442
FNUS73 KEAX 261607
FWSEAX
SPOT FORECAST FOR SAV 8...MISSOURI DEPARTMENT OF CONSERVATION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
1107 AM CDT FRI APR 26 2019
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 CDT ON APRIL 26.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT 1-800-438-0596, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.
DISCUSSION
COMPLICATING FACTOR FOR ANY FIRES TODAY WILL BE THE WIND. EXPECT
PREVAILING WINDS TO BE FROM THE NORTHWEST TILL MID AFTERNOON WHEN
THEY WILL START TO ADJUST AHEAD OF THE WEAK LITTLE SYSTEM THAT
WILL BRING A CHANCE OF RAIN TO THE REGION SATURDAY MORNING.
AS A RESULT, EXPECT THE MID TO LATE AFTERNOON WIND DIRECTION WILL
BECOME A BIT VARIABLE AS WIND SPEEDS FALL TO AROUND 5 KNOTS,
WHICH WILL ALSO BE WHEN HUMIDITY VALUES HAVE DROPPED TO THERE
LOWEST.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.
MIN HUMIDITY........29 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON
BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 14 TO 21 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 10
MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
TIME (CDT) 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........8 9 14 19 24 29
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............62 63 64 65 66 66
RH..............32 31 30 30 29 32
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW W
20 FT WIND SPD..10 9 8 7 6 4
20 FT WIND GUST.14 12 10 8
MIX HGT (KFT)...4.3 4.5 4.4 4.0 3.6 3.2
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW NW NW NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.21 18 17 16 14 10
HAINES INDEX....4 5 5 5 4 4
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS AFTER 3 AM.
CWR.................1 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51.
MAX HUMIDITY........74 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 13 MPH WITH
GUSTS TO AROUND 21 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 12 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTH 28 TO
33 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR VERY LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR
LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........33 38 43 48 53 58 63 67 71 75 79 83
WEATHER COV..... CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............66 64 62 59 56 55 54 54 54 53 53 52
RH..............33 38 41 45 53 53 54 54 54 57 57 63
20 FT WIND DIR..SW S S E E E E E E SE SE SE
20 FT WIND SPD..2 0 1 3 5 6 7 8 10 12 13 12
20 FT WIND GUST. 10 13 17 19 21
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.8 2.2 1.5 0.7 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W SW S S S S S S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 5 5 6 8 12 15 20 22 24 28 33
HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 5 5 5 3 3 3 3 3
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS IN THE MORNING.
CWR.................4 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 67.
MIN HUMIDITY........44 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTHWEST WINDS 12 TO 21 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
AROUND 30 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 36 TO 43 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
NORTHWEST 31 TO 38 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 5 OR VERY LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR
LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........86 90 83 76 68 61 54 47 46 46 46 46
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............51 51 53 56 60 63 66 67 67 65 63 59
RH..............68 74 74 72 67 62 58 59 52 50 50 51
20 FT WIND DIR..SE S S S S SW SW W W W NW NW
20 FT WIND SPD..12 12 13 15 16 16 17 17 18 20 21 20
20 FT WIND GUST.21 21 22 22 23 23 23 24 26 29 30 29
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.1 0.1 0.8 1.6 2.5 3.2 3.8 4.2 4.3 4.2 4.0 3.7
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S SW SW SW W W W W NW NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.39 43 41 39 36 33 31 31 33 36 38 37
HAINES INDEX....3 5 5 5 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
FORECASTER...CUTTER
REQUESTED BY...JONATHAN MCCULLEY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1907476.0/EAX
.DELDT 04/26/19
.FORMATTERVERSION 1.0.26
.EMAIL JONATHAN.MCCULLEY@MDC.MO.GOV
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