941
FXUS64 KJAN 191126
AFDJAN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
626 AM CDT SUN APR 19 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- DRY WEATHER WILL RESUME TODAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH MUCH OF THE
UPCOMING WEEK.
- CONFIDENCE IS INCREASING FOR SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL AMOUNTS LATE
THIS WEEK INTO THE WEEKEND.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 327 AM CDT SUN APR 19 2026
THROUGH NEXT WEEK: LIGHT RAIN WILL END AND CLOUDS WILL CLEAR
BEHIND THE FRONT AS VERY DRY AIR USHERS IN THIS MORNING. THIS
WILL ALSO BE ACCOMPANIED BY AROUND 10 MPH WINDS. WHILE THERE WAS
WIDESPREAD RAIN IN THE PAST 12 HRS OR SO, THE LIGHT AMOUNTS WILL
OFFER LITTLE FIRE DANGER MITIGATION. OVERALL, THE FIRE THREAT
WILL HAVE TO BE MONITORED AS WE GO THROUGH THE NEXT FEW DAYS AND
AS CONDITIONS DRY OUT. /SAS/EC/
DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE INTO NEXT WEEK AS RIDGING BECOMES
REESTABLISHED. IT WILL REINFORCE THE DRY AIR BY REDIRECTING MOIST
TRAJECTORIES WESTWARD AND DEFLECT ENERGY AWAY FROM THE AREA.
THINGS LOOK TO CHANGE LATER IN THE WEEK AS AN UPPER LOW EJECTS
FROM THE WEST AND BECOMES PHASED WITH THE POLAR JET. THE
SUBTROPICAL JET NOSES IN CREATING A SPLIT FLOW REGIME. THIS WILL
LEAD TO BROAD UPPER DIFLUENCE OVER THE REGION AND SHOULD PROMOTE
INCREASED RAIN CHANCES LATER NEXT WEEK. THIS IS CERTAINLY GOOD
NEWS AS THIS LOOKS TO CONTINUE EVEN BEYOND THE PERIOD. WHILE FLOW
IS PERTURBED, IT IS TOO SOON TO TELL HOW THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH WILL
INFLUENCE ANY POTENTIAL SEVERE CHANCES. /SAS/
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 621 AM CDT SUN APR 19 2026
MOST TAF SITES HAVE BECOME VFR THIS MORNING AND THIS WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD. THE WINDS WILL BE GUSTY OUT
OF THE NORTH THROUGH THE MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON HOURS, BUT
WILL DIMINISH LATER THIS AFTERNOON.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
JACKSON 71 46 78 49 / 10 0 0 0
MERIDIAN 71 44 78 48 / 10 0 0 0
VICKSBURG 73 46 79 50 / 0 0 0 0
HATTIESBURG 72 45 79 48 / 20 0 0 0
NATCHEZ 73 47 79 50 / 0 0 0 0
GREENVILLE 72 50 78 52 / 0 0 0 0
GREENWOOD 72 47 79 51 / 0 0 0 0
JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MS...NONE.
LA...NONE.
AR...NONE.
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