956
FXUS61 KCAR 052335
AFDCAR
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
735 PM EDT SUN JUL 5 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
-UPDATED AVIATION SECTION.
-BEACH HAZARD STATEMENT ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 8PM EDT AS
NIGHTTIME APPROACHES.
KEY MESSAGES
1) A CHANCE OF SHOWERS DOWNEAST TUESDAY. OTHERWISE, DRY MONDAY
THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
2) INCREASING HEAT AND HUMIDITY MID TO LATE WEEK
BEFORE A COLD FRONT THURSDAY NIGHT BRINGS SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS DOWNEAST TUESDAY.
OTHERWISE, DRY MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
KEY MESSAGE 1 DESCRIPTION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT THROUGH
WEDNESDAY KEEPING GENERALLY DRY CONDITIONS ACROSS THE FORECAST
AREA. HOWEVER, LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK SOUTH OF THE GULF OF
MAINE TUESDAY. THE NORTHERN EDGE OF THE PRECIPITATION SHIELD
WITH THE LOW COULD POSSIBLY CLIP DOWNEAST AREAS WITH A CHANCE
OF SHOWERS. GENERALLY EXPECT NEAR NORMAL, TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE
NORMAL, LEVEL TEMPERATURES MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. HOWEVER,
COOLER TEMPERATURES ARE POSSIBLE DOWNEAST TUESDAY WITH MORE
EXTENSIVE CLOUD COVER.
KEY MESSAGE 2...INCREASING HEAT AND HUMIDITY MID TO LATE WEEK
BEFORE A COLD FRONT THURSDAY NIGHT BRINGS SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES.
KEY MESSAGE 2 DESCRIPTION...
TEMPERATURES INCREASE SLIGHTLY THROUGH THE WEEK, WITH HIGH
TEMPERATURES 5-10 DEGREES ABOVE AVERAGE ON THURSDAY, REACHING
THE MID TO UPPER 80S. A WEAK UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE AND A COLD
FRONT MOVE THROUGH THE AREA THURSDAY NIGHT. PW VALUES INCREASE
TO NEAR THE 90TH PERCENTILE THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT. THIS
WILL BRING A CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THURSDAY AND
FRIDAY WITH THE COLD FRONT. THE TROUGH SHOULD CLEAR THE CWA
FRIDAY NIGHT LEAVING MAINLY DRY WEATHER THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
AVIATION /00Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
TONIGHT...PATCHY FOG POSSIBLE TONIGHT, PREDOMINATELY AT
AROOSTOOK TERMINALS. OTHERWISE, VFR. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS.
MONDAY...VARIABLE CONDITIONS WITH ANY PATCHY FOG IN THE EARLY
MORNING. OTHERWISE, VFR. VARIABLE WINDS IN THE MORNING, BECOMING
NW IN THE NORTH AND S/SE DOWNEAST, AT 5 TO 10 KNOTS.
MONDAY NIGHT...VFR. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS.
TUESDAY-TUESDAY NIGHT...MAINLY VFR, THOUGH MAY SEE MVFR AT BHB
AND COASTAL DOWNEAST TERMINALS IN SHRA AND SOME FOG. E WINDS 10
KT GUSTS TO 20 KT AT BHB AND COASTAL DOWNEAST TERMINALS, WITH S
WINDS 5-10 KT WITH GUSTS TO 15 KT ELSEWHERE.
WEDNESDAY...MAINLY VFR, THOUGH MAY SEE MVFR/IFR DOWNEAST TERMINALS
EARLY IN LINGERING SHOWERS AND FOG. S 5-10KTS.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT-THURSDAY...VFR. MVFR POSSIBLE AROOSTOOK
TERMINALS IN SHOWERS, POSSIBLE -TSRA ON THURSDAY. SSW WINDS 5
KTS BECOMING WSW 5- 10KTS.
THURSDAY NIGHT-FRIDAY...MVFR IN SHOWERS AND SOME THUNDERSTORMS.
NW 5-10 KT.
MARINE
WINDS/SEAS BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LEVELS TONIGHT THROUGH
MONDAY NIGHT.
WINDS REMAIN BELOW 25KTS THROUGH THURSDAY. SEAS REMAINING 2-4 FEET
THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING BEFORE INCREASING TO 5FT FROM 25-60NM
TUESDAY NIGHT, AND OUT TO 25NM ON WEDNESDAY. SEAS BEGIN TO DIMINISH
LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.
DISCUSSION...CN/JMM
AVIATION...ASB/CN/JMM
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