691
FXUS64 KMOB 191614
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1114 AM CDT MON OCT 19 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1113 AM CDT MON OCT 19 2026
- MODERATE TO STRONG NORTHEAST WINDS WILL MAY CREATE HAZARDOUS
CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT WELL OFFSHORE THROUGH THIS EVENING,
AND AGAIN OVER MOST OF THE MARINE AREA FRIDAY NIGHT INTO THIS
WEEKEND.
- A HIGH RISK OF DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS AT AREA BEACHES IS IN
EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT.
- DRY CONDITIONS CONTINUE THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1113 AM CDT MON OCT 19 2026
A HIGHLY AMPLIFIED PATTERN EVOLVES OVER THE CONUS THROUGH
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY AS A LARGE UPPER TROF DEVELOPS OVER THE
EASTERNMOST STATES DOWN INTO THE EASTERN GULF AND A LARGE UPPER
RIDGE BUILDS OVER THE CENTRAL STATES. THE UPPER RIDGE ADVANCES
INTO THE EASTERN STATES THIS WEEKEND AS THE UPPER TROF MOVES INTO
THE FAR WESTERN ATLANTIC, JUST OFF THE EAST COAST. A SURFACE
RIDGE GENERALLY PERSISTS OVER THE EASTERN STATES THROUGH MUCH OF
THE PERIOD, WITH THE PRESSURE GRADIENT TIGHTENING OVER THE EXTREME
SOUTHEAST STATES THIS WEEKEND AS A SURFACE LOW DEVELOPS IN THE
VICINITY OF THE BAHAMAS. DEEP LAYER MOISTURE REMAINS LIMITED
THROUGH THE PERIOD AND HAVE CONTINUED WITH DRY CONDITIONS THROUGH
THIS WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT WEEK. HIGHS ON TUESDAY WILL BE IN
THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S THEN TREND TO MOSTLY RANGE FROM THE UPPER
70S TO LOWER 80S BY WEDNESDAY, WITH SIMILAR VALUES FOLLOWING
THROUGH MONDAY OF NEXT WEEK. LOWS TONIGHT RANGE FROM THE MID 40S
WELL INLAND TO THE MID 50S AT THE COAST, AND LOWS EACH NIGHT
THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT WILL BE SIMILAR, ALTHOUGH WELL INLAND LOWS
MAY BE CLOSER TO MID/UPPER 40S. A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS
CONTINUES THROUGH TONIGHT, THEN A MODERATE RISK FOLLOWS FOR
TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT. A LOW RISK OF RIP CURRENTS DEVELOPS
WEDNESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND CONTINUES INTO THURSDAY. A
MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS IS EXPECTED FOR FRIDAY. /29
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1113 AM CDT MON OCT 19 2026
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. NORTHEASTERLY
WINDS 5-10 KNOTS, OCCASIONALLY GUSTY NEAR THE COAST, DIMINISH
THIS EVENING, THEN RETURNS TO 5-10 KNOTS TUESDAY MORNING. /29
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1113 AM CDT MON OCT 19 2026
MODERATE TO OCCASIONALLY STRONG NORTHEASTERLY WINDS WILL SLOWLY
DECREASE THROUGH TONIGHT. SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION WELL
OFFSHORE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING. A LIGHT TO MODERATE
NORTHEASTERLY FLOW WILL PREVAIL BEGINNING TUESDAY, THEN A MODERATE
TO STRONG EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY FLOW DEVELOPS FRIDAY NIGHT. A
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WILL LIKELY BECOME NECESSARY FROM FRIDAY
NIGHT ON INTO THE WEEKEND. /29
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 53 75 49 79 / 0 0 0 0
PENSACOLA 55 76 55 77 / 0 0 0 0
DESTIN 57 76 58 77 / 0 0 0 0
EVERGREEN 46 76 46 78 / 0 0 0 0
WAYNESBORO 46 76 44 80 / 0 0 0 0
CAMDEN 44 74 44 77 / 0 0 0 0
CRESTVIEW 48 74 48 78 / 0 0 0 0
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK THROUGH LATE TONIGHT FOR ALZ265-266.
FL...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK THROUGH LATE TONIGHT FOR FLZ202-204-206.
MS...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL NOON CDT TODAY FOR GMZ650-655.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 4 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR GMZ670-
675.
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