859  
FNUS73 KEAX 141430  
FWSEAX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR PAWNEE RX SW...TNC  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO  
930 AM CDT WED AUG 14 2019  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON AUGUST 14.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT 1-800-438-0596, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
THE ONLY POTENTIAL ISSUE TO DAY FOR ANY TYPE OF FIRE WEATHER WILL  
BE SLIGHTLY HIGHER WINDS WITH SUSTAINED NW WINDS OF 10-15MPH WITH  
GUSTS UP TO 25MPH AT TIMES. RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL REMAIN  
ABOVE 50 PERCENT WITH FUELS MOSTLY STILL GREEN WHICH WILL LIMIT  
ANY SIGNIFICANT FIRE WEATHER THREAT TODAY.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).  
CWR.................1 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78.  
MIN HUMIDITY........56 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 11 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 14 TO 21 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 6 OR LOW TO HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (CDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........14 26 32 34 36 38 39  
WEATHER COV.....M M M M M M M  
WEATHER TYPE....M M M M M M M  
TSTM COV........M M M M M M M  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............72 74 76 77 77 78 77  
RH..............68 64 60 58 58 56 58  
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..8 9 10 11 11 10 10  
20 FT WIND GUST.11 13 14 14 16 14 14  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.1 2.7 3.1 3.6 3.9 4.0 3.8  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW NW NW NW NW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.21 20 18 17 16 15 14  
HAINES INDEX....5 5 6 6 6 4 4  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PERCENT).  
CWR.................1 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.  
MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......0 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 12 TO 14 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE  
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........40 41 33 18 10 11 12 12 17 25 29 33  
WEATHER COV.....M M M M M M M M M M  
WEATHER TYPE....M M M M M M M M M M  
TSTM COV........M M M M M M M M M M  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............77 76 73 71 68 67 65 64 63 62 61 61  
RH..............58 60 66 71 78 81 84 87 87 90 90 90  
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW N N N N N N NW NW N  
20 FT WIND SPD..8 7 6 5 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 8  
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.4 1.8 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW NW N NW NW NW NW NW NW NW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 14 14 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 12 12  
HAINES INDEX....4 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4  
   
THURSDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................1 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81.  
MIN HUMIDITY........60 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 3 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST 2  
TO 10 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.  
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 6 OR VERY LOW TO HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE  
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........42 46 46 46 46 52 63 69 69 71 71 69  
WEATHER COV..... CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............60 60 64 67 71 73 75 77 78 78 79 78  
RH..............93 93 84 81 73 68 64 60 60 60 60 62  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N NW SW S S SW SW SW S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 2 3 4 4 4 4 4 4  
20 FT WIND GUST.  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.1 0.1 0.5 1.1 1.7 2.5 3.1 3.4 3.1 2.4 1.6 1.2  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N NE E SE E NE N NE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 10 8 6 3 2 2 3 6 8 9 10  
HAINES INDEX....4 5 5 5 6 6 6 4 4 4 3 3  
 

 
FORECASTER...BARHAM  
REQUESTED BY...TOM FIELDEN  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 1913798.0/EAX  
.DELDT 08/14/19  
.FORMATTERVERSION 1.0.26  
.EMAIL THOMAS.FIELDEN@TNC.ORG  
 
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