200
FNUS54 KMEG 192131
FWFMEG
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR THE MIDSOUTH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
330 PM CST THU FEB 19 2026
DISCUSSION
A COUPLE OF COLD FRONTS WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION THROUGH
SATURDAY. HOWEVER, THERE IS HIGH CONFIDENCE THAT WETTING RAIN
CHANCES WILL REMAIN LARGELY ISOLATED TO SCATTERED FOR THE
MAJORITY OF THE MID-SOUTH. DRY AND COLD AIR WILL FILTER INTO THE
REGION SUNDAY AND MONDAY WITH MINIMUM HUMIDITY LEVELS RETURNING
TO THE 30 PERCENT RANGE EACH DAY.
ARZ009-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-201000-
CLAY-CRAIGHEAD-DUNKLIN-GREENE-MISSISSIPPI-PEMISCOT-POINSETT-
330 PM CST THU FEB 19 2026
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 30 20
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE SHOWERS SHOWERS
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 2 1
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING 6 PM
TEMP (24H TREND) 37 (-20) 56 (-20) 39 51
RH % (24H TREND) 67 (-31) 36 (-21) 80 49
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) NW 6 NE 9 G17
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) SW 11 G21 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR N 9 G17
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 700 800
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 2200 2600
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 700 900
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 2400 2900
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) NW 3 N 8
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NW 6 N 17
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 2100 7200
CATEGORY DAY 2 3
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 47 47
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) NW 4 NE 8
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) NW 8 NE 17
DISPERSION INDEX 32 32 20 35
STABILITY CLASS E B E C
STAGNATION INDEX 2 3 3 2
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
SATURDAY NIGHT
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
SUNDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH 32 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
SUNDAY NIGHT
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
MONDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. MINIMUM RH 34 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
MONDAY NIGHT
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. EAST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
TUESDAY
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH
35 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
TUESDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. SOUTH
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH
59 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN
THE MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
THURSDAY
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S. MINIMUM RH 57 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
ARZ035-036-048-049-058-201000-
CRITTENDEN-CROSS-LEE AR-PHILLIPS-ST. FRANCIS-
330 PM CST THU FEB 19 2026
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY PCLDY
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 10 10 50 10
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE SHOWERS SHOWERS
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 2 1
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM 12 PM
PRECIP END 6 AM 6 PM
TEMP (24H TREND) 42 (-19) 61 (-15) 43 57
RH % (24H TREND) 75 (-20) 38 (-22) 88 52
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR NE 6
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) SW 8 G20 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR N 7
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 600 700
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 1900 2300
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 600 800
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 2100 2500
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) N 3 N 8
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 6 N 18
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 1800 6400
CATEGORY DAY 1 3
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 52 52
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) N 4 NE 8
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) N 9 NE 17
DISPERSION INDEX 18 23 11 31
STABILITY CLASS F B E C
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3 3
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
SATURDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. NORTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SUNDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH 33 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SUNDAY NIGHT
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
MONDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. MINIMUM RH 36 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
MONDAY NIGHT
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. EAST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
TUESDAY
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH
37 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
TUESDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH
63 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS
AROUND 50. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
THURSDAY
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S. MINIMUM RH 63 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
TNZ001>004-019>022-201000-
BENTON TN-CARROLL-DYER-GIBSON-HENRY-LAKE-OBION-WEAKLEY-
330 PM CST THU FEB 19 2026
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLEAR MCLDY PCLDY
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 20 0 0 0
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 30 40 20
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS NONE SHOWERS SHOWERS
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.02 0.00 0.01 0.00
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 1 2 1
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM 6 PM 12 PM
PRECIP END 11 PM 6 AM 6 PM
TEMP (24H TREND) 40 (-18) 59 (-17) 40 53
RH % (24H TREND) 80 (-17) 34 (-23) 83 47
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) W 5 NE 6
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) SW 10 G20 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR N 7 G17
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 700 600
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 2200 2100
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 800 800
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 2600 2500
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) W 5 N 6
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 10 N 14
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 4000 4800
CATEGORY DAY 3 3
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 49 49
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) W 4 NE 6
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) W 9 NE 13
DISPERSION INDEX 33 34 12 28
STABILITY CLASS E B F C
STAGNATION INDEX 2 3 3 3
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
SATURDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SUNDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. MINIMUM RH 34 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
SUNDAY NIGHT
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
MONDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 40. MINIMUM RH 35 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
MONDAY NIGHT
CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 20. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 50. MINIMUM RH 33 PERCENT.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
TUESDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. SOUTH
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
THURSDAY
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S. MINIMUM RH 56 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
