966  
FNUS74 KMOB 171014  
FWSMOB  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR DESOTO BLOCK 0250 COMP. 596-598...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL  
514 AM CDT SUN MAY 17 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0615 CDT ON MAY 17.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
DRY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH TODAY WITH A  
30% CHANCE OF RAIN MONDAY. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY THIS  
AFTERNOON WILL BE NEAR 55%. 20 FT WIND GUSTS WILL BE UP TO NEAR 20  
MPH THIS AFTERNOON WITH TRANSPORT MOSTLY SOUTHERLY TO  
SOUTHEASTERLY. AFTERNOON DISPERSION VALUES WILL BE GENERALLY GOOD  
TO GOOD. FOR MONDAY, THE MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY SHOULD INCREASE  
TO NEAR 60%. 20 FT WIND GUSTS WILL BE UP TO NEAR 20 MPH WITH  
TRANSPORT WINDS MOSTLY SOUTH-SOUTHEASTERLY. AFTERNOON DISPERSION  
VALUES WILL BE GOOD. NO SEABREEZE IS EXPECTED AND WOULD RESULT IN  
NO CHANGES IN CONDITIONS.  
 
FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...LIGHT PATCHY FOG COULD BE  
POSSIBLE EACH NIGHT WITH THE BEST CHANCE EARLY MONDAY MORNING.  
VISIBILITIES AROUND 1 TO 3 MILES COULD BE POSSIBLE WHERE FOG DOES  
DEVELOP.  
 
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 86.  
MIN HUMIDITY........59 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 6 TO 10 MPH IN THE  
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4100 FT AGL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...122-1250 METERS AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 7 TO 14 MPH.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTH 3 TO 6 METERS/SECOND.  
DISPERSION INDEX....5 INCREASING TO 51.  
LVORI...............5.  
STABILITY CLASS.....2.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY (%).........13 11 24 28 43 47  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............64 69 79 83 84 85  
RH..............100 93 69 63 61 59  
20 FT WIND DIR..ESE SE SSE S S SSE  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 7 9 10 12  
20 FT WIND GUST.7 8 12 14 16 16  
MIX HGT (FT)....400 1000 3200 3900 4000 3500  
MIX HGT (M).....120 300 980 1190 1220 1070  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SSE S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 9 10 12 13 13  
TRANS WIND DIR..SE SSE S S S S  
TRANS SPD (M/S).3 4 4 5 6 6  
DISPERSION IDX..3 13 43 51 54 48  
LVORI...........9 5 1 1 1 1  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.  
MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...152-1067 METERS AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 9 TO 14 MPH.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTHEAST 4 TO 6 METERS/SECOND.  
DISPERSION INDEX....56 DECREASING TO 11.  
LVORI...............4.  
STABILITY CLASS.....4.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM  
SKY (%).........47 55 57 66 58 64  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............82 76 74 73 72 71  
RH..............63 76 82 84 87 90  
20 FT WIND DIR..SSE SE SE SE SE SE  
20 FT WIND SPD..10 7 6 5 5 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.15 12 10 10 9 10  
MIX HGT (FT)....3500 700 700 700 700 500  
MIX HGT (M).....1070 210 210 210 210 150  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S SSE SSE SE SSE SSE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.14 12 10 12 12 9  
TRANS WIND DIR..S SSE SSE SE SSE SSE  
TRANS SPD (M/S).6 5 4 5 5 4  
DISPERSION IDX..56 8 7 7 7 6  
LVORI...........1 4 4 4 5 6  
   
MONDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
IN THE MORNING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 87.  
MIN HUMIDITY........61 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.  
GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR  
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...152-1372 METERS AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 17 MPH.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTHEAST 4 TO 8 METERS/SECOND.  
DISPERSION INDEX....8 INCREASING TO 26 EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN  
INCREASING TO 36 LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING  
TO 49 LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 66  
DECREASING TO 59 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............3.  
STABILITY CLASS.....3.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY (%).........73 81 79 69 61 37  
WEATHER COV..... CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC S CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........ S CHC S CHC  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 30 30 30 20 20  
TEMP............72 74 81 85 86 86  
RH..............87 87 72 65 63 63  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SSE SSE SSE SSE  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 8 10 12 10 12  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 14 16 18 17 18  
MIX HGT (FT)....500 1700 3000 4000 4500 3800  
MIX HGT (M).....150 520 910 1220 1370 1160  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SSE SE SSE SSE SSE SSE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 12 15 16 17 16  
TRANS WIND DIR..SSE SE SSE SSE SSE SSE  
TRANS SPD (M/S).4 5 7 7 8 7  
DISPERSION IDX..6 26 47 52 70 61  
LVORI...........5 4 3 1 1 1  
 

 
FORECASTER...8  
REQUESTED BY...CLIFF WILLIS  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2613602.3/MOB  
.DELDT 05/17/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL CLIFTON.WILLIS@USDA.GOV  
 
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