320  
FNUS73 KEAX 231158  
FWSEAX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR HEY 159 N...USFWS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO  
658 AM CDT SAT MAR 23 2019  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 CDT ON MARCH 23.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT 1-800-438-0596, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
EXPECT THIS MORNINGS SOUTHEAST WINDS TO INCREASE IN SPEED AND GET  
A BIT GUSTY BY LATE THIS MORNING. MIXING HIEGHTS WILL LIKELY DROP  
LATER IN THE DAY AS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS INCREASE IN  
COVERAGE. EXPECT A WETTING RAIN THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS  
IN THE MORNING, THEN RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY LATE  
IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN SHOWERS LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................5 PERCENT INCREASING TO 100 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56.  
MIN HUMIDITY........61 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 17 TO 25 MPH INCREASING TO 28 TO 29 MPH  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE  
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (CDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........80 85 90 92 94 96 98 99 99 100 100  
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY DEF  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 10 30 30 30 40 50  
TEMP............43 43 42 45 48 50 52 54 55 56 56  
RH..............67 67 73 70 68 66 63 63 61 64 66  
20 FT WIND DIR..E E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE  
20 FT WIND SPD..8 9 9 9 10 10 11 12 13 13 13  
20 FT WIND GUST.12 13 13 13 14 14 17 18 20 20 20  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.0 1.3 1.1 0.7 0.4 0.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.17 20 22 23 24 23 23 25 28 29 29  
HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 3  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS IN THE  
EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. RAIN SHOWERS  
LIKELY AFTER 3 AM.  
CWR.................50 PERCENT DECREASING TO 27 PERCENT AFTER 3 AM.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 46.  
MAX HUMIDITY........96 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 18  
MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR  
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 22 TO 31 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 20  
MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 98  
WEATHER COV.....DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF LKY LKY  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
CWR.............50 50 50 50 50 50 50 40 40 40 30 30  
TEMP............56 55 53 51 52 51 51 50 51 51 50 49  
RH..............71 74 80 86 93 96 93 93 89 89 86 89  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..12 12 12 12 12 12 12 11 10 9 8 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.18 18 18 18 18 18 18 17 14 13 11 10  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.28 28 29 30 31 30 29 28 25 24 22 20  
HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3  
   
SUNDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY  
EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
RAIN SHOWERS.  
CWR.................27 PERCENT DECREASING TO 1 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.  
MIN HUMIDITY........72 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 15 TO 18 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........94 89 89 91 91 90 87 85 86 87 87 88  
WEATHER COV.....LKY SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............30 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............47 46 46 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 55  
RH..............89 93 96 89 89 86 86 83 80 77 74 72  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW W W W NW NW NW NW NW NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..7 6 6 6 6 7 8 9 9 8 8 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 7 7 7 7 10 11 13 13 11 11 11  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.2 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.5 1.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W NW NW NW NW NW NW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.18 16 16 16 16 16 15 15 15 15 16 17  
HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3  
 

 
FORECASTER...CUTTER  
REQUESTED BY...SAM VANOURNEY  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 1904277.0/EAX  
.DELDT 03/23/19  
.FORMATTERVERSION 1.0.26  
.EMAIL SAM_VANOURNEY@FWS.GOV  
 
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.

The Nexlab MO Page
The Nexlab KS Page Main Text Page