899
FXUS64 KJAN 081126 AAA
AFDJAN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
526 AM CST SUN FEB 8 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- WARM AND MOSTLY DRY CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED FOR MUCH OF THE
UPCOMING WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 518 AM CST SUN FEB 8 2026
A BROAD UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL BE THE PRIMARY INFLUENCE ON FORECAST
AREA WEATHER THROUGH THIS WEEK RESULTING IN ABOVE NORMAL WARMTH
AND MOSTLY DRY CONDITIONS. SOUTHERLY LOW LEVEL FLOW WILL SUPPORT
THE DEVELOPMENT OF LATE NIGHT AND EARLY MORNING LOW STRATUS/FOG.
A COUPLE OF WEAK SHORTWAVE TROUGHS ARE FORECAST TO MOVE THROUGH
THE MEAN RIDGE POSITION DURING THE MID/LATE WEEK, AND THESE MAY
BRING LIGHT RAINFALL. FORECAST CONFIDENCE DROPS CONSIDERABLY AS WE
GO INTO NEXT WEEKEND DUE TO LARGE AMOUNTS OF UNCERTAINTY
CONCERNING WHERE A POTENTIALLY ACTIVE BAROCLINIC ZONE WILL SET
UP. WILL NOTE HOWEVER THAT THERE WAS AN UPTICK IN THE POTENTIAL
FOR THUNDERSTORMS AND HEAVY RAINFALL WITH THE MOST RECENT
GUIDANCE. /EC/
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 350 AM CST SUN FEB 8 2026
A BROAD UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL BE THE PRIMARY INFLUENCE ON FORECAST
AREA WEATHER THROUGH THIS WEEK RESULTING IN ABOVE NORMAL WARMTH
AND MOSTLY DRY CONDITIONS. SOUTHERLY LOW LEVEL FLOW WILL SUPPORT
THE DEVELOPMENT OF LATE NIGHT AND EARLY MORNING LOW STRATUS/FOG.
A COUPLE OF WEAK SHORTWAVE TROUGHS ARE FORECAST TO MOVE THROUGH
THE MEAN RIDGE POSITION DURING THE MID/LATE WEEK, AND THESE MAY
BRING LIGHT RAINFALL. FORECAST CONFIDENCE DROPS CONSIDERABLY AS WE
GO INTO NEXT WEEKEND DUE TO LARGE AMOUNTS OF UNCERTAINTY
CONCERNING WHERE A POTENTIALLY ACTIVE BAROCLINIC ZONE WILL SET
UP. WILL NOTE HOWEVER THAT THERE WAS AN UPTICK IN THE POTENTIAL
FOR THUNDERSTORMS AND HEAVY RAINFALL WITH THE MOST RECENT
GUIDANCE. /EC/
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 526 AM CST SUN FEB 8 2026
VFR FLIGHT CATEGORIES WILL PERSIST AT MOST AREA TAF SITES OVER
THE NEXT 24 HOURS. WINDS WILL BECOME SOUTHERLY TO SOUTH
SOUTHWESTERLY THROUGH LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON, WHILE
SUSTAINED BETWEEN 5-10 KNOTS AS SOME HIGH CLOUDS BEGIN FILTERING
INTO THE REGION FROM THE WEST. BY DAY BREAK MONDAY, SOME PATCHY
FOG COULD BRIEFLY REDUCE VISIBILITIES AT NAMELY KHEZ. /19/
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
JACKSON 69 49 74 54 / 0 0 0 0
MERIDIAN 66 46 75 50 / 0 0 0 0
VICKSBURG 71 50 74 55 / 0 0 0 0
HATTIESBURG 71 47 77 51 / 0 0 0 0
NATCHEZ 72 51 75 55 / 0 0 0 0
GREENVILLE 66 48 74 55 / 0 0 0 0
GREENWOOD 67 48 74 54 / 0 0 0 0
JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MS...NONE.
LA...NONE.
AR...NONE.
19
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