779  
FNUS74 KMOB 211005  
FWSMOB  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR DESOTO BLOCK 8301 SOUTH...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL  
505 AM CDT THU MAY 21 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 CDT ON MAY 21.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
THERE IS A 60% CHANCE OF RAIN THE REST OF TODAY,  
AND A 50% CHANCE OF RAIN TONIGHT, AND A 80% CHANCE OF RAIN  
FRIDAY. FOR THE REST OF TODAY, THE MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY IS  
NEAR 70%, 20 FT WIND GUSTS WILL BE UP TO NEAR 15 MPH, TRANSPORT  
WINDS WILL BE MOSTLY SOUTHERLY TO SOUTH-SOUTHEASTERLY, AND  
DISPERSION VALUES WILL BE FAIR. FOR FRIDAY, THE MINIMUM RELATIVE  
HUMIDITY IS NEAR 70%, 20 FT WIND GUSTS WILL BE UP TO NEAR 20 MPH,  
TRANSPORT WINDS WILL BE MOSTLY SOUTHERLY TO SOUTH-SOUTHWESTERLY,  
AND DISPERSION VALUES WILL BE GENERALLY GOOD.  
 
FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...FOG IS NOT EXPECTED.  
 
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH  
THE DAY. SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 85.  
MIN HUMIDITY........67 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE  
AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300 FT AGL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...152-1006 METERS AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 13 MPH.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTH 2 TO 6 METERS/SECOND.  
DISPERSION INDEX....10 INCREASING TO 36.  
LVORI...............6.  
STABILITY CLASS.....2.  
 
TIME (CDT) 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM  
SKY (%).........77 69 68 71 67 66  
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY CHANCE  
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE  
CHC OF PCPN (%).30 30 50 60 60 50  
TEMP............71 74 80 82 82 83  
RH..............97 97 79 72 72 70  
20 FT WIND DIR..N SSE SSE SSE S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..0 1 3 6 7 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.5 6 9 14 15 15  
MIX HGT (FT)....500 1800 2600 2800 3000 3300  
MIX HGT (M).....150 550 790 850 910 1010  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SSE S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 6 9 10 12 12  
TRANS WIND DIR..SSE S S S S S  
TRANS SPD (M/S).2 3 4 4 5 5  
DISPERSION IDX..5 14 29 34 37 38  
LVORI...........9 5 3 3 3 3  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS  
THROUGH THE NIGHT. SHOWERS LIKELY OVERNIGHT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.  
MAX HUMIDITY........97 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE  
EVENING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR  
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.  
GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR  
THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 3 AM.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...122-1006 METERS AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8 TO 12 MPH.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTH 4 TO 5 METERS/SECOND.  
DISPERSION INDEX....43 DECREASING TO 6.  
LVORI...............5.  
STABILITY CLASS.....4.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM  
SKY (%).........68 75 72 83 60 72  
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE S CHC S CHC S CHC CHANCE CHANCE  
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........CHANCE S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC CHANCE  
CHC OF PCPN (%).50 20 20 20 40 50  
TEMP............82 76 74 73 73 73  
RH..............72 85 90 93 90 90  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S SSE SSE SSE SSE  
20 FT WIND SPD..7 3 3 3 3 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.14 12 10 10 10 12  
MIX HGT (FT)....3300 600 600 500 500 500  
MIX HGT (M).....1010 180 180 150 150 150  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 9 9 9 10 8  
TRANS WIND DIR..S S S S S S  
TRANS SPD (M/S).5 4 4 4 4 4  
DISPERSION IDX..43 5 4 4 4 4  
LVORI...........3 5 6 6 6 6  
   
FRIDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. SHOWERS THROUGH  
THE DAY. THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 84.  
MIN HUMIDITY........72 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 8 MPH WITH  
GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR  
THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND  
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN  
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300 FT AGL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...152-1006 METERS AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8 TO 16 MPH.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTH 4 TO 7 METERS/SECOND.  
DISPERSION INDEX....7 INCREASING TO 18 EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN  
INCREASING TO 31 LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING  
TO 42 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON INCREASING TO 47  
DECREASING TO 35 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............5.  
STABILITY CLASS.....2.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY (%).........63 72 54 68 63 63  
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE  
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........CHANCE S CHC CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY  
CHC OF PCPN (%).50 80 80 80 80 80  
TEMP............72 72 76 80 81 83  
RH..............93 97 90 82 77 72  
20 FT WIND DIR..SSE S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 6 7 8 8 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.12 14 16 18 20 18  
MIX HGT (FT)....500 1000 1600 2100 2800 2800  
MIX HGT (M).....150 300 490 640 850 850  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S SSW S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 10 14 14 16 13  
TRANS WIND DIR..S S S SSW S S  
TRANS SPD (M/S).4 4 6 6 7 6  
DISPERSION IDX..4 14 27 37 46 36  
LVORI...........6 5 4 4 3 3  
 
 
FORECASTER...25  
REQUESTED BY...CLIFF WILLIS  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2614081.1/MOB  
.DELDT 05/21/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL CLIFTON.WILLIS@USDA.GOV  
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