264  
FNUS73 KSGF 231139  
FWSSGF  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR BUSIEK PURPLE TRAIL BURN UNIT...MO DEPT OF CONSERVATION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO  
539 AM CST FRI JAN 23 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0000 CST ON JANUARY 23.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT 1-800-762-4363, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
TODAY WILL START OUT BREEZY WITH NORTHEASTERLY WINDS GUSTING  
UP TO 25 MPH. THERE WILL BE ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS  
TODAY AHEAD OF OUR SNOW STORM DUE TO DRY AIR AND GUSTY WINDS.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL BE IN THE 20-30% RANGE THIS  
AFTERNOON WITH 20FT WINDS DIMINISHING JUST A BIT AND GUSTING UP  
TO 22 MPH. SNOW CHANCES HOLD OFF UNTIL LATER TONIGHT.  
   
TODAY
 
 
TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........24 38 43 62 62 68 68 64 56 60 64 64  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10  
TEMP............21 20 19 20 23 25 24 24 24 23 22 21  
RH..............65 62 59 54 43 38 38 36 33 33 32 32  
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE  
20 FT WIND SPD..13 13 13 13 13 13 13 14 14 13 12 12  
20 FT WIND GUST.23 23 23 23 24 23 23 23 24 23 22 22  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.3 1.5 2.0 1.9 2.3 2.5 2.5 2.6 2.7 2.6 2.6 2.6  
MIX HGT (KM)....0.4 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE E  
TRANSP WIND SPD.21 22 24 23 21 21 21 20 20 20 20 20  
TRANS WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE E  
TRANS SPD (M/S).9 10 11 10 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9  
HAINES INDEX....M M M M M M M M M M M M  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..23 29 41 39 41 45 46 45 46 45 45 44  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR FR PR FR FR FR FR FR FR FR FR  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........47 72 80 89 88 90 96 95 95 95 95 94  
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY DEF DEF DEF  
WEATHER TYPE....SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 30 30 40 50 60 70 90 90 90  
TEMP............18 17 15 14 14 13 11 10 9 8 7 6  
RH..............33 31 33 33 31 34 37 45 57 66 72 79  
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE NE E E E E NE NE NE  
20 FT WIND SPD..12 12 10 10 10 10 9 9 9 9 9 9  
20 FT WIND GUST.22 21 21 21 20 20 20 18 18 18 18 18  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.5 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.2 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.0 2.0 1.9  
MIX HGT (KM)....0.8 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E E E E E E E E E  
TRANSP WIND SPD.20 21 21 20 20 18 18 18 20 20 20 20  
TRANS WIND DIR..E E E E E E E E E E E E  
TRANS SPD (M/S).9 9 9 9 9 8 8 8 9 9 9 9  
HAINES INDEX....M M M M M M M M M M M M  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..43 42 41 39 38 35 34 34 35 35 34 33  
VENTRATE CAT....FR FR FR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
SATURDAY
 
 
TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........95 96 95 94 94 94 94 94 93 93 92 90  
WEATHER COV.....DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF  
WEATHER TYPE....SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).90 90 90 90 90 90 80 80 80 80 80 80  
TEMP............5 4 4 7 7 9 11 13 13 14 14 13  
RH..............83 87 87 87 91 87 83 80 84 80 80 80  
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE  
20 FT WIND SPD..9 9 9 8 8 7 7 7 7 7 7 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.18 18 17 16 16 16 16 16 15 15 15 15  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.8 1.6 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.8 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.8  
MIX HGT (KM)....0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E E E E E E E NE NE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.18 20 20 18 16 15 15 14 12 10 12 13  
TRANS WIND DIR..E E E E E E E E E E NE NE  
TRANS SPD (M/S).8 9 9 8 7 7 7 6 5 4 5 6  
HAINES INDEX....M M M M M M M M M M M M  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..28 28 29 26 23 23 25 23 19 17 19 20  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
 

 
FORECASTER...SORIA  
REQUESTED BY...DISTRICT SUPERVISOR  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2600811.0/SGF  
.DELDT 01/21/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL PAUL.JOHNSON@MDC.MO.GOV  
 
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