722
FNUS71 KALY 271223
FWSALY
SPOT FORECAST FOR WARDSBORO BROOK...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
823 AM EDT SAT MAY 27 2023
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON MAY 27.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT ALB.STORMREPORT@NOAA.GOV, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.
DISCUSSION
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING A PROLONGED PERIOD OF WARM AND DRY
WEATHER THROUGH THE MEMORIAL DAY WEEKEND. A BACKDOOR COLD FRONT
WILL BRING SLIGHTLY COOLER WEATHER EARLY NEXT WEEK. RH VALUES
WILL LOWER TO 25 TO 35 PERCENT EACH DAY THIS WEEKEND. RH VALUES
WILL REBOUND TO 70 TO 90 PERCENT EACH NIGHT. WIND WILL BE
VARIABLE AT 10 MPH OR LESS THROUGH THE WEEKEND. NEXT CHANCE FOR
PRECIPITATION MAY NOT BE UNTIL LATER NEXT WEEK.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
BEGIN/END OF PCPN...
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.
MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............41.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 6 TO 7 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (15300 KNOT-FT).
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.
TIME (EDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........5 8 10 6 5 5 4 4
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
TEMP............62 64 67 69 70 71 71 71
DEWPOINT........41 39 40 40 41 42 42 43
RH..............46 40 37 35 35 35 35 36
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N N N
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 6 6 6 6 5
20 FT WIND GUST.8 7 9 9 10 9 8 7
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.5 3.4 3.9 4.2 4.4 4.8 5.0 4.7
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW N N N N N N N
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 7 7 7 7 7 6 6
HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 4 4 4 4
VRATE KT-FT/1K..15 20 24 26 27 27 27 24
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
BEGIN/END OF PCPN...
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 48.
MAX HUMIDITY........83 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............45.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT, THEN BECOMING WEST 5 TO 6 MPH
LATE IN THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 5 TO
10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (16700 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING
DECREASING TO POOR (300 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE
NIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........5 4 5 3 4 4 3 4 6 6 8 7
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
TEMP............70 68 65 60 58 56 55 54 52 52 51 49
DEWPOINT........44 45 47 47 46 45 44 44 44 43 44 44
RH..............39 43 52 62 64 66 66 69 74 71 77 83
20 FT WIND DIR..N N W W W W W W W W W W
20 FT WIND SPD..5 3 3 3 3 5 5 6 6 6 6 6
20 FT WIND GUST.6 5 5 6 6 6 7 8 8 8 8 8
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.4 1.8 0.5 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW W W W W W W W W W W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 5 5 5 6 7 8 9 10 10 10 10
HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4
VRATE KT-FT/1K..17 9 2 0 1 2 3 3 4 4 4 4
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
SUNDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
BEGIN/END OF PCPN...
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77.
MIN HUMIDITY........38 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............46 INCREASING TO 50 EARLY IN THE MORNING.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 6 TO 12 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (3700 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO GOOD (50100 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........8 4 4 4 3 6 6 6 6 8 9 11
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
TEMP............51 55 59 66 69 71 74 76 76 77 77 77
DEWPOINT........45 47 50 51 52 50 49 49 50 50 50 50
RH..............80 74 72 58 55 47 42 40 40 39 38 39
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W W W W W
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 6 5 5 6 6 7 8 8 8 8
20 FT WIND GUST.7 7 8 7 7 8 9 10 12 12 12 12
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.5 0.8 1.8 2.9 3.9 4.6 5.0 5.1 5.2 5.1 4.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W W W W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 9 8 7 6 6 7 9 10 12 12 12
HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4
VRATE KT-FT/1K..4 4 6 9 13 20 29 39 46 50 50 45
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR FR FR FR FR
FORECASTER...RATHBUN
REQUESTED BY...ROBERT GOULDING
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2313336.6/ALY
.DELDT 05/27/23
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL ROBERT.A.GOULDING@USDA.GOV
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