476
FXUS64 KMOB 301826
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
126 PM CDT WED SEP 30 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 123 PM CDT WED SEP 30 2026
- A MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS TODAY INCREASES TO A HIGH RISK
FOR THURSDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND FOR ALL AREA BEACHES.
- RAIN CHANCES SUBSTANTIALLY INCREASE THURSDAY THROUGH THE
WEEKEND. NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING HEAVY RAINFALL, WHICH MAY LEAD TO LOCALIZED FLASH
FLOODING.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 123 PM CDT WED SEP 30 2026
SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL INCREASE THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY AS AN UPPER
TROUGH MOVES INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. THIS WILL INDUCE A SFC LOW
TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE PLAINS STATES AND MOVE NORTHEAST. A TRAILING
FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL MOVE SLOWLY SOUTHEAST. MEANWHILE, SFC HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BUILD OFF THE SOUTHEAST COAST. DEEP SOUTHERLY FLOW
WILL BRING GULF MOISTURE SURGING BACK INTO THE REGION FRIDAY
THROUGH THE WEEKEND. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE
EXPECTED ON THURSDAY BECOMING NUMEROUS TO WIDESPREAD ON FRIDAY.
THE WET PATTERN CONTINUES THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS PRECIPITABLE
WATER VALUES CLIMB TO 2.3 INCHES. DEEP, WARM RAIN PROCESSES WILL
ENABLE LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN AT TIMES.
WHILE THE TIMING AND PLACEMENT OF THE HEAVIEST RAIN REMAINS
UNCERTAIN, LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING WOULD BECOME A RISK WHERE
STORMS TRAIN REPEATEDLY, PARTICULARLY IN URBAN AND POOR-DRAINAGE
AREAS. WPC HAS OUTLOOKED MUCH OF THE AREA IN A SLIGHT RISK OF
EXCESSIVE RAINFALL BOTH SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. /13
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 123 PM CDT WED SEP 30 2026
VFR CONDITIONS PREVAIL THROUGH THE PERIOD. /13
MARINE
ISSUED AT 123 PM CDT WED SEP 30 2026
A MODERATE TO OCCASIONALLY STRONG SOUTHERLY FLOW DEVELOPS ON
THURSDAY AND CONTINUES THROUGH SATURDAY. WINDS DECREASE EARLY NEXT
WEEK. SEAS INCREASE TO 3-6 FEET LATE WEEK INTO THE SATURDAY. /13
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 73 88 73 87 / 10 50 30 90
PENSACOLA 77 87 77 86 / 10 40 50 90
DESTIN 76 87 77 86 / 10 30 40 80
EVERGREEN 67 91 68 90 / 0 20 0 80
WAYNESBORO 68 89 69 89 / 0 40 0 80
CAMDEN 68 91 70 90 / 0 10 10 60
CRESTVIEW 69 89 71 88 / 0 40 10 90
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY
EVENING FOR ALZ265-266.
FL...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY
EVENING FOR FLZ202-204-206.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
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