993
FNUS71 KALY 080944
FWSALY
SPOT FORECAST FOR APB WITCHS HAT...ALBANY PINE BUSH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
544 AM EDT FRI MAY 8 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0600 EDT ON MAY 08.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT ALB.STORMREPORT@NOAA.GOV, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.
DISCUSSION
AN UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE WILL DRIVE INCREASED CLOUD COVERAGE AND
SCATTERED, LIGHT SHOWERS THIS AFTERNOON. BEGINNING AROUND NOON,
THE PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION WILL JUMP TO AROUND 15-20%,
INCREASING TO A MAXIMUM OF ABOUT 25% THROUGH 1-2 PM, AND QUICKLY
DECREASING THEREAFTER AS THE DISTURBANCE PASSES AND HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS BACK INTO THE REGION. RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL NOT REACH MORE
THAN A TRACE TO A COUPLE TENTHS OF AN INCH, AS WE GENERALLY REMAIN
FAIRLY DRY. IN FACT, MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES TODAY WILL
RANGE FROM ABOUT 35-40% AS DEEP MIXING ENHANCES DRYING OF THE
LOWEST LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERIC COLUMN. DEEP MIXING WILL ALSO
ALLOW WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS TO INCREASE GRADUALLY THIS MORNING
INTO THIS AFTERNOON. SUSTAINED WINDS WILL REACH 10-12 MPH WITH
MAXIMUM GUSTS OF 20-25 MPH.
A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AND A WARM FRONT INCREASE CLOUDS TONIGHT,
BRINGING PERIODS OF SHOWERS TO OPEN THE WEEKEND WITH HIGH MINIMUM
RH VALUES IN THE 60 TO 80 PERCENT RANGE ON SATURDAY WITH LIGHT
SOUTHERLY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). ISOLATED RAIN
SHOWERS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56.
MIN HUMIDITY........38 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............32.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 5 TO 13 MPH WITH
GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9 TO 18 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 20 MPH
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (4100 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (90300 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (93600
KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............3.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.03 INCHES.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........64 58 39 44 49 39 69 70 68 53 37 36
WEATHER COV..... ISO ISO ISO ISO
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 0 10 0 10 10 20 20 20 20 10 10
TEMP............42 42 43 45 50 52 53 53 53 55 55 55
DEWPOINT........31 33 33 32 32 31 31 32 32 32 32 32
RH..............65 70 67 60 50 44 43 45 45 41 41 41
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W W W W W
20 FT WIND SPD..3 5 6 7 7 8 9 13 12 12 12 12
20 FT WIND GUST.9 10 10 13 13 15 18 20 22 22 25 23
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.7 1.7 3.1 4.6 6.0 7.0 6.5 5.9 5.5 6.4 6.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W W W W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 10 13 13 15 17 18 18 18 20 20 20
LVORI...........4 4 4 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
VRATE KT-FT/1K..4 6 19 34 60 90 112 104 94 94 109 108
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR GD GD VGD VGD GD GD VGD VGD
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 38.
MAX HUMIDITY........85 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............32.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......WEST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 8 TO 17 MPH DECREASING TO 6 TO 7 MPH LATE
IN THE EVENING, THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 5 TO
7 MPH OVERNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (82800 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING
DECREASING TO POOR (1300 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE
NIGHT.
LVORI...............4.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01 INCHES.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........21 11 18 15 11 6 7 16 33 41 42 59
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............56 55 52 48 46 44 43 40 40 40 38 39
DEWPOINT........31 32 32 34 34 34 34 34 34 34 33 33
RH..............38 41 46 58 63 68 70 79 79 79 82 79
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W SW S S S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..9 6 3 3 2 1 1 1 1 1 2 2
20 FT WIND GUST.13 9 6 6 6 3 2 2 2 3 3 3
MIX HGT (KFT)...5.5 3.0 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W SW S S S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.17 13 8 7 6 7 6 6 5 6 7 7
LVORI...........2 2 2 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 6 4
VRATE KT-FT/1K..83 33 4 3 2 2 2 2 1 2 2 2
VENTRATE CAT....GD PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
THROUGH THE DAY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......90 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55.
MIN HUMIDITY........71 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............36 INCREASING TO 46.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 9 MPH IN
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8 TO 14 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (2700 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO FAIR (19400 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............5.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.18 INCHES.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........79 82 80 77 90 89 97 88 91 97 88 83
WEATHER COV..... SCH CHC CHC DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF LKY CHC
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 20 40 50 80 80 90 80 90 80 60 50
TEMP............39 40 44 46 48 50 51 52 54 53 55 54
DEWPOINT........34 36 38 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 46 47
RH..............82 85 79 79 77 74 74 74 71 77 72 77
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE S SE SE SE SE SE SE SE S S
20 FT WIND SPD..2 3 3 5 7 8 9 9 9 8 8 8
20 FT WIND GUST.5 6 7 9 12 14 15 16 15 14 13 13
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.5 0.9 1.1 1.4 1.6 1.5 1.6 1.3 1.0 0.9 1.1
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 8 10 10 12 14 14 14 13 12 12 12
LVORI...........6 6 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4
VRATE KT-FT/1K..3 4 8 10 14 19 18 19 14 10 9 11
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
FORECASTER...37
REQUESTED BY...TYLER BRIGGS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2613123.0/ALY
.DELDT 05/08/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL TBRIGGS@ALBANYPINEBUSH.ORG
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