804  
FNUS54 KMEG 220900  
FWFMEG  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR THE MIDSOUTH  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN  
400 AM CDT MON JUL 22 2019  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE MID-  
SOUTH TODAY AS A COLD FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE REGION. WINDS WILL  
SHIFT FROM THE NORTH BEHIND THE FRONT, BRINGING DRIER AIR INTO THE  
AREA AND ENDING PRECIPITATION BY TUESDAY MORNING. DRY WEATHER AND  
BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED THROUGHOUT THE REMAINDER OF  
THE WEEK. EXPECT LIGHT NORTH TO NORTHEAST AND A RELATIVELY DRY  
AIRMASS THROUGH FRIDAY.  
 
ARZ009-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-222100-  
CLAY-CRAIGHEAD-DUNKLIN-GREENE-MISSISSIPPI-PEMISCOT-POINSETT-  
400 AM CDT MON JUL 22 2019  
 
TODAY TONIGHT TUE  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLDY PCLDY CLEAR  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 70 20 0  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN) 0.53 0.08 0.00  
PRECIP DUR (HRS) 7 1  
PRECIP BEGINS 6 AM CONTINUING  
PRECIP ENDS CONTINUING 1 AM  
TEMP (24H TREND) 84 (-9) 64 (-12) 81  
RH % (24H TREND) 74 (+16) 88 (-8) 49  
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH) W 3-7 N 7-11 G18  
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH) N 5-9 N 4-8 N 10-14  
MIXING HGT (M-AGL) 760 1256  
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 2494 4121  
MIXING HGT (M-MSL) 840 1336  
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL) 2755 4383  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) N 7 N 10  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 15 N 22  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 7975 13845  
CATEGORY DAY 5 5  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 82 74  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) N 6 NE 10  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) N 13 NE 22  
DISPERSION INDEX 36 18 81  
LAL 5 5 1  
LASI 3 3 4  
STABILITY C E C  
STAGNATION INDEX 2 2 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
 
   
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH  
50 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT.  
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. NORTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT.  
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT.  
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 70. SOUTH WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. SUNNY.  
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 56 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND  
5 MPH.  
 

 
 
ARZ035-036-048-049-058-222100-  
CRITTENDEN-CROSS-LEE AR-PHILLIPS-ST. FRANCIS-  
400 AM CDT MON JUL 22 2019  
 
TODAY TONIGHT TUE  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY MCLEAR  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 70 40 0  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN) 0.56 0.20 0.00  
PRECIP DUR (HRS) 5 2  
PRECIP BEGINS 6 AM CONTINUING  
PRECIP ENDS CONTINUING 6 AM  
TEMP (24H TREND) 87 (-4) 66 (-9) 81  
RH % (24H TREND) 72 (+10) 97 (-3) 51  
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH) SW 3-7 N 8-12 G19  
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH) NW 4-8 N 5-9 N 10-14  
MIXING HGT (M-AGL) 974 1280  
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 3197 4198  
MIXING HGT (M-MSL) 1037 1342  
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL) 3401 4402  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) NW 6 N 10  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NW 14 N 22  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 8035 15484  
CATEGORY DAY 5 5  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 85 75  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) W 6 N 10  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) W 14 N 22  
DISPERSION INDEX 33 20 64  
LAL 5 5 3  
LASI 2 2 4  
STABILITY C D C  
STAGNATION INDEX 2 3 2  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
 
   
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH  
52 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 47 PERCENT.  
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT.  
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT.  
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. SUNNY.  
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 59 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND  
5 MPH.  
 

 
 
TNZ001>004-019>022-222100-  
BENTON TN-CARROLL-DYER-GIBSON-HENRY-LAKE-OBION-WEAKLEY-  
400 AM CDT MON JUL 22 2019  
 
TODAY TONIGHT TUE  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 80 40 0  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN) 1.05 0.18 0.00  
PRECIP DUR (HRS) 8 2  
PRECIP BEGINS 6 AM CONTINUING  
PRECIP ENDS CONTINUING 6 AM  
TEMP (24H TREND) 83 (-7) 63 (-10) 80  
RH % (24H TREND) 79 (+12) 94 (-5) 52  
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH) SW 2-6 N 6-10  
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH) NW 3-7 N 4-8 N 8-12  
MIXING HGT (M-AGL) 686 1203  
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 2252 3946  
MIXING HGT (M-MSL) 807 1324  
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL) 2649 4343  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) N 3 N 8  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 7 N 17  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 5253 12036  
CATEGORY DAY 5 5  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 81 73  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) NW 5 N 8  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) NW 12 N 17  
DISPERSION INDEX 25 19 50  
LAL 5 5 1  
LASI 3 3 4  
STABILITY C E B  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 2  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
 
   
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE.    
WEDNESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH  
49 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE.    
THURSDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 45 PERCENT.  
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. EAST WINDS AROUND  
5 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 47 PERCENT.  
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT.  
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTH  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. SUNNY.  
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 56 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND  
5 MPH.  
 

