242
FXUS63 KARX 262351
AFDARX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
551 PM CST MON JAN 26 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- LIGHT SNOW RETURNS THIS EVENING TO NORTH CENTRAL WISCONSIN WHERE
AREAS NORTH OF I-94 COULD SEE UP TO A HALF INCH OF SNOW.
- COLD CONDITIONS REMAIN THROUGH THE WEEK AS HIGHS GENERALLY
STAY IN THE SINGLE DIGITS TO LOW TEENS AND LOW TEMPERATURES
MOSTLY STAY IN THE SINGLE DIGITS BELOW ZERO.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 121 PM CST MON JAN 26 2026
TODAY-FRIDAY: COLD CONDITIONS CONTINUE, MOSTLY DRY
NORTHWEST FLOW REMAINS OVER THE UPPER MIDWEST THROUGH FRIDAY AS THE
AREA CONTINUES TO BE UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A LONGWAVE TROUGH. A FEW
SHORTWAVE TROUGHS MOVE THROUGH THE AREA THROUGHOUT THE WEEK, BUT THE
BETTER SNOW CHANCES REMAIN MOSTLY OFF TO OUR NORTH FOR THE EARLY TO
MID WEEK AND TO OUR SOUTH FOR THE LATTER PORTION OF THE WEEK. THERE
IS A WAVE THAT MOVES THROUGH TONIGHT THAT WILL BRING UP TO A 0.5" OF
SNOW FOR LOCATIONS NORTH OF I-94. TEMPERATURES DURING THE WEEK
REMAIN WELL BELOW NORMAL WITH HIGHS IN THE SINGLE DIGITS AND LOW
TEENS WITH LOW TEMPERATURES MAINLY IN THE SINGLE DIGITS BELOW ZERO.
SATURDAY-EARLY NEXT WEEK: SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES
ENSEMBLE CLUSTER ANALYSIS FAVORS THE RIDGE TO SHIFT EAST WHICH WOULD
ALLOW FOR MORE SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES IN THE MID TO UPPER 20S. THIS
SHIFT ALSO MEANS A POTENTIAL SWITCH TO A MORE ACTIVE PERIOD. GEFS
AND EPS MEMBERS SHOW MEASURABLE SNOWFALL A FEW TIMES NEXT WEEK. AS
WE ARE STILL A WEEK AWAY FROM THESE SNOW CHANCES, THERE IS STILL
QUITE A BIT OF UNCERTAINTY REGARDING STORM TRACK AND INTENSITY. THE
MORE CONFIDENT PART OF THE FORECAST THE RETURN TO NEAR NORMAL OR
SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES.
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z WEDNESDAY/
ISSUED AT 541 PM CST MON JAN 26 2026
A SHORT REPRIEVE IN STRONGER SURFACE WIND GUSTS HAS RAISED LLWS
CONCERNS AT KRST WEST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY AS 40-45KT
LLJ COMES TO FRUITION FROM TIGHTENING PRESSURE GRADIENT. EXPECT
INCREASED WINDS TO REACH THE SURFACE AS LOW LEVEL COLD AIR
ADVECTION INCREASES THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT. INCREASED WINDS
LINGER THROUGH TUESDAY.
MVFR CEILINGS ACCOMPANY THE WAVE PROGRESSING SOUTHEAST TONIGHT.
CONFIDENCE IN MVFR CEILINGS LINGERING OR EXITING THROUGH TUESDAY
REMAINS NEBULOUS THEREFORE HAVE LEANED INTO CLIMATOLOGICAL
NORMS.
ARX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
WI...NONE.
MN...NONE.
IA...NONE.
DISCUSSION...CECAVA
AVIATION...JAR
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