715  
FXUS63 KSGF 291703  
AFDSGF  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO  
1203 PM CDT THU JUL 29 2021  
   
..18Z AVIATION UPDATE
 
 
   
SHORT TERM
 
(TODAY AND TONIGHT)  
ISSUED AT 335 AM CDT THU JUL 29 2021  
 
EXCESSIVE HEAT INTENSIFIES SLIGHT TODAY. EXPECT TEMPERATURES TO  
GENERALLY BE 2-3 DEGREES WARMER THAN YESTERDAY WITH SIMILAR DEW  
POINTS, RESULTING IN MAXIMUM HEAT INDEX VALUES OF 105-115 DEGREES  
(WARMEST OFF THE PLATEAU) TODAY. HEAT HEADLINES ARE UNCHANGED FOR  
TODAY, BUT CONDITIONS WILL NEED TO BE MONITORED FOR A POSSIBLY  
UPGRADE TO WARNING OVER SOUTH-CENTRAL MISSOURI IF CONDITIONS  
WARRANT.  
 
A COLD FRONT CURRENTLY ACROSS IA AND NE WILL SHIFT SOUTHEAST,  
HANGING UP JUST NORTHEAST OF THE CWA TONIGHT. COULD SEE A STRAY  
SHOWER OR STORM BRUSH THE NORTHEAST, BUT BEST CHANCES ARE FOR THE  
AREA TO STAY DRY.  
   
LONG TERM
 
(FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)  
ISSUED AT 335 AM CDT THU JUL 29 2021  
 
THE FRONT MAY MAKE IT INTO THE NORTHEASTERN CWA FRIDAY, POSSIBLY  
LEADING TO A FEW SHOWERS AND STORMS THERE, BUT IT SHOULD LIFT BACK  
NORTH OF THE AREA FRIDAY NIGHT. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR ANOTHER HOT  
DAY FRIDAY. MUCH OF THE AREA WILL SIMILAR CONDITIONS TO TODAY,  
WITH THE EXCEPTION OF THE FAR NORTHEASTERN CWA WHICH MAY BE 3-5  
DEGREES COOLER IN THE VICINITY OF THE FRONT. ONGOING HEAT  
HEADLINES HAVE BEEN EXTENDED THROUGH FRIDAY.  
 
THE FRONT WILL MOVE BACK SOUTH ON SATURDAY AS AN UPPER TROUGH  
MOVES INTO THE REGION, LEAVING THE NORTHEASTERN CWA NOTICEABLY  
COOLER THAN THE REST OF THE AREA. EXPECT HIGHS TO RANGE FROM THE  
MID 80S NORTHEAST TO THE MID TO UPPER 90S ELSEWHERE. MAX HEAT  
INDEX VALUES WILL RANGE FROM THE MID TO UPPER 90S NORTHEAST TO  
THE 100-105 RANGE ELSEWHERE. HEAT ADVISORIES (AND POSSIBLY SOME  
WARNINGS) MAY NEED TO BE EXTENDED INTO SATURDAY.  
 
AS THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH, THE GREATEST PRECIPITATION CHANCES  
WILL EXIST SATURDAY EVENING AND SATURDAY NIGHT. SOME LOW END  
SEVERE POTENTIAL IS POSSIBLE WITH THIS, AS WELL AS A FLOODING  
THREAT AS FLOW BECOMES MORE PARALLEL TO THE FRONT AND THE FRONT  
MAY SLOW TEMPORARILY STALL OUT OVER SOME AREAS.  
 
BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH MUCH OF NEXT WEEK  
BEHIND THE FRONT AND WITH AN UPPER TROUGH OVERHEAD. LOOK FOR  
HIGHS GENERALLY IN THE MID 80S WITH AFTERNOON DEW POINTS IN THE  
MID 60S. OVERNIGHT LOWS LOOK TO BE IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.  
THERE IS ALSO SOME LOW END POTENTIAL FOR LIGHT SHOWERS WEDNESDAY  
AND THURSDAY.  
 

 
   
AVIATION
 
(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z FRIDAY AFTERNOON)  
ISSUED AT 1203 PM CDT THU JUL 29 2021  
 
ANOTHER AFTERNOON OF WIDESPREAD VFR CONDITIONS ACROSS SOUTHWESTERN  
MISSOURI. EXPECT A SCATTERED CUMULUS DECK TO DEVELOP COINCIDENT  
WITH PEAK HEATING. SLIGHTLY STRONGER WESTERLY SURFACE WINDS TODAY  
THAN PRIOR DAYS, THOUGH SHOULD REMAIN UNDER 10 KNOTS IN ALL  
LOCATIONS.  
 
SAFE TRAVELS!  
 

 
   
SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
 
 
MO...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 9 PM CDT FRIDAY FOR MOZ055>058-069>071-  
080>083-090>092-095>098-102>106.  
 
EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING UNTIL 9 PM CDT FRIDAY FOR MOZ066>068-  
077>079-088-089-093-094-101.  
 
KS...EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING UNTIL 9 PM CDT FRIDAY FOR KSZ073-097-101.  
 

 
 

 
 
SHORT TERM...TITUS  
LONG TERM...TITUS  
AVIATION...UNGAR  
 
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.

The Nexlab MO Page
The Nexlab KS Page Main Text Page