241
FXUS64 KLCH 031122
AFDLCH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
522 AM CST TUE FEB 3 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- MILD TEMPERATURES TODAY AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT LATE
THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT.
- RAIN WITH A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL PRECEDE THE FRONT THIS
AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT BEFORE COMING TO AN END EARLY WEDNESDAY
MORNING. PRECIPITATION TOTALS OF BETWEEN A QUARTER AND A HALF INCH
ARE EXPECTED.
- A BRIEF PERIOD OF COOLER WEATHER EXPECTED THURSDAY WITH A LIGHT FREEZE
POSSIBLE THURSDAY MORNING WITH MILD AND SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES
RETURNING FRIDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1200 AM CST TUE FEB 3 2026
PLENTY OF CLOUD COVER ACROSS THE REGION EARLY THIS
MORNING ALONG WITH LIGHT SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS ARE KEEPING LOWS MUCH
WARMER THAN WE'VE SEEN OVER THE LAST COUPLE OF WEEKS. EVEN SO, TEMPS
ACROSS PARTS OF ACADIANA HAVE BEEN TRENDING COOLER THAN THE NBM
CONSENSUS OVER THE LAST FEW HOURS DUE TO SOME BREAKS IN THAT CLOUD
COVER SO DROPPED THE OVERNIGHT LOWS A FEW DEGREES WEST OF THE
ATCHAFALAYA. THE CLOUD COVER WILL PREVAIL THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY
AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT THAT WILL PUSH THROUGH THE REGION
FROM NORTH TO SOUTH THIS EVENING THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING.
SHOWERS WILL DEVELOP ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY
BEGINNING LATE THIS MORNING ACROSS CENTRAL LOUISIANA AND WORKING
SOUTH TOWARD THE COAST THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. A COUPLE OF
THUNDERSTORMS CAN'T BE RULED OUT, BUT INSTABILITY CONTINUES TO BE
LIMITED. RAINFALL TOTALS FOR THE EVENT ARE EXPECTED TO BE BETWEEN A
QUARTER AND HALF INCH.
THE PACIFIC ORIGINATING AIRMASS BEHIND THE FRONT WILL COOL
TEMPERATURES NOTICEABLY, BUT WON'T BE NEARLY AS COLD AS THE ARCTIC
AIR THAT HAS FINALLY LIFTED ITS GRIP FROM THE GULF COAST. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE REGION WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY
MORNING YIELDING CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS MAKING FOR THE COLDEST
NIGHT OF THE WEEK. A SHORT DURATION LIGHT FREEZE IS EXPECTED ACROSS
CENTRAL LOUISIANA WITH UPPER 30S CLOSER TO THE COAST.
JONES
LONG TERM
(FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1200 AM CST TUE FEB 3 2026
A GRADUAL WARMING TREND WILL DEVELOP THURSDAY NIGHT
THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS LIGHT SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS DEVELOP AROUND A
SURFACE HIGH MOVING INTO THE CENTRAL GULF. THESE WILL ADVECT IN SOME
RELATIVELY WARM GULF BREEZES WHICH WILL PUSH AFTERNOON HIGHS INTO
THE VERY PLEASANT LOWER 70S WITH OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO
LOWER 50S.
JONES
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 520 AM CST TUE FEB 3 2026
SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE THIS MORNING AS LOW PRESSURE MOVES
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. THIS WILL HELP TO INCREASE MOISTURE
ACROSS THE AREA WITH CLOUDS CONTINUING TO THICKEN WITH OCCASIONAL
SHOWERS. AT THIS POINT, CEILINGS LOOK TO REMAIN VFR THROUGH THE
MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON.
AFTER 03/22Z, SHOWER ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE WITH
CEILINGS LOWERING TO MVFR LEVELS.
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS DURING THE LATE EVENING TO OVERNIGHT
HOURS OR ROUGHLY FROM 04/05Z TO 05/09Z. EXPECT CONDITIONS TO LOWER
TO IFR CONDITIONS WITH AND BEHIND THE FRONT.
07/RUA
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1200 AM CST TUE FEB 3 2026
ONSHORE WINDS BETWEEN 10-15 KNOTS WILL PREVAIL TUESDAY
AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT THAT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE
COASTAL WATERS TUESDAY NIGHT ACCOMPANIED BY SHOWERS AND POSSIBLY A
FEW THUNDERSTORMS. WINDS WILL TURN OFFSHORE IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT
WEDNESDAY AND INCREASE TO 15-20 KNOTS WHERE THEY WILL REMAIN THROUGH
THURSDAY MORNING BEFORE DIMINISHING. LIGHT ONSHORE FLOW WILL BECOME
REESTABLISHED FRIDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 1200 AM CST TUE FEB 3 2026
BREEZY SOUTHERLY WINDS AND MILD TEMPERATURES WILL
PREVAIL TODAY AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT THAT WILL PUSH THROUGH THE
REGION LATE THIS EVENING INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. SHOWERS AND A
FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT
BEGINNING LATE THIS MORNING ACROSS CENTRAL LOUISIANA BEFORE
SPREADING TOWARD THE COAST THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. PRECIPITATION WILL
COME TO AN END BEHIND THE FRONTAL PASSAGE LATE TONIGHT INTO EARLY
WEDNESDAY. NORTHERLY WINDS WILL DEVELOP IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONTAL
PASSAGE WEDNESDAY ADVECTING COOLER, DRIER AIR INTO THE REGION. THE
LOWEST RH'S OF THE WEEK WILL OCCUR THURSDAY AND FRIDAY AFTERNOONS
WITH MINIMUM VALUES FALLING TO 30-40%.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AEX 67 42 56 32 / 80 80 0 0
LCH 67 49 61 37 / 40 80 10 0
LFT 69 47 58 34 / 30 90 10 0
BPT 70 47 62 38 / 60 80 10 0
LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
SHORT TERM...66
LONG TERM....66
AVIATION...07
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page