682  
FNUS74 KMOB 181206  
FWSMOB  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR DESOTO BLOCK 8301 C-214 EAST...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL  
606 AM CST THU DEC 18 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 CST ON DECEMBER 18.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
...LOW DISPERSION INDEX AROUND 25 EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON OVER  
THE BURN AREA...  
   
DISCUSSION  
A COLD FRONT WILL BRING SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS  
SHOWERS AND STORMS TO THE AREA TODAY WITH DRY CONDITIONS  
FOLLOWING FOR FRIDAY. AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES REMAIN  
ABOVE CRITICAL LEVELS AROUND 85 PERCENT. TRANSPORT WINDS WILL BE  
MOSTLY SOUTHERLY TO SOUTHEASTERLY AROUND 10 TO 15 MPH BECOMING  
NORTHERLY ON FRIDAY. DISPERSION INDEX VALUES WILL BE GENERALLY  
POOR TO FAIR THURSDAY AND FAIR ON FRIDAY.  
 
FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...FOG IS NOT EXPECTED OVER THE  
BURN SITE THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING.  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS IN  
THE MORNING. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH  
THE DAY. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......90 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.  
MIN HUMIDITY........84 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING AND  
EARLY AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...183-671 METERS AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 16 MPH.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTH 4 TO 7 METERS/SECOND.  
DISPERSION INDEX....15 INCREASING TO 22 LATE IN THE MORNING.  
LVORI...............6.  
STABILITY CLASS.....3.  
 
TIME (CST) 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM  
SKY (%).........89 90 80 78 72 56  
WEATHER COV.....DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE LIKELY S CHC S CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC S CHC  
CHC OF PCPN (%).90 80 80 60 20 20  
TEMP............59 64 68 71 72 69  
RH..............100 97 93 84 84 90  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SSE S S SSW SSW  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 7 8 8 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.14 14 16 16 16 15  
MIX HGT (FT)....600 900 1600 1900 2000 2000  
MIX HGT (M).....180 270 490 580 610 610  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SSE SSE S S SSW SSW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 14 16 14 10 9  
TRANS WIND DIR..SSE SSE S S SSW SSW  
TRANS SPD (M/S).5 6 7 6 4 4  
DISPERSION IDX..12 15 24 25 20 17  
LVORI...........7 5 5 4 4 4  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING, THEN SLIGHT  
CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS LATE IN THE EVENING.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 44.  
MAX HUMIDITY........97 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
NORTHWEST 6 TO 8 MPH OVERNIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...152-244 METERS AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST  
9 TO 16 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING, THEN SHIFTING  
TO THE NORTH AROUND 13 MPH EARLY IN THE  
MORNING.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTHWEST AROUND 4 METERS/SECOND SHIFTING TO  
THE NORTHWEST 4 TO 7 METERS/SECOND EARLY IN THE  
EVENING, THEN SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AROUND 6  
METERS/SECOND EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
DISPERSION INDEX....11.  
LVORI...............6.  
STABILITY CLASS.....4.  
 
TIME (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM  
SKY (%).........62 72 55 53 24 6  
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE S CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).30 30 20 0 0 0  
TEMP............67 66 63 60 55 49  
RH..............93 93 97 93 83 80  
20 FT WIND DIR..SSW WSW WNW NW NNW NNW  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 7 8 9 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.14 15 17 17 18 17  
MIX HGT (FT)....500 600 600 800 800 600  
MIX HGT (M).....150 180 180 240 240 180  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SSW WNW WNW NW NNW NNW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 9 13 16 16 13  
TRANS WIND DIR..SSW WNW WNW NW NNW NNW  
TRANS SPD (M/S).4 4 6 7 7 6  
DISPERSION IDX..6 7 10 15 11 9  
LVORI...........6 6 7 5 4 4  
   
FRIDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.  
MIN HUMIDITY........39 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE MORNING AND EARLY  
AFTERNOON BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900 FT AGL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...213-884 METERS AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 9 TO 15 MPH.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.NORTH 4 TO 7 METERS/SECOND.  
DISPERSION INDEX....16 INCREASING TO 37 LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN  
INCREASING TO 40 LATE IN THE MORNING DECREASING  
TO 30 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............3.  
STABILITY CLASS.....2.  
 
TIME (CST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY (%).........7 4 3 3 3 3  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............45 46 52 57 60 57  
RH..............79 68 56 43 39 47  
20 FT WIND DIR..NNW N N N N N  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 7 7 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.15 14 14 14 13 9  
MIX HGT (FT)....700 1200 2200 2700 2900 2700  
MIX HGT (M).....210 370 670 820 880 820  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N N  
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 13 15 13 12 10  
TRANS WIND DIR..N N N N N N  
TRANS SPD (M/S).6 6 7 6 5 4  
DISPERSION IDX..13 20 41 42 42 32  
LVORI...........4 3 1 1 1 1  
 
 
FORECASTER...8  
REQUESTED BY...CLIFF WILLIS  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2527841.1/MOB  
.DELDT 12/18/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL CLIFTON.WILLIS@USDA.GOV  
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