702
FNUS54 KMEG 020830
FWFMEG
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR THE MIDSOUTH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
330 AM CDT FRI OCT 2 2026
DISCUSSION
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES AND RAIN CHANCES WILL INCREASE
FRIDAY AND INTO THE WEEKEND AS A COLD FRONT SLOWLY MOVES THROUGH
THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. CONFIDENCE IS LOW TO MEDIUM FOR
AROUND ONE INCH OF RAIN ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
COOLER AND DRIER AIR WILL FOLLOW FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK.
ARZ009-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-022100-
CLAY-CRAIGHEAD-DUNKLIN-GREENE-MISSISSIPPI-PEMISCOT-POINSETT-
330 AM CDT FRI OCT 2 2026
TODAY TONIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 50 0 0
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 90 40 20
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS SHOWERS SHOWERS
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.75 0.08 0.00
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 9 1 0
PRECIP BEGIN 6 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING 9 AM
TEMP (24H TREND) 75 (-17) 59 (-12) 73
RH % (24H TREND) 87 (+40) 100 (0) 69
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR NE 8
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) N 9 G19 NE 9 G19 NE 7
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 400 800
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 1400 2700
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 500 900
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 1700 3000
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) NE 7 NE 5
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NE 15 NE 10
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 3500 4500
CATEGORY DAY 2 3
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 74 68
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) N 6 NE 7
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) N 14 NE 15
DISPERSION INDEX 23 23 27
STABILITY CLASS C D C
STAGNATION INDEX 1 2 2
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
SATURDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SUNDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH
54 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SUNDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. NORTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
MONDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
MONDAY NIGHT
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
TUESDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 38 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY NIGHT
CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH
44 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. NORTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
THURSDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 40 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
ARZ035-036-048-049-058-022100-
CRITTENDEN-CROSS-LEE AR-PHILLIPS-ST. FRANCIS-
330 AM CDT FRI OCT 2 2026
TODAY TONIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 20 20 0
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 90 30 30
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS SHOWERS
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.50 0.14 0.03
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 7 2 1
PRECIP BEGIN 6 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING 10 AM
TEMP (24H TREND) 83 (-10) 62 (-10) 80
RH % (24H TREND) 77 (+32) 100 (0) 72
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR NE 5
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) N 4 NE 7 NE 5
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 600 700
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 2000 2400
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 700 800
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 2200 2600
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) NW 3 NE 5
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NW 7 NE 10
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 2100 4000
CATEGORY DAY 2 3
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 78 71
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) NW 4 NE 6
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) NW 9 NE 14
DISPERSION INDEX 13 22 23
STABILITY CLASS C D C
STAGNATION INDEX 2 3 3
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
SATURDAY NIGHT
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID
60S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SUNDAY
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
70S. MINIMUM RH 61 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SUNDAY NIGHT
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
MONDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 42 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
MONDAY NIGHT
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
TUESDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 35 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY NIGHT
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH
40 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. NORTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
THURSDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 34 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TNZ001>004-019>022-022100-
BENTON TN-CARROLL-DYER-GIBSON-HENRY-LAKE-OBION-WEAKLEY-
330 AM CDT FRI OCT 2 2026
TODAY TONIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 20 0 0
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 90 60 20
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS SHOWERS SHOWERS
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.58 0.15 0.00
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 9 2 0
PRECIP BEGIN 6 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING 9 AM
TEMP (24H TREND) 76 (-16) 58 (-11) 73
RH % (24H TREND) 86 (+41) 100 (0) 73
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR NE 6
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) N 5 G17 NE 7 G18 NE 5
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 500 900
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 1600 3100
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 600 1100
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 2000 3500
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) NW 4 NE 4
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NW 9 NE 9
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 2400 4400
CATEGORY DAY 2 3
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 77 69
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) NW 6 NE 6
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) NW 14 NE 12
DISPERSION INDEX 17 21 21
STABILITY CLASS C D C
STAGNATION INDEX 1 3 3
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
SATURDAY NIGHT
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SUNDAY
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH
63 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SUNDAY NIGHT
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. NORTH WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
MONDAY NIGHT
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
TUESDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 41 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY NIGHT
CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH
