536  
FNUS74 KMEG 161913  
FWSMEG  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR BALDWYN SAR...DESOTO COUNTY  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN  
213 PM CDT MON JUN 16 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1500 CDT ON JUNE 16.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED MAINLY  
THROUGH THIS EVENING, THEN DECREASING IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY  
FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE NIGHT. ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EPXECTED ON TUESDAY MAINLY DURING THE AFTERNOON  
AND EVENING.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF RAIN......60 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...59 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.59 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 86.  
MIN HUMIDITY........74 PERCENT.  
HEAT INDEX..........MISSING.  
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).SOUTH WINDS AROUND 8 MPH.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC  
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.10 INCHES.  
VISIBILITY..........10 DECREASING TO 6 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
DEWPOINT............74.  
 
TIME (CDT) 3 PM 5 PM  
SKY (%).........56 48  
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE LIKELY  
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........CHANCE LIKELY  
CHC OF RAIN (%).50 60  
CHC OF THDR (%).50 60  
CHC OF LTNG (%).50 60  
TEMP............83 82  
DEWPOINT........75 74  
RH..............77 77  
HEAT INDEX (F)..M M  
20 FT WIND......S 7 S 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.11 12  
SURFACE WIND....S 8 S 8  
SURFACE WND GST.14 15  
VISIBILITY (SM).10 6  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE EVENING, THEN  
CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT.  
CHANCE OF RAIN......60 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...63 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.63 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
HEAT INDEX..........MISSING.  
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.17 INCHES.  
VISIBILITY..........6 INCREASING TO 10 IN THE LATE EVENING AND  
OVERNIGHT.  
DEWPOINT............72.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM  
SKY (%).........65 49 66 69 64 71  
WEATHER COV.....LIKELY LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE  
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC S CHC  
CHC OF RAIN (%).60 60 30 40 30 30  
CHC OF THDR (%).60 50 30 30 20 20  
CHC OF LTNG (%).60 50 30 30 20 20  
TEMP............81 76 73 72 72 71  
DEWPOINT........74 73 71 71 71 71  
RH..............79 90 93 97 97 100  
HEAT INDEX (F)..M M M M M M  
20 FT WIND......S 7 S 5 S 5 S 5 S 5 S 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.12 10 10 10 11 11  
SURFACE WIND....S 8 S 6 S 6 S 6 S 6 S 6  
SURFACE WND GST.15 13 13 13 14 14  
VISIBILITY (SM).6 6 10 10 10 10  
   
TUESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SHOWERS LIKELY  
AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING,  
THEN SHOWERS WITH THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF RAIN......90 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...71 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.71 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 83.  
MIN HUMIDITY........79 PERCENT.  
HEAT INDEX..........MISSING.  
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 10 MPH.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC  
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.24 INCHES.  
VISIBILITY..........10 DECREASING TO 6 LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN  
INCREASING TO 10 LATE IN THE MORNING DECREASING  
TO 6 LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 10.  
DEWPOINT............72.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY (%).........66 63 88 79 71 75  
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY DEFNTE LIKELY LIKELY  
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........S CHC S CHC CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY  
CHC OF RAIN (%).40 40 60 90 70 70  
CHC OF THDR (%).20 20 30 30 70 70  
CHC OF LTNG (%).20 20 30 30 70 70  
TEMP............70 73 75 78 78 80  
DEWPOINT........70 72 73 74 74 74  
RH..............100 97 94 88 88 82  
HEAT INDEX (F)..M M M M M M  
20 FT WIND......S 6 S 7 SW 7 SW 7 SW 7 SW 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.12 13 14 14 14 14  
SURFACE WIND....S 8 S 8 S 9 SW 10 SW 10 SW 9  
SURFACE WND GST.15 16 18 17 18 18  
VISIBILITY (SM).10 10 10 6 6 6  
 

 
FORECASTER...CHASKELSON  
REQUESTED BY...BEN MCMINN  
TYPE OF REQUEST...SAR  
.TAG 2516052.0/MEG  
.DELDT 06/16/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL NWS.MEMPHIS@NOAA.GOV  
 
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