842
FXUS61 KCAR 090021
AFDCAR
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
821 PM EDT THU OCT 8 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
- EXTENDED PRECIP CHANCES LONGER, UNTIL AROUND MIDNIGHT, FOR THE
NORTH WITH LINGERING RAIN SHOWERS CONTINUING BEHIND THE RECENT
TROUGH
- SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY EXPIRES ACROSS ALL MARINE ZONES
KEY MESSAGES
1) WARM TEMPERATURES AND BREEZY WINDS SUNDAY BEFORE THE NEXT
RAIN CHANCES EARLY NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1...WARM TEMPERATURES AND BREEZY WINDS SUNDAY
BEFORE THE NEXT RAIN CHANCES EARLY NEXT WEEK.
KEY MESSAGE 1 DESCRIPTION... HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE
REGION SATURDAY AND MOVES OFF THE COAST TO OUR SOUTH SUNDAY.
BREEZY WINDS OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST WILL DEVELOP BETWEEN THE HIGH
AND THE WEAKENED REMNANTS OF ISAIAS AS IT MOVES INTO THE OHIO
VALLEY SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY. THESE WINDS WILL HELP TO
FUNNEL WARMER TEMPERATURES (UPPER 60S TO LOW 70S) INTO THE AREA
FOR SUNDAY AND MONDAY, POTENTIALLY 10-15 DEGREES ABOVE AVERAGE
FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. AS THE SYSTEM MOVES OFF THE SOUTHERN NEW
ENGLAND COAST, IT COULD BRING A CHANCE OF SHOWERS FOR THE
DOWNEAST COAST SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY. RAIN CHANCES COULD
DECREASE IF THE SYSTEM STAYS FURTHER SOUTH, THOUGH THERE IS
STILL A GOOD AMOUNT OF UNCERTAINTY AT THIS TIME. A SEPARATE LOW
PRESSURE DEVELOPS OVER THE GREAT LAKES MONDAY NIGHT AS A TROUGH
DEEPENS BEHIND THE DEPARTING TROPICAL REMNANTS. THIS WILL BRING
A CHANCE OF RAIN EARLY TO MID NEXT WEEK.
AVIATION /00Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
TONIGHT...VFR. ISOLATED SHOWERS POSSIBLE, COULD LEAD TO BRIEF
PERIODS OF MVFR FROM KGNR/KMLT NORTHWARDS. SW WINDS 5-10 KTS.
FRIDAY-FRIDAY NIGHT...VFR, THOUGH CANNOT RULE OUT LOWER MVFR CIGS AT
NORTHERN TERMINALS. CHANCE SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. W 5-15KTS
GUSTS TO 20KTS.
SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...VFR. WEST/NORTHWEST WINDS AT
10-15 KNOTS GUSTING UP TO 25 KNOTS. LIGHT WINDS SATURDAY NIGHT.
SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...VFR. WINDS FROM THE SOUTH/SOUTHWEST AT
10-15 KNOTS GUSTING UP TO 25 KNOTS.
MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...VFR/MVFR FOR A CHANCE OF SCATTERED
SHOWERS THROUGHOUT THE DAY. HIGHER CHANCES FOR RAIN FOR
DOWNEAST AND NORTHERN TERMINALS. WSW WINDS AT 5-10 KNOTS WITH
GUSTS UP TO 20 KNOTS. WINDS SHIFT SE BY MONDAY NIGHT.
TUESDAY...MFVR/IFR FOR SCATTERED SHOWERS ACROSS THE AREA
THROUGHOUT THE DAY. SE/S WINDS AT 5-10 KNOTS GUSTING UP TO 20
KNOTS.
MARINE
CONDITIONS REMAIN BELOW SCA LEVELS TONIGHT BEFORE W WINDS GUST
TO 25KTS OVER THE OUTER WATERS ON FRIDAY. SEAS RANGE BETWEEN 1-4
FEET OVER ALL WATERS THROUGH FRIDAY. WNW WINDS INCREASE TO OVER
25KTS LATE FRIDAY NIGHT FOR THE COASTAL OCEAN WATERS WITH
MARGINAL GALE FORCE WINDS OVER THE OUTER WATERS. SEAS RISE TO
ABOVE 5FT ON THE OUTER WATERS LATE FRIDAY NIGHT.
WINDS/SEAS BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LEVELS SATURDAY THROUGH
SUNDAY MORNING. WIND AND SEAS COULD REACH SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
CONDITIONS SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY MONDAY. WINDS/SEAS
WILL BE BELOW SMALL CRAFT LEVELS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT.
SEAS WILL REACH SMALL CRAFT LEVELS TUESDAY. RAIN POSSIBLE MONDAY
AND TUESDAY.
CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.
DISCUSSION...AES/ASB/21/MC
AVIATION...AES/ASB/21/MC
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