552  
FXUS63 KSGF 192045  
AFDSGF  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO  
345 PM CDT FRI JUL 19 2019  
   
SHORT TERM
 
(TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY)  
ISSUED AT 345 PM CDT FRI JUL 19 2019  
 
THE EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING WILL REMAIN IN EFFECT AS VERY HOT AND  
HUMID CONDITIONS CONTINUE INTO THE WEEKEND AS THE UPPER RIDGE  
REMAINS IN PLACE. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO EDGE UPWARD AS  
SOILS CONTINUE TO DRY DURING THE PROLONGED PERIOD OF HIGH HEAT.  
   
LONG TERM
 
(SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY)  
ISSUED AT 345 PM CDT FRI JUL 19 2019  
 
MODELS CONTINUE TO DEPICT A VARIED SOLUTION ON THE TIMING OF THE  
APPROACHING SHORTWAVE AND ASSOCIATED FRONT...BUT ALL PROMOTE SOME  
CONVECTION ALONG THE FRONT WITH MORE WIDESPREAD POST FRONTAL  
RAINS CONTINUING INTO MONDAY.  
 
THIS BRINGS TWO QUESTIONS INTO PLAY...THE NEED TO EXTEND THE HEAT  
WARNING INTO SUNDAY AND EXTENT OF SEVERE WEATHER CHANCES. TOO MANY  
QUESTIONS ON TIMING AT THIS POINT TO EXTEND THE WARNING BUT ANY  
DELAY WILL ALLOW NOT ONLY TEMPERATURES TO BUILD ONCE AGAIN SUNDAY  
AFTERNOON BUT THE POTENTIAL FOR DEW POINTS TO POOL AHEAD OF THE  
FRONT WILL BE A CONCERN MAGNIFIED BY THE EXTENDED NATURE OF THE  
PERIOD OF HIGH HEAT.  
 
THE GOOD NEWS IS THAT NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE  
SHORTWAVE WILL BRING MUCH COOLER CONDITIONS...WITH HIGH  
TEMPERATURES EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN THE 80S THROUGH THE COMING  
WORK WEEK.  
 
RAIN CHANCES ARE MINIMAL AT THIS POINT...HOWEVER WOULD NOT BE  
COMPLETELY SURPRISED FOR SOME DEVELOPMENT AS ILL DEFINED WAVES  
RIDE DOWN THE BACK SIDE OF THE WESTERN RIDGE.  
 

 
   
AVIATION
 
(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY MORNING)  
ISSUED AT 1215 PM CDT FRI JUL 19 2019  
 
VFR CONDITIONS TO PREVAIL THROUGH SATURDAY. SURFACE WINDS WILL BE  
A BIT GUSTY THROUGH MID AFTERNOON...DIMINISHING INTO THIS  
EVENING.  
 

 
   
SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
 
 
MO...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM CDT SATURDAY FOR MOZ082-083-090>092-  
094>098-101>106.  
 
EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING UNTIL 8 PM CDT SATURDAY FOR MOZ055>058-  
066>071-077>081-088-089-093.  
 
KS...EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING UNTIL 8 PM CDT SATURDAY FOR KSZ073-097-  
101.  
 

 
 

 
 
SHORT TERM...ALBANO  
LONG TERM...ALBANO  
AVIATION...WISE  
 
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