093  
FNUS73 KEAX 010756  
FWSEAX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR POOSEY CA FIELD 9B...MISSOURI DEPT. OF CONSERVATION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO  
256 AM CDT WED AUG 1 2018  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 CDT ON AUGUST 01.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT 1-800-438-0596, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
WINDS WILL BE LIGHT THIS MORNING DUE TO HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE  
AREA. AS THAT HIGH PRESSURE AREA MOVES SOUTH THROUGH THE DAY,  
WINDS WILL TREND MORE SOUTHWESTERLY TO WESTERLY, BUT REMAIN LIGHT  
WITH SPEEDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH EXPECTED. WINDS MAY WEAKEN  
AND TREND TO THE SOUTHWEST TO SOUTH DURING THE EVENING AND  
OVERNIGHT HOURS WITH A TREND BACK TO THE WEST INTO THURSDAY.  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).  
CWR.................1 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 88.  
MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......0 FT AGL INCREASING TO 9400-10100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 6 TO 9 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR  
LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (CDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........0 0 0 7 9 14 24 29 26  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............72 77 79 82 84 85 86 87 86  
RH..............68 60 54 47 43 40 37 35 37  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 4 5 6 6 6 5 5  
20 FT WIND GUST. 4  
MIX HGT (KFT)...5.3 7.3 8.6 9.4 9.8 10 10 9.8 9.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 7 8 8 8 9 9 9 8  
HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
CWR.................1 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.  
MAX HUMIDITY........84 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE  
EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE  
MORNING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......7200-8600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 8 TO 17 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........19 16 13 6 1 5 13 19 21 23 23 21  
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW  
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............85 85 81 77 74 72 70 68 67 65 64 64  
RH..............40 41 47 54 59 64 66 70 73 78 84 84  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW S S SW SW SW SW SW W  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 3  
20 FT WIND GUST. 4  
MIX HGT (KFT)...8.6 7.2 4.8 2.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 8 8 8 8 10 13 14 16 17 17 17  
HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4  
   
THURSDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
CWR.................1 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 91.  
MIN HUMIDITY........34 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN  
THE AFTERNOON, THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 12600-14100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 8 TO 17 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........16 26 25 24 24 24 25 25 25 24 23 22  
WEATHER COV.....SCH  
WEATHER TYPE....RW  
TSTM COV........SCH  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............64 64 68 72 78 81 84 87 89 90 91 91  
RH..............84 84 76 68 58 53 48 42 38 35 34 34  
20 FT WIND DIR..W NW NW W W W W W W W W SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 3 3 4 4 5 5 4 4 4  
20 FT WIND GUST.  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.1 0.1 0.2 0.9 2.5 5.9 9.8 13 14 14 13 13  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.17 17 16 16 16 15 14 12 10 9 8 8  
HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4  
 

 
FORECASTER...BOWMAN  
REQUESTED BY...JONATHAN MCCULLEY  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 1813758.0/EAX  
.DELDT 08/01/18  
.EMAIL JONATHAN.MCCULLEY@MDC.MO.GOV  
 
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