822  
FNUS74 KMOB 231348  
FWSMOB  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR LITTLE CREEK FIRE...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL  
848 AM CDT FRI OCT 23 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0900 CDT ON OCTOBER 23.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
NO RAIN IS EXPECTED THROUGH AT LEAST THE WEEKEND. WINDS WILL  
GENERALLY REMAIN FROM THE ENE, BETWEEN 5 AND 10 MPH TODAY. THESE  
WINDS MAY INCREASE OVER THE WEEKEND, INCREASING FIRE WEATHER  
CONCERNS NEAR THE BURN SITE. RH VALUES WILL APPROACH CRITICAL  
THRESHOLDS, DIPPING INTO THE 25 TO 30 PERCENT RANGE. IF  
TEMPERATURES RISE HIGHER THAN CURRENTLY FORECAST, RH MAY FALL INTO  
THE 20 TO 25 PERCENT RANGE DURING THE AFTERNOON.  
 
FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...PATCHY, SHALLOW FOG MAY DEVELOP  
OVERNIGHT, MAINLY NEAR BODIES OF WATER.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-5 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 82.  
MIN HUMIDITY........23 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500 FT AGL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...152-1676 METERS AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 6 TO 9 MPH.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.NORTHEAST 3 TO 4 METERS/SECOND.  
DISPERSION INDEX....9 INCREASING TO 48.  
LVORI...............2.  
STABILITY CLASS.....2.  
 
TIME (CDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........1 2 1 1 1 3 1 1 0  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............57 65 71 75 79 81 81 82 80  
RH..............67 52 42 34 29 25 24 23 27  
20 FT WIND DIR..NNE NE NE ENE ENE ENE ENE ENE ENE  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 5 5 5 5 5 5 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.8 9 10 10 10 10 12 10 9  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 1.1 2.4 3.7 4.6 5.0 5.5 5.5 5.5  
MIX HGT (KM)....0.2 0.3 0.7 1.1 1.4 1.5 1.7 1.7 1.7  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE ENE ENE ENE NE NE ENE ENE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 7 8 8 9 9 8 7 7  
TRANS WIND DIR..NE NE ENE ENE ENE NE NE ENE ENE  
TRANS SPD (M/S).3 3 4 4 4 4 4 3 3  
DISPERSION IDX..7 10 23 36 48 51 49 45 45  
LVORI...........3 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49.  
MAX HUMIDITY........86 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...122-1676 METERS AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 7 TO 9 MPH.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.EAST 3 TO 4 METERS/SECOND.  
DISPERSION INDEX....45 DECREASING TO 4.  
LVORI...............3.  
STABILITY CLASS.....4.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........1 4 3 3 2 3 1 1 1 2 2 1  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............76 71 65 63 61 60 58 56 55 54 52 51  
RH..............33 44 60 65 70 72 77 80 83 83 86 83  
20 FT WIND DIR..ENE ENE E E E ESE E E ESE ESE E E  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.9 10 8 7 7 7 7 7 8 8 8 9  
MIX HGT (KFT)...5.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4  
MIX HGT (KM)....1.7 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR.ENE ENE E E E ESE ESE E E E E E  
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 8 8 7 7 8 8 8 8 9 9 9  
TRANS WIND DIR..ENE ENE E E E ESE ESE E E E E E  
TRANS SPD (M/S).3 4 4 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 4  
DISPERSION IDX..45 4 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4  
LVORI...........1 2 3 3 3 3 4 5 5 5 5 5  
   
SATURDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78.  
MIN HUMIDITY........22 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST 5 TO 7 MPH IN  
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5200 FT AGL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...122-1585 METERS AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 9 TO 13 MPH.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.EAST 4 TO 6 METERS/SECOND.  
DISPERSION INDEX....7 INCREASING TO 60.  
LVORI...............3.  
STABILITY CLASS.....2.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........3 3 0 0 2 8 5 1 11 12 12 11  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............50 49 52 56 64 69 72 75 76 77 78 76  
RH..............83 71 63 55 41 35 30 26 24 23 22 24  
20 FT WIND DIR..E ENE ENE E E E E ENE ENE NE NE NE  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 5 5 6 7 7 7 8 8 8 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.9 10 12 12 14 15 15 15 16 17 17 15  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.6 1.1 1.8 2.9 3.9 4.5 5.0 5.2 4.9 4.9  
MIX HGT (KM)....0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.9 1.2 1.4 1.5 1.6 1.5 1.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E E E E ENE E E ENE E  
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 9 9 12 13 13 12 12 12 12 12 10  
TRANS WIND DIR..E E E E E E E ENE E E ENE E  
TRANS SPD (M/S).4 4 4 5 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 4  
DISPERSION IDX..4 10 10 18 31 45 56 61 64 62 61 61  
LVORI...........5 3 3 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
 

 
FORECASTER...73  
REQUESTED BY...AMBER LANDRUM  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2624415.0/MOB  
.DELDT 10/23/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL AMBER.LANDRUM@USDA.GOV  
 
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