631
FXUS64 KJAN 051854
AFDJAN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1254 PM CST THU FEB 5 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
- TEMPERATURES WILL GENERALLY WARM TO ABOVE NORMAL BY THIS
WEEKEND INTO THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1252 PM CST THU FEB 5 2026
GRADUAL WARMING OF TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE MIDDLE
OF NEXT WEEK. ON THE BACK SIDE OF A DEPARTING UPPER-LEVEL
SHORTWAVE TROUGH, STEEP NORTHWEST FLOW WILL TRANSITION TO A
STRONGER INFLUENCE OF UPPER-LEVEL RIDGING INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
FLOW OVER THE CONUS WILL SPLIT, WITH A CUTOFF LOW FORMING OVER THE
BAJA PENINSULA. A WEAK DISTURBANCE IN THE NORTHERN STREAM WILL
PUSH A COLD FRONT INTO OUR AREA SATURDAY, BUT TEMPERATURES WILL
STILL JUST FALL TO NEAR NORMAL FOR EARLY FEBRUARY. THEN A QUICK
CHANGE TO RETURN FLOW IN THE REGION SHOULD CAUSE TEMPS TO REBOUND
ABOVE NORMAL SUNDAY INTO NEXT WEEK. HIGHS IN THE 70S WILL BE
INCREASINGLY COMMON SUNDAY AND MONDAY. ONCE THE CUTOFF LOW TO OUR
WEST BREAKS DOWN AND IS ABSORBED BY THE FLOW, THE SHORTWAVE SHOULD
PASS THROUGH OUR REGION TUESDAY/WEDNESDAY TIME FRAME. SOME
PRECIPITATION IS POSSIBLE IN THE REGION, BUT MOISTURE RECOVERY
AHEAD OF THE SYSTEM MAY BE TOO LIMITED TO ALLOW FOR ORGANIZED
THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL. WILL HAVE TO MONITOR TRENDS IN TIMING AND
STRENGTH OF THIS SYSTEM AS IT KICKS EASTWARD. /NF/
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1134 AM CST THU FEB 5 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. WINDS
WILL BE NORTHWESTERLY EARLY IN THE PERIOD BEFORE SHIFTING AROUND
TO BEING SOUTHWESTERLY AROUND 0Z. WINDS WILL REMAIN BETWEEN
5-10KTS THROUGH THE PERIOD. /KP/
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
JACKSON 36 69 38 57 / 0 0 0 0
MERIDIAN 32 68 36 56 / 0 0 0 0
VICKSBURG 37 71 37 57 / 0 0 0 0
HATTIESBURG 36 72 39 61 / 0 0 0 0
NATCHEZ 40 72 40 61 / 0 0 0 0
GREENVILLE 37 69 36 51 / 0 0 0 0
GREENWOOD 35 68 34 54 / 0 0 0 0
JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MS...NONE.
LA...NONE.
AR...NONE.
KP/NF/
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page