824
FNUS54 KMEG 122148
FWFMEG
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR TENNESSEE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
348 PM CST MON JAN 12 2026
DISCUSSION
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL REMAIN AT OR BELOW 40%
THROUGH MUCH OF THIS WEEK. WEDNESDAY WILL BE AN EXCEPTION WHEN
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES INCREASE ABOVE THIS THRESHOLD
WITH OUR NEXT SHOT AT RAINFALL WITH A COLD FRONT. INCREASED 20FT
WIND SPEED IN THE LATTER HALF OF THE WEEK COULD POSE FIRE WEATHER
CONCERNS.
ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-131015-
RANDOLPH-CLAY-LAWRENCE-GREENE-CRAIGHEAD-POINSETT-MISSISSIPPI-
DUNKLIN-PEMISCOT-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF ATTICA, POCAHONTAS, PIGGOTT, CORNING,
WALNUT RIDGE, HOXIE, PARAGOULD, JONESBORO, HARRISBURG,
BLYTHEVILLE, KENNETT, AND CARUTHERSVILLE
348 PM CST MON JAN 12 2026
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).
LAL.................
MIN TEMPERATURE.....33-38.
24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........70-89 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT DRIER.
HUMIDITY RECOVERY...EXCELLENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........MISSING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (300-1400 KNOT-FT).
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.MISSING.
TUESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
LAL.................
MAX TEMPERATURE.....59-68.
24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........29-53 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........MISSING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (300-9200 KNOT-FT).
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-3300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.MISSING.
TUESDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT) UNTIL 2300, THEN
MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS AFTER 2400.
LAL.................
MIN TEMPERATURE.....41-46.
24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........79-100 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.
HUMIDITY RECOVERY...EXCELLENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........MISSING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (200-2300 KNOT-FT).
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST
AROUND 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.MISSING.
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS UNTIL 1200.
LAL.................
MAX TEMPERATURE.....49-54.
24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........43-64 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........MISSING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (300-21300 KNOT-FT).
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-5700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 25
MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.MISSING.
ARZ035-036-048-049-058-131015-
CROSS-CRITTENDEN-ST. FRANCIS-LEE AR-PHILLIPS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF WYNNE, WEST MEMPHIS, FORREST CITY,
MARIANNA, AND HELENA-WEST HELENA
348 PM CST MON JAN 12 2026
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).
LAL.................
MIN TEMPERATURE.....33-38.
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........70-89 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER.
HUMIDITY RECOVERY...EXCELLENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........MISSING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (300-1200 KNOT-FT).
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.MISSING.
TUESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
LAL.................
MAX TEMPERATURE.....58-63.
24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........36-55 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........MISSING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (500-9300 KNOT-FT).
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.MISSING.
TUESDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT) UNTIL 0100, THEN
MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS AFTER 0400.
LAL.................
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 44.
24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........79-96 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT WETTER.
HUMIDITY RECOVERY...EXCELLENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........MISSING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (300-2400 KNOT-FT).
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.MISSING.
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) UNTIL 1700, THEN
MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS UNTIL 1200.
LAL.................
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54.
24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........50-70 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......21 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........MISSING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (300-19200 KNOT-FT).
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-5400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 25
MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.MISSING.
TNZ001>004-019>022-131015-
LAKE-OBION-WEAKLEY-HENRY-DYER-GIBSON-CARROLL-BENTON TN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF TIPTONVILLE, UNION CITY, MARTIN, DRESDEN,
PARIS, DYERSBURG, HUMBOLDT, MILAN, HUNTINGDON, AND CAMDEN
348 PM CST MON JAN 12 2026
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).
LAL.................
MIN TEMPERATURE.....32-39.
24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........70-85 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT DRIER.
HUMIDITY RECOVERY...EXCELLENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........MISSING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (300-1400 KNOT-FT).
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.MISSING.
TUESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
LAL.................
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.
24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........36-47 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........MISSING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (700-9300 KNOT-FT).
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.MISSING.
TUESDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PERCENT) UNTIL 2300, THEN
MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS AFTER 0100.
LAL.................
MIN TEMPERATURE.....40-46.
24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........86-100 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......18 PERCENT WETTER.
HUMIDITY RECOVERY...EXCELLENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........MISSING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (200-3200 KNOT-FT).
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.MISSING.
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
LIKELY UNTIL 1200, THEN CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
LAL.................
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.
24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........50-68 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......18 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........MISSING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (300-20100 KNOT-FT).
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-5500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 25
MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.MISSING.
