848
FXUS64 KLCH 281131
AFDLCH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
631 AM CDT WED OCT 28 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- WARM AFTERNOONS AND COOL NIGHTS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEK.
- DRY WEATHER ANTICIPATED THROUGH FRIDAY, WITH RAIN CHANCES
RETURNING TO THE FORECAST LATE FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.
- WILDFIRE RISK WILL REMAIN ELEVATED EACH AFTERNOON IN RESPONSE TO
WORSENING DROUGHT CONDITIONS AND AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITY
DROPPING TO 30-60%.
DISCUSSION
(TONIGHT THROUGH NEXT TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1157 PM CDT TUE OCT 27 2026
THE RIDGE ALOFT IS GRADUALLY FLATTENING AND WEAKENING. MOISTURE
ALOFT IS ALSO STREAMING BY FROM TROPICAL STORM VANCE IN THE
ATLANTIC. A SURFACE HIGH OVER NEW ENGLAND IS KEEPING WINDS
GENERALLY EAST.
MOISTURE INCREASED SOMEWHAT OVER THE PAST DAY AS A WEAK INVERTED
TROUGH PASSED BY TO THE SOUTH OF THE AREA, HOWEVER A DRIER AIRMASS
WILL AGAIN SEEP BACK IN ON THE EAST FLOW. PWAT ON THE 0Z LCH SOUNDING
WAS 1.55" WITH A FALL BACK TO NEAR 0.75" POSSIBLE THURSDAY
EVENING.
BY THE END OF THE WEEK, A SHORT WAVE WILL MOVE FROM THE BAJA INTO
THE PLAINS. THE RIDGE ALOFT WILL SHIFT TO THE SE COAST WHILE
WEAKENING. RAIN CHANCES WILL INCREASE LATE FRI INTO SAT AS THE
SHORT WAVE PASSES TO THE NORTH. THIS EVENT IS DEFINITELY NOT
EXPECTED TO BE A DROUGHT BUSTER, BUT ANY RAIN IS WELCOME AT THIS
POINT.
A BRIEF DRY PERIOD IS EXPECTED SUNDAY INTO EARLY MONDAY BEFORE
THE NEXT SYSTEM MOVES ACROSS THE REGION.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 627 AM CDT WED OCT 28 2026
SOME PATCHY, SHALLOW GROUND FOG IS BEING OBSERVED ACROSS THE
REGION THIS MORNING. THIS FOG WILL DISSIPATE BY 13Z WITH VFR
CONDITIONS TO PREVAIL THEREAFTER THROUGH THE DAY ALONG WITH LIGHT
EASTERLY WINDS COURTESY OF AN ELONGATED AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE
EXTENDING DOWN MUCH OF EAST COAST. LIGHT WINDS AND MOSTLY CLEAR
SKIES WILL SUPPORT ANOTHER ROUND OF PATCHY, SHALLOW GROUND FOG
BETWEEN 08 AND 12Z THURSDAY MORNING WITH PROBABILITIES OF
DEVELOPMENT PRESENTLY RANGING FROM 20-30%.
JONES
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1157 PM CDT TUE OCT 27 2026
A LIGHT TO MODERATE EASTERLY FLOW CONTINUES INTO THE FIRST HALF OF
THE WEEKEND, WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 15-20 KTS POSSIBLE OVER THE
WEEKEND AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BRIEFLY TIGHTENS. DRY CONDITIONS
WILL CONTINUE INTO FRIDAY. FRIDAY AFTERNOON, RAIN CHANCES RETURN
AND REMAIN ELEVATED THROUGH SATURDAY AS A SURGE OF MOISTURE
OVERSPREADS THE REGION.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 1157 PM CDT TUE OCT 27 2026
A DRYER AIRMASS WILL AGAIN SEEP BACK INTO THE REGION TODAY AND
THURSDAY BEFORE MOISTURE INCREASES FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. RAIN
FINALLY RETURNS TO THE AREA LATE FRI INTO SAT.
LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
PUBLIC/FIRE/MARINE...05
AVIATION...66
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