098
FXUS64 KMOB 251923
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
223 PM CDT FRI APR 25 2025
..NEW DISCUSSION, MARINE
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 221 PM CDT FRI APR 25 2025
NOW THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...
A SHORTWAVE TROF WHICH EXTENDS FROM THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF COAST
TO NEAR THE OHIO/MISSISSIPPI RIVER CONFLUENCE PROGRESSES OFF INTO
THE WESTERN ATLANTIC WITH BROAD UPPER RIDGING MEANWHILE BUILDING
INTO THE FORECAST REGION. A SURFACE LOW WELL OFF TO THE NORTH
(ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER TROF) BRINGS A WEAK SURFACE
TROF/BOUNDARY THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA LATE TONIGHT WHICH THEN
DRIFTS BACK TO NEAR THE COAST SATURDAY MORNING. THE WEAK SURFACE
TROF/BOUNDARY LINGERS NEAR THE COAST THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS
BEFORE SLIPPING INTO THE MARINE AREA SATURDAY NIGHT. CURRENT
CONVECTION ADVANCING INTO SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI IS ANTICIPATED TO
SLOWLY PROGRESS TO NEAR THE I-65 CORRIDOR AND MEANWHILE DIMINISH
IN COVERAGE THIS EVENING. DRY CONDITIONS PREVAIL FOR THE OVERNIGHT
HOURS. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND STORMS ARE POSSIBLE WEST OF I-65 ON
SATURDAY, AND SOME SPOTTY CONVECTION IS ALSO POSSIBLE NEAR THE
COAST WITH THE WEAK SURFACE TROF/BOUNDARY, BUT COVERAGE AT THIS
POINT LOOKS TOO LIMITED TO SUPPORT MENTION OF POPS FOR THAT
LOCATION. DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR SATURDAY NIGHT. MAY SEE
SOME GUSTY WINDS WITH CONVECTION THAT DEVELOPS, BUT SEVERE STORM
DEVELOPMENT IS NOT ANTICIPATED. LOWS TONIGHT AND SATURDAY NIGHT
RANGE FROM THE LOWER 60S INLAND TO THE MID 60S NEAR THE COAST.
HIGHS ON SATURDAY WILL BE IN THE MID TO UPPER 80S EXCEPT FOR LOWER
80S AT THE IMMEDIATE COAST. A MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS IS
EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT. /29
SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...
AN UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE, EXPANDING FROM MEXICO INTO THE CENTRAL US
AT THE START OF THE PERIOD, WILL BUILD EASTWARD INTO THE SOUTHEAST
US. PRIOR TO IT MOVING INTO OUR AREA, ONE LAST SHORTWAVE TROUGH
WILL SLIDE ACROSS THE DEEP SOUTH, BRINGING ISOLATED TO LOCALLY
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS TO THE AREA ON SUNDAY. AS THE RIDGE
AXIS PUSHES OVERHEAD EARLY NEXT WEEK, SUBSIDENCE WILL HELP TO KEEP
OUR AREA DRY FOR MONDAY, TUESDAY, AND WEDNESDAY. RAIN CHANCES
RETURN TO THE FORECAST BY THURSDAY AND FRIDAY AS THE RIDGE MOVES
OFF TO THE EAST AND AN UPPER TROUGH SLIDES ACROSS THE
TENNESSEE/OHIO RIVER VALLEYS. TEMPERATURES WILL BE VERY WARM, WITH
HIGHS TOPPING OUT IN THE UPPER 80S TO LOW 90S, AND LOWS IN THE
MID TO UPPER 60S. /96
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1219 PM CDT FRI APR 25 2025
VFR CONDITIONS PREVAIL THROUGH THIS EVENING WITH THE EXCEPTION OF
A FEW SPOTS SEEING MVFR CEILINGS. PATCHY FOG WITH IFR/MVFR
CONDITIONS DEVELOPS AGAIN LATE TONIGHT, AND SOME LOCALIZED DENSE
FOG IS POSSIBLE MAINLY OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA AND
THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE. SOUTHERLY WINDS AROUND 10 KNOTS
BECOME LIGHT AND VARIABLE THIS EVENING, THEN A NORTHERLY FLOW
AROUND 5 KNOTS FOLLOWS FOR SATURDAY MORNING. /29
MARINE
ISSUED AT 221 PM CDT FRI APR 25 2025
A GENERALLY LIGHT DIURNAL FLOW WILL PERSIST THROUGH MONDAY WITH AN
OFFSHORE FLOW DEVELOPING AT NIGHT AND AN ONSHORE FLOW DEVELOPING
DURING THE DAY. A LIGHT TO OCCASIONALLY MODERATE ONSHORE FLOW WILL
DEVELOP TUESDAY AND CONTINUE INTO WEDNESDAY. NO IMPACTS ARE EXPECTED
OTHER THAN LOCALLY HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS POSSIBLE NEAR STORMS. /29
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 65 86 65 87 65 87 65 87 / 20 10 0 10 0 0 0 0
PENSACOLA 66 83 66 85 67 84 69 85 / 10 0 0 10 0 0 0 0
DESTIN 68 82 68 83 70 83 70 83 / 0 0 0 10 0 0 0 10
EVERGREEN 61 88 62 89 63 90 62 90 / 10 10 0 20 10 10 0 0
WAYNESBORO 61 87 62 87 64 90 63 89 / 20 20 0 20 10 0 0 0
CAMDEN 61 86 62 87 63 89 63 90 / 20 20 0 20 10 10 0 0
CRESTVIEW 61 89 61 90 62 89 63 90 / 10 10 0 20 0 10 0 0
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...NONE.
FL...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
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