097
FXUS64 KMOB 241810
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1210 PM CST WED DEC 24 2025
..NEW DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1210 PM CST WED DEC 24 2025
- DENSE FOG WILL REDUCE VISIBILITIES ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT AND
EACH NIGHT THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THIS WILL RESULT IN HAZARDOUS
TRAVEL AND MOTORISTS ARE URGED TO USE CAUTION WHEN DRIVING.
DENSE MARINE FOG WILL ALSO PERSIST THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF
THE WEEK.
- WELL ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED ALL WEEK,
INCLUDING CHRISTMAS DAY. A COLD FRONT BRINGS AN END TO THIS
WARMTH SUNDAY NIGHT.
- A MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS WILL BE IN PLACE THROUGH THIS
EVENING.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1210 PM CST WED DEC 24 2025
LATEST WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS A RATHER BROAD TROUGH
ENCOMPASSING MUCH OF THE CONUS, WITH AN UPPER LOW/TROUGH JUST OFF
THE WEST COAST. AT THE SURFACE, HIGH PRESSURE ANCHORED OVER THE
NORTHERN GULF HAS KEPT LIGHT WINDS AND GENERALLY STAGNANT FLOW.
THIS PATTERN WILL REMAIN LARGELY UNCHANGED THROUGH SUNDAY, WITH
UPPER RIDGING AND SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE KEEPING ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE AREA.
THE MAIN STORY FOR TODAY'S FORECAST PACKAGE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR
DENSE FOG ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT, GIVEN THE SIMILAR SET UP AS LAST
NIGHT. AS OF NOW, FOG THAT DEVELOPED OVERNIGHT HAS THINNED QUITE A
BIT OVER THE LAST COUPLE OF HOURS. THE EXCEPTION WILL BE OVER
MOBILE BAY AND THE MS SOUND, WHERE MARINE FOG IS EXPECTED TO
LINGER THROUGH THE DAY. GIVEN THE SIMILAR PATTERN FOR THE NEXT FEW
DAYS, DENSE FOG IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AGAIN FRIDAY NIGHT AND
SATURDAY NIGHT. DENSE FOG ADVISORIES WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED FOR
THESE PERIODS, AS WELL AS AN ADVISORY FOR TONIGHT WHICH WILL BE
ISSUED WITH THIS PACKAGE.
THE PATTERN WILL BEGIN TO SHIFT ON SUNDAY, AS THE AFOREMENTIONED
TROUGH OFF THE WEST COAST MOVES EASTWARD. THIS TROUGH WILL MOVE
THROUGH THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND OHIO VALLEY ON SUNDAY,
WITH THE BASE OF THE TROUGH REMAINING SHUNTED TO THE NORTH,
LIMITING THE FORCING OVER THE AREA. THAT SAID, A RATHER STRONG
COLD FRONT WILL TRAIL SOUTH FROM ITS PARENT SURFACE LOW, AND THE
TROUGH WILL BE ENOUGH TO SEND THE FRONT SOUTHEASTWARD AND THROUGH
THE AREA. THE FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH THE AREA ON
MONDAY, WITH SOME TIMING DIFFERENCES AMONG THE MODELS. ASIDE FROM
THE COLDER TEMPS, NOT EXPECTING MUCH IMPACT FROM THE FRONT, WITH
ONLY SCATTERED SHOWERS AS THE FRONT PASSES THROUGH. AFTER TEMPS
COOL THROUGH THE DAY ON MONDAY, OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL FALL INTO THE
20S TO LOWER 30S AND COLDER TEMPS WILL LINGER THROUGH THE
REMAINDER OF THE WEEK. /73
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1200 PM CST WED DEC 24 2025
DENSE FOG IS QUICKLY BURNING OFF AND YIELDING VFR CONDITIONS, AND
WILL COMPLETE THE PROCESS BY AROUND ISSUANCE TIME. VLIFR CONDITIONS
IN DENSE FOG IS EXPECTED TO QUICKLY DEVELOP ACROSS THE AREA EARLY
THIS EVENING AND PERSIST UNTIL BREAKING UP DURING MID TO LATE
MORNING ON THURSDAY. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS BECOME MOSTLY
WESTERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY THIS AFTERNOON, THEN A CALM OR LIGHT AND
VARIABLE FLOW RETURNS THIS EVENING. /29
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1210 PM CST WED DEC 24 2025
DENSE SEA FOG WILL DEVELOP EACH NIGHT THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF
THE WEEK ACROSS LOCAL AREA BAYS AND SOUNDS, AS WELL AS THE
NEARSHORE GULF WATERS. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED
THROUGH CHRISTMAS DAY. LIGHT SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW DEVELOPS CHRISTMAS
NIGHT AND CONTINUES THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK AND INTO
THE WEEKEND.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 74 54 73 56 / 0 0 0 0
PENSACOLA 72 55 72 57 / 0 0 0 10
DESTIN 72 57 69 57 / 0 0 0 10
EVERGREEN 77 52 76 52 / 0 0 0 0
WAYNESBORO 74 52 74 55 / 0 0 0 0
CAMDEN 74 52 74 53 / 0 0 0 0
CRESTVIEW 76 52 75 51 / 0 0 0 10
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...DENSE FOG ADVISORY FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM CST THURSDAY
FOR ALZ051>060-261>266.
FL...DENSE FOG ADVISORY FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM CST THURSDAY
FOR FLZ201>206.
MS...DENSE FOG ADVISORY FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM CST THURSDAY
FOR MSZ067-075-076-078-079.
GM...DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL NOON CST THURSDAY FOR GMZ630>632.
DENSE FOG ADVISORY FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON CST THURSDAY
FOR GMZ633>636-650-655.
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