033  
FNUS54 KMEG 042131  
FWFMEG  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR THE MIDSOUTH  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN  
331 PM CST TUE NOV 4 2025  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
ABOVE-NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY AS SURFACE  
HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS OVER THE REGION. AFTERNOON RELATIVE  
HUMIDITY VALUES WILL GENERALLY REMAIN ABOVE 40 PERCENT, WITH  
LIGHT SOUTHERLY WINDS. THIS WILL RESULT IN FAIR TO GOOD SMOKE  
DISPERSION EACH AFTERNOON.  
 
A PAIR OF SUCCESSIVE FRONTS WILL MOVE THROUGH THE MID-SOUTH  
FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND SATURDAY NIGHT. AHEAD OF THE FIRST FRONT ON  
FRIDAY, 20-FT WINDS COULD GUST NEAR 20 MPH, BUT WIDESPREAD  
WETTING RAINS EXPECTED ALONG AND EAST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER  
SHOULD LIMIT ANY FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS.  
 
A POLAR AIRMASS WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION EARLY NEXT WEEK,  
RESULTING IN OUR FIRST HARD FREEZE. OVERALL, NO SIGNIFICANT FIRE  
WEATHER CONCERNS ARE ANTICIPATED THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD.  
 
ARZ009-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-051000-  
CLAY-CRAIGHEAD-DUNKLIN-GREENE-MISSISSIPPI-PEMISCOT-POINSETT-  
331 PM CST TUE NOV 4 2025  
 
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU  
 
CLOUD COVER CLEAR MCLEAR CLEAR MCLEAR  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%)  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
TEMP (24H TREND) 47 (+2) 73 (+2) 45 72  
RH % (24H TREND) 93 (-4) 49 (+1) 94 50  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) SW 8 E 6  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) S 7 SW 6 LGT/VAR SE 6  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 800 1000  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 2500 3200  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 800 1100  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 2700 3500  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) W 5 S 6  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 10 S 13  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 4000 6600  
CATEGORY DAY 3 3  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 67 62  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) W 8 SE 6  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) W 17 SE 14  
DISPERSION INDEX 14 33 12 22  
STABILITY CLASS F B F B  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
THURSDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY  
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID  
70S. MINIMUM RH 63 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT.  
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. WEST WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH  
48 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. NORTHWEST WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. MINIMUM RH 38 PERCENT.  
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT  
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. WEST WINDS AROUND  
5 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 38 PERCENT.  
SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.  
 
 
 
ARZ035-036-048-049-058-051000-  
CRITTENDEN-CROSS-LEE AR-PHILLIPS-ST. FRANCIS-  
331 PM CST TUE NOV 4 2025  
 
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU  
 
CLOUD COVER CLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%)  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
TEMP (24H TREND) 46 (+1) 75 (+3) 49 74  
RH % (24H TREND) 94 (-4) 51 (+6) 100 52  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) SW 5 LGT/VAR  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) S 4 SW 4 LGT/VAR SE 4  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 800 1000  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 2600 3400  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 800 1100  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 2800 3600  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) SW 6 S 5  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 13 S 12  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 4800 5500  
CATEGORY DAY 3 3  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 68 67  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) SW 8 SE 5  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) SW 17 SE 12  
DISPERSION INDEX 13 33 8 21  
STABILITY CLASS F B F B  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
THURSDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTH  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY  
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER  
70S. MINIMUM RH 65 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT.  
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT.  
NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH 38 PERCENT.  
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT  
CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 38 PERCENT.  
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 
 
