578  
FNUS54 KMEG 210831  
FWFMEG  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR THE MIDSOUTH  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN  
330 AM CDT MON SEP 21 2026  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
ANOTHER ANOMALOUSLY WARM DAY IS ON TAP FOR MONDAY WITH HIGHS IN  
THE MID 90S TO LOWER 100S. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL BRING ISOLATED  
CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND STORMS MONDAY. WHILE MOISTURE AND MINIMUM  
RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL INCREASE, WETTING RAIN IS NOT  
EXPECTED. 20FT WINDS WILL REMAIN BELOW 10 MPH THROUGH THE PERIOD.  
A LOW CHANCE FOR FOG DEVELOPMENT WILL EXIST MAINLY ALONG THE  
TENNESSEE RIVER TUESDAY MORNING, OTHERWISE FOG IS NOT EXPECTED  
AMIDST RELATIVELY DRY SOILS. COOLER CONDITIONS WILL FILTER IN  
BEHIND THE COLD FRONT MONDAY.  
 
ARZ009-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-212100-  
CLAY-CRAIGHEAD-DUNKLIN-GREENE-MISSISSIPPI-PEMISCOT-POINSETT-  
330 AM CDT MON SEP 21 2026  
 
TODAY TONIGHT TUE  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLEAR PCLDY  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 20 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 20 20 10  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS SHOWERS NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.01 0.01 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 1 1  
PRECIP BEGIN 7 AM CONTINUING  
PRECIP END CONTINUING 6 AM  
TEMP (24H TREND) 94 (-4) 67 (-5) 86  
RH % (24H TREND) 44 (+12) 100 (+15) 55  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR N 8  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) N 4 N 4 N 9 G17  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1300 1400  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4400 4600  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1400 1500  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 4700 4900  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) NW 4 N 5  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NW 8 N 12  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 5600 7500  
CATEGORY DAY 3 3  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 84 74  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) N 5 N 6  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) N 11 N 14  
DISPERSION INDEX 19 11 31  
STABILITY CLASS B F C  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 2  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
TUESDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS  
10 TO 15 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH  
51 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST  
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
THURSDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 49 PERCENT.  
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH  
48 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH  
43 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH  
35 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 
 
 
ARZ035-036-048-049-058-212100-  
CRITTENDEN-CROSS-LEE AR-PHILLIPS-ST. FRANCIS-  
330 AM CDT MON SEP 21 2026  
 
TODAY TONIGHT TUE  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 20 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 20 20 10  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS SHOWERS NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 0 0  
PRECIP BEGIN 2 PM CONTINUING  
PRECIP END CONTINUING 10 PM  
TEMP (24H TREND) 99 (0) 69 (-5) 93  
RH % (24H TREND) 36 (+6) 100 (+19) 46  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR N 5  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR N 7  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1800 1600  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 5900 5300  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1900 1700  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 6100 5500  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) NW 4 N 5  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NW 8 N 12  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 7600 8500  
CATEGORY DAY 3 4  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 88 79  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) N 5 NE 6  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) N 11 NE 14  
DISPERSION INDEX 19 9 31  
STABILITY CLASS B F B  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
TUESDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. NORTHEAST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 45 PERCENT.  
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH  
41 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH  
41 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH  
36 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH  
31 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 
 
 
TNZ001>004-019>022-212100-  
BENTON TN-CARROLL-DYER-GIBSON-HENRY-LAKE-OBION-WEAKLEY-  
330 AM CDT MON SEP 21 2026  
 
TODAY TONIGHT TUE  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 20 20 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 20 20 10  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 0 1  
PRECIP BEGIN 2 PM CONTINUING  
PRECIP END CONTINUING 2 AM  
TEMP (24H TREND) 95 (-2) 67 (-5) 86  
RH % (24H TREND) 42 (+6) 100 (+14) 57  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR N 6  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) NW 4 LGT/VAR N 7  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1400 1300  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4600 4100  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1500 1400  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 5000 4500  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) NW 4 N 4  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NW 8 N 9  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 6000 5600  
CATEGORY DAY 3 3  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 86 73  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) NW 4 N 5  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) NW 9 N 12  
DISPERSION INDEX 19 9 27  
STABILITY CLASS C F C  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
TUESDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. NORTH  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH  
54 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. NORTH  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT.  
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH  
50 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH  
40 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH  
34 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 
 
