132  
FNUS54 KMEG 152031  
FWFMEG  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR THE MIDSOUTH  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN  
330 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2026  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
DRY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST INTO NEXT WEEK WITH LITTLE TO NO  
WETTING RAINFALL. A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL PASS THROUGH THE  
REGION LATER TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING. POST-FRONTAL RELATIVE  
HUMIDITY WILL DROP BELOW 40 PERCENT FRIDAY AFTERNOON, ACCOMPANIED  
BY STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS. THESE ELEVATED WINDS AND RELATIVE  
HUMIDITY VALUES BETWEEN 30-35 PERCENT, GENERALLY FOR AREAS ALONG  
AND WEST OF A LINE FROM DYERSBURG, TN TO OXFORD, MS, MAY RESULT  
IN AN ELEVATED FIRE DANGER FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND THE ISSUANCE OF A  
RANGELAND FIRE DANGER STATEMENT. WINDS WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH  
INTO THE UPCOMING WEEKEND. TEMPERATURES WILL MODERATE AGAIN NEXT  
WEEK AS AN UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE BUILDS ACROSS THE REGION.  
 
ARZ009-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-160900-  
CLAY-CRAIGHEAD-DUNKLIN-GREENE-MISSISSIPPI-PEMISCOT-POINSETT-  
330 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2026  
 
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 10 10  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
TEMP (24H TREND) 54 (-17) 65 (-26) 44 63  
RH % (24H TREND) 97 (-1) 39 (+1) 91 35  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) NW 14 G22 N 10 G19  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) SW 5 NW 15 G23 N 11 G23 NE 9 G18  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1700 1500  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 5400 4900  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1700 1600  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 5700 5200  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) N 11 NE 6  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 25 NE 14  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 18700 9600  
CATEGORY DAY 5 4  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 56 49  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) NW 11 NE 8  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) NW 25 NE 17  
DISPERSION INDEX 45 67 36 46  
STABILITY CLASS E D E C  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 2 2 2  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 70. MINIMUM RH 29 PERCENT. EAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. EAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 31 PERCENT.  
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. EAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 33 PERCENT.  
EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH  
32 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 31 PERCENT.  
EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 

 
 
ARZ035-036-048-049-058-160900-  
CRITTENDEN-CROSS-LEE AR-PHILLIPS-ST. FRANCIS-  
330 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2026  
 
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR PCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%)  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
TEMP (24H TREND) 57 (-12) 69 (-23) 45 66  
RH % (24H TREND) 93 (-3) 35 (+2) 86 32  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) N 11 G23 N 8 G20  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR N 12 G23 N 9 G24 NE 8 G18  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1600 1500  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 5200 5100  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1700 1600  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 5400 5300  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) N 11 NE 7  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 24 NE 15  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 18700 11200  
CATEGORY DAY 5 4  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 59 51  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) N 12 NE 9  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) N 26 NE 20  
DISPERSION INDEX 38 66 32 53  
STABILITY CLASS F C E C  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 2 2 2  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 26 PERCENT.  
EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. EAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 29 PERCENT.  
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. EAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH 30 PERCENT. EAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH  
28 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 28 PERCENT.  
EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 

 
 
TNZ001>004-019>022-160900-  
BENTON TN-CARROLL-DYER-GIBSON-HENRY-LAKE-OBION-WEAKLEY-  
330 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2026  
 
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 10 10  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
TEMP (24H TREND) 53 (-17) 64 (-26) 42 63  
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+1) 43 (+4) 100 35  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) NW 12 G21 N 10 G18  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) SW 4 NW 12 G23 NW 11 G23 NE 9  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1400 1500  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4700 4800  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1500 1600  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 5100 5200  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) NW 11 NE 7  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NW 24 NE 15  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 16500 11200  
CATEGORY DAY 5 4  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 57 48  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) NW 10 N 7  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) NW 23 N 15  
DISPERSION INDEX 30 60 37 46  
STABILITY CLASS E D D C  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 2 2 2  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 32 PERCENT.  
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 36 PERCENT.  
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. EAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH  
37 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH  
36 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 34 PERCENT.  
EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 

 
 
TNZ048>055-088>091-160900-  
CHESTER-CROCKETT-DECATUR-FAYETTE-HARDEMAN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-  
LAUDERDALE-MADISON-MCNAIRY-SHELBY-TIPTON-  
330 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2026  
 
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 20  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
TEMP (24H TREND) 56 (-12) 67 (-24) 43 63  
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+4) 41 (+6) 100 33  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) NW 12 G23 N 11 G19  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR NW 13 G22 N 11 G23 NE 10 G18  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1400 1500  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4700 5000  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1600 1600  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 5100 5400  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) N 10 NE 7  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 23 NE 16  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 16000 11200  
CATEGORY DAY 5 4  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 59 50  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) N 10 N 7  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) N 22 N 17  
DISPERSION INDEX 17 58 31 49  
STABILITY CLASS F D D C  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 2 2 2  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 70. MINIMUM RH 29 PERCENT. EAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 33 PERCENT.  
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. EAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 34 PERCENT.  
EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH 32 PERCENT.  
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 30 PERCENT.  
EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 

 
 
MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-160900-  
COAHOMA-DESOTO-PANOLA-QUITMAN-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TUNICA-YALOBUSHA-  
330 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2026  
 
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT  
 
CLOUD COVER CLEAR PCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 10  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
TEMP (24H TREND) 59 (-9) 72 (-20) 46 68  
RH % (24H TREND) 97 (+20) 35 (+2) 87 31  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) NW 11 G23 N 10 G21  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR N 14 G23 N 11 G23 NE 10 G19  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1400 1500  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4600 5100  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1500 1600  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 4800 5300  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) N 10 NE 7  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 22 NE 16  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 15000 11200  
CATEGORY DAY 4 4  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 61 52  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) N 10 NE 9  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) N 23 NE 20  
DISPERSION INDEX 12 59 28 54  
STABILITY CLASS F D E C  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 2 2 2  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 26 PERCENT.  
EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. EAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 31 PERCENT.  
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. EAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 30 PERCENT.  
EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 28 PERCENT.  
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 27 PERCENT.  
EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 

 
 
MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-160900-  
ALCORN-BENTON MS-CALHOUN-CHICKASAW-ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LEE MS-  
MARSHALL-MONROE-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-TIPPAH-TISHOMINGO-UNION-  
330 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2026  
 
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT  
 
CLOUD COVER CLEAR PCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 10  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
TEMP (24H TREND) 61 (-4) 76 (-15) 46 67  
RH % (24H TREND) 96 (+11) 38 (+5) 91 31  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) NW 8 G20 N 10 G19  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR N 13 G23 N 11 G23 N 11 G19  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1100 1500  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 3500 5000  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1200 1600  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 3900 5400  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) N 10 NE 8  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 22 NE 17  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 12000 12800  
CATEGORY DAY 4 4  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 64 52  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) NW 9 N 8  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) NW 20 N 18  
DISPERSION INDEX 9 52 26 53  
STABILITY CLASS F D E C  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 2 2 2  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 28 PERCENT.  
EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. EAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 34 PERCENT.  
EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. EAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 33 PERCENT.  
EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH  
30 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND  
5 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 29 PERCENT.  
EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 

 
 
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