435
FXUS64 KJAN 260546 AAA
AFDJAN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1246 AM CDT SAT JUL 26 2025
..NEW AVIATION
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1054 PM CDT FRI JUL 25 2025
WHILE THE PRIMARY AXIS OF THE EASTERLY WAVE IS NOW PUSHED TO OUR
WEST, THE LINGERING DISTURBANCE AND DEEPER MOISTURE WILL LINGER
THROUGH THE DAY SATURDAY. ONE MORE AFTERNOON WITH DECENT SHOWER AND
THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE AND FLOW IS EXPECTED, THOUGH THAT FLOW IS NOW
TURNING OUT OF THE SOUTH. ON THE BACK SIDE OF THIS DISTURBANCE,
"DRIER AIR" AND A STRENGTHENING RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL DOMINATE
THE WEATHER PATTERN FOR SUNDAY INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. THE 596DAM H5
RIDGE WILL RETROGRADE FROM THE SOUTHEAST U.S. THIS WEEKEND TO
DIRECTLY OVER OUR FORECAST AREA ON MONDAY AND THEN CONTINUE WESTWARD
INTO THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. AT THE SAME TIME, ANOTHER DISTURBANCE
PIVOTING AROUND THIS RIDGE WILL ARRIVE IN OUR REGION AND SETTLE AS A
WEAKNESS BETWEEN RIDGING OVER THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS AND JUST OFF
THE EASTERN SEABOARD INTO LATE WEEK.
THIS ALL MEANS THAT RAIN COVERAGE WILL DECREASE SUNDAY THROUGH
PROBABLY TUESDAY, THEN REBOUND WITH DEEPENING MOISTURE WEDNESDAY
INTO LATE WEEK. AND TEMPERATURES WILL CLIMB TO NEAR 100 DEGREES BY
MONDAY AND ESPECIALLY TUESDAY AS THIS RIDGE, WITH ITS CORE PUSHING
MAX STRENGTH FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR, SLIDES DIRECTLY OVERHEAD. WILL
MAINTAIN A SLIGHTLY CONSTRICTED HEAT ADVISORY FOR WESTERN PORTIONS
OF OUR FORECAST AREA TOMORROW. AND THEN EXPECT MORE IMPACTFUL HEAT
AND STRONGER MESSAGING WILL BE NEEDED FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK. HEAT WILL
DIMINISH SOME AGAIN WITH THE NEXT WAVE IN THE LATER WEEK TIME FRAME.
/NF/
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1246 AM CDT SAT JUL 26 2025
AREAS OF MVFR STRATUS ARE POSSIBLE AROUND DAYBREAK THIS MORNING,
BUT CLOUDS SHOULD MIX OUT OR LIFT TO VFR IN MOST AREAS BY MID-
MORNING. SCATTERED SHRA AND TS WILL DEVELOP AGAIN LATER TODAY,
MAINLY BETWEEN LATE MORNING AND LATE AFTERNOON BEFORE TAPERING
OFF. THESE MAY RESULT IN BRIEF CATEGORICAL REDUCTIONS. OTHERWISE,
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. /DL/
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
JACKSON 93 74 96 75 / 60 20 10 0
MERIDIAN 92 72 96 74 / 60 20 10 0
VICKSBURG 94 75 96 76 / 50 20 10 0
HATTIESBURG 93 75 97 76 / 70 20 20 0
NATCHEZ 93 74 95 75 / 60 20 20 0
GREENVILLE 93 74 96 76 / 40 20 10 0
GREENWOOD 94 75 96 77 / 40 20 10 0
JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MS...HEAT ADVISORY FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING
FOR MSZ018-019-025>029-034>036-040>043-047-048-053-059-060.
LA...HEAT ADVISORY FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING
FOR LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026.
AR...HEAT ADVISORY FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING
FOR ARZ074-075.
NF/DL
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