684
FXUS64 KLCH 250608
AFDLCH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1208 AM CST THU DEC 25 2025
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER
KEY MESSAGES
- FOG LEADING TO REDUCED VISIBILITIES IS EXPECTED EACH NIGHT INTO
THE MORNING HOURS, ESPECIALLY OVER THE NEAR SHORE WATERS AND
COASTAL LAKES AND BAYS, FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK.
- NEAR RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES EACH DAY THROUGH THE END OF
CHRISTMAS WEEK.
- A COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED ON SUNDAY NIGHT TO BRING COOLER WEATHER
TO BEGIN NEXT WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1200 AM CST THU DEC 25 2025
AREAS OF DENSE FOG WILL PERSIST THROUGH MID MORNING TODAY BEFORE
GRADUALLY LIFTING AND MIXING INTO BROKEN LOW CLOUDS. DO EXPECT SKIES
TO BECOME PARTLY SUNNY BY THE AFTERNOON WITH VERY WARM HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70'S AREAWIDE. A HIGH PRESSURE CELL REMAINS CENTERED OVER THE
NORTHEAST GULF WHILE MID AND UPPER LEVEL RIDGING HELPS SUBSIDENCE
WARMING NEAR THE SURFACE UNDER THE ESTABLISHED SOUTHERLY FLOW.
ANOTHER ROUND OF PATCHY FOG LATER BECOMING WIDESPREAD AREAS OF DENSE
FOG LIKELY TO TAKE PLACE CHRISTMAS NIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING. THOSE
USING ROADWAYS DURING THE OVERNIGHT OR EARLY MORNING HOURS ARE
STRONGLY ENCOURAGE TO TAKE CAUTION DURING COMMUTES IN HEAVY FOG. A
FAIRLY STRONG UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BEGINS TO SHIFT EAST INTO THE NORTH
CENTRAL GULF WHILE THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST SEEING LOWERING OF PRESSURE
HEIGHTS ASSOCIATED WITH THE NEXT SYSTEM THAT WILL AFFECT US IN THE
LONG RANGE. MEANWHILE HIGHS WILL TREND 15-20°F ABOVE NORMAL WHILE
LOWS REMAIN 12-18°F ABOVE NORMAL FOR LATE DECEMBER BOTH FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY. NO PRECIPITATION IN THE FORECAST FOR THE SHORT RANGE
OUTLOOK.
KOWALSKI / 30
LONG TERM
(SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 1200 AM CST THU DEC 25 2025
THE LONG RANGE OUTLOOK WILL SHOW A NOTICEABLE SHIFT IN THE PATTERN
BACK TO COOLER COOLER WEATHER THROUGH THE START OF THE NEW YEAR. A
DEEPLY AMPLIFIED SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL EXPAND ACROSS THE HEARTLAND
SUNDAY WITH AN ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT MOVING THROUGH THE LOCAL AREA
THAT NIGHT INTO EARLY MONDAY. HIGHS WILL RANGE BROADLY 50-60°F
BEHIND THE FRONT, AS A STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENT DEVELOPS
SOUTHWARD OFFSHORE LEADING TO VERY WINDY/GUSTY OFFSHORE BREEZES.
CONFIDENCE IS GROWING THAT AT MINIMUM, AREAS ALONG OR NORTH LA
HWY 190 WILL HAVE A DECENT SHOT AT OBSERVING TEMPERATURES AT OR
BELOW FREEZING MONDAY NIGHT. COMBINED WITH BREEZY NORTH WINDS AND
WINDCHILLS MAY FALL INTO THE LOW 20'S FOR PORTIONS OF CENLA. THIS
COLDER AIRMASS WILL STICK AROUND THROUGH NEXT TUESDAY BEFORE
TEMPERATURES BEGIN TO MODERATE BY THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK AS
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BROADENS TO THE EAST.
KOWALSKI / 30
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1200 AM CST THU DEC 25 2025
LIFR / IFR VIS AND CEILINGS WILL REMAIN THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD
ACROSS ALL SITES. FOG IS FORECAST TO BE DENSE THROUGH 10AM LT,
HOWEVER GRADUAL IMPROVEMENTS TO SURFACE VIS MAY START TO IMPROVE
1-2 HOURS EARLIER WHILE CEILINGS REMAIN VERY LOW. VFR CONDITIONS
WILL LIKELY TREND AFTER LOCAL NOON THROUGH DUSK. FOG IS ONCE AGAIN
LIKELY TONIGHT INTO 26TH/AM.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1200 AM CST THU DEC 25 2025
A LIGHT ONSHORE FLOW WILL PREVAIL THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON, KEEPING
A DAILY RISK OF SEA FOG IN THE FORECAST. DUE TO ONGOING DENSE MARINE
FOG AND ELEVATED PROBABILITIES OF FOG PERSISTING, THE DF.Y WAS
EXTENDED INTO LOCAL NOON TODAY FOR THE NEARSHORE MARINE ZONES.
BRIEF PERIODS OF INCREASED VISIBILITIES WILL BE POSSIBLE FOR ALL
MARINE ZONES IN THE AFTERNOON, HOWEVER.
A STRONG OFFSHORE FLOW IS EXPECTED IN THE WAKE OF A COLD FRONT
FORECAST TO PUSH THROUGH THE COASTAL WATERS LATE SUNDAY NIGHT INTO
EARLY MONDAY. THIS WILL ASSIST WITH CLEARING THE FOG, HOWEVER WITH
ELEVATED OFFSHORE FLOW AND GUSTS PREDICTED, A SC.Y WILL BE LIKELY
AND A GL.A MAY BECOME NECESSARY.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 1200 AM CST THU DEC 25 2025
LIGHT SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL PERSIST THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON. MIN
AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL BE IN THE 60 TO 70 PERCENT
RANGE. AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OVERHEAD WILL HELP KEEP ANY SIGNIFICANT
RAINFALL OUT OF THE FORECAST PRIOR TO SUNDAY NIGHT BEFORE A COLD
FRONT INITIATES A FEW SCATTERED SHOWERS. WINDS WILL THEN SHIFT OUT
OF THE NORTH WITH GUSTY CONDITIONS POSSIBLE THROUGH MONDAY
AFTERNOON. IN THE MEANWHILE, THERE WILL BE THE POTENTIAL FOR
WIDESPREAD FOG DURING THE NIGHT AND EARLY MORNING HOURS EACH DAY.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AEX 77 61 79 61 / 0 0 0 0
LCH 77 63 77 63 / 0 0 0 0
LFT 77 61 78 63 / 0 0 0 10
BPT 79 63 78 63 / 0 0 0 0
LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
LA...DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM CST THIS MORNING FOR LAZ027>033-
044-045-055-073-074-141>143-152>154-241>243-252>254.
TX...DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM CST THIS MORNING FOR TXZ180-201-
259>262-515-516-615-616.
GM...DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL NOON CST TODAY FOR GMZ430-432-435-436-
450-452-455.
SHORT TERM...30
LONG TERM....30
AVIATION...30
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page