658
FXUS64 KJAN 091755
AFDJAN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1155 AM CST TUE DEC 9 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- CHILLY CONDITIONS CONTINUE EARLY THIS WEEK WITH PERHAPS SOME
FOG POTENTIAL TONIGHT.
- DRY AND MILDER CONDITIONS ARE MOST LIKELY AS WE GO THROUGH
MID TO LATE WEEK AND INTO THE WEEKEND.
- COLDER WEATHER MAY RETURN BY SUNDAY INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 242 AM CST TUE DEC 9 2025
TODAY AND TONIGHT...SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGING WILL PREVAIL OVER
THE AREA TODAY, BUT WILL WEAKEN ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT. THE SURFACE
HIGH WILL SHIFT EAST OF THE AREA AND THIS WILL ALLOW THE FLOW TO
BECOME MORE SOUTHERLY THIS AFTERNOON. SKIES WILL CLEAR THIS
AFTERNOON AND TEMPERATURES WILL BE A LITTLE WARMER, WITH HIGHS
MOSTLY IN THE 50S. SKIES WILL REMAIN CLEAR OVERNIGHT, WITH WARMER
LOWS RANGING FROM THE MID 30S IN THE EAST TO AROUND 40 IN THE
WEST./15/
TEMPERATURES WILL MODERATE TO NEAR OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE SEASONAL
AVERAGES THROUGH THIS WEEKEND. BY LATE WEEK, ANOTHER COLD FRONT IS
EXPECTED TO APPROACH THE REGION, BRINGING THE POTENTIAL FOR THE
RETURN OF RAIN CHANCES. WHILE MODEL TRENDS HAVE REDUCED THE SIGNAL
FOR PRECIP, WE WILL STILL MAINTAIN LOW-END RAIN CHANCES ACROSS THE
EAST/SOUTHEAST. IN THE WAKE OF THIS FRONT, TEMPERATURES MAY AGAIN
PLUMMET INTO THE MID-20S, WITH HIGHS STRUGGLING TO REACH 50 HEADING
INTO NEXT THE NEXT WORKWEEK. WHILE THIS COLDER SCENARIO IS POSSIBLE,
MODEL CONSENSUS PROVES TO BE WIDELY VARIED, THUS FORECAST CONFIDENCE
REMAINS LOW AT THIS TIME./KP/
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1155 AM CST TUE DEC 9 2025
AS OF 1754Z, GLH AND GTR ARE CURRENTLY UNDER MVFR CEILINGS DUE TO
A STRATUS DECK WITH VFR CONDITIONS ELSEWHERE. NORTHERN TAF SITES
WILL SEE IMPROVEMENT TO VFR BEFORE 23Z THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL
BE OUT OF THE SOUTH-SOUTHWEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 20KTS POSSIBLE BY
AROUND 15Z WEDNESDAY. A BRIEF PERIOD OF LOW LEVEL WIND SHEAR WILL
BE POSSIBLE ACROSS SEVERAL NORTHERN TAF SITES (GLH, GWO, AND GTR)
BETWEEN 10Z- 16Z WEDNESDAY. OTHERWISE, QUIET CONDITIONS WILL
PREVAIL THROUGH THE ENTIRE TAF PERIOD WITH VFR CONDITIONS
PREVAILING. /CR/
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
JACKSON 55 39 62 34 / 0 0 0 0
MERIDIAN 55 35 62 33 / 0 0 0 0
VICKSBURG 54 39 63 34 / 0 0 0 0
HATTIESBURG 59 37 67 37 / 0 0 0 0
NATCHEZ 56 39 64 36 / 0 0 0 0
GREENVILLE 50 40 58 34 / 0 0 0 0
GREENWOOD 52 40 60 33 / 0 0 0 0
JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MS...NONE.
LA...NONE.
AR...NONE.
15/KP/CR
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