480  
FNUS54 KMEG 050831  
FWFMEG  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR THE MIDSOUTH  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN  
231 AM CST WED FEB 5 2025  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
A WARM FRONT WILL LIFT THROUGH THE MIDSOUTH TODAY, BRINGING MILD  
AND HUMID CONDITIONS. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS  
WILL BRING A CHANCE OF WETTING RAINFALL THIS AFTERNOON, MAINLY  
OVER NORTH MISSISSIPPI AND PORTIONS OF WEST TENNESSEE. UNSETTLED  
WEATHER WILL CONTINUE INTO THE EARLY WEEKEND, AS A FRONT REMAINS  
IN CLOSE PROXIMITY.  
 
ARZ009-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-052230-  
CLAY-CRAIGHEAD-DUNKLIN-GREENE-MISSISSIPPI-PEMISCOT-POINSETT-  
231 AM CST WED FEB 5 2025  
 
TODAY TONIGHT THU  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 20 20 20  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 50 30 60  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.08 0.04 0.12  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 2 1 6  
PRECIP BEGIN 6 AM 8 PM CONTINUING  
PRECIP END 5 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING  
TEMP (24H TREND) 63 (+17) 51 (+8) 72  
RH % (24H TREND) 76 (-5) 100 (+1) 68  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) NE 4 SW 10 G20  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) SE 4 S 6 G19 W 9 G18  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 300 400  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 900 1300  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 300 500  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 1100 1600  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) NE 4 NW 7  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NE 9 NW 15  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 1200 3500  
CATEGORY DAY 1 2  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 58 63  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) SE 5 NW 7  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) SE 12 NW 16  
DISPERSION INDEX 13 14 24  
STABILITY CLASS C D C  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 2 2  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. NORTHEAST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH  
58 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.  
EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH  
72 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS  
IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE  
LOWER 40S. MINIMUM RH 62 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN  
THE MID 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE  
MID 40S. MINIMUM RH 60 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. NORTHEAST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER  
40S. MINIMUM RH 74 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.  
 

 
 
ARZ035-036-048-049-058-052230-  
CRITTENDEN-CROSS-LEE AR-PHILLIPS-ST. FRANCIS-  
231 AM CST WED FEB 5 2025  
 
TODAY TONIGHT THU  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 20 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 50 20 50  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS NONE SHOWERS  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.12 0.00 0.04  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 2 2  
PRECIP BEGIN 6 AM 6 AM  
PRECIP END 6 PM CONTINUING  
TEMP (24H TREND) 69 (+13) 57 (+12) 75  
RH % (24H TREND) 81 (-11) 100 (0) 74  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR SW 9 G20  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) S 4 S 6 G20 SW 7 G18  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 200 400  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 800 1400  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 300 500  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 1000 1600  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) SW 5 SW 9  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 10 SW 21  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 1500 4500  
CATEGORY DAY 1 3  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 66 67  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) S 5 SW 10  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) S 12 SW 22  
DISPERSION INDEX 9 15 40  
STABILITY CLASS B E C  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 2  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE  
UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH  
65 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH  
68 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
SHOWERS LIKELY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE  
LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER  
40S. MINIMUM RH 64 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN  
THE UPPER 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE  
MID 40S. MINIMUM RH 65 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTHEAST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID  
40S. MINIMUM RH 77 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 

 
 
TNZ001>004-019>022-052230-  
BENTON TN-CARROLL-DYER-GIBSON-HENRY-LAKE-OBION-WEAKLEY-  
231 AM CST WED FEB 5 2025  
 
TODAY TONIGHT THU  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 20 50  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 70 50 80  
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS TSTMS TSTMS  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.15 0.14 0.26  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 3 2 9  
PRECIP BEGIN 6 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING  
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING  
TEMP (24H TREND) 64 (+14) 53 (+11) 71  
RH % (24H TREND) 75 (-6) 100 (0) 72  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR SW 9 G18  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR S 5 G17 W 8 G17  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 200 300  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 700 1000  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 300 400  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 1100 1400  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) E 3 SW 6  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) E 7 SW 14  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 900 2400  
CATEGORY DAY 1 2  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 59 63  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) S 5 W 8  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) S 12 W 18  
DISPERSION INDEX 12 16 26  
STABILITY CLASS B D C  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 1  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE  
LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH  
46 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.  
EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER  
70S. MINIMUM RH 72 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST  
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE  
MID 40S. MINIMUM RH 58 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN  
THE MID 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE  
MID 40S. MINIMUM RH 54 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. NORTHEAST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER  
40S. MINIMUM RH 68 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 

