427
FXUS64 KLCH 051729
AFDLCH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1229 PM CDT WED AUG 5 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER
KEY MESSAGES
- A TYPICAL SUMMER WEATHER PATTERN WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THIS WEEK
WITH A FEW AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS EACH DAY.
- AFTERNOON HIGHS WILL CLIMB INTO THE LOW TO MID 90S EACH DAY
WITH MAXIMUM HEAT INDICES RANGING FROM 101 TO 109.
DISCUSSION
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH NEXT TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1122 AM CDT WED AUG 5 2026
TYPICAL SUMMER PATTERN LOOKS TO CONTINUE THROUGH OUR DAY-TO-DAY
FORECAST WITH LITTLE CHANGE EXPECTED. UPPER LEVEL RIDGING IS
CURRENTLY CENTERED OVER NEW MEXICO AND A WEAK UPPER LEVEL TROUGH
SITUATED IN THE EASTERN GULF IS LEADING TO VERY WEAK UPPER LEVEL
FLOW OVER OUR AREA. DIURNALLY DRIVEN SHOWERS WILL PERSIST DAILY
OVER SECTIONS OF OUR AREA. WEAK UPPER LEVEL FLOW WILL LEAD TO SLOW
MOVING STORMS, BUT THE AVERAGE PWAT VALUES DAMPEN THE CHANCES FOR
FLOODING RAINFALL.
A SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE IS SITUATED OVER THE EASTERN GULF IS
BRINGING LIGHT SOUTHERLY WINDS OVER OUR AREA. CURRENTLY SPORADIC
STORMS HAVE BEGAN TO INITIATE OVER MUCH OF THE REGION. OUTFLOW
BOUNDARIES AND CLOUD SHADING WILL LIKELY KEEP HEAT INDICES FROM
REACHING THE VALUES REQUIRED FOR A HEAT ADVISORY. MODEST DCAPE
VALUES SUGGEST A SMALL CHANCE FOR LOCALIZED STRONG DOWNDRAFTS IN
CONVECTION THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON.
SOILEAU
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1122 AM CDT WED AUG 5 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. SCATTERED,
DIURNALLY DRIVEN, AFTERNOON STORMS WILL CONTINUE WITH THE HIGHEST
RISK AT LFT AND ARA. THESE STORMS WILL DISSIPATE BY 00Z THIS
EVENING WITH SKIES CLEARING OVERNIGHT. ANOTHER ROUND OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP AFTER 16Z THURSDAY AND CONTINUE
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. AWAY FROM STORMS, LIGHT SOUTH SOUTHWESTERLY
WINDS WILL PREVAIL.
JONES
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1122 AM CDT WED AUG 5 2026
ONSHORE WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE 5-8 KTS WITH GUSTS OVER 10 KTS
POSSIBLE. ISOLATED PULSE STORMS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE AFTERNOONS
WITH GREATER COVERAGE CLOSER TO THE COAST.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 1122 AM CDT WED AUG 5 2026
KBDI VALUES CONTINUE TO CLIMB. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
ARE EXPECTED EACH AFTERNOON WILL PROVIDE LOCAL RELIEF BUT
OTHERWISE NO WIDESPREAD RAIN IS EXPECTED. MINIMUM RH VALUES WILL
BE AROUND 50%.
LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
PUBLIC/FIRE/MARINE...66
AVIATION...66
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