667
FXUS63 KFGF 140245
AFDFGF
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND
945 PM CDT SAT JUN 13 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY MONDAY. A FEW STORMS
COULD BECOME STRONG, WITH THE PRIMARY HAZARDS BEING LIGHTNING
AND SMALL HAIL.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 222 PM CDT SAT JUN 13 2026
..SYNOPSIS
A PERSISTENT AND STRONG UPPER LOW IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN PLACE
OVER THE HUDSON BAY REGION THROUGH MUCH OF NEXT WEEK. OCCASIONAL
SHORTWAVES TRAVERSE THE UPPER FLOW INTO THE NORTHERN PLAINS, WITH
CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS NEARLY EACH DAY NEXT WEEK.
ENSEMBLE GUIDANCE SHOWS PATTERN CONFIDENCE; HOWEVER, TIMING IS LESS
CERTAIN DUE TO SHORTWAVE SPEED AND STRENGTH. AT THIS TIME, THE BEST
CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION WILL BE MONDAY AND WEDNESDAY, BUT THERE
ARE LOWER CHANCES NEARLY EACH DAY. LOOKING INTO MONDAY, THERE IS A
CHANCE THAT A FEW STORMS COULD BECOME STRONG AS THERE WILL BE ENOUGH
MUCAPE IN THE PRESENCE OF STRONG LAPSE RATES TO ALLOW A MENTION OF
SMALL HAIL.
AVIATION /03Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z MONDAY/
ISSUED AT 945 PM CDT SAT JUN 13 2026
SKIES ARE MOSTLY VFR NOW WITH ONLY BRIEF DROPS BACK BELOW MVFR
THRESHOLDS NOTED IN FAR, BJI, AND TVF IN THE LAST HOUR
(9PM-10PM). SKIES WILL CONTINUE TO CLEAR FROM THE NW TONIGHT
WITH WIND ALREADY UNDER 10KTS FOR ALL SITES. LOOK FOR WINDS TO
CLIMB ABOVE 12KTS BY 13-15Z FOR ALL SITES SUNDAY MORNING WITH
PEAK AFTERNOON GUSTS IN THE 25KT RANGE. WIND DROP OFF AFTER
01-02Z WITH A LOW CHANCE DURING THE FOR AN OCCASIONAL GUST TO
30KTS BUT NOT LONG ENOUGH TO PREVAIL FOR A GIVEN HOUR MOST
LIKELY.
FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
ND...NONE.
MN...NONE.
DISCUSSION...LYNCH
AVIATION...TT
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