145
FXUS63 KEAX 312314
AFDEAX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
514 PM CST WED DEC 31 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- DRY CONDITIONS WITH NEAR TO/ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES EXPECTED THE
NEXT 7 DAYS WITH NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER EXPECTED.
- WARMING TREND ANTICIPATED FOR THE START OF NEXT WEEK.
- PRECIP CHANCES ARRIVE NEXT THURSDAY
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1253 PM CST WED DEC 31 2025
THE LAST DAY OF 2025 WILL BE A QUIET ONE WITH HIGHS IN THE LOW 40S
TO LOW 50S. MID TO UPPER LEVEL RIDGING REMAINS OVER THE WESTERN U.S.
AT THE SURFACE, WESTERLY/SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW COUPLED WITH CLEARING
SKIES WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO BE A FEW DEGREES WARMER THAN
YESTERDAY. THIS EVENING INTO THE NIGHTTIME HOURS, A H500 CLOSED LOW
DESCENDING INTO THE NORTHERN GREAT LAKES REGION WILL PUSH A DRY COLD
FRONT THROUGH THE AREA DURING THE PRE-DAWN HOURS OF THURSDAY. WINDS
REORIENT OUT OF THE NORTH AS A TRANSIENT SURFACE HIGH SINKS INTO THE
LOWER 48 VIA ND INTO MN. THIS WILL RESULT IN A BRIEF COOL DOWN FOR
TOMORROW WITH HIGHS RANGING FROM THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. AS THE
SURFACE HIGH MOVES TO THE NORTH OF OUR AREA BY THURSDAY EVENING, WE
LOSE NORTHERLY WINDFLOW AS WINDS SHIFT TO THE EAST.
FOR FRIDAY AND SATURDAY, CONDITIONS MOSTLY REMAIN NEAR SEASONAL
AVERAGES AS A MID TO UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE PUSHES A SURFACE LOW
THROUGH THE ARK-LA-TEX AREA. HIGHS RANGE FROM THE MID 30S TO UPPER
40S. PRECIP CHANCES REMAIN WELL TO THE SOUTH OF THE AREA CONTINUING
OUR DRY SPELL. GOING INTO THE SECOND HALF OF THE WEEKEND, THE
PREVIOUSLY-MENTIONED MID TO UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL SLIDE EAST
ENTERING THE GREAT PLAINS REGION. AT THE SURFACE, A LOW EMERGING OUT
OF THE FRONT RANGE WILL RETURN SOUTHERLY WINDS. HIGHER HEIGHTS
COUPLED WITH SOUTHERLY WINDFLOW WILL BE THE CATALYSTS FOR WARMER
CONDITIONS THAT LINGER FOR THE FIRST HALF OF NEXT WEEK. EXPECT HIGHS
TO RANGE FROM THE LOW 40S TO LOW 60S WITH MONDAY BEING THE WARMEST
DAY. AS FAR AS PRECIP, CONDITIONS REMAIN DRY FOR THE FIRST HALF OF
NEXT WEEK. PRECIP CHANCES ARRIVE NEXT THURSDAY WITH A CLOSED H500
LOW PUSHING A SURFACE COLD FRONT THROUGH THE AREA.
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z THURSDAY/
ISSUED AT 512 PM CST WED DEC 31 2025
BACKDOOR COLD FRONT DROPPING INTO THE REGION THIS EVENING. WINDS
WILL SWITCH OUT OF THE NORTH BEHIND THE FRONT, AND IFR STRATUS
IS EXPECTED TO BUILD SOUTH. WITH WEAK FLOW, IFR STRATUS MAY
LINGER THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAYLIGHT HOURS ON NEW YEARS DAY
BEFORE GRADUALLY RETREATING EASTWARD.
EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
DISCUSSION...COLLIER
AVIATION...BT
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