442  
FNUS73 KEAX 261607  
FWSEAX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR SAV 8...MISSOURI DEPARTMENT OF CONSERVATION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO  
1107 AM CDT FRI APR 26 2019  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 CDT ON APRIL 26.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT 1-800-438-0596, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
COMPLICATING FACTOR FOR ANY FIRES TODAY WILL BE THE WIND. EXPECT  
PREVAILING WINDS TO BE FROM THE NORTHWEST TILL MID AFTERNOON WHEN  
THEY WILL START TO ADJUST AHEAD OF THE WEAK LITTLE SYSTEM THAT  
WILL BRING A CHANCE OF RAIN TO THE REGION SATURDAY MORNING.  
AS A RESULT, EXPECT THE MID TO LATE AFTERNOON WIND DIRECTION WILL  
BECOME A BIT VARIABLE AS WIND SPEEDS FALL TO AROUND 5 KNOTS,  
WHICH WILL ALSO BE WHEN HUMIDITY VALUES HAVE DROPPED TO THERE  
LOWEST.  
 
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.  
MIN HUMIDITY........29 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON  
BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 14 TO 21 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 10  
MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE  
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (CDT) 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........8 9 14 19 24 29  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............62 63 64 65 66 66  
RH..............32 31 30 30 29 32  
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW W  
20 FT WIND SPD..10 9 8 7 6 4  
20 FT WIND GUST.14 12 10 8  
MIX HGT (KFT)...4.3 4.5 4.4 4.0 3.6 3.2  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW NW NW NW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.21 18 17 16 14 10  
HAINES INDEX....4 5 5 5 4 4  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS AFTER 3 AM.  
CWR.................1 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51.  
MAX HUMIDITY........74 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 13 MPH WITH  
GUSTS TO AROUND 21 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND  
OVERNIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......0 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 12 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTH 28 TO  
33 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR VERY LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR  
LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........33 38 43 48 53 58 63 67 71 75 79 83  
WEATHER COV..... CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............66 64 62 59 56 55 54 54 54 53 53 52  
RH..............33 38 41 45 53 53 54 54 54 57 57 63  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW S S E E E E E E SE SE SE  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 0 1 3 5 6 7 8 10 12 13 12  
20 FT WIND GUST. 10 13 17 19 21  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.8 2.2 1.5 0.7 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W SW S S S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 5 5 6 8 12 15 20 22 24 28 33  
HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 5 5 5 3 3 3 3 3  
   
SATURDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS IN THE MORNING.  
CWR.................4 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 67.  
MIN HUMIDITY........44 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTHWEST WINDS 12 TO 21 MPH WITH GUSTS TO  
AROUND 30 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 36 TO 43 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
NORTHWEST 31 TO 38 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.  
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 5 OR VERY LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR  
LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........86 90 83 76 68 61 54 47 46 46 46 46  
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............51 51 53 56 60 63 66 67 67 65 63 59  
RH..............68 74 74 72 67 62 58 59 52 50 50 51  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE S S S S SW SW W W W NW NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..12 12 13 15 16 16 17 17 18 20 21 20  
20 FT WIND GUST.21 21 22 22 23 23 23 24 26 29 30 29  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.1 0.1 0.8 1.6 2.5 3.2 3.8 4.2 4.3 4.2 4.0 3.7  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S SW SW SW W W W W NW NW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.39 43 41 39 36 33 31 31 33 36 38 37  
HAINES INDEX....3 5 5 5 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
 

 
FORECASTER...CUTTER  
REQUESTED BY...JONATHAN MCCULLEY  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 1907476.0/EAX  
.DELDT 04/26/19  
.FORMATTERVERSION 1.0.26  
.EMAIL JONATHAN.MCCULLEY@MDC.MO.GOV  
 
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