185
FXUS64 KJAN 022048
AFDJAN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
248 PM CST FRI JAN 2 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
- AFTER A BRIEF COOL DOWN FOR THE WEEKEND, A SIGNIFICANT WARM-
UP IS EXPECTED NEXT WEEK WITH TEMPERATURES RETURNING TO WELL
ABOVE NORMAL VALUES.
- DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE FOR THE MOST PART THROUGH NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 245 PM CST FRI JAN 2 2026
OVERALL, THIS FORECAST LOOKS WARMER AND DRIER THAN NORMAL FOR THE
NEXT WEEK OR SO. THE QUICK-MOVING SYSTEM CROSSING THE AREA TODAY
WILL CONTINUE TO STRUGGLE TO GENERATE ANY SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL
FOR OUR AREA DUE TO THE LIMITED TIME FOR RETURN FLOW AND
CAPPED/MIXED AIRMASS IN PLACE. THIS SYSTEM WILL BE FOLLOWED BY
WEAK POLAR HIGH PRESSURE AND A BRIEF COOL-DOWN BEFORE MORE
SIGNIFICANT WARMTH RETURNS WITH A BUILDING UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OVER
THE CENTRAL CONUS.
A PROLONGED PERIOD OF QUIET WEATHER IS LIKELY THROUGH MUCH OF
NEXT WEEK AS AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BUILDS AND SOUTHERLY FLOW
MODERATES THE TEMPERATURES TO WELL ABOVE NORMAL WITH DAYTIME
HIGHS WELL INTO THE 70S AND OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE 50S FOR
MID/LATE WEEK.
BY THE END OF NEXT WEEK, MODELS ARE BEGINNING TO SHOW SOME
AGREEMENT FOR A LARGE TROUGH OVER THE WESTERN CONUS THAT MAY PUSH
FAR ENOUGH EAST TO INCREASE RAIN CHANCES IN OUR REGION, BUT
FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS NOT GREAT GIVEN SOME RECENT NWP GUIDANCE
VOLATILITY. /NF/EC/
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1149 AM CST FRI JAN 2 2026
SHOWERS AND AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS OR TWO WILL BE POSSIBLE
THROUGH AROUND 00Z ACROSS THE AREA BEFORE ENDING. CEILINGS LOWER
THROUGH TONIGHT WITH MVFR/VFR CONDITIONS DETERIORATING TO PREVAILING
MVFR/IFR FLIGHT CATEGORIES THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE TAF
PERIOD. PATCHY FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE PARTICULARLY AFTER 10Z WITH
MVFR/IFR VISIBILITIES POSSIBLE BEFORE IMPROVING AFTER 14Z. /86/
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
JACKSON 56 65 43 60 / 30 10 0 0
MERIDIAN 57 66 42 61 / 60 20 0 0
VICKSBURG 54 62 41 60 / 10 10 0 0
HATTIESBURG 62 74 47 65 / 40 30 0 0
NATCHEZ 57 67 42 63 / 0 0 0 0
GREENVILLE 49 55 37 54 / 10 10 0 0
GREENWOOD 52 60 37 57 / 40 10 0 0
JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MS...NONE.
LA...NONE.
AR...NONE.
EC/NF/86
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