629
FXUS61 KCAR 231203
AFDCAR
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
803 AM EDT THU APR 23 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
UPDATE TO POPS THIS MORNING TO DELAY LIKELY POPS OVER ERN ZONES
BY 2-4 HOURS.
KEY MESSAGES
1) UNSEASONABLY COOL THROUGH FRIDAY THEN NEAR NORMAL
TEMPERATURES THIS WEEKEND THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. ANY
SIGNIFICANT STORM SYSTEMS STAY WELL SOUTH OF THE REGION.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1...
UNSEASONABLY COOL THROUGH FRIDAY THEN NEAR NORMAL
TEMPERATURES THIS WEEKEND THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. ANY
SIGNIFICANT STORM SYSTEMS STAY WELL SOUTH OF THE REGION.
KEY MESSAGE 1 DESCRIPTION...
A NORTHERLY FLOW WILL RESULT IN BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES TODAY
THROUGH FRIDAY. A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE WILL
SLIDE ACROSS THE REGION TODAY, WHILE A SHORT WAVE ROTATES
AROUND THE 500 MB LOW ACROSS THE CANADIAN MARITIMES. THIS WILL
RESULT IN UNSETTLED WEATHER WITH SHOWERS. IT WILL BE COLD ENOUGH
FOR SOME SNOW TO MIX IN ACROSS THE NORTH THIS MORNING. THE 500
MB LOW MEANDERS TO OUR EAST ACROSS CANADIAN MARITIMES TONIGHT
THROUGH FRIDAY WITH CONTINUED NORTHERLY FLOW. TONIGHT IS MAINLY
DRY. BUT THERE MAY BE JUST ENOUGH DIURNAL INSTABILTY IN PLACE
FOR A STRAY SHOWER ON FRIDAY WITH THE UPPER LOW STILL
INFLUENCING THE REGION.
BY SATURDAY, TEMPERATURES MODERATE, BECOMING NEAR NORMAL AS AN
UPPER LEVEL LOW EXITS THE AREA FRIDAY NIGHT AND HIGH PRESSURE
SETTLES IN FOR THE WEEKEND. UPPER LEVEL RIDGING BUILDS IN EARLY
NEXT WEEK WHICH SHOULD KEEP ANY STORMS SYSTEMS SOUTH OF THE
REGION AND FAVOR SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES.
AVIATION /12Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
TODAY...IFR/MVFR NORTHERN TERMINALS THIS MORNING, EXCEPT
IFR/LIFR AT KBGR/KBHB, IMPROVING TO MVFR THIS AFTERNOON ALL
TERMINALS. E TO SE WIND 5 TO 10 KT BECOMING N BY AFTERNOON.
TONIGHT...VFR/MVFR. N WIND 5 TO 10 KT.
FRIDAY...MAINLY VFR. N WIND AROUND 10 KT.
FRIDAY NIGHT-SATURDAY NIGHT: VFR. NNW 5-15KTS, BECOMING LIGHT
AND VARIABLE SATURDAY NIGHT.
SUNDAY-MONDAY: VFR. N WINDS AROUND 5 KTS SUNDAY BECOMING E
MONDAY.
MARINE
HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP WINDS AND SEAS BELOW SMALL CRAFT LEVELS
INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.
DISCUSSION...21/TWD/SM
AVIATION...TWD/SM
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