893
FXUS64 KJAN 121746
AFDJAN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1246 PM CDT SUN APR 12 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
- LIMITED FIRE DANGER THIS AFTERNOON AND AGAIN MONDAY.
- DROUGHT CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO WORSEN ACROSS THE REGION.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1242 PM CDT SUN APR 12 2026
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE AND WARM RIDGING ALOFT REMAIN LOCKED IN
OVER THE SOUTHEAST CONUS. GIVEN THE PATTERN OF STRONG DAILY MIXING
AND LITTLE CHANGE IN THE FORECAST DETAILS, WILL GO AHEAD AND
EXTEND THE LIMITED FIRE DANGER MESSAGING THROUGH MONDAY.
THERE ARE NO SIGNIFICANT RAIN EVENTS EXPECTED THROUGH THE
UPCOMING WORK WEEK AS HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN THE PRIMARY
INFLUENCE ON OUR REGION'S WEATHER. ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES MORE
TYPICAL OF MAY, AND SMALL RAIN CHANCES MOSTLY CONFINED TO FAR
NORTHWEST PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA, WILL BE THE GENERAL RULE
WITH FRONTAL WAVES OVER THE CENTRAL CONUS DEFLECTED BY THE RIDGE.
BY NEXT WEEKEND, GLOBAL MODELS SHOW SOME AGREEMENT FOR A STRONGER
SHORTWAVE TROUGH AND A SIGNIFICANT COLD FRONT PASSAGE THAT COULD
BRING A BETTER CHANCE FOR ORGANIZED SHOWER ACTIVITY TO AT LEAST
NORTHWEST PORTIONS OF OUR AREA. WOULD NOT COUNT ON THIS RAIN EVENT
AT THIS POINT, HOWEVER, GIVEN THE STRENGTH OF THE CURRENT RIDGE.
/EC/
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1242 PM CDT SUN APR 12 2026
GUSTY SOUTHERLY WINDS (15 TO 20MPH SUSTAINED AND GUSTS UP TO 25MPH)
WITH HIGHEST IN NORTHWEST SITES WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE DAY, AND
BEGIN TO LIGHTEN BY THE EVENING HOURS. WINDS WILL LIGHTEN INTO THE
EVENING HOURS. ANOTHER BRIEF PERIOD OF MVFR/LIFR CEILINGS/STRATUS
ARE EXPECTED TOMORRROW MORNING, DEVELOPING A FEW HOURS BEFORE
SUNRISE, AND BURNING OFF AFTER DAYBREAK, ALL OTHER METEOROLOGICAL
PARAMETERS REMAIN BENIGN. /OAJ/
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
JACKSON 63 85 62 85 / 0 10 0 0
MERIDIAN 59 85 58 85 / 0 0 0 0
VICKSBURG 64 87 63 87 / 10 10 0 0
HATTIESBURG 61 85 60 86 / 0 0 0 0
NATCHEZ 64 85 63 86 / 10 10 0 0
GREENVILLE 67 85 66 86 / 30 30 10 0
GREENWOOD 65 85 65 86 / 20 10 0 0
JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MS...NONE.
LA...NONE.
AR...NONE.
EC/OAJ
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page