136
FXUS64 KJAN 150018
AFDJAN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
718 PM CDT TUE APR 14 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- LIMITED THREAT FOR DENSE FOG DEVELOPMENT WEDNESDAY MORNING,
PARTICULARLY ACROSS SOUTH AND EAST MISSISSIPPI.
- SCATTERED TO ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY NORTH
OF INTERSTATE 20 THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
- CHANCES FOR MORE WIDESPREAD SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY
EXISTS AREAWIDE SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 116 PM CDT TUE APR 14 2026
TONIGHT THROUGH NEXT MONDAY...STRONG HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT WILL
CONTINUE TO MEANDER OVER THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN GULF OF AMERICA
THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. THIS, WHILE HIGH PRESSURE AT THE
SURFACE CENTERED OFF THE COAST OF THE CAROLINAS, REMAINS WEDGED INTO
THE REGION FROM THE EAST. THE COMBINATION OF THE TWO WILL CONTINUE
TO PROMOTE OVERALL QUIET CONDITIONS AND ABOVE NORMAL WARMTH ACROSS
THE FORECAST AREA THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THIS WEEK AND INTO
THE START OF THE UPCOMING WEEKEND.
WITH INCREASED MOISTURE, MILD CONDITIONS, AND LIGHT TO CALM WINDS
OVERNIGHT INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING, FOG IS AGAIN POSSIBLE ACROSS
MAINLY SOUTH AND EAST MISSISSIPPI. A "LIMITED" THREAT OF DENSE FOG
IS POSSIBLE HERE AGAIN AS WELL, WITH VISIBILITIES REDUCED TO A HALF
MILE OR LESS AT TIMES. ANY FOG THAT DEVELOPS WILL BEGIN ERODING
AFTER SUNRISE. OTHERWISE, LOOK FOR A QUIET NIGHT WITH SOME LOW
STRATUS AGAIN DEVELOPING ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE AREA, AS LOWS RANGE
FROM THE UPPER 50S TO MIDDLE 60S.
THERE WILL BE A SLIGHT INCREASE IN RAIN CHANCES ACROSS NORTHERN
PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA ON THURSDAY. WHILE THE REMAINDER OF
THE CWA WILL REMAIN DRY, A SHORTWAVE LIFTING NORTHEAST ACROSS THE
MID-SOUTH REGION COULD SPARK SOME ISOLATED SHOWERS AND STORMS ACROSS
MAINLY THE HIGHWAY 82 CORRIDOR DURING PEAK HEATING HOURS THURSDAY
AFTERNOON. ANY CONVECTION THAT DEVELOPS DURING THIS TIME, WILL
QUICKLY DISSIPATE IN THE EARLY EVENING AS DAY TIME HEATING WANES.
A BETTER CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND ISOLATED STORMS CURRENTLY EXISTS
ACROSS THE ENTIRE FORECAST AREA SATURDAY AFTERNOON INTO SATURDAY
NIGHT. THIS IS AS A RESULT OF A STRONGER SHORTWAVE THAT'S ADVERTISED
TO PUSH A COLD FRONT EAST INTO AND THROUGH THE REGION LATE SATURDAY
AFTERNOON INTO EARLY SUNDAY. WHILE ANY RAIN CHANCES ARE CERTAINLY
WELCOMED, UNFORTUNATELY THIS FRONT WILL BE IN THE PROCESS OF
WEAKENING AS FORCING LIFTS OUT TO THE NORTHEAST. THIS LOOKS TO KEEP
THE BETTER RAIN CHANCES DURING THIS TIMEFRAME ACROSS WESTERN AND
NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA. THEREFORE, THE UPCOMING
WEEKEND IS BY NO MEANS LOOKING TO BE A WASHOUT.
IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT SUNDAY INTO MONDAY, SOME RELIEF FROM THE
ABOVE NORMAL WARMTH AND HUMID CONDITIONS IS EXPECTED. HIGHS BOTH
DAYS CURRENTLY LOOK TO STRUGGLE TO CLIMB OUT OF THE 70S. WHILE LOWS
BOTH SUNDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT WILL BE COOL AS THEY GENERALLY FALL
INTO THE UPPER 40S AND LOW TO MIDDLE 50S. /19/
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 711 PM CDT TUE APR 14 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH MOST OF TONIGHT. ANOTHER ROUND
OF LOW STRATUS/FOG POTENTIAL WILL ADVECT IN FROM THE SOUTH TOWARD
DAYBREAK, AND PRIMARILY IMPACT SOUTHERN/EASTERN SITES WITH
LIFR/IFR CATEGORIES DURING THE EARLY TO MID MORNING HOURS
WEDNESDAY. EXPECT A QUICK IMPROVEMENT TO VFR CATEGORY AT ALL
SITES BY LATE MORNING CONTINUING THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE DAY
AND INTO THE EVENING. SOUTHERLY SURFACE WIND WILL DIMINISH THIS
EVENING, THEN PICK UP DURING THE DAY AND BECOME GUSTY. /EC/
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
JACKSON 61 84 64 86 / 0 0 0 10
MERIDIAN 57 85 61 86 / 0 0 0 10
VICKSBURG 61 85 64 88 / 0 0 0 10
HATTIESBURG 60 85 62 87 / 0 0 0 10
NATCHEZ 62 85 64 88 / 0 0 0 10
GREENVILLE 64 85 67 86 / 0 0 10 20
GREENWOOD 63 85 66 86 / 0 0 10 20
JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MS...NONE.
LA...NONE.
AR...NONE.
19/SW/EC
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