726
FNUS54 KMEG 272031
FWFMEG
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR THE MIDSOUTH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
330 PM CDT SUN SEP 27 2026
DISCUSSION
AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO DROP TO NEAR
30% ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION EACH AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY. THE
LOWEST MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES-GENERALLY BELOW 30%-WILL
OCCUR IN PORTIONS OF NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI ON SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
THERE IS A 40% TO 50% CHANCE FOR LOCALIZED AREAS TO DROP BELOW
20%. ADDITIONALLY, 10-HOUR FUELS AREAWIDE WILL DROP TO NEAR 10%
THROUGH TUESDAY AS WARM, DRY WEATHER REMAINS SITUATED ACROSS THE
REGION WITH WETTING RAINS NOT EXPECTED UNTIL THURSDAY AT THE
EARLIEST.
THEREFORE, FIRE DANGER WILL REMAIN ELEVATED THROUGH THE NEXT FEW
DAYS UNTIL HIGHER GULF MOISTURE CAN ARRIVE WEDNESDAY.
FORTUNATELY, 20-FOOT WINDS ARE FORECAST TO REMAIN UNDER 10 MILES
PER HOUR THROUGH THIS PORTION OF THE FORECAST. WETTING RAIN
CHANCES RETURN THURSDAY AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM APPROACHES THE
REGION, BUT THIS PORTION OF THE FORECAST IS STILL UNCERTAIN AND
PRECIPITATION CHANCES ARE EXPECTED TO CHANGE IN THE COMING DAYS.
ARZ009-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-280900-
CLAY-CRAIGHEAD-DUNKLIN-GREENE-MISSISSIPPI-PEMISCOT-POINSETT-
330 PM CDT SUN SEP 27 2026
TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR CLEAR CLEAR
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
PRECIP CHANCE (%)
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
TEMP (24H TREND) 58 (-4) 81 (+1) 55 85
RH % (24H TREND) 77 (0) 26 (-8) 78 32
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR NE 4 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1400 1700
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4500 5500
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1400 1800
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 4700 5800
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) NE 4 SE 3
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NE 8 SE 6
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 5600 5400
CATEGORY DAY 3 3
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 74 78
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) NE 4 SE 3
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) NE 9 SE 7
DISPERSION INDEX 8 23 8 15
STABILITY CLASS F B F B
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3 3
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
TUESDAY NIGHT
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 90. MINIMUM RH
41 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 70. SOUTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
THURSDAY
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
THURSDAY NIGHT
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 60S. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
FRIDAY
SHOWERS LIKELY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.
MINIMUM RH 75 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
FRIDAY NIGHT
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
SATURDAY
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S. MINIMUM RH 75 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SATURDAY NIGHT
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SUNDAY
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S. MINIMUM RH 74 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
ARZ035-036-048-049-058-280900-
CRITTENDEN-CROSS-LEE AR-PHILLIPS-ST. FRANCIS-
330 PM CDT SUN SEP 27 2026
TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLEAR CLEAR CLEAR
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 10
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
TEMP (24H TREND) 60 (-4) 85 (+1) 58 89
RH % (24H TREND) 68 (-4) 24 (-3) 69 30
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1600 2100
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 5300 7000
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1700 2200
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 5500 7200
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) NE 4 SE 2
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NE 8 SE 5
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 6800 4400
CATEGORY DAY 3 3
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 77 81
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) NE 4 SE 4
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) NE 9 SE 8
DISPERSION INDEX 9 22 9 15
STABILITY CLASS F B F B
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3 3
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
TUESDAY NIGHT
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH
41 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 70. SOUTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
THURSDAY
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 90. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
THURSDAY NIGHT
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND
70. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
FRIDAY
SHOWERS LIKELY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S.
MINIMUM RH 68 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
FRIDAY NIGHT
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE
MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SATURDAY
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 72 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SATURDAY NIGHT
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SUNDAY
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
70S. MINIMUM RH 70 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
TNZ001>004-019>022-280900-
BENTON TN-CARROLL-DYER-GIBSON-HENRY-LAKE-OBION-WEAKLEY-
330 PM CDT SUN SEP 27 2026
TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR CLEAR
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
PRECIP CHANCE (%)
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
TEMP (24H TREND) 52 (-6) 80 (+3) 54 84
RH % (24H TREND) 84 (-3) 28 (-6) 89 31
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1200 1600
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 3900 5200
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1300 1700
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 4300 5600
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) N 4 SE 2
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 8 SE 5
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 5200 3400
CATEGORY DAY 3 2
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 71 75
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) NE 3 E 3
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) NE 8 E 6
DISPERSION INDEX 8 22 7 13
STABILITY CLASS F B F B
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3 3
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
TUESDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH
39 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
THURSDAY
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH
52 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
THURSDAY NIGHT
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
FRIDAY
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS AROUND 80.
