919  
FNUS54 KMEG 212031  
FWFMEG  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR THE MIDSOUTH  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN  
330 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2026  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE AGAIN ON THURSDAY.  
LOW SURFACE MOISTURE WILL LEAD TO MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY  
VALUES DROPPING BELOW 30% ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION. 10-HOUR FUELS  
ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN AT OR AROUND 10 PERCENT FUEL MOISTURE.  
LIGHT 20-FOOT WINDS, LIKELY PEAKING AT ONLY 10 MPH THROUGHOUT THE  
AFTERNOON, WILL PRECLUDE THE NEED FOR RED FLAG WARNINGS. SIMILAR  
CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD,  
LIKELY NECESSITATING ADDITIONAL RANGELAND FIRE DANGER STATEMENTS  
THROUGH THIS WEEK.  
 
ARZ009-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-220900-  
CLAY-CRAIGHEAD-DUNKLIN-GREENE-MISSISSIPPI-PEMISCOT-POINSETT-  
330 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2026  
 
TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%)  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
TEMP (24H TREND) 47 (-2) 80 (0) 48 79  
RH % (24H TREND) 88 (+2) 25 (-1) 100 30  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR NE 4 LGT/VAR E 4  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1300 1400  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4200 4700  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1400 1500  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 4500 4900  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) N 4 E 4  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 9 E 9  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 5600 6000  
CATEGORY DAY 3 3  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 69 69  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) NE 3 E 5  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) NE 7 E 10  
DISPERSION INDEX 6 22 8 22  
STABILITY CLASS F B F B  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
FRIDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. EAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 32 PERCENT.  
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH  
33 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY  
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH  
33 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH  
35 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH  
35 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 
 
 
ARZ035-036-048-049-058-220900-  
CRITTENDEN-CROSS-LEE AR-PHILLIPS-ST. FRANCIS-  
330 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2026  
 
TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%)  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
TEMP (24H TREND) 48 (0) 81 (+1) 50 81  
RH % (24H TREND) 84 (0) 23 (+1) 97 29  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR NE 4 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1300 1500  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4400 4900  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1400 1500  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 4600 5100  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) N 4 NE 4  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 9 NE 8  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 5600 6000  
CATEGORY DAY 3 3  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 70 70  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) NE 5 E 5  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) NE 10 E 11  
DISPERSION INDEX 7 28 9 22  
STABILITY CLASS F B F B  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
FRIDAY NIGHT  
CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 32 PERCENT.  
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH  
34 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. EAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY  
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH  
34 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. EAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH  
35 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. LIGHT AND  
VARIABLE WINDS.    
WEDNESDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH  
34 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 
 
 
TNZ001>004-019>022-220900-  
BENTON TN-CARROLL-DYER-GIBSON-HENRY-LAKE-OBION-WEAKLEY-  
330 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2026  
 
TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%)  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
TEMP (24H TREND) 45 (-1) 78 (+1) 45 76  
RH % (24H TREND) 90 (-5) 28 (+2) 100 30  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR NE 4 LGT/VAR NE 4  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1200 1200  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4000 3900  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1300 1300  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 4400 4300  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) N 5 NE 4  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 10 NE 9  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 6500 5200  
CATEGORY DAY 3 3  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 68 66  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) NE 4 E 5  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) NE 8 E 11  
DISPERSION INDEX 6 25 8 22  
STABILITY CLASS F B F B  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
FRIDAY NIGHT  
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. EAST WINDS AROUND  
5 MPH.    
SATURDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 37 PERCENT.  
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH  
39 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. EAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY  
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH  
38 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. LIGHT AND  
VARIABLE WINDS.    
TUESDAY  
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH  
38 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH  
38 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 
 
 
TNZ048>055-088>091-220900-  
CHESTER-CROCKETT-DECATUR-FAYETTE-HARDEMAN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-  
LAUDERDALE-MADISON-MCNAIRY-SHELBY-TIPTON-  
330 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2026  
 
TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%)  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
TEMP (24H TREND) 45 (-1) 79 (0) 46 78  
RH % (24H TREND) 86 (-8) 25 (+1) 100 28  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR NE 4 LGT/VAR NE 4  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1300 1400  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4100 4500  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1400 1500  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 4500 4900  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) N 5 NE 4  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 10 NE 9  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 7000 6000  
CATEGORY DAY 3 3  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 69 68  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) NE 4 E 5  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) NE 9 E 10  
DISPERSION INDEX 7 25 8 22  
STABILITY CLASS F B F B  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
FRIDAY NIGHT  
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. EAST WINDS AROUND  
5 MPH.    
SATURDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 36 PERCENT.  
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH  
38 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY  
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH  
37 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. EAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH  
36 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH  
36 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 
 
 
MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-220900-  
COAHOMA-DESOTO-PANOLA-QUITMAN-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TUNICA-YALOBUSHA-  
330 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2026  
 
TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%)  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
TEMP (24H TREND) 47 (0) 82 (+1) 48 82  
RH % (24H TREND) 83 (-5) 21 (+1) 97 27  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR NE 4 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1400 1600  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4400 5100  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1400 1600  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 4700 5300  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) N 5 NE 4  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 10 NE 8  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 7000 6400  
CATEGORY DAY 3 3  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 71 70  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) NE 4 E 5  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) NE 10 E 11  
DISPERSION INDEX 7 28 9 22  
STABILITY CLASS F B F B  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
FRIDAY NIGHT  
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS AROUND  
5 MPH.    
SATURDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 33 PERCENT.  
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH  
36 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. EAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY  
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH  
36 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. EAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH  
34 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. LIGHT AND  
VARIABLE WINDS.    
WEDNESDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH  
33 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 
 
 
MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-220900-  
ALCORN-BENTON MS-CALHOUN-CHICKASAW-ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LEE MS-  
MARSHALL-MONROE-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-TIPPAH-TISHOMINGO-UNION-  
330 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2026  
 
TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%)  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
TEMP (24H TREND) 45 (0) 80 (0) 46 79  
RH % (24H TREND) 83 (-10) 23 (0) 100 29  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR N 4 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1300 1400  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4200 4500  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1400 1500  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 4600 4900  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) N 5 NE 4  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 10 NE 8  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 7000 6000  
CATEGORY DAY 3 3  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 70 69  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) NE 4 NE 4  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) NE 9 NE 9  
DISPERSION INDEX 7 25 8 19  
STABILITY CLASS F B F B  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
FRIDAY NIGHT  
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. EAST WINDS AROUND  
5 MPH.    
SATURDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 37 PERCENT.  
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. EAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 39 PERCENT.  
EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. EAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH  
39 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. LIGHT AND  
VARIABLE WINDS.    
TUESDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH  
35 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. LIGHT AND  
VARIABLE WINDS.    
WEDNESDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH  
34 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 
 
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
The Nexlab TN Page
The Nexlab MS Page
The Nexlab AR Page
Main Text Page