382
FXUS64 KJAN 230520 AAB
AFDJAN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1220 AM CDT FRI OCT 23 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- ELEVATED FIRE DANGER CONCERNS WILL PERSIST THROUGH EARLY NEXT
WEEK DUE TO VERY DRY GROUND CONDITIONS AND LOW HUMIDITY EACH
DAY.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 103 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2026
FORECAST REMAINS ON TRACK:
THE FORECAST IS VERY STRAIGHT-FORWARD THROUGH THE NEXT WEEK, AND
CONFIDENCE IS THEREFORE HIGH IN THE FORECAST DETAILS. GLOBAL MODEL
ENSEMBLES AGREE THAT AN ANOMALOUSLY WARM UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL
SLOWLY SHIFT EASTWARD ACROSS THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY REGION
AS WE FINISH UP THE WEEK AND GO INTO NEXT WEEK. THIS WILL LEAD TO
A CONTINUATION OF DRY WEATHER WITH LARGE DIURNAL TEMPERATURE
RANGES APPROACHING 40 DEG F.
OF GREATEST IMPORTANCE, THE CONTINUED DRYING OF VEGETATION
COMBINED WITH EXCEPTIONALLY LOW DAYTIME RH VALUES WILL HELP TO
MAINTAIN AN ELEVATED FIRE DANGER THREAT. WE WILL CONTINUE TO
MESSAGE THIS THROUGH THE GRAPHICS AND FIRE DANGER STATEMENT. WIND
SHOULD HAVE LESS INFLUENCE AND BE A SMALLER FACTOR IN DETERMINING
THE FIRE DANGER THREAT LEVELS.
OTHERWISE, RAINFALL IS NOT EXPECTED UNTIL LATE NEXT WEEK AT THE
EARLIEST, WHEN THE RIDGE SHOWS SIGNS OF BREAKING DOWN. /EC/OAJ/
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1220 AM CDT FRI OCT 23 2026
VFR FLIGHT CATEGORIES WILL CONTINUE AT AREA TAF SITES OVER THE
NEXT 24 HOURS. WINDS WILL BE CALM TO LIGHT FROM THE NORTHEAST
AROUND 3 KNOTS OVERNIGHT. THESE WILL THEN INCREASE TO BETWEEN 5-8
KNOTS FROM THE EAST NORTHEAST BY LATE MORNING. /19/
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
JACKSON 84 53 81 49 / 0 0 0 0
MERIDIAN 80 46 76 46 / 0 0 0 0
VICKSBURG 84 51 84 48 / 0 0 0 0
HATTIESBURG 84 47 80 47 / 0 0 0 0
NATCHEZ 85 53 83 51 / 0 0 0 0
GREENVILLE 83 51 82 51 / 0 0 0 0
GREENWOOD 83 49 81 47 / 0 0 0 0
JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MS...NONE.
LA...NONE.
AR...NONE.
19
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page