468  
FXUS63 KSGF 131739  
AFDSGF  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO  
1239 PM CDT THU AUG 13 2020  
   
SHORT TERM
 
(TODAY AND TONIGHT)  
 
IT WAS A CALM AND QUIET NIGHT OVER EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND  
THE MISSOURI OZARKS. TEMPERATURES COOLED INTO THE UPPER 60S AND  
LOWER 70S, UNDER A MIX OF CLEAR SKIES AND SOME CLOUD COVER.  
 
A LARGE CLUSTER OF THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPED OVER THE KANSAS FLINT  
HILLS, AND PRETTY MUCH STAYED OUT WEST THROUGH THE NIGHT. SOME OF  
THE STRATIFORM ECHOES HAS MOVED INTO THE HIGHWAY 59 CORRIDOR, AND  
COULD POTENTIALLY OOZE INTO CHEROKEE AND CRAWFORD COUNTIES AT  
SOME POINT THROUGH THE MORNING. THEREFORE WE HAVE SOME POPS GOING  
IN THAT ZONE THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS.  
 
WE THINK MOST LOCATIONS WILL REMAIN DRY THROUGH TODAY WITH HIGHS  
IN THE UPPER 80S AND LOW 90S. HUMIDITY LEVELS WILL REMAIN IN CHECK  
DUE TO DRIER DEW POINTS EXPECTED.  
 
FOR TONIGHT, A FEW SHOWERS CAN NOT BE RULED OUT ACROSS THE OSAGE  
PLAINS COUNTIES. OTHERWISE ANOTHER CALM AND QUIET NIGHT IS  
EXPECTED WITH LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S AND LOWER 70S.  
   
LONG TERM
 
(FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)  
 
THE SUMMERTIME HIGH CENTER SHIFTS WEST INTO ARIZONA BY THIS  
WEEKEND, FORCING A DRIER AND COOLER AIRMASS INTO THE OZARKS. THE  
LEADING EDGE OF THIS FRONT COULD OFFER A FEW SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY, HOWEVER, MOST LOCATIONS  
SHOULD REMAIN DRY THIS WEEKEND WITH TEMPERATURES TRENDING LOWER.  
 
AS A MATTER OF FACT, SUNDAY'S HIGH TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO  
RANGE MAINLY IN THE MIDDLE 80S. OVERNIGHT LOWS SUNDAY MORNING WILL  
FALL INTO THE LOW TO MIDDLE 60S.  
 
EVEN COOLER WEATHER IS ON TAP FOR SUNDAY AND MONDAY NIGHTS WITH  
LOWS FALLING INTO THE 50S. MAINLY DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED THIS  
WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT WORK WEEK. OUR NEXT CHANCES FOR RAIN  
COULD OCCUR TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY AS A SHORTWAVE  
DISTURBANCE APPROACHES FROM THE NORTHWEST. THIS FEATURE MAY HAVE  
LIMITED MOISTURE TO WORK WITH GIVEN THE NORTHWEST FLOW.  
 

 
   
AVIATION
 
(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z FRIDAY AFTERNOON)  
ISSUED AT 1231 PM CDT THU AUG 13 2020  
 
SCT-BKN 015-025 DECKS WILL BE COMMON FROM KSGF-KBBG EASTWARD  
THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON. FARTHER WEST THERE WILL BE MID LEVEL VFR  
CEILINGS. CONVECTIVE CHANCES EXPECTED TO REMAIN WELL EAST OF THE  
TERMINALS THIS AFTERNOON.  
 
ANOTHER CLUSTER OF STORMS WILL HOWEVER FORM TONIGHT OVER  
NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA...IMPACTING THE KJLN AREA TOWARD MIDNIGHT  
SPREADING SOUTHEAST INTO ARKANSAS. SOME QUESTION WHETHER THIS WILL  
CATCH THE KBBG AREA LATE TONIGHT INTO EARLY FRIDAY...FOLLOWED BY  
IMPROVING CEILINGS DURING THE MORNING.  
 

 
   
SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
 
 
MO...NONE.  
KS...NONE.  

 
 

 
 
SHORT TERM...CRAMER  
LONG TERM...CRAMER  
AVIATION...RUNNELS  
 
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