055
FXUS61 KPBZ 120624
AFDPBZ
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA
224 AM EDT THU MAR 12 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
A WIND ADVISORY WAS ISSUED FOR THE ENTIRE AREA ON FRIDAY.
KEY MESSAGES
1) STRONG WIND GUSTS FRIDAY
2) COOLER WEATHER WITH LIGHT RAIN/SNOW CHANCES
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1... STRONG WIND GUSTS FRIDAY
SURFACE LOW PRESSURE WILL CROSS TO OUR NORTH ON FRIDAY,
TIGHTENING PRESSURE GRADIENT AS A 60+ KT LOW-LEVEL JET SETS UP
ACROSS THE REGION. NBM QMD GUST PROBABILITIES FOR WIND ADVISORY
CRITERIA (46+ MPH GUSTS) RANGE FROM ABOUT 60-80% FOR A LARGE
PORTION OF THE REGION. EASTERN TUCKER RANGES FROM 75-100% FOR
ADVISORY CRITERIA, WHICH WILL LIKELY LINGER LONGER THROUGH
FRIDAY NIGHT. A WIND ADVISORY WAS ISSUED BEGINNING AT 8 AM FOR
ALL COUNTIES, ENDING AT MIDNIGHT FOR ALL BUT EASTERN TUCKER,
WHICH WILL END AT 6 AM SATURDAY.
KEY MESSAGE 2... COOLER WEATHER WITH LIGHT RAIN/SNOW CHANCES
MUCH COOLER AND DRIER AIR WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA THIS MORNING
IN THE WAKE OF A COLD FRONT, WITH DEW POINTS CRASHING INTO THE
TEENS AND 20S BY THIS AFTERNOON. LINGERING MORNING SHOWERS WILL
CHANGEOVER TO LIGHT SNOW THIS MORNING WITH STRONG COLD
ADVECTION. THESE MAY LINGER INTO THE AFTERNOON ACROSS THE
RIDGETOPS. WARM GROUND CONDITIONS AND DIMINISHING MOISTURE WILL
LIMIT ACCUMULATIONS.
COOLER TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY WITH LIGHT
RAIN AND SNOW EXPECTED NORTH OF I-70 ON FRIDAY. WARMER
TEMPERATURES BRIEFLY RETURN EARLY NEXT WEEK.
AVIATION /06Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
AN AREA OF RAIN IS STILL MOVING THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA.
EXPECT SOME CHANGE OVER TO A FEW SNOW FAKES AT SOME OF THE
TERMINALS. SOME LIFR AND BELOW CIGS REMAIN THROUGH 09Z BUT THEY
SHOULD BEGIN TO LIFT THROUGH 12Z.
MVFR CIGS ARE THEN EXPECTED INTO THURSDAY IN COLD NW FLOW, AND
WITH A CROSSING UPPER TROUGH. THE CLOUDS SHOULD GRADUALLY
SCATTER OUT AND LIFT LATER IN THE DAY AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE
BEGINS TO BUILD IN.
THE FRONTAL PASSAGE WILL RESULT IN WINDS ON THURSDAY GUSTING UP
TO 30 KNOTS FROM THE NORTHWEST DURING THE DAY ON THURSDAY.
OUTLOOK...
VFR IS EXPECTED THURSDAY NIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE SLIDES EAST.
PATCHY CIGS RESTRICTIONS AND GUSTY WSW WINDS ARE EXPECTED FRIDAY
WITH A CROSSING COLD FRONT. VFR RETURNS SATURDAY UNDER HIGH
PRESSURE. RESTRICTION POTENTIAL IS EXPECTED SUNDAY NORTH OF PIT
WITH A WARM FRONT, WITH MORE WIDESPREAD RESTRICTIONS IN SHOWERS
WITH A MONDAY COLD FRONT.
PBZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PA...WIND ADVISORY FROM 8 AM FRIDAY TO MIDNIGHT EDT FRIDAY NIGHT
FOR PAZ007>009-013>016-020>022-029-031-073>078.
OH...WIND ADVISORY FROM 8 AM FRIDAY TO MIDNIGHT EDT FRIDAY NIGHT
FOR OHZ039>041-048>050-057>059-068-069.
WV...WIND ADVISORY FROM 8 AM FRIDAY TO MIDNIGHT EDT FRIDAY NIGHT
FOR WVZ001>004-012-021-509>513.
WIND ADVISORY FROM 8 AM FRIDAY TO 6 AM EDT SATURDAY FOR WVZ514.
DISCUSSION...CRAVEN/RACKLEY
AVIATION...WM/SHALLENBERGER
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