595
FXUS64 KMOB 031149
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
649 AM CDT FRI APR 3 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 641 AM CDT FRI APR 3 2026
- A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS CONTINUES THROUGH THIS WEEKEND FOR
COASTAL ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA BEACHES.
- NEXT CHANCE FOR MEANINGFUL RAIN WILL ACCOMPANY A COLD FRONT
THIS WEEKEND, BUT IT WILL NOT BE A DROUGHT-BUSTING RAIN.
- A FEW ROUNDS OF SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY-LEVEL CONDITIONS (GUSTS
NEAR GALE-FORCE) ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE GULF AND LOCAL
BAYS/SOUNDS SUNDAY THROUGH MUCH OF NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1225 AM CDT FRI APR 3 2026
ONE MORE DRY DAY ON TAP AS THE UPPER RIDGE OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC
STAYS LOCKED IN PLACE TODAY. WITH SUBSIDENCE STILL IN PLACE AND
SOUTHERLY WINDS AROUND THE WESTERN SIDE OF THE RIDGE, TODAY WILL BE
ANOTHER WARM AND STICKY ONE AS GULF MOISTURE CONTINUES TO STREAM
NORTHWARD. WITH HIGHS IN THE MID 80S AND DEWPOINTS IN THE UPPER 60S
IT WILL CERTAINLY FEEL CLOSER TO SUMMER THAN SPRING.
BY SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY, THE PARADE OF UPPER TROUGHS WILL BE ABLE TO
BREAK DOWN THE HIGH AND PUSH IT BACK EAST ALLOWING FOR A MORE
SIGNIFICANT RAIN CHANCE TO ARRIVE BY SUNDAY. A RATHER POTENT
SHORTWAVE WILL PROGRESS ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES DRIVING A "COLD"
FRONT INTO THE DEEP SOUTH. GIVEN THE PLENTIFUL MOISTURE IN PLACE,
SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL LIKELY ACCOMPANY THE FRONT AS IT PROGRESSES
THROUGH OUR AREA ON SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY. THE GOOD NEWS IS
THAT A GOOD CHUNK OF THE AREA SHOULD SEE SOME HELP IN THE
AFOREMENTIONED DROUGHT CONDITIONS. BY SUNDAY NIGHT, THE FRONT SHOULD
PUSH OFFSHORE GIVING WAY TO A SIGNIFICANTLY DRIER AND COOLER WEEK
NEXT WEEK. HECK WE MIGHT EVEN SEE LOWS IN THE 40S AS EARLY SPRING
MAKES ONE LAST DITCH EFFORT BEFORE SUMMER KICKS IN.
SOME PATCHY FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF MORNING
MAINLY ALONG AND EAST OF I-65 WHERE THE INFLUENCES OF THE UPPER
RIDGE AND MOISTURE OVERLAP THE BEST. WHILE WE DO NOT EXPECT ANY
DENSE FOG AT THIS TIME, THERE ARE ENOUGH SIGNALS TO AT LEAST SUPPORT
SOME PATCHY FOG REDUCING VISIBILITIES TO AROUND 1 MILE OR LESS IN
SOME SPOTS. AS ALWAYS CONTINUE TO USE CAUTION WHEN DRIVING WITH FOG.
BEACH HAZARDS... A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS WILL LIKELY CONTINUE
THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS A MODERATE ONSHORE FLOW SHOULD PERSIST. WHILE
THE WINDS WILL NOT BE STRONG, THERE SHOULD BE ENOUGH OF A FETCH AND
INCREASINGLY STRONG TIDES FALLING DURING THE AFTERNOONS TO RESULT IN
LIKELY HAZARDOUS SWIMMING CONDITIONS AND RIP CURRENTS. BE SURE TO
CONTINUE TO SWIM NEAR LIFEGUARDS. BB-8
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 641 AM CDT FRI APR 3 2026
MVFR TO IFR CEILINGS PREVAIL AT THE TAF SITES THIS MORNING WITH
SOME PATCHY, LIGHT FOG ACROSS INLAND AREAS. CEILINGS AND
VISIBILITY WILL IMPROVE TO VFR BY MID-MORNING. SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS
AROUND 5-10 KNOTS (UP TO 15 KNOTS AT THE COASTAL TERMINALS) ARE
EXPECTED THROUGHOUT THE DAY. 07/MB
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1225 AM CDT FRI APR 3 2026
A LIGHT TO MODERATE ONSHORE FLOW PREVAILS THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
WINDS QUICKLY TURN NORTHERLY THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING ON
SUNDAY BEHIND A COLD FRONT. A MODERATE TO STRONG OFFSHORE FLOW
PERSISTS THROUGH MONDAY BEFORE WINDS GRADUALLY TURN EASTERLY ON
TUESDAY. EXPECT A FEW ROUNDS OF SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY-LEVEL
CONDITIONS NEXT WEEK BEHIND THE FRONT WITH GUSTS NEARING GALE
FORCE POSSIBLE. BB-8
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 83 67 83 65 / 0 0 30 60
PENSACOLA 78 68 79 67 / 10 0 30 30
DESTIN 76 67 77 67 / 10 0 20 20
EVERGREEN 86 63 86 63 / 10 0 30 50
WAYNESBORO 86 65 84 62 / 0 0 60 80
CAMDEN 84 63 84 63 / 0 0 50 70
CRESTVIEW 84 63 85 63 / 10 0 30 20
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING FOR ALZ265-266.
FL...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING FOR FLZ202-204-206.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
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