914
FXUS64 KMOB 062327
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
627 PM CDT MON JUL 6 2026
..NEW UPDATE, AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 624 PM CDT MON JUL 6 2026
- HEAT INDICES REMAIN IN THE 100 TO 107 RANGE EACH AFTERNOON
THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK.
- ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS CONTINUE EACH
AFTERNOON. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL, GUSTY WINDS, AND FREQUENT
LIGHTNING CAN BE EXPECTED WITH ANY STORMS.
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 624 PM CDT MON JUL 6 2026
FORECAST REMAINS ON TRACK WITH A FEW SHOWERS AND STORMS LINGERING
THROUGH SUNSET EAST OF THE I-65 CORRIDOR. MM/25
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1251 PM CDT MON JUL 6 2026
THE UPPER TROUGH TO THE NORTHWEST IS SLOW TO MOVE WHILE ENCOUNTERING
THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO OUR EAST. THIS UPPER LOW CENTERED GENERALLY
OVER SOUTHERN MISSOURI BECOMES CUTOFF TONIGHT AND FINALLY BEGINS
MOVING NORTHEAST BY MID WEEK. WE ARE STILL INFLUENCED BY SOME
INCREASED BUOYANCY LEADING SLIGHTLY ABOVE AVERAGE STORM COVERAGE
THROUGH TOMORROW. THERE ARE VERY HIGH PWATS OF 2.0-2.1" WHICH IS
AROUND THE 90TH PERCENTILE BASED ON SOUNDING CLIMATOLOGY. MOISTURE
REMAINS ELEVATED THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK WITH PWATS OF 1.8-2.0".
A RIDGE SLOWLY BUILDS BACK IN BY THE END OF THE WEEK WITH THE AREA
ON THE WESTERN EDGE DOMINATED BY SOUTHERLY MID TO UPPER LEVEL FLOW.
THIS BRINGS RAIN CHANCES TO A MORE NORMAL SUMMERTIME PATTERN WITH
DAILY CHANCES FOR ISOLATED TO LOCALLY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS, ESPECIALLY ALONG THE SEA BREEZE AND RESULTANT OUTFLOW
BOUNDARIES.
HEAT INDEX VALUES CONTINUE TO BE JUST BELOW THE HEAT ADVISORY
THRESHOLD OF 108, WITH MAXIMUM VALUES OF 100-107 FOR MUCH OF THE
AREA. THE BUILDING RIDGE BY THE END OF THE WEEK WILL INCREASE
TEMPERATURES AND HEAT INDICES CLOSE TO THE AFOREMENTIONED THRESHOLD
OVER THE WEEKEND. THERE CONTINUES BE LITTLE OVERNIGHT RELIEF WITH
LOW TEMPERATURES THROUGH MID NEXT WEEK ONLY REACHING THE LOW TO MID
70S INLAND AND THE UPPER 70S TO NEAR 80 ALONG THE COAST. ANYBODY
OUTDOORS SHOULD DRINK PLENTY OF WATER AND TAKE BREAKS IN A/C WHEN
POSSIBLE. SS/97
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 624 PM CDT MON JUL 6 2026
VFR FLIGHT CATEGORY CONTINUES TO PREVAIL ACROSS THE REGION
THROUGH TUESDAY. SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE INCREASES NEAR
THE COAST LATE DURING THE OVERNIGHT INTO EARLY TUESDAY MORNING,
WITH ADDITIONAL SCATTERED STORMS POSSIBLE AREAWIDE DURING THE
AFTERNOON HOURS. EXPECT REDUCTIONS IN FLIGHT CATEGORY UNDERNEATH
ANY STORMS. WINDS WILL REMAIN GENERALLY OUT OF THE SOUTH TO
SOUTHWEST TONIGHT LESS THAN 5 KNOTS, BECOMING WESTERLY AT 5 TO 10
KNOTS TUESDAY. MM/25
MARINE
ISSUED AT 309 PM CDT MON JUL 6 2026
A LIGHT TO OCCASIONALLY MODERATE SOUTHWEST TO WEST FLOW WILL PREVAIL
THROUGH LATE WEEK. SEAS WILL REMAIN GENERALLY 2 FEET OR LESS. /73
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 75 93 75 93 / 20 40 20 30
PENSACOLA 79 94 79 94 / 60 30 30 20
DESTIN 80 92 81 92 / 60 40 30 20
EVERGREEN 73 93 73 93 / 20 30 20 20
WAYNESBORO 73 92 73 92 / 20 30 10 30
CAMDEN 73 90 73 90 / 20 30 30 20
CRESTVIEW 75 94 75 94 / 30 50 10 40
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...NONE.
FL...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
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