314  
FNUS74 KMOB 231011  
FWSMOB  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR DESOTO BLOCK 8301 SOUTH...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL  
511 AM CDT SAT MAY 23 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 CDT ON MAY 23.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
THERE IS A 80% CHANCE OF RAIN THE REST OF TODAY,  
AND A 60% CHANCE OF RAIN TONIGHT, AND A 80% CHANCE OF RAIN  
SUNDAY. FOR THE REST OF TODAY, THE MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY IS  
NEAR 70%, TRANSPORT WINDS WILL BE MOSTLY SOUTHERLY TO SOUTH-  
SOUTHEASTERLY, AND DISPERSION VALUES WILL BE FAIR. FOR SUNDAY,  
THE MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY IS NEAR 80%, TRANSPORT WINDS WILL  
BE MOSTLY SOUTH-SOUTHEASTERLY TO SOUTHERLY, AND DISPERSION VALUES  
WILL BE FAIR.  
 
FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...FOG IS NOT EXPECTED.  
 
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH  
THE DAY. SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 87.  
MIN HUMIDITY........72 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900 FT AGL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...122-884 METERS AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 9 MPH BECOMING 7 TO 9 MPH LATE IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTH 3 TO 4 METERS/SECOND.  
DISPERSION INDEX....9 INCREASING TO 24 LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN  
INCREASING TO 31 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON  
DECREASING TO 22 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............6.  
STABILITY CLASS.....2.  
 
TIME (CDT) 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM  
SKY (%).........46 50 58 63 75 49  
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE DEFNTE DEFNTE LIKELY  
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE  
CHC OF PCPN (%).40 40 50 80 80 60  
TEMP............70 73 79 83 83 82  
RH..............97 100 88 74 74 79  
20 FT WIND DIR..N S S S SSW S  
20 FT WIND SPD..0 1 2 3 3 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.3 3 6 9 10 9  
MIX HGT (FT)....400 1500 2900 2900 2700 2100  
MIX HGT (M).....120 460 880 880 820 640  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SSE S SSW S SW S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 7 7 9 9 8  
TRANS WIND DIR..SSE S SSW S SW S  
TRANS SPD (M/S).3 3 3 4 4 4  
DISPERSION IDX..5 13 23 32 30 23  
LVORI...........9 5 4 3 3 3  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SHOWERS LIKELY  
AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING,  
THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. GUSTY  
AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS  
OVERNIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...122-640 METERS AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 9 MPH.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTH 3 TO 4 METERS/SECOND.  
DISPERSION INDEX....26 DECREASING TO 4.  
LVORI...............6.  
STABILITY CLASS.....4.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM  
SKY (%).........59 66 76 71 58 73  
WEATHER COV.....LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE  
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........CHANCE CHANCE S CHC S CHC  
CHC OF PCPN (%).60 40 40 40 40 40  
TEMP............82 75 73 73 72 72  
RH..............79 94 93 93 93 93  
20 FT WIND DIR..S SSE SSE N N SE  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 1 1 0 0 1  
20 FT WIND GUST.9 5 5 5 3 5  
MIX HGT (FT)....2100 500 500 500 400 400  
MIX HGT (M).....640 150 150 150 120 120  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S SSE ESE SE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 8 8 6 7 6  
TRANS WIND DIR..S S S SSE ESE SE  
TRANS SPD (M/S).4 4 4 3 3 3  
DISPERSION IDX..26 3 4 3 3 3  
LVORI...........3 6 6 6 8 8  
   
SUNDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. SHOWERS THROUGH  
THE DAY. THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 84.  
MIN HUMIDITY........79 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. GUSTY  
AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS  
IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400 FT AGL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...122-732 METERS AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 9 MPH.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTH 3 TO 4 METERS/SECOND.  
DISPERSION INDEX....6 INCREASING TO 23.  
LVORI...............6.  
STABILITY CLASS.....2.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY (%).........66 65 85 73 62 74  
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE LIKELY DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE  
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........S CHC CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY  
CHC OF PCPN (%).50 60 80 80 80 80  
TEMP............72 72 78 80 81 81  
RH..............93 100 88 85 82 82  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SSE SSE SSE SSE  
20 FT WIND SPD..1 1 3 5 5 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 7 10 13 12  
MIX HGT (FT)....400 700 1400 1500 2000 2400  
MIX HGT (M).....120 210 430 460 610 730  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SSE SSW SSE S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 6 7 8 9 9  
TRANS WIND DIR..SE SSE SSW SSE S S  
TRANS SPD (M/S).3 3 3 4 4 4  
DISPERSION IDX..2 6 14 17 24 26  
LVORI...........8 9 4 4 3 3  
 
 
FORECASTER...25  
REQUESTED BY...CLIFF WILLIS  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2614081.3/MOB  
.DELDT 05/23/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL CLIFTON.WILLIS@USDA.GOV  
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