590
FXUS64 KJAN 071125 AAA
AFDJAN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
625 AM CDT WED OCT 7 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- TROPICAL STORM ISAIAS HAS FORMED IN THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF AND IS
EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY INTO A HURRICANE BY THURSDAY; IT SHOULD
BEGIN IMPACTING THE NORTHERN GULF COAST REGION AS WE APPROACH
THE WEEKEND.
- HEAVY RAINFALL AND WINDY CONDITIONS RELATED TO THE TS ISAIAS MAY
IMPACT OUR FORECAST STARTING FRIDAY NIGHT.
- AHEAD OF THE TS ISAIAS, FIRE WEATHER DANGER COULD INCREASE LATE
THIS WEEK OVER MAINLY NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE AREA.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 442 AM CDT WED OCT 7 2026
TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY:
HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY.
WITH ISAIAS EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN BY TO HURRICANE BY THURSDAY,
BREEZY CONDITIONS WILL BE ADDED TO HOT/DRY CONDITIONS IN PLACE. AS A
RESULT, THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS ON THURSDAY
AND FRIDAY.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION #9 HAS NOW DEVELOPED INTO TROPICAL STORM ISAIAS
IN THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF. NHC ALSO EXPECTS ISAIAS TO UNDERGO RAPID
STRENGTHENING OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO, BECOMING A HURRICANE BY
THURSDAY. NHC EXPECT ISAIAS TO MOVE EAST-NORTHEAST, TURNING
NORTHWARD TOWARDS THE MS/AL COASTLINE BY THURSDAY-FRIDAY. GREATEST
IMPACTS ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE COAST, HOWEVER, INLAND RAIN/WIND
THREATS WILL BE POSSIBLE IN CENTRAL/EASTERN PORTIONS MS STARTING
FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT. WITH THE CENTER MORE LIKELY TO
BE TO THE EAST, ANY LOW END TORNADO THREATS WOULD LIKELY BE TO OUR
EAST OF THE CWA. PLEASE CONTINUE TO MONITOR FOR FUTURE UPDATES.
ONCE TC ISAIAS PROGRESS AWAY FROM THE AREA, HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS
WILL RETURN AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE REGION. /SW/EC/
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 623 AM CDT WED OCT 7 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WL PREVAIL THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. /22/
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
JACKSON 91 62 91 62 / 0 0 0 0
MERIDIAN 88 59 90 61 / 0 0 0 0
VICKSBURG 92 62 92 60 / 0 0 0 0
HATTIESBURG 90 62 90 62 / 0 0 0 0
NATCHEZ 91 64 92 62 / 0 0 0 0
GREENVILLE 90 62 91 61 / 0 0 0 0
GREENWOOD 92 61 93 61 / 0 0 0 0
JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MS...NONE.
LA...NONE.
AR...NONE.
22/SW/22
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