNDAY, MOST AREAS WILL REMAIN DRY WITH ONLY SPOTTY  
AREAS OF DRIZZLE AND A FEW LIGHT SHOWERS OVER SOUTHERN MO  
POSSIBLE.  
   
LONG TERM
 
(SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY)  
ISSUED AT 205 PM CDT SAT APR 4 2020  
 
AS WE HEAD INTO SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY, LOW LEVEL WARM ADVECTION  
WILL CONTINUE AND A WARM FRONT SHOULD LIFT THROUGH THE AREA ON  
MONDAY. SURFACE LOW PRESSURE WILL REMAIN WELL WEST OF THE AREA IN  
THE HIGHER PLAINS AND WE REMAIN IN SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WITH WEAK  
SHORTWAVE ENERGY MOVING INTO THE AREA FROM THE SOUTHWEST. DO SEE  
SOME INSTABILITY DEVELOP DURING THE DAY MONDAY WHICH MAY ALLOW FOR  
SOME SCATTERED CONVECTION TO DEVELOP, ESPECIALLY IN THE AFTERNOON  
INTO THE EVENING. RIGHT NOW IT DOESN'T LOOK LIKE ANY SEVERE  
WEATHER OVER THE AREA. HIGH TEMPERATURES SHOULD CLIMB BACK INTO  
THE 70S ON MONDAY AND THEN THE UPPER 70S TO LOW 80S BY TUESDAY.  
AGAIN CAN'T RULE OUT SOME CONVECTION DURING THE AFTERNOON AND  
EVENING, BUT NOT EXPECTING ANYTHING SEVERE AT THIS TIME.  
 
ANOTHER STRONG COLD FRONT SHOULD MOVE THROUGH THE AREA WEDNESDAY  
NIGHT WITH THE DEEPER COLD AIR MOVING INTO THE AREA THURSDAY NIGHT  
INTO FRIDAY, WHERE WE'LL LIKELY SEE TEMPERATURES DIP BACK DOWN  
INTO THE 30S FOR LOWS.  
 
OVERALL PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS THROUGH THE 7 DAYS LOOK TO BE ON THE  
LOW SIDE DESPITE SEVERAL DAYS THAT HAVE SOME SHOWER AND  
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES.  
 

 
   
AVIATION
 
(FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SUNDAY EVENING)  
ISSUED AT 622 PM CDT SAT APR 4 2020  
 
FLIGHT CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN STUCK BETWEEN IFR AND LIFR  
THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. THIS IS DUE IN LARGE PART TO A STALLED  
850-MB FRONT POSITIONED ROUGHLY PARALLEL TO I-44. LOW- LEVEL  
STRATUS AND PERIODS OF DRIZZLE/SHOWERS WILL PERSIST UNTIL 15Z (9  
AM) AS RICH LOW- LEVEL MOISTURE REMAINS TRAPPED BENEATH A SHALLOW  
INVERSION. MVFR CONDITIONS WILL RETURN BY 18Z (1 PM) SUNDAY FOR  
THE SGF/JLN/BBG TERMINALS AS A DRIER AIR MASS BEGINS TO MIX IN.  
 
SURFACE WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE FROM THE NORTHEAST AROUND 5 KTS  
OVERNIGHT.  
 

 
   
SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
 
 
MO...NONE.  
KS...NONE.  

 
 

 
 
SYNOPSIS...LINDENBERG  
SHORT TERM...LINDENBERG  
LONG TERM...LINDENBERG  
AVIATION...ALBANO  
 
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