252
FXUS64 KMOB 232341
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
641 PM CDT SUN AUG 23 2026
..NEW UPDATE, AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 636 PM CDT SUN AUG 23 2026
- A HEAT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI TODAY
FOR HEAT INDICES TO AROUND 108 DEGREES.
- SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE EXPECTED
EACH AFTERNOON, PARTICULARLY ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE
AREA. STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING GUSTY WINDS, HEAVY
RAIN, AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING.
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 636 PM CDT SUN AUG 23 2026
FORECAST REMAINS ON TRACK; NO UPDATES NEEDED. /96
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1129 AM CDT SUN AUG 23 2026
HOT AND HUMID CONDITIONS CONTINUE THE REST OF THIS AFTERNOON
ACROSS THE AREA ACROSS SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AS HEAT INDICES SOAR
INTO THE 105 TO 110 RANGE. ELSEWHERE, AFTERNOON MIXING IS HELPING
TO LIMIT HIGHER DEWPOINTS KEEPING IT A BIT MORE TOLERABLE FOR HEAT
STRESS. THE SAME CAN BE EXPECTED ON MONDAY, ALTHOUGH THERE ARE
SOME UNCERTAINTIES IN REGARDS TO THE OVERALL EVOLUTION OF SHOWERS
AND STORMS THAT PRECLUDES CONFIDENCE IN ISSUING A HEAT ADVISORY AT
THIS TIME. WITH THAT SAID, SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY OCCUR ACROSS THE AREA BOTH THIS
AFTERNOON AND MONDAY AFTERNOON AS SEVERAL SHORTWAVES TRACK
SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE AREA. STRONG, POTENTIALLY DAMAGING WIND
GUSTS, HEAVY RAINFALL, AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING CAN BE EXPECTED WITH
ANY STORMS.
AS WE HEAD THROUGHOUT THE REST OF THE WEEK, WE REMAIN IN A
RELATIVELY SIMILAR PATTERN WITH UPPER TROUGHING REMAINING IN
CONTROL ACROSS THE EASTERN HALF OF THE U.S. AND UPPER RIDGING
LOCATED ACROSS THE SOUTH-CENTRAL INTO SOUTHWESTERN U.S. TUESDAY
THROUGH FRIDAY. THIS WILL CONTINUE TO FAVOR WEAK SHORTWAVES
TRACKING ACROSS THE AREA THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD, BRINGING SCATTERED
TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EACH AFTERNOON TO THE
FORECAST AREA. SIMILAR TO PRIOR DAYS, STRONG, LOCALLY DAMAGING
WIND GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE WITH ANY STORMS. THE HEAT SHOULD RELAX
WITH THE INCREASED COVERAGE OF STORMS, WITH HEAT INDICES LIKELY
REMAINING JUST BELOW HEAT ADVISORY CRITERIA AS WE HEAD THROUGH THE
REST OF THE WEEK. AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES ALSO DROP SOMEWHAT WITH
HIGHS ONLY IN THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 90'S AS OPPOSED TO THE UPPER
90'S TO NEAR 100 WE'VE BEEN ENDURING. A LOW RISK OF RIP CURRENTS
WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE LATE WEEK FOR OUR ALABAMA AND FLORIDA
PANHANDLE BEACHES. MM/25
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 636 PM CDT SUN AUG 23 2026
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL THROUGH TONIGHT AND INTO
THE MORNING HOURS ON MONDAY. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND
STORMS SHOULD START TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE AREA BY THE LATE
MORNING/EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS. EXPECT BRIEF REDUCTIONS IN
VISIBILITIES AND CEILINGS IN SOME OF THE HEAVIER ACTIVITY. A FEW
STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS, CAPABLE OF PRODUCING GUSTY/ERRATIC WINDS
CANNOT BE RULED OUT. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS TONIGHT WILL BECOME
A LIGHT NORTHWESTERLY TO WESTERLY FLOW BY THE MID TO LATE MORNING
HOURS. WINDS ALONG THE COAST MAY BECOME MORE SOUTHERLY BY THE
AFTERNOON. /96
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1129 AM CDT SUN AUG 23 2026
A LIGHT TO OCCASIONALLY MODERATE WESTERLY FLOW PATTERN CONTINUES
THROUGH THIS WEEK. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO SHIFT FROM SOUTHWESTERLY
EACH AFTERNOON TO NORTHWESTERLY LATE EACH NIGHT. ISOLATED TO
POTENTIALLY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS CAN BE EXPECTED EACH
MORNING DURING NEXT WEEK WITH LOCALLY HIGHER SEAS AND WINDS NEAR
STORMS. MM/25
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 75 95 74 91 / 10 60 40 70
PENSACOLA 78 93 77 90 / 30 50 40 70
DESTIN 80 91 78 89 / 10 40 50 60
EVERGREEN 72 97 71 94 / 20 40 50 50
WAYNESBORO 73 97 73 93 / 20 50 40 60
CAMDEN 73 95 72 92 / 10 30 40 30
CRESTVIEW 73 95 72 92 / 20 50 50 60
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...NONE.
FL...NONE.
MS...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR MSZ067-075-076-078-
079.
GM...NONE.
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