917  
FXUS64 KMEG 291511  
AFDMEG  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN  
1011 AM CDT MON MAY 29 2023  
   
..NEW UPDATE  
 
   
UPDATE  
 
ISSUED AT 1011 AM CDT MON MAY 29 2023  
 
THE SOUTHEAST UPPER-LEVEL LOW HAS MOVED EAST OVER THE CAROLINAS,  
BRINGING THE WESTERLIES BACK INTO THE PICTURE ACROSS THE MID-  
SOUTH. WARM MID-LEVEL TEMPERATURES WILL LIMIT INSTABILITY AND  
PRECLUDE CONVECTION THIS AFTERNOON. WE'LL STILL SEE A WEAK DIURNAL  
CU FIELD THIS AFTERNOON, BUT IT WILL DISSIPATE AROUND SUNSET.  
OTHERWISE, DRY AND WARM WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE ANTICIPATED ACROSS  
THE REGION TODAY WITH HIGHS IN THE 80S. NO NOTEWORTHY CHANGES WERE  
MADE TO THE FORECAST.  
 
MJ  
 
 
   
SYNOPSIS  
 
ISSUED AT 430 AM CDT MON MAY 29 2023  
 
HIGH PRESSURE WILL PRODUCE MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES AND WARMER  
TEMPERATURES TODAY THROUGH MID-WEEK. SCATTERED AFTERNOON  
THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE EACH DAY STARTING WEDNESDAY AND  
CONTINUING INTO NEXT WEEKEND. TEMPERATURES WILL GRADUALLY WARM  
OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS WITH HIGHS APPROACHING 90 DEGREES BY  
WEDNESDAY.  
 
 
   
DISCUSSION  
 
(TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY)  
ISSUED AT 430 AM CDT MON MAY 29 2023  
 
HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN IN CONTROL THROUGH TUESDAY AS AN UPPER-  
LEVEL LOW PUSHES TOWARDS THE COAST. THIS HIGH PRESSURE WILL  
EVENTUALLY SLIDE EAST BY MONDAY AND TUESDAY. THIS WILL RETURN  
SOUTHERLY FLOW TO THE AREA, WITH TEMPERATURES BECOMING MORE  
SUMMER-LIKE. HIGHS TODAY WILL GENERALLY BE IN THE 80S WITH LOWS  
TONIGHT IN THE LOW 60S. HUMID AIR WILL CREEP INTO THE REGION THIS  
WEEK AS DEWPOINT TEMPERATURES INCREASE THROUGHOUT THE WEEK. HIGHS  
TUESDAY WILL BE IN THE UPPER 80S.  
 
THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK BRINGS NO NOTABLE WEATHER. AFTERNOON  
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE TUESDAY  
THROUGH THURSDAY. AT THIS TIME, IT DOES APPEAR THAT THE RISK OF  
ANY SEVERE STORMS REMAINS LOW, AND QPF VALUES AREN'T PARTICULARLY  
ROBUST. BY THE END OF THE WEEK INTO WEEKEND, THERE SEEMS TO BE A  
BETTER CHANCE FOR WIDESPREAD RAIN AS A WEAK GULF LOW MOVES INTO  
MISSISSIPPI AND ALABAMA. AT THIS TIME, THE THREAT FOR WIDESPREAD  
SEVERE STORMS ARE NOT ANTICIPATED THIS WEEKEND.  
 
HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN THE MID TO UPPER 80S THROUGH THE  
PERIOD, WITH LOW TEMPERATURES IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S.  
 
 
   
AVIATION  
 
(12Z TAFS)  
ISSUED AT 643 AM CDT MON MAY 29 2023  
 
VFR. LIGHT NE WINDS TODAY BECOMING CALM TONIGHT.  
 
 
   
MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES  
 
AR...NONE.  
MO...NONE.  
MS...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON FOR MSZ001-007-008-  
011-012-020.  
 
TN...NONE.  
 
 
 
 
UPDATE...MJ  
PUBLIC FORECAST...SWB  
AVIATION...SJM  
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
The Nexlab TN Page
The Nexlab MS Page
The Nexlab AR Page
Main Text Page