563
FXUS64 KLCH 030500
AFDLCH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1200 AM CDT WED JUN 3 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER
KEY MESSAGES
- A MARGINAL RISK OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL, POTENTIALLY LEADING TO
FLASH FLOODING, EXTENDS ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA THROUGH
TONIGHT.
- A WEAK FRONT WILL SHIFT OFFSHORE ACROSS THE REGION WEDNESDAY
MORNING WHILE CHANCES OF RAINFALL REMAIN ELEVATED THROUGH FRIDAY.
- HUMID CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE WEDNESDAY ONWARD WITH SOME
REDUCTIONS OF HIGHS BACK INTO THE MID 80S THROUGH THE END OF THE
WORK WEEK.
DISCUSSION
(TONIGHT THROUGH NEXT TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1154 PM CDT TUE JUN 2 2026
A ROBUST LINE OF STORMS MOVED ACROSS THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON
WITH HEAVY RAIN AND GUSTY WINDS. AS EXPECTED, MOST OF THE STORMS
WERE OF THE PULSE VARIETY AND WERE GENERALLY SHORT-LIVED.
AS THE FRONT MOVES OFFSHORE TONIGHT, IT WILL STALL ALONG THE
COAST. THIS STATIONARY FRONT WILL BE THE MAIN FEATURE THROUGH THE
MIDDLE OF THE WEEK, PROVIDING A BOUNDARY FOR SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS TO FORM EACH AFTERNOON. WITH THE INCREASE IN
SHOWERS, CLOUDY SKIES WILL HELP MODERATE TEMPERATURES, WITH
AFTERNOON HIGHS STAYING IN THE MID TO UPPER 80S. AS WE MOVE INTO
THE WEEKEND, HIGH PRESSURE WILL SHIFT TO THE WESTERN ATLANTIC AND
WILL CAUSE OUR WINDS TO BECOME SOUTHERLY AGAIN. THIS WILL START
ANOTHER WARMING TREND, AND HIGHS WILL SLOWLY START TO CLIMB BACK
INTO THE 90S. AS WE MOVE INTO THE WEEKEND, MODELS ARE SHOWING AN
UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH IMPACTING THE REGION. BEING THIS FAR OUT,
SPECIFICS ARE DIFFICULT TO NAIL DOWN, BUT THE UPPER-LEVEL
DISTURBANCE WILL LEAD TO MORE WIDESPREAD RAIN. WITH SOUTH WINDS
PUSHING TROPICAL AIR NORTH, WE CAN EXPECT A MOIST ATMOSPHERE WITH
WARM CONDITIONS. THE WPC HAS ALREADY HIGHLIGHTED OUR AREA FOR A
HEAVY RAIN THREAT WITH A MARGINAL RISK (LEVEL 1 OF 4) FOR BOTH
SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE FORECAST FOR CHANGES
AND KEEP AN UMBRELLA HANDY FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1154 PM CDT TUE JUN 2 2026
MOST OF THE CONVECTION HAS FADED AWAY AS THE BOUNDARY MOVES
OFFSHORE. A FEW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT LCH, LFT, AND ARA
FOR THE NEXT HOUR OR TWO.
FOR MOST OF THE NIGHT CONDITIONS WILL BE VFR WITH LIGHT TO CALM
WINDS. PATCHY FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE NEAR SUNRISE WITH MVFR IMPACTS.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1154 PM CDT TUE JUN 2 2026
A FRONT WILL MOVE OFFSHORE TONIGHT WHERE IT WILL STALL; IN
ADDITION, BROAD HIGH PRESSURE IN THE SOUTHEAST US WILL LEAD TO
PREVAILING EAST WINDS. BY THURSDAY, THE PREVAILING WINDS WILL BE
BETWEEN 10 TO 15 KNOTS WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KNOTS. WE COULD SEE AN
EXERCISE CAUTION OR SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY DURING THIS TIME FRAME.
WITH THE PREVAILING EAST WINDS, MOST OF THE CONCERN FOR RUNUP OR
COASTAL FLOODING IS ON THE EASTERN SIDE OF THE STATE, BUT HIGH
TIDES WILL BE A BIT HIGHER THAN AVERAGE FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK.
BY THE WEEKEND, WINDS WILL BE FROM THE SOUTH AND BELOW 10 KNOTS.
CONVECTION WILL BE WIDESPREAD WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AS
THE BOUNDARY STALLS NEAR THE COAST.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 1154 PM CDT TUE JUN 2 2026
HOT AND HUMID CONDITIONS REMAIN WITH MINRH STAYING ABOVE 50%.
MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF WETTING RAIN HAVE LIMITED THE FIRE WEATHER
DANGER, AS MOST FUELS ARE NOW WELL AND TRULY SOAKED. FOR THE REST
OF THE FORECAST, RAIN CHANCES WILL BE AROUND 50% EACH AFTERNOON.
LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
PUBLIC/FIRE/MARINE...14
AVIATION...14
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