071
FXUS64 KLCH 291806
AFDLCH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
106 PM CDT FRI MAY 29 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER
KEY MESSAGES
- HUMID AND MUGGY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
- PRECIPITATION CHANCES WILL REMAIN LOW THROUGH THE WEEKEND, THEN
INCREASE EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH THE POTENTIAL OF ISOLATED TO
SCATTERED STORMS TO DEVELOP EACH AFTERNOON THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF
THE WEEK.
DISCUSSION
(THIS EVENING THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 1220 PM CDT FRI MAY 29 2026
AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE IS PUSHING EAST ACROSS THE MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY AND THEREFORE AWAY FROM THE FORECAST AREA. A SLIGHTLY DRIER
AIR MASS HAS FILTERED IN ALOFT BEHIND THIS DISTURBANCE WITH PWATS
FALLING BACK TO NEAR AVERAGE VALUES FOR THE DATE OF AROUND 1.5".
A FEW SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON DURING
PEAK HEATING, BUT COVERAGE WILL BE MUCH LOWER THAN OVER THE FIRST
HALF OF THE WEEK.
THROUGH THE WEEKEND, WEAK RIDGING WILL BUILD INTO THE NORTHERN
GULF COAST WHILE MOISTURE LEVELS ARE ROUGHLY AVERAGE FOR THE DATE.
WHILE AN ISOLATED STORMS CAN NOT BE RULED OUT, COVERAGE WILL BE
LOW. TYPICAL SUMMER-TIME TEMPERATURES ARE ANTICIPATED WITH
APPARENT TEMPS CLIMBING TO AROUND 100 IN THE AFTERNOONS OF SAT
AND SUN.
NEXT WEEK MOISTURE IS FORECAST TO INCREASE ACROSS THE REGION WITH
POPS INCREASING IN TANDEM. SCATTERED AFTERNOON STORMS WILL BE
POSSIBLE. GUIDANCE IS A BIT SPLIT ON THE FORECAST WITH AN UPPER
RIDGE POTENTIALLY BUILDING ACROSS THE CENTRAL SECTIONS OF THE
COUNTRY EARLY NEXT WEEK. PLACEMENT OF THE RIDGE IN RELATION TO
THE LOCAL AREA MAY SERVE TO INCREASE OR DECREASE POPS THROUGH
MIDWEEK ALTHOUGH THERE IS A BACK DOOR FRONT THAT MAY DRIFT INTO
THE AREA AND SERVE AS A FOCUS FOR CONVECTION.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1154 AM CDT FRI MAY 29 2026
PATCHY MVFR CEILINGS WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH THE NEXT FEW HOURS
AS THE CU FIELD DEVELOPS AND THIN BR WILL BE POSSIBLE LATE
TONIGHT INTO EARLY SAT, OTHERWISE, MOSTLY VFR CONDITIONS ARE
ANTICIPATED DURING THE PERIOD. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT AND WEST TO
SOUTHWEST.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1220 PM CDT FRI MAY 29 2026
A LIGHT ONSHORE FLOW WILL REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK
AS HIGH PRESSURE LINGERS OVER THE NORTHERN GULF COAST.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 1220 PM CDT FRI MAY 29 2026
HIGH SURFACE MOISTURE WILL LINGER THROUGH THE WEEKEND WHICH MAY
ALLOW THIN GROUND FOG TO DEVELOP EACH MORNING. ISOLATED TO WIDELY
SCATTERED STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON, HOWEVER AN UPPER
RIDGE WILL BUILD OVER THE AREA SATURDAY AND SUNDAY DECREASING
COVERAGE TO ISOLATED AT BEST.
LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
PUBLIC/FIRE/MARINE...05
AVIATION...05
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