691
FXUS64 KMOB 260536
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1236 AM CDT FRI JUN 26 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1226 AM CDT FRI JUN 26 2026
- SUMMERTIME HEAT RETURNS OVER THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
HEAT ADVISORIES BECOME POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF THE AREA IN
THE COMING WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1055 PM CDT THU JUN 25 2026
A WEAK UPPER TROF OVER THE FORECAST REGION MOVES OFF TO THE EAST
ON FRIDAY WHILE A WEAK SURFACE BOUNDARY CURRENTLY OVER THE AREA
BECOMES INCREASINGLY DIFFUSE. HAVE OPTED TO CONTINUE WITH MAINLY
CHANCE TO GOOD CHANCE POPS ON FRIDAY PRIMARILY EAST OF I-65. AN
UPPER RIDGE OVER TEXAS AND THE FAR WESTERN ATLANTIC EXPANDS TO
ENCOMPASS THE FORECAST REGION FRIDAY NIGHT THEN STEADILY AMPLIFIES
INTO A LARGE UPPER RIDGE OVER MUCH OF THE EASTERN STATES BY
SUNDAY. THE UPPER RIDGE PERSISTS ON MONDAY, THEN A SERIES OF
SHORTWAVES LEAD TO A SHORTWAVE TROF FORMING OVER THE FLORIDA
PENINSULA MONDAY NIGHT WHICH LOOKS TO PROGRESS ACROSS THE
NORTHEAST GULF TOWARDS THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY GOING
INTO MIDWEEK. AM EXPECTING DRY CONDITIONS TO PREVAIL FROM FRIDAY
NIGHT THROUGH THE WEEKEND, THEN POPS INCREASE TO CHANCE TO LIKELY
BY TUESDAY WITH MAINLY CHANCE POPS ON WEDNESDAY AS THE SHORTWAVE
TROF MOVES ACROSS THE AREA.
HIGHS ON FRIDAY WILL BE IN THE LOWER 90S THEN GRADUALLY TREND TO
THE MID 90S AREAWIDE BY MONDAY. HEAT INDEX VALUES OF 100-105 ARE
EXPECTED OVER MUCH OF THE AREA FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. HEAT INDEX
VALUES THEN TREND TO 105-110 ON MONDAY ACROSS SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI, SOUTHWESTERN ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA
PANHANDLE WHERE A HEAT ADVISORY MAY EVENTUALLY BECOME NECESSARY.
HEAT INDEX VALUES THEN TREND A BIT LOWER THROUGH WEDNESDAY AS
DAYTIME HIGHS MODERATE A BIT TO THE LOWER 90S. LOWS FRIDAY NIGHT
RANGE FROM THE LOWER 70S WELL INLAND TO NEAR 80 AT THE COAST WITH
SIMILAR VALUES FOLLOWING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT. A LOW RISK OF
RIP CURRENTS IS ANTICIPATED THROUGH MONDAY. /29
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1226 AM CDT FRI JUN 26 2026
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
ANOTHER ROUND OF SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP LATER THIS MORNING, MAINLY EAST OF I-65. EXPECT BRIEF
REDUCTIONS IN VISIBILITIES AND CEILINGS IN SOME OF THE HEAVIER
ACTIVITY. COVERAGE QUICKLY DECREASES BY THE EVENING HOURS. LIGHT
AND VARIABLE WINDS THIS MORNING WILL BECOME A LIGHT SOUTHWESTERLY
FLOW AT AROUND 5-10 KNOTS BY THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON HOURS.
/96
MARINE
ISSUED AT 126 PM CDT THU JUN 25 2026
A WEAK STATIONARY BOUNDARY ALONG THE COAST AT THIS TIME
WASHES OUT, WITH A LIGHT ONSHORE FLOW BECOMING MORE ORGANIZED INTO
THE WEEKEND. THE COMING WEEK WILL SEE A LIGHT TO AT TIMES MODERATE
NIGHTTIME OFFSHORE/DAYTIME ONSHORE REGIME SETTING UP.
/16
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 91 75 91 75 / 20 0 0 0
PENSACOLA 91 79 91 78 / 30 10 0 0
DESTIN 89 79 89 79 / 20 10 0 0
EVERGREEN 91 72 92 73 / 40 10 0 0
WAYNESBORO 93 74 93 74 / 10 0 0 0
CAMDEN 90 73 90 74 / 20 0 0 0
CRESTVIEW 92 73 93 73 / 60 10 10 0
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...NONE.
FL...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
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