740
FXUS61 KRLX 292316
AFDRLX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
716 PM EDT SAT AUG 29 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
00Z AVIATION FORECAST DISCUSSION UPDATE.
KEY MESSAGES
1.) ISOLATED SHOWERS AND STORMS SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. BUILDING HEAT
AND HUMIDITY THIS WEEK.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1...
HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS THE AREA, WILL PROVIDE MAINLY DRY CONDITIONS TO
THE REGION TODAY. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS ARE
POSSIBLE ON SUNDAY, AS A SHORTWAVE CROSSES THE AREA, BUT CHANCES ARE
LOW ENOUGH THAT IT WAS NOT INCLUDED IN THE FORECAST PER THE BLEND OF
MODELS. IF IT DOES OCCUR, THE BULK OF ACTIVITY IS ANTICIPATED ACROSS
THE NORTH AND EAST. BETTER CHANCES FOR STORMS ARE EXPECTED EARLY
NEXT WEEK, AS ADDITIONAL WAVES CROSS THE AREA.
THE MAIN STORY DURING THE PERIOD CONCERNS INCREASING HEAT AND
HUMIDITY AS WE PROGRESS INTO NEXT WEEK AS UPPER RIDGE BUILDS ACROSS
THE AREA. TEMPERATURES NEXT WEEK WILL CLIMB INTO THE 90S FOR MUCH OF
THE LOWER ELEVATIONS, AND THIS COMBINED WITH INCREASING HUMIDITY
WILL RESULT IN HEAT INDICES IN THE UPPER 90S TO LOWER 100S AT TIMES.
HEAT HEADLINES MAY BE NEEDED FOR A PERIOD NEXT WEEK.
AVIATION /00Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
TRIUMPHANT HIGH PRESSURE RULES THE ROOST THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD
AND INTO THE START OF NEXT WEEK. EXPECT GENERALLY QUIET DAYTIME
CONDITIONS TRANSITIONING TO RIVER VALLEY FOG DURING THE LATE
OVERNIGHT INTO EARLY MORNING HOURS. THIS WILL BE ESPECIALLY THE
CASE WITHIN OUR SHELTERED VALLEYS. WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT AND
VARIABLE HEADING INTO SUNDAY.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE AND ALTERNATE SCENARIOS THROUGH 00Z MONDAY...
FORECAST CONFIDENCE: HIGH, BECOMING MEDIUM WITH FOG
ALTERNATE SCENARIOS: TIMING, LOCATION, AND INTENSITY OF FOG LATE
TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING MAY VARY FROM THE FORECAST.
EXPERIMENTAL TABLE OF FLIGHT CATEGORY OBJECTIVELY SHOWS CONSISTENCY
OF WFO FORECAST TO AVAILABLE MODEL INFORMATION:
H = HIGH: TAF CONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.
M = MEDIUM: TAF HAS VARYING LEVEL OF CONSISTENCY WITH MODELS.
L = LOW: TAF INCONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.
DATE SUN 08/30/26
UTC 1HRLY 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11
EDT 1HRLY 20 21 22 23 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07
CRW CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H L L L
HTS CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H
BKW CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H M M L
EKN CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H L L M M M
PKB CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H L
CKB CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H
AFTER 00Z MONDAY...
IFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITH RIVER VALLEY FOG EACH MORNING
THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.
RLX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
WV...NONE.
OH...NONE.
KY...NONE.
VA...NONE.
DISCUSSION...SL
AVIATION...05
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page