705
FXUS64 KLCH 281937
AFDLCH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
237 PM CDT WED MAY 28 2025
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE
KEY MESSAGES
- A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE STORMS AND MARGINAL RISK OF EXCESSIVE
RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE TODAY AS AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES
COMBINES WITH A MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR MASS.
- THE UNSETTLED PATTERN WILL CONTINUE INTO THE END OF THE WORK
WEEK.
- HIGH PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO BRING DRIER WEATHER OVER THE
WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 218 PM CDT WED MAY 28 2025
STATIONARY FRONT REMAINS ACROSS THE AREA WITH A CLUSTER OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS MOVING ACROSS MOSTLY THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE
AREA AT THIS TIME. ADDITIONAL ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP
ACROSS THE NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. AFTER THIS ROUND OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THE NEXT
ROUND SHOULD PASS THROUGH LATE TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING. ONE
FINAL ROUND IS EXPECTED FRIDAY WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE MAIN FRONT
TO THE SOUTH.
LONG TERM
(SATURDAY THROUGH NEXT TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 218 PM CDT WED MAY 28 2025
BEGINNING THIS WEEKEND AND GOING INTO THE NEXT WORK WEEK,
RELATIVELY QUIET WEATHER EXPECTED. THE FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE
SOUTH OVER THE GULF AS A SURFACE HIGH MOVES INTO TX. THIS WILL
BRING WELCOMED DRY NORTHERLY AIR TO THE SURFACE. ALOFT, A TROUGH
WILL DEEPEN OVER THE EAST COAST, WITH NORTHERLY WINDS ALSO ALOFT.
SUNDAY, THE RIDGE WILL STRETCH EASTWARD OVER THE GULF COAST AND
LIGHT SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL RETURN. WIDELY ISOLATED POPS RETURN TO
THE FORECAST THEREAFTER INTO THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD WITH A
WEAK STORM COMPLEX POSSIBLY DIVING SOUTH OUT OF THE CENTRAL PLAINS.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1205 PM CDT WED MAY 28 2025
LOOKS A LITTLE BUSY AT THE TERMINALS WEATHER WISE THE NEXT 24
HOURS. AS COMPLEX OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MOVES ACROSS THE
AREA FROM THE WEST, ALONG WITH NEW DEVELOPMENT ALONG AND SOUTH OF
I-10. BUT SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DOMINATE
THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH MVFR AND IFR CONDITIONS AT TIMES.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 218 PM CDT WED MAY 28 2025
A SERIES OF SHORTWAVES TO MOVE THROUGH THE REGION ALLOWING FOR
DAILY SHOWERS AND STORMS UNTIL THIS WEEKEND WHEN A HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS SOUTH OVER THE GULF. GOING INTO THE NEXT WORK WEEK, THE
RIDGE WILL EXPAND EASTWARD ALLOWING FOR A RETURN OF ONSHORE FLOW
AND POSSIBLY ISOLATED SHOWERS AND STORMS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AEX 66 84 69 82 / 60 70 20 20
LCH 70 85 73 87 / 50 70 10 40
LFT 70 84 73 85 / 60 80 10 50
BPT 71 88 73 88 / 40 70 10 30
LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
SHORT TERM...27
LONG TERM....27
AVIATION...27
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