TNZ048>055-088>091-131015-
LAUDERDALE-TIPTON-HAYWOOD-CROCKETT-MADISON-CHESTER-HENDERSON-
DECATUR-SHELBY-FAYETTE-HARDEMAN-MCNAIRY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF RIPLEY TN, COVINGTON, BROWNSVILLE, ALAMO,
JACKSON, HENDERSON, LEXINGTON, PARSONS, DECATURVILLE, BARTLETT,
GERMANTOWN, COLLIERVILLE, MEMPHIS, MILLINGTON, SOMERVILLE,
OAKLAND, BOLIVAR, AND SELMER
348 PM CST MON JAN 12 2026
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).
LAL.................
MIN TEMPERATURE.....30-38.
24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........72-85 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......18 PERCENT DRIER.
HUMIDITY RECOVERY...EXCELLENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........MISSING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (300-1400 KNOT-FT).
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.MISSING.
TUESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
LAL.................
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.
24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........37-55 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........MISSING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (500-9400 KNOT-FT).
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.MISSING.
TUESDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400, THEN
MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS AFTER 0300.
LAL.................
MIN TEMPERATURE.....40-45.
24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........79-100 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......15 PERCENT WETTER.
HUMIDITY RECOVERY...EXCELLENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........MISSING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (400-2800 KNOT-FT).
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.MISSING.
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
LIKELY UNTIL 1200, THEN CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
LAL.................
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52.
24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........52-76 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......20 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........MISSING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (400-18100 KNOT-FT).
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-5300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 25
MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.MISSING.
MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-131015-
DESOTO-TUNICA-TATE-COAHOMA-QUITMAN-PANOLA-TALLAHATCHIE-YALOBUSHA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF SOUTHAVEN, OLIVE BRANCH, TUNICA,
SENATOBIA, CLARKSDALE, MARKS, BATESVILLE, CHARLESTON,
WATER VALLEY, AND COFFEEVILLE
348 PM CST MON JAN 12 2026
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).
LAL.................
MIN TEMPERATURE.....30-38.
24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........72-92 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT DRIER.
HUMIDITY RECOVERY...EXCELLENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........MISSING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (100-1000 KNOT-FT).
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.MISSING.
TUESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
LAL.................
MAX TEMPERATURE.....56-61.
24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........37-57 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........MISSING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (400-8600 KNOT-FT).
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.MISSING.
TUESDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT) UNTIL 0300, THEN
MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT).
LAL.................
MIN TEMPERATURE.....39-46.
24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........82-96 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.
HUMIDITY RECOVERY...EXCELLENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........MISSING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (700-2100 KNOT-FT).
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.MISSING.
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS.
LAL.................
MAX TEMPERATURE.....50-55.
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........60-77 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......24 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........MISSING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (400-16700 KNOT-FT).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-5000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 10 MPH INCREASING TO NORTHWEST
AROUND 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.MISSING.
MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-131015-
MARSHALL-BENTON MS-TIPPAH-ALCORN-TISHOMINGO-PRENTISS-LAFAYETTE-
UNION-PONTOTOC-LEE MS-ITAWAMBA-CALHOUN-CHICKASAW-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF HOLLY SPRINGS, ASHLAND, RIPLEY MS,
CORINTH, IUKA, BOONEVILLE, OXFORD, NEW ALBANY, PONTOTOC, TUPELO,
FULTON, BRUCE, CALHOUN CITY, HOUSTON, OKOLONA, AMORY,
AND ABERDEEN
348 PM CST MON JAN 12 2026
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).
LAL.................
MIN TEMPERATURE.....28-37.
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........70-92 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT DRIER.
HUMIDITY RECOVERY...EXCELLENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS.
HAINES INDEX........MISSING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (100-1000 KNOT-FT).
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.MISSING.
TUESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
LAL.................
MAX TEMPERATURE.....55-61.
24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........36-49 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........MISSING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (200-8100 KNOT-FT).
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-2800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.MISSING.
TUESDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT) UNTIL 0100, THEN
MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS AFTER 0500.
LAL.................
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 41.
24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........79-93 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.
HUMIDITY RECOVERY...EXCELLENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........MISSING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (500-2600 KNOT-FT).
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.MISSING.
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
LIKELY.
LAL.................
MAX TEMPERATURE.....50-55.
24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........59-79 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......32 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST AROUND 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........MISSING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (600-14200 KNOT-FT).
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-4300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.MISSING.
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
THURSDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
FRIDAY
NOT AS COOL. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SATURDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS AROUND
40. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SUNDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S.
MARTIN LUTHER KING JR DAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 40S.
.OUTLOOK
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