153
FXUS64 KLCH 271137
AFDLCH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
637 AM CDT FRI MAR 27 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- DENSE FOG IS POSSIBLE ACROSS PARTS OF THE AREA TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY
MORNING.
- A DRY FRONTAL PASSAGE WILL BRING A BRIEF PERIOD OF LOWER HUMIDITY
AND COOLER TEMPERATURES SATURDAY, WITH FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS.
- WARMER TEMPERATURES WILL RETURN NEXT WEEK ALONG WITH SMALL RAIN
CHANCES.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 301 AM CDT FRI MAR 27 2026
WARM AND HUMID THROUGH TOMORROW AHEAD OF A DRY COLD FRONT THAT WILL
BE MOVING THROUGH THE AREA LATE TOMORROW INTO TOMORROW NIGHT.
NOT AS SOLD ON THE WIDESPREAD DENSE FOG BASED ON OBSERVATIONS AND
GUIDANCE THIS EVENING. WILL LET IT RIDE FOR NOW, BUT WOULD NOT BE
SHOCKED IF THE OVERNIGHT SHIFT HAS TO CANCEL AT LEAST PORTIONS
EARLY.
SATURDAY WILL BE POST FRONTAL AND DID TRIM DEWPOINTS IN THE WAKE OF
THE FRONT A BIT TOWARDS THE HRRR AS THE NBM DOES POOR IN POST
FRONTAL CONDITIONS. THIS YIELDS LOWER RH'S AND WITH GUSTY WINDS FIRE
WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL BECOME A CONCERN SATURDAY. AT THIS TIME
LEANING TOWARDS IT BEING A FIRE DANGER STATEMENT, BUT WOULD NOT BE
SHOCKED TO SEE A FIRE WEATHER WATCH OR RED FLAG HAVE TO BE ISSUED
FOR THE EASTERN PARISHES AND SOUTHERN LOUISIANA WHERE THE HIGHEST
WINDS WILL BE CO-LOCATED WITH THE LOW RH'S.
OTHERWISE A QUICK COOL DOWN FOLLOWED BY RAPID WARMING TREND
BEGINNING SUNDAY AND LOW RAIN CHANCES ACROSS FAR EASTERN PORTIONS OF
THE AREA AS A SLUG OF DEEPER MOISTURE BEGINS TO RETURN.
LONG TERM
(MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 301 AM CDT FRI MAR 27 2026
WARM CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE WITH A SUMMER LIKE PATTERN WITH A
DAILY CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY ACROSS THE EASTERN
PORTIONS OF CENTRAL LOUISIANA THROUGH THE WEDNESDAY.
BETTER RAIN CHANCES COME IN THURSDAY ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION, BUT
EVEN THEN THE CHANCES ARE NOT OVERLY HIGH. RAINFALL AMOUNTS LOOK
MEAGER TO MITIGATE THE ONGOING DROUGHT CONDITIONS.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 633 AM CDT FRI MAR 27 2026
OBSERVED VISIBILITIES HAVE BEEN FLUCTUATING DRAMATICALLY THIS
MORNING IN RESPONSE TO VERY SHALLOW GROUND FOG THAT HAS DEVELOPED
ACROSS THE REGION AND IS PERIODICALLY BOUNCING ABOVE AND BELOW
THE SENSORS. IN MANY PLACES, THE FOG IS ONLY A FEW FEET DEEP.
THESE SIGNIFICANT CHANGES IN VISIBILITY ARE LIKELY TO CONTINUE
THROUGH ABOUT 13:30Z WITH ALL FOG EXPECTED TO BE DISSIPATED BY
14Z. VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE DAY ALONG WITH LIGHT
SOUTHERLY WINDS. A DRY COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH THE REGION
THIS EVENING FROM NORTH TO SOUTH INCREASING WINDS OUT OF THE NORTH
AS IT DOES SO. GUSTS AS HIGH AS 25 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP
EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.
JONES
MARINE
ISSUED AT 301 AM CDT FRI MAR 27 2026
LIGHT ONSHORE WINDS AND LOW SEAS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH FRIDAY. A DRY
COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH THE COASTAL WATERS LATE FRIDAY NIGHT
INTO SATURDAY MORNING TURNING WINDS OFFSHORE AND INCREASING THEM TO
20-25 KNOTS WITH SEAS 4 TO 6 FEET AND A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WILL
LIKELY BE NEEDED. THE ELEVATED OFFSHORE FLOW IN ADDITION TO BEING A
FEW DAYS BEFORE A FULL MOON COULD LEAD TO LOW WATER CONDITIONS.
THESE WINDS WILL WEAKEN BY SATURDAY NIGHT BEFORE TURNING BACK
ONSHORE SUNDAY THROUGH NEXT WEEK.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 301 AM CDT FRI MAR 27 2026
ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND HUMIDITY WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE
REGION THROUGH FRIDAY. A DRY COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH THE REGION
FRIDAY EVENING INTO EARLY SATURDAY WITH A BRIEF PERIOD OF COOLER,
DRIER AIR FILTERING INTO THE REGION ON BREEZY NORTH WINDS SATURDAY.
THIS DRIER AIR WILL DROP AFTERNOON MINIMUM RH VALUES INTO THE 20-30%
RANGE WHICH, COMBINED WITH THE ONGOING DROUGHT ACROSS MUCH OF THE
REGION, COULD SUPPORT THE DEVELOPMENT AND/OR SPREAD OF WILDFIRES.
WHILE NO SPECIFIC FIRE WEATHER PRODUCTS HAVE BEEN ISSUED AT THIS
TIME, IT WILL NOT BE OUT OF THE REALM OF POSSIBILITY TO SEE A
MINIMUM OF A FIRE DANGER STATEMENT, IF NOT A RED FLAG WARNING FOR
PARTS OF THE FORECAST AREA. CURRENTLY, PARTS OF CENLA INTO SOUTHERN
LOUISIANA APPEAR TO HAVE THE MOST HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS BETWEEN THE
LOWER RHS AND STRONGER WINDS.
WINDS WILL TURN BACK OUT OF THE SOUTH SUNDAY WITH HUMIDITY
INCREASING ONCE AGAIN IN RESPONSE. A WARM, HUMID PATTERN BECOMES
REESTABLISHED THROUGH MUCH OF NEXT WEEK.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AEX 86 51 70 49 / 0 10 0 0
LCH 83 55 74 55 / 0 10 0 0
LFT 84 56 74 53 / 0 0 0 0
BPT 84 55 74 55 / 0 0 0 0
LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
LA...DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM CDT THIS MORNING FOR LAZ027>033-
044-045-055-073-074-141>143-152>154-241>243-252>254.
TX...DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM CDT THIS MORNING FOR TXZ515-516-
615-616.
GM...NONE.
SHORT TERM...27
LONG TERM....27
AVIATION...66
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