994
FXUS63 KEAX 211009
AFDEAX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
509 AM CDT SUN OCT 21 2018
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 321 AM CDT SUN OCT 21 2018
NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO THE FORECAST. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE HAS
SETTLED OVER THE CENTRAL US PROVIDING CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS
WHICH WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO DROP NEAR 30F FOR MANY AREAS AND
EVEN UPPER 20S FOR NORTH CENTRAL MISSOURI. AS THE HIGH SLIDES
EASTWARD WINDS WILL EVENTUALLY SHIFT FROM THE SOUTH DURING THE DAY
ON SUNDAY AND INTO MONDAY PROVIDING ENOUGH WAA TO RAISE
TEMPERATURES A FEW DEGREES.
BY MONDAY EVENING INTO TUESDAY MORNING, A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL PUSH
THROUGH THE AREA. HOWEVER, WITH VERY LIMITED MOISTURE, A SLIGHT
INCREASE IN CLOUDS AND WINDS SHIFTING FROM THE NORTH WILL BE THE
ONLY RESULTS. PRECIP CHANCES FOR WEDNESDAY EVENING STILL LOOK
LIMITED. UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT IS FAIRLY UNIMPRESSIVE AND WHILE THE
GFS AND ECMWF AGREE ON A CHANCE OF LIGHT PRECIP, THEY VARY ON
TIMING AND LOCATION. THAT SAID, CLOUDS WILL INCREASE ON WEDNESDAY
INTO THURSDAY, BUT ANY PRECIP THAT FALLS WILL BE LIGHT AND SHORT
LIVED. THE EARLY PART OF THE WEEKEND STILL LOOK LIKE THE BEST
CHANCE FOR ANY MEANINGFUL PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE CWA.
AVIATION
(FOR THE 12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z MONDAY MORNING)
ISSUED AT 509 AM CDT SUN OCT 21 2018
EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST. HOWEVER, BY LATE
EVENING INTO TOMORROW MORNING, LOW LEVEL WINDS SHEAR CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE AT ALL TAF LOCATIONS. OTHERWISE, ANTICIPATE SE WINDS NEAR
8KTS THIS MORNING, INCREASING TO 10-15KTS FROM THE SW BY
AFTERNOON.
EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
KS...NONE.
MO...NONE.
DISCUSSION...CUTTER/OTTO
AVIATION...LAFLIN/OTTO
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