363
FXUS61 KILN 072347
AFDILN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
747 PM EDT THU MAY 7 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
NO SUBSTANTIAL CHANGES.
KEY MESSAGES
1) SEVERAL ROUNDS OF SHOWERS THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
2) TEMPERATURES WILL BE NORMAL TO BELOW NORMAL.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1)
THE SYNOPTIC CONDITIONS OVER THE NEXT WEEK WILL GENERALLY BE
CHARACTERIZED BY LONG WAVE TROUGHING OVER THE GREAT LAKES AND BELOW
AVERAGE TEMPERATURES. MULTIPLE DISTURBANCES BRING SEVERAL CHANCES
FOR RAIN THROUGH THE NEXT 7 DAYS.
THE FIRST CHANCE FOR LIGHT RAIN IS TONIGHT ALONG AND NORTH OF I-70
DUE TO AN UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVING ACROSS THE GREAT
LAKES. QPF AMOUNTS REMAIN LIGHT.
THE NEXT CHANCE FOR SHOWERS, AND POSSIBLY A THUNDERSTORM OR TWO,
DEVELOPS ACROSS SOUTHERN OHIO, EASTERN INDIANA, AND NORTHERN
KENTUCKY LATE FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND OVERNIGHT ON FRIDAY. WEAK, BUT
PERSISTENT, WAA ALLOWS MOISTURE TO INCREASE ALONG A CONVERGENT AXIS
AT THE NOSE OF A LLJ. RAIN TOTALS ANYWHERE FROM 0.5 TO 1 INCH ARE
POSSIBLE SOUTH OF I-70. MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGEST THE ONSET OF SHOWERS
COULD BE DELAYED AS THE ATMOSPHERE COULD BE SLOW TO SATURATE FRIDAY
AFTERNOON.
A COLD FRONT BRINGS RAIN CHANCES TO THE ENTIRE AREA ON SUNDAY
FOLLOWED BY ANOTHER CHANCE FOR RAIN TOWARD THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK
WHEN A LOW MOVES THROUGH.
KEY MESSAGE 2)
THE LONG WAVE TROUGH WILL GENERALLY KEEP COOLER CONDITIONS ACROSS
THE REGION. THERE WILL BE A MODEST WARM UP TO AROUND NORMAL FROM
FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY NIGHT. BUT THEN TEMPERATURES WILL DROP
BACK BELOW NORMAL UNTIL THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.
AVIATION /00Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
SCATTERED LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS WILL AFFECT AREAS ALONG AND NORTH OF
THE I-70 CORRIDOR AT TIMES THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. WE WILL GET
INTO A BREAK IN ANY PCPN FRIDAY MORNING BEFORE MORE WIDESPREAD
SHOWERS OVERSPREAD THE REGION FROM THE WEST LATER FRIDAY AFTERNOON
INTO FRIDAY NIGHT. VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL THROUGH
THE TAF PERIOD.
OUTLOOK...MVFR CEILINGS AND VISIBILITIES POSSIBLE LATER FRIDAY NIGHT
INTO SATURDAY MORNING.
ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OH...NONE.
KY...NONE.
IN...NONE.
DISCUSSION...CAMPBELL
AVIATION...JGL
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