350
FXUS64 KLCH 192334
AFDLCH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
634 PM CDT FRI JUN 19 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- SLIGHT RISK (LEVEL 2 OF 4) FOR FLASH FLOODING THROUGH SATURDAY
- A HEAT ADVISORY WILL REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS
AND SOUTHERN LOUISIANA THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON
- MARGINAL RISK (LEVEL 1 OF 4) FOR SEVERE WEATHER THROUGH TONIGHT
DISCUSSION
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 1149 AM CDT FRI JUN 19 2026
A HOT AND HUMID DAY IS ONGOING ACROSS THE REGION. DEWPOINTS ARE
SLIGHTLY LOWER (1 OR 2 DEGREES) ACROSS THE REGION TODAY, AS
OPPOSED TO YESTERDAY, HOWEVER APPARENT TEMPERATURES WILL LIKELY
STILL STOP OUT IN THE 105 TO 110 RANGE WITH THE HOTTEST
TEMPERATURES ACROSS INLAND AREAS.
A COLD FRONT IS STRETCHED FROM CENTRAL TX TO THE AR AND LA BORDER
TO THE MID ATLANTIC COAST. PWATS ARE HIGH ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE
BOUNDARY WITH VALUES AT 2" TO NEAR 2.5". ALOFT, A SHORT WAVE IS
PUSHING EAST ACROSS TX AND OK. WIDESPREAD CONVECTION WITH POCKETS
OF HEAVY RAIN IS OCCURRING ALONG THE FRONT AND AHEAD OF THE SHORT
WAVE.
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT THE SHORT WAVE WILL PUSH ACROSS
THE LOCAL REGION WHILE THE COLD FRONT MOVES IN. CONVECTION TO THE
NORTH AND WEST IS ANTICIPATED TO MOVE IN, BUT NOT UNTIL LATER IN
THE AFTERNOON THEN THROUGH TONIGHT. POCKETS OF HEAVY RAIN WILL BE
POSSIBLE WITH EVEN AN ISOLATED SEVERE STORM.
THE FRONT WILL STALL IN THE REGION THROUGH SATURDAY WHILE
INTERACTING WITH DEEP MOISTURE AND A WEAKNESS ALOFT. SCATTERED
STORMS ARE ANTICIPATED. HIGH CHANCES OF RAIN WILL BE FOUND ACROSS
INLAND AREAS, HENCE THE SLIGHT RISK OF EXCESSIVE RAIN FROM
INTERIOR SE TX THROUGH CEN LA. WITH EXTRA CLOUD COVER, APPARENT
TEMPS WILL BE A FEW DEGREES LOWER.
THE FRONT WILL LIFT BACK NORTH WHILE WASHING OUT LATE SATURDAY.
ISOLATED AFTERNOON STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE SUNDAY.
WEAK RIDGING WILL BUILD OVER THE AREA EARLY NEXT WEEK SUPPRESSING
CONVECTION, BUT AN UPPER TROF MAY DIG INTO THE EASTERN CONUS LATE
IN THE WEEK TO PROVIDE A CHANCE FOR RAIN LOCALLY.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 630 PM CDT FRI JUN 19 2026
WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE PRESENT ACROSS THE
REGION. NEAR CONVECTION LOW VISIBILITY AND CLOUD DECKS WILL LEAD
TO MVFR/IFR CONDITIONS. OUTSIDE OF CONVECTION WINDS WILL BE FROM
THE SOUTH AND SKIES WILL BE VFR. AFTER SUNSET CONDITIONS WILL
IMPROVE BUT PATCHY FOG WILL CAUSE MVFR VISIBILITY.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1149 AM CDT FRI JUN 19 2026
A LIGHT TO MODERATE ONSHORE FLOW WILL REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH
EARLY SUNDAY, HOWEVER THE PRESSURE GRADIENT MAY TIGHTEN A BIT WITH
WINDS APPROACHING SCA CRITERIA SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY. WINDS
WILL SUBSIDE BY MID WEEK.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 1149 AM CDT FRI JUN 19 2026
NO FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS ARE ANTICIPATED THROUGH THE PERIOD.
LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
LA...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR LAZ027>033-044-045-
055-073-074-141>143-152>154-241>243-252>254.
TX...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR TXZ180-201-259>262-
515-516-615-616.
GM...NONE.
PUBLIC/FIRE/MARINE...05
AVIATION...14
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