806
FXUS64 KMOB 271105
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
605 AM CDT TUE OCT 27 2026
..NEW UPDATE, AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 603 AM CDT TUE OCT 27 2026
- MODERATE TO STRONG NORTHEASTERLY WINDS MAY CREATE HAZARDOUS
CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT MAINLY WELL OFFSHORE FROM WEDNESDAY
THROUGH SATURDAY.
- A MODERATE TO HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS IS EXPECTED FOR BEACH
AREAS THE REST OF THE WEEK THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 603 AM CDT TUE OCT 27 2026
NO CHANGES WERE NEEDED TO THE FORECAST. DRY CONDITIONS PERSIST
TODAY, WITH HIGHS WARMING INTO THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 80S THIS
AFTERNOON. /73
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1129 PM CDT MON OCT 26 2026
NOW THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT, AN UPPER RIDGE STRETCHING NORTH OVER THE
EASTERN CONUS SHIFTS SOUTH TO BECOME CENTERED OVER THE GULF. AN
UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH OFF THE EAST COAST SHIFTS SOUTH
ORGANIZING INTO A CLOSED UPPER LOW OVER THE CARIBBEAN, WHERE IT
REMAINS INTO THE END OF THE WEEK. THE UPPER RIDGE OVER THE GULF
BUILDS NORTH OVER THE SOUTHEAST THE END OF THE WEEK AS A WEAK UPPER
TROUGH DEVELOPS OFF THE WEST COAST OF THE US/MEX. SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE MEANDERS AROUND OVER THE EASTERN CONUS, AND IN COMBINATION
WITH A SURFACE LOW DEVELOPING NEAR SOUTHERN FL, A TIGHT PRESSURE
GRADIENT DEVELOPS WEDNESDAY ON OVER THE OPEN GULF.
SUBSIDENCE FROM THE UPPER RIDGE WILL HELP HIGH TEMPERATURES TO
REMAIN ABOVE SEASONAL NORMS, OVERRIDING COOLER NORTHEASTERLY FLOW
OVER THE FORECAST AREA. HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOW
80S EXPECTED THROUGH MID WEEK. LOW TEMPERATURES REMAIN AROUND
SEASONAL TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHTS, RANGING FROM THE UPPER 40S
NORTH OF HIGHWAY 84 TO MID 50S OVER THE I-10 CORRIDOR. THERE IS AN
UPTICK THURSDAY NIGHT WITH GUIDANCE ADVERTISING AN UPTICK IN
MOISTURE MOVING OVER THE FORECAST AREA THURSDAY INTO THURSDAY NIGHT.
LOW TEMPERATURES IN THE MID 50S TO AROUND 60 EXPECTED THURSDAY NIGHT.
FRIDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND...A SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVES OVER THE
SOUTHEAST, BRINGING RAIN BACK TO THE REGION FOR THE WEEKEND.
TEMPERATURES SEE A BIT OF A DOWNWARD TREND, BUT OTHERWISE REMAIN
ABOVE SEASONAL NORMS.
TAKING A LOOK AT THE RIP RISK ON AREA BEACHES, A MODERATE RISK OF
RIP CURRENTS IS MAINTAIN INTO THE COMING WEEK, WITH SOME GUIDANCE
ADVERTISING OCCASIONAL UPTICKS TO A LOW HIGH.
/16
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 603 AM CDT TUE OCT 27 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS. WINDS WILL
GENERALLY REMAIN FROM THE NORTHEAST AND BELOW 10KTS. /73
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1129 PM CDT MON OCT 26 2026
LIGHT TO OCCASIONALLY MODERATE NORTHEASTERLY FLOW IS MAINTAINED
OVER PROTECTED WATERS, WITH MODERATE TO STRONG WINDS OVER OPEN
GULF WATERS.
/16
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 79 52 81 53 / 0 0 0 0
PENSACOLA 79 59 80 61 / 0 0 0 0
DESTIN 80 61 81 63 / 0 0 0 0
EVERGREEN 79 45 79 48 / 0 0 0 0
WAYNESBORO 79 47 80 45 / 0 0 0 0
CAMDEN 76 46 76 46 / 0 0 0 0
CRESTVIEW 80 48 81 53 / 0 0 0 0
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...NONE.
FL...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
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