958
FXUS64 KJAN 061828
AFDJAN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
128 PM CDT SAT JUN 6 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
- GOOD CHANCES FOR RAIN CONTINUE THIS WEEKEND.
- MONITORING THE POTENTIAL FOR INCREASING HEAT STRESS NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 124 PM CDT SAT JUN 6 2026
TONIGHT THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY...SHOWERS, ALONG WITH A FEW STORMS,
THIS WEEKEND AND THE POTENTIAL FOR INCREASED HEAT STRESS DURING
THE UPCOMING WEEK REMAIN THE WEATHER STORIES DURING THIS FORECAST
PERIOD. DEEP MOISTURE CONTINUES TO INCREASE ACROSS THE REGION AS A
SHORTWAVE GRADUALLY MOVES INTO AND THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA
THROUGH MONDAY. THIS WILL KEEP GOOD RAIN CHANCES IN THE FORECAST
FOR THE REMAINDER OF THIS AFTERNOON AND AGAIN ON SUNDAY. THERE
WILL BE SOME LULL IN ACTIVITY BOTH TONIGHT AND SUNDAY NIGHT, BUT
GIVEN THE MOISTURE-RICH ENVIRONMENT OVER THE REGION SOME SHOWERS
WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. WHILE FLASH
FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED, RAINFALL COULD BE HEAVY AT TIMES GIVEN
THE COPIOUS AMOUNT OF MOISTURE OVERSPREADING THE REGION THIS
WEEKEND. THIS COULD HOWEVER RESULT IN THE PONDING OF WATER IN BOTH
LOW-LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS.
THE DEEPLY MOIST AIRMASS WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE REGION DURING THE
UPCOMING WORK WEEK. THE BULK OF THE RAIN CHANCES WILL EXIT THE CWA
WITH THE AFOREMENTIONED SHORTWAVE, WITH RIDGING INCREASING ACROSS
THE REGION. BUT GIVEN THE AIRMASS OVER THE FORECAST AREA, SOME
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED DIURNALLY DRIVEN CONVECTION WILL REMAIN
POSSIBLE DURING THE WEEK. IT'LL ALSO BE DURING THIS TIME WHERE THE
CONCERN FOR DANGEROUS HEAT STRESS WILL BE ON THE RISE. BY THE TIME
TUESDAY ROLLS AROUND, AND CONTINUING THROUGH FRIDAY, WITH HIGHS IN
THE 90S AND DEW POINTS WELL INTO THE 70S, AFTERNOON HEAT INDEX
VALUES CURRENTLY LOOK TO REACH AND EVENTUALLY SURPASS THE CENTURY
MARK. WHILE THIS IS STILL SEVERAL DAYS OUT, IF THE TREND CONTINUES,
AT A MINIMUM, A "LIMITED THREAT" FOR SAID DANGEROUS HEAT STRESS WILL
NEED TO BE ADDED TO THE HWO FOR PORTIONS OF, IF NOT ALL OF, THE
FORECAST AREA FOR THE MIDDLE AND LATTER PORTION OF NEXT WEEK. /19/
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1229 AM CDT SAT JUN 6 2026
A MIX OF VFR-IFR CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE AT ALL TAF SITES.
CEILINGS CONTINUE TO LOWER AS LOW STRATUS & RA IMPACT SITES SPREAD
NORTH ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA. VCTS WILL BE POSSIBLE AT SOUTHERN
TAF SITES THROUGH THIS 00Z THIS EVENING. OVERNIGHT MVFR/IFR
CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AS LOWERED CEILINGS AND BR WILL BE
POSSIBLE AT SOUTHERN TAF SITES.WINDS WILL REMAIN SOUTHERLY, WITH
SUSTAINED WINDS GENERALLY REMAINING UNDER 10KTS. /KP/
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
JACKSON 73 88 73 88 / 30 70 20 20
MERIDIAN 72 85 73 86 / 50 80 30 40
VICKSBURG 73 88 74 89 / 30 50 10 20
HATTIESBURG 73 86 73 86 / 40 80 20 40
NATCHEZ 73 89 75 89 / 40 50 10 20
GREENVILLE 73 87 75 90 / 30 70 20 20
GREENWOOD 73 87 74 90 / 30 90 20 30
JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MS...NONE.
LA...NONE.
AR...NONE.
19/KP
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