307
FXUS61 KALY 022249
AFDALY
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
649 PM EDT MON JUN 2 2025
SYNOPSIS
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING MOSTLY CLEAR AND DRY WEATHER
THROUGH WEDNESDAY WHILE ALSO TRENDING WARMER AND MORE HUMID. AN
APPROACHING COLD FRONT WILL BRING SOME SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS FOR THE END OF THE WEEK. ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM MAY BRING ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS NEXT
WEEKEND.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE CENTERED OVER THE REGION THROUGH
TONIGHT. FAIR WEATHER CUMULUS CLOUDS FROM THIS AFTERNOON WILL
DIMINISH THIS EVENING AFTER THE LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING
RESULTING IN A MOSTLY CLEAR NIGHT. LOW TEMPERATURES WILL FALL
BACK INTO THE 40S FOR MOST AREAS WITH SOME UPPER 30S ACROSS THE
ADIRONDACKS.
SHORT TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL SHIFT EASTWARD TOWARD AND OFF THE
COAST TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY AS FLOW TURNS SOUTH TO
SOUTHWESTERLY. THIS WILL ADVECT IN A WARMER AND MORE HUMID AIR
MASS INTO MIDWEEK UNDER A MOSTLY CLEAR SKY. HIGH TEMPERATURES
WILL REACH THE MID-70S TO LOWER 80S ON TUESDAY AND MID TO UPPER
80S ON WEDNESDAY. SOME VALLEY AREAS COULD REACH 90 ON WEDNESDAY.
LOWS WILL BE MAINLY IN THE 50S TUESDAY NIGHT AND IN THE 60S
WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE REGION FROM THE WEST ON
THURSDAY. AHEAD OF THIS FRONT, IT WILL BE ANOTHER WARM AND HUMID
DAY WITH MANY AREAS RISING INTO THE 80S WITH SOME VALLEY AREAS
POTENTIALLY NEARING 90. WHILE IT WILL BE MORE HUMID THAN ON
WEDNESDAY, IT WILL CONTINUE TO 'FEEL' IN THE UPPER 80S TO LOWER
90S WHICH IS BELOW THE HEAT ADVISORY CRITERIA OF 95 F. UPPER
LEVEL SHORTWAVE ENERGY PASSING ACROSS THE REGION SHOULD AID IN
THE DEVELOPMENT OF AT LEAST SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS,
ESPECIALLY DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. ANY THUNDERSTORMS
GRADUALLY DIMINISH DURING THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT HOURS AS THE
FRONT BEGINS TO CROSS THE REGION.
THE FRONT LOOKS TO STALL SOMEWHERE NEAR THE REGION BY THE END
OF THE WEEK INTO NEXT WEEKEND. ANOTHER AREA OF LOW PRESSURE
DEVELOPING ALONG THE FRONT COULD TRACK ACROSS THE REGION WITH
ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. THERE IS SOME UNCERTAINTY
ON THE ACTUAL TRACK OF THIS LOW, BUT WILL INCLUDE HIGH CHANCE
TO LOW LIKELY POPS (45 TO 70 PERCENT) FOR BOTH FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY. WITH THE INCREASE IN CLOUDS AND POSSIBLE RAINFALL,
HIGHS WILL FALL BACK INTO THE 70S TO LOWER 80S ON FRIDAY AND
UPPER 60S TO UPPER 70S ON SATURDAY. THIS SYSTEM MAY THEN DEPART
THE REGION SUNDAY INTO MONDAY WITH DRIER WEATHER RETURNING.
AVIATION /00Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
THROUGH 00Z WEDNESDAY...VFR CONDITIONS WITH SCATTERED TO BROKEN
MID/HIGH CLOUDS ARE EXPECTED AT THE TERMINALS OVER THE NEXT 24
HOURS WITH HIGH PRESSURE IN CONTROL. WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS
WILL BECOME LIGHT/VARIABLE TONIGHT, AND WILL INCREASE LATE
TUESDAY MORNING OUT OF THE SOUTH AROUND 10 KTS OR LESS.
OUTLOOK...
TUESDAY NIGHT: NO OPERATIONAL IMPACT. NO SIG WX.
WEDNESDAY: NO OPERATIONAL IMPACT. NO SIG WX.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT: NO OPERATIONAL IMPACT. NO SIG WX.
THURSDAY: MODERATE OPERATIONAL IMPACT. CHANCE OF SHRA...TSRA.
THURSDAY NIGHT: LOW OPERATIONAL IMPACT. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHRA.
FRIDAY: MODERATE OPERATIONAL IMPACT. CHANCE OF SHRA...TSRA.
FRIDAY NIGHT: HIGH OPERATIONAL IMPACT. LIKELY SHRA...TSRA.
SATURDAY: HIGH OPERATIONAL IMPACT. LIKELY SHRA...TSRA.
ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...NONE.
NY...NONE.
MA...NONE.
VT...NONE.
SYNOPSIS...RATHBUN
NEAR TERM...RATHBUN
SHORT TERM...RATHBUN
LONG TERM...RATHBUN
AVIATION...SPECK
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