936
FXUS64 KLCH 171817
AFDLCH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
117 PM CDT SAT OCT 17 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER
KEY MESSAGES
- NO RAIN ANTICIPATED THROUGH THE COMING WEEK WITH COOL MORNINGS
AND WARM AFTERNOONS EACH DAY.
- A RED FLAG WARNING WILL REMAIN IN EFFECT THROUGH 8 PM TODAY.
- ENHANCED FIRE DANGER WILL REMAIN IN PLACE SUNDAY AND MONDAY.
DISCUSSION
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 116 PM CDT SAT OCT 17 2026
A COLD FRONT CONTINUES TO PUSH SOUTH ACROSS THE GULF AND THE FL
PENINSULA THIS AFTERNOON WHILE COOL AND DRY HIGH PRESSURE
STRETCHES FROM THE NORTHERN GULF COAST TO THE GREAT LAKES REGION.
TEMPERATURES, FOR A CHANGE OF PACE, ARE RUNNING SLIGHTLY BELOW
NORMAL. GUSTY NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS ARE PERSISTING, HOWEVER AS
THE RIDGE BUILDS SOUTH THROUGH THE REST OF THE DAY AND TONIGHT,
WINDS WILL DECREASE.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE TO AROUND NEW ENGLAND AND QUEBEC BY
MONDAY WHILE A NOR'EASTER LIKE SYSTEM FORMS AND STALLS OFF THE
CAROLINA COAST. THIS WILL KEEP A PERSISTENT EAST TO NORTHEAST
SURFACE FLOW IN PLACE ALL WEEK KEEPING GULF MOISTURE REMOVED. A
RIDGE ALOFT WILL ALSO KEEP SKIES CLEAR TO MOSTLY SUNNY. WHILE
TEMPERATURES WILL BE SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL FOR SUNDAY A GRADUAL
WARM UP IS ANTICIPATED NEXT WEEK. MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY, LOW
TEMPERATURES WILL BE AROUND NORMAL EACH MORNING FOR MID OCTOBER
(MID 50S TO AROUND 60) WHILE HIGHS WILL BE GENERALLY IN THE 80S TO
NEAR 90 WHICH IS SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL. HUMIDITY WILL REMAIN LOW.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 116 PM CDT SAT OCT 17 2026
GUSTY NORTH WINDS WILL DECREASE IN SPEED LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND
BECOME MORE EAST BY THE END OF THE PERIOD. VFR CONDITIONS ARE
ANTICIPATED THROUGH THE PERIOD.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 116 PM CDT SAT OCT 17 2026
HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO BUILD IN, HOWEVER WINDS WILL DECREASE
LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT. CONDITIONS WILL FALL BELOW SCA CRITERIA
EARLY SUNDAY, HOWEVER WINDS BEYOND 20 NM FROM SHORE MAY STAY
ELEVATED THROUGH EARLY WEEK.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 116 PM CDT SAT OCT 17 2026
A DRY AIRMASS AND GUSTY WINDS WILL CREATE INCREASED RISK FOR
RAPIDLY SPREADING FIRES THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON, HOWEVER WINDS WILL
DECREASE LATER TODAY.
THE DRY AIRMASS WILL REMAIN IN PLACE ALL WEEK AND INTO NEXT
WEEKEND, HOWEVER WINDS WILL BE LOWER. ENHANCED FIRE DANGER IS
ANTICIPATED.
NO RAIN IS FORECAST UNTIL PERHAPS THE END OF OCTOBER.
LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
LA...RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL 8 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR LAZ027>033-044-
045-055-073-074-141>143-152>154-241>243-252>254.
WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 4 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR LAZ029-032-033-
044-045-055-073-074-141>143-152>154-241>243-252>254.
TX...RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL 8 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR TXZ180-201-
259>262-515-516-615-616.
WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 4 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR TXZ515-516-615-
616.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 1 AM CDT SUNDAY FOR GMZ430-432-435-
436.
GALE WARNING UNTIL 1 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR GMZ450-452-455-
470-472-475.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM CDT SUNDAY FOR GMZ450-452-455-
470-472-475.
PUBLIC/FIRE/MARINE...05
AVIATION...05
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