988
FXUS61 KCAR 131812
AFDCAR
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
212 PM EDT MON APR 13 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
- NO MAJOR CHANGES TO THE FORECAST FOR THIS UPDATE.
KEY MESSAGES
1) ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK
COMBINED WITH SOME RAINFALL WILL RESULT IN RIVER ICE CONTINUING
TO BREAK UP, MELT, AND CLEAR OUT ON THE NORTHERN RIVERS.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1...ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE END OF THE
WEEK COMBINED WITH SOME RAINFALL WILL RESULT IN RIVER ICE
CONTINUING TO BREAK UP, MELT, AND CLEAR OUT ON THE NORTHERN
RIVERS.
KEY MESSAGE 1 DESCRIPTION...
PER THE PREVIOUS DISCUSSION: HIGH TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE NORTH
ARE EXPECTED TO BE IN THE LOW 50S THROUGH MID-WEEK AND IN THE
UPPER 50S TO NEAR 60 LATE THIS WEEK. THIS WILL RESULT IN RIVER
ICE ACROSS THE NORTH CONTINUING TO MELT AND BREAK UP. SO FAR
THERE HAS BEEN NO ICE JAM FLOODING REPORTED AND THE ICE-OUT HAS
BEEN GENTLE. HOWEVER, SOME OF THE RIVER GAUGES ACROSS THE NORTH
INCLUDING DICKEY AND FORT KENT ON THE ST. JOHN RIVER HAVE SHOWN
SOME SPIKES AND FLUCTUATIONS IN RIVER LEVEL AS THE ICE BEGINS TO
MOVE.
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACROSS THE NORTH OF AROUND A HALF INCH
TODAY AND A QUARTER INCH TUESDAY NIGHT WILL ADD TO THE SNOW AND
ICE MELT CONTRIBUTING TO ADDITIONAL RISES ON THE RIVERS.
SIGNIFICANT FLOODING IS CURRENTLY NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.
HOWEVER, GIVEN THAT THE ICE IS STILL MOVING AND BREAKING UP, WE
WILL HAVE TO CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME ICE JAMS
AND CONTINUED FLUCTUATION OF RIVER LEVELS OVER THE NORTH.
AVIATION /18Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
REST OF THIS AFTERNOON...IFR/MVFR, TRENDING TO VFR AT KBGR AND
KBHB. SHOWERS. S WIND 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS
TONIGHT...MVFR OR LOWER NORTH, VFR KBGR AND KBHB. SW WIND 5 TO
10 KT BECOMING NW.
TUESDAY...VFR EARLY, THEN MVFR/IFR IN DEVELOPING AFTERNOON RAIN.
N WIND 5 TO 10 KT BECOMING S.
TUESDAY NIGHT...MVFR OR LOWER. N TO NE WIND 5 TO 10 KT.
WEDNESDAY...MVFR DROPPING TO IFR SOUTH. IFR NORTH, IMPROVING TO
MVFR LATE. SE TO E WIND AROUND 5 KT.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MVFR TO VFR NORTH. IFR TO MVFR SOUTH. N WIND
AROUND 5 KT.
THURSDAY...MVFR BECOMING IFR SOUTH. VFR BECOMING MVFR THEN IFR
NORTH. SE WIND 5 TO 10 KT.
THURSDAY NIGHT...IFR, BECOMING MVFR LATE. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WIND.
FRIDAY-SATURDAY...VFR. NW WIND AROUND 5 KT.
MARINE
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT FOR
THE INTRA COASTAL ZONE AND THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING FOR THE
OUTERMOST WATERS. WINDS/SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW SCA
LEVELS TUESDAY NIGHT.
WIND AND SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW SCA FROM MID WEEK THIS WEEK THROUGH
THE COMING WEEKEND. MOIST AIR OVER THE COLDER WATERS MAY RESULT IN
SOME FOG AND MIST OVER THE WATERS AND ALONG THE COAST AT TIMES,
ESPECIALLY WEDNESDAY AND AGAIN ON FRIDAY.
CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
ME...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 AM EDT TUESDAY FOR ANZ050-051.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 2 AM EDT TUESDAY FOR ANZ052.
DISCUSSION...TWD/ARL
AVIATION...TWD/ARL
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page