091
FXUS64 KMOB 300537
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1137 PM CST MON DEC 29 2025
..NEW DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1135 PM CST MON DEC 29 2025
- A COLD WEATHER ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO
9 AM CST TUESDAY AS WIND CHILLS FALL INTO THE TEENS TO
LOWER 20S.
- A COLD WEATHER ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TUESDAY TO
9 AM CST WEDNESDAY OVER AREAS ALONG I-10 AS WIND CHILLS AGAIN
FALL INTO THE 20 TO 25 DEGREE RANGE.
- STRONG WINDS OVER THE MARINE AREA WILL CREATE HAZARDOUS
CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT THROUGH MID WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1135 PM CST MON DEC 29 2025
NOW THROUGH MONDAY...
THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEK, SHORTWAVE ENERGY MOVES THROUGH A MEAN
UPPER TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN CONUS, WITH A WEAK REINFORCING FRONT
MOVING SOUTH OVER THE SOUTHEAST TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY
MORNING. COOLER, DRIER AIR CONTINUES TO MOVE SOUTH OVER THE
SOUTHEAST AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE PUSHES EAST OVER THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS AND LOWER MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY. THIS SURFACE HIGH PASSES
SOUTH OF LAND PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA THURSDAY INTO THURSDAY
NIGHT, RESTORING ONSHORE FLOW BY FRIDAY. AN UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE
TROUGH PASSES OVER THE SOUTHEAST FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY,
BRINGING ANOTHER ROUND OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE AREA AS A
WEAKLY ORGANIZED SURFACE LOW MOVES OVER THE SOUTHEAST. CURRENT
GUIDANCE IS INDICATING MODEST INSTABILITY AND UPPER SUPPORT, LEADING
TO A LOW CHANCE OF ROWDY STORMS. BEHIND THE SYSTEM, MODEST NORTHERLY
FLOW USHERS IN A DRIER AND SOME WHAT COOLER AIRMASS OVER THE REGION
FOR SUNDAY INTO THE COMING WEEK.
LOOKING CLOSER TO TEMPERATURES, HIGH TEMPERATURES TUESDAY ARE
EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM THE MID 40S TO AROUND 50. FROM THERE, THEY
SLOWLY WARM INTO THE MID 60S TO AROUND 70 FOR SATURDAY, WITH A SMALL
DROP FOR SUNDAY. LOW TEMPERATURES IN THE MID 20S NORTH OF HIGHWAY 84
TO LOW 30S ALONG AND SOUTH OF I-10 EXPECTED TONIGHT AND TUESDAY
NIGHTS, WITH WIND CHILLS TONIGHT IN THE 15 TO LOW 20S. TUESDAY
NIGHT, WITH A DECREASE IN WINDS, WINDCHILLS BOTTOMING OUT IN THE LOW
TO MID 20S ARE EXPECTED. FROM THERE, LOW TEMPERATURES CLIMB INTO THE
50S FORECAST AREA WIDE BY FRIDAY NIGHT.
OFFSHORE FLOW WILL KEEP THE RIP RISK LOW THROUGH THE WEEK. AN UPTICK
TO MODERATE IS EXPECTED FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY AS A PASSING
SYSTEM BRINGS INCREASED ONSHORE FLOW.
/16
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1135 PM CST MON DEC 29 2025
VFR UNDER NORTHWEST TO NORTH WINDS OF 10 TO 15 KNOTS EXPECTED
THROUGH THE FORECAST.
/16
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1135 PM CST MON DEC 29 2025
STRONG OFFSHORE FLOW WILL SLOWLY EASE MID WEEK, THEN SHIFT
TO ONSHORE FOR THE COMING WEEKEND.
/16
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 29 50 27 56 / 0 0 0 0
PENSACOLA 32 50 32 55 / 0 0 0 0
DESTIN 33 51 33 55 / 0 0 0 0
EVERGREEN 26 48 25 57 / 0 0 0 0
WAYNESBORO 26 47 25 56 / 0 0 0 0
CAMDEN 25 44 25 53 / 0 0 0 0
CRESTVIEW 27 50 25 56 / 0 0 0 0
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...COLD WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM CST TUESDAY FOR ALZ051>060-
261>266.
COLD WEATHER ADVISORY FROM MIDNIGHT TUESDAY NIGHT TO 9 AM CST
WEDNESDAY FOR ALZ263>266.
FL...COLD WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM CST TUESDAY FOR FLZ201>206.
COLD WEATHER ADVISORY FROM MIDNIGHT TUESDAY NIGHT TO 9 AM CST
WEDNESDAY FOR FLZ201>206.
MS...COLD WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM CST TUESDAY FOR MSZ067-075-076-
078-079.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL NOON CST TUESDAY FOR GMZ630>636.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM CST WEDNESDAY FOR GMZ650-655-670-
675.
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