994  
FXUS63 KEAX 211009  
AFDEAX  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO  
509 AM CDT SUN OCT 21 2018  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
ISSUED AT 321 AM CDT SUN OCT 21 2018  
 
NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO THE FORECAST. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE HAS  
SETTLED OVER THE CENTRAL US PROVIDING CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS  
WHICH WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO DROP NEAR 30F FOR MANY AREAS AND  
EVEN UPPER 20S FOR NORTH CENTRAL MISSOURI. AS THE HIGH SLIDES  
EASTWARD WINDS WILL EVENTUALLY SHIFT FROM THE SOUTH DURING THE DAY  
ON SUNDAY AND INTO MONDAY PROVIDING ENOUGH WAA TO RAISE  
TEMPERATURES A FEW DEGREES.  
 
BY MONDAY EVENING INTO TUESDAY MORNING, A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL PUSH  
THROUGH THE AREA. HOWEVER, WITH VERY LIMITED MOISTURE, A SLIGHT  
INCREASE IN CLOUDS AND WINDS SHIFTING FROM THE NORTH WILL BE THE  
ONLY RESULTS. PRECIP CHANCES FOR WEDNESDAY EVENING STILL LOOK  
LIMITED. UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT IS FAIRLY UNIMPRESSIVE AND WHILE THE  
GFS AND ECMWF AGREE ON A CHANCE OF LIGHT PRECIP, THEY VARY ON  
TIMING AND LOCATION. THAT SAID, CLOUDS WILL INCREASE ON WEDNESDAY  
INTO THURSDAY, BUT ANY PRECIP THAT FALLS WILL BE LIGHT AND SHORT  
LIVED. THE EARLY PART OF THE WEEKEND STILL LOOK LIKE THE BEST  
CHANCE FOR ANY MEANINGFUL PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE CWA.  
 

 
   
AVIATION
 
(FOR THE 12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z MONDAY MORNING)  
ISSUED AT 509 AM CDT SUN OCT 21 2018  
 
EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST. HOWEVER, BY LATE  
EVENING INTO TOMORROW MORNING, LOW LEVEL WINDS SHEAR CONDITIONS ARE  
FAVORABLE AT ALL TAF LOCATIONS. OTHERWISE, ANTICIPATE SE WINDS NEAR  
8KTS THIS MORNING, INCREASING TO 10-15KTS FROM THE SW BY  
AFTERNOON.  
 

 
   
EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
 
 
KS...NONE.  
MO...NONE.  

 
 

 
 
DISCUSSION...CUTTER/OTTO  
AVIATION...LAFLIN/OTTO  
 
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.

The Nexlab MO Page
The Nexlab KS Page Main Text Page