866
FXUS64 KMOB 151935
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
235 PM CDT TUE SEP 15 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION, MARINE
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 231 PM CDT TUE SEP 15 2026
- A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS IS EXPECTED FOR WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.
A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MAY ALSO BECOME NECESSARY AS SURF HEIGHTS
NEAR 5 FEET.
- MODERATE TO STRONG EASTERLY WINDS WILL CREATE HAZARDOUS
CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT OVER THE OPEN GULF FROM LATE TONIGHT
THROUGH THURSDAY.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 231 PM CDT TUE SEP 15 2026
A STRONG UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE SOUTHEAST STATES WILL MOVE
SLOWLY WEST THROUGH THE WEEK. MEANWHILE, SFC HIGH PRESSURE WILL
BUILD SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE MID-ATLANTIC STATES. THE RESULTANT
EASTERLY FLOW WILL BRING SOME DRIER AIR INTO THE AREA THROUGH THE
END OF THE WEEK. HIGHS WILL REMAIN IN THE LOW TO MID 90S, HOWEVER
HUMIDITY LEVELS WILL BE MUCH LOWER. THIS WILL KEEP HEAT INDEX
VALUES IN CHECK THROUGH THIS WEEK. THE COMBINATION OF SUBSIDENCE
FROM THE RIDGE AND A DRIER AIRMASS WILL KEEP MOST AREAS DRY
THROUGH FRIDAY. AN UPPER LOW/WEAK SFC TROUGH MOVING WESTWARD
ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF LATE THIS WEEK INTO THE WEEKEND WILL
BRING MOISTURE BACK INTO THE AREA, BRING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS BACK INTO THE AREA FOR THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT
WEEK.
A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS CAN BE EXPECTED WEDNESDAY THROUGH
THURSDAY AT AREA BEACHES AS EASTERLY FLOW INCREASES. SURF HEIGHTS
WILL INCREASE TO 4 TO 5 FEET AS WELL AND A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MAY
BE REQUIRED. /13
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1242 PM CDT TUE SEP 15 2026
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF
THE AFTERNOON AND INTO THE EVENING HOURS. SOME LOWER CEILINGS MAY
START TO DEVELOP AND PUSH ACROSS THE IMMEDIATE COASTLINE DURING
THE OVERNIGHT HOURS, POTENTIALLY BRINGING MVFR CEILINGS AND A FEW
SHOWERS OR STORMS. ELSEWHERE, VFR CONDITIONS SHOULD REMAIN
PREVALENT. LIGHT EASTERLY TO SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS THIS AFTERNOON
WILL BECOME MORE VARIABLE THIS EVENING. BY TONIGHT AND INTO
WEDNESDAY MORNING, NORTHEASTERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE AS
A BOUNDARY PUSHES THROUGH THE AREA. WINDS MAY GUST TO AROUND 20
KNOTS BY THE MID TO LATE MORNING HOURS, ESPECIALLY ALONG THE
COAST. /96
MARINE
ISSUED AT 231 PM CDT TUE SEP 15 2026
LIGHT TO MODERATE EASTERLY TO SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW BECOMES STRONG
WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY. WINDS RELAX TO LIGHT TO OCCASIONALLY
MODERATE EASTERLIES TO END THE WEEK. SEAS INCREASE TO 4 TO 7 FEET ON
WEDNESDAY. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE MARINE
WATERS LATE TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON. /13
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 75 91 71 90 / 10 10 0 0
PENSACOLA 77 91 74 90 / 10 0 0 0
DESTIN 78 92 74 90 / 10 0 0 0
EVERGREEN 74 93 67 91 / 0 0 0 0
WAYNESBORO 73 95 69 94 / 0 0 0 0
CAMDEN 74 93 68 92 / 0 0 0 0
CRESTVIEW 74 91 69 90 / 10 0 0 0
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY
EVENING FOR ALZ265-266.
FL...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY
EVENING FOR FLZ202-204-206.
MS...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 1 AM WEDNESDAY TO 4 PM CDT THURSDAY
FOR GMZ650-655-670-675.
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