046
FXUS64 KMOB 080657
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
157 AM CDT TUE SEP 8 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 155 AM CDT TUE SEP 8 2026
- MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS TODAY AND WEDNESDAY FOR COASTAL
ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA BEACHES.
- INCREASING CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND STORMS LATE THIS WEEK INTO
THE WEEKEND WITH POTENTIAL FOR LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1058 PM CDT MON SEP 7 2026
A MUCH TAMER PATTERN SETS UP FOR THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS AS DRIER AIR
FILTERS INTO THE AREA. OVERALL TEMPERATURES WILL BE CLOSER TO
SEASONABLE NORMS WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80'S TO LOWER 90'S AND
LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 70'S. RAIN CHANCES WILL BE MINIMAL THE
NEXT COUPLE DAYS, WITH PERHAPS AN ISOLATED SHOWER OR STORM ACROSS
SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI TODAY. WITH INCREASING EASTERLY FLOW ALONG
THE COAST THE RIP CURRENT RISK INCREASES TO A MODERATE RISK
TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY, GRADUALLY RELAXING BACK TO A LOW RISK FOR
THURSDAY INTO THE WEEKEND.
THE LATTER PART OF THE WEEK WE WILL SEE A PATTERN CHANGE WITH
UPPER TROUGHING GRADUALLY PUSHING INTO THE REGION AND UPPER
RIDGING BREAKING DOWN. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS
SHOWERS AND STORMS TO RETURN TO THE FORECAST AREAWIDE EACH
AFTERNOON INTO THE WEEKEND. WITH DEEP LAYER MOISTURE INCREASING
AND MUCH HIGHER PWATS SETTLING IN, WE'LL LIKELY SEE STORMS THAT
ARE EFFICIENT RAINFALL PRODUCERS. WHILE THERE ISN'T A CLEAR SIGNAL
FOR ANY POTENTIAL OF FLASH FLOODING, I CAN'T RULE OUT ISOLATED
INSTANCES OF FLOODING WHERE ANY STORMS CAN TRAIN OR SIT OVER THE
SAME AREAS FOR PROLONGED PERIODS. MM/25
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 155 AM CDT TUE SEP 8 2026
EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS FOR ALL AREA TERMINALS THROUGH THE DAYBREAK
AND MORNING PERIOD. WILL MONITOR FOR POSSIBLE ISOLATED SHRA ACROSS
KJKA EARLY THIS MORNING, BUT WILL BE A SMALL/BRIEF WINDOW.
OTHERWISE, MAINLY DRY THROUGH THE AFTERNOON WITH THE EXCEPTION OF
AN ISOLATED TSRA/SHRA FOR AREAS MAINLY WEST INTO MISSISSIPPI OR
ALONG THE COAST, THEN TURNING OVERALL DRY TONIGHT WITH VFR
PREVAILING. KLG
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1058 PM CDT MON SEP 7 2026
LIGHT TO MODERATE EASTERLY FLOW BECOMES ESTABLISHED OVERNIGHT
TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY. SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION
THROUGH EARLY THIS AFTERNOON AND AGAIN WEDNESDAY MORNING INTO EARLY
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. LIGHT TO OCCASIONALLY MODERATE ONSHORE FLOW
RETURNS FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK INTO THE WEEKEND. SEAS INCREASE TO
AROUND 2 TO 3 FEET TODAY, RELAXING BACK TO 1 TO 2 FEET LATE
WEDNESDAY THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEK. WATERSPOUTS ARE POSSIBLE
EARLY EACH MORNING. MM/25
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 90 74 90 73 / 10 10 30 10
PENSACOLA 90 77 90 77 / 10 10 20 20
DESTIN 91 77 90 78 / 10 10 30 30
EVERGREEN 93 72 94 71 / 0 0 0 0
WAYNESBORO 94 72 95 72 / 10 0 0 0
CAMDEN 93 73 94 72 / 0 0 0 0
CRESTVIEW 92 73 92 73 / 0 0 20 10
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...NONE.
FL...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
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