965
FXUS61 KILN 271015
AFDILN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
615 AM EDT TUE OCT 27 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES.
KEY MESSAGES
1) DRY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE WEEK.
2) THE POTENTIAL FOR RAIN RETURNS FOR THE LATTER PART OF THE WEEKEND.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1)
MID LEVEL RIDGING WILL CONTINUE UNTIL A SHORT WAVE LIFTS OUT OF THE
MID MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND CROSSES THE REGION TUESDAY NIGHT INTO
WEDNESDAY. FLOW WILL THEN BECOME PRIMARILY ZONAL UNTIL LATE IN THE
WEEK WHEN SOME SHORT WAVE RIDGING MAY DEVELOP AS FLOW BUCKLES WITH
THE APPROACH OF A MORE SIGNIFICANT SHORT WAVE.
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THURSDAY WITH THE LOW
LEVEL FLOW VEERING OVER TIME. SYSTEM PASSING ACROSS THE UPPER GREAT
LAKES INTO NEW ENGLAND WILL CAUSE A FRONT TO LAY OUT AND SAG ACROSS
THE AREA THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY. THERE WILL BE SOME INCREASE IN
MOISTURE ALONG THE BOUNDARY BUT LIKELY NOT SUFFICIENT TO GENERATE ANY
PRECIPITATION. MID AND HIGH CLOUDS WILL INCREASE ON SATURDAY AS THE
NEXT SYSTEM APPROACH FROM THE WEST SOUTHWEST.
HIGHS WILL BE RUNNING 10 TO 15 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. LOWS WILL ALSO
BE MILDER FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK WITH READINGS NEARLY 10 DEGREES
ABOVE NORMAL.
KEY MESSAGE 2)
ENSEMBLE SYSTEMS IN GENERAL AGREEMENT IN BRINGING A SHORT WAVE ACROSS
THE AREA SUNDAY INTO SUNDAY NIGHT ALTHOUGH THERE IS SPREAD IN
AMPLITUDE. THIS WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY DEEPER MOISTURE, SO RAIN WILL
DEVELOP INTO THE AREA, POSSIBLY LATE SATURDAY NIGHT, BUT MOSTLY
FOCUSED ON SUNDAY. SOME RAIN COULD LINGER INTO MONDAY, DEPENDING ON
THE LOCATION AND STRENGTH OF A TRAILING TROUGH.
AVIATION /10Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
VISIBILITY RESTRICTIONS IN VALLEY FOG WILL DEVELOP AT KLUK AGAIN
AFTER 05Z. OTHERWISE, VFR WITH HIGH CLOUDS PASSING ACROSS THE REGION.
WINDS WILL BE EAST TO SOUTHEAST AT LESS THAN 10 KT.
OUTLOOK...NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER EXPECTED.
ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OH...NONE.
KY...NONE.
IN...NONE.
DISCUSSION...35
AVIATION...35
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