235  
FNUS54 KMEG 192103  
FWFMEG  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR THE MIDSOUTH  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN  
303 PM CST WED FEB 19 2020  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
AN UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL MOVE ACROSS THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI  
VALLEY LATE TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING BRINGING A CHANCE OF RAIN BACK  
TO AREAS ESPECIALLY SOUTH OF I-40. LIGHT SNOW MAY MIX IN WITH RAIN ALONG  
I-40 BUT NO ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED. HIGH PRESSURE WILL RETURN FOR  
THE UPCOMING WEEKEND BUT ADDITIONAL PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED FOR SUNDAY  
INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.  
 
ARZ009-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-201130-  
CLAY-CRAIGHEAD-DUNKLIN-GREENE-MISSISSIPPI-PEMISCOT-POINSETT-  
303 PM CST WED FEB 19 2020  
 
TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY MCLEAR CLEAR  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 20 20 0 0  
PRECIP TYPE NONE SNOW/RAIN NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN) 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DUR (HRS)  
PRECIP BEGINS  
PRECIP ENDS  
TEMP (24H TREND) 34 (+1) 43 (-5) 22 41  
RH % (24H TREND) 79 (-13) 49 (-3) 71 38  
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH) NE 11-15 G20 NE 4-8  
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH) NE 6-10 N 11-15 G21 N 8-12 LGT/VAR  
MIXING HGT (M-AGL) 1167 898  
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 3829 2946  
MIXING HGT (M-MSL) 1247 981  
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL) 4092 3218  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) N 12 N 3  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 28 N 6  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 17912 3594  
CATEGORY DAY 5 5  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 34 28  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) NE 12 N 4  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) NE 27 N 10  
DISPERSION INDEX 22 71 37 32  
LAL 1 1 1 1  
LASI 3 2 3 4  
STABILITY D D E B  
STAGNATION INDEX 2 1 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
 
   
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE  
WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.    
SATURDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH 43 PERCENT.  
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. PARTLY CLOUDY.  
LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS AROUND 50. MINIMUM RH  
70 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO  
15 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER  
50S. MINIMUM RH 62 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH  
59 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY.  
LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING NORTH  
AFTER MIDNIGHT.    
WEDNESDAY
 
A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY.  
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS  
10 TO 15 MPH.  
 

 
 
ARZ035-036-048-049-058-201130-  
CRITTENDEN-CROSS-LEE AR-PHILLIPS-ST. FRANCIS-  
303 PM CST WED FEB 19 2020  
 
TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY MCLEAR CLEAR  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 60 40 0 0  
PRECIP TYPE RAIN RAIN NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN) 0.04 0.03 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DUR (HRS) 1 1  
PRECIP BEGINS 9 PM CONTINUING  
PRECIP ENDS CONTINUING 12 PM  
TEMP (24H TREND) 36 (0) 45 (-5) 25 43  
RH % (24H TREND) 84 (-12) 53 (-3) 72 39  
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH) NE 11-15 NE 4-8  
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH) NE 6-10 N 11-15 G20 N 8-12 LGT/VAR  
MIXING HGT (M-AGL) 1194 972  
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 3916 3189  
MIXING HGT (M-MSL) 1256 1037  
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL) 4122 3401  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) NE 14 N 4  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NE 31 N 9  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 17950 5144  
CATEGORY DAY 5 5  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 36 28  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) NE 14 N 6  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) NE 31 N 13  
DISPERSION INDEX 31 71 29 34  
LAL 1 1 1 1  
LASI 3 2 3 4  
STABILITY D D E B  
STAGNATION INDEX 1 0 2 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
 
   
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE  
WINDS.    
SATURDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH 45 PERCENT.  
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. PARTLY CLOUDY.  
LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH  
67 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTH  
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER  
60S. MINIMUM RH 59 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 59 PERCENT.  
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS  
IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY.  
HIGHS AROUND 50. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND  
10 MPH.  
 

 
 
TNZ001>004-019>022-201130-  
BENTON TN-CARROLL-DYER-GIBSON-HENRY-LAKE-OBION-WEAKLEY-  
303 PM CST WED FEB 19 2020  
 
TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY MCLEAR CLEAR  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 10 20 0 0  
PRECIP TYPE NONE SNOW/RAIN NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN) 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DUR (HRS)  
PRECIP BEGINS  
PRECIP ENDS  
TEMP (24H TREND) 35 (+3) 42 (-7) 22 43  
RH % (24H TREND) 75 (-20) 49 (+1) 75 35  
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH) NE 8-12 G17 NE 3-7  
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH) NE 4-8 N 9-13 G19 N 7-11 LGT/VAR  
MIXING HGT (M-AGL) 1209 861  
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 3965 2826  
MIXING HGT (M-MSL) 1332 989  
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL) 4369 3246  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) N 11 N 3  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 25 N 6  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 17190 3173  
CATEGORY DAY 5 5  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 35 28  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) NE 10 N 4  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) NE 23 N 9  
DISPERSION INDEX 18 67 36 32  
LAL 1 1 1 1  
LASI 3 3 3 4  
STABILITY D C F B  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 2 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
 
   
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE  
WINDS.    
SATURDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH 38 PERCENT.  
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. PARTLY CLOUDY.  
LOWS IN THE MID 30S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH  
67 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO  
15 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. CLOUDY. HIGHS AROUND 60. MINIMUM  
RH 65 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS  
IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH  
62 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY.  
LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING  
NORTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT.    
WEDNESDAY
 
A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY.  
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.  
 