TNZ048>055-088>091-201000-
CHESTER-CROCKETT-DECATUR-FAYETTE-HARDEMAN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-
LAUDERDALE-MADISON-MCNAIRY-SHELBY-TIPTON-
330 PM CST THU FEB 19 2026
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLEAR MCLDY PCLDY
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 20 0 0 0
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 30 10 60 20
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS NONE SHOWERS SHOWERS
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.03 0.00 0.05 0.00
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 1 2 1
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM 6 PM 12 PM
PRECIP END 12 AM 6 AM 6 PM
TEMP (24H TREND) 42 (-17) 64 (-13) 42 59
RH % (24H TREND) 80 (-17) 32 (-25) 88 48
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR NE 5
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) SW 9 G20 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR N 7
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 600 700
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 1900 2200
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 700 800
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 2300 2600
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) NW 3 N 6
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NW 7 N 14
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 2100 4800
CATEGORY DAY 2 3
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 52 52
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) NW 3 NE 6
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) NW 7 NE 14
DISPERSION INDEX 29 24 11 23
STABILITY CLASS E B E C
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3 3
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
SATURDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
SUNDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH 33 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
SUNDAY NIGHT
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
MONDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. MINIMUM RH 35 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
MONDAY NIGHT
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. NORTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH
32 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
TUESDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 56 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN
THE MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
THURSDAY
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S. MINIMUM RH 58 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-201000-
COAHOMA-DESOTO-PANOLA-QUITMAN-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TUNICA-YALOBUSHA-
330 PM CST THU FEB 19 2026
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY PCLDY
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 20 20 70 10
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS NONE SHOWERS SHOWERS
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.11 0.00
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 1 6 1
PRECIP BEGIN 7 PM 6 PM CONTINUING
PRECIP END 12 AM CONTINUING 6 PM
TEMP (24H TREND) 44 (-18) 67 (-11) 46 64
RH % (24H TREND) 82 (-11) 31 (-31) 93 52
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR NE 4
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) SW 8 G20 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR N 7 G18
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 600 700
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 2000 2400
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 700 800
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 2300 2600
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) NE 3 N 6
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NE 6 N 14
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 2100 4800
CATEGORY DAY 2 3
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 58 57
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) NE 4 N 6
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) NE 9 N 14
DISPERSION INDEX 19 20 11 23
STABILITY CLASS E B E C
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 2 3
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
SATURDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. NORTH
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
SUNDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 50. MINIMUM RH 34 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
SUNDAY NIGHT
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
MONDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. MINIMUM RH 36 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
MONDAY NIGHT
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. NORTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH
34 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
TUESDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. SOUTH
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH
60 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS
AROUND 50. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
THURSDAY
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S. MINIMUM RH 62 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-201000-
ALCORN-BENTON MS-CALHOUN-CHICKASAW-ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LEE MS-
MARSHALL-MONROE-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-TIPPAH-TISHOMINGO-UNION-
330 PM CST THU FEB 19 2026
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLEAR MCLDY PCLDY
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 20 0 0 0
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 50 10 80 20
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS NONE SHOWERS SHOWERS
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.03 0.00 0.16 0.01
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 1 11 1
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM 6 PM CONTINUING
PRECIP END 3 AM CONTINUING 6 PM
TEMP (24H TREND) 45 (-16) 71 (-8) 46 68
RH % (24H TREND) 86 (-9) 26 (-29) 96 47
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) SW 7 G18 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR N 6
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 700 800
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 2300 2700
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 800 1000
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 2700 3100
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) N 2 N 5
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 3 N 10
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 1600 5000
CATEGORY DAY 1 3
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 61 57
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) N 3 NE 5
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) N 7 NE 11
DISPERSION INDEX 25 15 13 18
STABILITY CLASS E B E B
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 1 3
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
SATURDAY NIGHT
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. NORTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SUNDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 50. MINIMUM RH 30 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
SUNDAY NIGHT
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
MONDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. MINIMUM RH 30 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
MONDAY NIGHT
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. NORTH WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH
27 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
TUESDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH
52 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
THURSDAY
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S. MINIMUM RH 56 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
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