927
FXUS64 KJAN 010526
AFDJAN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1126 PM CST SAT JAN 31 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- DANGEROUSLY COLD TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT.
- RAIN CHANCES PICK UP LATE NEXT TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY BEFORE COOLER
AND DRIER CONDITIONS LATE WEEK.
MESOSCALE UPDATE
ISSUED AT 929 PM CST SAT JAN 31 2026
THERE WERE A FEW GUSTS STILL BEING OBSERVED OVER EAST MISSISSIPPI
BUT THESE WILL SUBSIDE DURING THE NEXT HOUR OUR TWO. ALTHOUGH
MORNING LOWS WILL BE SEVERAL DEGREES COLDER THAN LAST NIGHT IT
WON'T FEEL AS COLD AS LAST NIGHT DUE TO A LIGHTER WIND. STILL,
DANGEROUSLY COLD TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT AND SOME SITES
WERE ALREADY REPORTING SINGLE DIGIT WIND CHILLS. THE EXTREME COLD
WARNING WAS ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 6 PM BUT IT WAS REPLACED WITH A
COLD WEATHER ADVISORY THAT WILL RUN UNTIL NOON SUNDAY. FORECAST
REMAINS ON TRACK AND NO CHANGES WERE NEEDED. /22/
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1121 AM CST SAT JAN 31 2026
TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...ANOTHER COLD NIGHT IS EXPECTED AS A SURFACE
HIGH LOCATED NEAR THE CENTRAL PLAINS MIGRATES THROUGH THE LOWER MS
VALLEY INTO THE NEW WORK WEEK. WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO DECREASE
THROUGHOUT THE AFTERNOON, EASING WIND CHILL CONCERNS. A COLD
WEATHER ADVISORY WILL REPLACE THE EXTREME COLD WARNING AND GO INTO
EFFECT AT 6 PM TODAY, LASTING UNTIL NOON SUNDAY. COLD
TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN IN PLACE WITH OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE
TEENS. DAYTIME TEMPS FOR SUNDAY WILL RISE INTO THE UPPER 30S TO
MIDDLE 40S.
MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...SURFACE HIGH CONTINUES TO
TRAVERSE TOWARDS THE EAST, ALLOWING FOR THE NEXT SHORTWAVE TROUGH
TO MOVE IN FROM THE SOUTHWEST. SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL BRING RAIN
CHANCES TO THE AREA TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. HIGHS(RANGING UPPER
40S-NEAR 60 DEGREES) / LOWS (RANGING IN THE 30S TO MID 40S) WILL
CONTINUE TO RUN BELOW SEASONAL AVERAGES. RAIN CHANCES RETURN FOR
TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY WITH THE BEST CHANCES BEING TUESDAY
NIGHT AS POPS REACH 60-90% AREAWIDE. ONCE THE SHORTWAVE PASSES
THROUGH, A QUIET WEATHER PATTERN IS EXPECTED THURSDAY AND BEYOND.
/SW/
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1126 PM CST SAT JAN 31 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. /CR/
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
JACKSON 16 42 26 59 / 0 0 0 0
MERIDIAN 17 44 23 57 / 0 0 0 0
VICKSBURG 17 41 26 59 / 0 0 0 0
HATTIESBURG 19 46 25 61 / 0 0 0 0
NATCHEZ 17 44 27 62 / 0 0 0 0
GREENVILLE 16 38 26 52 / 0 0 0 0
GREENWOOD 14 39 25 54 / 0 0 0 0
JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MS...COLD WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL NOON CST SUNDAY FOR MSZ018-019-
025>066-072>074.
LA...COLD WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL NOON CST SUNDAY FOR LAZ007>009-015-
016-023>026.
AR...COLD WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL NOON CST SUNDAY FOR ARZ074-075.
22/SW/CR
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