689
FXUS61 KCAR 081804
AFDCAR
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
204 PM EDT MON JUN 8 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
-REMOVED THUNDER CHANCES OVER NORTHEASTERN AREAS THURSDAY
AFTERNOON
KEY MESSAGES
1) ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THIS WEEKEND
WITH SHOWER CHANCES RETURNING LATER WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON INTO
THURSDAY.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1...ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH
THIS WEEKEND WITH SHOWER CHANCES RETURNING LATER WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON INTO THURSDAY.
KEY MESSAGE 1 DESCRIPTION...
A BROAD UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN PLACE ACROSS
THE HUDSON BAY INTO EASTERN CANADA AND THE NORTHEAST US THIS
WEEK, LEADING TO PERSISTENT ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES WITH
DAYTIME HIGHS GENERALLY IN THE UPPER 70S TO 80S FORECAST THROUGH
THIS WEEKEND. DEW POINTS WILL GENERALLY REMAIN COMFORTABLE IN
THE 50S, LESSENING HEAT RELATED IMPACTS. HEAT RISK IS GENERALLY
IN THE MINOR CATEGORY, SUGGESTING ANY HEAT RELATED ISSUES WILL
BE MOSTLY CONFINED TO VULNERABLE POPULATIONS. THE WARMEST DAY
CLOSER TO THE DOWNEAST COAST WILL BE TUESDAY BEFORE WINDS BECOME
LIGHTER AND OUT OF THE SOUTH WITH THE DAILY SEA BREEZE.
A WEAK DISTURBANCE CUTTING UNDERNEATH THE RIDGE NEAR THE US-
CANADA BORDER WILL PROVIDE MOISTURE FOR CLOUD COVER AND SHOWERS
LATE WEDNESDAY INTO EARLY THURSDAY. THE GREATEST CHANCES WILL BE
ACROSS WESTERN AREAS, WHERE A RUMBLE OF THUNDER IS POSSIBLE. THE
COMBINATION OF POOR MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND MINIMAL
INSTABILITY WITH MLCAPES LESS THAN 500 J/KG WILL PRECLUDE MUCH
OF A THUNDER RISK FARTHER EAST.
AVIATION /18Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
TONIGHT...VFR. LIGHT WSW WINDS.
TUESDAY-WEDNESDAY...VFR. W/NW WINDS 5-10 KTS DURING THE DAY
TUESDAY BECOMING SW WEDNESDAY. WINDS LIGHT AND VARIABLE TUESDAY
NIGHT.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT...VFR AT NORTHERN TERMINALS, WITH MVFR/IFR
POSSIBLE IN SHOWERS, MAINLY AT SOUTHERN TERMINALS. LIGHT AND
VARIABLE WINDS.
THURSDAY...MVFR/IFR POSSIBLE AT SOUTHERN TERMINALS EARLY, OTHERWISE
VFR. ESE WINDS 5-15 KTS, BECOMING LIGHT OVERNIGHT.
FRIDAY...MAINLY VFR, WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF A SHOWER. SSE WINDS
5-10 KTS WITH GUSTS TO 20 KTS.
FRIDAY NIGHT TO SATURDAY...A PERIOD OF MVFR/IFR IS POSSIBLE WITH
SHOWERS. S WINDS AROUND 10 KTS WITH GUSTS TO 20 KTS.
MARINE
WINDS AND SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW ADVISORY CRITERIA THROUGH THE
NEXT 7 DAYS. WATER TEMPERATURES HAVE MODERATED SLIGHTLY OVER THE
PAST COUPLE WEEKS TO BETWEEN 46 AND 50 DEGREES.
CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.
DISCUSSION...MWS
AVIATION...MWS
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