935
FXUS63 KSGF 281759
AFDSGF
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1259 PM CDT FRI AUG 28 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- TEMPERATURES INCREASE BY A FEW DEGREES EACH DAY TODAY THROUGH
MONDAY, WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER 90S BY SUNDAY.
- MULTIPLE DAYS OF HIGH TEMPERATURES BETWEEN 90-100 F AND HEAT
INDEX VALUES OF 95-110 F ARE EXPECTED SUNDAY-THURSDAY, WITH
MAJOR (LEVEL 3 OF 4) TO EXTREME (LEVEL 4 OF 4) HEAT RISK
EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA.
- ONCE THE HEAT STARTS, IT IS NOT FORECAST TO END ANYTIME SOON.
THE CPC FORECASTING A 70-80% CHANCE OF ABOVE AVERAGE
TEMPERATURES TO CONTINUE AT LEAST THROUGH SEPTEMBER 4-10.
SHORT TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/
ISSUED AT 1227 PM CDT FRI AUG 28 2026
HIGHS WILL PEAK INTO THE UPPER 80S TO THE LOWER 90S TODAY WITH
MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES. A SMALL CUMULUS FIELD HAS FORMED OVER THE
EASTERN OZARKS AS THE DEPARTING MID-LEVEL TROUGH MOVES EAST TOWARDS
NEW ENGLAND. WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT, UNDER 10 MPH BUT WILL
PRIMARILY BE OUT OF THE NORTHEAST. DEWPOINTS WON'T BE TOO BAD TODAY
EITHER AS WE DROP INTO THE 50S LATER THIS EVENING NEAR SUNSET. IT'LL
BE ANOTHER COOL EVENING WITH LOWS IN THE 60S AND CLEAR SKIES.
LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
ISSUED AT 1227 PM CDT FRI AUG 28 2026
THE RIDGE CURRENTLY OVER THE FOUR CORNERS REGION WILL SLOWLY PUSH
EAST TOWARDS US THROUGHOUT THE WEEKEND AND INTO NEXT WEEK. HIGHS
NEXT WEEK WILL BE WARM IN THE UPPER 90S TO LOWER 100S. WE HAVE
EXPERIENCED THESE TEMPERATURES FOR MOST OF THE SUMMER, BUT THEY ARE
TECHNICALLY ABOVE AVERAGE FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR (AVERAGE HIGHS ARE
81-86 DEGREES). THE HEAT RISK DOES BEGIN TO INCREASE INTO THE MAJOR
(3/4) TO EXTREME (4/4) LEVELS THROUGHOUT NEXT WEEK ESPECIALLY
FURTHER WEST OVER IN SE KS/SW MO. TUESDAY-THURSDAY ARE FORECAST TO
BE THE HOTTEST WITH A 40-80% CHANCE OF EXPERIENCING EXTREME HEAT.
AGAIN, WE'VE EXPERIENCED THIS KIND OF HEAT RECENTLY, BUT COMPARING
IT TO THE AVERAGE TEMPERATURE THIS TIME OF YEAR, IT IS ALMOST 20
DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. DUE TO THE LONGEVITY OF THE HEAT AND WARM
OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES IN THE 70S, A HEAT HEADLINE WILL LIKELY BE
NEEDED.
THERE ARE SOME CONCERNS FOR ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER DANGER
PRIMARILY WEST OF HIGHWAY 65 ON SUNDAY. THIS IS DUE TO MIN RH
VALUES IN THE 20-30% RANGE WITH SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS GUSTING TO
25 MPH. THIS AREA IS ALSO IN A MODERATE TO SEVERE (D1 TO D2 OUT
OF 4) DROUGHT WITH NO RAIN EXPECTED THROUGH THE LONG TERM PERIOD.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY/
ISSUED AT 1215 PM CDT FRI AUG 28 2026
VFR THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH VARIABLE WINDS AND MOSTLY CLEAR
SKIES.
CLIMATE
ISSUED AT 205 PM CDT THU AUG 27 2026
RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES:
AUGUST 30:
KSGF: 101/2000
KJLN: 103/2000
AUGUST 31:
KJLN: 105/2000
KVIH: 100/2000
SEPTEMBER 1:
KVIH: 99/1953
SEPTEMBER 2:
KSGF: 101/2000
KVIH: 99/1899
RECORD HIGH MINIMUM TEMPERATURES:
AUGUST 30:
KSGF: 73/2013
KJLN: 76/1945
KVIH: 75/1951
AUGUST 31:
KSGF: 76/2011
KJLN: 80/2011
KVIH: 75/1980
SEPTEMBER 1:
KSGF: 77/1922
KJLN: 80/2011
KUNO: 74/1989
KVIH: 76/2011
SEPTEMBER 2:
KSGF: 76/1922
KJLN: 77/1961
KUNO: 73/1980
KVIH: 75/1898
SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
KS...NONE.
MO...NONE.
SHORT TERM...SORIA
LONG TERM...SORIA
AVIATION...SORIA
CLIMATE...CAMDEN
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