143
FXUS64 KLCH 280457
AFDLCH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1157 PM CDT TUE OCT 27 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER
KEY MESSAGES
- WARM AFTERNOONS AND COOL NIGHTS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEK.
- DRY WEATHER ANTICIPATED THROUGH FRIDAY, WITH RAIN CHANCES
RETURNING TO THE FORECAST LATE FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.
- WILDFIRE RISK WILL REMAIN ELEVATED EACH AFTERNOON IN RESPONSE TO
WORSENING DROUGHT CONDITIONS AND AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITY
DROPPING TO 30-60%.
DISCUSSION
(TONIGHT THROUGH NEXT TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1157 PM CDT TUE OCT 27 2026
THE RIDGE ALOFT IS GRADUALLY FLATTENING AND WEAKENING. MOISTURE
ALOFT IS ALSO STREAMING BY FROM TROPICAL STORM VANCE IN THE
ATLANTIC. A SURFACE HIGH OVER NEW ENGLAND IS KEEPING WINDS
GENERALLY EAST.
MOISTURE INCREASED SOMEWHAT OVER THE PAST DAY AS A WEAK INVERTED
TROUGH PASSED BY TO THE SOUTH OF THE AREA, HOWEVER A DRIER AIRMASS
WILL AGAIN SEEP BACK IN ON THE EAST FLOW. PWAT ON THE 0Z LCH SOUNDING
WAS 1.55" WITH A FALL BACK TO NEAR 0.75" POSSIBLE THURSDAY
EVENING.
BY THE END OF THE WEEK, A SHORT WAVE WILL MOVE FROM THE BAJA INTO
THE PLAINS. THE RIDGE ALOFT WILL SHIFT TO THE SE COAST WHILE
WEAKENING. RAIN CHANCES WILL INCREASE LATE FRI INTO SAT AS THE
SHORT WAVE PASSES TO THE NORTH. THIS EVENT IS DEFINITELY NOT
EXPECTED TO BE A DROUGHT BUSTER, BUT ANY RAIN IS WELCOME AT THIS
POINT.
A BRIEF DRY PERIOD IS EXPECTED SUNDAY INTO EARLY MONDAY BEFORE
THE NEXT SYSTEM MOVES ACROSS THE REGION.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1157 PM CDT TUE OCT 27 2026
NEAR CALM CONDITIONS ARE ANTICIPATED TONIGHT WITH LIGHT EAST TO
SOUTHEAST WINDS WED. PATCHY FOG MAY CAUSE BRIEF REDUCTIONS IN VIS
AROUND SUNRISE.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1157 PM CDT TUE OCT 27 2026
A LIGHT TO MODERATE EASTERLY FLOW CONTINUES INTO THE FIRST HALF OF
THE WEEKEND, WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 15-20 KTS POSSIBLE OVER THE
WEEKEND AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BRIEFLY TIGHTENS. DRY CONDITIONS
WILL CONTINUE INTO FRIDAY. FRIDAY AFTERNOON, RAIN CHANCES RETURN
AND REMAIN ELEVATED THROUGH SATURDAY AS A SURGE OF MOISTURE
OVERSPREADS THE REGION.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 1157 PM CDT TUE OCT 27 2026
A DRYER AIRMASS WILL AGAIN SEEP BACK INTO THE REGION TODAY AND
THURSDAY BEFORE MOISTURE INCREASES FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. RAIN
FINALLY RETURNS TO THE AREA LATE FRI INTO SAT.
LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
PUBLIC/FIRE/MARINE...05
AVIATION...05
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