589
FXUS61 KGYX 130632
AFDGYX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
132 AM EST FRI FEB 13 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
NO MAJOR CHANGES WERE NEEDED FOR THIS FORECAST PACKAGE WITH
GENERALLY QUIET WEATHER EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS.
KEY MESSAGES
1. EXPECT TEMPERATURES AROUND OR ABOVE SEASONAL AVERAGES THROUGH
THE WEEKEND WITH EVEN WARMER TEMPERATURES LIKELY THROUGH AT
LEAST MIDWEEK.
2. A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH ON SUNDAY, BRINGING ISOLATED
CHANCES OF SNOW SHOWERS. THE LONG TERM PATTERN SUPPORTS ACTIVE
WEATHER NEXT WEEK, WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR MORE WIDESPREAD
PRECIPITATION LATER IN THE WEEK.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1 DESCRIPTION...
NOT MUCH HAS CHANGED REGARDING THE GENERAL PATTERN OVER THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS. MEAN TROUGHING WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES AROUND OR
JUST ABOVE SEASONAL CATEGORIES THROUGH THE WEEKEND. TODAY'S
HIGHS WILL RANGE FROM THE UPPER TEENS AND LOWER 20S NORTH, TO
THE LOW TO MID 30S SOUTH. BY SUNDAY, WE WILL SEE WIDESPREAD
HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO MID 30S. AFTER SOME MODEST RIDGING MOVES
ACROSS THE REGION ON SUNDAY, WE TRANSITION TO SEVERAL DAYS OF
MEAN ZONAL FLOW WHICH WILL ALLOW FOR ANOTHER BUMP UP IN
TEMPERATURES. SOME LOWER 40S RETURN TO THE FORECAST ON MONDAY
WITH WIDESPREAD HIGHS IN THE LOW TO MID 40S POSSIBLE BY MIDWEEK.
KEY MESSAGE 2 DESCRIPTION...
AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW OVER QUEBEC WILL MOVE SOUTHWARD DURING THE
DAY SATURDAY. THE LOW WILL COINCIDE WITH A WEAK SHORTWAVE,
ALLOWING FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF SOME ISOLATED SNOW SHOWERS
THROUGH THE DAY.
A SYSTEM LOOKS TO MOVE THROUGH FROM WEST TO EAST TOWARDS THE END
OF NEXT WEEK. A LOT OF MODEL UNCERTAINTY REMAINS BUT APPEAR TO
HAVE TRENDED A LITTLE BIT COLDER THAN THE PREVIOUS MODEL SUITE,
WITH ALL PRECIPITATION TYPES STILL IN PLAY. SNOW LOOKS MORE
LIKELY ACROSS THE NORTHERN AND INTERIOR AREAS, WITH MORE RAIN
AND MIXING POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTHERN NH AND COASTAL MAINE.
AVIATION /06Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
GENERALLY EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS AT ALL TERMINALS THROUGH 06Z
SATURDAY WITH A CHANCE FOR PERIODIC LOW VFR/MVFR CEILINGS AT
HIE. WINDS SHOULD CONTINUE TO DIMINISH THIS MORNING.
OUTLOOK...
FRIDAY NIGHT-SATURDAY NIGHT: PERIODS OF LIGHT SNOW MAY BRING
ABOUT BRIEF MVFR/IFR CONDITIONS FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY NIGHT,
WITH HIE AND LEB HAVING THE HIGHEST CHANCE OF THIS OCCURING.
OTHERWISE, VFR PREVAILS.
SUNDAY NIGHT-TUESDAY: SOME LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS MAY BRING
LOCALIZED BRIEF MVFR/IFR CONDITIONS SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY
WITH MVFR CEILINGS COMMON DURING THIS TIME AS WELL, BUT
OTHERWISE CONDITIONS TREND BACK TO VFR FOR TUESDAY.
MARINE
FREQUENT NORTHWESTERLY GUSTS AROUND 25KTS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
THE EARLY MORNING HOURS TODAY. WINDS SHIFT WESTERLY AND CALM
BELOW SCA CRITERIA LATER IN THE MORNING, WITH SEAS REMAINING
1-3FT.
MARGINAL SCA CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY
AS A FRONT CROSSES THE WATERS. ANOTHER SYSTEM MAY BRING ABOUT
SCA CONDITIONS MIDWEEK, BUT OTHERWISE SUB-SCA CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED.
GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST THIS MORNING FOR
ANZ150-152-154.
DISCUSSION...HARGROVE/PALMER
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