538  
FNUS74 KMOB 241329  
FWSMOB  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR MERIT CREEK...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL  
829 AM CDT THU SEP 24 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0900 CDT ON SEPTEMBER 24.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
FOR THE REST OF TODAY, THE MINIMUM RELATIVE  
HUMIDITY IS NEAR 50%, 20 FT WIND GUSTS WILL BE UP TO NEAR 15 MPH,  
TRANSPORT WINDS WILL BE MOSTLY NORTH-NORTHEASTERLY, AND  
DISPERSION VALUES WILL BE GOOD. FOR FRIDAY, THE MINIMUM RELATIVE  
HUMIDITY IS NEAR 45%, TRANSPORT WINDS WILL BE MOSTLY EAST-  
NORTHEASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY, AND DISPERSION VALUES WILL BE  
GOOD.  
 
FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...FOG IS NOT EXPECTED.  
 
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 91.  
MIN HUMIDITY........52 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5900 FT AGL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...488-1798 METERS AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 7 TO 9 MPH.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.NORTH 3 TO 4 METERS/SECOND.  
DISPERSION INDEX....18 INCREASING TO 58.  
LVORI...............2.  
STABILITY CLASS.....2.  
 
TIME (CDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........25 29 38 44 47 45 40 39 38  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............76 81 84 86 88 88 89 89 88  
RH..............82 72 67 61 55 55 52 52 54  
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NNE NNE NNE NNE NE NE  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 6 6 6 6 7 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.12 12 10 12 13 14 14 15 14  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.6 2.0 3.0 4.3 5.7 5.9 5.8 5.4 5.4  
MIX HGT (KM)....0.5 0.6 0.9 1.3 1.7 1.8 1.8 1.6 1.6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE NNE NNE N N N NNE NNE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 7 7 7 8 9 9 9 9  
TRANS WIND DIR..NE NE NNE NNE N N N NNE NNE  
TRANS SPD (M/S).4 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4  
DISPERSION IDX..16 19 26 37 53 61 62 57 61  
LVORI...........3 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 1  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.  
MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...122-1646 METERS AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 7 TO 13 MPH.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.NORTHEAST 3 TO 6 METERS/SECOND.  
DISPERSION INDEX....68 DECREASING TO 4.  
LVORI...............4.  
STABILITY CLASS.....4.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........32 34 29 31 27 24 20 20 23 26 27 21  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............86 80 78 76 75 74 73 72 71 70 68 68  
RH..............55 67 71 74 76 79 81 84 84 87 90 90  
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE ENE NE NE NE ENE ENE NE ENE  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 5 5 5 3 3 3 3 3 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.13 14 13 13 13 13 12 12 10 10 10 10  
MIX HGT (KFT)...5.4 0.7 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4  
MIX HGT (KM)....1.6 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NNE ENE ENE ENE ENE ENE ENE ENE ENE ENE ENE E  
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 10 13 12 10 10 9 9 9 8 8 7  
TRANS WIND DIR..NNE ENE ENE ENE ENE ENE ENE ENE ENE ENE ENE E  
TRANS SPD (M/S).4 4 6 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 3  
DISPERSION IDX..68 5 5 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 3 4  
LVORI...........1 3 3 3 4 4 4 5 5 6 6 6  
   
FRIDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 87.  
MIN HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH IN  
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON, THEN BECOMING  
LIGHT LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......6400 FT AGL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...122-1951 METERS AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 8 TO 9 MPH.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.NORTHEAST AROUND 4 METERS/SECOND.  
DISPERSION INDEX....9 INCREASING TO 59.  
LVORI...............4.  
STABILITY CLASS.....2.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........24 27 23 24 30 30 27 21 13 25 26 16  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............67 66 68 71 77 80 82 85 86 87 87 86  
RH..............90 90 87 79 64 58 55 50 46 45 45 46  
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE ENE NE ENE ENE ENE NE NE NE NE NE  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 12 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 12  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 1.2 1.7 2.5 3.4 4.2 4.8 6.1 6.4 5.7 5.7  
MIX HGT (KM)....0.1 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.8 1.0 1.3 1.5 1.9 2.0 1.7 1.7  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E ENE ENE ENE ENE ENE ENE ENE NE NE NE NNE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 8 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 8 8 8  
TRANS WIND DIR..E ENE ENE ENE ENE ENE ENE ENE NE NE NE NNE  
TRANS SPD (M/S).4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4  
DISPERSION IDX..4 8 13 21 30 39 47 55 63 62 59 59  
LVORI...........6 5 4 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
 
 
FORECASTER...13  
REQUESTED BY...DANIEL PATTERSON  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2622457.0/MOB  
.DELDT 09/24/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL DANIEL.L.PATTERSON@USDA.GOV  
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