934
FXUS64 KJAN 241132
AFDJAN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
632 AM CDT SUN MAY 24 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE
THROUGHOUT THIS WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 405 AM CDT SUN MAY 24 2026
THE WET WEATHER PATTERN WILL CONTINUE ACROSS OUR REGION THROUGH
THE WEEK AHEAD. THIS MORNING IS A PERFECT EXAMPLE OF WHAT WE WILL
CONTINUE TO SEE NEARBY. WITH ABUNDANT TROPICAL MOISTURE IN PLACE
(PWAT VALUES OF 1.5-2.0 INCHES) AND UPPER-LEVEL TROUGHING
AFFECTING THE REGION, ONE REMNANT MCV FROM YESTERDAY'S CONVECTION
HAS DECAYED AND DRIFTED INTO NORTH MISSISSIPPI WHILE A SECOND MCV
DEVELOPED FROM OVERNIGHT CONVECTION ALONG THE GULF COAST AND IS
SPINNING NOTICEABLY IN REGIONAL SATELLITE AND RADAR IMAGERY OVER
SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA. THIS SECOND SYSTEM WILL STEER NORTHEAST
ACROSS SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND CENTRAL ALABAMA TODAY, BUT THE
PATTERN COULD SEE OTHER CONVECTION DEVELOP AND ORGANIZE IN A
SIMILAR FASHION OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. AN APPRECIABLE CHANGE
TO THE FORECAST REALLY WON'T BE FELT UNTIL JUST AFTER THE CURRENT
7-DAY FORECAST PERIOD. EARLY NEXT WEEK, THE PATTERN MAY SHIFT
ENOUGH TO ALLOW A COLD FRONT TO PUSH SOUTH (WITH DRIER AIR)
TOWARD OUR REGION. /NF/
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 632 AM CDT SUN MAY 24 2026
MULTIPLE SITES ARE REPORTING VFR/MVFR/IFR CEILINGS TO START OFF
THE PERIOD WITH MEI REPORTING LIFR CONDITIONS AS OF 1120Z. POOR
FLYING CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH 14Z DUE TO
LOW STRATUS. SCATTERED SHRA WILL PREVAIL ACROSS CENTRAL/SOUTHERN
SITES THROUGH THE END OF THE TAF PERIOD. CEILINGS WILL IMPROVE TO
MVFR/IFR CONDITIONS ACROSS THE AREA BY 17Z. CONDITIONS WILL
FURTHER IMPROVE TO MVFR/VFR BY 20Z. /CR/
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
JACKSON 80 68 81 68 / 70 60 60 50
MERIDIAN 80 68 81 69 / 90 60 70 60
VICKSBURG 80 68 81 68 / 60 60 60 50
HATTIESBURG 79 69 81 70 / 90 70 90 60
NATCHEZ 79 68 82 68 / 60 50 60 40
GREENVILLE 81 69 80 68 / 60 50 70 60
GREENWOOD 81 69 81 68 / 70 60 80 40
JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MS...NONE.
LA...NONE.
AR...NONE.
NF/CR
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