604
FXUS64 KMOB 071900
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
200 PM CDT SUN SEP 7 2025
..NEW DISCUSSION, MARINE
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 200 PM CDT SUN SEP 7 2025
AN UPPER TROF OVER THE EASTERN CONUS WEAKENS THROUGH MONDAY THEN
IS REJUVENATED THROUGH MIDWEEK BY A SYSTEM WHICH ADVANCES FROM THE
PLAINS. A LARGE SURFACE HIGH BUILDS ACROSS THE EASTERN STATES
THROUGH MONDAY, WITH A SURFACE RIDGE PERSISTING OVER THE SOUTHEAST
STATES TUESDAY BEFORE WEAKENING ON WEDNESDAY. A SURFACE LOW
CURRENTLY LOCATED OVER THE EASTERN GULF IS ANTICIPATED TO DRIFT
SLOWLY INTO THE CENTRAL OR NORTH CENTRAL GULF THROUGH WEDNESDAY
AND BREAKS DOWN TO AN INVERTED TROF IN THE PROCESS BEFORE LATER
DISSIPATING. THIS FEATURE ALONG WITH A SERIES OF SHORTWAVES LOOKS
SUFFICIENT TO SUPPORT SLIGHT CHANCE TO CHANCE POPS MAINLY OVER
THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE ON MONDAY, THEN SLIGHT CHANCE TO
CHANCE POPS FOLLOW FOR TUESDAY MOSTLY OVER THE COASTAL COUNTIES
AND PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI. SMALL RAIN CHANCES CONTINUE
NEAR THE COAST ON WEDNESDAY ALONG WITH A SMALL PORTION OF EXTREME
SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI.
THE UPPER TROF AMPLIFIES THROUGH FRIDAY WHILE BECOMING ORIENTED
MAINLY OVER THE EAST COAST STATES THEN LOOKS TO BEGIN TO SHIFT
INTO THE FAR WESTERN ATLANTIC ON SATURDAY. THIS PATTERN PROMOTES A
DRY DEEP LAYER NORTHEASTERLY FLOW OVER THE FORECAST AREA, AND
HAVE GONE WITH A DRY FORECAST FOR THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.
TONIGHT LOOKS TO BE COOLEST NIGHT OF THE PERIOD AND WILL RANGE
FROM THE UPPER 50S/AROUND 60 WELL INLAND TO THE MID/UPPER 60S AT
THE COAST. LOWS MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY NIGHT RANGE FROM THE MID
60S INLAND TO AROUND 70 AT THE COAST THEN TREND A BIT COOLER FOR
THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY NIGHT TO RANGE FROM THE LOWER 60S INLAND
TO UPPER 60S/NEAR 70 AT THE COAST. HIGHS ON MONDAY THROUGH
WEDNESDAY WILL BE 85 TO 90, THEN THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY WILL BE
IN THE UPPER 80S TO LOWER 90S. A LOW RISK OF RIP CURRENTS IS
EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY THEN TRENDS TO A HIGH RISK FOR TUESDAY. A
MODERATE RISK FOLLOWS FOR WEDNESDAY AND THEN A LOW RISK IS
EXPECTED FOR THURSDAY. /29
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1218 PM CDT SUN SEP 7 2025
VFR FLIGHT CATEGORY HAS SLOWLY RETURNED TO ALL LOCATIONS OUTSIDE
OF A FEW LINGERING SPOTS ACROSS EASTERN MOBILE COUNTY THAT WILL
HANG ONTO MVFR CEILINGS THROUGH 1 OR 2PM. AFTER THIS, VFR FLIGHT
CATEGORY IS EXPECTED TO PREVAIL ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA THROUGH
TONIGHT AND THE DAY MONDAY. WINDS WILL REMAIN OUT OF THE NORTH AT
AROUND 5 TO 10 KNOTS, GUSTING TO 15 TO 20 KNOTS THROUGH DAYBREAK
MONDAY. MM/25
MARINE
ISSUED AT 200 PM CDT SUN SEP 7 2025
NORTHERLY WINDS BECOME MODERATE TO STRONG TONIGHT THEN DIMINISH
AND BECOME NORTHEASTERLY ON MONDAY. THE NORTHEASTERLY FLOW
STRENGTHENS MONDAY NIGHT THEN BECOMES A LIGHT TO MODERATE EASTERLY
FLOW ON TUESDAY. HAVE ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 10 PM
THIS EVENING UNTIL 10 AM MONDAY FOR THE OPEN GULF WATERS, AND
DURING THIS TIME WILL ALSO BE IN EFFECT FOR THE MOBILE BAY AREA
FROM MIDNIGHT UNTIL 7 AM MONDAY. HAVE ALSO ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY FOR THE OPEN GULF WATERS FROM 3 AM TO 1 PM ON TUESDAY. A
LIGHT TO MODERATE EASTERLY FLOW FOLLOWS FOR WEDNESDAY INTO
THURSDAY. /29
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 63 88 69 88 69 89 68 90 / 0 0 10 30 10 20 10 10
PENSACOLA 68 90 71 87 71 88 72 89 / 0 20 30 30 20 20 10 10
DESTIN 70 87 72 86 72 87 72 89 / 0 30 30 30 20 20 10 10
EVERGREEN 60 89 65 87 65 89 64 92 / 0 10 10 10 10 10 0 10
WAYNESBORO 59 85 65 87 63 88 63 91 / 0 0 0 10 0 10 0 0
CAMDEN 60 87 65 86 66 88 64 90 / 0 0 0 10 0 10 0 0
CRESTVIEW 65 89 67 86 66 88 66 90 / 0 30 20 20 10 10 10 10
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...NONE.
FL...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 7 AM CDT MONDAY
FOR GMZ630>632.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM CDT MONDAY
FOR GMZ650-655-670-675.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 3 AM TO 1 PM CDT TUESDAY FOR GMZ650-
655-670-675.
THIS PRODUCT IS ALSO AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT:
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MOB
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