132
FXUS64 KLCH 271158
AFDLCH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
558 AM CST TUE JAN 27 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- VERY COLD NIGHT TIME TEMPERATURES WITH READINGS NEAR OR BELOW
FREEZING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
- THE AIRMASS OVERHEAD WILL MODERATE SOME ON THURSDAY ALONG WITH
AN INCREASE IN MOISTURE TO BRING ABOUT A CHANCE FOR SHOWERS ON
THURSDAY NIGHT.
- ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH THE REGION FRIDAY WITH MORE ARCTIC
TYPE AIR KEEPING TEMPERATURES WELL BELOW NORMAL THROUGH NEXT
WEEKEND.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1201 AM CST TUE JAN 27 2026
A STUBBORN AREA OF LOW COLD AIR ADVECTION CLOUDS HAVE MOVED INTO THE
NORTHERN ZONES AND IS PLAYING WITH THE POTENTIAL OVERNIGHT LOWS.
BUMPED UP OVERNIGHT LOWS A COUPLE OF DEGREES BUT WE WILL STILL SEE
HARD FREEZE CONDITIONS AS THE HEART OF THE ARCTIC AIR MASS MOVES
OVER THE REGION.
THE SURFACE RIDGE ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ARCTIC AIR MASS WILL SLUMBER
SLOWLY TO THE EAST OVER THE REGION THROUGH WEDNESDAY WITH A SLIGHTLY
MODIFICATION IN TEMPERATURES.
A BETTER MODIFICATION IN TEMPERATURES, ALONG WITH AN INCREASE IN
MOISTURE WILL COME ON THURSDAY AS THE RIDGE FINALLY MOVES OFF TO THE
EAST AND SOUTHERLY WINDS OFF THE GULF BRIEFLY RETURN. THE INCREASE
IN MOISTURE, ALONG WITH A COASTAL LOW OVER THE NORTHWEST GULF WILL
BRING ABOUT A CHANCE FOR SHOWERS ON THURSDAY NIGHT.
THE AIR MASS WILL ONLY MODIFY SLIGHTLY DURING TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY
AS THE DENSE ARCTIC AIR MASS SLOWLY SETTLES OVER THE REGION.
07/RUA
LONG TERM
(FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1201 AM CST TUE JAN 27 2026
ANOTHER STRONG CANADIAN COLD FRONT WITH AN AIRMASS OF ARCTIC ORIGIN
WILL MOVE THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA DURING THE FIRST PART OF FRIDAY.
THE LATEST GUIDANCE IS IN BETTER AGREEMENT THAT MOISTURE WILL HAVE
MOVED OUT BEFORE THE COLD AIR ARRIVES AND THEREFORE HAS BACKED OFF
ON ANY WINTRY MIX PRECIPITATION WITH THIS FRONT.
LOOKS LIKE A GOOD PRESSURE GRADIENT BEHIND THE FRONT AS A STRONG
HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM BUILDS IN FROM THE NORTHERN PLAINS AND LOW
PRESSURE DEVELOPS OVER THE SOUTHEAST US. EXPECT RATHER STRONG AND
GUSTY NORTHERLY WINDS FOR FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY NIGHT.
WITH A DEEP UPPER LEVEL TROUGH DIPPING DOWN EAST OF THE MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY, DEEP NORTHWEST FLOW WITH AN OPEN DOOR TO THE CANADIAN
PRAIRIES WILL BRING ANOTHER FRIGID AIR MASS INTO THE FORECAST AREA
FOR NEXT WEEKEND.
STILL A WAYS OUT, HOWEVER WHISKER PLOTS ON THE NBM ENSEMBLES ARE
SHOWING A SHRINKING OF THE SEPARATION BETWEEN THE 75TH AND 25TH
PERCENTILES THAT WOULD INDICATE AN INCREASE IN HARD FREEZE
CONDITIONS FOR FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING, ALONG WITH
DANGEROUS WIND CHILLS FOR FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING. STAY
TUNED
07/RUA
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 549 AM CST TUE JAN 27 2026
VFR CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO REMAIN THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON
ACROSS ALL TAF SITES WHILE WINDS RETAIN LIGHT AND VARIABLE
COMPONENTS.
30
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AEX 47 23 51 25 / 0 0 0 0
LCH 48 30 55 33 / 0 0 0 0
LFT 48 30 55 33 / 0 0 0 0
BPT 50 31 57 35 / 0 0 0 0
LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
LA...EXTREME COLD WARNING UNTIL NOON CST TODAY FOR LAZ027>033-044-045-
055-073-074-141>143-152>154-241>243-252>254.
TX...EXTREME COLD WARNING UNTIL NOON CST TODAY FOR TXZ180-201-259>262-
515-516-615-616.
GM...LOW WATER ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM CST THIS MORNING FOR GMZ430-432-
435-436.
SHORT TERM...07
LONG TERM....07
AVIATION...30
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