024
FXUS64 KLCH 220544
AFDLCH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1244 AM CDT MON JUN 22 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER
KEY MESSAGES
- RAIN CHANCES WILL DECREASE THIS EVENING AND WILL RANGE FROM 0 TO
20 PERCENT THIS WEEK.
- HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL RANGE FROM THE LOW TO MID 90S WITH MAX
APPARENT TEMPERATURES RANGING MOSTLY IN THE 100 TO 107 RANGE
THROUGH THE WEEK.
DISCUSSION
(TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 1240 AM CDT MON JUN 22 2026
DRY AND HOT IS THE FORECAST STORY FOR THIS WEEK. MODELS ARE IN
STRONG AGREEMENT THAT THE ACTIVE JET WILL REMAIN WELL NORTH OF
THE FORECAST AREA AND THEREFORE KEEP OPPORTUNITIES FOR RAINFALL TO
A MINIMUM AT BEST.
TEMPERATURES TODAY ARE SLATED TO CLIMB INTO THE LOW TO MID 90S-
MAINLY ACROSS INTERIOR ZONES WITH LIGHT SOUTH BREEZES. AN UPPER
LEVEL TROUGH IS CURRENTLY TRAVERSING THE MISSOURI VALLEY. PREFRONTAL
TROUGHING WILL ENTER NORTH LOUISIANA BUT ENCOUNTER MORE STABLE AIR
ACROSS CENTRAL PORTIONS OF THE STATE, SO CHANCES ARE MINIMAL AND
ISOLATED AT BEST TOWARD AVOYELLES AND RAPIDES PARISHES THROUGH
THIS AFTERNOON. OTHERWISE MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES OUTSIDE SOME HIGH
CLOUDS AND FEW LOW DIURNALLY DRIVEN CUMULUS CLOUDS.
THE HOT AND DRY PATTERN CONTINUES TUESDAY THROUGH THE MIDWEEK AS
WEAK HIGH PRESSURE DEVELOPS OVER THE GULF WATERS. MEANWHILE, THE
AFOREMENTIONED TROUGH LEAVES A STATIONARY FRONT ACROSS PORTIONS OF
THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY INTO THURSDAY. FORECAST SOUNDINGS SHOW A
RELATIVELY WARM LOWER TROPOSPHERE SUGGESTING THE THERMODYNAMIC
PROFILE WILL NOT BE PARTICULARLY FAVORABLE FOR SUSTAINING
CONVECTION SOUTH OF I-20. WITH MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES EXPECTED THROUGH
THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK SURFACE TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO
HOVER IN THE MID 90S FOR INTERIOR LOCATIONS AND LOW 90S NEAR THE
I-10 CORRIDOR.
BY FRIDAY, THE UPPER AIR PATTERN BROADENS FURTHER WITH NO MAJOR
SIGNALS FOR ORGANIZED PRECIPITATION TO OCCUR. HIGHS REMAIN IN THE
LOW TO MID 90S WITH LIGHT TO MODERATE SOUTHERLY WINDS INTO
FOLLOWING WEEKEND.
KOWALSKI / 30
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1240 AM CDT MON JUN 22 2026
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. SOME BKN
MVFR CEILING MAY PERIODICALLY OCCUR AROUND BPT NEXT FEW HOURS. WINDS
WILL BECOME LIGHT SOUTHERLIES WITH VARIABLE SE TO SW COMPONENTS. VFR
CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE MORNING WHILE FEW TO SCT CEILINGS
DEVELOP AND EVOLVE 2-4KFT AGL. SOUTH WINDS EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY
EVENING.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1240 AM CDT MON JUN 22 2026
FRESH BREEZES WILL EASE TO GENTLE OR MODERATE BREEZES THIS AFTERNOON
AS A PRESSURE GRADIENT BEGINS TO SLACK. SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION
IS IN PLACE THROUGH THE MID MORNING HOURS.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE EAST EARLY THIS WEEK AND REMAIN
IN PLACE THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK RESULTING IN A LIGHT ONSHORE
FLOW AND LOW CHANCES OF STORMS.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 1240 AM CDT MON JUN 22 2026
NO FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD.
LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
PUBLIC/FIRE/MARINE...30
AVIATION...30
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