639
FNUS74 KMOB 221341
FWSMOB
SPOT FORECAST FOR EGLIN RX H-9...USAF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
841 AM CDT MON JUL 22 2019
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 CDT ON JULY 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND STORMS DEVELOP AGAIN TODAY. A
FEW OF THE STORMS COULD BE STRONG, PRODUCING BRIEF STRONG, VARIABLE WIND GUSTS
AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING. FAIR TO GOOD DISPERSION. AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT DROPS
SOUTHWARD OVER THE AREA TOMORROW BRINGING WIND SHIFT WITH ITS PASSAGE. CHANCES OF
SHOWERS AND STORMS HIGHER TOMORROW.
FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...PATCHY LATE NIGHT FOG MAY REDUCE
VISIBILITIES TO 3 TO 5 MILES AT TIMES.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
LAL.................9-15 STRIKES.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 88.
MIN HUMIDITY........63 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 9 MPH IN THE
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4800 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...823-1463 METERS AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 7 TO 16 MPH.
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTHWEST 3 TO 7 METERS/SECOND.
DISPERSION INDEX....25 INCREASING TO 47.
LVORI...............3.
STABILITY CLASS.....2.
TIME (CDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........54 54 55 55 55 54 52 51 49
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
CHC OF PCPN (%).40 40 40 40 50 50 50 50 50
LAL.............3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
TEMP............83 85 86 87 87 88 87 86 85
RH..............74 70 68 65 65 63 65 68 70
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S SSW SSW
20 FT WIND SPD..4 5 6 6 7 8 8 8 8
20 FT WIND GUST.5 6 7 10 10 11 12 12 12
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.7 3.7 4.1 4.4 4.8 4.6 4.4 4.2 4.2
MIX HGT (KM)....0.8 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.5 1.4 1.3 1.3 1.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 9 10 10 12 13 14 15 16
TRANS WIND DIR..SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW
TRANS SPD (M/S).3 4 4 4 5 6 6 7 7
DISPERSION IDX..21 25 27 28 32 34 38 44 50
LVORI...........3 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING,
THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
IN THE EVENING. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
LAL.................9-15 STRIKES UNTIL 1900, THEN 1-8 STRIKES UNTIL
0100, THEN 9-15 STRIKES.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76.
MAX HUMIDITY........94 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...213-1280 METERS AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 TO 16 MPH.
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTHWEST 5 TO 7 METERS/SECOND.
DISPERSION INDEX....52 DECREASING TO 11.
LVORI...............5.
STABILITY CLASS.....4.
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........48 46 47 47 48 49 49 50 52 54 56 58
WEATHER COV.....CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
CHC OF PCPN (%).50 20 20 20 20 20 20 30 30 30 30 30
LAL.............3 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3
TEMP............85 83 81 80 80 79 79 77 78 77 76 76
RH..............70 74 79 82 82 85 85 90 88 87 90 94
20 FT WIND DIR..SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..8 7 6 6 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4
20 FT WIND GUST.11 11 10 7 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6
MIX HGT (KFT)...4.2 2.6 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.9
MIX HGT (KM)....1.3 0.8 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.16 16 16 15 14 13 13 12 12 12 12 12
TRANS WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
TRANS SPD (M/S).7 7 7 7 6 6 6 5 5 5 5 5
DISPERSION IDX..52 21 16 15 13 12 11 10 10 10 10 10
LVORI...........3 3 3 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 6
TUESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING,
THEN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT.
LAL.................9-15 STRIKES UNTIL 0700, THEN >25 STRIKES.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 87.
MIN HUMIDITY........68 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH EARLY
IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3600 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...305-1097 METERS AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12 TO 16 MPH.
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.WEST 5 TO 7 METERS/SECOND.
DISPERSION INDEX....15 INCREASING TO 28 EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN
INCREASING TO 32 IN THE LATE MORNING AND
AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 24 LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............4.
STABILITY CLASS.....3.
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........60 62 65 71 76 81 87 92 92 92 93 93
WEATHER COV.....CHC DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........CHC DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF
CHC OF PCPN (%).30 80 80 80 80 80 80 80 80 80 80 80
LAL.............3 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5
TEMP............77 77 80 84 86 87 87 86 85 85 85 83
RH..............90 90 85 74 70 68 68 70 72 72 72 77
20 FT WIND DIR..SW WSW WSW SW SW SW SW SW SW WSW WSW WSW
20 FT WIND SPD..4 4 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 6 7 8 8 10 10 10 10 10 8
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.0 1.0 1.9 2.7 3.6 3.3 3.0 2.7 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.8
MIX HGT (KM)....0.3 0.3 0.6 0.8 1.1 1.0 0.9 0.8 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW WSW WSW WSW WSW SW WSW W W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 12 13 14 15 16 16 16 16 15 14 12
TRANS WIND DIR..SW SW SW WSW WSW WSW WSW SW WSW W W W
TRANS SPD (M/S).5 5 6 6 7 7 7 7 7 7 6 5
DISPERSION IDX..10 19 25 30 35 36 36 36 34 31 27 24
LVORI...........5 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
FORECASTER...23
REQUESTED BY...BRETT WILLIAMS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1912541.0/MOB
.DELDT 07/22/19
.FORMATTERVERSION 1.0.23
.EMAIL BRETT.WILLIAMS.4@US.AF.MIL
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