387
FXUS61 KGYX 121054
AFDGYX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
654 AM EDT SUN APR 12 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
LITTLE CHANGE SINCE THE PREVIOUS FORECAST CYCLE.
KEY MESSAGES
1. TEMPERATURES WILL START TO RECOVER TODAY WITH RAIN EXPECTED
TONIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING BEFORE BECOMING MORE SHOWERY LATER
MONDAY.
2. ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES LIKELY TUESDAY THROUGH THE END OF
THE WEEK WITH SHOWERY WEATHER CONTINUING THROUGH THE END OF THE
WEEK.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1 DESCRIPTION...
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLIDE SOUTHEAST OF NEW ENGLAND TODAY,
ALLOWING FOR DEVELOPING SOUTH-SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW. MAINLY SUNNY SKIES
WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF THE DAY BEFORE CLOUDS BEGIN
TO INCREASE FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING WARM
FRONT. THE LOWER TO MIDDLE LEVELS WILL REMAIN VERY DRY THOUGH WITH
AFTERNOON RH INTO THE 20-30% RANGE, AND THIS WILL PREVENT ANY
SHOWERS FROM BEGINNING UNTIL THE EVENING HOURS. HIGH TEMPERATURES
WILL BE INTO THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 50S ACROSS THE INTERIOR WITH
READINGS INTO THE 40S TO 50 DEGREES ALONG THE COASTLINE.
THE AFOREMENTIONED SURFACE WARM FRONT WILL LIFT NORTHWARD TONIGHT,
ALLOWING FOR A PERIOD OF RAINFALL THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. SOME
ICE IS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE HIGHEST TERRAIN. RAINFALL AMOUNTS
WILL LIKELY BE LIGHTEST ACROSS SOUTHERN NH WITH BETWEEN 0.10-
0.20" WITH BETWEEN 0.25-0.50" FURTHER TO THE NORTH. HIGHER
AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS WITH PERHAPS AN INCH
OR SO. GIVEN THE ONGOING DROUGHT CONDITIONS, NO HYDRO ISSUES ARE
CURRENTLY ANTICIPATED. LOW TEMPERATURES WILL BE INTO THE
30S/40S. LINGERING SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE LATER ON MONDAY AS
SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS ALLOW HIGH TEMPERATURES TO REACH THE MIDDLE
TO UPPER 60S WITH A FEW SPOTS POSSIBLY APPROACHING THE 70 DEGREE
MARK. MONDAY NIGHT WILL BE MILD WITH LOWS ONLY INTO THE 50S
WITH SHOWERS BECOMING MORE ISOLATED IN NATURE.
KEY MESSAGE 2 DESCRIPTION...
MID-LEVEL RIDGING OVER THE EASTERN
US LOOKS TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE UPCOMING WEEK,
ALLOWING FOR ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE
REST OF THE WEEK. MANY PLACES ARE BOUND TO SEE TEMPERATURES IN
THE 70S MOST OF THE WEEK, WITH MAYBE EVEN SOME 80F READINGS
POKING OUT ACROSS SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE ON WEDNESDAY.
MULTIPLE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS LOOK TO BRING SHOWERY WEATHER ON
THROUGH THE WEEK. ONE LOW LOOKS TO MOVE ACROSS THE AREA TUESDAY
NIGHT, BRINGING SHOWERS AND MAYBE AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM TO
LOCATIONS NORTH OF THE MOUNTAINS. DRIER WEATHER LOOKS POSSIBLE
ON WEDNESDAY BEFORE ANOTHER SYSTEM MOVES IN, BRINGING MORE
SHOWERS ON THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. SOUNDINGS DO SHOW SOME WEAK
INSTABILITY, WITH SOME EMBEDDED THUNDER POSSIBLE THURSDAY
AFTERNOON. BOTH SYSTEMS DO NOT LOOK TO BRING MUCH RAINFALL AND
WILL CERTAINLY NOT BE ENOUGH TO IMPROVE SEVERE DROUGHT
CONDITIONS OVER NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND.
AVIATION /12Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
THROUGH 12Z MONDAY... VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THRU THE LATE
EVENING. WINDS WILL SHIFT TO ONSHORE DURING THE DAY AND BECOME
BREEZY NEAR THE COAST. AN AREA OF RAIN MOVES INTO THE REGION
ALONG A WARM FRONT TONIGHT. CIGS WILL LOWER, AND MOSTLY REMAIN
MVFR AT THE START THOUGH SOME LOCAL IFR IS POSSIBLE. THIS WILL
GENERALLY OCCUR FROM WEST NORTHWEST TO EAST SOUTHEAST.
EVENTUALLY MORE WIDESPREAD AREAS OF IFR CIGS DEVELOP OVERNIGHT
AND CONTINUE INTO MORNING ALONG AND JUST NORTH OF THE WARM
FRONT. THIS IS MOST LIKELY OVER WESTERN MAINE. CIGS BECOME MORE
SCATTERED MON IN THE WARM SECTOR, THOUGH MVFR CONDITIONS MAY
LINGER NORTH OF THE MTNS.
OUTLOOK:
MONDAY NIGHT: LOCAL MVFR OR LOWER POSSIBLE IN SHOWERS ALONG
COLD FRONT.
TUESDAY: MAINLY VFR.
TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY: PERIODS OF MVFR IN SCATTERED
SHOWERS, OTHERWISE PERIODS OF VFR.
MARINE
S-SW WIND GUSTS UP TO 30 KTS ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY
MORNING WITH SEAS OF 1-4 FT IN THE BAYS AND 5-9 FT OVER THE
OUTER WATERS. WINDS WILL RELAX LATER MONDAY BUT SEAS WILL REMAIN
ELEVATED THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT OUTSIDE OF THE BAYS.
WINDS AND SEAS GENERALLY STAY BELOW SCA THRESHOLDS TUESDAY THROUGH
THURSDAY WITH WINDS PRIMARILY OUT OF THE SOUTH.
GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 8 AM EDT
TUESDAY FOR ANZ150-152-154.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 8 PM EDT
MONDAY FOR ANZ151-153.
DISCUSSION...PALMER/TUBBS
AVIATION...LEGRO/PALMER/TUBBS
MARINE...PALMER/TUBBS
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