941  
FNUS73 KEAX 141344  
FWSEAX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR LANDOWNER BURN WORKSHOP...MISSOURI DEPARTMENT OF CONSERVATION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO  
844 AM CDT WED OCT 14 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 CDT ON OCTOBER 15.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT 1-800-438-0596, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL TRACK ACROSS THE  
AREA ON THURSDAY LEADING TO POOR BURNING CONDITIONS. WINDS WILL  
INITIALLY BE SOUTHEASTERLY AT 10-15MPH, THEN WILL VEER TO WESTERLY  
BY LATE AFTERNOON AFTER A COLD FRONT PASSES.  
   
THURSDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). SHOWERS EARLY IN THE  
MORNING. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE  
DAY. SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................81 PERCENT DECREASING TO 54 PERCENT LATE IN THE  
MORNING, THEN DECREASING TO 32 PERCENT EARLY IN  
THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 29 PERCENT LATE IN  
THE AFTERNOON INCREASING TO 33 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.  
MIN HUMIDITY........83 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
WEST LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC  
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE  
MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR  
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY  
AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 13  
TO 14 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (CDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........92 88 91 90 83 92 92 90 87 90  
WEATHER COV.....DEF CHC CHC LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC  
CWR.............80 50 50 50 30 20 20 20 30 30  
TEMP............62 63 66 68 70 70 71 72 71 70  
RH..............99 100 100 97 89 92 90 85 84 83  
20 FT WIND DIR..E SE SE S S S SW W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 7 8 8 8 9 10 12 12  
20 FT WIND GUST.13 13 13 14 14 14 15 17 18 20  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.9 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.7 2.2 2.3 1.7 2.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE S S S S SW W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 12 12 12 12 13 13 14 14 13  
   
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS  
LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE  
EVENING, THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN  
THE EVENING.  
CWR.................33 PERCENT DECREASING TO 7 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45.  
MAX HUMIDITY........97 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 14 TO 20 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC  
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE  
EVENING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 14 TO 17 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 17  
TO 23 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........93 91 100 95 90 86 83 79 70 62 53 46  
WEATHER COV.....LKY SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........CHC  
CWR.............30 10 10 10 10 10 10 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............68 64 61 59 57 56 55 54 52 50 48 47  
RH..............84 93 97 96 93 90 90 86 83 79 79 76  
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..14 16 17 18 18 17 17 16 17 18 20 20  
20 FT WIND GUST.22 22 25 26 26 26 25 25 26 29 30 30  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.2 1.8 1.3 1.6 2.1 1.9 1.3 0.8 0.7 0.8 1.0 0.8  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W NW NW N N N NW NW NW NW NW NW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.14 17 17 20 23 23 22 21 22 22 23 22  
   
FRIDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56.  
MIN HUMIDITY........56 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 17 TO 23 MPH WITH GUSTS TO  
AROUND 35 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 20 TO 25 MPH.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........39 32 37 41 46 47 48 49 45 42 38 38  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............46 45 47 48 49 51 53 54 55 55 56 54  
RH..............76 78 78 77 77 72 67 63 60 59 56 59  
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW N N N N N N  
20 FT WIND SPD..20 20 21 22 23 23 22 21 21 21 20 17  
20 FT WIND GUST.31 31 32 33 35 33 32 31 31 30 29 26  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 0.9 2.0 3.3 4.4 4.9 5.0 4.9 5.1 5.1 4.9 4.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW N N N N N N N N N  
TRANSP WIND SPD.21 21 22 24 25 25 25 25 24 23 22 20  
 

 
FORECASTER...WFO EAX  
REQUESTED BY...ETHAN BAKER  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2623759.0/EAX  
.DELDT 10/14/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL ETHAN.BAKER@MDC.MO.GOV  
 
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