321  
FNUS74 KMOB 301219  
FWSMOB  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR BHS02...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL  
619 AM CST FRI JAN 30 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 CST ON JANUARY 30.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
...HIGH DISPERSION INDEX AROUND 113 EXPECTED SATURDAY AFTERNOON  
OVER THE BURN AREA...  
   
DISCUSSION  
DRY WEATHER CONDITIONS PREVAIL ACROSS THE BURN SITE  
TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY. MINIMUM AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES  
DROP TO AROUND 50 PERCENT TODAY, AND 30 TO 35 PERCENT SATURDAY.  
TRANSPORT WINDS SHIFT TO BE OUT OF THE NORTH TO NORTHWEST BY LATE  
MORNING INTO THIS AFTERNOON IN THE WAKE OF A COLD FRONT. STRONG  
TRANSPORT WINDS OUT OF THE NORTHWEST ARE EXPECTED SATURDAY.  
DISPERSIONS WILL BE GENERALLY GOOD TO GOOD TODAY AND EXCELLENT ON  
SATURDAY.  
 
FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...FOG IS NOT EXPECTED.  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). PATCHY FROST  
EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.  
MIN HUMIDITY........49 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600 FT AGL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...91-1402 METERS AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 2 TO 3 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AROUND 3  
MPH LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN SHIFTING TO THE  
NORTHWEST 6 TO 14 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND  
AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.NORTHEAST AROUND 1 METERS/SECOND SHIFTING TO  
THE EAST EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN SHIFTING TO  
THE NORTH LATE IN THE MORNING SHIFTING TO THE  
NORTHWEST IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
DISPERSION INDEX....3 INCREASING TO 17 LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN  
INCREASING TO 33 LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING  
TO 51 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON INCREASING TO 63  
DECREASING TO 50 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON  
DECREASING TO 38.  
LVORI...............5.  
STABILITY CLASS.....2.  
 
TIME (CST) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........56 32 18 17 15 26 61 65 70 85 84  
WEATHER COV.....PTY  
WEATHER TYPE....FST  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............36 41 50 55 58 60 59 59 58 56 53  
RH..............96 89 68 61 55 49 51 49 51 53 61  
20 FT WIND DIR..ENE E E N NW NW NW NW NW NW NNW  
20 FT WIND SPD..1 1 2 2 3 5 6 6 6 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 7 8 10 12 13 14 14 15  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.3 0.7 2.4 3.5 4.5 4.6 4.5 4.3 4.3 4.3  
MIX HGT (KM)....0.1 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.1 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.3 1.3 1.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.ENE E N WNW WNW WNW WNW WNW NW NNW NNW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.3 2 3 6 8 9 12 13 14 14 14  
TRANS WIND DIR..ENE E N WNW WNW WNW WNW WNW NW NNW NNW  
TRANS SPD (M/S).1 1 1 3 4 4 5 6 6 6 6  
DISPERSION IDX..4 2 3 17 33 51 63 50 38 38 37  
LVORI...........8 6 3 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 26.  
MAX HUMIDITY........79 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 26 MPH  
IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...213-762 METERS AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 15 TO 23 MPH.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.NORTHWEST 7 TO 10 METERS/SECOND.  
DISPERSION INDEX....15 INCREASING TO 30 OVERNIGHT.  
LVORI...............4.  
STABILITY CLASS.....4.  
 
TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........82 78 62 65 52 44 55 48 53 55 59 68  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............50 48 46 45 42 41 39 37 35 33 31 29  
RH..............68 71 73 73 79 76 79 75 75 75 78 78  
20 FT WIND DIR..NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 7 8 8 9 10 10 10 12 12  
20 FT WIND GUST.15 16 17 18 20 21 21 23 24 24 25 26  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.4 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.9 0.8 1.7 2.3 2.4 2.5 2.5  
MIX HGT (KM)....0.4 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.8  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW NW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.15 16 16 16 18 18 18 20 22 23 23 23  
TRANS WIND DIR..NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW NW  
TRANS SPD (M/S).7 7 7 7 8 8 8 9 10 10 10 10  
DISPERSION IDX..10 10 11 11 14 16 16 19 28 30 31 31  
LVORI...........3 3 3 3 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3  
   
SATURDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 35.  
MIN HUMIDITY........33 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 12 TO 14 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 35  
MPH INCREASING TO 36 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5800 FT AGL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...823-1768 METERS AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 24 TO 32 MPH INCREASING TO 29 TO 36  
MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.NORTHWEST 11 TO 16 METERS/SECOND INCREASING TO  
13 TO 16 METERS/SECOND LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
DISPERSION INDEX....61 INCREASING TO 76 LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN  
INCREASING TO 91 LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING  
TO 109 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO  
104.  
LVORI...............2.  
STABILITY CLASS.....3.  
 
TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........46 61 55 48 42 37 31 26 20 15 13 10  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............28 26 27 29 31 32 34 34 34 33 32 29  
RH..............75 78 68 58 49 45 38 35 33 33 34 40  
20 FT WIND DIR..NNW NW NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW  
20 FT WIND SPD..13 14 14 14 15 16 16 16 16 16 15 13  
20 FT WIND GUST.26 29 30 32 33 35 36 36 36 36 32 30  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.8 2.7 3.0 3.4 4.0 4.6 5.1 5.6 5.8 5.4 5.4 5.4  
MIX HGT (KM)....0.9 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.7 1.8 1.6 1.6 1.6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.24 24 25 26 28 29 30 32 35 36 33 29  
TRANS WIND DIR..NW NW NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW  
TRANS SPD (M/S).11 11 11 12 13 13 13 14 16 16 15 13  
DISPERSION IDX..64 57 63 71 80 87 94 105 113 111 103 104  
LVORI...........3 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
 
 
FORECASTER...25  
REQUESTED BY...KEVIN MOCK  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2601382.0/MOB  
.DELDT 01/30/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL JOSEPH.K.MOCK@USFS.GOV  
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