128
FXUS64 KMOB 211150
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
550 AM CST SUN DEC 21 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 543 AM CST SUN DEC 21 2025
- FOG DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT, POTENTIALLY BECOMING
DENSE IN SOME LOCATIONS.
- A MODERATE RIP CURRENT RISK WILL RETURN MONDAY INTO THE MIDDLE
OF NEXT WEEK AS EASTERLY WINDS INCREASE OVER THE GULF.
- WELL ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED ALL WEEK,
INCLUDING CHRISTMAS DAY.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1245 AM CST SUN DEC 21 2025
A LIGHT SOUTHEASTERLY TO SOUTHERLY TODAY HAS BROUGHT BOUNDARY
LAYER MOISTURE NORTHWARD. PATCHY FOG WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP
TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING, WITH LOCALIZED VISIBILITIES DOWN TO
ONE-HALF MILE POSSIBLE. ZONAL FLOW ALOFT TODAY WILL SHIFT
NORTHWESTERLY AS A VERY BROAD UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE OVER THE
EASTERN CONUS MOVES OUT OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC. UPPER LEVEL
IMPULSES ARE EXPECTED TO TRAVERSE THE DEEP SOUTH TODAY AND TONIGHT
BETWEEN THE SHORTWAVE AND THE ELONGATED UPPER RIDGE OVER THE
NORTHERN GULF, SOUTHERN TEXAS, AND NORTHERN MEXICO. WHEN COMBINED
WITH INCREASING MOISTURE IN THE LOWER LEVELS AND A WEAK COLD FRONT
SLIPPING INTO OUR AREA TODAY THAT WILL STALL NEAR THE COAST
TONIGHT, THERE IS A CHANCE OF SHOWERS TODAY INTO MONDAY, WITH THE
HIGHEST POPS ALONG AND NORTHWEST OF THE I-65 CORRIDOR. A STORM OR
TWO IS POSSIBLE OVER OUR SOUTHEASTERN MISSISSIPPI ZONES THIS
AFTERNOON. THE UPPER RIDGE TO OUR SOUTH WILL SLOWLY BUILD
NORTHWARD MONDAY NIGHT INTO MIDWEEK, THUS KEEPING OUR FORECAST
AREA DRY AND VERY WARM OVER THE CHRISTMAS HOLIDAY AND INTO THE
WEEKEND, WITH HIGHS RISING INTO THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 70S, WITH
UPPER 70S DEFINITELY POSSIBLE INLAND AREAS.
BEACH FORECAST: A LOW RISK OF RIP CURRENTS WILL OCCUR THROUGH
TONIGHT, AND THEN BECOME A MODERATE RISK MONDAY THROUGH MIDWEEK
DUE TO AN INCREASING EASTERLY FLOW OVER THE GULF. A LOW RISK OF
RIP CURRENTS SHOULD RESUME WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY. /22
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 543 AM CST SUN DEC 21 2025
A MIXED BAG OF VFR TO MVFR CEILINGS ACROSS THE AREA THIS
MORNING. SOME LOCALIZED AREAS OF IFR VISBYS HAVE DEVELOPED WITH
PATCHY FOG MAINLY AROUND MOBILE BAY. MVFR CEILINGS WILL SLOWLY
MOVE EASTWARD THROUGHOUT THE DAY AS SCATTERED SHOWERS DEVELOP
ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN MISSISSIPPI THIS AFTERNOON. LOCALIZED
INSTANCES OF MVFR VISBYS WILL ACCOMPANY THE HEAVIEST OF SHOWERS.
CEILINGS WILL DROP TO IFR AFTER SUNSET AND PERSIST OVERNIGHT AS
SCATTERED SHOWERS CONTINUE. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT OUT OF THE SOUTH
TODAY BECOMING EASTERLY THIS AFTERNOON. BB-8
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1245 AM CST SUN DEC 21 2025
MARINERS OPERATING SMALL CRAFT OVER THE GULF WILL NEED TO EXERCISE
CAUTION LATE TONIGHT AND MONDAY AS AN EASTERLY FLOW INCREASES TO
MODERATE TO OCCASIONALLY STRONG. OTHERWISE, A LIGHT SOUTHEASTERLY
TO EASTERLY FLOW WILL PREVAIL THROUGHOUT THE WEEK. /22
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 73 57 70 52 / 30 40 10 0
PENSACOLA 70 57 67 55 / 10 10 0 0
DESTIN 69 55 68 55 / 10 10 0 0
EVERGREEN 71 51 69 47 / 30 30 0 0
WAYNESBORO 70 54 68 50 / 50 20 20 0
CAMDEN 65 50 65 46 / 40 20 10 0
CRESTVIEW 72 50 70 47 / 10 10 0 0
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...NONE.
FL...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
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