162
FXUS64 KJAN 092325 AAA
AFDJAN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
525 PM CST MON FEB 9 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- WARM AND MOSTLY DRY CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED FOR MUCH OF THE
UPCOMING WEEK.
- CONFIDENCE IS INCREASING FOR A VIGOROUS STORM SYSTEM TO CROSS
THE AREA THIS WEEKEND, BUT IMPACT DETAILS REMAIN UNCERTAIN.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1257 PM CST MON FEB 9 2026
BROAD RIDGING CONTINUES TO DOMINATE THE FORECAST FOR THE NEXT WEEK
OR SO ALLOWING FOR TEMPERATURES A BIT ABOVE SEASONAL NORMS AND
SURFACE MOISTURE A BIT BELOW.
THAT BEING SAID BEFORE THE AFOREMENTIONED REGIME HAS FULLY SETTLED
IN SOME ONSHORE SURFACE FLOW WILL ALLOW FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF
FOG PRIMARILY IN SOUTHERN PORTIONS, BUT THINNER FOG/STRATUS COULD
SPREAD AS FAR NORTH AS GREENWOOD. LOOKING AT THE MOST RECENT
GUIDANCE, IMPACTS TO TRAVEL SHOULD BE FAIRLY SMALL SO WE'RE NOT
MESSAGING FOG IN OUR GRAPHICS AT THIS POINT; WHICH COULD CHANGE IF
CONDITIONS BEGIN TO DEGRADE AHEAD OF SCHEDULE LATE TONIGHT/EARLY
TOMORROW MORNING.
SHORT-WAVES PROGRESSING THROUGH THE OVERALL LONG-WAVE PATTERN
WHICH COULD GIVE US SOME SHOWERS WED/THURS TO SOME SITES.
THE MAIN WEATHER HIGHLIGHT FOR US AS WE LOOK FORWARD THROUGH THE
NEXT WEEK IS THE DEVELOPMENT OF A VERY STRONG SHORT WAVE PUSHING
THROUGH THE AREA THIS WEEKEND. GUIDANCE HAS NOT QUITE COALESCED TO
THE POINT WHERE CONFIDENCE IS HIGH ENOUGH TO MESSAGE ANY
SPECIFICS REGARDING TIMING, INTENSITY, OR PRECISE AREA(S). THAT
BEING SAID IF TRENDS CONTINUE TO CONVERGE THE WAY THAT THEY HAVE
BEEN STRONG STORMS AND HEAVY RAINFALL ALONG WITH HIGH WINDS ARE
NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION FOR THIS SYSTEM. WE WILL BE MONITORING THE
VARIOUS METEOROLOGICAL PARAMETERS REGARDING THIS SYSTEM CLOSELY
AS WE APPROACH THE WEEKEND, AND WILL WORK TO PROVIDE MORE PRECISE
INFORMATION AS SOON AS WE CAN./OAJ/
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 522 PM CST MON FEB 9 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WL PREVAIL THROUGH 11Z. AFTER 11Z MVFR/IFR
CONDITIONS WL DEVELOP AT MOST TAF SITES AND PREVAIL UNTIL AFTER
17Z. VFR CONDITIONS AND A GUSTY WIND AROUND 20KTS WILL PREVAIL
TUESDAY AFTERNOON. /22/
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
JACKSON 55 74 58 72 / 0 0 20 10
MERIDIAN 51 74 57 73 / 0 0 20 20
VICKSBURG 56 74 58 72 / 0 0 20 10
HATTIESBURG 52 76 56 77 / 0 0 10 20
NATCHEZ 56 75 58 77 / 0 0 10 10
GREENVILLE 57 72 53 64 / 0 10 40 10
GREENWOOD 56 73 54 67 / 0 10 50 20
JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MS...NONE.
LA...NONE.
AR...NONE.
/OAJ/22
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