744  
FNUS73 KEAX 092313  
FWSEAX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR TURKEY FOOT PRAIRIE...CITZENS FOR ENVIRONMENTAL ACTION (CEA)  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO  
513 PM CST MON DEC 9 2019  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1800 CST ON DECEMBER 09.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT 1-800-438-0596, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
GUSTY WINDS UP TO 25 MPH WILL CONTINUE UNTIL 9 TO 10 PM MONDAY  
EVENING OUT OF THE NORTHWEST, WITH SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 15 MPH.  
SURFACE WINDS WILL BECOME WESTERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY OVERNIGHT, AND  
WILL DECREASE TO 5 TO 8 MPH. GUSTY WINDS UP TO 20 TO 25 MPH WILL  
RESUME TUESDAY MORNING BY 10 AM AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON  
OUT OF THE NORTHWEST. MIXING HEIGHTS WILL INCREASE TO NEAR 2,500  
FEET BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON.  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT).  
CWR.................1 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........30 AT IGNITION...MIN 20.  
RH..................51 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MAX 68 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......WINDS NORTHWEST AT 12 MPH AT  
IGNITION...OTHERWISE WEST WINDS 5 TO 12 MPH  
WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH IN THE EVENING AND  
OVERNIGHT BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 20 TO 28 MPH DECREASING TO 16 TO 17  
MPH AFTER 3 AM.  
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4.  
 
TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........35 38 33 35 42 54 47 54 57 61 52 50  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............30 28 27 27 26 25 25 24 24 24 24 23  
RH..............51 55 55 53 55 57 57 60 60 60 62 65  
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW W W W SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..12 11 10 9 8 7 6 6 5 4 4 4  
20 FT WIND GUST.20 18 17 16 14 12 11 10 6 6 6 6  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 0.9 1.0 1.2 1.3 1.3 1.2 1.0 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.2  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.28 26 24 23 22 22 21 20 20 20 17 16  
HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 3 3 3  
   
TUESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).  
CWR.................1 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 38.  
RH..................MIN 40 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH EARLY  
IN THE MORNING, THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 13 TO 16 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR VERY LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR  
LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........28 31 37 16 22 10 14 8 5 2 2 6  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............23 23 24 27 30 33 34 36 36 37 35 32  
RH..............68 68 68 63 58 53 49 45 43 40 41 47  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..4 4 5 6 6 6 7 7 7 6 6 4  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 6 8 8 10 10 10 10 10 8 6  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.2 0.2 0.3 0.7 1.5 2.3 3.0 3.2 3.1 2.7 1.9 0.9  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.15 15 16 16 15 14 13 13 13 14 14 14  
HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 5  
   
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
CLEAR (0-5 PERCENT).  
CWR.................1 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 23.  
RH..................MAX 71 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH EARLY  
IN THE MORNING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......0 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 17 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 20 MPH  
AFTER 3 AM.  
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE  
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........18 57 58 46 19 18 20 14 7 0 2 3  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............29 28 27 26 26 24 24 24 24 24 24 25  
RH..............51 53 55 57 57 60 62 62 65 65 68 68  
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW N NW NW SE SE S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 2 2 2 1 1 2 2 3 4 4 5  
20 FT WIND GUST. 2 2 4 5 6  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW NW W W W W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 13 12 10 10 10 10 13 15 17 20 20  
HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4  
 

 
FORECASTER...WELSH  
REQUESTED BY...CHRIS EDMONDSON  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 1919895.2/EAX  
.DELDT 12/09/19  
.FORMATTERVERSION 1.0.26  
.EMAIL EDMONDSON.CHRISTINA@GMAIL.COM  
 
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