607
FXUS64 KJAN 130644
AFDJAN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
144 AM CDT SAT SEP 13 2025
..NEW DISCUSSION
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 130 AM CDT SAT SEP 13 2025
TODAY AND TONIGHT...
DEEP LAYER RIDGING REMAINS IN CONTROL TODAY WITH SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE CENTERED JUST TO OUR NORTHEAST RESULTING IN LIGHT, DRY,
NORTHEASTERLIES. SOME CONSIDERATION WAS GIVEN TO THE POTENTIAL FOR
FIRE CONDITIONS THIS AFTERNOON AS RH DIVES TO AROUND 30% BUT
MOSTLY GREEN FUELS AND LIGHT WINDS SUGGEST THE RISK STILL REMAINS
LOW. HIGHS TODAY WILL BE SUBSTANTIALLY ABOVE NORMAL, MOSTLY IN THE
LOWER AND MIDDLE 90S F, COOLING INTO THE MIDDLE AND UPPER 60S F
TONIGHT. RAIN CHANCES, PERHAPS UNSURPRISINGLY, WILL BE NEAR ZERO
ACROSS THE AREA.
THROUGH NEXT WEEK...
FEW CHANGES IN THE OVERALL PATTERN ARE EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS AS UPPER RIDGING REMAINS DOMINANT THROUGH THE WORK
WEEK. THIS WILL RESULT IN GENERALLY DRY, WARM CONDITIONS THROUGH
MUCH OF THE PERIOD. EACH DAY WITH LOW RH AND THE ABSENCE OF
RAINFALL WILL RESULT IN INCREASING FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS AND IT IS
LIKELY THAT SOME FIRE WEATHER HAZARDS WILL NEED TO BE HIGHLIGHTED
HEADING INTO NEXT WEEK. SOME GUIDANCE SUGGESTS WEAK TROUGHING MAY
TRY TO NOSE IN FROM THE WEST IN THE 6-7 DAY TIMEFRAME AND THAT
COULD RESULT IN A WEAK FRONT ACCOMPANIED BY SHOWERS AT THAT TIME
BUT CONFIDENCE IN SUCH AN OUTCOME IS CURRENTLY LOW. FOR NOW,
THOUGH, THAT RISK FOR A FEW SHOWERS REPRESENTS THE ONLY MEANINGFUL
CHANCE FOR RAIN FOR THE FORESEEABLE FUTURE. /86/
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1208 AM CDT SAT SEP 13 2025
VFR WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH LIGHT NORTHEASTERLY
WINDS./SAS/
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
JACKSON 95 68 93 68 / 0 0 0 0
MERIDIAN 93 65 92 66 / 0 0 0 0
VICKSBURG 97 67 94 68 / 0 0 0 0
HATTIESBURG 96 66 94 65 / 0 0 0 0
NATCHEZ 94 68 93 68 / 0 0 0 0
GREENVILLE 96 67 95 68 / 0 0 0 0
GREENWOOD 97 66 95 68 / 0 0 0 0
JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MS...NONE.
LA...NONE.
AR...NONE.
LP/LP/SAS20
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