921
FXUS64 KMOB 171235
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
735 AM CDT TUE MAR 17 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 729 AM CDT TUE MAR 17 2026
- WHILE RED FLAG CRITERIA IS NOT ANTICIPATED TO BE MET, DRY
WEATHER CONDITIONS, LOW AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITY, AND GUSTY
WINDS MAY RESULT IN SOME ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS THIS
AFTERNOON.
- STRONG WINDS WILL CONTINUE OVER THE MARINE WATERS CREATING
HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT THROUGH EARLY THIS
AFTERNOON.
- A FREEZE IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION EARLY THIS MORNING AND
WEDNESDAY MORNING, WITH THE EXCEPTION OF THE IMMEDIATE COAST.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1044 PM CDT MON MAR 16 2026
OUR ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN IS COMING TO AN END AS HIGH PRESSURE
AND UPPER LEVEL RIDGING BUILDS INTO THE REGION. DRY WEATHER
CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGHOUT THE REST OF THE WEEK. THE MAIN
CONCERNS FOR THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS WILL BE FOR FREEZING
TEMPERATURES EARLY THIS MORNING AND AGAIN WEDNESDAY MORNING, ALONG
WITH SOME ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS THIS AFTERNOON. THE RIP
CURRENT RISK ACROSS OUR BEACHES WILL DROP TO A LOW RISK TODAY
THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEK.
TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TO DROP THIS MORNING WITH MOST LOCATIONS
ALREADY IN THE UPPER 30'S TO LOWER 40'S. THE ANTICIPATION IS FOR A
NEAR AREA-WIDE FREEZE THIS MORNING OUTSIDE OF THE IMMEDIATE COAST
AS TEMPERATURES FALL INTO THE UPPER 20'S AND LOWER 30'S. TEMPERATURES
WILL REMAIN BELOW FREEZING FOR ROUGHLY 3 TO 6 HOURS, SHORTEST
DURATION NEARER THE COAST AND LONGER OVER THE INTERIOR. WE'LL
LIKELY SEE SIMILAR TEMPERATURES FOR TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING
AS WELL AS SIMILAR DURATIONS. TEMPERATURES FOLLOW A STEADY
WARMING TREND THROUGHOUT THE REST OF THE WEEK ONCE AGAIN REACHING
THE UPPER 70'S TO LOWER 80'S BY THE END OF THE WEEK.
WHILE WE ARE NOT EXPECTED TO MEET RED FLAG WARNING CRITERIA ACROSS
THE AREA GIVEN WEAKER 20 FOOT WINDS, WE WILL SEE LOW AFTERNOON
RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES IN THE 20% TO 25% RANGE IN COMBINATION
WITH GUSTY AFTERNOON WINDS AROUND 15 TO 20MPH. THIS COMBINED WITH
ONGOING DROUGHT SHOULD HELP FOSTER SOME ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER
CONCERNS FOR THIS AFTERNOON. MM/25
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 729 AM CDT TUE MAR 17 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE PERIOD. /13
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1044 PM CDT MON MAR 16 2026
STRONG OFFSHORE FLOW CONTINUES TO GRADUALLY DIMINISH THIS MORNING
INTO THIS AFTERNOON. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT
THROUGH DAYBREAK FOR OUR BAYS AND SOUNDS, LINGERING OVER THE 0 TO
60 NAUTICAL MILE WATERS THROUGH 1PM. WINDS AND SEAS GRADUALLY
DIMINISHING INTO MIDWEEK BECOMING MORE EASTERLY. MM/25
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 55 31 61 41 / 0 0 0 0
PENSACOLA 54 35 59 44 / 0 0 0 0
DESTIN 55 39 59 44 / 0 0 0 0
EVERGREEN 53 28 61 33 / 0 0 0 0
WAYNESBORO 53 30 62 37 / 0 0 0 0
CAMDEN 50 29 60 35 / 0 0 0 0
CRESTVIEW 55 28 61 34 / 0 0 0 0
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...FREEZE WARNING UNTIL 9 AM CDT THIS MORNING FOR ALZ051>060-
261>264.
FL...FREEZE WARNING UNTIL 9 AM CDT THIS MORNING FOR FLZ201-203-205.
MS...FREEZE WARNING UNTIL 9 AM CDT THIS MORNING FOR MSZ067-075-076-
078-079.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 1 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR GMZ650-
655-670-675.
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