598
FXUS61 KCAR 291807
AFDCAR
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
207 PM EDT TUE SEP 29 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
- UPDATED AVIATION DISCUSSION.
KEY MESSAGES
1) THE NEXT ROUND OF RAIN SHOWERS IS EXPECTED FOR THE END OF
NEXT WEEK, THOUGH DROUGHT RELIEF IS UNLIKELY.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1...THE NEXT ROUND OF RAIN SHOWERS IS EXPECTED FOR
THE END OF NEXT WEEK, THOUGH DROUGHT RELIEF IS UNLIKELY.
KEY MESSAGE 1 DESCRIPTION...
HIGH PRESSURE TO THE SOUTH WILL BUILD THROUGH MID-WEEK, BRINGING
DRY CONDITIONS UNTIL LATE WEEK. LOW PRESSURE TO THE NORTHWEST IN
CANADA TRACKS EASTWARD, BRINGING A RELATIVELY WEAK COLD FRONT
OVER THE STATE ON FRIDAY. PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN HIGH PRESSURE
THE APPROACHING LOW, HELP PRODUCE SOME BREEZY SOUTHWEST
CONDITIONS THURSDAY AFTERNOON INTO FRIDAY.
NOT ANTICIPATING HEAVY RAIN OR HIGH RAIN TOTALS AT THIS TIME.
BASED ON GLOBAL MODELS, PWATS ARE ROUGHLY 1.25-1.75 INCHES,
WITH HIGHER VALUES CONCENTRATED AROUND THE CENTRAL AND DOWNEAST
REGIONS. MODELS CURRENTLY HINT AT PRECIPITATION GENERALLY MOVING
IN LATE THURSDAY NIGHT FROM THE NORTHWEST, AND MOVING THROUGH
THE SOUTHEAST BY FRIDAY MID-MORNING TO AFTERNOON. THERE IS STILL
SOME MODEL DISCREPANCIES IN THE EXACT TIMING, HOWEVER. SOME
MODELS DO SHOW MOIST SOUNDINGS, BUT CURRENTLY NOT ANTICIPATING
TOTALS OVER AN INCH. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE FORECAST FOR
UPDATES, AS MODELS BEGIN TO GET A BETTER HANDLE ON THE
ATMOSPHERIC SET UP.
AVIATION /18Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
REST OF TODAY...MVFR/IFR. ISOLATED/SCATTERED SHOWERS.
NORTH/NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 KNOTS WITH GUSTS UP TO AROUND 15
KNOTS.
TONIGHT...MVFR/IFR EARLY, THEN VFR/MVFR LATE. SHOWERS ENDING
DURING THE EVENING. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 KNOTS, BECOMING
VARIABLE.
WEDNESDAY...OCCASIONAL MVFR DURING THE MORNING. OTHERWISE, VFR.
VARIABLE WINDS 5 TO 10 KNOTS, BECOMING SOUTH/SOUTHWEST.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT - THURSDAY...VFR ACROSS ALL TERMINALS. WINDS
LIGHT AND VARIABLE OVERNIGHT, INCREASING OUT OF THE SW TO 10 TO
15 KTS WITH GUSTS 20 TO 25 KTS THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
THURSDAY NIGHT - FRIDAY NIGHT...VFR/MVFR IN RAIN SHOWERS. SW
WINDS AROUND 5 KNOTS OVERNIGHT, BECOMING W/NW AT 5 TO 10 KTS AS
COLD FRONT PASSES.
SATURDAY - SUNDAY...VFR ACROSS ALL TERMINALS. CHANCE FOR RAIN TO
APPROACH LATE SUNDAY EVENING. NW WINDS 5 TO 10 KTS SATURDAY,
BECOMING S 5 TO 10 KTS SUNDAY.
MARINE
WINDS/SEAS BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LEVELS TONIGHT THROUGH
FRIDAY. ISOLATED/SCATTERED SHOWERS THIS EVENING. CHANCE FOR
RAIN FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY NIGHT, WHICH COULD LIMIT VISIBILITY.
COASTAL - 25NM, AND 25NM-60NM ZONES COULD HAVE SEAS APPROACH 5
FT LATE FRIDAY NIGHT.
CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.
DISCUSSION...ASB/CN
AVIATION...ASB/CN
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