336  
FNUS71 KALY 291604  
FWSALY  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR LAFAYETTEVILLE RX...NYS DEC  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY  
1204 PM EDT SUN MAR 29 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 EDT ON MARCH 29.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT ALB.STORMREPORT@NOAA.GOV, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
* SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT IN EFFECT FOR LITCHFIELD AND  
BERKSHIRE COUNTIES TODAY DUE TO AN ELEVATED RISK OF FIRE  
SPREAD...  
 
TODAY, RH VALUES DROP TO AS LOW AS 25-35%. S/SW WINDS ALSO  
INCREASE WITH GUSTS REACHING 20-25 MPH THIS AFTERNOON. LOCALIZED  
FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS CAN'T BE RULED OUT ACROSS EASTERN ULSTER  
AND DUTCHESS COUNTIES SINCE THOSE AREAS RECEIVED LESS RAIN THURSDAY  
NIGHT COMPARED TO THE REST OF THE REGION. WIND GUSTS SUBSIDE TO LESS  
THAN 10 MPH TONIGHT AFTER SUNSET, WITH RH VALUES RECOVERING TO 65-85%  
TONIGHT.  
 
TOMORROW, MINIMUM RH VALUES WILL GENERALLY BE AT OR ABOVE 40%,  
ALTHOUGH S/SW WIND GUSTS OF 20-25 MPH ARE AGAIN EXPECTED IN THE  
AFTERNOON. MUCH HIGHER RH VALUES EXPECTED TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY  
WITH WIDESPREAD SHOWERS/PERIODS OF RAIN ACROSS THE REGION MONDAY  
NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY, WITH MORE PRECIP POSSIBLE TO END THE  
WEEK.  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.  
MIN HUMIDITY........32 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............17.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND  
22 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 21 TO 24 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (65700 KNOT-FT).  
LVORI...............2.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EDT) 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........50 51 41 25 26 34  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............40 44 47 49 50 50  
DEWPOINT........16 16 16 17 17 19  
RH..............37 32 28 28 27 29  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..8 9 9 9 8 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.21 21 22 21 20 20  
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.7 4.4 5.2 5.7 5.7 4.9  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.21 22 23 24 24 22  
LVORI...........2 2 2 2 2 2  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..66 84 104 119 120 93  
VENTRATE CAT....GD GD VGD VGD VGD GD  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 38.  
MAX HUMIDITY........71 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............22 INCREASING TO 30.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 TO 17 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (26000 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING  
DECREASING TO POOR (3800 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE  
NIGHT.  
LVORI...............3.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........43 58 53 55 62 71 78 83 83 82 71 74  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10  
TEMP............49 48 45 43 42 41 40 40 40 39 40 40  
DEWPOINT........20 22 24 25 27 28 28 29 29 29 29 30  
RH..............31 35 43 49 55 59 62 64 64 67 64 67  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW S S S S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..7 6 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 7 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.16 13 12 13 13 14 15 15 16 17 17 18  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.7 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW S S S SW SW S S S S SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.17 14 12 12 13 14 14 13 14 15 15 15  
LVORI...........2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..26 6 4 4 4 5 6 5 6 7 8 8  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
MONDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.  
MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............33 INCREASING TO 42.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 24 MPH  
IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 14 TO 23 MPH INCREASING TO 23 TO 28  
MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (6700 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (95900 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............3.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........66 49 53 49 51 63 69 63 63 56 58 67  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
TEMP............40 40 42 45 49 53 56 59 60 61 61 60  
DEWPOINT........31 31 32 33 35 36 37 39 40 40 42 43  
RH..............70 70 67 62 58 52 49 47 47 46 49 53  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 7 8 9 10 10 10 10 9 9 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.18 18 18 22 24 24 24 23 23 22 21 20  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.6 0.8 1.1 1.6 1.9 2.6 3.4 3.9 4.0 3.7 2.7  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.15 14 18 18 20 21 23 25 26 28 28 23  
LVORI...........4 4 4 4 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..8 7 13 18 27 35 52 75 91 96 88 54  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR FR GD GD GD GD FR  
 
 
FORECASTER...27  
REQUESTED BY...KEVIN SLADE  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2608154.0/ALY  
.DELDT 03/29/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL KEVIN.SLADE@DEC.NY.GOV  
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