192
FXUS64 KJAN 191158 AAA
AFDJAN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
658 AM CDT THU MAR 19 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- QUIET WEATHER & WARM CONDITIONS PREVAIL THROUGH EARLY NEXT
WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 254 AM CDT THU MAR 19 2026
TODAY THROUGH THE MID WEEK...
FORECAST FOR THE SHORT TERM PERIOD REMAINS ON TRACK WITH NO MAJOR
ADJUSTMENTS MADE TO THE OVERALL FORECAST. WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL
REMAIN QUIET TODAY AS THE SFC HIGH CONTINUES TO SHIFT EAST ACROSS
THE SOUTHEAST REGION. MID/HIGH CLOUD COVER WILL START TO INCREASE
FROM THE NORTH EARLY THIS MORNING MAINLY ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
AND NORTHERN MS. MORNING LOWS WILL RANGE IN THE LOW TO MID 40S
AREAWIDE. CLOUD COVER WILL START TO DECREASE ACROSS OUR CWA LATER
THIS AFTERNOON LEADING TO MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES. AFTERNOON HIGHS WILL
PEAK IN THE MID TO UPPER 70S ACROSS OUR FORECAST AREA.
QUIET AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE REGION LATER
TONIGHT THANKS TO THE AFOREMENTIONED SFC HIGH. HREF DENSE FOG
GUIDANCE IS SHOWING VERY LOW PROBABILITIES (AROUND 20-30%) OF PATCHY
FOG DEVELOPMENT MAINLY FOR AREAS ALONG AND SOUTH OF HWY 84 THROUGH
EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. FOG GRAPHICS WILL NOT BE INTRODUCED AT THIS
TIME GIVEN THE LOW PROBABILITY OF FOG DEVELOPMENT HIGHLIGHTED BY
HREF DENSE FOG GUIDANCE. WITH THAT IN MIND, SHALLOW PATCHY FOG WILL
BE POSSIBLE PARTICULARLY AFTER DAWN. AREAS EAST OF I-55 WILL SEE
OVERNIGHT LOWS DIP IN THE UPPER 40S/LOWER 50S. AREAS ALONG AND WEST
OF I-55 WILL SEE LOWS IN THE MID 50S.
DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE INTO THE WEEKEND THROUGH EARLY NEXT
WEEK. DAYTIME HIGHS WILL CLIMB INTO THE 80S FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.
TEMPERATURES WILL START TO COOL SLIGHTLY ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST CONUS
MONDAY INTO TUESDAY AS LONG TERM GUIDANCE SHOWS A DRY FRONTAL
BOUNDARY MOVING THROUGH THE REGION. AS THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY PUSHES
SOUTH TOWARDS THE GULF COAST, INCREASED RETURN FLOW WILL DEVELOP
OVER THE OUR AREA. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR TEMPERATURES TO REBOUND INTO
THE 80S WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY. /CR/
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 658 AM CDT THU MAR 19 2026
LIGHT SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL OCCUR ACROSS ALL SITES THROUGH THE
PERIOD, WITH VFR CEILINGS PREVAILING. CANNOT RULE OUT SOME PATCHY
FOG (BR) NEAR PIB AND HBG NEAR DAYBREAK FRIDAY. HOWEVER, CONFIDENCE
IS TOO LOW TO INTRODUCE IN THE 12Z TAF CYCLE. /CR/DC/
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
JACKSON 76 51 82 57 / 0 0 0 0
MERIDIAN 75 48 81 55 / 0 0 0 0
VICKSBURG 77 52 82 58 / 0 0 0 0
HATTIESBURG 76 50 82 55 / 0 0 0 0
NATCHEZ 77 52 82 58 / 0 0 0 0
GREENVILLE 76 54 82 59 / 0 0 0 0
GREENWOOD 77 54 83 60 / 0 0 0 0
JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MS...NONE.
LA...NONE.
AR...NONE.
CR/DC
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