315
FXUS61 KGYX 271105 AAA
AFDGYX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
605 AM EST FRI FEB 27 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
FOR THE MORNING UPDATE, JUST INCORPORATED THE LATEST
OBSERVATIONAL TRENDS INTO THE NEAR TERM WHICH DIDN'T RESULT IN
ANY SIGNIFICANT CHANGES. THERE IS A NON ZERO CHANCE AN AREA OF
LIGHT PRECIPITATION BEING DRIVEN BY A WARM FRONT TO OUR WEST
CLIPS THE NORTHERN PORTION OF THE CWA THIS AFTERNOON, BUT I AM
NOT SO SURE THE DRY AIR IN PLACE WON'T JUST EAT AWAY AT IT SO I
LEFT IT OUT FOR NOW.
KEY MESSAGES
1. A WARM-UP IS IN STORE THROUGH SATURDAY. A COLD FRONT MOVES
THROUGH DURING THE DAY SATURDAY WITH THE CHANCE FOR SOME RAIN OR
SNOW SHOWERS IN THE MOUNTAINS.
2. LIGHT SNOW POSSIBLE SUNDAY.
3. BRIEF SHOT OF WELL BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES EARLY NEXT
WEEK.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1 DESCRIPTION...
A COLD FRONT WILL PASS ACROSS THE REGION ON SATURDAY WITH LITTLE
FANFARE, PERHAPS A FEW RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS IN THE MOUNTAINS.
SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE AND BECOME SOMEWHAT GUSTY. THE
MAIN THEME HOWEVER WILL BE THE WARM TEMPERATURES, WITH
WIDESPREAD HIGHS IN THE 40S. A FEW LOCATIONS IN THE FAR SOUTH
MAY REACH 50 DEGREES. OTHERWISE, UP UNTIL THEN, EXPECT DRY
WEATHER WITH A GRADUAL WARMING TREND.
KEY MESSAGE 2 DESCRIPTION...
AFTER A WARM DAY ON SATURDAY, A S/WV TROF WILL CROSS ON SUNDAY,
LIKELY ALLOWING FOR A PERIOD OF LIGHT SNOWFALL. QPF LOOKS TO BE
RATHER LOW AND THIS COMBINED WITH MARGINAL SURFACE TEMPERATURES
INTO THE UPPER 20S/LOWER 30S ALONG WITH THE HIGHER SUN ANGLE
SHOULD LIMIT SNOWFALL AMOUNTS TO AN INCH OR TWO IN MOST
LOCATIONS.
KEY MESSAGE 3 DESCRIPTION...
CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE REGION ON MONDAY AS
H8S FALL TO AROUND -20C. THIS WILL LIMIT HIGHS TO THE TEENS
ACROSS THE NORTH WITH 20S SOUTH. WIND CHILL VALUES ON SUNDAY
NIGHT COULD APPROACH COLD WEATHER ADVISORY CRITERIA IN SOME
LOCATIONS. MONDAY NIGHT WILL ONCE AGAIN BE COLD WITH
TEMPERATURES FALLING TO WITHIN A FEW DEGREES EITHER SIDE OF
ZERO. TEMPERATURES WILL BEGIN TO MODERATE SOME ON TUESDAY AS
FLOW BECOMES SOUTHERLY. WILL NEED TO MONITOR FOR SOME POSSIBLE
PRECIPITATION TOWARDS WEDNESDAY BUT FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS LOW
AT THIS TIME RANGE.
AVIATION /12Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
THROUGH 12Z SATURDAY...VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED.
OUTLOOK:
SATURDAY: VFR PREVAILS EXCEPT PERHAPS A BRIEF PERIOD OF
MVFR CONDITIONS IN THE MOUNTAINS ON SATURDAY WITH A COLD
FRONTAL PASSAGE. OTHERWISE, SOUTHERLY WINDS MAY GUST 20 TO 25
KNOTS ON SATURDAY.
SATURDAY NIGHT: VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED.
SUNDAY: AREAS OF LOWER-END MVFR TO IFR POSSIBLE IN LIGHT SNOW.
SUNDAY NIGHT: VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED.
MONDAY: VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED.
MONDAY NIGHT: VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED.
TUESDAY: VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED.
MARINE
WINDS AND SEAS REMAIN BELOW SCA THRESHOLDS THRU TONIGHT. SAT
SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE AHEAD OF AN
APPROACHING COLD FRONT AND SCA CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY. SOME HI-
RES GUIDANCE SUGGESTS A SHORT PERIOD OF LOW END GALES SATURDAY
MORNING BUT THIS IS LIKELY OVERDONE IN THE WAA REGIME WITH THE
COLD SSTS.
NW WIND GUSTS MAY APPROACH 30-35 KTS LATE SUNDAY INTO SUNDAY
NIGHT OUTSIDE OF THE BAYS WITH SEAS OF 3-6 FT. WINDS AND SEAS
WILL THEN LOWER MONDAY INTO MONDAY NIGHT. ANOTHER PERIOD OF
INCREASED WINDS AND SEAS ARE THEN POSSIBLE TUESDAY NIGHT INTO
WEDNESDAY DEPENDING ON THE TRACK OF A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM.
GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 PM EST
SATURDAY FOR ANZ150-152-154.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 PM EST
SATURDAY FOR ANZ151-153.
DISCUSSION...BARON/EKSTER/TUBBS
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