032  
FNUS71 KRLX 181120  
FWSRLX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR PINE CREEK RX UNIT I & J...WAYNE NATIONAL FOREST  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV  
720 AM EDT FRI APR 18 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 EDT ON APRIL 18.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
TEMPERATURES RISE ABOVE NORMAL AMID DRIER BUT BREEZY CONDITIONS  
TODAY. WINDS WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE BY MID MORNING, BECOMING  
GUSTY THIS AFTERNOON UP TO 26 MPH. WARMER TEMPERATURES AND GOOD  
MIXING BY INCREASING WINDS MAY DROP RELATIVE HUMIDITY INTO THE  
MID 20S, AND EVENT IN THE UPPER TEENS BY 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON.  
 
A SYSTEM MOVES INTO THE REGION ON SATURDAY WITH SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS CLIPPING PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST OHIO AND WEST VIRGINIA.  
CHANCES OF RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE FOR SUNDAY,  
ALTHOUGH NOT AS PROMINENT AS EXPECTED ON SATURDAY, AS A FRONTAL  
PASSAGE TAKES PLACE INTO MONDAY.  
 
ANOTHER SYSTEM QUICKLY MOVES INTO THE REGION LATER ON MONDAY WITH A  
FRONTAL PASSAGE ON TUESDAY MORNING. THIS SYSTEM WILL KEEP RAIN AND  
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES ON THE TABLE FOR THE AREA, HOWEVER HIGH  
PRESSURE WILL THEN BUILD IN AND LIKELY GIVE US A BREAK THROUGH  
MIDWEEK.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).  
CWR.................1 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...2 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81.  
MIN HUMIDITY........27 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 26 MPH  
IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 7 TO 12 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST 26 TO  
30 MPH.  
LVORI...............2.  
ADI.................7 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 123 IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........36 23 17 9 8 11 13 15 17 15  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............57 61 65 70 74 77 79 81 81 81  
RH..............49 45 42 37 35 33 33 31 27 27  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 7 7 8 8 9 9 9 10 10  
20 FT WIND GUST.14 16 17 18 19 20 21 21 21 21  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.8 1.5 2.7 3.8 4.3 4.7 4.9 5.1 4.6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 12 17 23 26 28 29 30 29 26  
LVORI...........3 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
ADI.............7 12 35 79 120 107 115 123 120 105  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT).  
CWR.................2 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...5 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.  
MAX HUMIDITY........62 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 9 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND  
19 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 21 MPH DECREASING TO 7 TO 9 MPH  
EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
LVORI...............2.  
ADI.................5 TO 14.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........22 28 29 41 48 59 52 49 53 67 62 72  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10  
TEMP............80 78 76 73 71 69 69 68 67 68 67 67  
RH..............30 32 37 39 41 45 45 46 47 47 50 51  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..9 9 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.19 18 16 17 17 16 17 17 17 17 17 17  
MIX HGT (KFT)...4.0 1.3 1.0 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.9  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.21 15 9 7 7 8 8 9 9 9 9 9  
LVORI...........2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
ADI.............14 10 6 5 5 7 7 8 8 8 8 8  
   
SATURDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................11 PERCENT INCREASING TO 18 PERCENT LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...7 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 82.  
MIN HUMIDITY........48 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 21 MPH  
EARLY IN THE MORNING THEN 23 MPH IN THE LATE  
MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 7 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 14  
TO 21 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.  
LVORI...............2.  
ADI.................7 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 80 IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........71 80 77 70 52 58 60 63 65 69 73 77  
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 10 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 20  
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 20 20 30 30 40  
CHC OF THDR (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
TEMP............66 66 66 68 71 73 76 78 78 79 79 78  
RH..............54 56 59 62 59 57 53 51 50 49 48 49  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 6 7 7 7 8 8 8 9 8 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.17 16 14 16 17 18 18 18 18 18 18 17  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.9 0.8 0.7 1.2 2.3 2.9 3.9 4.3 4.2 4.1 3.7 3.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 7 7 10 15 20 21 21 20 18 16 14  
LVORI...........2 3 3 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
ADI.............9 7 7 16 40 62 76 80 75 69 58 53  
 

 
FORECASTER...ARJ  
REQUESTED BY...SCOTTIE KISER  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2510732.2/RLX  
.DELDT 04/18/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL JASON.SIMMS@USDA.GOV,SCOTTIE.KISER@USDA.GOV  
 
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