499
FNUS74 KMOB 041201
FWSMOB
SPOT FORECAST FOR F-17 RX...EGLIN AFB
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
701 AM CDT SAT APR 4 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 CDT ON APRIL 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
...LOW DISPERSION INDEX AROUND 16 EXPECTED TOMORROW AFTERNOON OVER THE
BURN AREA...
DISCUSSION
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS ARE POSSIBLE TODAY WITH
WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND STORMS ON SUNDAY. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL
REMAIN ABOVE CRITICAL THRESHOLDS. TRANSPORT WINDS WILL REMAIN SOUTHERLY
TODAY, WHILE TURNING WESTERLY THEN NORTHWESTERLY THROUGH THE DAY ON
SUNDAY AS A COLD FRONT SLIDES ACROSS THE AREA. AFTERNOON DISPERSION
WILL BE GENERALLY GOOD TODAY AT THE BURN SITE AND GENERALLY POOR TOMORROW.
FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...FOG IS POSSIBLE, BUT NOT LIKELY, TONIGHT
AHEAD OF THE RAIN.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). AREAS OF FOG
EARLY IN THE MORNING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING. CHANCE
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
AFTERNOON, THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 84.
MIN HUMIDITY........59 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 12 MPH
EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTH 10 TO 12 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY
AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS
IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 8 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 15
TO 16 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....13 INCREASING TO 53.
LVORI...............5.
STABILITY CLASS.....2.
TIME (CDT) 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM
SKY (%).........50 44 26 26 35 35
WEATHER COV.....AREAS S CHC CHANCE CHANCE S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....FOG NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........ S CHC CHANCE CHANCE S CHC
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 20 30 30 20
TEMP............66 71 79 82 83 80
RH..............97 87 69 61 59 65
20 FT WIND DIR..ESE SE SSE S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..5 7 10 13 13 12
20 FT WIND GUST.10 14 17 20 20 17
MIX HGT (FT)....400 1700 3000 3800 3400 3100
TRANSP WIND DIR.ESE SSE S S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 14 14 15 16 15
DISPERSION IDX..9 27 49 56 53 51
LVORI...........8 4 1 1 1 1
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
AFTER 3 AM.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
EVENING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 3 AM.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 14 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....52 DECREASING TO 5.
LVORI...............5.
STABILITY CLASS.....4.
TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY (%).........35 38 67 47 67 91
WEATHER COV.....S CHC S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR
TSTM COV........S CHC S CHC
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 10 10 10 10 20
TEMP............79 73 71 70 68 67
RH..............69 87 90 90 97 97
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..10 6 3 2 2 2
20 FT WIND GUST.16 12 9 6 5 5
MIX HGT (FT)....3100 600 600 500 400 500
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S SSW SSW
TRANSP WIND SPD.14 12 10 8 7 6
DISPERSION IDX..52 7 5 4 3 3
LVORI...........1 5 6 6 9 9
SUNDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SHOWERS LIKELY
IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH
THE DAY. SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77.
MIN HUMIDITY........74 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH LATE
IN THE MORNING, THEN SHIFTING TO THE WEST
AROUND 7 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY
IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST
AROUND 8 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....7 INCREASING TO 15 IN THE LATE MORNING AND
AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............6.
STABILITY CLASS.....2.
TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY (%).........93 80 88 89 89 86
WEATHER COV.....S CHC LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY DEFNTE DEFNTE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........S CHC CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 60 60 60 80 80
TEMP............67 67 73 75 75 74
RH..............97 97 84 79 76 76
20 FT WIND DIR..S WSW SSW SW WSW W
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 5 7 8 8
20 FT WIND GUST.5 7 9 12 13 13
MIX HGT (FT)....500 1000 1500 1800 1700 1400
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SSW SW WSW W
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 6 7 7 8 8
DISPERSION IDX..3 7 14 16 15 13
LVORI...........9 8 4 3 4 4
FORECASTER...7
REQUESTED BY...TOM MURRIE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2608970.0/MOB
.DELDT 04/04/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL THOMAS.MURRIE@US.AF.MIL
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