254  
FNUS54 KMEG 281859  
FWFMEG  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR THE MIDSOUTH  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN  
1259 PM CST SUN FEB 28 2021  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
HIGH HUMIDITY LEVELS AND WIDESPREAD WETTING RAINS WILL OCCUR  
THROUGH LATE TONIGHT. COOLER AND DRIER AIR WILL BRIEFLY SPREAD  
INTO THE MIDSOUTH MONDAY, BEFORE RAINFALL ARRIVES AGAIN ON  
TUESDAY. THE MIDDLE TO LATE WEEK PERIODS APPEAR DRY AND COOL,  
WITH LIGHT WINDS. WETTING RAINS RETURN AGAIN LATE WEEK.  
 
ARZ009-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-011115-  
CLAY-CRAIGHEAD-DUNKLIN-GREENE-MISSISSIPPI-PEMISCOT-POINSETT-  
1259 PM CST SUN FEB 28 2021  
 
TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE  
 
CLOUD COVER CLOUDY MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 100 0 0 60  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS NONE NONE SHOWERS  
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN) 0.44 0.00 0.00 0.09  
PRECIP DUR (HRS) 6 5  
PRECIP BEGINS 6 PM 6 AM  
PRECIP ENDS 5 AM CONTINUING  
TEMP (24H TREND) 40 (-12) 51 (-18) 34 49  
RH % (24H TREND) 91 (-9) 48 (-34) 80 55  
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH) N 8-12 G17 E 4-8  
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH) N 7-11 G17 NE 6-10 NE 2-6 NE 4-8  
MIXING HGT (M-AGL) 766 691  
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 2513 2268  
MIXING HGT (M-MSL) 846 771  
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL) 2774 2529  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) NE 6 NE 4  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NE 13 NE 9  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 7274 5092  
CATEGORY DAY 5 5  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 43 44  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) NW 10 E 8  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) NW 22 E 19  
DISPERSION INDEX 43 39 9 27  
LAL 3 1 1 1  
LASI 2 4 4 3  
STABILITY D C F C  
STAGNATION INDEX 2 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
 
   
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN  
THE MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH  
51 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. WEST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT.    
THURSDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 47 PERCENT.  
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. NORTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH  
51 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. NORTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 49 PERCENT.  
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. EAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH  
49 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 

 
 
ARZ035-036-048-049-058-011115-  
CRITTENDEN-CROSS-LEE AR-PHILLIPS-ST. FRANCIS-  
1259 PM CST SUN FEB 28 2021  
 
TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE  
 
CLOUD COVER CLOUDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 100 10 10 80  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS NONE SHOWERS SHOWERS  
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN) 0.96 0.00 0.00 0.23  
PRECIP DUR (HRS) 7 7  
PRECIP BEGINS 6 PM 6 AM  
PRECIP ENDS 6 AM CONTINUING  
TEMP (24H TREND) 43 (-10) 50 (-21) 38 47  
RH % (24H TREND) 95 (-5) 57 (-24) 78 65  
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH) N 9-13 NE 4-8  
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH) NW 5-9 NE 6-10 NE 2-6 NE 3-7  
MIXING HGT (M-AGL) 663 528  
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 2176 1733  
MIXING HGT (M-MSL) 725 590  
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL) 2380 1937  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) NE 8 NE 6  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NE 18 NE 13  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 7463 5187  
CATEGORY DAY 5 5  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 45 43  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) NW 11 E 8  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) NW 24 E 17  
DISPERSION INDEX 42 41 14 32  
LAL 3 1 1 1  
LASI 2 3 3 2  
STABILITY D C E C  
STAGNATION INDEX 1 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
 
   
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY.  
LOWS IN THE MID 30S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT.  
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT.  
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH  
52 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT.  
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. EAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH  
51 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 

 
 
TNZ001>004-019>022-011115-  
BENTON TN-CARROLL-DYER-GIBSON-HENRY-LAKE-OBION-WEAKLEY-  
1259 PM CST SUN FEB 28 2021  
 
TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE  
 
CLOUD COVER CLOUDY MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 100 10 0 40  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS NONE NONE SHOWERS  
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN) 0.99 0.00 0.00 0.08  
PRECIP DUR (HRS) 7 1  
PRECIP BEGINS 6 PM 12 PM  
PRECIP ENDS 5 AM CONTINUING  
TEMP (24H TREND) 41 (-14) 51 (-19) 34 53  
RH % (24H TREND) 90 (-10) 43 (-37) 75 44  
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH) N 6-10 E 3-7  
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH) NW 5-9 N 4-8 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
MIXING HGT (M-AGL) 687 798  
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 2253 2617  
MIXING HGT (M-MSL) 808 919  
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL) 2650 3015  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) N 6 E 5  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 13 E 10  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 6743 6311  
CATEGORY DAY 5 5  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 42 45  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) NW 10 E 8  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) NW 21 E 17  
DISPERSION INDEX 40 35 8 30  
LAL 3 1 1 1  
LASI 2 4 4 3  
STABILITY D C F B  
STAGNATION INDEX 2 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
 
   
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN  
THE MID 30S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH  
47 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. NORTHWEST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 43 PERCENT.  
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. NORTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH  
44 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. NORTH WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 43 PERCENT.  
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. NORTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 43 PERCENT.  
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON.  
 

