429  
FNUS74 KMOB 221016  
FWSMOB  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR DESOTO BLOCK 8301 SOUTH...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL  
516 AM CDT FRI MAY 22 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 CDT ON MAY 22.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
THERE IS A 100% CHANCE OF RAIN THE REST OF TODAY,  
AND A 80% CHANCE OF RAIN TONIGHT, AND A 80% CHANCE OF RAIN  
SATURDAY. FOR THE REST OF TODAY, THE MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY IS  
NEAR 75%, 20 FT WIND GUSTS WILL BE UP TO NEAR 20 MPH, TRANSPORT  
WINDS WILL BE MOSTLY SOUTHERLY TO SOUTH-SOUTHWESTERLY, AND  
DISPERSION VALUES WILL BE GENERALLY GOOD. FOR SATURDAY, THE  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY IS NEAR 70%, TRANSPORT WINDS WILL BE  
MOSTLY SOUTH-SOUTHWESTERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY, AND DISPERSION  
VALUES WILL BE FAIR.  
 
FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...FOG IS NOT EXPECTED.  
 
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. SHOWERS THROUGH  
THE DAY. THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......100 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 84.  
MIN HUMIDITY........77 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN  
THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND  
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900 FT AGL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...213-884 METERS AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 18 MPH.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTH 4 TO 8 METERS/SECOND.  
DISPERSION INDEX....9 INCREASING TO 23 EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN  
INCREASING TO 39 LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING  
TO 47 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............5.  
STABILITY CLASS.....3.  
 
TIME (CDT) 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM  
SKY (%).........78 78 74 83 84 81  
WEATHER COV.....DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE  
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY  
CHC OF PCPN (%).100 100 80 80 80 80  
TEMP............72 73 78 81 82 81  
RH..............93 100 88 79 77 82  
20 FT WIND DIR..SSE S S S SSW SSW  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 6 8 8 7 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.13 15 17 18 16 14  
MIX HGT (FT)....700 1400 2000 2900 2800 2800  
MIX HGT (M).....210 430 610 880 850 850  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S SSW SSW SSW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 13 16 16 14 12  
TRANS WIND DIR..S S S SSW SSW SSW  
TRANS SPD (M/S).4 6 7 7 6 5  
DISPERSION IDX..9 27 42 51 43 36  
LVORI...........6 4 4 3 3 3  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). SHOWERS WITH  
THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY EARLY IN THE EVENING, THEN  
CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. PATCHY FOG  
AFTER 3 AM.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...122-853 METERS AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 7 TO 12 MPH.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTH 3 TO 5 METERS/SECOND.  
DISPERSION INDEX....34 DECREASING TO 4.  
LVORI...............6.  
STABILITY CLASS.....4.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM  
SKY (%).........59 65 62 59 48 50  
WEATHER COV.....DEFNTE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE  
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE  
CHC OF PCPN (%).80 40 30 30 40 40  
TEMP............81 75 73 73 72 72  
RH..............82 94 97 93 93 90  
20 FT WIND DIR..S SSW S SSE S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 2 2 2 2 1  
20 FT WIND GUST.13 8 8 8 7 6  
MIX HGT (FT)....2800 400 400 500 500 400  
MIX HGT (M).....850 120 120 150 150 120  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SSW S S SSW S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 9 8 8 8 8  
TRANS WIND DIR..SW SSW S S SSW S  
TRANS SPD (M/S).5 4 4 4 4 4  
DISPERSION IDX..34 4 4 4 4 3  
LVORI...........3 6 9 6 6 6  
   
SATURDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY  
IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE  
MORNING. SHOWERS THROUGH THE DAY. THUNDERSTORMS  
LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 86.  
MIN HUMIDITY........72 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND  
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3800 FT AGL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...122-1158 METERS AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 10 MPH.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTHWEST 3 TO 4 METERS/SECOND.  
DISPERSION INDEX....6 INCREASING TO 30 LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING  
TO 38 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............6.  
STABILITY CLASS.....2.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY (%).........51 72 52 65 78 62  
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE  
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY CHANCE  
CHC OF PCPN (%).50 50 80 80 80 80  
TEMP............72 72 79 81 83 84  
RH..............90 100 82 79 74 72  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N SSW SSW SSW S  
20 FT WIND SPD..0 0 2 3 5 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.3 3 6 7 10 9  
MIX HGT (FT)....400 1100 2100 2500 3300 2200  
MIX HGT (M).....120 340 640 760 1010 670  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SSW SSW WSW SSW SSW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 7 8 9 9 8  
TRANS WIND DIR..SW SSW SSW WSW SSW SSW  
TRANS SPD (M/S).3 3 4 4 4 4  
DISPERSION IDX..3 8 20 27 34 25  
LVORI...........6 8 3 3 3 3  
 

 
FORECASTER...25  
REQUESTED BY...CLIFF WILLIS  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2614081.2/MOB  
.DELDT 05/22/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL CLIFTON.WILLIS@USDA.GOV  
 
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