523  
FNUS74 KMOB 222228  
FWSMOB  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR LITTLE CREEK...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL  
528 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1800 CDT ON OCTOBER 22.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
   
DISCUSSION  
DRY CONDITIONS CONTINUE INTO THE WEEKEND. A DRY AIRMASS  
REMAINS IN PLACE, WITH DAYTIME RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES DROPPING BELOW  
25% POSSIBLE FRIDAY. AS TEMEPRATURES COOL INTO THIS EVENING, RELATIVE  
HUMIDITIES WILL QUICKLY RISE ABOVE 25%. NORTHEASTERLY TRANSPORT AND  
SURFACE WINDS ARE EXPECTED, WITH A RAPIDLY DECREASING MIXING LAYER  
THIS EVENING.  
 
FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...FOG IS NOT EXPECTED.  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-5 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...122-1585 METERS AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 6 TO 8 MPH.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.NORTHEAST 3 TO 4 METERS/SECOND.  
DISPERSION INDEX....48 DECREASING TO 3.  
LVORI...............1 INCREASING TO 6.  
STABILITY CLASS.....4.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........0 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 2 3 1  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............76 69 65 63 62 60 58 56 55 53 52 51  
RH..............28 42 58 67 67 72 75 77 80 86 86 89  
20 FT WIND DIR..NNE NE NE NNE NNE NNE N N N N N N  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.9 9 8 6 6 5 5 5 5 6 7 8  
MIX HGT (KFT)...5.2 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4  
MIX HGT (KM)....1.6 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NNE NE NE NE NE NE NE NNE NNE NE NNE NE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 8 7 7 6 6 6 7 7 8 7 7  
TRANS WIND DIR..NNE NE NE NE NE NE NE NNE NNE NE NNE NE  
TRANS SPD (M/S).4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 3 3  
DISPERSION IDX..48 14 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3  
LVORI...........1 2 3 3 3 3 4 4 5 5 6 6  
   
FRIDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 83.  
MIN HUMIDITY........25 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5400 FT AGL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...91-1646 METERS AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 7 TO 8 MPH.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.NORTHEAST 3 TO 4 METERS/SECOND.  
DISPERSION INDEX....7 INCREASING TO 48.  
LVORI...............5.  
STABILITY CLASS.....2.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........2 4 3 2 2 2 2 2 3 2 2 1  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............50 49 52 57 66 72 76 80 81 81 83 81  
RH..............96 100 93 80 63 47 37 29 24 23 25 28  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N NE NE ENE ENE ENE ENE ENE ENE ENE  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 3 3 3 5 5 5 5 5 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.8 8 9 8 9 9 10 10 10 10 12 9  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.3 0.6 1.1 2.4 3.8 4.7 5.1 5.3 5.4 5.4  
MIX HGT (KM)....0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.7 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE NE ENE ENE ENE ENE ENE ENE ENE ENE ENE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 7 7 7 7 7 8 8 8 7 8 8  
TRANS WIND DIR..NE NE NE ENE ENE ENE ENE ENE ENE ENE ENE ENE  
TRANS SPD (M/S).3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 3 4 4  
DISPERSION IDX..3 8 7 8 11 23 37 44 47 48 49 47  
LVORI...........9 8 6 4 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1  
   
FRIDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-5 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49.  
MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...91-1646 METERS AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 7 TO 9 MPH.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.EAST 3 TO 4 METERS/SECOND.  
DISPERSION INDEX....47 DECREASING TO 4.  
LVORI...............4.  
STABILITY CLASS.....4.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........2 4 2 2 1 1 1 0 0 1 1 0  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............76 71 65 63 62 60 58 57 55 54 52 51  
RH..............34 44 56 70 72 78 80 83 86 86 89 93  
20 FT WIND DIR..ENE ENE ENE ENE ENE E E E E E E E  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 9 8 8 8 8 9 9 8 9 9  
MIX HGT (KFT)...5.4 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4  
MIX HGT (KM)....1.6 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR.ENE ENE E E E ESE ESE E ESE ESE E E  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 8 8 8 8 8 9 9 8 7 7 7  
TRANS WIND DIR..ENE ENE E E E ESE ESE E ESE ESE E E  
TRANS SPD (M/S).4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 3  
DISPERSION IDX..47 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 3  
LVORI...........1 2 3 3 3 4 4 5 6 6 6 6  
   
SATURDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-5 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78.  
MIN HUMIDITY........24 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 5 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN  
THE MORNING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5200 FT AGL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...122-1585 METERS AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 8 TO 13 MPH.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.EAST 4 TO 6 METERS/SECOND.  
DISPERSION INDEX....7 INCREASING TO 57.  
LVORI...............4.  
STABILITY CLASS.....2.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 2  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............50 49 52 57 64 68 72 75 77 78 78 75  
RH..............93 93 83 69 54 47 35 27 24 24 24 26  
20 FT WIND DIR..ENE ENE ENE E E E ENE ENE ENE ENE ENE ENE  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 5 6 7 7 7 8 8 8 8 8 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 13 14 14 15 15 16 17 17 17 16  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.5 1.0 1.7 2.6 3.5 4.3 4.9 5.2 4.9 4.9  
MIX HGT (KM)....0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.8 1.1 1.3 1.5 1.6 1.5 1.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E E E E ENE ENE ENE ENE ENE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 8 9 12 13 13 13 12 12 12 12 10  
TRANS WIND DIR..E E E E E E E ENE ENE ENE ENE ENE  
TRANS SPD (M/S).4 4 4 5 6 6 6 5 5 5 5 4  
DISPERSION IDX..4 9 10 14 28 41 53 56 59 60 57 58  
LVORI...........6 6 4 3 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
 
 
FORECASTER...16  
REQUESTED BY...STRIDER  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2624395.0/MOB  
.DELDT 10/22/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL SY.STRIDER@USDA.GOV,MSMIC@FIRENET.GOV  
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