760  
FNUS74 KMOB 131548  
FWSMOB  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR RAFEY FIRE...ALABAMA  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL  
1048 AM CDT MON APR 13 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1100 CDT ON APRIL 13.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
...HIGH DISPERSION INDEX AROUND 92 EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON OVER THE  
BURN AREA...  
   
DISCUSSION
 
NO RAIN IS EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY. SOUTHEAST TO  
SOUTHERLY TRANSPORT WINDS ARE EXPECTED TODAY. A SEABREEZE WILL LIKELY  
DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON AND MOVE INLAND, BRINGING GUSTY WINDS TO  
THE BURN AREA IN THE LATE AFTERNOON.  
 
FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...FOG DEVELOPMENT IS LIKELY AFTER  
MIDNIGHT. VISIBILITIES MAY DROP TO LESS THAN 1SM IN FAVORED AREAS  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 84.  
MIN HUMIDITY........30 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 8 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5800 FT AGL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...1372-1768 METERS AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 13 TO 16 MPH.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTH 6 TO 7 METERS/SECOND.  
DISPERSION INDEX....92 DECREASING TO 78 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............1.  
STABILITY CLASS.....2.  
 
TIME (CDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........49 34 32 35 34 34 20  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............76 79 81 83 83 84 82  
RH..............55 43 39 35 32 30 37  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..8 8 9 9 9 9 9  
20 FT WIND GUST.14 16 16 17 17 16 16  
MIX HGT (KFT)...4.5 5.1 5.5 5.7 5.8 5.5 5.5  
MIX HGT (KM)....1.4 1.6 1.7 1.7 1.8 1.7 1.7  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.15 16 14 14 13 13 13  
TRANS WIND DIR..S S S S S S S  
TRANS SPD (M/S).7 7 6 6 6 6 6  
DISPERSION IDX..83 91 88 88 82 80 78  
LVORI...........1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG  
OVERNIGHT. AREAS OF FOG AFTER 3 AM.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...122-1676 METERS AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8 TO 13 MPH.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTH 4 TO 6 METERS/SECOND.  
DISPERSION INDEX....78 DECREASING TO 5.  
LVORI...............1 INCREASING TO 9.  
STABILITY CLASS.....4.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........10 11 9 4 5 9 14 40 39 41 59 60  
WEATHER COV..... PTY PTY PTY ARS ARS  
WEATHER TYPE.... FOG FOG FOG FOG FOG  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............81 78 72 69 67 65 64 63 63 61 61 61  
RH..............46 50 66 76 84 90 97 100 100 100 100 100  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S SSE  
20 FT WIND SPD..8 7 6 6 5 3 3 2 2 2 2 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.16 15 14 13 12 9 8 8 7 7 7 6  
MIX HGT (KFT)...5.5 0.9 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4  
MIX HGT (KM)....1.7 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 12 12 12 10 10 9 9 9 8 8 8  
TRANS WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S  
TRANS SPD (M/S).6 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4  
DISPERSION IDX..78 16 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4  
LVORI...........1 3 3 4 5 6 9 9 9 9 9 9  
   
TUESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). AREAS OF FOG EARLY IN  
THE MORNING.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 85.  
MIN HUMIDITY........43 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE  
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5300 FT AGL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...122-1615 METERS AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 13 MPH.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTH 3 TO 6 METERS/SECOND.  
DISPERSION INDEX....3 INCREASING TO 78.  
LVORI...............9 DECREASING TO 1.  
STABILITY CLASS.....2.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........67 74 45 31 16 14 11 9 7 6 4 4  
WEATHER COV.....ARS ARS ARS  
WEATHER TYPE....FOG FOG FOG  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............60 61 62 67 72 75 78 82 83 83 84 82  
RH..............100 100 100 87 71 62 56 47 46 44 43 46  
20 FT WIND DIR..SSE SSE S S SSE S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 3 6 7 8 9 9 9 9 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 6 8 10 13 15 17 17 17 17 16  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 1.1 2.0 3.0 3.8 4.4 4.8 5.2 5.3 5.0 5.0  
MIX HGT (KM)....0.1 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.9 1.2 1.3 1.5 1.6 1.6 1.5 1.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 6 7 8 10 12 13 13 13 13 13 12  
TRANS WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S  
TRANS SPD (M/S).3 3 3 4 4 5 6 6 6 6 6 5  
DISPERSION IDX..3 7 10 23 43 56 67 74 77 76 72 69  
LVORI...........9 8 8 4 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
 

 
FORECASTER...16  
REQUESTED BY...ANDY RIER  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2610179.0/MOB  
.DELDT 04/13/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL ANDREW.REIER@FORESTRY.ALABAMA.GOV  
 
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