329  
FNUS74 KLCH 180204  
FWSLCH  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR BLACK BAYOU IN SITU BURN...NOAA  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA  
904 PM CDT SUN MAY 17 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0600 CDT ON MAY 18.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (337) 477-5285, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
BREEZY SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WILL BE PRESENT AT SUNRISE WITH A SWIFT  
INCREASE IN SPEEDS TO A SUSTAINED 16 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 TO  
28 MPH DURING DAYTIME HOURS. THESE WINDS WILL KEEP A FETCH OF GULF  
MOISTURE MOVING INTO THE BURN AREA THROUGHOUT THE DAY, BALANCING  
OUT THE EFFECTS OF DAYTIME MIXING. LOWEST POSSIBLE RH VALUES WILL  
HOVER AROUND 65 PERCENT. AN AREA OF DECAYING SHOWERS MAY BE  
MOVING INTO SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA AROUND SUNRISE, BUT THE CHANCE OF  
THIS IS 15 TO 20 PERCENT. THERE IS THEN A LESS THAN 15 PERCENT  
CHANCE OF ISOLATED SHOWERS/STORMS POSSIBLE THROUGH THE EARLY  
AFTERNOON.  
   
MONDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 87.  
MIN HUMIDITY........70 PERCENT.  
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).SOUTHEAST WINDS 12 TO 18 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 15 TO 24 MPH.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........90 84 81 56 58 54 74 68 85 66 57 56  
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ SCH  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 10 10 10 0 10 20 20 20 20 20 20  
TEMP............80 80 81 81 84 84 85 85 85 86 85 85  
RH..............82 82 82 82 72 72 70 72 72 72 75 75  
SURFACE WND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE  
SURFACE WND SPD.12 12 14 16 17 18 18 17 17 17 17 17  
SURFACE WND GST.22 22 24 25 26 25 25 25 25 25 25 25  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.8 0.7 1.4 2.3 3.0 3.1 3.2 3.2 3.3 3.3 3.2 2.9  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE SE S S S SE S S S SE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.15 16 18 20 24 24 24 24 24 24 23 23  
   
MONDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS IN THE EVENING.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 79.  
MAX HUMIDITY........88 PERCENT.  
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).SOUTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 17 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 13 TO 21 MPH.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........62 59 61 74 61 58 73 53 79 82 83 84  
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 20 20 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
TEMP............85 83 82 81 81 81 81 81 81 80 80 80  
RH..............75 77 82 85 85 85 82 82 82 85 85 85  
SURFACE WND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE  
SURFACE WND SPD.17 16 16 15 14 13 12 10 9 9 9 8  
SURFACE WND GST.23 23 21 21 21 21 21 21 20 20 17 17  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.6 2.1 1.4 1.0 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.9 0.5 0.6 0.9 0.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE S SE SE SE SE SE S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.21 20 17 16 16 16 15 15 13 13 14 13  
 

 
FORECASTER...CALHOUN/SILAS  
REQUESTED BY...BRANDI TODD  
TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT  
.TAG 2613900.0/LCH  
.DELDT 05/17/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL BRANDI.TODD@NOAA.GOV  
 
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