313
FXUS64 KMOB 092326
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
626 PM CDT SUN AUG 9 2026
..NEW UPDATE, AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 609 PM CDT SUN AUG 9 2026
- ISOLATED TO SCATTERED STORMS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY.
- HEAT INDICES AROUND 100-107 DEGREES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH MID
WEEK, INCREASING LATE IN THE WEEK.
- A LOW RISK OF RIP CURRENTS IS EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY AT
AREA BEACHES.
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 609 PM CDT SUN AUG 9 2026
CURRENTLY, SCATTERED RAINSHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WERE NOTED
OVER OUR COUNTIES NORTH OF THE COAST. ENOUGH INSTABILITY IS
PRESENT FOR A FEW STRONG TO MARGINALLY SEVERE, PULSE TYPE STORMS
EARLY THIS EVENING, BUT WITH THE LOSS OF THE DAY'S HEATING,
STRENGTH AND COVERAGE WILL DECREASE. HAVE EXTENDED THE ISOLATED
CONVECTION A BIT LONGER INTO THE EVENING FROM THE INHERITED
FORECAST. NO OTHER CHANGES MADE.
/16
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 152 PM CDT SUN AUG 9 2026
TYPICAL SUMMERTIME PATTERN ACROSS THE AREA WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS
AND STORMS DEVELOPING IN AN AIRMASS WITH WEAK MID/UPPER LEVEL FLOW
AND PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES AROUND 2 INCHES. HEAVY RAIN AND
FREQUENT LIGHTNING WILL BE THE MAIN THREATS. GUSTY WINDS ARE
POSSIBLE IN THE STRONGER STORMS. SIMILAR CONDITIONS EXPECTED ON
MONDAY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS DEVELOPING OFFSHORE
DURING THE MORNING, SPREADING INLAND THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS.
WEDNESDAY THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK, THE UPPER RIDGE BUILDS OVER
THE SOUTHEAST WITH SOME DRIER AIR ALSO MOVING INTO THE AREA. THIS
WILL RESULT IN WARMING TEMPS AND ONLY ISOLATED MAINLY AFTERNOON
AND EARLY EVENING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS WILL BE IN THE LOW TO MID 90S EARLY IN THE WEEK INCREASING
INTO THE MID AND UPPER 90S. LOW TEMPERATURES ARE GENERALLY IN THE
LOW TO MID 70S EACH NIGHT WITH UPPER 70S ALONG THE COAST. HEAT
INDEX VALUES WILL GENERALLY BE IN THE 100 TO 107 RANGE THROUGH
WEDNESDAY INCREASING INTO THE 105 TO 110 RANGE BY LATE WEEK INTO
NEXT WEEKEND. /13
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 609 PM CDT SUN AUG 9 2026
ISOLATED RAINSHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BRING LOCAL DROPS IN
CONDITIONS TO LOW END MVFR LEVELS TO COUNTIES INLAND FROM OUR
COASTAL COUNTIES. THIS CONVECTION SHOULD HAVE LIMITED IMPACT TO
OPERATIONS BEFORE CONDITIONS BECOME GENERAL VFR OVERNIGHT.
RAINSHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING NEAR AND SOUTH OF THE
COAST TOWARDS SUNRISE MONDAY MAY AFFECT NEARBY AIRPORTS, BUT
SHOULD NOT AFFECT OPERATIONS SIGNIFICANTLY. AFTERNOON CONVECTION
IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP, WITH LOCAL DROPS IN CONDITIONS TO MVFR
LEVELS.
/16
MARINE
ISSUED AT 152 PM CDT SUN AUG 9 2026
NO IMPACTS EXPECTED OTHER THAN LOCALLY HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS
POSSIBLE NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. /13
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 75 91 74 91 / 50 40 10 20
PENSACOLA 79 90 78 91 / 20 40 10 10
DESTIN 80 89 79 90 / 10 20 0 10
EVERGREEN 73 92 73 93 / 50 40 10 20
WAYNESBORO 73 94 74 95 / 40 30 10 20
CAMDEN 73 91 74 92 / 40 30 10 20
CRESTVIEW 73 92 73 93 / 20 30 0 20
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...NONE.
FL...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
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