45 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. EAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
THURSDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 39 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TNZ048>055-088>091-022100-
CHESTER-CROCKETT-DECATUR-FAYETTE-HARDEMAN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-
LAUDERDALE-MADISON-MCNAIRY-SHELBY-TIPTON-
330 AM CDT FRI OCT 2 2026
TODAY TONIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 20 20 0
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 90 50 30
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS SHOWERS
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.44 0.12 0.01
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 6 2 1
PRECIP BEGIN 6 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING 10 AM
TEMP (24H TREND) 82 (-10) 61 (-8) 77
RH % (24H TREND) 77 (+31) 100 (0) 75
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR NE 5
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) NW 4 NE 6 NE 5
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 700 700
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 2400 2300
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 900 800
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 2800 2700
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) W 3 NE 4
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 7 NE 9
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 2700 3200
CATEGORY DAY 2 2
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 79 70
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) W 5 NE 5
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) W 12 NE 11
DISPERSION INDEX 17 17 19
STABILITY CLASS C D C
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
SATURDAY NIGHT
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER
60S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SUNDAY
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
70S. MINIMUM RH 68 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SUNDAY NIGHT
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. NORTHEAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
MONDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 42 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
MONDAY NIGHT
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
TUESDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 37 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY NIGHT
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH
40 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. EAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
THURSDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 34 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-022100-
COAHOMA-DESOTO-PANOLA-QUITMAN-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TUNICA-YALOBUSHA-
330 AM CDT FRI OCT 2 2026
TODAY TONIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 20 20 20
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 80 40 30
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.24 0.10 0.10
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 4 2 1
PRECIP BEGIN 7 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING
TEMP (24H TREND) 89 (-4) 64 (-7) 84
RH % (24H TREND) 63 (+18) 100 (0) 70
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR NE 4
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR NE 6 NE 5
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1000 800
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 3100 2700
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1000 900
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 3400 2900
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) SW 3 NE 4
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 6 NE 8
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 3000 3600
CATEGORY DAY 2 2
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 81 74
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) W 4 NE 5
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) W 9 NE 12
DISPERSION INDEX 16 15 19
STABILITY CLASS C E C
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
SATURDAY NIGHT
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID
60S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SUNDAY
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. CLOUDY. HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM
RH 72 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SUNDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
MONDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 41 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
MONDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
TUESDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 36 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. NORTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 40 PERCENT.
EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. EAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
THURSDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 33 PERCENT.
EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-022100-
ALCORN-BENTON MS-CALHOUN-CHICKASAW-ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LEE MS-
MARSHALL-MONROE-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-TIPPAH-TISHOMINGO-UNION-
330 AM CDT FRI OCT 2 2026
TODAY TONIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 20 20 20
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 40 30 30
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.06 0.06 0.07
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 1 2 2
PRECIP BEGIN 10 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING
TEMP (24H TREND) 91 (-1) 65 (-3) 87
RH % (24H TREND) 54 (+9) 100 (0) 65
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR NE 4 LGT/VAR
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1100 900
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 3700 2900
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1300 1000
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 4100 3300
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) SW 3 E 3
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 6 E 6
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 3900 3000
CATEGORY DAY 2 2
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 81 75
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) SW 3 NE 4
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) SW 8 NE 8
DISPERSION INDEX 20 8 15
STABILITY CLASS B E B
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
SATURDAY NIGHT
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID
60S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SUNDAY
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.
MINIMUM RH 76 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SUNDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
MONDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH
38 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
MONDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
TUESDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 37 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. EAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH
37 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. EAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
THURSDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 30 PERCENT.
EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
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