626
FXUS61 KILN 041129
AFDILN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
629 AM EST WED FEB 4 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
ATTENTION HAS SWITCHED TO THE NEXT PERIOD OF ACTIVE WEATHER LATER
THIS WEEK AND INTO THE WEEKEND.
KEY MESSAGES
1) CLIPPER MOVES ACROSS THE AREA FRIDAY WITH LIGHT SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS POSSIBLE.
2) FRIGID TEMPERATURES TO START THE WEEKEND.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1)
AHEAD OF THE PRIMARY CLIPPER ON FRIDAY, AN INITIAL SHORTWAVE DESCENDS
THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES THURSDAY. CAN'T RULE OUT SOME FLURRIES OR
PERIODS OF LIGHT SNOW THURSDAY EVENING, BUT HELD OFF ON ADDING A
MENTION IN THE FORECAST DUE TO DRY MID-LEVEL AIR IN FORECAST
SOUNDINGS.
THE NEXT SHORTWAVE IS A BIT MORE ROBUST, AND IS COMBINED WITH A
SURFACE LOW PRESSURE MOVING INTO THE NORTHEAST US FROM CANADA. LIGHT
ACCUMULATING SNOW OF 1 TO 2 INCHES IS GENERALLY EXPECTED ACROSS THE
AREA WITH THE GREATEST CHANCES OF GREATER THAN 2" OVER THE GREATER
COLUMBUS AREA (20-30%). IMPACTS WILL BE TIED TO THE TIMING OF THE
SNOWFALL. IF IT COMES IN CLOSER TO MORNING, COLD TEMPERATURES
THURSDAY NIGHT WOULD SUPPORT ACCUMULATIONS ON ROADWAYS FOR THE FRIDAY
MORNING COMMUTE. IF IT COMES LATER, TEMPERATURES WILL BE LESS
SUPPORTIVE AS THEY RISE TO NEAR FREEZING THROUGHOUT THE AFTERNOON.
KEY MESSAGE 2)
THE NEXT BLAST OF ARCTIC AIR MOVES IN BEHIND THE COLD FRONT ON
FRIDAY NIGHT. BOTH SATURDAY AND SUNDAY MAY FEATURE PERIODS WITH WIND
CHILLS NEAR OR BELOW ZERO ESPECIALLY DURING THE MORNING HOURS. WHILE
CONFIDENCE IS FAIRLY HIGH ON THESE COLD TEMPERATURES OCCURRING,
CONFIDENCE IS ALSO HIGH THAT THIS IS SHORT- LIVED. MORE MODERATE
TEMPERATURES AND UPPER LEVEL RIDGING BUILDS NEXT WEEK ACROSS THE OHIO
VALLEY. TEMPERATURES IN THE 40S ARE POSSIBLE FOR SOME ON MONDAY AND
TUESDAY.
AVIATION /12Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
MVFR CIGS CONTINUE TO SLOWLY DRIFT AROUND THE AREA THROUGH THE TAF
PERIOD. OCCASIONAL BREAKS ARE POSSIBLE TODAY, BECOMING MORE LIKELY
DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THEN, THE COVERAGE OF MVFR CIGS
INCREASES AGAIN OVERNIGHT.
WINDS ARE OUT OF THE NORTHEAST BETWEEN 5 AND 10 KNOTS THIS MORNING,
BECOMING MORE NORTHERLY THROUGHOUT DAY. TAFS END WITH LIGHT AND
VARIABLE WINDS, BECOMING PREDOMINATELY SOUTHWESTERLY ON THURSDAY.
OUTLOOK...LIGHT SNOW IS POSSIBLE FRIDAY ALONG WITH MVFR CONDITIONS.
ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OH...NONE.
KY...NONE.
IN...NONE.
DISCUSSION...MCGINNIS
AVIATION...MCGINNIS
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page