771
FXUS64 KJAN 041048 AAA
AFDJAN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
548 AM CDT THU JUN 4 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- AFTER A BRIEF STRETCH OF DRIER WEATHER, WIDESPREAD SHOWER AND
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL RETURN THIS WEEKEND.
- WE'LL BE MONITORING THE POTENTIAL FOR INCREASING HEAT DANGER
EARLY NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 328 AM CDT THU JUN 4 2026
IN THE NEAR TERM, WE'LL SEE A BRIEF REPRIEVE FROM HIGHER HUMIDITY
LEVELS AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS CENTERED OVER THE
SOUTHEAST CONUS. THIS WILL CHANGE QUICKLY HOWEVER WHEN A SHORTWAVE
TROUGH IN THE SUBTROPICAL STREAM APPROACHES AND INCREASES
SOUTHERLY LOW LEVEL FLOW AND DRAMATICALLY INCREASES DEEP LAYER
MOISTURE IN OUR REGION. WHILE THIS PATTERN WILL BRING HIGH END
RAIN CHANCES, THE QPF DOES NOT SUGGEST WE'LL HAVE SIGNIFICANT
HEAVY RAINFALL/FLOODING CONCERNS. MOVING INTO NEXT WEEK, GLOBAL
MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT FOR THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO REBUILD
AND BRING AN INCREASE IN HEAT AND HUMIDITY. THE MON-WED TIME FRAME
WILL BE A TIME FRAME TO WATCH FOR IMPACTFUL HEAT STRESS, BUT
THERE IS NOT QUITE ENOUGH EVIDENCE AT THIS POINT TO PROVIDE ANY
FORMAL MESSAGING. /EC/
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 546 AM CDT THU JUN 4 2026
CONDITIONS CONTINUE TO BE VFR THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD. THICKER CLOUD
DECKS WILL CONTINUE TO SPILL OVER FROM AR/MO CAUSING CEILINGS OVER
THE FAR NORTHWESTERN PORTIONS OF THE CWA BUT REMAIN IN THE
20-25,000 FT RANGE./OAJ/
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
JACKSON 85 64 87 70 / 0 0 10 10
MERIDIAN 84 61 88 68 / 0 0 0 10
VICKSBURG 86 65 88 72 / 0 0 10 10
HATTIESBURG 85 63 86 70 / 0 0 40 30
NATCHEZ 87 66 88 72 / 10 0 30 20
GREENVILLE 86 66 88 72 / 0 0 0 0
GREENWOOD 86 64 89 71 / 0 0 0 0
JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MS...NONE.
LA...NONE.
AR...NONE.
EC/EC/OAJ
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page