 
 
TNZ048>055-088>091-201130-  
CHESTER-CROCKETT-DECATUR-FAYETTE-HARDEMAN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-  
LAUDERDALE-MADISON-MCNAIRY-SHELBY-TIPTON-  
303 PM CST WED FEB 19 2020  
 
TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY MCLEAR CLEAR  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 30 30 0 0  
PRECIP TYPE RAIN RAIN NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN) 0.00 0.03 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DUR (HRS) 2  
PRECIP BEGINS 6 AM  
PRECIP ENDS 3 PM  
TEMP (24H TREND) 36 (0) 44 (-7) 24 45  
RH % (24H TREND) 77 (-19) 51 (+1) 74 35  
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH) NE 9-13 G18 NE 3-7  
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH) NE 4-8 N 10-14 G19 N 7-11 LGT/VAR  
MIXING HGT (M-AGL) 1207 871  
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 3959 2859  
MIXING HGT (M-MSL) 1329 999  
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL) 4361 3278  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) NE 12 N 4  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NE 28 N 8  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 17860 4306  
CATEGORY DAY 5 5  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 36 28  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) NE 12 N 5  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) NE 26 N 11  
DISPERSION INDEX 27 67 24 31  
LAL 1 1 1 1  
LASI 3 2 3 4  
STABILITY D D F B  
STAGNATION INDEX 2 1 2 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
 
   
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE  
WINDS.    
SATURDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH 37 PERCENT.  
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. SOUTH WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH  
65 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO  
15 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER  
60S. MINIMUM RH 62 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS  
IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH  
59 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. PARTLY CLOUDY.  
LOWS AROUND 40. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING NORTH AFTER  
MIDNIGHT.    
WEDNESDAY
 
A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY.  
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.  
 

 
 
MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-201130-  
COAHOMA-DESOTO-PANOLA-QUITMAN-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TUNICA-YALOBUSHA-  
303 PM CST WED FEB 19 2020  
 
TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI  
 
CLOUD COVER CLOUDY MCLDY MCLEAR CLEAR  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 80 60 0 0  
PRECIP TYPE RAIN RAIN NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN) 0.19 0.10 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DUR (HRS) 7 5  
PRECIP BEGINS 9 PM CONTINUING  
PRECIP ENDS CONTINUING 3 PM  
TEMP (24H TREND) 38 (-1) 45 (-7) 26 45  
RH % (24H TREND) 89 (-6) 58 (+2) 78 40  
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH) NE 10-14 G19 NE 5-9  
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH) NE 4-8 N 10-14 G20 N 7-11 NE 2-6  
MIXING HGT (M-AGL) 994 964  
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 3260 3163  
MIXING HGT (M-MSL) 1066 1038  
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL) 3496 3406  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) NE 13 N 5  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NE 29 N 10  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 16933 5875  
CATEGORY DAY 5 5  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 37 29  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) NE 13 N 6  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) NE 29 N 14  
DISPERSION INDEX 33 58 24 35  
LAL 1 1 1 1  
LASI 3 2 3 4  
STABILITY D D E B  
STAGNATION INDEX 1 1 1 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
 
   
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE  
WINDS.    
SATURDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH 42 PERCENT.  
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY.  
LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH  
61 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTH  
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID  
60S. MINIMUM RH 59 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 58 PERCENT.  
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS  
IN THE LOWER 40S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING NORTH AFTER  
MIDNIGHT.    
WEDNESDAY
 
A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN  
THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH 54 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH.  
 

 
 
MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-201130-  
ALCORN-BENTON MS-CALHOUN-CHICKASAW-ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LEE MS-  
MARSHALL-MONROE-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-TIPPAH-TISHOMINGO-UNION-  
303 PM CST WED FEB 19 2020  
 
TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY MCLEAR CLEAR  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 80 70 0 0  
PRECIP TYPE RAIN RAIN NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN) 0.17 0.19 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DUR (HRS) 7 5  
PRECIP BEGINS 9 PM CONTINUING  
PRECIP ENDS CONTINUING 6 PM  
TEMP (24H TREND) 39 (-2) 45 (-7) 26 46  
RH % (24H TREND) 86 (-9) 58 (+1) 78 37  
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH) NE 8-12 NE 4-8  
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH) NE 4-8 NE 9-13 N 6-10 NE 2-6  
MIXING HGT (M-AGL) 738 908  
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 2422 2979  
MIXING HGT (M-MSL) 862 1035  
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL) 2828 3394  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) N 11 N 5  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 25 N 10  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 16745 6218  
CATEGORY DAY 5 5  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 38 29  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) NE 12 N 7  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) NE 26 N 16  
DISPERSION INDEX 20 50 20 35  
LAL 1 1 1 1  
LASI 3 2 3 4  
STABILITY D D F B  
STAGNATION INDEX 2 1 2 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
 
   
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE  
WINDS.    
SATURDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 38 PERCENT.  
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. SOUTH  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S.  
MINIMUM RH 58 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH  
59 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS  
IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH  
56 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST IN  
THE AFTERNOON.    
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS  
IN THE LOWER 40S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING NORTH AFTER  
MIDNIGHT.    
WEDNESDAY
 
A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN  
THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 

 
 
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