604
FXUS64 KLCH 110445
AFDLCH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1145 PM CDT FRI APR 10 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER
KEY MESSAGES
- A FEW SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTHEAST TEXAS TODAY, BUT
THE VAST MAJORITY OF THE REGION WILL NOT SEE PRECIPITATION.
- A FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL STALL NORTHWEST OF THE REGION SUNDAY
PROVIDING A FOCUS FOR A FEW (20% POP) SHOWERS TO DEVELOP ACROSS
SOUTHEAST TEXAS, BUT AGAIN THE MAJORITY OF THE REGION WILL NOT SEE
RAIN.
- TEMPERATURES WILL CLIMB INTO THE MID TO UPPER 80S NEXT WEEK
ALONG WITH INCREASING HUMIDITY ON BREEZY SOUTHERLY WINDS WEEK.
CENTRAL LOUISIANA MAY EVEN BREAK 90 LATE IN THE WEEK.
DISCUSSION
(TONIGHT THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 1145 PM CDT FRI APR 10 2026
PRECIPITATION HAS COME TO AN END AS UPPER LEVEL RIDGING
BUILDS BACK INTO THE REGION ALONG WITH SOME DRIER AIR ALOFT. LIGHT
WINDS THIS MORNING COMBINED WITH THE GROUND MOISTURE FROM THE RECENT
RAIN MAY ALLOW FOR SOME LIGHT PATCHY FOG DEVELOPMENT THIS MORNING
WITH NBM GUIDANCE INDICATING A 20-30% CHANCE OF DEVELOPMENT. ANY FOG
THAT DEVELOPS WILL BE QUICK TO DISSIPATE AND SHOULD BE GONE NO LATER
THAN 9 AM THIS MORNING. MUCH DEEPER MOISTURE SITTING JUST TO THE
WEST ACROSS MUCH OF TEXAS MAY ALLOW FOR A FEW SHOWERS TO DEVELOP
ACROSS SOUTHEAST TEXAS TODAY, BUT THESE WILL BE SMALL AND SHORT
LIVED WITH THE VAST MAJORITY OF THE REGION REMAINING DRY. A SIMILAR
SETUP WILL REMAIN IN PLACE INTO SUNDAY AND GUIDANCE HAS BEEN SLOWLY
INCREASING POPS ACROSS SOUTHEAST TEXAS SUNDAY AFTERNOON WHICH NOW
SIT AT 20-40%. THIS, ALSO WILL NOT AMOUNT TO MUCH.
THE REST OF THE UPCOMING WEEK WILL BE PRETTY UNIFORM WITH HIGH
PRESSURE OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. AND GULF MAINTAINING BREEZY
SOUTHERLY WINDS MAKING FOR WARM AFTERNOONS IN THE MID TO UPPER 80S
AND MILD NIGHTS IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S. TEMPERATURES MAY EVEN BREAK
90 ACROSS CENTRAL LOUISIANA FRIDAY. MEANWHILE, RIDGING ALOFT WILL
KEEP A LID ON ANY PRECIPITATION MONDAY-FRIDAY.
JONES
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1145 PM CDT FRI APR 10 2026
SOME LIGHT, PATCHY FOG MAY DEVELOP THIS MORNING IN
RESPONSE TO LIGHT WINDS AND GROUND MOISTURE FROM YESTERDAY'S
SHOWERS. BKN HIGH CLOUDS SHOULD HELP TO LIMIT THIS DEVELOPMENT AND
DENSE FOG IS NOT ANTICIPATED. ANY FOG THAT DEVELOPS WILL DISSIPATE
BY 14Z. VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THEREAFTER THROUGH THE DAY ALONG
WITH EAST SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS AROUND 10 KNOTS. A SHORT DURATION,
ISOLATED SHOWER CAN'T BE COMPLETELY RULED OUT AT BPT SATURDAY
AFTERNOON, BUT PROBABILITIES ARE TOO LOW TO EXPLICITLY MENTION IN
TAFS ATTM. LOUISIANA TERMINALS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO SEE ANY
PRECIPITATION THROUGH THE PERIOD.
JONES
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1145 PM CDT FRI APR 10 2026
HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. WILL MAINTAIN
EASTERLY WINDS AROUND 15 KNOTS THROUGH THE DAY WITH SEAS RANGING
FROM 2-5 FEET. WINDS WILL TURN ONSHORE AT AROUND 15 KNOTS SUNDAY
THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEK WITH SEAS REMAINING CONSISTENTLY
BETWEEN 2-3 FEET OVER THE NEARSHORE COASTAL WATERS AND 3-5 FEET OVER
THE OUTER COASTAL WATERS. A FEW SMALL SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE
ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS TODAY AND SUNDAY, BUT
NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 1145 PM CDT FRI APR 10 2026
BREEZY SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS BETWEEN 10-15 MPH WILL
DEVELOP EACH DAY THIS WEEKEND THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEK DIMINISHING
DURING THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. THIS STEADY FLOW WILL KEEP
DEWPOINTS GENERALLY IN THE 60S YIELDING MINIMUM RH VALUES IN THE 40-
60% RANGE. WITH NO APPRECIABLE PRECIPITATION CHANCES EXPECTED THIS
WEEK, ONGOING DROUGHT CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO WORSEN.
LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
PUBLIC/FIRE/MARINE...66
AVIATION...66
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