448
FNUS74 KMEG 180958
FWSMEG
SPOT FORECAST FOR CHICKASAW VILLAGE...NATIONAL PARK SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
358 AM CST TUE NOV 18 2025
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0600 CST ON NOVEMBER 18.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
RAIN-FREE CONDITIONS EXPECTED TODAY WITH MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY
VALUES BETWEEN 45-50 PERCENT, 20 FT WINDS BETWEEN 8-12 MPH, AND A HIGH
TEMPERATURE APPROACHING 80 DEGREES. AN ISOLATED RAIN SHOWER IS POSSIBLE
LATE TONIGHT.
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT).
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...3 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 79.
MIN HUMIDITY........48 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............37 INCREASING TO 60.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).400-2900 FT MSL.
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...122-884 METERS AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 14 TO 22 MPH.
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTH 6 TO 10 METERS/SECOND.
2000 FT WINDS.......SOUTH 20 TO 23 MPH DECREASING TO 17 TO 20 MPH
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
5000 FT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 24 TO 28 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (900 KNOT-FT).
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.
TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........40 25 36 39 36 51 35 40 40 58 55 60
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 0
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 0
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............54 55 58 62 67 71 74 77 78 78 79 75
DEWPOINT........36 39 43 47 52 55 58 60 61 61 61 62
RH..............50 55 57 58 59 57 57 56 56 56 54 64
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..8 8 8 8 10 12 12 12 12 12 12 9
20 FT WIND GUST.13 14 14 14 16 16 17 17 17 17 17 16
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.5 0.6 0.8 1.2 1.8 2.4 2.8 2.9 2.2 1.1 0.6
MX HT MSL (KFT).0.4 0.5 0.6 0.8 1.2 1.8 2.4 2.8 2.9 2.2 1.1 0.6
MIX HGT (KM)....0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.9 0.9 0.7 0.3 0.2
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S SW SW SW SW S
TRANSP WIND SPD.15 15 15 15 16 20 20 22 21 18 15 14
TRANS WIND DIR..S S S S S S S SW SW SW SW S
TRANS SPD (M/S).7 7 7 7 7 9 9 10 9 8 7 6
2000 FT WND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S
2000 FT WND SPD.23 23 23 23 23 22 21 20 18 17 18 20
5000 FT WND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
5000 FT WND SPD.24 24 24 24 24 24 24 24 24 24 25 28
VRATE KT-FT/1K..1 1 1 2 3 5 7 9 8 6 2 1
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-70 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN SHOWERS OVERNIGHT.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...11 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............63.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).400-700 FT MSL.
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...122-213 METERS AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 8
TO 12 MPH AFTER 3 AM.
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTH AROUND 7 METERS/SECOND SHIFTING TO THE
WEST 4 TO 5 METERS/SECOND AFTER 3 AM.
2000 FT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 21 TO 24 MPH.
5000 FT WINDS.......WEST 29 TO 32 MPH DECREASING TO 26 TO 28 MPH
OVERNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (500 KNOT-FT).
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.
TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........66 69 69 61 31 31 29 40 51 50 66 78
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW
TSTM COV........
CWR.............10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 20 20 10 10
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 20 20 10 10
CHC OF THDR (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10
TEMP............73 73 69 68 67 66 65 65 64 65 64 64
DEWPOINT........62 64 65 64 64 65 64 65 64 64 64 64
RH..............68 73 87 87 90 97 97 100 100 97 100 100
20 FT WIND DIR..S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..8 7 7 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 5
20 FT WIND GUST.14 13 13 12 11 10 10 10 10 10 8 10
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.4
MX HT MSL (KFT).0.7 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.4
MIX HGT (KM)....0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.1
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S SW SW SW SW SW W W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.15 13 13 13 14 13 13 12 12 12 9 8
TRANS WIND DIR..S S S S SW SW SW SW SW W W W
TRANS SPD (M/S).7 6 6 6 6 6 6 5 5 5 4 4
2000 FT WND DIR.S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W
2000 FT WND SPD.21 22 22 22 22 21 21 22 23 24 23 22
5000 FT WND DIR.SW W W W W W W W W W W W
5000 FT WND SPD.30 31 32 32 31 29 26 26 28 28 28 26
VRATE KT-FT/1K..1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT).
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...5 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 82.
MIN HUMIDITY........54 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............64.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).500-2900 FT MSL.
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...152-884 METERS AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9 TO 14 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST
AROUND 7 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.WEST 4 TO 6 METERS/SECOND SHIFTING TO THE
NORTHWEST AROUND 3 METERS/SECOND LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
2000 FT WINDS.......WEST 16 TO 20 MPH DECREASING TO 9 TO 10 MPH.
5000 FT WINDS.......WEST 21 TO 25 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 20 MPH
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (600 KNOT-FT).
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.
TIME (CST) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM
SKY (%).........66 50 47 49
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 10 10
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 10 10
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 10 10
TEMP............63 71 79 81
DEWPOINT........63 66 65 63
RH..............100 84 62 54
20 FT WIND......SW 5G8 SW 6G10 W 7G11 W 6G10
MIX HGT (FT)....500 1300 2700 2700
MX HT MSL (FT)..500 1300 2700 2700
MIX HGT (M).....150 400 820 820
TRANSPORT WIND..W 9 W 14 W 13 W 12
TRAN WIND (M/S).W 4 W 6 W 6 W 5
2000 FT WIND....W 20 W 15 W 12 W 10
5000 FT WIND....W 25 W 24 W 23 W 22
VRATE KT-FT/1K..1 2 5 4
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR POOR
FORECASTER...CHASKELSON
REQUESTED BY...ROBERT VICK
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2526229.0/MEG
.DELDT 11/18/25
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL ROBERT_VICK@NPS.GOV
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