625  
FNUS54 KMEG 172131  
FWFMEG  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR THE MIDSOUTH  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN  
331 PM CST SAT JAN 17 2026  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
VERY DRY POLAR AIR WILL PREVAIL OVER THE MIDSOUTH THROUGH MONDAY.  
DESPITE MUCH COLDER THAN NORMAL TEMPERATURES, MINIMUM RELATIVE  
HUMIDITY WILL RANGE FROM 25 TO 35 PERCENT THROUGH THE PERIOD.  
TEMPERATURES WILL MODERATE ON TUESDAY, BUT MOISTURE RETURN WILL  
LAG, RESULTING IN MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY OF 20 TO 25 PERCENT  
OVER MUCH OF THE MIDSOUTH TUESDAY AFTERNOON. LOW CHANCES OF  
WETTING RAINFALL RETURN WEDNESDAY NIGHT.  
 
ARZ009-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-181000-  
CLAY-CRAIGHEAD-DUNKLIN-GREENE-MISSISSIPPI-PEMISCOT-POINSETT-  
331 PM CST SAT JAN 17 2026  
 
TONIGHT SUN SUN NIGHT MON  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%)  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
TEMP (24H TREND) 14 (-14) 37 (+1) 21 32  
RH % (24H TREND) 60 (-25) 30 (+3) 72 31  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) W 5 NW 9  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) NW 6 SW 10 G20 SW 7 N 8  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 800 1100  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 2700 3700  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 900 1200  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 3000 3900  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) SW 9 NW 6  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 20 NW 14  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 8100 7200  
CATEGORY DAY 4 3  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 26 23  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) SW 7 NW 7  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) SW 15 NW 16  
DISPERSION INDEX 17 40 14 45  
STABILITY CLASS F C F C  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3 2  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
MONDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 15. NORTH WINDS AROUND  
5 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. MINIMUM RH 28 PERCENT.  
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. SOUTH WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH  
61 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S.  
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. MINIMUM RH 44 PERCENT.  
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH  
53 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT  
A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN  
THE MID 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY  
A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE  
MID 40S. MINIMUM RH 70 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.  
 
 
 
ARZ035-036-048-049-058-181000-  
CRITTENDEN-CROSS-LEE AR-PHILLIPS-ST. FRANCIS-  
331 PM CST SAT JAN 17 2026  
 
TONIGHT SUN SUN NIGHT MON  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR CLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%)  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
TEMP (24H TREND) 17 (-15) 39 (+1) 23 37  
RH % (24H TREND) 59 (-26) 29 (+2) 73 32  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR N 6  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR SW 6 SW 4 N 6  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 900 1000  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 2800 3300  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 900 1100  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 3000 3500  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) SW 8 N 7  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 18 N 15  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 7200 7700  
CATEGORY DAY 3 3  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 27 26  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) W 6 N 8  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) W 13 N 18  
DISPERSION INDEX 15 34 12 45  
STABILITY CLASS F C F C  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
MONDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 15 TO 20. NORTH WINDS AROUND  
5 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. MINIMUM RH 29 PERCENT.  
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. SOUTH WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN  
THE MID 40S. MINIMUM RH 65 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT  
A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS  
IN THE LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. MINIMUM RH  
52 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH  
58 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT  
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND  
40. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY  
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE  
LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH 79 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 
 
 
TNZ001>004-019>022-181000-  
BENTON TN-CARROLL-DYER-GIBSON-HENRY-LAKE-OBION-WEAKLEY-  
331 PM CST SAT JAN 17 2026  
 
TONIGHT SUN SUN NIGHT MON  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%)  
PRECIP TYPE FLURRIES NONE NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
TEMP (24H TREND) 15 (-13) 34 (-4) 19 32  
RH % (24H TREND) 67 (-28) 32 (0) 74 29  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR NW 7  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR SW 7 G18 SW 6 NW 6  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 800 1000  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 2600 3400  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 900 1200  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 3000 3800  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) SW 9 NW 7  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 20 NW 15  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 8100 8400  
CATEGORY DAY 4 4  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 25 23  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) SW 5 NW 7  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) SW 12 NW 15  
DISPERSION INDEX 24 35 14 53  
STABILITY CLASS F C F C  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
MONDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 10 TO 15. NORTH WINDS AROUND  
5 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. MINIMUM RH 25 PERCENT.  
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. SOUTH WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. MINIMUM RH  
55 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT  
A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS  
IN THE UPPER 20S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. MINIMUM RH 44 PERCENT.  
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH  
48 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT  
A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN  
THE MID 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY  
A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE  
MID 40S. MINIMUM RH 69 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 
 
