864
FNUS74 KMOB 141008
FWSMOB
SPOT FORECAST FOR CHICK CPT 371...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
408 AM CST SAT FEB 14 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 CST ON FEBRUARY 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON,
THEN BECOME STRONGER AND GREATER IN COVERAGE TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN WELL ABOVE
CRITICAL VALUES. SOUTHERLY SURFACE AND TRANSPORT WINDS WILL INCREASE
IN STRENGTH LATER TODAY INTO TONIGHT AS A SYSTEM APPROACHES FROM
THE WEST.
FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...PATCHY LIGHT FOG IS POSSIBLE THIS
MORNING IN AND NEAR THE BURN SITE.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.
MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 9 MPH WITH
GUSTS TO AROUND 21 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND
AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3800 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...244-1158 METERS AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8 TO 17 MPH INCREASING TO 17 TO 18 MPH IN
THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTH 4 TO 8 METERS/SECOND.
DISPERSION INDEX....11 INCREASING TO 31 LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN
INCREASING TO 48 LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING
TO 63 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 46.
LVORI...............3.
STABILITY CLASS.....3.
TIME (CST) 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY (%).........66 70 52 73 73
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 10 10 10
TEMP............56 64 71 73 73
RH..............90 67 47 46 49
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SSE SSE SSE
20 FT WIND SPD..3 6 8 9 10
20 FT WIND GUST.12 15 17 20 20
MIX HGT (FT)....800 1900 3300 3800 3700
MIX HGT (M).....240 580 1010 1160 1130
TRANSP WIND DIR.SSE SSE S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 13 17 17 17
TRANS WIND DIR..SSE SSE S S S
TRANS SPD (M/S).4 6 8 8 8
DISPERSION IDX..8 31 61 64 47
LVORI...........5 3 1 1 1
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
SHOWERS IN THE EVENING, THEN SHOWERS AND CHANCE
OF THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......90 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 9 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
AROUND 29 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...335-549 METERS AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 13 TO 20 MPH.
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTH 6 TO 9 METERS/SECOND.
DISPERSION INDEX....17.
LVORI...............4.
STABILITY CLASS.....4.
TIME (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY (%).........74 68 69 92 93 96
WEATHER COV.....S CHC S CHC CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY DEFNTE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........ S CHC S CHC CHANCE
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 50 70 70 90
TEMP............68 63 62 61 62 62
RH..............65 81 90 100 100 100
20 FT WIND DIR..SSE SE SE SSE SSE S
20 FT WIND SPD..10 10 10 12 13 14
20 FT WIND GUST.21 21 21 22 26 29
MIX HGT (FT)....1100 1300 1500 1500 1700 1800
MIX HGT (M).....340 400 460 460 520 550
TRANSP WIND DIR.S SE SE SSE SSE S
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 15 15 17 17 18
TRANS WIND DIR..S SE SE SSE SSE S
TRANS SPD (M/S).6 7 7 8 8 8
DISPERSION IDX..13 16 17 20 19 20
LVORI...........3 4 4 5 5 5
SUNDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING AND EARLY
AFTERNOON. SHOWERS THROUGH THE DAY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
MIN HUMIDITY........76 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
WEST 10 TO 12 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS
UP TO 30 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING AND EARLY
AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4300 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...396-1311 METERS AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 18 TO 26 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 22
TO 25 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.WEST 8 TO 12 METERS/SECOND.
DISPERSION INDEX....31 INCREASING TO 68.
LVORI...............4.
STABILITY CLASS.....3.
TIME (CST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY (%).........93 76 72 75 81 83
WEATHER COV.....DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
CHC OF PCPN (%).80 80 80 80 80 80
TEMP............62 62 66 68 69 67
RH..............100 100 90 78 76 78
20 FT WIND DIR..SSW SW SW WSW W W
20 FT WIND SPD..14 14 14 14 14 13
20 FT WIND GUST.30 29 29 28 26 25
MIX HGT (FT)....1300 2600 3200 3200 3900 4300
MIX HGT (M).....400 790 980 980 1190 1310
TRANSP WIND DIR.SSW SW SW WSW W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.20 20 23 26 26 24
TRANS WIND DIR..SSW SW SW WSW W W
TRANS SPD (M/S).9 9 10 12 12 11
DISPERSION IDX..29 41 58 64 72 68
LVORI...........4 4 4 3 3 3
FORECASTER...16
REQUESTED BY...RYAN BARNETT
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2602713.0/MOB
.DELDT 02/14/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL RYAN.BARNETT@USDA.GOV
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