456
FNUS74 KMOB 111244
FWSMOB
SPOT FORECAST FOR BRB04_2...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
744 AM CDT WED MAR 11 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 CDT ON MARCH 11.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
...HIGH DISPERSION INDEX AROUND 94 EXPECTED REST OF TODAY OVER
THE BURN AREA...
...HIGH DISPERSION INDEX AROUND 95 EXPECTED THURSDAY OVER THE
BURN AREA...
DISCUSSION
DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AT THE BURN SITE THROUGH
THIS AFTERNOON. A LINE OF HEAVY RAIN, WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR
SEVERE STORMS, WILL MOVE THROUGH TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING. DRY
CONDITIONS RETURN FOR THURSDAY AFTERNOON. THERE IS A 90% CHANCE
OF RAIN TONIGHT. FOR THE REST OF TODAY, THE MINIMUM RELATIVE
HUMIDITY IS NEAR 55%, 20 FT WIND GUSTS WILL BE UP TO NEAR 25 MPH,
TRANSPORT WINDS WILL BE MOSTLY SOUTHERLY TO SOUTH- SOUTHWESTERLY,
AND DISPERSION VALUES WILL BE GOOD. FOR THURSDAY, THE MINIMUM
RELATIVE HUMIDITY IS NEAR 45%, 20 FT WIND GUSTS WILL BE UP TO NEAR
30 MPH, TRANSPORT WINDS WILL BE MOSTLY NORTHERLY TO NORTH-
NORTHWESTERLY, AND DISPERSION VALUES WILL BE GOOD.
FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...FOG IS NOT EXPECTED.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY
IN THE MORNING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 84.
MIN HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH WITH
GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND
AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 12 TO 21 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 21
TO 23 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....18 INCREASING TO 41 LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN
INCREASING TO 54 LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING
TO 82 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON INCREASING TO 91
DECREASING TO 84 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TIME (CDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........74 71 70 66 62 65 54 50 32 47
WEATHER COV.....PTY
WEATHER TYPE....FOG
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10
TEMP............67 69 73 76 80 82 82 82 83 82
RH..............100 97 84 76 65 58 58 58 55 56
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW
20 FT WIND SPD..5 6 7 9 10 10 10 12 10 10
20 FT WIND GUST.14 15 18 21 24 24 25 25 24 23
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.4 2.3 3.0 3.7 4.4 5.0 5.0 5.1 4.9 4.9
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S SSW SSW SSW SSW
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 15 17 20 21 23 23 23 22 21
DISPERSION IDX..18 39 42 54 82 93 94 94 88 84
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
SHOWERS IN THE EVENING, THEN SHOWERS AND CHANCE
OF THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......90 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 21 MPH
EARLY IN THE EVENING THEN 20 MPH AFTER 3 AM.
GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 14 TO 20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST
AROUND 17 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.
DISPERSION INDEX....90 DECREASING TO 11.
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........47 56 63 76 72 79 77 86 87 86 77 74
WEATHER COV..... CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY DEF DEF
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 30 30 30 60 60 60 90 90
TEMP............79 77 73 72 71 71 71 70 70 69 68 65
RH..............64 71 84 87 93 93 93 97 97 97 97 100
20 FT WIND DIR..SSW SSW SSW SSW S SSW SSW SSW SSW SW WSW WSW
20 FT WIND SPD..8 7 7 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 7
20 FT WIND GUST.21 20 20 18 18 18 18 18 17 18 20 20
MIX HGT (KFT)...4.9 2.0 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.3 1.3 1.2 1.2 1.3 1.2 1.2
TRANSP WIND DIR.SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SW SW WSW WNW
TRANSP WIND SPD.20 17 16 14 15 15 15 16 17 17 16 17
DISPERSION IDX..90 11 11 10 9 10 10 11 11 12 10 12
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS AND
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING,
THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN
THE MORNING. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE
MORNING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......90 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 67.
MIN HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
NORTH 8 TO 10 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND
AFTERNOON. GUSTS UP TO 28 MPH. GUSTY AND
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY
IN THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 20 TO 25 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....21 INCREASING TO 42 EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN
INCREASING TO 54 LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING
TO 82 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON INCREASING TO 93
DECREASING TO 79 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........90 89 89 82 75 62 49 36 27 18 9 7
WEATHER COV.....DEF LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........CHC SCH SCH SCH
CHC OF PCPN (%).90 60 60 60 60 60 60 10 10 10 10 10
TEMP............63 60 56 56 59 61 63 65 65 65 64 62
RH..............100 100 100 100 87 75 62 54 50 46 45 46
20 FT WIND DIR..WNW NNW NNW NNW N N N N N N N N
20 FT WIND SPD..8 8 10 10 10 12 12 12 12 12 12 9
20 FT WIND GUST.21 21 23 24 25 26 28 28 28 26 25 23
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.3 1.4 1.5 1.8 2.1 2.5 2.9 3.2 3.6 3.8 3.8 3.8
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NNW NNW N N N N N N N N N
TRANSP WIND SPD.20 25 22 23 25 25 25 24 24 25 24 22
DISPERSION IDX..21 41 39 44 51 56 80 83 90 95 91 79
FORECASTER...96
REQUESTED BY...KEVIN MOCK
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2605423.0/MOB
.DELDT 03/11/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL JOSEPH.K.MOCK@USDA.GOV
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