811
FXUS64 KLCH 031730
AFDLCH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1230 PM CDT FRI APR 3 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- PERSISTENT SOUTHERLY FLOW OFF THE GULF WILL BRING UNSEASONABLY
WARM AND MUGGY CONDITIONS THROUGH SATURDAY.
- AN INCREASE OF DIURNAL SCATTERED CONVECTIVE SHOWERS AND STORMS
IS EXPECTED INTO THE WEEKEND.
- A COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE DOWN LATE SATURDAY INTO EARLY
SUNDAY WITH A DECENT CHANCE OF SIGNIFICANT AND WIDESPREAD
RAINFALL. COOL AND DRIER CONDITIONS WILL TAKE PLACE INTO THE
FOLLOWING WORK WEEK.
DISCUSSION
(TONIGHT THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 1155 PM CDT THU APR 2 2026
A RIDGE REMAINS CENTERED OVER THE ATLANTIC STRETCHING INTO THE
NORTHERN GULF COAST. A SURFACE LOW WITH AN ASSOCIATED SHORT WAVE IS
MOVING INTO THE GREAT LAKES REGION AFTER HAVING CROSSED THE UPPER
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. THIS IS KEEPING A HUMID SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST FLOW
IN PLACE WHILE MOST CONVECTION IS WELL REMOVED TO THE NORTH, MINUS
SCATTERED DIURNAL CONVECTION THIS PAST AFTERNOON. ANOTHER SHORT WAVE
IS MOVING ACROSS THE CENTRAL ROCKIES.
A LACK OF UPPER RIDGE WITH AMPLY HEATING AND MOISTURE WILL ALLOW FOR
SCATTERED DIURNAL SHOWERS AND STORMS FOR FRIDAY.
BY SATURDAY THE SHORT WAVE OVER THE ROCKIES WILL HAVE PUSHED TO THE
GREAT LAKES WITH THE ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT ENTERING EAST TEXAS AND
NW LOUISIANA AROUND MID DAY. THE BOUNDARY WILL SINK SOUTH THROUGH
THE AFTERNOON AND NIGHT WITH SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND
STORMS POSSIBLE AS THIS OCCURS. ORGANIZED SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT
ANTICIPATED, HOWEVER POCKETS OF HEAVIER RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE, AND A
FEW ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS CAN NOT BE RULED OUT.
THE FRONT WILL PUSH INTO THE GULF SUNDAY. ANOTHER SHORT WAVE WILL
TRAVERSE THE REGION SUNDAY INTO MONDAY WITH A WEAK FRONTAL WAVE
DEVELOPING IN RESPONSE. OVERRUNNING RAIN MAY LINGER INTO EARLY
MONDAY.
A COOLER AIR MASS WILL FILTER IN FOR THE FIRST HALF OF NEXT WEEK
WITH A GRADUAL WARMING AND MOISTENING TREND THERE AFTER.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1225 PM CDT FRI APR 3 2026
MVFR CEILINGS ARE LIKELY TO REMAIN WIDELY SCT TO BKN THIS
AFTERNOON. SOME DIURNAL MIXING MAY CONTINUE TO LIFT CLOUD BASES
UP TO ALLOW FOR VFR CONDITIONS PERIODICALLY. AS MOISTURE FILTERS
IN FROM THE GULF, OVERCAST MVFR SKIES EXPECTED THIS EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT WHILE WINDS RETAIN OUT OF THE SSE. VCSH LIKELY AFTER
DAWN ON THE 04TH WITH INCREASING SHRA / TS DURING THE AFTERNOON.
30
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1155 PM CDT THU APR 2 2026
A LIGHT TO MODERATE SOUTHEAST FLOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY AS
HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS CENTERED WELL TO THE EAST AND LOWER PRESSURE
REMAINS OVER THE PLAINS, ALBEIT WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE AS THE
PRESSURE GRADIENT TIGHTENS SOMEWHAT. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH
SATURDAY NIGHT WITH A STRONG NORTHEAST FLOW LINGERING INTO TUESDAY
AS LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPS NEAR SOUTH TEXAS AND MOVES EAST.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 1155 PM CDT THU APR 2 2026
DROUGHT CONDITIONS ARE ONGOING ACROSS THE REGION, HOWEVER RAIN
CHANCES WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE INTO SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. A
SERIES OF UPPER DISTURBANCES WILL PASS NORTH OF THE REGION AND A
COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH THE LOCAL AREA LATE SATURDAY NIGHT.
RAIN CHANCES WILL LINGER INTO EARLY MONDAY WITH A COOLER AND
DRIER AIR MASS SPILLING IN FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK.
LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
PUBLIC/FIRE/MARINE...05
AVIATION...30
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