435
FXUS64 KMOB 111135
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
635 AM CDT SUN OCT 11 2026
..NEW UPDATE, AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 635 AM CDT SUN OCT 11 2026
- A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS IS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS
AFTERNOON, LOWERING TO A MODERATE RISK TONIGHT.
- NEAR RECORD HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S TO LOW 90S ARE EXPECTED THIS
WEEK. WITH MANY AREAS STILL WITHOUT POWER AND RECOVERY EFFORTS
FROM HURRICANE ISAIAS ONGOING, THESE TEMPERATURES COULD LEAD TO
AN INCREASED RISK FOR HEAT-RELATED ILLNESSES.
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 635 AM CDT SUN OCT 11 2026
THE FORECAST REMAINS ON TRACK AS WE WARM TO BETWEEN 85-90 DEGREES
INLAND AREAS UNDER SUNNY SKIES, WITH LOWER 80S ALONG THE COAST.
/22
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1249 AM CDT SUN OCT 11 2026
THE REMNANTS OF ISAIAS, CURRENTLY LOCATED OVER THE TENNESSEE
RIVER VALLEY, WILL CONTINUE LIFTING TOWARDS THE NORTHEAST OVER THE
NEXT DAY OR SO. AS IT DEPARTS, HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE
AREA, ANCHORING ITSELF DIRECTLY OVER THE LOCAL AREA THROUGH
MIDWEEK. SUBSIDENCE FROM THIS HIGH, AS WELL AS A VERY DRY AIRMASS
IN PLACE (PWATS BETWEEN 0.7 AND 1.0 INCH), WILL GIVE WAY TO SUNNY
SKIES, VERY WARM HIGHS, AND COOL LOWS THROUGH MUCH OF THE WEEK.
HIGHS THROUGHOUT THE WEEK WILL TOP OUT IN THE UPPER 80S TO LOW
90S. IT SHOULD BE NOTED, ESPECIALLY FOR RECOVERY PURPOSES, THAT
THESE HIGHS MAY GET CLOSE TO OUR RECORDS FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.
ALTHOUGH HEAT INDICES SHOULD REMAIN CLOSE TO THE ACTUAL
TEMPERATURES DUE TO AFTERNOON DEWPOINTS GENERALLY IN THE 60S,
NUMEROUS LOCATIONS WHICH WERE IMPACTED BY ISAIAS ARE STILL WITHOUT
POWER. THIS, ALONG WITH LITTLE TO NO CLOUD COVER TO OFFER RELIEF
FROM THE SUN, COULD LEAD TO AN INCREASED RISK FOR HEAT-RELATED
ILLNESSES. EVERYONE PART OF THE RECOVERY PROCESS IS URGED TO TAKE
FREQUENT BREAKS IN THE SHADE AND DRINK PLENTY OF WATER, ESPECIALLY
IF ENGAGING IN STRENUOUS ACTIVITY. LOWS THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT
WILL GENERALLY RANGE FROM THE UPPER 50S TO LOW 60S INLAND TO THE
MID 60S ALONG THE COAST, INCREASING BY A FEW DEGREES BY MIDWEEK.
BY FRIDAY AND INTO THE UPCOMING WEEKEND, LONGER RANGED MODELS
SUGGEST THAT A COLD FRONT MAY ATTEMPT TO SWEEP THROUGH THE LOCAL
AREA. AT THIS TIME, LIMITED MOISTURE RETURN AHEAD OF THE FRONT
SHOULD PRECLUDE RAIN CHANCES AS IT PASSES THROUGH. BEHIND IT, A
MUCH COOLER AND EVEN DRIER AIRMASS FILTERS INTO THE REGION FROM
THE NORTH. A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS CONTINUES TODAY, LOWERING
TO A MODERATE RISK TONIGHT. A LOW RISK WILL BE IN PLACE THROUGH
THE WEEK. /96
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 635 AM CDT SUN OCT 11 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH TONIGHT. WESTERLY WIND 5-10
KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TODAY BECOMING CALM TO VERY LIGHT WESTERLY
TONIGHT. /22
MARINE
ISSUED AT 302 PM CDT SAT OCT 10 2026
LIGHT WESTERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS TODAY AND TONIGHT
TRANSITIONS TO A DIURNAL FLOW CYCLE THROUGH THURSDAY WITH AN
OFFSHORE FLOW DEVELOPING LATE NIGHT INTO THE MORNING HOURS THEN
BECOMING ONSHORE NEAR THE COAST DURING THE AFTERNOON. /22
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 87 61 88 61 / 0 0 0 0
PENSACOLA 85 66 87 65 / 0 0 0 0
DESTIN 83 68 86 68 / 0 0 0 0
EVERGREEN 87 56 89 57 / 0 0 0 0
WAYNESBORO 89 58 91 57 / 0 0 0 0
CAMDEN 85 57 88 57 / 0 0 0 0
CRESTVIEW 86 57 88 57 / 0 0 0 0
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK UNTIL 6 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR ALZ265-266.
FL...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK UNTIL 6 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR FLZ202-204-
206.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
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