540
FXUS64 KMOB 202348
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
648 PM CDT SAT JUN 20 2026
..NEW UPDATE, AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 632 PM CDT SAT JUN 20 2026
- A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS CONTINUES THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON
FOR THE ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA BEACHES.
- DRIER CONDITIONS AND WARMER TEMPERATURES EXPECTED EARLY NEXT
WEEK.
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 632 PM CDT SAT JUN 20 2026
FORECAST REMAINS ON TRACK AS COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS
LESSENS THROUGHOUT THE EVENING. NO UPDATES NEEDED. /96
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 200 PM CDT SAT JUN 20 2026
A REMNANT MCV CONTINUES MOVE ACROSS CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI AND
ALABAMA THIS AFTERNOON. AS THIS SYSTEM MOVES EASTWARD THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON AN AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO
SPREAD EASTWARD ACROSS MAINLY INTERIOR PORTIONS OF THE AREA.
ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND STORMS CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
HALF OF THE AREA BUT COVERAGE WILL BE MORE SCATTERED. PLENTY OF
TROPICAL MOISTURE WITH PWATS OVER 2 INCHES COMBINED WITH LIFT FROM
THE MCV WILL LEAD TO A CONTINUED RISK OF HEAVY RAINFALL AND A
RISK OF FLOODING. ONE MORE DAY OF HIGH RAIN CHANCES ON SUNDAY
BEFORE SURFACE AND UPPER RIDGING BUILD ACROSS THE AREA MONDAY.
THIS INCREASED RIDGING COMBINED WITH SOME DRIER AIR MOVING INTO
THE AREA WILL CAUSE LOWER RAIN CHANCES ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA ON
MONDAY. BY TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY THE UPPER RIDGE WILL BUILD
ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST WITH A BROAD TROUGH DEVELOPING ACROSS THE
EASTERN STATES. THIS WILL PLACE THE AREA IN A NORTHWEST FLOW
PATTERN WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF CONVECTIVE COMPLEXES FROM THE
NORTHWEST MOVING INTO THE AREA DURING MIDDLE PART OF THE WEEK.
TEMPERATURES WILL WARM BACK INTO THE LOW 90S WITH HEAT INDEX
VALUES INTO THE 100 TO 105 RANGE FOR THE FIRST PARK OF THE WORK
WEEK.
A HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK CONTINUES THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON BECOMING
MODERATE TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY. /13
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 632 PM CDT SAT JUN 20 2026
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE EVENING AND
INTO THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. PRIOR TO DAYBREAK, CEILINGS SHOULD
START TO LOWER TO MVFR AS OUR NEXT ROUND OF SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
STORMS DEVELOP OVER THE GULF AND PUSH NORTHEASTWARD. EXPECT BRIEF
REDUCTIONS IN VISIBILITY IN SOME OF THE HEAVIER ACTIVITY. STORMS
ARE EXPECTED TO PUSH INLAND THROUGHOUT THE DAY, WITH COVERAGE
DECREASING ALONG THE COAST BY THE AFTERNOON. LIGHT AND VARIABLE
WINDS TONIGHT WILL BECOME SOUTHWESTERLY BY SUNDAY MORNING,
INCREASING TO AROUND 5-10 KNOTS INLAND AND 10-15 KNOTS CLOSER TO
THE COAST. /96
MARINE
ISSUED AT 200 PM CDT SAT JUN 20 2026
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS WESTWARD ACROSS THE FLORIDA PENINSULA AND INTO
THE CENTRAL GULF THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. LIGHT TO
OCCASIONALLY MODERATE SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH
MONDAY THEN TURN MORE WESTERLY MID WEEK. SEAS GENERALLY 2 TO 3
FEET. /13
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 74 87 77 91 / 30 50 0 0
PENSACOLA 77 87 80 91 / 20 30 10 10
DESTIN 77 87 80 88 / 30 40 10 20
EVERGREEN 71 86 74 91 / 20 60 10 20
WAYNESBORO 72 86 75 92 / 30 60 0 10
CAMDEN 70 84 73 90 / 20 70 10 20
CRESTVIEW 72 87 75 91 / 20 50 10 30
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...NONE.
FL...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
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