598
FXUS64 KMOB 190736
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
236 AM CDT MON OCT 19 2026
..NEW MARINE
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 233 AM CDT MON OCT 19 2026
- MODERATE TO STRONG NORTHEAST WINDS WILL CREATE HAZARDOUS
CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT THROUGH MONDAY.
- A HIGH RISK OF DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS AT AREA BEACHES IS IN
EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT.
- DRY CONDITIONS CONTINUE THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1152 PM CDT SUN OCT 18 2026
A LARGE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL AMPLIFY OFF THE EASTERN SEABOARD
THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK AS AN UPPER RIDGE BUILDS FROM THE
PLAINS INTO THE UPPER MIDWEST. MEANWHILE, A SFC RIDGE OF HIGH
PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE OVER THE AREA. THIS PATTERN WILL MAINTAIN
AND DRY NORTHWEST UPPER LEVEL FLOW THROUGH THE WEEK WITH AN EAST
TO NORTHEAST SFC FLOW. THE DEEP LAYER RIDGING WILL MAINTAIN STRONG
SUBSIDENCE ACROSS THE REGION, WHICH ALONG WITH A VERY DRY
AIRMASS, WILL MAINTAIN A DRY FORECAST THROUGH THE PERIOD. THE DRY
AIRMASS AND LIGHT WINDS WILL ALLOW STRONG RADIATIONAL COOLING AT
NIGHT WILL LOWS IN THE 40S AND 50S. HIGH TEMPS WILL BE IN THE LOW
TO MID 70S TO START THE WEEK, GRADUALLY WARMING INTO THE UPPER 70S
AND LOW 80S BY NEXT WEEKEND. HUMIDITY LEVELS WILL REMAIN VERY LOW
THROUGH THE WEEK. A HIGH RISK OF RIP CONTINUES THROUGH MONDAY
NIGHT WITH A MODERATE RISK FOLLOWING FOR TUESDAY. /13
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1229 AM CDT MON OCT 19 2026
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
WINDS THROUGH THE PERIOD WILL GENERALLY BE NORTHEASTERLY AT AROUND
5-10 KNOTS. /96
MARINE
ISSUED AT 233 AM CDT MON OCT 19 2026
MODERATE TO STRONG NORTHEASTERLY WINDS WILL SLOWLY DECREASE
THROUGHOUT THE DAY TODAY. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT
FOR OUR LOCAL NEARSHORE GULF WATERS THROUGH NOON TODAY, AND
THROUGH 4PM FOR OUR OFFSHORE GULF WATERS. SMALL CRAFT SHOULD
EXERCISE CAUTION OVER LOCAL AREA BAYS AND SOUNDS. A LIGHT TO
MODERATE NORTHEASTERLY FLOW, OCCASIONALLY STRONGER WELL OFFSHORE
DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS, WILL BE PREVALENT FOR THE REMAINDER OF
THE WEEK. /96
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 74 53 75 49 / 0 0 0 0
PENSACOLA 75 55 76 55 / 0 0 0 0
DESTIN 76 57 76 58 / 0 0 0 0
EVERGREEN 75 46 76 46 / 0 0 0 0
WAYNESBORO 74 46 76 44 / 0 0 0 0
CAMDEN 72 44 74 44 / 0 0 0 0
CRESTVIEW 74 48 74 48 / 0 0 0 0
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK THROUGH LATE TONIGHT FOR ALZ265-266.
FL...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK THROUGH LATE TONIGHT FOR FLZ202-204-206.
MS...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL NOON CDT TODAY FOR GMZ650-655.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 4 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR GMZ670-
675.
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