329
FXUS64 KMOB 061141
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
641 AM CDT MON APR 6 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 640 AM CDT MON APR 6 2026
- STRONG MARINE WINDS WILL REMAIN AT ADVISORY-LEVEL THROUGH EARLY
MONDAY NEAR THE COAST AND PERSIST THROUGH TONIGHT OVER THE
OFFSHORE GULF WATERS. ADDITIONAL ROUNDS ROUNDS OF ADVISORY-
LEVEL CONDITIONS WITH GUSTS NEAR GALE-FORCE ARE LIKELY THIS
WEEK AS WINDS TURN EASTERLY.
- THE RIP CURRENT RISK INCREASES TO HIGH BY MID-WEEK. HIGH SURF
WITH BREAKING WAVES OF 5-8 FEET ARE LIKELY WEDNESDAY AND
THURSDAY WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR MINOR COASTAL INUNDATION.
- FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS ARE POSSIBLE ON TUESDAY.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 100 AM CDT MON APR 6 2026
WELL THE LITTLE BIT OF RAIN WE GOT YESTERDAY WAS A BRIEF REPRIEVE
FROM THE ONGOING DROUGHT; HOWEVER, LOOKING AHEAD WE WILL BE
RETURNING TO YET ANOTHER DRIER PATTERN THIS WEEK. THE UPPER TROUGH
THAT BROUGHT STORMS AND A COLD FRONT HAS NOW LIFTED OFF TO OUR
NORTHWEST AND ITS ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT HAS COME TO A CRAWL ACROSS
OUR MARINE WATERS. THIS BOUNDARY IS EXPECTED TO JUST SIT OFFSHORE
OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS A COUPLE WEAK SHORTWAVES MOVE THROUGH THE
FLOW. WITH THE FRONT SITTING JUST OFFSHORE, SHOWERS AND A FEW STORMS
MAY ENCROACH UPON THE IMMEDIATE COASTLINE THROUGH MIDWEEK AS EACH OF
THESE SHORTWAVES ZIPS BY. THE STRONGEST OF THESE WAVES WILL ARRIVE
ON WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY BRINING THE CHANCE FOR SOME LIGHT
OVERRUNNING RAIN TO THE AREA. HOWEVER, MOISTURE QUALITY WILL LIKELY
BE LIMITED AND THE BEST CHANCE FOR ANY APPRECIABLE RAIN WILL LIKELY
BE ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COASTLINE. ONCE WE GET PAST MIDWEEK, HIGH P
PRESSURE WILL QUICKLY BUILD INTO THE AREA BY THE WEEKEND LEADING TO
DRY CONDITIONS AS TEMPERATURES WARM BACK INTO THE MID 80S.
COASTAL HAZARDS... ONE THING TO WATCH THROUGHOUT THE WEEK WILL BE
THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME COASTAL HAZARDS INCLUDING INCREASING RIP
CURRENTS AND HIGH SURF. MINOR COASTAL RUNUP WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE
AS WINDS INCREASE OVER THE OPEN GULF WATERS THIS WEEK. BB-8
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 640 AM CDT MON APR 6 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE TAF CYCLE. NORTHERLY
WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO GUST TO 20-26 KNOTS AT THE COASTAL
TERMINALS THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON BEFORE WINDS GRADUALLY RELAX
LATE TONIGHT. 07/MB
MARINE
ISSUED AT 100 AM CDT MON APR 6 2026
STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS WILL PERSIST TONIGHT BEHIND A COLD
FRONT PASSING THROUGH THE AREA. THIS STRONG OFFSHORE FLOW WILL THEN
TEMPORARILY DECREASE AND TURN EASTERLY BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON BEFORE
INCREASING ONCE AGAIN LATE TUESDAY NIGHT. MODERATE TO STRONG
EASTERLY WINDS WILL PERSIST THROUGH FRIDAY, AND WE EXPECT ANOTHER
ROUND OF SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY-LEVEL CONDITIONS WITH THE POTENTIAL OF
GUSTS NEARING GALE FORCE DURING THIS TIME. BB-8
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 100 AM CDT MON APR 6 2026
WE ARE KEEPING A CLOSE EYE ON TUESDAY FOR THE POTENTIAL FOR
SOME DANGEROUS BURNING CONDITIONS. GUSTY EASTERLY WINDS COUPLED WITH
DRY ANTECEDENT DROUGHT CONDITIONS WILL SUPPORT SOME POTENTIAL FOR
HEIGHTEN FIRE DANGER ON TUESDAY. RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES ARE
EXPECTED TO DROP TO AROUND 30% OR JUST ABOVE CRITICAL THRESHOLDS BUT
GIVEN THE SOIL MOISTURES AND GUSTIER WINDS WE MIGHT JUST BE CLOSE
ENOUGH TO SUPPORT FIRE WEATHER PRODUCTS ON TUESDAY. WE WILL HAVE TO
KEEP AN EYE ON CONDITIONS OVER THE NEXT FEW FORECASTS. BB-8
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 68 49 77 55 / 20 0 0 0
PENSACOLA 67 54 76 59 / 30 0 0 10
DESTIN 67 55 75 58 / 40 10 0 10
EVERGREEN 68 45 77 49 / 10 0 0 0
WAYNESBORO 68 46 76 51 / 0 0 0 0
CAMDEN 67 45 75 50 / 0 0 0 0
CRESTVIEW 67 47 77 50 / 20 0 0 10
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...NONE.
FL...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM CDT THIS MORNING FOR GMZ630>632.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM CDT TUESDAY FOR GMZ650-655-670-
675.
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