095
FXUS64 KJAN 231122
AFDJAN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
622 AM CDT WED SEP 23 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- A DRIER AIRMASS ACROSS THE REGION WILL YIELD LESS HUMID
CONDITIONS, WITH CLOSER TO NORMAL HIGHS, AND COOL LOWS.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 201 AM CDT WED SEP 23 2026
TODAY THROUGH NEXT TUESDAY...A FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL CONTINUE TO
SLOWLY SINK SOUTH THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA TODAY. DURING THE
AFTERNOON HOURS TODAY, AS HIGHS WARM INTO THE MIDDLE 90S ACROSS
MAINLY SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE CWA, A STRAY SHOWER OR STORM CAN'T
BE RULED OUT IN THE VICINITY OF THIS BOUNDARY. THE REMAINDER OF THE
FORECAST AREA WILL REMAIN DRY AS HIGHS WARM INTO THE LOW AND MIDDLE
90S.
IN THE WAKE OF THE AFOREMENTIONED FRONTAL BOUNDARY, NOTICEABLY DRIER
AIR WILL FILTER INTO THE REGION AND REMAIN ACROSS THE REGION INTO AT
LEAST EARLY NEXT WEEK. HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT AND AT THE SURFACE WILL
ALSO ASSERT ITSELF INTO THE REGION THROUGH THE BEGINNING OF THE
WEEKEND. RAIN CHANCES WILL ESSENTIALLY BE NIL ACROSS THE AREA
DURING THIS TIME. HIGH TEMPERATURES EACH DAY WILL BE A BIT LESS
THAN THEY'VE BEEN IN RECENT WEEKS, AS THEY RANGE FROM THE UPPER 80S
TO LOW 90S THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. SOME GRADUAL WARMING WILL
THEN ENSUE SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY, AS HIGHS PEAK IN THE LOW AND
MIDDLE 90S. THE RESULT OF THE DRIER AIRMASS ACROSS THE REGION WILL
ESPECIALLY BE FELT DURING THE NIGHT TIME HOURS AS LOWS FALL INTO THE
60S.
ONCE AGAIN, RAIN CHANCES WILL REMAIN TOUGH TO COME BY DURING MOST OF
THIS FORECAST PERIOD. RIDGING ALOFT WILL WEAKEN ENOUGH ON SUNDAY,
ALLOWING A DISTURBANCE EMBEDDED IN NORTHWEST FLOW TO TRAVERSE THE
CWA. THIS WILL BRING SOME ISOLATED SHOWERS TO THE FORECAST AREA
SUNDAY. THEN LATE MONDAY INTO TUESDAY, A SHORTWAVE DROPPING
SOUTHEAST INTO THE REGION WILL YIELD ANOTHER CHANCE FOR RAIN ACROSS
THE FORECAST AREA TUESDAY INTO TUESDAY NIGHT. /19/
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 618 AM CDT WED SEP 23 2026
VFR FLIGHT CONDITIONS THROUGHOUT THE ENTIRE PERIOD AT NEARLY ALL
SITES IS EXPECTED TODAY. GTR AND SURROUNDING AREAS TO THE NORTH
HAVE DEVELOPED AN MVFR (BKN/OVC010) STRATUS DECK, WHICH HAS
SPILLED DOWN FROM THE SOUTH. THIS LAYER IS FAIRLY THIN AND SHOULD
RAPIDLY RAISE/CLEAR AFTER SUNRISE THIS MORNING. ELSEWISE CALM AND
NORTHERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD. A HIGH LAYER
OF THIN CIRRUS WILL BE FOUND OVER MOST THE AREA TODAY, FEW250 WAS
ADDED TO REFLECT THOSE CONDITIONS./OAJ/
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
JACKSON 93 68 90 66 / 0 0 0 0
MERIDIAN 93 68 89 65 / 10 0 10 0
VICKSBURG 93 66 89 66 / 0 0 0 0
HATTIESBURG 95 70 92 67 / 10 0 0 0
NATCHEZ 95 68 91 66 / 10 0 0 0
GREENVILLE 92 64 89 64 / 0 0 0 0
GREENWOOD 92 63 90 63 / 0 0 0 0
JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MS...NONE.
LA...NONE.
AR...NONE.
19/19/OAJ
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