267
FXUS64 KJAN 282321
AFDJAN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
621 PM CDT SAT MAR 28 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- THE WARM WEATHER PATTERN WILL RESUME AS WE GO INTO NEXT WEEK,
BUT INCREASING MOISTURE MAY RESULT IN INCREASED RAIN CHANCES,
ESPECIALLY BY LATE WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 144 PM CDT SAT MAR 28 2026
LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON, ALONG WITH BREEZY
NORTH WINDS AROUND 10-20 MPH HAVE WARRANTED THE CURRENT RED FLAG
WARNING FOR DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WHICH CONTINUES
THROUGH 7 PM. TOMORROW'S RH VALUES SHOULD RECOVER SOME, BUT WINDS
WILL STILL BE A LITTLE BREEZY AS THEY TURN OUT OF THE SOUTH.
THE WEATHER PATTERN MOST OF THIS WORK WEEK WILL FEATURE ZONAL
FLOW ACROSS THE CONUS, WITH A SUPPRESSED UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE
TRANSLATING EAST ALONG THE GULF COAST GRADUALLY BEING REPLACED BY
DEEPER TROUGHING OVER THE WESTERN CONUS. HEIGHTS IN GENERAL REMAIN
STRONGER THAN NORMAL, SUPPORTING A RETURN TO TEMPS AVERAGING 10-15
DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL IN THE REGION. CHANCES FOR SHOWERS OR
THUNDERSTORMS TICK UPWARDS THROUGHOUT THE WEEK AS MOISTURE LEVELS
SLOWLY IMPROVE. THE TIMING AND DEPTH OF A TROUGH SWINGING EAST
LATE IN THE WEEK MAKE FOR UNCERTAIN IMPACTS IN OUR REGION, BUT A
BETTER CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS LOOKS TO RETURN ESPECIALLY IN THE
THURSDAY/FRIDAY TIME FRAME. JUST BEYOND THE 7-DAY FORECAST, A
DEEPER FULL LATITUDE TYPE TROUGH PASSAGE MAY OCCUR WITH GREATER
STORM POTENTIAL ON THE BACKSIDE OF NEXT WEEKEND. /NF/
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 617 PM CDT SAT MAR 28 2026
VFR CONDITIONS PREVAIL. WINDS HAVE DIMINISHED ACROSS THE AREA AND
WILL REMAIN LIGHT THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD. WINDS WILL
SHIFT FROM THE NORTH TO THE EAST SOUTHEAST BY TOMORROW MORNING.
WIND SHEAR AROUND 40KTS IS POSSIBLE AT GTR. BRIEFLY MVFR CEILINGS
ARE POSSIBLE AT HBG AND PIB, BUT CONFIDENCE WAS NOT HIGH ENOUGH TO
INCLUDE IN THE TAF AT THIS TIME. OPTED TO KEEP SCT025. /SAS/
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
JACKSON 49 77 59 82 / 0 0 0 10
MERIDIAN 49 75 54 82 / 0 0 0 10
VICKSBURG 48 80 60 84 / 0 0 0 10
HATTIESBURG 51 77 58 82 / 0 10 0 20
NATCHEZ 51 80 61 83 / 0 10 0 30
GREENVILLE 46 77 60 82 / 0 0 0 0
GREENWOOD 48 79 60 84 / 0 0 0 10
JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MS...RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR MSZ018-019-
025>066-072>074.
LA...RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR LAZ007>009-015-
016-023>026.
AR...RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR ARZ074-075.
NF/NF/SAS20
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