496
FNUS54 KMEG 142031
FWFMEG
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR THE MIDSOUTH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
330 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2026
DISCUSSION
MAINLY DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO NEXT WEEK AS
MOISTURE OR ANY PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO BE LIMITED AT BEST.
A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL PASS THROUGH THE REGION ON FRIDAY. LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES BETWEEN 30-40 PERCENT COMBINED WITH
ELEVATED 20 FT WINDS MAY RESULT IN AN ELEVATED FIRE DANGER ON
FRIDAY OVER PORTIONS OF EAST ARKANSAS AND NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI.
CONFIDENCE IN FIRE CONDITIONS BECOMING CRITICAL ON FRIDAY REMAINS
LOW AT THIS TIME WITH HIGHER RELATIVE HUMIDITY MITIGATING THE
POTENTIAL.
ARZ009-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-150900-
CLAY-CRAIGHEAD-DUNKLIN-GREENE-MISSISSIPPI-PEMISCOT-POINSETT-
330 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2026
TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 50 0 0 0
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 60 10
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS NONE NONE NONE
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.14 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 1
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM
PRECIP END 6 AM
TEMP (24H TREND) 69 (-5) 91 (+3) 58 68
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+9) 36 (-30) 97 39
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) S 4 NW 15 G23
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR SW 9 SW 4 N 16 G23
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1500 1900
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4800 6100
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1500 1900
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 5100 6400
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) SW 8 NW 10
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 17 NW 22
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 12000 19000
CATEGORY DAY 4 5
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 87 57
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) SW 9 NW 12
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) SW 20 NW 26
DISPERSION INDEX 6 40 31 59
STABILITY CLASS F C F D
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3 2
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
FRIDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. NORTH WINDS
10 TO 15 MPH.
SATURDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 39 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
SATURDAY NIGHT
CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
SUNDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 70. MINIMUM RH 32 PERCENT. EAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SUNDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. EAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 37 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY NIGHT
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. EAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH
41 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH
39 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
ARZ035-036-048-049-058-150900-
CRITTENDEN-CROSS-LEE AR-PHILLIPS-ST. FRANCIS-
330 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2026
TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 30 10
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
TEMP (24H TREND) 69 (-6) 94 (+3) 61 73
RH % (24H TREND) 92 (+3) 30 (-27) 91 36
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR NW 10 G23
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR SW 5 LGT/VAR N 12 G23
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1600 1700
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 5200 5600
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1700 1800
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 5400 5800
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) SW 6 N 10
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 14 N 22
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 10200 18000
CATEGORY DAY 4 5
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 86 59
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) SW 8 NW 12
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) SW 18 NW 28
DISPERSION INDEX 8 36 12 57
STABILITY CLASS F B F C
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3 2
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
FRIDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS
10 TO 15 MPH.
SATURDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 35 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
SATURDAY NIGHT
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
SUNDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 28 PERCENT.
EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SUNDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. EAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 35 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY NIGHT
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH
38 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. EAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 35 PERCENT.
EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TNZ001>004-019>022-150900-
BENTON TN-CARROLL-DYER-GIBSON-HENRY-LAKE-OBION-WEAKLEY-
330 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2026
TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 50 0 0 0
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 70 10 10
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS NONE NONE NONE
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.13 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 2
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM
PRECIP END 6 AM
TEMP (24H TREND) 68 (-4) 92 (+5) 58 68
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+13) 37 (-30) 100 44
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) S 4 NW 12 G23
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR SW 7 LGT/VAR NW 13 G23
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1400 1600
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4500 5400
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1500 1800
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 4900 5800
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) SW 6 NW 9
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 14 NW 21
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 9000 16200
CATEGORY DAY 4 5
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 86 59
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) SW 9 NW 11
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) SW 19 NW 24
DISPERSION INDEX 6 34 11 54
STABILITY CLASS F B F D
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3 2
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
FRIDAY NIGHT
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. NORTH WINDS
10 TO 15 MPH.
SATURDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 41 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
SATURDAY NIGHT
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
SUNDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 35 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SUNDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 43 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY NIGHT
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. EAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH
45 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. EAST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH 40 PERCENT. EAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TNZ048>055-088>091-150900-
CHESTER-CROCKETT-DECATUR-FAYETTE-HARDEMAN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-
LAUDERDALE-MADISON-MCNAIRY-SHELBY-TIPTON-
330 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2026
TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 50 0 0 0
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 50 10
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS NONE NONE NONE
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.05 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 1
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM
PRECIP END 10 PM
TEMP (24H TREND) 66 (-6) 92 (+4) 60 71
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+13) 34 (-29) 99 44
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) S 4 NW 11 G23
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR SW 6 LGT/VAR N 14 G23
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1500 1600
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 5000 5100
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1600 1700
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 5400 5500
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) SW 6 NW 9
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 13 NW 21
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 9600 15300
CATEGORY DAY 4 4
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 86 61
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) SW 8 NW 10
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) SW 18 NW 23
DISPERSION INDEX 7 34 11 51
STABILITY CLASS F B F D
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3 2
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
FRIDAY NIGHT
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. NORTH WINDS
10 TO 15 MPH.
SATURDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 38 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
SATURDAY NIGHT
CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
SUNDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 70. MINIMUM RH 32 PERCENT. EAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SUNDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 41 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY NIGHT
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. EAST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH
42 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. EAST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH
38 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-150900-
COAHOMA-DESOTO-PANOLA-QUITMAN-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TUNICA-YALOBUSHA-
330 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2026
TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 10
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
TEMP (24H TREND) 65 (-8) 94 (+2) 63 78
RH % (24H TREND) 75 (-7) 31 (-15) 93 39
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) SW 4 NW 9 G23
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR SW 5 LGT/VAR N 14 G25
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1700 1600
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 5600 5200
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1800 1600
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 5800 5400
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) SW 5 N 9
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 10 N 21
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 9000 14400
CATEGORY DAY 4 4
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 85 62
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) SW 7 NW 10
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) SW 15 NW 23
DISPERSION INDEX 8 30 10 53
STABILITY CLASS F B F D
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3 2
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
FRIDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS
15 TO 20 MPH.
SATURDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 34 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
SATURDAY NIGHT
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
SUNDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 29 PERCENT.
EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SUNDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. EAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 38 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY NIGHT
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH
38 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 36 PERCENT.
EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-150900-
ALCORN-BENTON MS-CALHOUN-CHICKASAW-ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LEE MS-
MARSHALL-MONROE-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-TIPPAH-TISHOMINGO-UNION-
330 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2026
TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR CLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 10 10
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
TEMP (24H TREND) 64 (-4) 93 (+2) 63 81
RH % (24H TREND) 85 (+2) 31 (-14) 90 43
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR W 7 G21
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR NW 14 G24
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1600 1300
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 5400 4100
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1800 1400
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 5800 4500
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) SW 4 N 9
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 8 N 20
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 7200 12600
CATEGORY DAY 3 4
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 84 66
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) SW 6 NW 9
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) SW 12 NW 20
DISPERSION INDEX 7 25 9 46
STABILITY CLASS F B F C
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3 2
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
FRIDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. NORTH WINDS
15 TO 20 MPH.
SATURDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 35 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
SATURDAY NIGHT
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
SUNDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 31 PERCENT.
EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SUNDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. EAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH
41 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY NIGHT
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. EAST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH
41 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH
37 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
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