 
 
TNZ048>055-088>091-222100-  
CHESTER-CROCKETT-DECATUR-FAYETTE-HARDEMAN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-  
LAUDERDALE-MADISON-MCNAIRY-SHELBY-TIPTON-  
400 AM CDT MON JUL 22 2019  
 
TODAY TONIGHT TUE  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY MCLEAR  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 80 50 0  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN) 0.88 0.26 0.00  
PRECIP DUR (HRS) 6 3  
PRECIP BEGINS 6 AM CONTINUING  
PRECIP ENDS CONTINUING 6 AM  
TEMP (24H TREND) 86 (-2) 64 (-10) 81  
RH % (24H TREND) 73 (+5) 97 (-2) 52  
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH) SW 3-7 N 6-10  
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH) NW 4-8 N 3-7 N 8-12  
MIXING HGT (M-AGL) 850 1217  
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 2788 3994  
MIXING HGT (M-MSL) 971 1338  
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL) 3185 4391  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) W 4 N 8  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 8 N 17  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 5337 12860  
CATEGORY DAY 5 5  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 83 74  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) W 6 N 8  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) W 14 N 17  
DISPERSION INDEX 28 18 46  
LAL 5 5 1  
LASI 3 2 4  
STABILITY C D B  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 2  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
 
   
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH  
48 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE.    
THURSDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 44 PERCENT.  
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT.  
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT.  
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. SUNNY.  
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 57 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND  
5 MPH.  
 

 
 
MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-222100-  
COAHOMA-DESOTO-PANOLA-QUITMAN-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TUNICA-YALOBUSHA-  
400 AM CDT MON JUL 22 2019  
 
TODAY TONIGHT TUE  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY MCLEAR  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 70 70 10  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS SHOWERS  
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN) 0.45 0.26 0.00  
PRECIP DUR (HRS) 5 5  
PRECIP BEGINS 6 AM CONTINUING  
PRECIP ENDS CONTINUING 6 AM  
TEMP (24H TREND) 88 (0) 67 (-6) 82  
RH % (24H TREND) 68 (0) 99 (-1) 53  
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH) SW 3-7 N 7-11  
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH) W 3-7 N 3-7 N 9-13 G18  
MIXING HGT (M-AGL) 1048 1300  
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 3437 4264  
MIXING HGT (M-MSL) 1119 1371  
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL) 3672 4499  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) W 4 N 8  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 8 N 18  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 7196 14473  
CATEGORY DAY 5 5  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 86 76  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) SW 5 N 8  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) SW 11 N 18  
DISPERSION INDEX 27 17 52  
LAL 5 5 3  
LASI 3 2 4  
STABILITY C D B  
STAGNATION INDEX 2 3 2  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
 
   
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH  
49 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 45 PERCENT.  
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT.  
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. SUNNY.  
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 70. SOUTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. SUNNY. HIGHS IN  
THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 59 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 

 
 
MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-222100-  
ALCORN-BENTON MS-CALHOUN-CHICKASAW-ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LEE MS-  
MARSHALL-MONROE-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-TIPPAH-TISHOMINGO-UNION-  
400 AM CDT MON JUL 22 2019  
 
TODAY TONIGHT TUE  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 80 70 20  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS SHOWERS  
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN) 0.42 0.48 0.01  
PRECIP DUR (HRS) 3 5 1  
PRECIP BEGINS 6 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING  
PRECIP ENDS CONTINUING CONTINUING 1 PM  
TEMP (24H TREND) 88 (+1) 67 (-6) 82  
RH % (24H TREND) 67 (+1) 99 (0) 56  
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH) SW 2-6 N 5-9  
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH) W 2-6 LGT/VAR N 7-11  
MIXING HGT (M-AGL) 1025 1283  
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 3362 4209  
MIXING HGT (M-MSL) 1149 1407  
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL) 3768 4615  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) SW 4 N 7  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 8 N 16  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 6123 12524  
CATEGORY DAY 5 5  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 84 76  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) SW 5 N 7  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) SW 11 N 16  
DISPERSION INDEX 26 14 45  
LAL 5 5 4  
LASI 3 2 3  
STABILITY C D B  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
 
   
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 45 PERCENT.  
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 43 PERCENT.  
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. NORTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT.  
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. SUNNY.  
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. SUNNY. HIGHS IN  
THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 58 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 

 
 
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