383
FXUS64 KMOB 111801
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
101 PM CDT TUE AUG 11 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 100 PM CDT TUE AUG 11 2026
- HEAT INDICES AROUND 100-107 DEGREES ARE EXPECTED TODAY,
INCREASING TO 105-111 DEGREES BY FRIDAY.
- A MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS RETURNS TO FLORIDA BEACHES
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 100 PM CDT TUE AUG 11 2026
LATEST WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS ZONAL FLOW OVER THE SOUTHEAST,
WITH UPPER RIDGING BUILDING OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS HAVE CONTINUED TO DEVELOP ALONG THE COAST, BUT HAVE
REMAINED RELATIVELY SHORT-LIVED GIVEN THE WEEK SUBSIDENCE ALOFT.
ENOUGH MOISTURE IS IN PLACE IN THE LOWER LEVELS FOR PARTLY TO
MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES, WHICH HAS TEMPERED OUR DAYTIME HEATING
SOMEWHAT. THAT SAID, HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL LIKELY MAX OUT IN THE
MID 90S AREAWIDE. HEAT INDICES REMAIN BELOW ADVISORY CRITERIA
(>107 DEGREES), BUT CAUTION SHOULD STILL BE USED IF SPENDING A LOT
OF TIME OUTDOORS.
UPPER RIDGING WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK
WHILE SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES ALONG THE GULF. THIS WILL
KEEP MOSTLY DRY CONDITIONS THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK, THE
EXCEPTION BEING ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST WHERE THE SEABREEZE MAY
SPARK VERY ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. THE MAIN THREAT WILL CONTINUE
TO BE THE HEAT AS TEMPS RISE EACH DAY, EVENTUALLY TOPPING OUT IN
THE TRIPLE DIGITS BY THE WEEKEND. AS THE ACTUAL AIR TEMP
APPROACHES 102 TO 103 DEGREES, HEAT INDICES WILL CLIMB INTO THE
110-113 RANGE FOR THE MAJORITY OF THE AREA AND HEAT HEADLINES WILL
LIKELY BE NEEDED BY THE END OF THE WEEK. /73
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 100 PM CDT TUE AUG 11 2026
ASIDE FROM VERY ISOLATED AND SHORT-LIVED THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE
COAST, VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE PERIOD. THERE MAY
BE SOME INSTANCES WHEN CIGS BRIEFLY DROP TO MVFR BUT CONFIDENCE IS
TOO LOW TO ADD PREVAILING MVFR CIGS IN THE FORECAST. /73
MARINE
ISSUED AT 100 PM CDT TUE AUG 11 2026
LIGHT TO MODERATE SOUTHWEST TO WESTERLY FLOW WILL PERSIST THROUGH
THE WEEK. OTHERWISE, THERE ARE NO MARINE CONCERNS. /73
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 76 93 77 94 / 0 20 0 10
PENSACOLA 79 93 79 93 / 10 20 0 10
DESTIN 80 91 80 92 / 0 10 0 10
EVERGREEN 75 94 75 95 / 10 30 10 20
WAYNESBORO 75 97 75 98 / 0 10 10 10
CAMDEN 75 93 76 94 / 0 20 0 10
CRESTVIEW 75 95 75 96 / 0 30 0 20
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...NONE.
FL...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
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