159
FXUS64 KJAN 251831 CCA
AFDJAN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
127 PM CDT SAT APR 25 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- ADDITIONAL ROUNDS OF STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
POSSIBLE FROM THE EARLY TO MIDDLE PORTIONS OF NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 232 AM CDT SAT APR 25 2026
TOMORROW INTO NEXT WEEK, THE PATTERN LOOKS TO REMAIN ACTIVE.
REMNANT OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES STRETCHED OUT IN THE REGION WILL REMAIN
THE FOCUS FOR RENEWED DEVELOPMENT OF CONVECTION, BUT THE KEY WILL
BE TRIGGERING OF NEW UPSTREAM CONVECTION IN THE SOUTHERN PLAINS
AND POSSIBLE MCS DEVELOPMENT SPREADING INTO OUR AREA AS A RESULT.
THE NEXT FOCUS FOR WATCHING WILL BE A POTENTIAL MCS LATER TOMORROW
NIGHT, WHICH CURRENTLY WARRANTS A MARGINAL RISK FOR SEVERE STORMS
EXTENDING INTO NORTHEAST LA AND SOUTHEAST AR BEFORE SUNRISE
SUNDAY AND EXPANDING TO THE REST OF THE AREA INTO THE DAY SUNDAY.
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH FRIDAY ACROSS OUR
REGION, WHICH AS MENTIONED, HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BE STRONG TO
SEVERE IF TIMED OUT FAVORABLY WITH HEATING AND THE PASSAGE OF
UPPER-LEVEL DISTURBANCES OVER THE REGION. RESIDENTS SHOULD REMAIN
ALERT TO CHANGES IN FORECASTED IMPACTS OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.
/NF/OAJ/
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 111 PM CDT SAT APR 25 2026
ASIDE FROM OCCASIONAL MVFR CATEGORY CEILINGS THIS AFTERNOON, VFR
CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THIS EVENING AND INTO THE
OVERNIGHT. THEREAFTER, ANOTHER ROUND OF LATE NIGHT AND MORNING
IFR/LIFR CATEGORY STRATUS/BR/FG CAN BE EXPECTED. THIS SHOULD BE
MOST PREVALENT IN ABOUT THE 09Z-16Z TIME FRAME WITH THE POTENTIAL
FOR LOWEST VSBYS MAINLY OVER THE PIB/HBG AREA. WHILE TS WASN'T
INCLUDED EXPLICITLY IN THE TAFS, THERE WILL BE AN INCREASING
THREAT FOR STORMS FROM WEST TO EAST AS WE APPROACH DAYBREAK AND GO
THROUGH THE MORNING, ESPECIALLY FOR WESTERN/SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF
THE AREA. /EC/
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
JACKSON 82 65 84 66 / 10 30 50 20
MERIDIAN 81 62 83 62 / 40 20 40 20
VICKSBURG 84 65 87 68 / 10 40 50 20
HATTIESBURG 85 65 86 65 / 40 20 50 20
NATCHEZ 87 66 88 68 / 10 30 50 10
GREENVILLE 80 65 83 68 / 10 50 50 30
GREENWOOD 80 63 84 68 / 10 30 40 30
JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MS...NONE.
LA...NONE.
AR...NONE.
/NF/OAJ/EC
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