049  
FNUS74 KMOB 122030  
FWSMOB  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR DESOTO BB 8301 C 214 EAST RX...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL  
230 PM CST THU FEB 12 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1500 CST ON FEBRUARY 12.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
DRY CONDITIONS CONTINUE ACROSS THE BURN SITE THE  
REST OF TODAY THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY  
VALUES BOTTOM OUT THIS AFTERNOON AND FRIDAY AFTERNOON NEAR 40  
PERCENT. TRANSPORT WINDS REMAIN LIGHT OUT OF THE NORTHWEST AROUND  
5MPH THIS AFTERNOON, BECOMING EASTERLY FOR FRIDAY. TRANSPORT WINDS  
WILL SHIFT BACK OUT OF THE NORTHWEST BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON.  
AFTERNOON DISPERSIONS WILL REMAIN FAIR FOR THIS AFTERNOON AND  
FRIDAY AFTERNOON.  
 
FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...FOG IS NOT EXPECTED TONIGHT OR  
FRIDAY NIGHT.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.  
MIN HUMIDITY........41 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4200 FT AGL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...1280 METERS AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 3 TO 6 MPH.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.NORTHWEST 1 TO 3 METERS/SECOND.  
DISPERSION INDEX....25 DECREASING TO 17 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............2.  
STABILITY CLASS.....2.  
 
TIME (CST) 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........27 20 17  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0  
TEMP............74 73 70  
RH..............41 43 49  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N NNE  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.8 8 6  
MIX HGT (KFT)...4.2 4.2 4.2  
MIX HGT (KM)....1.3 1.3 1.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NNW NNW NNW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 3 3  
TRANS WIND DIR..NNW NNW NNW  
TRANS SPD (M/S).3 1 1  
DISPERSION IDX..28 22 17  
LVORI...........2 2 2  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49.  
MAX HUMIDITY........89 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...61-122 METERS AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 3 TO 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 3 TO 6  
MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.NORTH AROUND 1 METERS/SECOND SHIFTING TO THE  
EAST 1 TO 3 METERS/SECOND IN THE LATE EVENING  
AND OVERNIGHT.  
DISPERSION INDEX....3.  
LVORI...............5.  
STABILITY CLASS.....4.  
 
TIME (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM  
SKY (%).........15 21 24 42 50 60  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............67 59 56 52 52 50  
RH..............59 72 80 89 83 80  
20 FT WIND DIR..NNE NE ENE N N ENE  
20 FT WIND SPD..1 1 1 0 0 1  
20 FT WIND GUST.5 3 3 2 2 2  
MIX HGT (FT)....400 300 300 200 200 300  
MIX HGT (M).....120 90 90 60 60 90  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N NE E ENE ENE ENE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.3 3 3 5 6 5  
TRANS WIND DIR..N NE E ENE ENE ENE  
TRANS SPD (M/S).1 1 1 2 3 2  
DISPERSION IDX..2 2 2 2 3 2  
LVORI...........3 3 5 6 5 5  
   
FRIDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76.  
MIN HUMIDITY........42 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5200 FT AGL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...122-1585 METERS AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 3 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 3 TO  
5 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN SHIFTING TO THE  
EAST AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.EAST 1 TO 3 METERS/SECOND SHIFTING TO THE  
NORTHWEST 1 TO 2 METERS/SECOND IN THE  
AFTERNOON, THEN SHIFTING TO THE EAST AROUND 2  
METERS/SECOND LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
DISPERSION INDEX....8 INCREASING TO 19 IN THE AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............3.  
STABILITY CLASS.....2.  
 
TIME (CST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY (%).........56 51 38 26 30 24  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............50 52 62 71 74 75  
RH..............74 71 58 46 44 43  
20 FT WIND DIR..NE E E E E ESE  
20 FT WIND SPD..1 3 2 3 2 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.2 7 6 6 7 7  
MIX HGT (FT)....400 400 1700 3900 4900 5200  
MIX HGT (M).....120 120 520 1190 1490 1580  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E N NW N  
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 5 5 3 3 3  
TRANS WIND DIR..E E E N NW N  
TRANS SPD (M/S).3 2 2 1 1 1  
DISPERSION IDX..5 5 9 16 19 21  
LVORI...........3 3 2 2 2 2  
 

 
FORECASTER...25  
REQUESTED BY...ROSALYN VELASQUEZ  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2602614.0/MOB  
.DELDT 02/12/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL CLIFTON.WILLIS@USDA.GOV,JOSEPH.ROGERS@USDA.GOV,MSMIC@FIRENET.GOV  
 
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