558
FXUS64 KJAN 050616
AFDJAN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1216 AM CST THU FEB 5 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
- TEMPERATURES WILL GENERALLY WARM TO ABOVE NORMAL BY THIS
WEEKEND INTO THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1215 AM CST THU FEB 5 2026
AFTER THIS MORNING'S SUBFREEZING START, THE TREND HEADING INTO THE
MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK WILL GENERALLY BE WARMING TEMPERATURES. ON THE
BACK SIDE OF A DEPARTING UPER-LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH, STEEP
NORTHWEST FLOW WILL TRANSITION TO A STRONGER INFLUENCE OF UPPER-
LEVEL RIDGING INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. FLOW OVER THE CONUS WILL SPLIT,
WITH A CUTOFF LOW FORMING OVER THE BAJA PENINSULA. A WEAK
DISTURBANCE IN THE NORTHERN STREAM WILL PUSH A COLD FRONT INTO OUR
AREA SATURDAY, BUT TEMPERATURES WILL STILL JUST FALL TO NEAR NORMAL
FOR EARLY FEBRUARY. THEN A QUICK CHANGE TO RETURN FLOW IN THE REGION
SHOULD CAUSE TEMPS TO REBOUND ABOVE NORMAL SUNDAY INTO NEXT WEEK.
HIGHS IN THE 70S WILL BE INCREASINGLY COMMON SUNDAY AND MONDAY. ONCE
THE CUTOFF LOW TO OUR WEST BREAKS DOWN AND IS ABSORBED BY THE FLOW,
THE SHORTWAVE SHOULD PASS THROUGH OUR REGION TUESDAY/WEDNESDAY TIME
FRAME. SOME PRECIPITATION IS POSSIBLE IN THE REGION, BUT MOISTURE
RECOVERY AHEAD OF THE SYSTEM MAY BE TOO LIMITED TO ALLOW FOR
ORGANIZED THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL. WILL HAVE TO MONITOR TRENDS IN
TIMING AND STRENGTH OF THIS SYSTEM AS IT KICKS EASTWARD. /NF/
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1120 PM CST WED FEB 4 2026
VFR FLIGHT CATEGORIES WILL PREVAIL AT AREA TAF SITES OVER THE
NEXT 24 HOURS. WINDS WILL REMAIN NORTHWESTERLY OVERNIGHT AND INTO
EARLY THURSDAY AFTERNOON BETWEEN 5-8 KNOTS. HOWEVER BY 00Z FRIDAY,
WINDS WILL BECOME MORE WEST AND EVENTUALLY SOUTHWESTERLY BY 06Z
BETWEEN 3-5 KNOTS. /19/
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
JACKSON 48 35 67 39 / 0 0 0 0
MERIDIAN 50 32 67 37 / 0 0 0 0
VICKSBURG 50 37 69 39 / 0 0 0 0
HATTIESBURG 52 35 70 41 / 0 0 0 0
NATCHEZ 52 39 71 42 / 0 0 0 0
GREENVILLE 47 37 67 36 / 0 0 0 0
GREENWOOD 46 34 66 35 / 0 0 0 0
JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MS...NONE.
LA...NONE.
AR...NONE.
06/19
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