146
FXUS64 KMOB 021138
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
638 AM CDT THU APR 2 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 634 AM CDT THU APR 2 2026
- A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS CONTINUES THROUGH THIS WEEKEND FOR
COASTAL ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA BEACHES.
- NEXT CHANCE FOR MEANINGFUL RAIN WILL ACCOMPANY A COLD FRONT
THIS WEEKEND, BUT IT WILL NOT BE A DROUGHT-BUSTING RAIN.
- A FEW ROUNDS OF SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY-LEVEL CONDITIONS (GUSTS
POTENTIALLY REACHING GALE-FORCE) ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE GULF AND
LOCAL BAYS/SOUNDS SUNDAY THROUGH MUCH OF NEXT WEEK BEHIND THE
COLD FRONT.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1250 AM CDT THU APR 2 2026
RATHER STRONG HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC WILL
RETROGRADE WESTWARD OVER THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS AS SEVERAL
SHORTWAVE TROUGHS MOVE ACROSS THE CENTRAL US. MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE
TO SURGE NORTHWARD AS DEWPOINTS HOVER IN THE 60S INTO THE WEEKEND. T
HE UPPER RIDGE WILL NOSE IN FROM THE EAST TODAY ALLOWING FOR A DRY
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY AS SUBSIDENCE FROM THE RIDGE SHOULD SQUASH MOST
SHOWERS. CANNOT RULE OUT A SPRINKLE OR VERY ISOLATED SHOWER BUT
OVERALL THE AREA SHOULD REMAIN DRY. EVENTUALLY BY THE WEEKEND, THE
PARADE OF UPPER TROUGHS WILL BE ABLE TO BREAK DOWN THE HIGH AND PUSH
IT BACK EAST ALLOWING FOR A MORE SIGNIFICANT RAIN CHANCE TO ARRIVE
BY SUNDAY. A RATHER POTENT SHORTWAVE WILL PROGRESS ACROSS THE GREAT
LAKES DRIVING A "COLD" FRONT INTO THE DEEP SOUTH. GIVEN THE
PLENTIFUL MOISTURE IN PLACE, SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL LIKELY
ACCOMPANY THE FRONT AS IT PROGRESSES THROUGH OUR AREA ON SUNDAY.
UNFORTUNATELY, WE ARE IN THE TIME OF THE YEAR WHERE FRONTS GET HUNG
UP AND WEAKEN AS THEY APPROACH THUS RAIN CHANCES LOOK TO BECOME
DRAWN OUT ON SUNDAY. THE GOOD NEWS IS THAT A GOOD CHUNK OF THE AREA
SHOULD SEE SOME HELP IN THE AFOREMENTIONED DROUGHT CONDITIONS. BY
SUNDAY NIGHT, THE FRONT SHOULD PUSH OFFSHORE GIVING WAY TO A
SIGNIFICANTLY DRIER AND COOLER WEEK NEXT WEEK. HECK WE MIGHT EVEN
SEE LOWS IN THE 40S AS EARLY SPRING MAKES ONE LAST DITCH EFFORT
BEFORE SUMMER KICKS IN.
SOME PATCHY FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF MORNING
MAINLY ALONG AND EAST OF I-65 WHERE THE INFLUENCES OF THE UPPER
RIDGE AND MOISTURE OVERLAP THE BEST. WHILE WE DO NOT EXPECT ANY
DENSE FOG AT THIS TIME, THERE ARE ENOUGH SIGNALS TO AT LEAST SUPPORT
SOME PATCHY FOG REDUCING VISIBILITIES TO AROUND 1 MILE OR LESS IN
SOME SPOTS. AS ALWAYS CONTINUE TO USE CAUTION WHEN DRIVING WITH FOG.
BEACH HAZARDS... A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS WILL LIKELY CONTINUE
THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS A MODERATE ONSHORE FLOW SHOULD PERSIST. WHILE
THE WINDS WILL NOT BE STRONG, THERE SHOULD BE ENOUGH OF A FETCH AND
INCREASINGLY STRONG TIDES FALLING DURING THE AFTERNOONS TO RESULT IN
LIKELY HAZARDOUS SWIMMING CONDITIONS AND RIP CURRENTS. BE SURE TO
CONTINUE TO SWIM NEAR LIFEGUARDS. BB-8
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 634 AM CDT THU APR 2 2026
MVFR TO IFR CEILINGS WILL PERSIST FOR ANOTHER 1-2 HOURS BEFORE
CLEARING. SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS AROUND 5-10 KNOTS (AS HIGH AS 15
KNOTS AT THE COASTAL TERMINALS) WILL PREVAIL TODAY. ISOLATED
SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON, GENERALLY WEST OF
I-65. 07/MB
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1250 AM CDT THU APR 2 2026
WINDS ABRUPTLY TURN NORTHERLY THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING
ON SUNDAY BEHIND A COLD FRONT. A MODERATE TO STRONG OFFSHORE FLOW
PERSISTS THROUGH MONDAY BEFORE WINDS GRADUALLY TURN EASTERLY ON
TUESDAY. EXPECT A FEW ROUNDS OF SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY-LEVEL
CONDITIONS NEXT WEEK BEHIND THE FRONT WITH GUSTS TO GALE FORCE
POSSIBLE. 07/MB
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 82 65 82 65 / 0 0 10 0
PENSACOLA 77 66 78 66 / 0 0 10 0
DESTIN 75 66 76 67 / 0 0 20 0
EVERGREEN 86 60 85 61 / 0 0 10 0
WAYNESBORO 85 63 85 64 / 10 0 10 0
CAMDEN 85 61 84 62 / 10 0 10 0
CRESTVIEW 84 60 84 62 / 0 0 20 0
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING FOR ALZ265-266.
FL...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING FOR FLZ202-204-206.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
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