106
FNUS74 KMOB 231629
FWSMOB
SPOT FORECAST FOR MERIT CREEK...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1129 AM CDT WED SEP 23 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1100 CDT ON SEPTEMBER 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
...HIGH DISPERSION INDEX AROUND 82 EXPECTED REST OF TODAY OVER
THE BURN AREA...
DISCUSSION
FOR THE REST OF TODAY, THE MINIMUM RELATIVE
HUMIDITY IS NEAR 45%, 20 FT WIND GUSTS WILL BE UP TO NEAR 20 MPH,
TRANSPORT WINDS WILL BE MOSTLY NORTH-NORTHEASTERLY TO
NORTHEASTERLY, AND DISPERSION VALUES WILL BE GOOD. FOR THURSDAY,
THE MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY IS NEAR 50%, TRANSPORT WINDS WILL
BE MOSTLY NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY, AND DISPERSION VALUES WILL
BE GENERALLY GOOD.
FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...FOG IS NOT EXPECTED.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 94.
MIN HUMIDITY........47 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6500 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...975-1981 METERS AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 10 TO 12 MPH.
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.NORTHEAST 4 TO 5 METERS/SECOND.
DISPERSION INDEX....40 INCREASING TO 81.
LVORI...............2.
STABILITY CLASS.....2.
TIME (CDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........2 7 17 15 14 11 9
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............86 88 91 92 92 93 92
RH..............68 61 55 49 48 47 48
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE NE NE NE
20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 7 7 7 7 7
20 FT WIND GUST.14 14 15 15 16 16 14
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.2 4.3 5.6 6.1 6.3 6.5 6.5
MIX HGT (KM)....1.0 1.3 1.7 1.9 1.9 2.0 2.0
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE NE NNE NNE NNE NNE
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 10 12 12 12 12 12
TRANS WIND DIR..NE NE NE NNE NNE NNE NNE
TRANS SPD (M/S).4 4 5 5 5 5 5
DISPERSION IDX..40 53 69 77 80 82 81
LVORI...........3 1 1 1 1 1 1
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.
MAX HUMIDITY........89 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...122-1981 METERS AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 6 TO 10 MPH.
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.NORTHEAST 3 TO 4 METERS/SECOND.
DISPERSION INDEX....77 DECREASING TO 4.
LVORI...............4.
STABILITY CLASS.....4.
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........14 13 17 7 14 13 10 7 21 15 18 16
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............90 85 81 79 78 77 76 75 74 73 73 72
RH..............52 61 69 74 76 76 79 82 84 87 86 88
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NNE N N NNE NNE NNE N N N
20 FT WIND SPD..5 3 3 2 2 3 3 2 3 3 3 3
20 FT WIND GUST.12 10 9 8 8 9 9 8 9 9 9 9
MIX HGT (KFT)...6.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
MIX HGT (KM)....2.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE ENE ENE NE NNE NNE NNE NNE NNE NNE NNE
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 8 8 7 6 7 6 7 7 7 8 8
TRANS WIND DIR..NE NE ENE ENE NE NNE NNE NNE NNE NNE NNE NNE
TRANS SPD (M/S).4 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4
DISPERSION IDX..77 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4
LVORI...........1 3 3 3 4 4 4 5 5 6 6 6
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 91.
MIN HUMIDITY........51 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH AROUND 5 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5700 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...122-1737 METERS AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 7 TO 10 MPH.
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.NORTHEAST 3 TO 4 METERS/SECOND.
DISPERSION INDEX....6 INCREASING TO 59.
LVORI...............4.
STABILITY CLASS.....2.
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........16 17 14 17 26 29 33 49 52 53 37 48
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 10
TEMP............71 71 73 77 81 84 87 89 89 90 89 89
RH..............89 89 89 86 77 70 62 56 54 52 51 52
20 FT WIND DIR..N N NNE NNE NE NNE NNE NNE NNE N NNE NE
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 5 5 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 6
20 FT WIND GUST.9 10 10 10 10 10 12 12 13 13 14 14
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.8 1.4 2.1 3.1 4.6 5.4 5.7 4.8 4.7 4.7
MIX HGT (KM)....0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.9 1.4 1.6 1.7 1.5 1.4 1.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.NNE NNE NE ENE NE NE N N N N N N
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 8 8 8 7 7 7 7 8 8 8 10
TRANS WIND DIR..NNE NNE NE ENE NE NE N N N N N N
TRANS SPD (M/S).4 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4
DISPERSION IDX..3 8 9 15 19 29 39 39 50 49 48 59
LVORI...........6 5 5 4 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 1
FORECASTER...13
REQUESTED BY...DANIEL PATTERSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2622405.0/MOB
.DELDT 09/23/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL DANIEL.L.PATTERSON@USDA.GOV,MSMIC@FIRENET.GOV
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