MINIMUM RH 71 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
FRIDAY NIGHT
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SATURDAY
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S. MINIMUM RH 73 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SATURDAY NIGHT
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SUNDAY
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S. MINIMUM RH 75 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
TNZ048>055-088>091-280900-
CHESTER-CROCKETT-DECATUR-FAYETTE-HARDEMAN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-
LAUDERDALE-MADISON-MCNAIRY-SHELBY-TIPTON-
330 PM CDT SUN SEP 27 2026
TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLEAR CLEAR CLEAR
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
PRECIP CHANCE (%)
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
TEMP (24H TREND) 53 (-7) 82 (+2) 53 86
RH % (24H TREND) 76 (-7) 25 (-5) 81 29
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1300 1900
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4300 6100
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1400 2000
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 4700 6500
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) N 4 SE 2
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 8 SE 5
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 5600 4000
CATEGORY DAY 3 3
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 73 77
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) NE 4 E 3
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) NE 8 E 6
DISPERSION INDEX 8 20 7 13
STABILITY CLASS F B F B
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3 3
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
TUESDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 90. MINIMUM RH
38 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
THURSDAY
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 90. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT.
SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
THURSDAY NIGHT
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
FRIDAY
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
80S. MINIMUM RH 66 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
FRIDAY NIGHT
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE
MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SATURDAY
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 71 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SATURDAY NIGHT
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SUNDAY
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S. MINIMUM RH 72 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-280900-
COAHOMA-DESOTO-PANOLA-QUITMAN-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TUNICA-YALOBUSHA-
330 PM CDT SUN SEP 27 2026
TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLEAR CLEAR CLEAR
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
PRECIP CHANCE (%)
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
TEMP (24H TREND) 59 (-4) 85 (-1) 58 89
RH % (24H TREND) 68 (-11) 23 (-4) 70 31
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1600 2100
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 5200 6800
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1600 2100
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 5400 7000
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) NE 3 SE 2
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NE 7 SE 5
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 4800 4200
CATEGORY DAY 3 3
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 77 80
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) NE 4 SE 4
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) NE 8 SE 8
DISPERSION INDEX 9 21 8 15
STABILITY CLASS F B F B
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3 3
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
TUESDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH
43 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
THURSDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH
51 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
THURSDAY NIGHT
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
FRIDAY
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID
80S. MINIMUM RH 65 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
FRIDAY NIGHT
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE
MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SATURDAY
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS AROUND 80.
MINIMUM RH 71 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SATURDAY NIGHT
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE
MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SUNDAY
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
70S. MINIMUM RH 72 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-280900-
ALCORN-BENTON MS-CALHOUN-CHICKASAW-ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LEE MS-
MARSHALL-MONROE-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-TIPPAH-TISHOMINGO-UNION-
330 PM CDT SUN SEP 27 2026
TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR CLEAR CLEAR
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
PRECIP CHANCE (%)
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
TEMP (24H TREND) 56 (-4) 84 (+1) 54 88
RH % (24H TREND) 72 (-7) 23 (-3) 81 27
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1400 1800
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4600 5900
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1500 1900
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 5000 6300
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) N 3 SE 2
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 7 SE 5
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 4500 3800
CATEGORY DAY 3 2
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 75 78
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) NE 3 E 2
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) NE 7 E 5
DISPERSION INDEX 7 19 7 10
STABILITY CLASS F B F B
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3 3
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
TUESDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 60. SOUTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 90. MINIMUM RH 39 PERCENT. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
THURSDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 90. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
THURSDAY NIGHT
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
FRIDAY
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID
80S. MINIMUM RH 59 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
FRIDAY NIGHT
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE
MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SATURDAY
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 80.
MINIMUM RH 69 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SATURDAY NIGHT
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE
MID 60S. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SUNDAY
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
70S. MINIMUM RH 71 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
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