654
FXUS61 KILN 251254
AFDILN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
854 AM EDT MON MAY 25 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
CANCELLED THE DENSE FOG ADVISORY AS VISIBILITIES HAVE IMPROVED.
KEY MESSAGES
1) TEMPERATURES WILL BE NEAR TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE
WEEK.
2) SHOWERS AND SOME THUNDERSTORMS WILL RETURN TO THE REGION TUESDAY
INTO WEDNESDAY.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1)
WITH CLOUDS DECREASING TODAY, TEMPERATURES WILL BE SEVERAL DEGREES
WARMER THAN YESTERDAY, GETTING BACK CLOSE TO NORMAL. RISING MID
LEVEL HEIGHTS THROUGH MID WEEK WILL ALLOW FOR WARMING IN THE
ATMOSPHERIC COLUMN. SO TEMPERATURES WILL BE ABLE TO RISE ABOVE NORMAL
TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. HEIGHTS WILL GET SUPPRESSED LATE IN THE
WEEK AS A LONG WAVE TROUGH DEVELOPS FROM EASTERN CANADA INTO THE
NORTHEAST US. THIS WILL LEAD TO A COOLING TREND HEADING INTO THE
WEEKEND.
KEY MESSAGE 2)
BOUNDARY MOVING ACROSS THE AREA THIS MORNING WILL BECOME ELONGATED
AND ORIENTED MORE EAST NORTHEAST-WEST SOUTHWEST THIS AFTERNOON. MOST
LIKELY IT WILL BE JUST SOUTH OF THE FAR SOUTHEASTERN PART OF THE
FORECAST AREA DURING PEAK HEATING. AS ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED
CONVECTION DEVELOPS NEAR THE BOUNDARY, CANNOT RULE OUT A BIT OF THIS
ACTIVITY OCCURRING IN NORTHEAST KENTUCKY AND SOUTH CENTRAL OHIO.
THE FRONT WILL START TO RETURN NORTH ON TUESDAY, GETTING TO NEAR THE
OHIO RIVER BY THE END OF THE DAY. SOME FURTHER NORTHWARD PROGRESS
WILL OCCUR TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING, POSSIBLY GETTING TO
NEAR I-70. EXPECT GREATER COVERAGE OF DIURNAL ACTIVITY BOTH DAYS AS
WEAK ENERGY CUTS THROUGH AN ELONGATED MID LEVEL RIDGE. AND THERE
COULD EVEN BE SOME LINGERING SHOWERS THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT IN BETWEEN
THESE DIURNAL PEAKS.
PRECIPITABLE WATER IS FORECAST TO INCREASE TO OVER 150 PERCENT OF
NORMAL BY WEDNESDAY. SO SOME LOCALIZED HEAVY RAIN IS POSSIBLE. BUT
MOST INDICATIONS ARE THAT THE BAND OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL
BE PROGRESSIVE, GETTING SHUNTED SOUTHWARDS THROUGH WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
AVIATION /12Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
A MIX OF IFR AND MVFR CEILINGS AND VISIBILITIES TO START THE PERIOD
OTHER THAN AT KDAY WHICH IS VFR AND WILL REMAIN THAT WAY. ELSEWHERE,
EXPECT VISIBILITY TO IMPROVE FIRST AND THEN FOR CEILINGS TO START TO
LIFT. CLOUDS WILL SCATTER AREA WIDE TOWARDS 18Z. EXPECT VFR CEILINGS
TO SPREAD NORTHWARDS INTO THE REGION AFTER 00Z. COULD BE SOME MVFR
VISIBILITY RESTRICTIONS, BUT FOR NOW ONLY HAVE ENOUGH CONFIDENCE TO
INCLUDE THAT AT KLUK.
OUTLOOK...MVFR VISIBILITIES POSSIBLE TUESDAY MORNING. THUNDERSTORMS
POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY.
ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OH...NONE.
KY...NONE.
IN...NONE.
DISCUSSION...
AVIATION...
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