331
FXUS61 KCAR 241758
AFDCAR
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
158 PM EDT FRI APR 24 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
- INCREASED RAIN/SNOW SHOWER COVERAGE THROUGH THIS EARLY EVENING
TO ADJUST FOR KCBW AND KGYX RADAR ECHOS.
- RAISED TEMPERATURES SLIGHTLY TONIGHT IN EASTERN AREAS AND
LOWERED TEMPERATURES A COUPLE DEGREES IN THE MOOSEHEAD REGION
TO NORTH WOODS.
KEY MESSAGES
1) WARMER, SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES THIS WEEKEND THROUGH EARLY
NEXT WEEK WITH NO SIGNIFICANT SYSTEMS EXPECTED. THE NEXT CHANCE
FOR PRECIPITATION IS AROUND THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1...WARMER, SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES THIS WEEKEND
THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH NO SIGNIFICANT SYSTEMS EXPECTED.
THE NEXT CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION IS AROUND THE MIDDLE OF NEXT
WEEK.
KEY MESSAGE 1 DESCRIPTION...
WE CONTINUE TO BE UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A LARGE UPPER LEVEL LOW
OVER THE CANADIAN MARITIMES INSIDE THIS LARGE SCALE OMEGA BLOCK
OVER THE CONUS. AT 500MB ON SATURDAY WE CAN EXPECT THE RIDGE TO
BREAKDOWN TO OUR WEST AS THE UPPER LEVEL LOW SLIDES A LITTLE
FURTHER EAST OVER THE NORTH ATLANTIC. THIS WILL ALLOW SURFACE
HIGH PRESSURE TO BUILD DOWN FROM QUEBEC. THE AIRMASS IS
GRADUALLY WARMING TOMORROW BUT MUCH OF THE GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO
KEEP THE LOW CLOSE ENOUGH TO ALLOW FOR SOME CLOUD COVER. A WEAK
SHORTWAVE PIVOTS AROUND THE LOW AND WILL MAKE FOR CLOUDS TO
BUBBLE UP WITH COLD AIR ALOFT. SURFACE HIGH TEMPERATURES TOP OUT
IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOW 50S ACROSS THE NORTH, LOW TO MID 50S
FROM THE CENTRAL HIGHLANDS TO DOWNEAST COAST INCLUDING THE
GREATER BANGOR REGION. EXPECTING N WINDS 5-10MPH OCCASIONALLY
GUSTING 15-20MPH ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE NORTH.
HIGH PRESSURE OVERHEAD ON SUNDAY WILL GRADUALLY EXIT TO THE EAST
MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY. AS A RESULT, DRY CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED ALONG WITH A MIX OF SUN AND CLOUDS. TEMPERATURES ARE
EXPECTED TO BE WARMER, GENERALLY REACHING THE UPPER 50S AND LOW
60S, WHICH IS JUST ABOVE NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. AS HIGH
PRESSURE EXITS TO THE EAST MID-WEEK, THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR A
SYSTEM APPROACHING FROM THE WEST TO BRING SOME RAIN TO THE AREA
AROUND THE WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY TIME FRAME. STILL SOME
UNCERTAINTY IN SYSTEM EVOLUTION BUT MOST GUIDANCE IS SHOWING
SOME POTENTIAL FOR A LOW IMPACT RAIN EVENT.
AVIATION /18Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
REST OF THIS AFTERNOON...SCT MVFR CIGS WITH MAINLY VFR
CONDITIONS AT NORTHERN TERMS. VFR AT SOUTHERN TERMS. VCSH THANKS
TO -SHRASN WIDELY SCATTERED ACROSS THE AREA. N WINDS 5-15KT
GUSTING UP TO 25KT.
TONIGHT...VFR EXCEPT TURNING MVFR CIGS AT NORTHERN TERMS BETWEEN
08-10Z TOMORROW AM. N WINDS 5-10KT.
SATURDAY...MVFR CIGS NORTH BECOMING VFR LATE MORNING. VFR SOUTH.
N WINDS 5-15KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 20KT.
SATURDAY NIGHT...MAINLY VFR, MVFR CIGS POSSIBLE AT SOUTHERN
TERMS LATE NIGHT. N WINDS LESS THAN 5KT.
SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...MAINLY VFR, WITH A CHANCE OF MVFR
CEILINGS SUNDAY, MAINLY IN THE AM HOURS. GENERALLY LIGHT AND
VARIABLE WINDS.
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY...MAINLY VFR. S/SE WIND 5-10 KTS.
MARINE
NORTH WINDS TODAY INTO SATURDAY MORNING ARE GENERALLY GUSTING
LESS THAN 20KT WITH THE STRONGEST GUSTS 35-60NM OFFSHORE. WINDS
WILL SHIFT W DURING THE DAY SATURDAY. SEAS THROUGH TOMORROW
NIGHT GENERALLY 1-3FT. WINDS AND SEAS BELOW SCA CRITERIA SUNDAY
THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. SEAS MAY REACH LOW END SCA CRITERIA ON
THE COASTAL WATERS LATE WEDNESDAY. SEA SURFACE WATER
TEMPERATURES RANGE FROM 38-42F FROM THE DOWNEAST COAST OUT 60NM
AND EAST TO THE HAGUE LINE INCLUDING PENOBSCOT AND PASSAMAQUODDY
BAYS.
CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.
DISCUSSION...SM/JS
AVIATION...SM/JS
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