989
FXUS64 KJAN 102106
AFDJAN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
306 PM CST WED DEC 10 2025
..NEW DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
- DRY CONDITIONS WITH SEASONABLY COOL TEMPERATURES CAN BE
EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT.
- MILDER WEATHER IS EXPECTED FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY AHEAD OF AN
APPROACHING COLD FRONT.
- COLDER WEATHER WITH LOWS BELOW FREEZING SHOULD RETURN SUNDAY
AND PERSIST INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 300 PM CST WED DEC 10 2025
TONIGHT THROUGH NEXT TUESDAY NIGHT: DRY NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL
BE THE PRIMARY WEATHER INFLUENCE IN OUR AREA, AND THIS WILL
RESULT IN SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES WITH LITTLE CHANCE FOR ANY MORE
THAN LIGHT RAINFALL AS WE FINISH UP THIS WEEK AND GO THROUGH THE
WEEKEND. A COLD FRONT PASSING THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON IS BRINGING
A GLANCING SHOT OF CONTINENTAL POLAR AIR THAT WILL RESULT IN
FREEZING TEMPERATURES TONIGHT FOR MAINLY NORTHERN/EASTERN
PORTIONS OF THE AREA, AND THIS BRIEF COOL DOWN WILL PERSIST
THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT.
THERE WILL BE A BRIEF BUT SIGNIFICANT WARM-UP FRIDAY/SATURDAY
IN THE RETURN FLOW AHEAD OF STRONGER COLD FRONT APPROACHING FROM
THE NORTH. A QUICK ROUND OF SHOWERS WILL ACCOMPANY THE FRONT AND
BRING LIGHT RAINFALL (LESS THAN A QUARTER OF AN INCH ON AVERAGE),
THEN MUCH CHILLIER TEMPERATURES WILL FOLLOW THE FRONTAL PASSAGE AS
WE GO FROM LATE SATURDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. FORECAST
CONFIDENCE FOR THIS ROUND OF COLDER TEMPERATURES CONTINUES TO
INCREASE, AND THE INTENSITY OF THE COLD FORECAST HAS INCREASED
JUST A BIT MORE AS MORE GUIDANCE POINTS TO A SIGNIFICANT POLAR
HIGH SURGING SOUTH THROUGH THE MS VALLEY.
THE COLD ANOMALIES SHOULD BE CENTERED ON MONDAY MORNING WHEN LOWS
COULD DIP INTO THE UPPER TEENS NORTH OF THE HIGHWAY 82 CORRIDOR,
BUT DANGEROUS LEVELS OF COLD ARE NOT EXPECTED FOR THE MOST PART
AND THE COLDEST AIR WILL ONLY MAKE A BRIEF VISIT. LOOK FOR
TEMPERATURES TO REBOUND AND RAINFALL CHANCES INCREASE A BIT AS WE
GO INTO MID NEXT WEEK. /EC/
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1144 AM CST WED DEC 10 2025
AS OF 1744Z, GWO, AND GTR ARE CURRENTLY UNDER MVFR CEILINGS.
CEILINGS WILL IMPROVE TO VFR CONDITIONS AT THE NORTHERN TAF SITES
BY 19Z WEDNESDAY. SURFACE WINDS WILL BE GUSTY DURING THE AFTERNOON
AND SHIFTING TO W AND NW. WIND GUSTS WILL SUBSIDE BY SUNSET LATER
THIS EVENING. OTHERWISE, VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE
REST OF THE TAF PERIOD. /CR/
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
JACKSON 34 57 40 66 / 0 0 0 10
MERIDIAN 32 56 36 65 / 0 0 0 0
VICKSBURG 34 58 41 67 / 0 0 0 10
HATTIESBURG 35 60 39 70 / 0 0 0 0
NATCHEZ 35 60 42 70 / 0 0 0 10
GREENVILLE 33 53 40 63 / 0 0 0 0
GREENWOOD 32 55 40 64 / 0 0 0 0
JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MS...NONE.
LA...NONE.
AR...NONE.
EC/CR/
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