755
FXUS64 KLCH 101753
AFDLCH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1253 PM CDT SAT OCT 10 2026
..NEW AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER
KEY MESSAGES
-DRY WEATHER AND VERY DRY ANTECEDENT CONDITIONS WILL BRING AN
ELEVATED FIRE DANGER INTO SUNDAY.
-SOUTH WINDS WILL RETURN BY SUNDAY BRINGING BACK LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
AND HUMIDITY LATE IN THE DAY.
-AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL BUILD IN FOR NEXT WEEK BRINGING LIMIT RAIN
CHANCES ALONG WITH ABOVE NORMAL SEASONAL TEMPERATURES AND HUMID
CONDITIONS.
DISCUSSION
(TONIGHT THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 1252 PM CDT SAT OCT 10 2026
THE REMNANTS OF ISAIAS ARE MOVING INTO THE SOUTHERN
APPALACHIANS THIS AFTERNOON WITH HIGH PRESSURE EXTENDING SOUTH
ACROSS THE LOWER MS VALLEY AND INTO TX. A DRY AIR MASS CONTINUES
TO LINGER OVER THE LOCAL AREA AND WILL REMAIN IN PLACE INTO EARLY
SUNDAY.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLIDE EAST ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF COAST
SUNDAY INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH THE FLOW BECOMING ONSHORE WHICH
WILL START A MOISTENING TREND. A RIDGE ALOFT WILL ALSO BE IN PLACE
KEEPING RAIN CHANCES SUPPRESSED, HOWEVER A FEW SHOWERS MAY OCCUR
BY MONDAY AND TUESDAY AS AN UPPER DISTURBANCE MOVES TOWARD THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS FROM THE ROCKIES. SHOWER COVERAGE WILL REMAIN
SPOTTY AT BEST WITHOUT ANY LOCAL FORCING AND MOSTLY OVER INTERIOR
SE TX. WELL ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED DURING THE
MIDDLE OF THE WEEK, ESPECIALLY LOWS, AS DEWPOINTS CLIMB BACK INTO
THE 70S.
AT THE VERY END PERIOD, GUIDANCE DIVERGES A GREAT DEAL. THERE IS
A CHANCE THE REGION'S FIRST SIGNIFICANT COLD FRONT ROLLS THROUGH,
OR WE MAY BE STUCK WITH A RIDGE ALOFT AND A CONTINUATION OF WELL
ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS. EITHER WAY, THERE WILL BE LITTLE RELIEF OF
ONGOING DROUGHT CONDITIONS.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1252 PM CDT SAT OCT 10 2026
CLEAR SKIES WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE PERIOD. EAST WINDS WILL
BECOME MORE SOUTHEAST AT THE I-10 CORRIDOR TERMINALS THIS
AFTERNOON WITH AN AREA WIDE SHIFT TO SW BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1252 PM CDT SAT OCT 10 2026
WINDS AND SEAS CONTINUE TO RELAX AS THE REMNANTS OF ISAIAS WEAKENS
WHILE MOVING FARTHER AWAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLIDE EAST ALONG THE
NORTHERN GULF COAST SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. THIS WILL VEER WINDS
BACK SOUTHEAST WHILE KEEPING SPEEDS LIGHT TO MODERATE. A FEW
SHOWERS MAY ALSO RETURN BY MONDAY MORNING AS MOISTURE INCREASES.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 1252 PM CDT SAT OCT 10 2026
A DRY AIRMASS WILL REMAIN IN PLACE INTO SUNDAY AFTERNOON ACROSS
INLAND LOCATIONS, HOWEVER WINDS WILL BECOME MORE ONSHORE DURING
THE DAY INCREASING MOISTURE BY LATE AFTERNOON OR EVENING. AN
ONSHORE FLOW WILL REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH EARLY WEEK KEEPING
MOISTURE LEVELS HIGHER THAN OVER THE PAST FEW DAYS.
LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
PUBLIC/FIRE/MARINE...05
AVIATION...05
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page