624
FXUS64 KLCH 252322
AFDLCH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
622 PM CDT SUN OCT 25 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- WARM AFTERNOONS AND COOL NIGHTS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEK.
- PRECIPITATION CHANCES RETURN NEXT WEEKEND.
- WILDFIRE RISK WILL REMAIN ELEVATED THROUGH MONDAY IN RESPONSE TO
ONGOING DROUGHT CONDITIONS AND AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITY
DROPPING TO 25-35% EACH DAY.
DISCUSSION
(THIS EVENING THROUGH NEXT SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 1210 PM CDT SUN OCT 25 2026
WHILE THE WEATHER IS CURRENTLY IN BROKEN RECORD STATUS THERE ARE
SIGNS IN THE DATA AND FUTURE MODEL GUIDANCE THAT THE PATTERN IS
STARTING TO SHIFT. AT FIRST IT WILL BE IN THE FORM OF HIGH CLOUDS
SPREADING INTO THE REGION AHEAD OF A TROUGH WEST OF THE REGION.
MOISTURE WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE THROUGH THE WEEK AFTER TODAY WITH
SOME MEAGER PRECIP CHANCES TRYING TO SNEAK INTO THE TEXAS PORTION
OF THE FORECAST AREA. HOWEVER THE BEST CHANCES DO NOT COME UNTIL
THE WEEKEND. EVEN THEN AMOUNTS DO NOT LOOK THAT GREAT INITIALLY TO
BREAK THE ONGOING DROUGHT CONDITIONS. TEMPERATURES WILL ALSO BE
MODERATING THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK, ESPECIALLY ON THE
OVERNIGHT LOWS.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 620 PM CDT SUN OCT 25 2026
HIGH PRESSURE BOTH AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT WILL MAINTAIN VFR
CONDITIONS THROUGH THE PERIOD. SCT TO BKN HIGH CLOUDS FROM AN
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AXIS OVER THE FOUR CORNERS REGION WILL CONTINUE
TO STREAM THROUGH THE AREA OVERNIGHT INTO MONDAY. LIGHT EASTERLY
WINDS WILL PREVAIL TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY.
JONES
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1210 PM CDT SUN OCT 25 2026
BREEZY EAST WINDS OF 15-20 KT WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE
COASTAL WATERS THROUGH EARLY THIS WEEK IN RESPONSE TO THE GRADIENT
BETWEEN HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE MID ATLANTIC AND AN AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE NEAR THE BAHAMAS. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT
FOR THE OFFSHORE GULF MARINE ZONES EAST OF CAMERON THROUGH EARLY
MONDAY MORNING, THOUGH SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION IN ANY
OPEN WATERS THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THIS ADVISORY MAY NEED TO BE
EXTENDED LATER INTO MONDAY, BUT THEREAFTER WINDS SHOULD GENERALLY
WEAKEN AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT RELAXES.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 1210 PM CDT SUN OCT 25 2026
A DRY AIRMASS REMAINS IN PLACE OVER THE AREA TODAY WITH
AFTERNOON RH DROPPING TO THE 20-30 PERCENT RANGE. MOISTURE WILL
GRADUALLY INCREASE THROUGH THE WEEK WITH RHS EXPECTED TO BE IN THE
30 TO 40 PERCENT RANGE MONDAY WITH RHS INCREASING EACH DAY. WITH
VERY DRY FUELS IN PLACE DUE TO ONGOING SEVERE TO EXTREME DROUGHT,
ELEVATED FIRE DANGER WILL CONTINUE EACH DAY THROUGH AT LEAST
MONDAY BEFORE RH'S MAY INCREASE ENOUGH. NO MEANINGFUL RAINFALL IS
EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT 7 DAYS. SO WILL AT LEAST ISSUE ONE MORE
FIRE DANGER STATEMENT FOR TOMORROW, UNLESS RH TRENDS LOWER.
LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM CDT MONDAY FOR GMZ472-475.
PUBLIC/FIRE/MARINE...27
AVIATION...66
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