122
FXUS64 KJAN 171916
AFDJAN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
216 PM CDT SAT OCT 17 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
- SIGNIFICANT THREAT FOR DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
CONTINUES THIS AFTERNOON.
- A "RED FLAG WARNING" REMAINS IN EFFECT THIS AFTERNOON.
- A LIMITED THREAT FOR FIRE DANGER IS EXPECTED SUNDAY.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 214 PM CDT SAT OCT 17 2026
THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH THE HELPED USHER IN THE COOLER TEMPERATURES
WILL CONTINUE SHIFTING EAST AND RIDGING ALOFT WILL BUILD INTO THE
REGION FROM THE WEST THROUGH SUNDAY. LATEST SURFACE ANALYSIS HAD A
1032MB HIGH CENTERED OVER THE MID MISSISSIPPI VALLEY THAT WILL ALSO
SHIFT EAST BUT CONTINUE TO RIDGE BACK ACROSS OUR REGION. THIS WILL
RESULT IN A LIGHTER WIND SUNDAY BUT TEMPERATURES WILL TOP OUT
SEVERAL DEGREES WARMER THAN TODAY. THE RESULT WILL BE CRITICALLY LOW
AFTERNOON MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY MAINTAINING FIRE DANGER
CONCERNS. /22/
SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY...HIGH PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE CENTERED
TO OUR NORTH AND INCREASING RIDGING ALOFT FROM THE WEST, WILL
MAINTAIN QUIET WEATHER ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA THROUGH THE MID AND
EXTENDED FORECAST PERIODS. WHILE THE OVERALL DRY AIR MASS WILL
REMAIN ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH THE WEEK, TEMPERATURES WILL
STEADILY WARM EACH DAY. THESE INCREASING TEMPERATURES IN THIS DRY
AIR MASS CAUSING AFTERNOON MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES TO FALL
TO CRITICALLY LOW VALUES, COUPLED WITH THE EXTREMELY DRY SOIL
CONDITIONS ACROSS THE AREA, ARE EXPECTED TO AGAIN PROMOTE DANGEROUS
FIRE CONDITIONS ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA THROUGH MUCH OF THE WORK
WEEK. PLEASE CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECAST AND OUTLOOK, AS
APPROPRIATE FIRE WEATHER HAZARDS/PRODUCTS WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED AND
ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF AND EVENTUALLY ALL OF THE FORECAST AREA
DURING THIS TIMEFRAME, PARTICULARLY TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. /19/
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1221 PM CDT SAT OCT 17 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WL PREVAIL THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. /22/
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
JACKSON 46 75 47 77 / 0 0 0 0
MERIDIAN 44 72 43 72 / 0 0 0 0
VICKSBURG 44 75 46 78 / 0 0 0 0
HATTIESBURG 46 75 45 76 / 0 0 0 0
NATCHEZ 46 75 47 77 / 0 0 0 0
GREENVILLE 43 73 45 78 / 0 0 0 0
GREENWOOD 42 76 45 78 / 0 0 0 0
JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MS...RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR MSZ018-019-
025>066-072>074.
LA...RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR LAZ007>009-015-
016-023>026.
AR...RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR ARZ074-075.
22/19/22
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page