833
FXUS64 KJAN 110133 AAB
AFDJAN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
833 PM CDT FRI APR 10 2026
..NEW MESOSCALE UPDATE
KEY MESSAGES
- DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE INTO THE WEEKEND.
- DROUGHT CONTINUES TO WORSEN ACROSS THE REGION.
MESOSCALE UPDATE
ISSUED AT 832 PM CDT FRI APR 10 2026
REST OF TONIGHT...QUICK UPDATE TO THE FORECAST THIS EVENING TO ADD
SOME ISOLATED SHOWERS ACROSS MAINLY FAR SOUTHWEST PORTIONS OF THE
CWA FOR A FEW HOURS THIS EVENING. AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY ASSOCIATED
WITH EARLIER CONVECTION SOUTH OF THE AREA, HAS LIFTED NORTH INTO
SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA. THIS HAS SPARKED A FEW
SHOWERS ACROSS MAINLY EAST CENTRAL LOUISIANA AND SOUTHWEST
MISSISSIPPI. THESE WILL LINGER A COUPLE OF MORE HOURS ACROSS THESE
AREAS BEFORE FINALLY DISSIPATING AS DAYTIME HEATING CONTINUES TO
WANE THIS EVENING. ONCE THIS ACTIVITY DISSIPATES, QUIET CONDITIONS
WILL EXIST AREAWIDE THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. THAT SAID, ANY
LOCALE THAT'S LUCKY ENOUGH TO SEE AN ISOLATED SHOWER THIS EVENING,
WILL ALSO LIKELY SEE SOME PATCHY FOG EARLY SATURDAY MORNING, WHICH
I'VE ALSO ADDED TO THE FORECAST ACROSS THE SOUTH.
REMAINING ELEMENTS OF THE FORECAST FOR THE REMAINDER OF TONIGHT ARE
IN GOOD SHAPE. OTHER THAN THE CHANGES MENTIONED ABOVE, NO FURTHER
ADJUSTMENTS WILL BE MADE ON THIS EVENING'S FORECAST UPDATE. /19/
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 139 PM CDT FRI APR 10 2026
THROUGH SATURDAY: SLIGHTLY WARMER AND CONTINUED DRY THROUGH THE
PERIOD. THE SURFACE RIDGE THAT HAS BEEN NOSING WEST ACROSS THE GULF
COAST STATES WILL WEAKEN BUT REMAIN DOMINANT THROUGH SATURDAY. MID
LEVEL RIDGING WILL STRENGTHEN OVER OUR REGION THROUGH SATURDAY. THE
RIDGING SURFACE AND ALOFT WILL HELP MAINTAIN OUR DRY WEATHER AND
HELP TEMPERATURES BOTTOM OUT A COUPLE DEGREES WARMER TONIGHT AND TOP
OUT A COUPLE DEGREES WARMER SATURDAY. ALTHOUGH THE AFTERNOON HIGHS
WILL BE QUITE WARM, THE ONLY CLIMATE SITE THAT IS FORECAST TO BE
NEAR RECORD HIGH IS AT GREENWOOD. PATCHY FOG MAY DEVELOP ACROSS THE
SOUTH EARLY SATURDAY MORNING BUT DENSE FOG IS NOT ANTICIPATED.
/22/
FOR THE REST OF THE PERIOD...
A STRONG RIDGE WILL HAVE SETTLED OVER THE REGION, WITH A STRONG JET
PUSHING VARIOUS WAVES JUST TO THE NORTH AND WEST PERIPHERY OF THE
CWA. THAT BEING SAID, IF THE AFOREMENTIONED RIDGE SHIFTS MORE
EASTERLY THE TRACK OF THOSE IMPULSES COULD RESULT IN SOME SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SKIRTING OUR FAR NORTHWESTERN COUNTIES,
EARLY NEXT WEEK.
WITH HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATING, DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE THE
RULE OF THE FORECAST. FIRE WEATHER AND DROUGHT CONCERNS MAY BECOME
ELEVATED AS WE PROGRESS THROUGH MID WEEK NEXT WEEK, DUE TO THE
ENTRENCHED DRY AIR REGIME.
HIGHS WILL HOVER IN THE MID 80S THROUGH THE REST OF THE PERIOD,
CREEPING INTO THE HIGH 80S BY DAY 7, WITH LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER
60S./OAJ/
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 625 PM CDT FRI APR 10 2026
VFR FLIGHT CATEGORIES WILL PREVAIL AT AREA TAF SITES THROUGH MUCH
OF THIS 00Z FORECAST PERIOD. SOME PATCHY FOG AT NAMELY KHEZ,
KHBG, & KPIB COULD PERIODICALLY REDUCE VISIBILITIES TO MVFR STATUS
AT THESE SITES BETWEEN 10-13Z SATURDAY MORNING. ANY PATCHY FOG
THAT INDEED DEVELOPS SATURDAY MORNING, WILL QUICKLY ERODE AFTER
SUNRISE, WITH VFR FLIGHT CATEGORIES AGAIN PREVAILING THROUGH THE
REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. WINDS OVERNIGHT WILL BE CALM TO
LIGHT FROM THE SOUTHEAST AROUND 3-5 KNOTS, INCREASING TO BETWEEN
5-10 KNOTS FROM THE SOUTHEAST BY LATE SATURDAY MORNING. /19/
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
JACKSON 57 85 58 85 / 0 0 0 0
MERIDIAN 54 85 55 86 / 0 0 0 0
VICKSBURG 58 86 59 85 / 0 0 0 0
HATTIESBURG 56 86 56 85 / 0 0 0 0
NATCHEZ 58 85 59 84 / 20 0 0 0
GREENVILLE 60 85 61 84 / 0 0 0 0
GREENWOOD 59 86 61 85 / 0 0 0 0
JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MS...NONE.
LA...NONE.
AR...NONE.
19
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