878  
FNUS54 KMEG 190831  
FWFMEG  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR THE MIDSOUTH  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN  
330 AM CDT SAT SEP 19 2026  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
A STRONG UPPER LEVEL RIDGE CENTERED OVER THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI  
VALLEY WILL MAINTAIN NEAR-RECORD LATE-SEPTEMBER HEAT AND LARGELY  
RAIN-FREE CONDITIONS. WHILE MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY (RH) VALUES  
ARE EXPECTED TO HOVER IN THE 20-30% RANGE, LIGHT 20-FOOT SURFACE  
WINDS UNDER 10 KNOTS WILL PREVENT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER  
CONDITIONS. HOWEVER, 10-HOUR FUELS WILL CONTINUE DRYING DOWN  
TOWARD 10% UNDER INTENSE DAYTIME HEATING. FOG POTENTIAL REMAINS  
LOW ACROSS THE REGION, RESTRICTED MAINLY TO BRIEF, PATCHY MORNING  
FOG ALONG LOW-LYING RIVER BASINS.  
 
ARZ009-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-192100-  
CLAY-CRAIGHEAD-DUNKLIN-GREENE-MISSISSIPPI-PEMISCOT-POINSETT-  
330 AM CDT SAT SEP 19 2026  
 
TODAY TONIGHT SUN  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%)  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
TEMP (24H TREND) 99 (0) 71 (-1) 99  
RH % (24H TREND) 28 (-5) 82 (0) 27  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) SW 4 LGT/VAR W 6  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 2400 2700  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 7900 8900  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 2500 2800  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 8200 9200  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) SW 5 W 5  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 10 W 10  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 12500 14000  
CATEGORY DAY 4 4  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 92 93  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) W 4 W 4  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) W 8 W 10  
DISPERSION INDEX 31 7 32  
STABILITY CLASS B F B  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
SUNDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH  
49 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT  
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE  
UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH  
58 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. NORTH WINDS 10 TO  
15 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH  
50 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT.  
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. NORTHEAST WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH  
49 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 
 
 
ARZ035-036-048-049-058-192100-  
CRITTENDEN-CROSS-LEE AR-PHILLIPS-ST. FRANCIS-  
330 AM CDT SAT SEP 19 2026  
 
TODAY TONIGHT SUN  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%)  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
TEMP (24H TREND) 101 (+1) 71 (-1) 101  
RH % (24H TREND) 28 (-3) 82 (+4) 26  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 2600 2700  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 8400 9000  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 2600 2800  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 8600 9200  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) SW 3 SW 4  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 7 SW 9  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 7800 11200  
CATEGORY DAY 3 4  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 93 93  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) W 3 W 5  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) W 7 W 10  
DISPERSION INDEX 22 7 31  
STABILITY CLASS B F B  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
SUNDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 90S. MINIMUM RH  
40 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT  
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND  
70. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH  
49 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 43 PERCENT.  
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 40 PERCENT.  
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH  
42 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 
 
 
TNZ001>004-019>022-192100-  
BENTON TN-CARROLL-DYER-GIBSON-HENRY-LAKE-OBION-WEAKLEY-  
330 AM CDT SAT SEP 19 2026  
 
TODAY TONIGHT SUN  
 
CLOUD COVER CLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%)  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
TEMP (24H TREND) 100 (+1) 70 (-1) 99  
RH % (24H TREND) 30 (-5) 86 (-3) 28  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR W 5  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 2400 2700  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 7800 8900  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 2500 2800  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 8200 9300  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) W 4 W 5  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 8 W 10  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 10000 14000  
CATEGORY DAY 4 4  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 91 93  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) W 3 W 4  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) W 7 W 9  
DISPERSION INDEX 27 7 34  
STABILITY CLASS B F B  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
SUNDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S. MINIMUM RH  
46 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT  
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE  
UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH  
61 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. NORTH  
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH  
56 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. NORTH  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH  
52 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH  
52 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 
 
 
TNZ048>055-088>091-192100-  
CHESTER-CROCKETT-DECATUR-FAYETTE-HARDEMAN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-  
LAUDERDALE-MADISON-MCNAIRY-SHELBY-TIPTON-  
330 AM CDT SAT SEP 19 2026  
 
TODAY TONIGHT SUN  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%)  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
TEMP (24H TREND) 99 (+1) 71 (-1) 99  
RH % (24H TREND) 29 (-6) 85 (-2) 29  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR W 4  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 2500 2800  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 8200 9200  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 2600 2900  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 8600 9600  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) W 3 W 4  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 6 W 9  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 7800 11600  
CATEGORY DAY 3 4  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 92 93  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) W 2 W 3  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) W 4 W 8  
DISPERSION INDEX 18 6 29  
STABILITY CLASS B F B  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
SUNDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S. MINIMUM RH  
42 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT  
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE  
UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH  
54 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. NORTH  
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH  
50 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 60. NORTH WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH.    
THURSDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH  
47 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. NORTHEAST WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH  
47 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 
 
 
MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-192100-  
COAHOMA-DESOTO-PANOLA-QUITMAN-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TUNICA-YALOBUSHA-  
330 AM CDT SAT SEP 19 2026  
 
TODAY TONIGHT SUN  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%)  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
TEMP (24H TREND) 101 (+3) 72 (0) 100  
RH % (24H TREND) 29 (-7) 85 (+1) 28  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 2500 2600  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 8300 8600  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 2600 2700  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 8600 8800  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) SW 2 SW 3  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 3 SW 7  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 5200 8100  
CATEGORY DAY 3 4  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 92 93  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) N 2 W 4  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) N 5 W 8  
DISPERSION INDEX 15 7 20  
STABILITY CLASS B F B  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
SUNDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTHWEST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 90S. MINIMUM RH  
41 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT  
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE  
LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT.  
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. NORTH WINDS  
10 TO 15 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH  
46 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 43 PERCENT.  
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH  
43 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 
 
 
MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-192100-  
ALCORN-BENTON MS-CALHOUN-CHICKASAW-ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LEE MS-  
MARSHALL-MONROE-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-TIPPAH-TISHOMINGO-UNION-  
330 AM CDT SAT SEP 19 2026  
 
TODAY TONIGHT SUN  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%)  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
TEMP (24H TREND) 99 (0) 73 (+1) 98  
RH % (24H TREND) 31 (-4) 90 (+2) 32  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 2300 2500  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 7600 8200  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 2500 2600  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 8100 8600  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) NW 2 W 3  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NW 3 W 6  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 5000 7800  
CATEGORY DAY 3 3  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 92 92  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) N 1 NW 3  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) N 3 NW 7  
DISPERSION INDEX 12 3 15  
STABILITY CLASS B F B  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
SUNDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 90S. MINIMUM RH  
41 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT  
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND  
70. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH  
51 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. NORTH WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH  
49 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. NORTH  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT.  
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH  
44 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 
 
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