 
 
TNZ048>055-088>091-052230-  
CHESTER-CROCKETT-DECATUR-FAYETTE-HARDEMAN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-  
LAUDERDALE-MADISON-MCNAIRY-SHELBY-TIPTON-  
231 AM CST WED FEB 5 2025  
 
TODAY TONIGHT THU  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 20 20 20  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 60 30 70  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.17 0.05 0.10  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 4 2 6  
PRECIP BEGIN 6 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING  
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING  
TEMP (24H TREND) 69 (+11) 58 (+12) 72  
RH % (24H TREND) 78 (-7) 100 (0) 72  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR SW 10 G19  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) S 4 S 6 G19 SW 8 G17  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 200 400  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 600 1200  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 300 500  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 1000 1600  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) S 5 SW 9  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 10 SW 21  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 1500 4500  
CATEGORY DAY 1 3  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 64 67  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) S 6 SW 11  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) S 13 SW 24  
DISPERSION INDEX 11 16 37  
STABILITY CLASS B E C  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 2 2  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE  
UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH  
51 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH  
66 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS  
10 TO 15 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE  
UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH 60 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN  
THE MID 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE  
UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH 56 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTHEAST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID  
40S. MINIMUM RH 69 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 

 
 
MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-052230-  
COAHOMA-DESOTO-PANOLA-QUITMAN-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TUNICA-YALOBUSHA-  
231 AM CST WED FEB 5 2025  
 
TODAY TONIGHT THU  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 50 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 60 10 30  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS NONE SHOWERS  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.19 0.00 0.02  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 3 2  
PRECIP BEGIN 7 AM 6 AM  
PRECIP END 6 PM CONTINUING  
TEMP (24H TREND) 74 (+10) 62 (+10) 76  
RH % (24H TREND) 76 (-12) 100 (0) 72  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR SW 9 G21  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) SW 5 S 6 G20 SW 8 G20  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 300 400  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 1100 1400  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 400 500  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 1300 1700  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) SW 6 SW 9  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 13 SW 21  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 2400 4500  
CATEGORY DAY 2 3  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 68 67  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) S 5 SW 10  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) S 11 SW 21  
DISPERSION INDEX 11 16 37  
STABILITY CLASS C E C  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 2 2  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE  
MID 50S. NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH  
64 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH  
65 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
SHOWERS LIKELY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID  
40S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID  
50S. MINIMUM RH 60 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS  
AROUND 40. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS AROUND  
50. MINIMUM RH 62 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY. CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40.  
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
RAIN SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH  
75 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.  
 

 
 
MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-052230-  
ALCORN-BENTON MS-CALHOUN-CHICKASAW-ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LEE MS-  
MARSHALL-MONROE-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-TIPPAH-TISHOMINGO-UNION-  
231 AM CST WED FEB 5 2025  
 
TODAY TONIGHT THU  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 50 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 70 20 50  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS NONE SHOWERS  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.29 0.00 0.03  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 4 2  
PRECIP BEGIN 8 AM 6 AM  
PRECIP END 6 PM CONTINUING  
TEMP (24H TREND) 73 (+4) 61 (+6) 75  
RH % (24H TREND) 74 (-6) 100 (0) 68  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR SW 8 G18  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) SW 4 S 5 G17 SW 7 G17  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 300 400  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 900 1400  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 400 600  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 1300 1800  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) SW 5 SW 8  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 10 SW 17  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 2000 4800  
CATEGORY DAY 2 3  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 67 67  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) SW 4 SW 10  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) SW 9 SW 22  
DISPERSION INDEX 10 13 37  
STABILITY CLASS C E C  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 2  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
SHOWERS LIKELY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID  
50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH  
59 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH  
59 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
SHOWERS LIKELY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE  
UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER  
50S. MINIMUM RH 59 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS  
AROUND 40. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE  
LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH 57 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY. CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER  
40S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
RAIN SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH  
71 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 

 
 
PWB  
 
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