096  
FNUS71 KALY 181137  
FWSALY  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR APB 'IOTA' RX FIRE...APB  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY  
737 AM EDT THU OCT 18 2018  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 EDT ON OCTOBER 18.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT ALB.STORMREPORT@NOAA.GOV, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
VERY CHILLY TODAY WITH GUSTS 25 TO 35 MPH AND MINIMUM RELATIVE  
HUMIDITY VALUES IN THE 30S THIS AFTERNOON. MILDER AND DRY  
FRIDAY WITH MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES MAINLY IN THE  
MID 40S TO MID 50S.  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).  
CWR.................MISSING.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.  
BEGIN/END OF PCPN...  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 43.  
MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT.  
MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST WINDS 13 TO 17 MPH WITH GUSTS TO  
AROUND 14 MPH.  
SURFACE WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 13 TO 17 MPH WITH GUSTS TO  
AROUND 24 MPH.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTHWEST WINDS 13 TO 17 MPH WITH GUSTS TO  
AROUND 19 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4400-5400 FT AGL  
IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 29 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT).  
CWR.................MISSING.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
BEGIN/END OF PCPN...  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 33.  
MAX HUMIDITY........82 PERCENT.  
MAX HUMIDITY........82 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
SURFACE WINDS.......WEST WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......WEST WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 100-300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 29 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.  
   
FRIDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).  
CWR.................MISSING.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
BEGIN/END OF PCPN...  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.  
MIN HUMIDITY........49 PERCENT.  
MIN HUMIDITY........49 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 12 MPH.  
SURFACE WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 12 MPH.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 12 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 700-2500 FT AGL  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 23 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.  
 

 
FORECASTER...MSE  
REQUESTED BY...TYLER BRIGGS  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 1817038.0/ALY  
.DELDT 10/18/18  
.EMAIL TBRIGGS@ALBANYPINEBUSH.ORG  
 
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