258  
FNUS73 KARX 191058  
FWSARX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR LONE ROCK BARRENS BURN...WISCONSIN DNR  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI  
458 AM CST THU FEB 19 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CST ON FEBRUARY 19.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (608) 784-8292 IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
LOOK FOR INCREASING CLOUDS THROUGH THE DAY AS OUR NEXT WEATHER  
SYSTEM APPROACHES FROM THE SOUTHWEST. WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT AS  
THEY TURN FROM THE NORTHWEST TO THE NORTHEAST THROUGH THE DAY.  
THESE LIGHT WINDS WILL RESULT IN ONLY FAIR VENT RATES THROUGH THE  
DAY. DAYTIME RH VALUES FALL TO AROUND 40 TO 50 PERCENT IN THE  
AFTERNOON. RAIN ARRIVES IN THE EVENING, TRANSITIONING TO SNOW  
OVERNIGHT WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR 3 TO 5 INCHES OF SNOW, POSSIBLY  
HIGHER.  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
RAIN LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT INCREASING TO 20 PERCENT LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
TEMPERATURE.........35 AT IGNITION...MAX 49.  
RH..................69 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 42 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTH AT 3 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE  
LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH LATE  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 2200 FT  
AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 6 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 5 TO  
13 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR /8000 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION. MAX...FAIR  
/19900 KNOT-FT/.  
 
TIME (CST) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........32 37 41 51 61 72 74 77  
WEATHER COV..... SCH  
WEATHER TYPE.... RN  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 10 10 20  
TEMP............35 40 43 46 48 49 48 45  
RH..............69 57 53 45 44 42 46 53  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N NE NE NE NE N  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 4 5 6 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 5 6 7 8 9 12 14  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.6 1.8 1.9 2.0 2.2 2.2 2.0 1.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW N N NE NE NE N NE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 5 5 6 7 9 12 13  
SDSPL KT-FT/10008 7 8 10 13 17 20 16  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). RAIN IN THE EVENING.  
SNOW THROUGH THE NIGHT.  
CWR.................90 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 27.  
RH..................MAX 92 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 20  
MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 10 TO 13 MPH WITH  
GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH OVERNIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 15 TO 23 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 24  
TO 26 MPH AFTER 3 AM.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (45300 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING  
DECREASING TO FAIR (14000 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE  
NIGHT.  
 
TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........79 83 88 92 93 94 95 96 97 97 97 96  
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF LKY  
WEATHER TYPE....RN RN RN RS RS RS SN SN SN SN SN SN  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............30 40 60 70 70 80 90 90 90 90 80 60  
TEMP............43 40 38 37 36 35 34 33 32 32 31 29  
RH..............57 64 70 75 82 85 92 92 92 89 88 92  
20 FT WIND DIR..NE N N N N N N N NW NW NW NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..7 8 8 8 8 9 9 10 10 11 12 13  
20 FT WIND GUST.14 14 15 16 18 18 18 20 21 23 23 25  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.1 1.0 1.2 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.4 1.3 1.2 1.6 2.0  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N NE N N N N N NW NW NW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.15 16 20 21 18 20 21 22 23 23 24 26  
SDSPL KT-FT/100015 14 20 24 20 22 24 26 25 25 34 45  
   
FRIDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SNOW  
IN THE MORNING.  
CWR.................50 PERCENT DECREASING TO 10 PERCENT IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 34.  
RH..................MIN 63 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 16 MPH WITH GUSTS TO  
AROUND 27 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 23 TO 32 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 20  
MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (41400 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (81600 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........95 91 87 83 82 74 66 64 61 59 60 60  
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....SN SN SN SN SN SN  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............50 50 50 50 50 50 10 10 10 10 10 10  
TEMP............29 28 27 29 29 31 31 33 33 33 32 31  
RH..............88 88 92 81 81 75 72 66 66 63 66 66  
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW W W W W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..15 15 15 15 15 16 16 16 15 15 12 10  
20 FT WIND GUST.26 26 27 27 26 26 25 23 23 23 21 19  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.2 2.3 2.5 2.9 2.9 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 2.7 2.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.28 30 31 32 31 30 29 28 26 25 23 20  
SDSPL KT-FT/100053 61 69 82 79 78 76 72 69 66 54 41  
 

 
FORECASTER...KS  
REQUESTED BY...TRAVIS ANDERSON  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2603123.0/ARX  
.DELDT 02/19/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL TRAVIS.ANDERSON@WISCONSIN.GOV  
 
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