059
FXUS64 KMOB 312344
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
644 PM CDT MON AUG 31 2026
..NEW UPDATE, AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 142 PM CDT MON AUG 31 2026
- A MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS IS IN PLACE FOR LOCAL AREA
BEACHES ACROSS ALABAMA AND FLORIDA TODAY.
- DAILY SHOWER/STORM CHANCES WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE WEEK, WITH
AN INCREASE IN AFTERNOON COVERAGE ON THURSDAY. WATERSPOUTS WILL
BE POSSIBLE OVER THE GULF WATERS MAINLY DURING THE MORNING HOURS
EACH DAY.
- HEAT INDEX VALUES NEAR 100 TREND HIGHER THROUGH THIS WEEK,
POTENTIALLY REACHING 105-108 IN SOME LOCATIONS BY LATE IN THE
WEEK ON INTO SATURDAY.
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 644 PM CDT MON AUG 31 2026
THE FORECAST REMAINS ON TRACK AND NO UPDATES ARE NEEDED. SS/97
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 142 PM CDT MON AUG 31 2026
THE AREA WILL REMAIN IN AN EASTERLY MID/UPPER FLOW PATTERN AS AN
UPPER RIDGE REMAINS CENTERED TO OUR NORTH. THIS WILL MAINTAIN A
TYPICAL SUMMER PATTERN WITH DAILY ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH WEDNESDAY. WEAK DISTURBANCES RIDING WEST
ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE RIDGE WILL BRING INCREASED
RAIN CHANCES THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY. HIGHS WILL INCREASE INTO THE
MID 90S, BUT DAILY AFTERNOON MIXING WILL DROP DEWPOINTS INTO THE
LOW 70S/UPPER 60S AND PREVENT AFTERNOON HEAT INDICES FROM REACHING
WIDESPREAD HEAT ADVISORY CRITERIA.
THE RIDGE SHIFTS WESTWARD AND BUILDS ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS THIS
WEEKEND. THIS WILL RESULT IN A NORTH TO NORTHWEST FLOW PATTERN
ACROSS THE AREA, POTENTIALLY ALLOWING CONVECTIVE COMPLEXES TO MOVE
SOUTHWARD INTO THE AREA THIS WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. /13
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 644 PM CDT MON AUG 31 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE PERIOD. THUNDERSTORMS ARE
POSSIBLE TOMORROW AFTERNOON NEAR THE SEABREEZE, HOWEVER THESE ARE
EXPECTED TO STAY VERY ISOLATED IN NATURE. IF CONFIDENCE INCREASES IN
MORE COVERAGE THEN A PROB30 MAY BE ADDED WITH THE NEXT FORECAST.
THE CURRENT SOUTHERLY WINDS BECOME LIGHT AND VARIABLE OVERNIGHT.
BY TOMORROW MORNING, WINDS WILL BE GENERALLY NORTHEASTERLY TO
EASTERLY AT 5-10 KNOTS AND SHIFT SOUTHERLY TO SOUTHEASTERLY WITH
PERIODIC GUSTS UP TO 15 KNOTS AS THE AFTERNOON SEABREEZE ADVANCES.
SS/97
MARINE
ISSUED AT 142 PM CDT MON AUG 31 2026
NO IMPACTS EXPECTED OTHER THAN LOCALLY HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS
POSSIBLE NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. /13
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 74 92 73 93 / 0 30 10 50
PENSACOLA 77 90 77 90 / 0 20 10 50
DESTIN 77 89 77 89 / 10 20 10 50
EVERGREEN 72 95 73 95 / 10 10 0 20
WAYNESBORO 73 96 73 97 / 0 10 10 20
CAMDEN 74 95 74 95 / 0 0 0 20
CRESTVIEW 72 93 72 93 / 0 20 0 60
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...NONE.
FL...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
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