397
FXUS64 KJAN 141517
AFDJAN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
917 AM CST WED JAN 14 2026
..NEW MESOSCALE UPDATE
KEY MESSAGES
- SEASONAL TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN PLACE THROUGH THE WEEK AHEAD.
- MOST NIGHTS SHOULD SEE TEMPERATURES FALL TO NEAR OR BELOW
FREEZING THIS WEEK.
MESOSCALE UPDATE
ISSUED AT 917 AM CST WED JAN 14 2026
NEAR TERM GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO SHOW AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT OVER
ARKANSAS PUSHING SOUTHEASTWARD TOWARDS THE AREA. THIS WILL ALLOW
FOR SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS TO DEVELOP ACROSS OUR CWA THIS MORNING
AND AFTERNOON. SHOWERS WILL BEGIN TO DISSIPATE LATER THIS EVENING
AS THE COLD FRONT CONTINUES TO PUSH SOUTHEASTWARD TOWARDS THE PINE
BELT. SKY CONDITIONS WILL BE MOSTLY CLOUDY HEADING INTO THE
AFTERNOON AS A QUICK LOOK AT THE GOES 16 VISIBLE SATELLITE SHOWS
CLOUDS BUILDING FROM THE WEST. THE ONGOING CLOUD COVER ALONG WITH
THE SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS WILL HELP KEEP AFTERNOON HIGHS IN THE
MID/UPPER 50S AREAWIDE. /CR/
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1228 AM CST WED JAN 14 2026
A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM SLIDING EAST ALONG THE INTERSTATE 20
CORRIDOR THIS MORNING IS PRODUCING LIGHT RAIN AHEAD OF IT. RAIN
RATES ARE LIGHT, WITH MOST OBS SITES REPORTING AT BEST AROUND 0.05
INCHES PER HOUR. AS THE SYSTEM CONTINUES EAST, RAIN WILL TAPER
OFF. THEN SOME SHOWERS OR ADDITIONAL LIGHT RAIN WILL DEVELOP AS AN
APPROACHING COLD FRONT PUSHES SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE AREA THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO SHOW A SERIES OF REINFORCING COLD FRONTS
PUSHING ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST CONUS TONIGHT THROUGH THE LATE WEEK
WHICH WILL HELP MAINTAIN DRY AIR. CONDITIONS REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR
FREEZING/SUBFREEZING OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES THROUGH AT LEAST EARLY
NEXT WEEK.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 538 AM CST WED JAN 14 2026
TAFS WILL BE MOSTLY MVFR/VFR TODAY. LIGHT RAIN THIS MORNING WILL
BEGIN TO CLEAR THE AREA MID MORNING WHILE LIGHT SHOWERS WILL MOVE
IN FROM THE NORTH THIS AFTERNOON. SOME MVFR CEILINGS ARE POSSIBLE
WITH THIS RAIN. SECONDLY, WINDS WILL BEGIN TO PICK UP OUT OF THE
NORTHWEST WITH GUSTS GENERALLY 18 TO 22 KTS. WINDS WILL BEGIN TO
DIMINISH IN THE NORTH THIS EVENING, BUT MAY STICK AROUND THROUGH
THE NIGHT ALONG I-20 AND SOUTH. SCATTERED TO BROKEN CLOUDS WILL
CLEAR OVERNIGHT. /SAS/
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
JACKSON 56 27 45 29 / 40 0 0 0
MERIDIAN 55 24 44 25 / 50 10 0 0
VICKSBURG 58 27 46 31 / 30 0 0 0
HATTIESBURG 61 30 49 29 / 30 10 0 0
NATCHEZ 60 29 48 32 / 20 20 0 0
GREENVILLE 56 27 43 32 / 50 0 0 0
GREENWOOD 55 24 43 29 / 50 0 0 0
JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MS...NONE.
LA...NONE.
AR...NONE.
NF/NF/SAS20
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