394
FXUS64 KMOB 190530
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1230 AM CDT MON OCT 19 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1229 AM CDT MON OCT 19 2026
- MODERATE TO STRONG NORTHEAST WINDS WILL CREATE HAZARDOUS
CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT THROUGH MONDAY.
- A HIGH RISK OF DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS AT AREA BEACHES IS IN
EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT.
- DRY CONDITIONS CONTINUE THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1152 PM CDT SUN OCT 18 2026
A LARGE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL AMPLIFY OFF THE EASTERN SEABOARD
THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK AS AN UPPER RIDGE BUILDS FROM THE
PLAINS INTO THE UPPER MIDWEST. MEANWHILE, A SFC RIDGE OF HIGH
PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE OVER THE AREA. THIS PATTERN WILL MAINTAIN
AND DRY NORTHWEST UPPER LEVEL FLOW THROUGH THE WEEK WITH AN EAST
TO NORTHEAST SFC FLOW. THE DEEP LAYER RIDGING WILL MAINTAIN STRONG
SUBSIDENCE ACROSS THE REGION, WHICH ALONG WITH A VERY DRY
AIRMASS, WILL MAINTAIN A DRY FORECAST THROUGH THE PERIOD. THE DRY
AIRMASS AND LIGHT WINDS WILL ALLOW STRONG RADIATIONAL COOLING AT
NIGHT WILL LOWS IN THE 40S AND 50S. HIGH TEMPS WILL BE IN THE LOW
TO MID 70S TO START THE WEEK, GRADUALLY WARMING INTO THE UPPER 70S
AND LOW 80S BY NEXT WEEKEND. HUMIDITY LEVELS WILL REMAIN VERY LOW
THROUGH THE WEEK. A HIGH RISK OF RIP CONTINUES THROUGH MONDAY
NIGHT WITH A MODERATE RISK FOLLOWING FOR TUESDAY. /13
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1229 AM CDT MON OCT 19 2026
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
WINDS THROUGH THE PERIOD WILL GENERALLY BE NORTHEASTERLY AT AROUND
5-10 KNOTS. /96
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1052 PM CDT SUN OCT 18 2026
MODERATE TO STRONG NORTHEASTERLY WINDS BECOME A LIGHT TO MODERATE
FLOW BY MONDAY AFTERNOON. SMALL CRAFT MAY NEED TO OCCASIONALLY
EXERCISE CAUTION OVER BAYS AND SOUNDS THROUGH TONIGHT. A SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON MONDAY FOR THE NEAR
SHORE WATERS AND UNTIL 4 PM MONDAY FOR THE 20-60 NM PORTION TO
ALLOW SUFFICIENT TIME FOR WINDS AND SEAS TO SUBSIDE. A LIGHT TO
MODERATE NORTHEASTERLY FLOW, OCCASIONALLY STRONGER WELL OFFSHORE
DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS, PREVAILS FOR MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH
WEDNESDAY. /29
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 73 50 77 50 / 0 0 0 0
PENSACOLA 75 54 76 54 / 0 0 0 0
DESTIN 75 56 76 58 / 0 0 0 0
EVERGREEN 73 45 77 46 / 0 0 0 0
WAYNESBORO 73 45 78 45 / 0 0 0 0
CAMDEN 70 44 75 45 / 0 0 0 0
CRESTVIEW 73 47 76 49 / 0 0 0 0
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK THROUGH LATE TONIGHT FOR ALZ265-266.
FL...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK THROUGH LATE TONIGHT FOR FLZ202-204-206.
MS...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL NOON CDT TODAY FOR GMZ650-655.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 4 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR GMZ670-
675.
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