354
FXUS61 KILN 261045
AFDILN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
645 AM EDT THU MAR 26 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
INCREASED PRECIPITATION CHANCES AND INCREASED THUNDERSTORM WORDING
FOR THURSDAY NIGHT.
KEY MESSAGES
1) NEAR RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES TODAY AND SEVERE WEATHER TONIGHT.
2) ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN FOR NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1) NEAR RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES TODAY AND SEVERE WEATHER
TONIGHT.
SHOWERS AND EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA LATE IN
THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AND INTO THE DAYTIME MORNING HOURS. AFTER THIS
MOVES OFF TO THE EAST, SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW WILL PICK UP AND CLOUDS
WILL DECREASE. THIS COMBINATION WILL ALLOW FOR TEMPERATURES TO RISE
TO NEAR RECORD HIGHS IF NOT RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES FOR TODAY.
RECORDS AND CURRENT TEMPERATURE FORECAST IS BELOW.
THE RECORDS FOR THURSDAY 3/26
CVG 82 SET IN 1907, CURRENT FORECAST HIGH 80.
DAY 81 SET IN 1907, CURRENT FORECAST HIGH 79.
CMH 80 SET IN 1907, CURRENT FORECAST HIGH 76.
MUCH OF THE REST OF THE DAYTIME HOURS WILL REMAIN DRY. WIND GUSTS OF
30 TO 40 MPH WILL BE LIKELY DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING
HOURS.
THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION DURING THE EVENING HOURS AND
INTO THE OVERNIGHT. DAMAGING WIND, LARGE HAIL, AND ISOLATED TORNADOES
WILL ALL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE GREATEST THREAT NEAR AND NORTH OF
INTERSTATE 70. WITH SOME WEST TO EAST ORIENTATION OF THE STORMS WILL
ALSO HAVE TO WATCH FOR THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAINFALL AND LOCALIZED
FLOODING CONCERNS AS WELL. WILL CONTINUE TO HIGHLIGHT THESE THREATS
IN THE HWO. MOST OF THE PRECIPITATION WILL MOVE OUT OF THE AREA
FRIDAY MORNING.
KEY MESSAGE 2) ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN FOR NEXT WEEK.
AFTER DRY CONDITIONS FOR THE WEEKEND, AN ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN
DEVELOPS FOR NEXT WEEK WITH DAILY PRECIPITATION CHANCES FROM MONDAY
THROUGH THURSDAY. PRECIPITATION CHANCES WILL BE ISOLATED TO SCATTERED
IN NATURE FOR MONDAY INTO TUESDAY. WEDNESDAY A FRONT LAYS OUT OVER
THE AREA BRINGING HIGHER CONFIDENCE IN PRECIPITATION COVERAGE. THIS
STARTS TO LIFT NORTHWARD ON THURSDAY, BEFORE A COLD FRONT STARTS TO
WORK INTO THE REGION THURSDAY NIGHT.
AVIATION /12Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
RAIN WILL MOVE ACROSS THE TAF SITES THIS MORNING. MOST OF THE
EMBEDDED THUNDER IS EXPECTED TO STAY SOUTH OF THE TAF SITES AND
THEREFORE LEFT OUT OF THE TAFS. THERE WILL BE THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME
LLWS THIS MORNING.
AFTER THE MORNING PRECIPITATION PUSHES EAST, WINDS WILL PICK UP AND
BECOME GUSTY AND CLOUD COVER WILL START TO DECREASE. ADDITIONAL
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE THEN EXPECTED TO HOLD OFF UNTIL THE
EVENING AND INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. TIMED IN THUNDERSTORMS INTO THE
LATER PARTS OF THE TAF PERIOD. IN ADDITION, SOME ADDITIONAL LLWS WILL
BE POSSIBLE TONIGHT.
VSBYS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO BE REDUCED WITH SHOWER AND
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY. CIGS WILL START TO LOWER TONIGHT.
OUTLOOK...LINGERING MVFR CEILINGS POSSIBLE EARLY FRIDAY. MVFR
CONDITIONS WITH THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE MONDAY.
ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OH...NONE.
KY...NONE.
IN...NONE.
DISCUSSION...
AVIATION...
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