716
FXUS63 KARX 040534
AFDARX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
1234 AM CDT SAT APR 4 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- HEAVY RAIN WILL MOVE OUT OF THE AREA OVERNIGHT. THIS RAIN
WILL RESULT IN MINOR FLOODING ALONG THE KICKAPOO RIVER;
BARABOO RIVER AT KENDALL VILLAGE, WI; AND YELLOW RIVER AT
NECEDAH, WI.
- UP TO A QUARTER INCH OF ICE IS EXPECTED OVERNIGHT IN CLARK AND
TAYLOR COUNTIES.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1231 AM CDT SAT APR 4 2026
OVERNIGHT
AS THE COLD FRONT MOVES EAST OVERNIGHT, THE THREAT FOR FLASH
FLOODING WILL COME TO AN END ACROSS NORTHEAST IOWA, SOUTHEAST
MINNESOTA, AND SOUTHWEST WISCONSIN. THIS SHOULD MOVE SOUTHEAST
MINNESOTA AND NORTHEAST IOWA BY 1 AM AND IN SOUTHWEST AND
CENTRAL WISCONSIN BY 4 AM.
MEANWHILE, FURTHER NORTH IN NORTH-CENTRAL WISCONSIN, FREEZING RAIN
WILL GRADUALLY END BETWEEN 6 AM AND 8 AM. UP TO A QUARTER INCH OF
ADDITIONAL ICE WILL BE POSSIBLE IN EASTERN TAYLOR COUNTY AND UP TO 2
TENTHS OF AN INCH IN CLARK COUNTY. AS A RESULT, NO CHANGES ARE
LIKELY NEEDED FOR THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN THESE COUNTIES.
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING
THE SURFACE LOW WILL MOVE NORTHEAST ACROSS ONTARIO THIS AFTERNOON
AND INTO QUEBEC THIS EVENING. WRAP-AROUND PRECIPITATION, ASSOCIATED
WITH THE DEFORMATION BAND, WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS NORTH-CENTRAL
WISCONSIN. ELSEWHERE, THE COMBINATION OF STEEP 950-850 MB LAPSE RATE
AND SURFACE-BASED CAPES UP TO 50 J/KG WILL RESULT IN SCATTERED
RAIN/SNOW SHOWERS. THERE MIGHT BE SOME GRAUPEL AT TIMES WITH SOME OF
THE STRONGER SHOWERS. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL RANGE FROM THE UPPER
30S TO AROUND 50.
EASTER SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND SUNDAY EVENING
A SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE REGION DURING THE
AFTERNOON OF EASTER SUNDAY AND SUNDAY EVENING. STEEP 950-900 MB
LAPSE RATES WILL RESULT IN ANOTHER ROUND OF SCATTERED RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS. ACCUMULATIONS WILL ON THE LIGHT SIDE. HIGH TEMPERATURES
WILL RANGE FROM THE LOWER 40S TO LOWER 50S.
TUESDAY NIGHT INTO NEXT WEEKEND
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST INTO THE REGION ON TUESDAY NIGHT
AND WEDNESDAY. THIS FRONT WILL THEN BECOME SEMI-STATIONARY FOR THE
REMAINDER OF THE WEEK. AS LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS MOVES ALONG THIS
FRONT, THERE WILL BE PERIODIC SHOWERS AND STORMS. HIGH TEMPERATURES
WILL BE PRIMARILY IN THE 50S.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SUNDAY/
ISSUED AT 1231 AM CDT SAT APR 4 2026
SHOWERS WILL MOVE OUT THE TAF SITES BETWEEN 04.09Z AND 04.11Z.
OTHERWISE, IFR/MVFR CEILINGS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE TAF
FORECAST PERIOD.
HYDROLOGY
ISSUED AT 1231 AM CDT SAT APR 4 2026
HEAVY RAIN FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON INTO FRIDAY NIGHT HAS RESULTED
IN RISES ON AREA RIVERS. MINOR FLOODING IS EXPECTED ALONG THE
KICKAPOO RIVER; BARABOO RIVER AT KENDALL VILLAGE, WI; AND YELLOW
RIVER AT NECEDAH, WI.
ARX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
WI...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM CDT THIS MORNING FOR WIZ017-
029.
MN...NONE.
IA...NONE.
DISCUSSION...BOYNE
AVIATION...BOYNE
HYDROLOGY...BOYNE
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