036
FXUS64 KMOB 281543
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1043 AM CDT SUN JUN 28 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION, MARINE
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1032 AM CDT SUN JUN 28 2026
- SUMMERTIME HEAT CONTINUES THROUGH THIS WEEK WITH HEAT INDICES
AS HIGH AS 103 TO 107 ANY GIVEN DAY. HEAT INDICES MAY APPROACH
HEAT ADVISORY CRITERIA AROUND 108 TUESDAY FOR MOST LOCATIONS.
- SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS RETURN TO THE FORECAST TUESDAY
THROUGH LATE WEEK. A STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM OR TWO
CAN'T BE RULED OUT EACH AFTERNOON.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1032 AM CDT SUN JUN 28 2026
HOT AND DRY WEATHER CONDITIONS CONTINUE TO PREVAIL ACROSS THE
REGION TODAY INTO MONDAY. SIMILAR TO THE PAST COUPLE DAYS, AN
ISOLATED SHOWER OR STORM CAN'T BE RULED OUT EACH AFTERNOON. UPPER
RIDGING REMAINS DOMINANT ACROSS THE AREA ALLOWING FOR THE WARMER
THAN NORMAL TEMPERATURES TO PERSIST. EXPECT HIGHS TO TOP OUT IN
THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 90'S FOR MOST LOCATIONS TODAY AND MONDAY.
AS WE HEAD INTO TUESDAY, OUR UPPER RIDGING SHIFTS SLIGHTLY NORTH.
WITH THAT SHIFT, WE ENTER A MORE EASTERLY FLOW REGIME ACROSS THE
AREA. THIS ALLOWS FOR A SLIGHTLY MORE ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN TO
EVOLVE AS SUBTLE SHORTWAVES ROUND THE PERIPHERY OF THE RIDGE
MOVING NEAR OR OVER THE FORECAST AREA. THE FIRST ONE MOVES INTO
THE AREA FROM THE EAST TUESDAY AFTERNOON, BRINGING THE CHANCE FOR
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. BEST CHANCES WILL
REMAIN EAST OF THE I-65 CORRIDOR. STORMS ON TUESDAY MAY ALSO HAVE
THE CHANCE TO BECOME STRONG TO SEVERE, WITH PRIMARY HAZARDS BEING
GUSTY TO LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS IN ADDITION TO HEAVY RAINFALL AND
LIGHTNING. OUTSIDE OF STORMS, IT WILL BE HOT WITH HIGHS TOPPING
OUT IN THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 90'S ONCE AGAIN. BETTER LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE WILL MOVE IN, HELPING TO BOLSTER HEAT INDICES EVEN MORE
TO NEAR HEAT ADVISORY CRITERIA OF 108. IF CONFIDENCE INCREASES ON
THE OCCURRENCE OF HEAT INDICES NEARING OR EXCEEDING 108, HEAT
ADVISORIES MAY BECOME NECESSARY IN FUTURE FORECAST UPDATES.
BEYOND TUESDAY, WE REMAIN GENERALLY UNDER DEEP LAYER EASTERLY FLOW
WITH THE RIDGE CENTERED JUST NORTH OF US. THIS WILL CONTINUE TO
PROMOTE ISOLATED TO SCATTERED AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
EACH DAY WHILE HIGHS CONTINUE TO TOP OUT IN THE LOWER TO MIDDLE
90'S. OVERNIGHT LOWS STAY WARM THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD IN
THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 70'S. A LOW RISK OF RIP CURRENTS CONTINUES
THROUGH THIS WEEK. MM/25
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 701 AM CDT SUN JUN 28 2026
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL THROUGH LATE TONIGHT.
HOWEVER, THERE ARE SOME INDICATIONS THAT AREAS OF LOW CEILINGS
AND/OR PATCHY FOG MAY ATTEMPT TO DEVELOP DURING THE EARLY MORNING
HOURS ON MONDAY, MAINLY AWAY FROM THE COAST. MAINLY SOUTHWESTERLY
WINDS AROUND 5-10 KNOTS, LOCALLY 10-15 KNOTS AT TIMES NEAR THE
COAST, ARE EXPECTED TODAY BEFORE DIMINISHING AFTER SUNSET. /98
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1032 AM CDT SUN JUN 28 2026
A LIGHT DIURNAL FLOW PATTERN WILL BE IN PLACE THROUGH THE WEEK, WITH
LIGHT ONSHORE FLOW EXPECTED DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS, BECOMING A
LIGHT OFFSHORE FLOW EACH NIGHT. MM/25
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 75 95 75 96 / 0 0 0 40
PENSACOLA 78 94 79 96 / 0 0 10 50
DESTIN 78 92 79 94 / 0 0 10 50
EVERGREEN 73 96 75 95 / 0 0 10 50
WAYNESBORO 75 97 75 96 / 0 0 0 20
CAMDEN 74 92 75 93 / 0 0 10 30
CRESTVIEW 74 97 76 96 / 0 10 10 50
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...NONE.
FL...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
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