906  
FXUS61 KILN 300538  
AFDILN  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH  
138 AM EDT THU MAY 30 2024  
   
SYNOPSIS
 
 
UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES WILL KEEP A CHANCE OF SHOWERS THROUGH THIS  
EVENING. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING DRY AND COOL CONDITIONS THURSDAY  
THROUGH FRIDAY. AN UNSETTLED PATTERN IS EXPECTED FROM LATE SATURDAY  
THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.  
 

 
   
NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THIS MORNING/
 
 
ISOLATED SHOWERS CONTINUE INTO THE EARLY OVERNIGHT HOURS ON THE  
BACKSIDE OF AN EXITING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM. THUNDER POTENTIAL  
WILL BE MUCH MORE LIMITED NOW AFTER SUNSET, BUT CANNOT BE  
COMPLETELY RULED OUT.  
 
SHOWER COVERAGE WILL CONTINUE TO WANE OVERNIGHT, WITH LITTLE TO  
NO COVERAGE EXPECTED AFTER MIDNIGHT. MODELS SHOW MID LEVEL  
CLOUDS DISSOLVING OVERNIGHT. COMBINED WITH THE LIGHT SURFACE  
WINDS, THIS COULD RESULT IN PATCHY OVERLAND FOG, WITH BETTER FOG  
POTENTIAL ALONG RIVER VALLEYS.  
 
LOWS WILL BE SEASONABLY COOL TONIGHT, DIPPING INTO THE 40S FOR  
MOST.  
 

 
   
SHORT TERM /6 AM THIS MORNING THROUGH 6 PM FRIDAY/
 
 
HIGH PRESSURE FROM CANADA BUILDS SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES  
AND OHIO VALLEY THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE SHOULD  
PROVIDE A DECENT DEAL OF SUNSHINE ON THURSDAY, BUT THE AIR MASS IS  
COOL AND BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES FROM THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 70S  
ARE EXPECTED. AT NIGHT, DECENT RADIATIONAL COOLING WITH CLEAR SKIES  
AND LIGHT WINDS WILL SUPPORT LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 40S.  
 

 
   
LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
 
 
A SERIES OF DISTURBANCES AND FRONTS WILL KEEP UNSETTLED WEATHER OVER  
ILN THROUGH MOST OF THE PERIOD.  
 
DEPARTING HIGH PRESSURE SHOULD KEEP THE WEATHER DRY FRIDAY NIGHT.  
MOISTURE RETURNING BEHIND THE HIGH AHEAD OF A SHORT WAVE WILL BRING  
THE THREAT FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ON SATURDAY AND SUNDAY.  
THERE MAY BE A BRIEF DRY INTERLUDE EARLY MONDAY BEFORE THE NEXT  
SHORT WAVE AND A BOUNDARY ARRIVE FROM THE WEST WITH MORE  
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES FOR MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY. A MORE  
POTENT SHORT WAVE AND FRONT COLLIDING WITH AN UNSTABLE AIRMASS COULD  
BRING ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS ON WEDNESDAY.  
 
AFTER A COOL START FRIDAY NIGHT WITH LOWS IN THE LOW 50S,  
TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST TO BE NEAR NORMAL THROUGH TUESDAY WITH  
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOW 80S, AND LOWS IN THE LOW AND MID 60S.  
WARM ADVECTION MAY BOOST READINGS ABOVE NORMAL TO THE MID AND UPPER  
80S ON WEDNESDAY.  
 

 
   
AVIATION /06Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
 
 
LONG WAVE MID LEVEL TROF OVER THE EASTERN CONUS. EMBEDDED  
SHORTWAVE SHIFTING SOUTH AND EAST OF THE AREA. A FEW LINGERING  
SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TO DIMINISH AS THEY TRACK SOUTHEAST FOR  
THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS BEFORE DISSIPATING. DUE TO ISOLD  
COVERAGE AND DECREASING COVERAGE HAVE ONLY HAVE A VCSH MENTION  
IN THE TAFS.  
 
MID LEVEL CLOUD DECK WILL GRADUALLY ERODE TONIGHT. THIS WILL LEAD  
TO RIVER VALLEY FOG, WHICH WILL IMPACT KLUK. ALSO, EXPECT MVFR  
TO IFR VSBY RESTRICTIONS AT KILN. VSBY REDUCTIONS WILL QUICKLY  
IMPROVE SHORTLY AFTER SUNRISE WITH VFR CONDITIONS THRU THE  
REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST. SOME FEW TO SCATTERED CU DEVELOPMENT  
WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON.  
 
WINDS REMAIN BELOW 10 KTS THROUGH THE PERIOD, SHIFTING FROM THE  
NW TO NNE THIS MORNING.  
 
OUTLOOK...THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE LATE SATURDAY THROUGH  
MONDAY.  
 

 
   
ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
 
 
OH...NONE.  
KY...NONE.  
IN...NONE.  
 

 
 

 
SYNOPSIS...BPP  
NEAR TERM...CLARK  
SHORT TERM...BPP  
LONG TERM...CONIGLIO  
AVIATION...AR  
 
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