745
FXUS63 KSGF 191135
AFDSGF
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
535 AM CST SUN JAN 19 2020
..AVIATION UPDATE
SHORT TERM
(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 221 AM CST SUN JAN 19 2020
COLD SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WAS MOVING ACROSS THE PLAINS AND WILL
CONTINUE TO MAKE ITS WAY INTO THE OZARKS THROUGH TODAY. ONGOING
COLD AIR ADVECTION WILL LIMIT HIGH TEMPERATURES TODAY DESPITE
AMPLE SUNSHINE. CENTRAL MISSOURI WILL STRUGGLE TO REACH THE
MIDDLE 20S WITH FAR SOUTHWESTERN MISSOURI RISING INTO THE UPPER
30S TO NEAR 40.
BY TONIGHT, HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE OVER THE REGION. CONTINUED CLEAR
SKIES WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO DROP INTO THE UPPER SINGLE DIGIT
ACROSS CENTRAL MISSOURI TO THE LOWER TO MIDDLE TEENS FOR THE
REMAINDER OF THE AREA.
WINDS WILL BE NORTHERLY AND FROM 5 TO 10 MPH FOR THE MOST PART
BUT THIS WILL PRODUCE WIND CHILLS DURING THE DAY IN THE TEENS IN
THE NORTH TO NEAR THE FREEZING MARK IN THE SOUTHWEST. TONIGHT,
WIND CHILLS WILL DROP INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS NEAR ZERO IN THE
NORTH TO THE MIDDLE TEENS IN THE SOUTHWEST.
LONG TERM
(MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 221 AM CST SUN JAN 19 2020
A QUICK MOVING CLIPPER SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO SLIDE ACROSS
MISSOURI MONDAY AFTERNOON INTO EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. THIS SYSTEM
WILL HAVE TO OVERCOME SOME LOW LEVEL DRY AIR IN PLACE OVER THE
AREA AND WILL HAVE LIMITED MOISTURE TO WORK WITH. HOWEVER, IF IT
CAN OVERCOME THE DRY AIR, A DUSTING OF SNOW MAY BE POSSIBLE ACROSS
THE EASTERN OZARKS. ELSEWHERE, ONLY FLURRIES OR VERY LIGHT SNOW
MAY OCCUR.
COLD AIR WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE AREA UNTIL WEDNESDAY WHEN
SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL BRING WARMER AND MORE MOIST AIR TO THE AREA.
THIS WILL ALSO BRING ANOTHER PERIOD OF PRECIPITATION WHICH WILL
FALL MAINLY AS RAIN DURING THE DAY WEDNESDAY. AS THE PRECIPITATION
MOVES INTO THE AREA WEDNESDAY IT MAY BEGIN AS SNOW BEFORE CHANGING
OVER TO RAIN.
THE RAIN IS THEN EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY AND INTO
FRIDAY MORNING AS AN UPPER LEVEL LOW MOVES ACROSS KANSAS AND
MERGES WITH AND ULTIMATELY LIFT OUT THE WEDNESDAY SYSTEM. FROM
WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING, BETWEEN A HALF INCH TO UP TO TWO
INCHES OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE. THIS MAY LEAD TO ANOTHER ROUND OF
FLOODING FOR SOME LOCATIONS IN THE OZARKS.
NEXT WEEKEND DOES LOOK RATHER QUIET, MILD AND DRY AFTER THE END OF
WEEK SYSTEM LIFT NORTH OF THE AREA.
AVIATION
(FOR THE 12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z MONDAY MORNING)
PILOTS FLYING IN AND OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST MISSOURI AIRPORTS CAN
EXPECT FAIR WEATHER VFR CONDITIONS OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
A COLD CANADIAN AIRMASS WAS SPREADING ACROSS THE REGION THIS
MORNING, BRINGING VERY DRY AIR WITH IT. THEREFORE, NO LOW CEILINGS
OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITIES ARE EXPECTED.
HIGH PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE WAS APPROACHING FROM THE WEST, WHICH
WILL KEEP WIND SPEEDS ON THE LIGHT SIDE THROUGH TODAY AND TONIGHT.
SAFE TRAVELS.
SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
SHORT TERM...HATCH
LONG TERM...HATCH
AVIATION...CRAMER
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