062
FXUS63 KARX 132033
AFDARX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
233 PM CST FRI FEB 13 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- FOG AND LOW CLOUDS ARE EXPECTED ALONG AND NORTH OF INTERSTATE
94 TONIGHT.
- NEAR TO RECORD WARM TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED FROM MONDAY INTO
WEDNESDAY. WARM LOW TEMPERATURE RECORDS ARE MORE LIKELY THAN
HIGH TEMPERATURES.
- MUCH OF NEXT WEEK LOOKS ACTIVE WITH PERIODIC PRECIPITATION.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 232 PM CST FRI FEB 13 2026
TONIGHT AND SATURDAY MORNING
IT CONTINUES TO LOOK LIKE FOG AND LOW STRATUS WILL DEVELOP ALONG
AND NORTH OF INTERSTATE 94 (POSSIBLY AS SOUTH OF I-90 IN WEST-
CENTRAL AND CENTRAL WISCONSIN) AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. THIS FOG
AND STRATUS SHOULD BURN OFF DURING THE MID- AND LATE MORNING OF
SATURDAY. LOW TEMPERATURES TONIGHT WILL BE AROUND 20 NORTH OF
INTERSTATE 94 AND RANGE FROM THE LOWER 20S TO LOWER 30S FOR THE
REMAINDER OF THE AREA.
SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY
A 500 MB RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD EAST INTO THE UPPER
MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY. AS THIS OCCUR, TEMPERATURES WILL
GRADUALLY WARM. WITH THE NBM UNDER PERFORMING WITH THE HIGH
TEMPERATURES THE LAST COUPLE OF DAYS, DID A BLEND OF THE NBM AND
NBM 90TH PERCENTILE TO RAISE THE HIGH TEMPERATURES BY 2 TO 3F.
HIGH TEMPERATURES ON SATURDAY AND SUNDAY WILL BE IN THE 40S
NORTH OF INTERSTATE 94 AND IN THE LOWER AND MID-50S FOR THE
REMAINDER OF THE AREA. THESE TEMPERATURES ARE WARM ENOUGH THAT
THERE COULD BE A FEW RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES THIS WEEKEND.
MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY
THE 500 MB RIDGE WILL GRADUALLY FLATTEN BY MID-WEEK AS A
NORTHERN STREAM SHORTWAVE MOVE EAST. PRIOR TO THIS OCCURRING,
ANOMALOUS WARMTH LOOKS LIKELY. THE 850 MB TEMPERATURE ANOMALIES
IN THE NAEFS CONTINUE TO RANGE FROM 1 TO 2 STANDARD DEVIATIONS
ABOVE NORMAL AND THE GEFS RANGES FROM 2 TO 3 STANDARD
DEVIATIONS ABOVE NORMAL. THIS WILL RESULT IN THE POTENTIAL FOR
NEAR TO RECORD WARMTH. FOR RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES, THIS LOOKS
MORE LIKELY ON MONDAY THAN TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. THIS IS DUE
TO CLOUDS AND RAIN IN THE AREA ON TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.
LIKE THE PAST SEVERAL DAYS, WARM LOWS HAVE A HIGHER PROBABILITY
OF OCCURRING FROM MONDAY INTO WEDNESDAY. HIGH TEMPERATURES
GRADUALLY COOL FROM MONDAY INTO WEDNESDAY. HIGH TEMPERATURES ON
MONDAY WILL BE IN THE 40S NORTH OF INTERSTATE 94, AND IN THE 50S
ELSEWHERE. BY WEDNESDAY, THE HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL RANGE FROM
THE MID-30S TO MID-40S NORTH OF I-94 AND FROM THE MID-40S TO
MID-50S ELSEWHERE. FROM MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY, LOW
TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN THE 30S NORTH OF INTERSTATE 94 AND
AROUND 40 ELSEWHERE.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY/
ISSUED AT 232 PM CST FRI FEB 13 2026
VFR CONDITIONS AND GENERALLY LIGHT WINDS AT LESS THAN 10 KTS TO
PREVAIL AT THE TERMINALS THROUGH THE PERIOD. WINDS WILL START
IN A MORE SOUTHWESTERLY DIRECTION BEFORE BECOMING SOUTHERLY BY
TOMORROW MORNING.
AN AREA OF FOG AND LOW STRATUS IS LOOKING MORE LIKELY ACROSS
PORTIONS OF WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN AFTER MIDNIGHT. THE HIGHEST
IMPACTS LOOK TO REMAIN ALONG AND NORTH OF THE I-94 CORRIDOR ACROSS
NORTH CENTRAL WISCONSIN BUT SOME LOWER VISIBILITIES COULD BLEED
SOUTH CLOSER TO I-90. CONFIDENCE IN REDUCED VISIBILITIES AT THE KLSE
TERMINAL ARE STILL VERY LOW BUT WILL NEED TO BE MONITORED WITH
FUTURE PACKAGE UPDATES. FOG AND STRATUS SHOULD BURN OFF THROUGH
THE MORNING HOURS WITH CONDITIONS RETURNING TO VFR AREAWIDE BY
18Z SATURDAY.
CLIMATE
ISSUED AT 359 AM CST FRI FEB 13 2026
HERE ARE SOME OF THE RECORD HIGH AND WARM LOW TEMPERATURES
FOR LA CROSSE AND ROCHESTER FROM FEBRUARY 14 THROUGH
FEBRUARY 16.
RECORD OR NEAR RECORD HIGHS SATURDAY, FEBRUARY 14
(RECORD/FORECAST):
HIGH TEMP
----------------------------------------
ROCHESTER, MN 58 (1954)/52
LA CROSSE, WI 56 (1934/1954)/51
RECORD OR NEAR RECORD HIGHS SUNDAY, FEBRUARY 15
(RECORD/FORECAST):
HIGH TEMP
----------------------------------------
ROCHESTER, MN 49 (1931)/53
LA CROSSE, WI 65 (1921)/52
RECORD OR NEAR RECORD HIGHS MONDAY, FEBRUARY 16
(RECORD/FORECAST):
HIGH TEMP
----------------------------------------
ROCHESTER, MN 59 (1931)/57
LA CROSSE, WI 60 (1921/1981)/57
RECORD OR NEAR RECORD WARM LOWS MONDAY, FEBRUARY 16
(RECORD/FORECAST):
WARM LOW TEMP
----------------------------------------
ROCHESTER, MN 35 (1931)/40
LA CROSSE, WI 40 (1981)/40
ARX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
WI...NONE.
MN...NONE.
IA...NONE.
DISCUSSION...BOYNE
AVIATION...BARENDSE
CLIMATE...BOYNE
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