 
TNZ048>055-088>091-181000-  
CHESTER-CROCKETT-DECATUR-FAYETTE-HARDEMAN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-  
LAUDERDALE-MADISON-MCNAIRY-SHELBY-TIPTON-  
331 PM CST SAT JAN 17 2026  
 
TONIGHT SUN SUN NIGHT MON  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR CLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%)  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
TEMP (24H TREND) 16 (-14) 36 (-4) 22 36  
RH % (24H TREND) 67 (-25) 30 (-1) 73 33  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR NW 6  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR SW 7 SW 5 N 6  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 800 1000  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 2700 3300  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 900 1100  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 3100 3700  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) W 7 N 6  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 15 N 14  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 6300 6600  
CATEGORY DAY 3 3  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 26 26  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) W 5 NW 7  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) W 11 NW 15  
DISPERSION INDEX 21 30 13 45  
STABILITY CLASS F C F C  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
MONDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 15. NORTH WINDS AROUND  
5 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 40. MINIMUM RH 25 PERCENT. SOUTH  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT  
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. MINIMUM RH  
55 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT  
A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS  
AROUND 30. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. MINIMUM RH  
47 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 50. MINIMUM RH 49 PERCENT.  
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT  
A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN  
THE MID 30S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY  
A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS AROUND  
50. MINIMUM RH 71 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 
 
 
MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-181000-  
COAHOMA-DESOTO-PANOLA-QUITMAN-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TUNICA-YALOBUSHA-  
331 PM CST SAT JAN 17 2026  
 
TONIGHT SUN SUN NIGHT MON  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR CLEAR CLEAR MCLEAR  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%)  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
TEMP (24H TREND) 18 (-12) 39 (-4) 22 42  
RH % (24H TREND) 63 (-29) 29 (0) 77 34  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR NW 5  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR SW 6 SW 4 N 6  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 900 1000  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 2800 3300  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 900 1100  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 3100 3500  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) W 5 N 6  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 12 N 14  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 4500 6600  
CATEGORY DAY 3 3  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 27 29  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) W 5 N 7  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) W 11 N 17  
DISPERSION INDEX 14 27 11 42  
STABILITY CLASS F C F C  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
MONDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 15 TO 20. NORTH WINDS AROUND  
5 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. MINIMUM RH 28 PERCENT.  
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. SOUTH WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN  
THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH 59 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT  
A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS  
IN THE MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH  
56 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. EAST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY  
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH  
58 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT  
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND  
40. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY  
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID  
50S. MINIMUM RH 77 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 
 
 
MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-181000-  
ALCORN-BENTON MS-CALHOUN-CHICKASAW-ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LEE MS-  
MARSHALL-MONROE-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-TIPPAH-TISHOMINGO-UNION-  
331 PM CST SAT JAN 17 2026  
 
TONIGHT SUN SUN NIGHT MON  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR CLEAR CLEAR MCLEAR  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%)  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
TEMP (24H TREND) 18 (-13) 39 (-6) 23 43  
RH % (24H TREND) 66 (-33) 26 (-9) 72 31  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR NW 4  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR W 5 LGT/VAR N 6  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 800 1000  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 2800 3400  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1000 1200  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 3200 3800  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) W 5 N 6  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 12 N 13  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 5000 7200  
CATEGORY DAY 3 3  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 28 30  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) W 4 N 6  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) W 10 N 14  
DISPERSION INDEX 17 26 10 39  
STABILITY CLASS F C F C  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
MONDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 15 TO 20. NORTH WINDS AROUND  
5 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. MINIMUM RH 25 PERCENT.  
EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. SOUTH WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH  
45 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT  
A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS  
IN THE LOWER 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH  
52 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. EAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH  
48 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT  
A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN  
THE UPPER 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY  
A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE  
MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 69 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 
 
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