578
FXUS64 KJAN 271909
AFDJAN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
109 PM CST FRI FEB 27 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
- SEASONABLE WARMTH WILL PERSIST FOR MOST OF THE FORECAST.
- SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED LATE NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 109 PM CST FRI FEB 27 2026
THROUGH NEXT WEEK...
DEEP RIDGING WILL BE THE PREDOMINANT FEATURE OVER OUR AREA THIS WEEK
AND WILL KEEP SEASONALLY WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS THROUGH MOST OF THE
PERIOD. DEWPOINTS WILL MIX DOWN THIS AFTERNOON AND SATURDAY
AFTERNOON AS WELL, WHICH WILL LEAD TO LOWER RH. RH WILL DROP INTO
THE 20S MOST AREAS TOMORROW AFTERNOON. THAT SAID, FIRE RISK LOOKS TO
REMAIN LOWER THAN LAST WEEK DUE TO LIGHT WINDS. WHILE THE RISK IS
NONZERO, HAVE REFRAINED FROM INTRODUCING A LIMITED GRAPHIC AT THIS
TIME. SHOULD CONFIDENCE FOR FIRE CONCERN INCREASE, THERE WILL BE AN
UPDATE.
BY SUNDAY INTO MONDAY, THE RIDGE BUILDS OVER THE EAST. WITH OUR AREA
ON THE WESTERN PERIPHERY, WINDS WILL TURN SOUTHERLY. MOISTURE WILL
INCREASE AND LIMIT AFTERNOON MIXING. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL ALSO BE
WARMER, CLOSE TO AVERAGE DAYTIME HIGHS FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR (65)
WITH LOWS IN THE LOW TO MID 60S. WEATHER WILL REMAIN QUIET THROUGH
MID WEEK.
LATER NEXT WEEK, A SERIES OF SHORTWAVES AND THEIR ATTENDANT SURFACE
LOWS EJECT ACROSS THE PLAINS AND WILL WEAKEN THE RIDGE. THIS WILL
INTRODUCE LOW RAIN CHANCES TO OUR AREA THURSDAY AND FRIDAY,
PARTICULARLY IN THE NORTHWEST. THAT SAID, QPF IS GENERALLY ONLY A
FEW 100THS EACH DAY, AND THUS IS RATHER INSIGNIFICANT. THE MAJORITY
OF ENERGY WILL BE DEFLECTED AS THE RIDGE REMAINS DOMINANT./SAS/
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1119 AM CST FRI FEB 27 2026
THANKS TO SOME LINGERING LOW CLOUDS ACROSS EAST AND SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI THIS MORNING, IN THE WAKE OF THIS MORNING'S FRONTAL
PASSAGE, VFR TO IFR FLIGHT CATEGORIES CURRENTLY EXIST AT AREA TAF
SITES. CEILINGS THERE WILL IMPROVE DURING THE EARLY AFTERNOON
HOURS, WITH VFR CONDITIONS PREVAILING AREAWIDE BY MID- AFTERNOON
AND CONTINUING INTO OVERNIGHT INTO SATURDAY. WINDS TODAY WILL
GENERALLY BE FROM THE NORTHEAST BETWEEN 5-10 KNOTS, WITH A FEW
HIGHER GUSTS AT TIMES. WINDS WILL THEN BECOME LIGHT FROM THE EAST
NORTHEAST TO CALM TONIGHT. /19/
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
JACKSON 47 76 50 78 / 0 0 0 0
MERIDIAN 45 75 47 78 / 0 0 0 0
VICKSBURG 47 79 50 80 / 0 0 0 0
HATTIESBURG 50 79 50 81 / 0 0 0 0
NATCHEZ 50 79 52 81 / 0 0 0 0
GREENVILLE 48 76 52 75 / 0 0 0 0
GREENWOOD 48 77 52 77 / 0 0 0 0
JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MS...NONE.
LA...NONE.
AR...NONE.
SAS20/SAS20/19
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