 
TNZ001>004-019>022-051000-  
BENTON TN-CARROLL-DYER-GIBSON-HENRY-LAKE-OBION-WEAKLEY-  
331 PM CST TUE NOV 4 2025  
 
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU  
 
CLOUD COVER CLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR CLEAR  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%)  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
TEMP (24H TREND) 45 (+4) 72 (+1) 43 71  
RH % (24H TREND) 95 (-4) 49 (+1) 100 47  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) SW 8 E 5  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) S 5 SW 6 LGT/VAR SE 5  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 700 1000  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 2200 3200  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 800 1100  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 2600 3600  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) W 7 S 5  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 16 S 12  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 5600 5500  
CATEGORY DAY 3 3  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 65 60  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) W 9 SE 6  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) W 20 SE 14  
DISPERSION INDEX 13 38 11 22  
STABILITY CLASS F B F B  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
THURSDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTH  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY  
SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. PARTLY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 70 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST  
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT  
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE  
UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT.  
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT  
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE  
MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH  
56 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. NORTHWEST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. MINIMUM RH 41 PERCENT.  
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT  
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. WEST WINDS AROUND  
5 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH 38 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 
 
 
TNZ048>055-088>091-051000-  
CHESTER-CROCKETT-DECATUR-FAYETTE-HARDEMAN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-  
LAUDERDALE-MADISON-MCNAIRY-SHELBY-TIPTON-  
331 PM CST TUE NOV 4 2025  
 
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU  
 
CLOUD COVER CLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%)  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
TEMP (24H TREND) 44 (+4) 73 (+1) 44 72  
RH % (24H TREND) 98 (0) 47 (+1) 100 50  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) SW 7 E 4  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) S 4 SW 6 LGT/VAR SE 5  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 700 1000  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 2200 3400  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 800 1200  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 2600 3800  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) SW 7 S 5  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 16 S 10  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 5600 6000  
CATEGORY DAY 3 3  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 66 63  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) SW 8 SE 5  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) SW 18 SE 12  
DISPERSION INDEX 12 36 8 23  
STABILITY CLASS F B F B  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
THURSDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY  
SHOWERS LIKELY. PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.  
MINIMUM RH 70 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT  
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE  
UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT.  
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT  
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE  
MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH  
54 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. NORTHWEST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. MINIMUM RH 40 PERCENT.  
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT  
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. WEST WINDS AROUND  
5 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH 38 PERCENT.  
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 
 
 
MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-051000-  
COAHOMA-DESOTO-PANOLA-QUITMAN-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TUNICA-YALOBUSHA-  
331 PM CST TUE NOV 4 2025  
 
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU  
 
CLOUD COVER CLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%)  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
TEMP (24H TREND) 43 (+1) 74 (+1) 46 74  
RH % (24H TREND) 98 (0) 44 (+2) 100 52  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) SW 5 LGT/VAR  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) S 4 SW 5 LGT/VAR S 4  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 800 1000  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 2600 3200  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 900 1000  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 2800 3400  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) SW 6 S 5  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 13 S 10  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 5400 5000  
CATEGORY DAY 3 3  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 68 67  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) SW 7 SE 4  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) SW 15 SE 9  
DISPERSION INDEX 11 29 6 21  
STABILITY CLASS F B F B  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
THURSDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY  
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER  
70S. MINIMUM RH 68 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. WEST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 54 PERCENT.  
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 49 PERCENT.  
NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH 40 PERCENT.  
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT  
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. WEST WINDS AROUND  
5 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 38 PERCENT.  
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 
 
 
MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-051000-  
ALCORN-BENTON MS-CALHOUN-CHICKASAW-ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LEE MS-  
MARSHALL-MONROE-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-TIPPAH-TISHOMINGO-UNION-  
331 PM CST TUE NOV 4 2025  
 
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU  
 
CLOUD COVER CLEAR MCLEAR CLEAR MCLEAR  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%)  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
TEMP (24H TREND) 43 (+4) 74 (+1) 45 74  
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+2) 40 (-1) 100 47  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) SW 4 LGT/VAR  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR SW 4 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 800 900  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 2500 3000  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 900 1000  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 2900 3400  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) W 6 S 4  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 13 S 9  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 5400 4000  
CATEGORY DAY 3 3  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 67 66  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) SW 6 SE 3  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) SW 13 SE 7  
DISPERSION INDEX 10 28 5 17  
STABILITY CLASS F B F B  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
THURSDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTH  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY  
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID  
70S. MINIMUM RH 67 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT  
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. PARTLY  
CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT.  
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT  
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE  
UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT.  
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH 38 PERCENT.  
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT  
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 36 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 
 
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