150
FXUS64 KJAN 161118
AFDJAN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
618 AM CDT FRI OCT 16 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- SIGNIFICANT THREAT FOR FIRE DANGER CONDITIONS CONTINUE THROUGH THE
WEEKEND. RED FLAG WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT TODAY, WITH A FIRE WEATHER
WATCH ON SATURDAY.
- VERY LITTLE, IF ANY, RAINFALL IS EXPECTED THROUGH NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1227 AM CDT FRI OCT 16 2026
AN UPPER TROUGH OVER THE NORTHERN PLAINS IS POISED TO MOVE
SOUTHEAST INTO THE REGION TODAY AND THIS WILL DRAG A STRONG COLD
FRONT ACROSS THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON. WITH LITTLE MOISTURE TO WORK
WITH, THIS BOUNDARY WILL BE DRY WITH THE MAIN EFFECT BEING GUSTY
NORTHWEST WINDS. THE MAIN CONCERN TODAY WILL BE THE VERY DRY
CONDITIONS THAT PERSIST ACROSS THE AREA COMBINED WITH THE GUSTY
WINDS. A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN AFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE AREA THIS
AFTERNOON. THE GUSTY NORTHERLY WINDS WILL CONTINUE ON SATURDAY AND
ALONG WITH MIN RH'S IN THE LOW TO MID 30 PERCENT RANGE A FIRE
WEATHER WATCH HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THE DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THE PERIOD AND WITH MIN RH'S IN THE UPPER 20 PERCENT RANGE
ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY, AT LEAST A LIMITED FIRE WEATHER RISK WILL
CONTINUE INTO NEXT WEEK. NO RAIN IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE END OF NEXT
WEEK./15/
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 615 AM CDT FRI OCT 16 2026
ALL TAF SITES ARE VFR THIS MORNING AND THIS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
THE PERIOD. LIGHT SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE LATER THIS MORNING
AND BECOME NORTHWESTERLY AND GUSTY BY THIS AFTERNOON, AS A COLD
FRONT SWEEPS ACROSS THE AREA./15/
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
JACKSON 84 50 71 45 / 0 0 0 0
MERIDIAN 87 48 69 44 / 0 0 0 0
VICKSBURG 79 48 70 44 / 0 0 0 0
HATTIESBURG 91 50 72 46 / 0 0 0 0
NATCHEZ 83 50 70 45 / 10 0 0 0
GREENVILLE 73 48 69 43 / 10 0 0 0
GREENWOOD 75 47 70 41 / 10 0 0 0
JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MS...RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL 8 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR MSZ018-019-
025>066-072>074.
FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY
EVENING FOR MSZ018-019-025>066-072>074.
LA...RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL 8 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR LAZ007>009-015-
016-023>026.
FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY
EVENING FOR LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026.
AR...RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL 8 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR ARZ074-075.
FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY
EVENING FOR ARZ074-075.
/15
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