 
TNZ048>055-088>091-212100-  
CHESTER-CROCKETT-DECATUR-FAYETTE-HARDEMAN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-  
LAUDERDALE-MADISON-MCNAIRY-SHELBY-TIPTON-  
330 AM CDT MON SEP 21 2026  
 
TODAY TONIGHT TUE  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLEAR PCLDY  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 20 20 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 20 20 10  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.01 0.01 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 0 1  
PRECIP BEGIN 2 PM CONTINUING  
PRECIP END CONTINUING 12 AM  
TEMP (24H TREND) 96 (-2) 67 (-5) 90  
RH % (24H TREND) 38 (+3) 100 (+16) 52  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR N 5  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR N 7  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1900 1400  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 6200 4400  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 2000 1500  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 6600 4800  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) W 4 N 5  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 8 N 10  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 8000 7500  
CATEGORY DAY 4 3  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 89 76  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) NW 4 N 6  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) NW 8 N 12  
DISPERSION INDEX 20 8 27  
STABILITY CLASS B F B  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
TUESDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. NORTH WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 49 PERCENT.  
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. NORTH  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 47 PERCENT.  
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH  
45 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH  
37 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH  
32 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 
 
 
MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-212100-  
COAHOMA-DESOTO-PANOLA-QUITMAN-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TUNICA-YALOBUSHA-  
330 AM CDT MON SEP 21 2026  
 
TODAY TONIGHT TUE  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 20 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 30 30 10  
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS TSTMS NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 1 1  
PRECIP BEGIN 1 PM CONTINUING  
PRECIP END CONTINUING 12 AM  
TEMP (24H TREND) 99 (+1) 69 (-4) 94  
RH % (24H TREND) 38 (+3) 100 (+17) 48  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR N 6  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 2100 1800  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 7000 6000  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 2200 1900  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 7200 6200  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) NW 3 N 4  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NW 7 N 9  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 6600 7600  
CATEGORY DAY 3 3  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 90 81  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) N 3 N 5  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) N 7 N 12  
DISPERSION INDEX 19 7 27  
STABILITY CLASS B F B  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
TUESDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS  
10 TO 15 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH  
47 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. NORTH  
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
THURSDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 44 PERCENT.  
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH  
44 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH  
37 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH  
33 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 
 
 
MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-212100-  
ALCORN-BENTON MS-CALHOUN-CHICKASAW-ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LEE MS-  
MARSHALL-MONROE-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-TIPPAH-TISHOMINGO-UNION-  
330 AM CDT MON SEP 21 2026  
 
TODAY TONIGHT TUE  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 20 20 20  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 30 30 30  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.02 0.01 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 1 1 1  
PRECIP BEGIN 1 PM CONTINUING 1 PM  
PRECIP END CONTINUING 12 AM 6 PM  
TEMP (24H TREND) 97 (-1) 69 (-3) 94  
RH % (24H TREND) 37 (+1) 100 (+12) 48  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR N 4  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 2200 1500  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 7100 4900  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 2300 1600  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 7500 5300  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) W 3 N 3  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 7 N 7  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 6900 4800  
CATEGORY DAY 3 3  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 91 80  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) NW 3 N 4  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) NW 6 N 10  
DISPERSION INDEX 19 5 22  
STABILITY CLASS B F B  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
TUESDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH  
48 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. NORTH  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT.  
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 45 PERCENT.  
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. NORTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH  
36 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. NORTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH  
32 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 
 
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