270
FXUS64 KMOB 201059
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
559 AM CDT TUE OCT 20 2026
..NEW UPDATE, AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 558 AM CDT TUE OCT 20 2026
- MODERATE TO STRONG NORTHEAST WINDS MAY CREATE HAZARDOUS
CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT OVER MOST OF THE MARINE AREA FRIDAY
NIGHT INTO THIS WEEKEND.
- A HIGH RISK OF DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS AT AREA BEACHES IS IN
EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT.
- DRY CONDITIONS CONTINUE THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD.
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 558 AM CDT TUE OCT 20 2026
FORECAST REMAINS ON TRACK; NO UPDATES NEEDED. /96
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1053 PM CDT MON OCT 19 2026
A LARGE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL AMPLIFY OFF THE EASTERN SEABOARD
THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK AS AN UPPER RIDGE BUILDS FROM THE
PLAINS INTO THE UPPER MIDWEST. MEANWHILE, A SFC RIDGE OF HIGH
PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE OVER THE AREA. THIS PATTERN WILL MAINTAIN
AND DRY NORTH TO NORTHWEST UPPER LEVEL FLOW THROUGH THE WEEK WITH
AN EAST TO NORTHEAST SFC FLOW. THE DEEP LAYER RIDGING WILL
MAINTAIN STRONG SUBSIDENCE ACROSS THE REGION, WHICH ALONG WITH A
VERY DRY AIRMASS, WILL MAINTAIN A DRY FORECAST THROUGH THE PERIOD.
THE DRY AIRMASS AND LIGHT WINDS WILL ALLOW STRONG RADIATIONAL
COOLING AT NIGHT WILL LOWS IN THE 40S AND 50S. HIGH TEMPS WILL BE
IN THE LOW TO MID 70S TO START THE WEEK, GRADUALLY WARMING INTO
THE UPPER 70S AND LOW 80S BY NEXT WEEKEND. HUMIDITY LEVELS WILL
REMAIN VERY LOW THROUGH THE WEEK. A HIGH RISK OF RIP CONTINUES
THROUGH LATE TONIGHT WITH A MODERATE RISK FOLLOWING FOR TUESDAY.
/13
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 558 AM CDT TUE OCT 20 2026
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
NORTHEASTERLY WINDS OF AROUND 5-10 KTS TODAY WILL BECOME MORE
VARIABLE TONIGHT. /96
MARINE
ISSUED AT 251 AM CDT TUE OCT 20 2026
MODERATE NORTHEASTERLY WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY, WITH
WINDS BRIEFLY BECOMING MORE LIGHT TO MODERATE BY THURSDAY AND
FRIDAY. SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION OVER OUR LOCAL GULF
WATERS THIS MORNING. STRONG NORTHEASTERLY TO EASTERLY WINDS
DEVELOP BY FRIDAY NIGHT AND LINGER INTO THE WEEKEND. WIND GUSTS
MAY APPROACH GALE FORCE AND SEAS MAY INCREASE TO 6-10 FEET THIS
WEEKEND. /96
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 77 51 79 49 / 0 0 0 0
PENSACOLA 77 55 78 55 / 0 0 0 0
DESTIN 77 57 78 57 / 0 0 0 0
EVERGREEN 77 47 78 45 / 0 0 0 0
WAYNESBORO 78 46 80 44 / 0 0 0 0
CAMDEN 75 46 76 44 / 0 0 0 0
CRESTVIEW 77 48 79 46 / 0 0 0 0
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK UNTIL 6 AM CDT EARLY THIS MORNING FOR
ALZ265-266.
FL...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK UNTIL 6 AM CDT EARLY THIS MORNING FOR
FLZ202-204-206.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
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