738
FXUS64 KMOB 211124
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
624 AM CDT THU MAY 21 2026
..NEW UPDATE, AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 619 AM CDT THU MAY 21 2026
- RAIN CHANCES INCREASE THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK,
ESPECIALLY OVER THE WESTERN HALF OF THE FORECAST AREA.
- LOCALIZED PATCHY DENSE FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT FEW
NIGHTS.
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 619 AM CDT THU MAY 21 2026
FORECAST ACROSS THE AREA REMAINS ON TRACK. PATCHY TO AREAS OF FOG
HAVE DEVELOPED EAST OF I-65 THIS MORNING, WITH SOME PATCHES
LOCALLY DENSE REDUCING VISIBILITY TO A QUARTER MILE. GIVEN THE
SPOTTY COVERAGE OF DENSE FOG AND ANTICIPATION FOR IT TO LIFT OVER
THE NEXT COUPLE HOURS, HAVE OPTED TO NOT GO FORTH WITH ANY DENSE
FOG ADVISORIES AT THIS TIME. MM/25
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1204 AM CDT THU MAY 21 2026
LIGHT SOUTHERLY SURFACE WINDS WILL OCCUR TODAY THROUGH THE
UPCOMING WEEKEND AS A SURFACE RIDGE REMAINS INTACT ACROSS THE
SOUTHEAST STATES AND NORTHEAST GULF. ATMOSPHERIC MOISTURE WILL
REMAIN MODERATE WITH PWATS GENERALLY RANGING FROM 1.8 TO 2.0
INCHES THROUGH SATURDAY. A CONTINUOUS STREAM OF UPPER MINI-
SHORTWAVES MOVING OVER THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI RIVER IN A DEEP
SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW WILL RESULT IN A STEADY INCREASE IN SHOWER AND
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK,
ESPECIALLY DURING THE DAYTIME HOURS WITH DECREASING STABILITY FROM
DIURNAL HEATING. THE HIGHEST CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION OCCURRING
TODAY AND FRIDAY WILL ALONG AND WEST OF I- 65, AND THEN NORTH OF
I-10 ON SATURDAY. WE STILL DO NOT ANTICIPATE ANY ORGANIZED SEVERE
WEATHER, BUT SOME OF THE STRONGER STORMS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL
OF PRODUCING GUSTY SURFACE WINDS AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING. IN
ADDITION, SOME OF THE SLOWER MOVING STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING LOCALIZED NUISANCE FLOODING.
THE LIGHT SOUTHERLY WIND FLOW MENTIONED EARLIER PERSISTING ALL
WEEK DOES MAINTAIN SOME BOUNDARY-LAYER MOISTURE ACROSS OUR AREA
THAT SHOULD RESULT IN PATCHY LATE NIGHT/EARLY MORNING FOG OVER THE
COURSE OF THE WEEK. HIGH TEMPERATURES INLAND WILL REACH THE
MIDDLE TO UPPER 80S OVER THE NEXT THREE DAYS, WITH A FEW LOCALIZED
SPOTS REACHING THE 90 DEGREE MARK EAST OF I-65. APPARENT TEMPS IN
THE MIDDLE 90S ARE POSSIBLE ON SATURDAY ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA.
LOWS HOWEVER WILL REMAIN STEADY THROUGH SATURDAY WITH UPPER 60S TO
LOWER 70S INLAND AND MIDDLE 70S ALONG THE COAST. THESE LOWS WILL
BE ABOUT 6 TO 11 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. /22
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 619 AM CDT THU MAY 21 2026
MVFR TO IFR CEILINGS REMAIN PREVALENT ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA THIS
MORNING. ALONG AND EAST OF THE I-65 CORRIDOR, PATCHY TO AREAS OF
FOG, SOME LOCALLY DENSE, ARE REDUCING FLIGHT CATEGORY TO LIFR AND
LOCALLY VLIFR AT TIMES. EXPECT FOG TO LIFT OVER THE NEXT COUPLE
HOURS ALONG WITH CEILINGS ACROSS THE AREA BACK TO VFR FLIGHT
CATEGORY BY MID MORNING. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND STORMS
ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON, MAINLY WEST OF THE I-65 CORRIDOR,
POTENTIALLY REDUCING FLIGHT CATEGORY AT TIMES. WINDS ARE EXPECTED
TO REMAIN OUT OF THE SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 TO 10 KNOTS TODAY. MM/25
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1230 AM CDT THU MAY 21 2026
LIGHT TO OCCASIONALLY MODERATE SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW WILL PREVAIL
THROUGH THIS WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. SEAS WILL GENERALLY BE 1
TO 3 FEET. NO IMPACTS ARE EXPECTED OTHER THAN LOCALLY HIGHER
WINDS AND SEAS POSSIBLE NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. MM/25
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 85 72 83 72 / 40 50 80 40
PENSACOLA 84 74 84 74 / 10 50 70 40
DESTIN 84 75 83 74 / 10 30 60 40
EVERGREEN 87 70 85 70 / 40 30 70 40
WAYNESBORO 84 70 83 70 / 70 60 90 60
CAMDEN 84 70 83 70 / 50 30 80 60
CRESTVIEW 89 71 86 71 / 10 20 60 40
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...NONE.
FL...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
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