448
FXUS64 KMOB 191849
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
149 PM CDT TUE MAY 19 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION, MARINE
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 148 PM CDT TUE MAY 19 2026
- A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL AREA BEACHES
TODAY.
- RAIN CHANCES INCREASE BY MID TO LATE NEXT WEEK, ESPECIALLY OVER
THE WESTERN HALF OF THE FORECAST AREA.
- LOCALIZED PATCHY DENSE FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE AGAIN LATE TONIGHT
INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 148 PM CDT TUE MAY 19 2026
THE AREA WILL REMAIN IN SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT BETWEEN A RIDGE OFF
THE SOUTHEAST COAST AND A TROUGH OVER THE WESTERN STATES. THIS
WILL KEEP THE HIGHEST RAIN CHANCES MAINLY WEST OF THE AREA TODAY.
STARTING ON WEDNESDAY, THE RIDGE SLOWLY WEAKENS AND SHIFTS
SOUTHEAST. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR THE HIGHER CHANCES OF RAIN TO MOVE
INTO THE AREA WITH THE HIGHEST CHANCES THROUGH FRIDAY ACROSS
SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI. RAIN CHANCES REMAIN ELEVATED THROUGH THE
WEEKEND AS A SERIES OF SHORTWAVES CONTINUE TO ROUND THE NORTHERN
EDGE OF THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE. PATCHY DENSE FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE
EACH NIGHT. ANY FOG WILL DEVELOP LATE INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS
BEFORE LIFTING FAIRLY QUICKLY AFTER SUNRISE. TEMPERATURES WILL BE
NEAR TO JUST ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE WEEKEND. HIGHS WILL
GENERALLY BE IN THE MID AND UPPER 80S WITH A FEW AREAS AROUND 90
EACH DAY. LOWS WILL BE IN THE UPPER 60S AND LOW 70S. /13
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1236 PM CDT TUE MAY 19 2026
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND
INTO THE EVENING HOURS. BY LATE EVENING AND INTO THE OVERNIGHT
HOURS, LOW CEILINGS OF IFR OR LOWER MAY DEVELOP AND SPREAD ACROSS
THE AREA, ALONG WITH SOME PATCHY FOG. THE GREATEST POTENTIAL FOR DENSE
FOG IS ALONG AND EAST OF I-65. ANY FOG/LOW CEILINGS THAT DOES
MANAGE TO DEVELOP WILL DISSIPATE A LITTLE AFTER SUNRISE.
SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS OF AROUND 5-10 KNOTS WILL BECOME MORE LIGHT
AND VARIABLE TONIGHT. /96
MARINE
ISSUED AT 109 PM CDT TUE MAY 19 2026
NO IMPACTS EXPECTED OTHER THAN LOCALLY HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS
POSSIBLE NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. /13
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 71 88 71 86 / 0 10 0 20
PENSACOLA 72 86 73 85 / 0 10 0 10
DESTIN 72 84 72 84 / 0 10 0 0
EVERGREEN 69 90 68 90 / 10 30 10 10
WAYNESBORO 71 90 70 87 / 10 30 20 30
CAMDEN 71 89 69 87 / 10 20 20 20
CRESTVIEW 68 91 68 91 / 0 30 0 0
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR ALZ265-266.
FL...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR FLZ202-204-
206.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
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