268  
FNUS74 KMOB 142202  
FWSMOB  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR DESOTO BB 7310...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL  
502 PM CDT THU MAY 14 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1700 CDT ON MAY 14.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL  
WEATHER SERVICE.  
 
...HIGH DISPERSION INDEX AROUND 78 EXPECTED SATURDAY OVER THE  
BURN AREA...  
   
DISCUSSION  
FOR FRIDAY, THE MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY IS NEAR  
40%, TRANSPORT WINDS WILL BE MOSTLY EAST-SOUTHEASTERLY TO SOUTH-  
SOUTHEASTERLY, AND DISPERSION VALUES WILL BE FAIR. FOR SATURDAY,  
THE MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY IS NEAR 45%, 20 FT WIND GUSTS WILL  
BE UP TO NEAR 20 MPH, TRANSPORT WINDS WILL BE MOSTLY SOUTH-  
SOUTHEASTERLY TO SOUTHERLY, AND DISPERSION VALUES WILL BE GOOD.  
 
FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...FOG IS NOT EXPECTED.  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56.  
MAX HUMIDITY........83 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...122 METERS AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 6 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 5 TO 8  
MPH LATE IN THE EVENING.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.NORTH AROUND 4 METERS/SECOND SHIFTING TO THE  
EAST 2 TO 4 METERS/SECOND LATE IN THE EVENING.  
DISPERSION INDEX....50 DECREASING TO 3.  
LVORI...............1 BECOMING 5.  
STABILITY CLASS.....4.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM  
SKY (%).........1 3 6 8 9 18  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............81 72 66 62 59 57  
RH..............41 57 68 72 78 80  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N NE N E E  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 2 1 0 1 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.12 8 5 5 5 6  
MIX HGT (FT)....4800 400 400 400 400 400  
MIX HGT (M).....1460 120 120 120 120 120  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N NE E E E  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 7 6 6 6 6  
TRANS WIND DIR..N N NE E E E  
TRANS SPD (M/S).4 3 3 3 3 3  
DISPERSION IDX..50 3 3 3 3 3  
LVORI...........1 3 3 3 4 5  
   
FRIDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 86.  
MIN HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4800 FT AGL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...1463 METERS AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH  
AROUND 6 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTHEAST 2 TO 4 METERS/SECOND.  
DISPERSION INDEX....3 INCREASING TO 33.  
LVORI...............4 BECOMING 1.  
STABILITY CLASS.....2.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY (%).........15 9 11 8 14 29  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............56 61 73 79 84 86  
RH..............83 72 53 45 40 42  
20 FT WIND DIR..E ESE SE SSE SSE S  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 3 3 3 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.7 8 9 9 9 9  
MIX HGT (FT)....400 600 1800 3500 4400 4600  
MIX HGT (M).....120 180 550 1070 1340 1400  
TRANSP WIND DIR.ESE ESE SE SSE SSE S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 8 8 5 5 6  
TRANS WIND DIR..ESE ESE SE SSE SSE S  
TRANS SPD (M/S).3 4 4 2 2 3  
DISPERSION IDX..3 8 19 22 26 31  
LVORI...........4 4 2 2 2 1  
   
FRIDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.  
MAX HUMIDITY........97 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...122 METERS AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 9 MPH.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTH 2 TO 4 METERS/SECOND.  
DISPERSION INDEX....48 DECREASING TO 3.  
LVORI...............1 BECOMING 8.  
STABILITY CLASS.....4.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM  
SKY (%).........4 12 22 46 33 39  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............83 73 68 65 63 61  
RH..............51 68 76 84 90 93  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S N  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 3 3 2 1 0  
20 FT WIND GUST.13 12 12 8 6 5  
MIX HGT (FT)....4600 400 400 400 400 400  
MIX HGT (M).....1400 120 120 120 120 120  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 9 9 8 7 6  
TRANS WIND DIR..S S S S S S  
TRANS SPD (M/S).4 4 4 4 3 3  
DISPERSION IDX..48 4 4 4 3 3  
LVORI...........1 3 4 5 6 8  
   
SATURDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 84.  
MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 7 MPH LATE IN  
THE MORNING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5800 FT AGL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...1768 METERS AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 14 MPH.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTH 2 TO 6 METERS/SECOND.  
DISPERSION INDEX....3 INCREASING 78 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON  
DECREASING TO 67 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............9 BECOMING 1.  
STABILITY CLASS.....2.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........15 34 12 26 39 38 36 35 32 30 27 25  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............60 61 64 69 75 78 80 82 83 84 84 82  
RH..............96 97 93 81 69 60 54 49 48 46 46 51  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE ESE SE SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..1 1 2 3 5 6 7 8 8 8 8 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 6 8 12 14 16 17 17 17 16 16  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.4 1.5 3.1 4.0 4.6 5.1 5.6 5.8 5.4 5.4  
MIX HGT (KM)....0.1 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.9 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.7 1.8 1.6 1.6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SSE SSE SE SSE SSE SSE S S S SSE SSE SSE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 5 7 10 13 14 14 13 13 12 12 10  
TRANS WIND DIR..SSE SSE SE SSE SSE SSE S S S SSE SSE SSE  
TRANS SPD (M/S).3 2 3 4 6 6 6 6 6 5 5 4  
DISPERSION IDX..3 5 6 18 48 67 71 72 78 78 73 67  
LVORI...........9 7 6 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
 
 
FORECASTER...22  
REQUESTED BY...JODY ROGERS  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2613664.0/MOB  
.DELDT 05/14/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL JOSEPH.ROGERS@USDA.GOV  
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