284
FXUS64 KJAN 111450
AFDJAN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
950 AM CDT MON MAY 11 2026
..NEW MESOSCALE UPDATE
KEY MESSAGES
- QUIET AND DRY WEATHER WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE AREA INTO THE
WEEKEND.
MESOSCALE UPDATE
ISSUED AT 950 AM CDT MON MAY 11 2026
MULTIPLE SITES ARE SHOWING IMPROVEMENTS IN VISIBILITY THIS MORNING.
FOR THIS REASON, THE DENSE FOG ADVISORY WAS ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 9
AM THIS MORNING. NEAR TERM GUIDANCE FROM THIS MORNING CONTINUE TO
SHOW A COLD FRONT OVER THE SOUTHEAST PORTIONS OF OUR CWA. AREAS
ALONG AND SOUTH OF HWY 84 WILL HAVE BETTER CHANCE OF SEEING
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND T-STORMS POSSIBLY EARLY THIS AFTERNOON, WITH
QUIET CONDITIONS ELSEWHERE. CLOUD COVER WILL PERSIST ACROSS OUR AREA
TODAY AS A QUICK LOOK AT GOES 16 VISIBLE SATELLITE CONTINUES TO SHOW
ONGOING CLOUD COVER OVER THE SOUTHEAST CONUS. MOST OF THE AREA WILL
SEE AFTERNOON HIGHS PEAK INTO THE UPPER 70S. MEANWHILE, PORTIONS OF
SOUTHEAST MS WILL SEE HIGHS PEAK INTO THE LOW TO MID 80S. /CR/
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 205 AM CDT MON MAY 11 2026
TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT:
A FRONTAL BOUNDARY EXTENDS ACROSS THE DELTA TONIGHT, WITH A FEW
SHOWERS/STORMS MAINLY EAST OF I-55. THE FRONT WILL SLOWLY DROP
SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE DAY, WITH A SCATTERED
SHOWERS/STORMS POSSIBLE EARLY THIS AFTERNOON, BUT DRIER AIR WILL
BUILD IN BEHIND THE FRONT, WITH THE SHOWERS SHIFTING SOUTH OF THE
AREA BY THIS EVENING. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE
AREA TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY. A NICE DAY IS ON TAP FOR TUESDAY WITH
HIGHS IN THE LOW 80S UNDER MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES. LITTLE WILL CHANGE
ON WEDNESDAY, BUT A DRY COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA ON
THURSDAY. THE DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE INTO THE WEEKEND, BUT
THE GLOBAL MODELS SUGGEST AND INCREASE IN MOISTURE AND CHANCES FOR
SHOWERS/STORMS ON SUNDAY./15/
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1252 AM CDT MON MAY 11 2026
VFR/MVFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AT MOST TAF SITES OVERNIGHT.
IFR/LIFR CONDITIONS WILL BEGIN TO DEVELOP BY 10Z AS AREAS OF
DENSE FOG WILL AFFECT TAF SITES ALONG AND SOUTH OF I-20 THROUGH
15Z. VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AT ALL SITES AFTER FOG
DISSIPATES./KP/
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
JACKSON 79 59 82 59 / 10 0 0 0
MERIDIAN 80 57 82 57 / 10 0 0 0
VICKSBURG 78 59 82 59 / 10 0 0 0
HATTIESBURG 82 62 83 60 / 50 30 0 0
NATCHEZ 79 61 83 61 / 30 10 0 0
GREENVILLE 77 56 80 59 / 0 0 0 0
GREENWOOD 79 56 82 57 / 0 0 0 0
JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MS...NONE.
LA...NONE.
AR...NONE.
CR/15/KP
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