994
FXUS64 KJAN 092307 AAA
AFDJAN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
607 PM CDT THU APR 9 2026
..NEW MESOSCALE UPDATE, AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE INTO THE WEEKEND.
- DROUGHT CONTINUES TO WORSEN ACROSS THE REGION.
MESOSCALE UPDATE
ISSUED AT 539 PM CDT THU APR 9 2026
DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS. SHORT-TERM
WEATHER ELEMENTS WERE UPDATED THROUGH THE AFTERNOON TOMORROW WITH
LATEST GUIDANCE, BUT NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES WERE MADE. SURFACE
HIGH PRESSURE AND UPPER-LEVEL RIDGING OVER THE REGION REMAIN OUR
PREDOMINANT WEATHER PATTERN FEATURES. DRY AND BREEZY CONDITIONS
WILL CONTINUE TO STRESS FINE OR DEAD VEGETATION, THOUGH MOST
VEGETATION IS IN A STATE OF GREENUP AT THIS TIME. CARE SHOULD BE
TAKEN TO AVOID SPARKS OR FLAMES NEAR ANY DRIED VEGETATION. /NF/
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 156 PM CDT THU APR 9 2026
THROUGH WEDNESDAY: A DEEP SUBTROPICAL RIDGE WILL CONTINUE TO BE THE
DOMINANT FEATURE THROUGH THE PERIOD, AND WILL KEEP MOST OF THE
AREA DRY. THE EXCEPTION WILL BE FOR PORTIONS OF THE FAR NORTHWEST,
AS A SERIES OF SHORTWAVES RIDE THE WESTERN FLANK OF THE RIDGE.
THESE WILL LEAD TO ACTIVE WEATHER IN THE PLAINS AND NORTHWEST OF
HERE, BUT ONLY CLIPS OUR AREA, WITH ONLY SMALL (20% OR LESS) RAIN
CHANCES. THIS ALONE APPEARS UNCERTAIN WITH A GENERAL DOWNTREND IN
RAIN CHANCES AND UPTREND IN RIDGE STRENGTH. THIS WILL CONTINUE TO
BE THE PATTERN THROUGH MID NEXT WEEK WHEN A MORE PROMINENT
SHORTWAVE COULD CREATE ENOUGH WEAKNESS IN THE RIDGE TO BRING
GREATER COVERAGE OF STORMS INTO OUR NORTHWEST. THIS, LIKE BEFORE,
IS UNCERTAIN AND IS SUBJECT TO CHANGE. THE FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH
THIS WILL ATTEMPT TO PUSH INTO OUR AREA, BUT WILL LIKELY ENCOUNTER
THE RIDGE, STALL, AND WASH OUT LATER NEXT WEEK. THE RIDGE THEN
BECOMES REINFORCED BY LATE NEXT WEEK AND SHOULD CLOSE OUR BRIEF
WINDOW FOR RAIN CHANCES. /SAS/
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 539 PM CDT THU APR 9 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WITH SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS AROUND 5-10 KTS WILL
PREVAIL AT THE TAF SITES THROUGH THE PERIOD. THE SLIGHT UPTICK IN
MOISTURE MEANS SOME PATCHY BR COULD DEVELOP AROUND 12Z FRIDAY, BUT
CONFIDENCE ON ANY MVFR OR LOWER CONDITIONS IS TOO LOW TO MENTION
IN TAFS AT THIS TIME. /NF/
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
JACKSON 55 82 55 84 / 0 0 0 0
MERIDIAN 52 81 52 84 / 0 0 0 0
VICKSBURG 55 83 58 86 / 0 0 0 0
HATTIESBURG 55 83 54 86 / 0 0 0 0
NATCHEZ 56 83 58 85 / 0 10 0 0
GREENVILLE 56 82 59 84 / 0 0 0 0
GREENWOOD 56 83 57 86 / 0 0 0 0
JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MS...NONE.
LA...NONE.
AR...NONE.
SAS20/NF
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