677
FXUS64 KJAN 071750
AFDJAN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1150 AM CST SAT FEB 7 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION, AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- MUCH OF THE UPCOMING WEEK WILL BE DRY AND WARM.
MESOSCALE UPDATE
ISSUED AT 922 AM CST SAT FEB 7 2026
REST OF TODAY...
QUIET, COOLER AND DRY AFTERNOON WILL BE THE NORM. WEAK DRY
FRONTAL PASSAGE HAS MOVED THROUGH WELL INTO THE GULF, WITH ANOTHER
REINFORCING SHOT OF EVEN DRIER AIR PROGGED TO SINK INTO THE
NORTHEAST LATE THIS AFTERNOON. SURFACE RIDGING WILL KEEP SUNNY
SKIES AND SEASONABLE HIGHS (51F TO 59F NORTHEAST TO 60F TO 66F IN
CENTRAL TO SOUTHWEST) ARE EXPECTED. WITH DRY AIR, SOME MIXING IS
POSSIBLE. EVEN THOUGH THERMAL PROFILES ARE A TOUCH COOLER IN THE
LOW LEVELS, SOME MODERATION IS POSSIBLE, SIMILAR TO YESTERDAY.
LEANED A TOUCH WARMER ON HIGHS IN CENTRAL TO SOUTHWEST ZONES.
UPDATES ARE OUT. /DC/
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1150 AM CST SAT FEB 7 2026
TONIGHT THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY...
RIDGING WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD IN FROM THE WEST, WITH FLOW TURNING
MORE NORTHWESTERLY INTO SUNDAY. OTHER THAN A FEW HIGH CLOUDS, LOWS
WILL BE SEASONABLE (30F TO 36F NORTHEAST TO 37F TO 42F IN CENTRAL TO
SOUTHWEST). SHORTWAVE ENERGY IN WEST-NORTHWESTERLY FLOW WILL EJECT
TO THE NORTH EARLY MONDAY. THIS WEATHER PATTERN WILL BRING A LONG
DURATION OF WARM AND MOSTLY DRY CONDITIONS. SEASONABLE WARMTH IS
EXPECTED THE UPCOMING WORK WEEK WITH HIGHS SOME 10F TO 15F ABOVE
(LOW TO MID 70S) AND LOWS SOME 12F TO 22F ABOVE (MID 40S TO LOW 50S
MONDAY MORNING TO MID TO UPPER 50S BY MIDWEEK). CUTOFF LOW TO THE
WEST WILL FILL AND EJECT NORTHEAST AROUND TUESDAY TO WEDNESDAY,
USHERING IN A FRONT WITH MOIST ASCENT (PWS AROUND 1.1 TO 1.3 INCHES)
AND LIGHT RAIN CHANCES (20 TO 35 PERCENT). THIS RAIN AND FRONT WILL
MOVE IN THURSDAY, WITH SLIGHTLY LESS RAIN COVERAGE (EAST-NORTHEAST
MS), SEASONABLE WARMTH FOR HIGHS AND LOWS. LARGE SPREAD REMAINS IN
SYNOPTIC EVOLUTION LATE WEEK INTO NEXT WEEKEND (TRENDED SOUTH IN
NEWEST EURO AND LESS COMPACT SHORTWAVE IN GFS) BUT CANNOT RULE OUT
POTENTIAL ACTIVE FRONTAL SYSTEM TO IMPACT THE GULF COAST REGION.
THERE REMAINS CONSIDERABLE SPREAD IN WHERE THE BAROCLINIC ZONE WILL
SET UP, AND FORECAST CONFIDENCE REMAINS QUITE LOW. /DC/EC/
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1150 AM CST SAT FEB 7 2026
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED, WITH NORTHERLY WINDS VEERING SOUTHERLY
AFTER 04Z SUNDAY. /KP/
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
JACKSON 37 69 50 74 / 0 0 0 0
MERIDIAN 32 67 46 75 / 0 0 0 0
VICKSBURG 38 70 50 74 / 0 0 0 0
HATTIESBURG 36 70 46 75 / 0 0 0 0
NATCHEZ 41 72 51 75 / 0 0 0 0
GREENVILLE 36 66 48 72 / 0 0 0 0
GREENWOOD 37 67 49 73 / 0 0 0 0
JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MS...NONE.
LA...NONE.
AR...NONE.
DC/EC/KP
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