517
FXUS61 KILN 301028
AFDILN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
628 AM EDT THU JUL 30 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES.
KEY MESSAGES
1) DRY THROUGH FRIDAY WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WORKING IN FROM
THE WEST FRIDAY NIGHT. PRECIPITATION WILL BE FOUND THROUGH THE
WEEKEND, ENDING SUNDAY NIGHT.
2) TEMPERATURES WILL BE WITHIN A FEW DEGREES OF NORMAL FOR HIGHS, AT
OR ABOVE NORMAL FOR OVERNIGHT LOWS.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1)
DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. LOW PRESSURE IN THE GREAT
LAKES WILL SEE DISTURBANCES CROSS THE NORTHERN OHIO VALLEY, BRINGING
THE NEXT ROUND OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE REGION. THIS LOW
WILL EVOLVE INTO A L/W TROUGH EXTENDING FROM THE GREAT LAKES
SOUTHWEST TO MO/AR ON SATURDAY. BY SUNDAY EVENING, WHAT IS EXPECTED
TO BE A THIN AND QUITE ELONGATED TROUGH WILL SEE ITS AXIS CROSS THE
CWA, BRINGING AN END TO A SOMETIMES RAINY WEEKEND.
KEY MESSAGE 2)
NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED FOR DAYTIME HIGHS WITH WARMER
THAN NORMAL OVERNIGHT LOWS. CAA WILL STILL BE FOUND TODAY, RESULTING
IN SOME AFTERNOON CLOUDINESS WITH FAIR WX CU. TEMPERATURES WILL DROP
INTO THE 70S SATURDAY, NEAR 80 ON SUNDAY WITH CLOUD COVER AND RAIN.
READINGS WILL RETURN TO NEAR NORMAL FOR HIGHS AND ABOVE NORMAL ON
LOWS FOR NEXT WEEK.
AVIATION /12Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
VFR CONDITIONS WILL BE FOUND ACROSS THE REGION TODAY AND MOST OF
TONIGHT UNDERNEATH HIGH PRESSURE. KLUK WILL SEE MVFR VSBYS PREVAIL
AROUND 07Z AND THEN DROP TO LIFR CIG/VSBY IN FOG. SOME OTHER
TERMINALS MAY SEE THE SUNRISE SURPRISE DROP VSBYS TO HIGH END MVFR OR
HAVE A SHALLOW GROUND FOG NOT AFFECTING OPERATIONS.
DAYTIME CU WILL DEVELOP 4-5KFT AND PROBABLY CONSTITUTE A CEILING AT
SOME POINT IN TIME FOR MOST TERMINALS, BUT NOT ENOUGH TO CALL IT
PREVAILING AT A SPECIFIC TIME. EITHER WAY, VFR WILL BE THE RULE.
THERE'S A HINT THAT FEW-SCT CU COULD LAST PAST EVENING INTO THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS.
NORTHERLY WINDS 8-10KT TODAY WILL QUICKLY DROP TO CALM OR LIGHT AND
VARIABLE SHORTLY AFTER 00Z TONIGHT.
OUTLOOK...MVFR TO IFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE AT TIMES SATURDAY AND
SUNDAY IN ADDITION TO THUNDERSTORMS.
ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OH...NONE.
KY...NONE.
IN...NONE.
DISCUSSION...FRANKS
AVIATION...FRANKS
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