 
 
TNZ048>055-088>091-011115-  
CHESTER-CROCKETT-DECATUR-FAYETTE-HARDEMAN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-  
LAUDERDALE-MADISON-MCNAIRY-SHELBY-TIPTON-  
1259 PM CST SUN FEB 28 2021  
 
TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE  
 
CLOUD COVER CLOUDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 100 20 0 60  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS NONE NONE SHOWERS  
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN) 1.30 0.00 0.00 0.17  
PRECIP DUR (HRS) 9 5  
PRECIP BEGINS 6 PM 6 AM  
PRECIP ENDS 6 AM CONTINUING  
TEMP (24H TREND) 43 (-15) 52 (-20) 37 52  
RH % (24H TREND) 91 (-9) 46 (-27) 73 46  
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH) N 6-10 E 3-7  
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH) NW 5-9 N 5-9 LGT/VAR NE 2-6  
MIXING HGT (M-AGL) 646 598  
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 2121 1962  
MIXING HGT (M-MSL) 767 719  
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL) 2518 2359  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) NE 7 E 6  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NE 16 E 13  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 6370 5373  
CATEGORY DAY 5 5  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 43 44  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) NW 9 E 9  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) NW 20 E 20  
DISPERSION INDEX 40 37 9 31  
LAL 3 1 1 1  
LASI 2 3 4 2  
STABILITY D C E C  
STAGNATION INDEX 2 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
 
   
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN  
THE MID 30S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH  
45 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 60. MINIMUM RH 40 PERCENT. NORTH  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. NORTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH  
42 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. NORTH WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 41 PERCENT.  
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. NORTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 40 PERCENT.  
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 

 
 
MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-011115-  
COAHOMA-DESOTO-PANOLA-QUITMAN-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TUNICA-YALOBUSHA-  
1259 PM CST SUN FEB 28 2021  
 
TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE  
 
CLOUD COVER CLOUDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 100 40 30 80  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS SHOWERS SHOWERS  
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN) 1.53 0.03 0.05 0.35  
PRECIP DUR (HRS) 10 1 2 11  
PRECIP BEGINS 6 PM CONTINUING 6 PM CONTINUING  
PRECIP ENDS CONTINUING 1 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING  
TEMP (24H TREND) 47 (-13) 52 (-22) 41 48  
RH % (24H TREND) 96 (-3) 58 (-15) 76 65  
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH) N 7-11 G18 NE 4-8  
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH) W 4-8 N 5-9 NE 2-6 NE 3-7  
MIXING HGT (M-AGL) 606 449  
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 1988 1472  
MIXING HGT (M-MSL) 678 520  
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL) 2224 1707  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) NE 8 E 7  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NE 17 E 15  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 7009 5535  
CATEGORY DAY 5 5  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 47 43  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) N 9 SE 9  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) N 21 SE 19  
DISPERSION INDEX 41 40 24 31  
LAL 3 1 1 1  
LASI 2 3 3 2  
STABILITY D C D C  
STAGNATION INDEX 1 2 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
 
   
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN  
THE UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH  
50 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE.    
THURSDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 45 PERCENT.  
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH  
46 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 45 PERCENT.  
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 60. MINIMUM RH 45 PERCENT.  
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 

 
 
MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-011115-  
ALCORN-BENTON MS-CALHOUN-CHICKASAW-ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LEE MS-  
MARSHALL-MONROE-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-TIPPAH-TISHOMINGO-UNION-  
1259 PM CST SUN FEB 28 2021  
 
TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 100 50 20 80  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS SHOWERS SHOWERS  
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN) 1.49 0.09 0.04 0.37  
PRECIP DUR (HRS) 10 1 2 7  
PRECIP BEGINS 6 PM CONTINUING 6 PM CONTINUING  
PRECIP ENDS CONTINUING 1 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING  
TEMP (24H TREND) 48 (-17) 54 (-22) 40 51  
RH % (24H TREND) 95 (-2) 52 (-11) 72 58  
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH) N 6-10 E 3-7  
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH) SW 4-8 N 4-8 NE 2-6 E 2-6  
MIXING HGT (M-AGL) 555 412  
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 1821 1351  
MIXING HGT (M-MSL) 679 536  
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL) 2227 1758  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) NE 7 E 6  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NE 15 E 13  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 6202 5149  
CATEGORY DAY 5 5  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 48 43  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) N 8 E 10  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) N 18 E 21  
DISPERSION INDEX 32 36 20 30  
LAL 3 1 1 2  
LASI 2 3 3 2  
STABILITY D C D C  
STAGNATION INDEX 2 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
 
   
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.  
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH  
45 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 38 PERCENT.  
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH  
39 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 38 PERCENT.  
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. NORTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 37 PERCENT.  
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 

 
 
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