564  
FNUS74 KMOB 121217  
FWSMOB  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR BRB09...U.S. FOREST SERVICE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL  
617 AM CST FRI DEC 12 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 CST ON DECEMBER 12.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
...LOW DISPERSION INDEX AROUND 18 EXPECTED SATURDAY AFTERNOON OVER THE  
BURN AREA...  
   
DISCUSSION  
DRY FORECAST TODAY WITH ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS POSSIBLE  
BY LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY REMAINS ABOVE  
CRITICAL THRESHOLDS BOTH DAYS AT THE BURN SITE. TRANSPORT WINDS WILL  
GENERALLY REMAIN WESTERLY TODAY AND SOUTHWESTERLY ON SATURDAY.  
AFTERNOON DISPERSION WILL BE GENERALLY GOOD TODAY AND GENERALLY POOR  
ON SATURDAY.  
 
FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...LIGHT FOG IS POSSIBLE EARLY THIS  
MORNING AT THE BURN SITE. HIGH LIKELIHOOD OF FOG AFTER MIDNIGHT  
TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING.  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.  
MIN HUMIDITY........53 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH  
EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN BECOMING LIGHT  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3600 FT AGL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...91-1097 METERS AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 2 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 7 TO  
14 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.WEST 1 TO 6 METERS/SECOND SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTHWEST 1 TO 5 METERS/SECOND LATE IN THE  
MORNING, THEN SHIFTING TO THE WEST 3 TO 6  
METERS/SECOND IN THE AFTERNOON.  
DISPERSION INDEX....7 INCREASING TO 33 LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN  
INCREASING TO 52 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON  
DECREASING TO 32 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............4.  
STABILITY CLASS.....2.  
 
TIME (CST) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........8 2 1 1 8 10 17 14 16 14 15  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............37 43 52 59 64 68 69 69 70 68 64  
RH..............96 86 71 60 56 53 53 55 55 57 67  
20 FT WIND DIR..ESE SE S SSW SW WSW WSW WSW WSW WSW WSW  
20 FT WIND SPD..1 1 2 3 5 6 6 6 5 3 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.3 5 6 8 10 13 13 12 12 10 9  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.3 0.6 1.3 2.4 3.4 3.6 3.6 3.2 3.2 3.2  
MIX HGT (KM)....0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.7 1.0 1.1 1.1 1.0 1.0 1.0  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S SSW SSW WSW WSW W W W W WSW WSW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.3 2 3 7 12 14 13 12 12 9 7  
TRANS SPD (M/S).1 1 1 3 5 6 6 5 5 4 3  
DISPERSION IDX..3 3 4 11 33 56 56 52 47 36 28  
LVORI...........6 5 3 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 3  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG  
OVERNIGHT. AREAS OF FOG AFTER 3 AM.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...91-122 METERS AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 2 TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST  
2 TO 3 MPH AFTER 3 AM.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTHWEST AROUND 3 METERS/SECOND SHIFTING TO  
THE NORTHWEST AROUND 1 METERS/SECOND AFTER 3  
AM.  
DISPERSION INDEX....2.  
LVORI...............7.  
STABILITY CLASS.....4.  
 
TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........10 11 18 21 18 27 34 53 59 62 66 65  
WEATHER COV..... PTY PTY PTY ARS ARS ARS  
WEATHER TYPE.... FOG FOG FOG FOG FOG FOG  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
TEMP............61 57 56 55 54 54 53 53 52 52 51 50  
RH..............78 93 93 96 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW WSW WSW W W W NNW N N  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
20 FT WIND GUST.8 7 6 6 5 5 5 5 3 5 5 5  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4  
MIX HGT (KM)....0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR.WSW WSW SW SW WSW WSW WSW W W W NW NNW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 2 3 2  
TRANS SPD (M/S).3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1  
DISPERSION IDX..3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 2 1  
LVORI...........4 6 6 8 9 9 9 9 9 10 10 10  
   
SATURDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). AREAS OF FOG  
EARLY IN THE MORNING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.  
MIN HUMIDITY........61 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...122-671 METERS AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 2 TO 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 6 TO  
7 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.NORTH AROUND 1 METERS/SECOND INCREASING TO 1 TO  
2 METERS/SECOND IN THE MORNING, THEN SHIFTING  
TO THE SOUTHWEST AROUND 3 METERS/SECOND LATE IN  
THE MORNING.  
DISPERSION INDEX....5 INCREASING TO 16 LATE IN THE MORNING.  
LVORI...............6.  
STABILITY CLASS.....2.  
 
TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........61 57 52 47 44 41 38 42 47 51 48 46  
WEATHER COV.....ARS ARS ARS SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE....FOG FOG FOG RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 20 20 20 20 20 20  
TEMP............51 51 54 59 64 67 70 72 72 71 70 67  
RH..............100 100 100 93 81 73 66 61 64 66 68 75  
20 FT WIND DIR..NNE NNE ENE E ESE S S S SSW SSW SSW S  
20 FT WIND SPD..1 1 1 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 6 6 7 8 8 9 9 9 9 9  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.6 0.7 1.2 1.7 2.2 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.1  
MIX HGT (KM)....0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N NNE N W SW SW SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.2 3 5 5 5 6 6 6 7 7 6 6  
TRANS SPD (M/S).1 1 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3  
DISPERSION IDX..2 3 4 5 8 13 18 18 18 16 17 14  
LVORI...........10 9 9 6 4 3 3 2 2 3 3 4  
 
 
FORECASTER...7  
REQUESTED BY...CHANCE FILLMER  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2527549.0/MOB  
.DELDT 12/12/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL CHANCE.FILLMER@USDA.GOV  
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