014
FXUS64 KLCH 251704
AFDLCH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1204 PM CDT SAT JUL 25 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER
KEY MESSAGES
- AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL MAINTAIN IN PLACE THROUGH THE MIDDLE
OF NEXT WEEK.
- HEAT WILL BECOME DANGEROUS EARLY NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
(THIS EVENING THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 1202 PM CDT SAT JUL 25 2026
WITH TROPICAL STORM BERTHA NOW LONG GONE, THE FOCUS WILL TURN TO
THE DOG DAYS OF SUMMER. CONDITIONS WILL MAINLY BE HOT AND DRY.
ALOFT, A ROBUST 500-MB RIDGE IS LOCATED OVER THE CENTRAL ROCKIES.
RIDGING FROM THIS SYSTEM EXTENDS ACROSS THE GULF COAST WITH
HEIGHTS OF 597 DM, NEAR THE CLIMATOLOGICAL MAX FOR THIS TIME OF
YEAR. SINKING AIR ASSOCIATED WITH THIS RIDGE WILL LEAD TO MOSTLY
CLEAR SKIES AND HOT WEATHER. WINDS WILL REMAIN ONSHORE THROUGH THE
END OF THE WEEK DUE TO THE BERMUDA HIGH. WITH BOTH OF THESE
FACTORS IN PLACE, HEAT WILL BE OUR MAIN CONCERN. TEMPERATURES WILL
CLIMB HIGHER EACH DAY WITH AFTERNOON HIGHS THIS WEEKEND IN THE
LOW 90S, REACHING THE MID- TO UPPER 90S BY WEDNESDAY. THE HOTTEST
WEATHER WILL BE IN CENTRAL LOUISIANA AND THE INTERIOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHEAST TEXAS, WITH A LOW CHANCE (20%) FOR TEMPERATURES TO REACH
TRIPLE DIGITS WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.
HEAT ADVISORIES WILL BE POSSIBLE STARTING ON MONDAY AND COULD BE
NEEDED FOR THE REST OF THE WORKWEEK. THERE IS A CHANCE WE COULD
NEED EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNINGS FOR PARTS OF THE REGION STARTING ON
WEDNESDAY.
THE RIDGE WILL THANKFULLY BEGIN TO SHIFT TO THE WEST LATE IN THE
WEEK ALLOWING FOR MORE CONVECTION AND SLIGHTLY COOLER
TEMPERATURES.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1202 PM CDT SAT JUL 25 2026
CONDITIONS WILL BE PRIMARILY VFR WITH THE POSSIBILITY FOR FOG
OVERNIGHT ESPECIALLY NEAR SUNRISE. WITH FOG CONDITIONS WILL DROP
TO MVFR. OTHERWISE CONDITIONS WILL BE CALM WITH CLEAR SKIES AND
LIGHT WINDS.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1202 PM CDT SAT JUL 25 2026
LIGHT SOUTH WINDS AND CALM SEAS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE MIDDLE
OF THE WEEK. RAIN CHANCES WILL BE NEAR ZERO FOR THE SAME TIME
FRAME.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 1202 PM CDT SAT JUL 25 2026
HOT AND DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEKEND
AND NEXT WEEK. THE KBDI CONTINUES TO CLIMB WITH VALUES NOW BETWEEN
400 AND 500, WITH HIGHER VALUES IN CENTRAL LOUISIANA. MINIMUM RH
VALUES WILL BE AROUND 50% WITH MAX RH RECOVERY AROUND 90%. WHILE
NOWHERE NEAR ANY TYPE OF ADVISORY, IT DOES BEARS NOTING THAT
CONDITIONS ARE SLOWLY BECOMING MORE FAVORABLE FOR FIRE WEATHER.
LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
PUBLIC/FIRE/MARINE...14
AVIATION...14
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