926
FXUS64 KMOB 031159
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
659 AM CDT MON AUG 3 2026
..NEW UPDATE, AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 655 AM CDT MON AUG 3 2026
- A MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT
FOR ALL AREA BEACHES.
- DRIER AIR FILTERING INTO THE AREA WILL LOWER RAIN CHANCES
THROUGH TUESDAY.
- HEAT INDICES WILL INCREASE THE LATTER HALF OF THE WEEK, REACHING
BETWEEN 100-107 DEGREES THURSDAY INTO THE WEEKEND.
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 658 AM CDT MON AUG 3 2026
HAVE UPDATED SKY COVER TODAY DUE TO A CLOUD LAYER NEAR 7 KFT
CURRENTLY SLOWLY PROGRESSING EASTWARD ACROSS THE AREA. MADE OTHER
MINOR ADJUSTMENTS. /29
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1245 AM CDT MON AUG 3 2026
THE COLD FRONT THAT PASSED THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA ON SUNDAY HAS
MOVED OFF THE COAST AS WEAK SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE
REGION FROM THE WEST. THE BOUNDARY WILL THEN WAVER ALONG THE COAST
AS A SEA-BREEZE PUSHES SLIGHTLY INLAND BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND
THEN SOUTH OF THE COAST BY TUESDAY MORNING DUE TO DEVELOPING
LAND- BREEZE. WEAK SYNOPTIC LOW-LEVEL FLOW CONTINUES THROUGH
TUESDAY, BUT THE SEA-BREEZE SHOULD PUSH AS FAR NORTH AS HIGHWAY-84
BY EARLY TUESDAY EVENING. A MORE ESTABLISHED SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL
OCCUR ON WEDNESDAY ALONG THE WESTERLY PERIPHERY OF A HIGH PRESSURE
AREA SETTING UP TO OUR EAST. THE UPPER TROUGH CURRENTLY
STRETCHING FROM THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES TO THE NORTHERN GULF WILL
SLOWLY PUSH EASTWARD WITH THE AXIS EXITING OUR AREA BY THE END OF
THE DAY. WE STILL EXPECT THIS TROUGH TO DISSIPATE TONIGHT WITH AN
UPPER CUTOFF LOW BEING LEFT BEHIND CENTERED OVER NORTHERN GEORGIA
THAT WILL SLOWLY LIFT NORTHWARD OVER THE TENNESSEE VALLEY INTO
MIDWEEK.
A VERY DRY AIRMASS ABOVE 700 MB WILL CONTINUE TO FILTER IN FROM
THE NORTH-NORTHWEST RESULTING IN MAINLY DRY CONDITIONS TODAY AND
TUESDAY. HOWEVER, WITH MOISTURE LINGERING BELOW 700 MB THROUGH
MIDWEEK, ISOLATED LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING SHOWERS AND A FEW
STORMS REMAIN POSSIBLE ACROSS OUR COASTAL AREAS DUE TO LOW-LEVEL
FORCING ALONG THE SEA-BREEZE AND ACROSS OUR EASTERN ZONES IN
CLOSER PROXIMITY TO THE UPPER LOW. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL RETURN WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON, MAINLY ALONG
AND EAST OF I-65 AS WE RETURN TO A DIURNAL CONVECTIVE PATTERN.
HIGH TEMPERATURES TODAY IN THE UPPER 80S TO LOWER 90S WILL WARM
INTO THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 90S TUESDAY THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE
WEEK. APPARENT TEMPERATURES (HEAT INDICES) WILL INCREASE EACH DAY
AS SURFACE BOUNDARY MOISTURE IS PULLED NORTHWARD FROM THE GULF,
REACHING BETWEEN 100-107 DEGREES THURSDAY INTO THE WEEKEND, BUT
SHOULD REMAIN BELOW HEAT ADVISORY CRITERIA.
BEACH FORECAST: A MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS THROUGH TONIGHT
WILL BECOME LOW TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. /22
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 658 AM CDT MON AUG 3 2026
A FEW SHOWERS WITH MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE OVER EASTERN
PORTIONS OF THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON, WITH VFR CONDITIONS OTHERWISE
EXPECTED TO PREVAIL THROUGH TONIGHT. A NORTHWESTERLY FLOW AROUND 5
KNOTS IS EXPECTED OVER INTERIOR AREAS TODAY, WHILE CLOSER TO THE
COAST WINDS BECOME WESTERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY AT 5-10 KNOTS. /29
MARINE
ISSUED AT 253 AM CDT MON AUG 3 2026
LIGHT TO MODERATE NORTHWESTERLY WINDS BECOME WESTERLY THIS
AFTERNOON. A SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW DEVELOPS ON MONDAY THEN BECOMES
SOUTHERLY ON WEDNESDAY. WINDS BECOME SOUTHEASTERLY ON THURSDAY WITH
AN EASTERLY TO SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW FOLLOWING FOR FRIDAY. /29
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 91 73 93 74 / 10 0 20 0
PENSACOLA 90 76 91 78 / 10 10 20 10
DESTIN 88 77 90 78 / 10 10 10 10
EVERGREEN 90 70 93 71 / 20 0 20 10
WAYNESBORO 91 71 95 70 / 0 0 10 0
CAMDEN 88 70 92 71 / 10 0 20 10
CRESTVIEW 91 71 93 72 / 20 10 20 10
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...NONE.
FL...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
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