358
FXUS64 KJAN 081119
AFDJAN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
619 AM CDT THU OCT 8 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- HURRICANE ISAIAS HAS FORMED IN THE GULF AND WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE
TOWARDS THE NORTHERN GULF COAST.
- HEAVY RAINFALL AND WINDY CONDITIONS RELATED TO THE HURRICANE
ISAIAS MAY IMPACT OUR AREA LATE FRIDAY.
- FIRE WEATHER DANGER COULD INCREASE TODAY AND FRIDAY IN NORTHERN
AND WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE AREA AHEAD OF ISAIAS.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 329 AM CDT THU OCT 8 2026
TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY:
HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AHEAD OF HURRICANE ISAIAS
APPROACH TO THE GULF COAST. BREEZY CONDITIONS COMBINED WITH HOT/DRY
CONDITIONS IN PLACE, THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS
THROUGH FRIDAY FOR THE NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE AREA.
HURRICANE ISAIAS CONTINUES TO MOVE IN THE CENTRAL GULF, EVENTUALLY
TURNING NORTHWARD TOWARDS THE AL/FL COASTLINE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE
OF DAYS. CENTER OF CIRCULATION WILL REMAIN EAST OF THE CWA, KEEPING
GREATEST IMPACTS OUT OF THE AREA. LOCALLY, POSSIBLE IMPACTS FROM
ISAIAS WILL BE FLASH FLOODING (2-4 IN OF RAINFALL OVER A SHORT
PERIOD) ALONG AND EAST OF I-55 STARTING FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH
SATURDAY NIGHT. WIND GUSTS OF 30-40 MPH WILL BE ALSO POSSIBLE WITHIN
THE FRIDAY NIGHT-SATURDAY NIGHT TIMEFRAME FOR AREAS EAST OF I-55. AS
ISAIAS PROGRESS CLOSER, ADDITIONAL UPDATES WILL BE PROVIDED SO
PLEASE REMAIN UP TO DATE WITH THE LATEST INFORMATION.
ONCE THE REMNANTS OF ISAIAS PROGRESS AWAY FROM THE AREA, HOT AND DRY
CONDITIONS WILL RETURN AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE REGION. /SW/
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 616 AM CDT THU OCT 8 2026
VFR CONDITIONS PREVAIL AT ALL TAF SITES THIS MORNING AND THIS WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH THE PERIOD. THE WINDS WILL MAINLY BE LIGHT OUT OF
THE EAST./15/
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
JACKSON 89 63 88 63 / 0 0 10 70
MERIDIAN 89 61 86 61 / 0 0 20 90
VICKSBURG 91 61 90 63 / 0 0 0 50
HATTIESBURG 89 64 86 63 / 0 0 30 90
NATCHEZ 89 63 89 64 / 0 0 10 50
GREENVILLE 91 64 91 65 / 0 0 0 40
GREENWOOD 93 63 92 63 / 0 0 0 50
JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MS...NONE.
LA...NONE.
AR...NONE.
/15
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