430
FXUS61 KILN 241042
AFDILN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
642 AM EDT FRI JUL 24 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES.
KEY MESSAGES
1) DRY AND COOL WEATHER CONTINUES TODAY. WARM AND HUMID CONDITIONS
RETURN ON SUNDAY ALONG WITH A CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1)
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO BUILD ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY FROM
THE NORTHWEST TODAY. DRY CONDITIONS AND BELOW AVERAGE TEMPERATURES
PERSIST WITH HIGHS IN THE 70S TO NEAR 80.
THE SURFACE HIGH SHIFTS EAST OF THE REGION THIS WEEKEND WHICH WILL
ALLOW WARMER TEMPERATURES AND HIGHER DEW POINTS TO MOVE BACK INTO THE
AREA FROM THE SOUTH. SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORMS CHANCES RETURN ALONG WITH
THE SUMMER LIKE CONDITIONS. UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGHS MOVING
THROUGH THE NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT COULD LEAD TO PERIODS OF GREATER
STORM COVERAGE AT TIMES. ONE POTENTIAL PERIOD FOR MORE STORM
ACTIVITY IS MONDAY EVENING AND MONDAY NIGHT. INSTABILITY MAY END UP
OVERLAPPING WITH STRONG SHEAR WHEN A POTENTIAL CLUSTER OF STORMS OR
MCS SINKS INTO THE OHIO VALLEY FROM THE NORTHWEST. CONFIDENCE IS
LOW REGARDING THE DETAILS AT THIS TIME FRAME, BUT THERE IS A SIGNAL
FOR CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY SOMEWHERE IN THE GREAT LAKES AND OHIO VALLEY
LATE MONDAY.
AVIATION /12Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL TODAY WITH HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS STREAMING
IN THIS MORNING. EXPECT FEW TO SCATTERED CUMULUS CLOUDS THIS
AFTERNOON ALONG WITH INCREASING HIGH AND SOME MID LEVEL CLOUDS.
CLOUDS THIN OUT THIS EVENING WITH SOME FOG POSSIBLE AT KLUK AND
KILN.
OUTLOOK...THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE SUNDAY AND THEN AGAIN MONDAY
THROUGH TUESDAY.
ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OH...NONE.
KY...NONE.
IN...NONE.
DISCUSSION...AR
AVIATION...AR
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