418
FXUS64 KJAN 300027 AAA
AFDJAN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
727 PM CDT TUE SEP 29 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- A DRY, WARM AIRMASS REMAINS OVER THE REGION THROUGH MIDWEEK.
- RAIN CHANCES RETURN BY LATE WEEK WITH WIDESPREAD RAINS LIKELY
INTO THE WEEKEND.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1250 PM CDT TUE SEP 29 2026
TUESDAY NIGHT - MONDAY
AN UPPER-LVL RIDGE WILL CONTINUE TO MIGRATE OVER THE REGION,
ALLOWING DRY CONDITIONS AND LOW 90S HIGH TEMPS TO STICK AROUND FOR
ANOTHER DAY. A "LIMITED" FIRE DANGER WILL CONTINUE OVER NORTHERN
PARTS OF THE AREA AS RH VALUES (%) REMAIN IN THE MID-20S. CONTINUE
TO HEED ANY LOCAL BURN BANS AND BE CAUTIOUS OF OUTDOOR BURNING.
WINDS WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT TO THE SOUTH, INCREASING MOISTURE AND RH
VALUES THURSDAY INTO THE WEEKEND.
AN UPPER-LVL LOW FROM THE SOUTHWEST REGION AND THE ABSORBED REMNANTS
OF HURRICANE POLO WILL PUSH A FRONTAL BOUNDARY TOWARDS THE REGION.
RAIN CHANCES WILL RETURN AS THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY APPROACHES FRIDAY,
LASTING THROUGH THE WEEKEND. ALTHOUGH HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT
EXPECTED, FORECAST TRENDS WILL BE MONITORED AS THE WEEK PROGRESS. 50-
85% PROBABILITY FOR RAIN ARE EXPECTED WITH THE HIGH PROBABILITIES ON
SATURDAY (70-90%) AND SUNDAY (60-75% AREAWIDE). WPC ESTIMATES
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 2-4 INCHES OVER THE WEEKEND, WHICH WOULD HELP
IMPROVE ONGOING DROUGHT CONDITIONS. /SW/
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 726 PM CDT TUE SEP 29 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WL PREVAIL THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. /22/
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
JACKSON 66 92 70 93 / 0 0 0 10
MERIDIAN 62 91 68 91 / 0 0 0 30
VICKSBURG 67 93 69 93 / 0 0 0 10
HATTIESBURG 64 92 69 91 / 0 0 0 50
NATCHEZ 67 93 70 93 / 0 0 0 20
GREENVILLE 68 95 69 95 / 0 0 0 0
GREENWOOD 66 94 68 94 / 0 0 0 0
JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MS...NONE.
LA...NONE.
AR...NONE.
/SW/22
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