858
FXUS64 KMOB 091148
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
648 AM CDT SUN AUG 9 2026
..NEW UPDATE, AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 648 AM CDT SUN AUG 9 2026
- ISOLATED TO SCATTERED STORMS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
- HEAT INDICES AROUND 100-107 DEGREES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH MID
NEXT WEEK.
- A LOW RISK OF RIP CURRENTS DEVELOPS IS EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY
AT AREA BEACHES.
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 648 AM CDT SUN AUG 9 2026
THE FORECAST REMAINS ON TRACK AS WE STILL EXPECT SCATTERED
AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND STORMS TO DEVELOP THAT WILL LINGER INTO
EARLY EVENING, WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES RANGING FROM 90-95 DEGREES.
/22
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1225 AM CDT SUN AUG 9 2026
THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT, AN UPPER RIDGE CENTERED OFF THE EAST COAST
SHIFTS WEST OVER THE NORTHERN GULF COAST, WITH A SURFACE RIDGE
SHIFTING WEST OVER THE CENTRAL GULF. GUIDANCE IS ADVERTISING
MOISTURE LEVELS OVER THE FORECAST AREA RISING INTO THE 2.1"-2.3"
RANGE, THOUGH VARY ON RAINFALL TODAY, WITH VARYING SUBSIDENCE FROM
THE SHIFTING UPPER RIDGE. DID GO A BIT ABOVE SEASONAL NORMS FOR
POPS TODAY, WITH SCATTERED, MAINLY AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. POPS WILL SEE A DOWNWARD TREND INTO TUESDAY, WITH
MOISTURE LEVELS DECREASING OVER THE AREA COMBINING WITH INCREASING
UPPER SUBSIDENCE FROM THE UPPER RIDGE AS IT MOVES OVER THE
NORTHERN GULF COAST. TEMPERATURES REMAIN A BIT ABOVE SEASONAL
NORMS OVER THE FORECAST AREA, RANGING FROM AROUND 90 ALONG THE
COAST TO AROUND 95 INLAND. DAYTIME HEAT INDICES GENERALLY IN THE
100-107 RANGE ARE EXPECTED, THOUGH LOCAL VALUES NEAR 110 ARE
POSSIBLE TUESDAY. LOW TEMPERATURE REMAIN AT ABOVE SEASONAL NORMS
THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT, WITH LOW TO MID 70S INLAND, UPPER 70S ALONG
THE COAST.
WEDNESDAY ON, THE UPPER RIDGE OVER THE NORTHERN GULF COAST SHIFTS
NORTH TO OVER THE SOUTHEAST. INCREASING SUBSIDENCE WILL BRING
INCREASING TEMPERATURES (MID TO UPPER 90S BY FRIDAY), WITH
ACCOMPANYING HEAT INDICES RISING TO ADVISORY LEVELS FOR THE LATTER
HALF OF THE COMING WEEK. POPS DECREASE WITH THE INCREASING UPPER
SUBSIDENCE, WITH GENERAL ISOLATED POPS BY THE END OF THE WEEK.
TAKING A LOOK AT THE RIP CURRENT RISK ON AREA BEACHES, A GENERAL
LOW RISK IS EXPECTED INTO MID WEEK, WITH THE ONSHORE FLOW LESS
ORGANIZED. AN UPTICK TO A LOW MODERATE IS INDICATED THE END OF THE
WEEK, ESPECIALLY OVER OUR FLORIDA BEACHES. /16
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 648 AM CDT SUN AUG 9 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THIS EVENING, WITH SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING THIS AFTERNOON. MVFR CEILINGS, BRIEF
IFR VISIBILITIES, AND GUSTY WINDS TO 40 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED IN THE
STRONGER STORMS. WINDS FOR ALL TAF SITES WILL START OFF LIGHT
NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY, SHIFTING EASTERLY BY LATE MORNING, AND
THEN SOUTHERLY AT 5-10 KNOTS BY MID-AFTERNOON AS A SEA-BREEZE
PUSHES INLAND. /22
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1225 AM CDT SUN AUG 9 2026
AN AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD WESTWARD ACROSS THE NORTHERN
GULF THROUGH NEXT WEEK. A LIGHT TO OCCASIONALLY MODERATE SOUTHERLY
FLOW DEVELOPS ON SUNDAY AND BECOMES SOUTHWEST BY THE MIDDLE OF
NEXT WEEK AS THE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS WEST. /16
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 92 74 91 74 / 50 20 50 0
PENSACOLA 90 78 90 78 / 30 20 30 0
DESTIN 89 79 89 79 / 20 10 20 0
EVERGREEN 93 72 92 73 / 50 10 50 0
WAYNESBORO 95 73 94 72 / 40 20 40 0
CAMDEN 92 73 91 73 / 50 20 30 10
CRESTVIEW 92 73 92 73 / 50 10 40 0
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...NONE.
FL...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
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