533
FXUS64 KLCH 090429
AFDLCH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1129 PM CDT WED APR 8 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER
KEY MESSAGES
- PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES AND PLEASANT CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL TODAY.
- SCATTERED (20-60%) PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED FRIDAY AS A SLUG OF
MOISTURE AND WEAK UPPER LEVEL LOW MOVE ACROSS THE REGION.
-TEMPERATURES WILL CLIMB INTO THE MID TO UPPER 80S ALONG WITH
INCREASING HUMIDITY ON BREEZY SOUTHERLY WINDS EARLY NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
(TONIGHT THROUGH NEXT WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1127 PM CDT WED APR 8 2026
MOSTLY CLEAR AND CALM CONDITIONS ONGOING THIS MORNING
AS THE REGION REMAINS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF AN ELONGATED AREA OF
HIGH PRESSURE EXTENDING DOWN MUCH OF THE EASTERN SEABOARD AND
SOUTHEASTERN U.S. THIS ALIGNMENT WILL MAINTAIN A MORE EASTWARD THAN
SOUTHWARD COMPONENT TO THE WINDS TODAY WHICH WILL RESULT IN A
CONTINUED SLOW INCREASE IN DEWPOINTS. AS WAS THE CASE YESTERDAY
AFTERNOON, A BRIEF, ISOLATED SHOWER OR TWO CAN'T BE COMPLETELY RULED
OUT ALTHOUGH THE VAST MAJORITY OF THE REGION WILL REMAIN DRY.
PRECIPITATION CHANCES WILL INCREASE FRIDAY AS A SLUG OF MOISTURE
ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK UPPER LEVEL LOW MOVES UP THE TEXAS GULF
COAST. THE HIGHEST PRECIPITATION CHANCES WITH THIS DISTURBANCE WILL
OCCUR CLOSER TO THE COAST WITH POPS GRADUALLY DIMINISHING FURTHER
INLAND WITH ONLY 20-30% POPS EXPECTED AS FAR INLAND AS CENTRAL
LOUISIANA. OBVIOUSLY, WITH THIS SETUP, NOT EVERYONE WILL SEE RAIN
AND THE RAIN THAT DOES OCCUR IS NOT EXPECTED TO PUT A SIGNIFICANT
DENT IN THE ONGOING DROUGHT, BUT ANY PRECIPITATION WILL BE
BENEFICIAL.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD BACK INTO THE REGION THIS WEEKEND CUTTING
OFF PRECIPITATION CHANCES, BUT MORE SOUTH SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS WILL
LIFT DEWPOINTS INTO THE MID TO UPPER 60S; FAR FROM UNCOMFORTABLE IN
THIS PART OF THE WORLD, BUT STILL ENOUGH TO BE NOTICEABLE COMPARED TO
THE DRIER AIR WE'VE ENJOYED RECENTLY.
A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE REGION EARLY NEXT WEEK, BUT STALL
NORTH OF THE AREA. AT THIS POINT, THE MAJORITY OF GUIDANCE KEEPS
PRECIPITATION WELL NORTH OF THE REGION, BUT HUMIDITY AND CLOUD COVER
WILL INCREASE ON BREEZY SOUTHERLY WINDS TO START THE WEEK.
JONES
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1127 PM CDT WED APR 8 2026
MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES AND CALM TO VERY LIGHT WINDS WILL
PREVAIL THIS MORNING. EASTERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE TO AROUND 10
KNOTS BY 16-17Z BECOMING LIGHT AGAIN AFTER 01Z. FEW TO SCT VFR
CEILINGS WILL DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON WITH MOST DIMINISHING AGAIN
AFTER 01Z.
JONES
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1127 PM CDT WED APR 8 2026
ONSHORE WINDS AROUND 20 KNOTS AND SEAS OF UP TO 8 FEET OVER
THE OUTER COASTAL WATERS WILL PERSIST THURSDAY AS THE NORTHERN GULF
REMAINS ON THE PERIPHERY OF AN ELONGATED AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE
EXTENDING ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. THIS WILL BE SUPPLANTED BY A
WEAK UPPER LOW MOVING INTO THE WESTERN GULF FRIDAY WHICH WILL
INCREASE PRECIPITATION CHANCES ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS AND COASTAL
LAKES AND BAYS. WINDS AND SEAS WILL REMAIN ELEVATED THROUGH THE
WEEKEND IN RESPONSE TO THE PRESSURE GRADIENT PRODUCE BY AN
APPROACHING FRONTAL BOUNDARY THAT WILL STALL NORTH OF THE REGION.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 1127 PM CDT WED APR 8 2026
ONGOING DROUGHT CONDITIONS ACROSS THE REGION WILL
CONTINUE TO MAKE SMALLER FUELS AVAILABLE FOR BURNING, BUT STEADY
EASTERLY WINDS TODAY TURNING MORE SOUTHEASTERLY THIS WEEKEND AND
SOUTHERLY EARLY NEXT WEEK WILL KEEP MINIMUM RH VALUES ABOVE ANY
CRITICAL BURN THRESHOLDS. A WEAK UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL INITIALIZE
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE REGION FRIDAY WITH
HIGHER PRECIPITATION CHANCES CLOSER TO THE COAST WITH CHANCES
DECREASING FURTHER INLAND. SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION IS NOT EXPECTED
THIS WEEKEND OR EARLY NEXT WEEK.
LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 7 PM THURSDAY TO 8 AM CDT FRIDAY FOR
GMZ450-470.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 AM CDT FRIDAY FOR GMZ452-455-472-
475.
PUBLIC/FIRE/MARINE...66
AVIATION...66
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page