427
FXUS64 KMOB 200414
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1114 PM CDT WED AUG 19 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1057 PM CDT WED AUG 19 2026
- ABNORMALLY HOT CONDITIONS CONTINUE WITH ANOTHER HEAT ADVISORY IN
EFFECT FOR ALL LOCATIONS THURSDAY AS AFTERNOON HEAT INDICES
RISE INTO THE 108 TO 112 RANGE. ADDITIONAL HEAT ADVISORIES WILL
LIKELY BE NEEDED THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEK.
- SCATTERED AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO BE CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING BRIEF HEAVY RAINFALL AND LOCALLY STRONG TO DAMAGING
WIND GUSTS.
- THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS FOR AREA BEACHES IN
FLORIDA THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1057 PM CDT WED AUG 19 2026
THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY WILL LIKELY FEATURE MUCH OF THE SAME AS WE
HAVE HAD THESE PAST FEW DAYS. SCATTERED TO LOCALLY NUMEROUS
AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CAN ONCE AGAIN BE EXPECTED
AFTER REACHING OPPRESSIVE AFTERNOON HIGHS AND HEAT INDICES ACROSS
THE AREA. HEAT ADVISORIES CONTINUE FOR THE WHOLE AREA WITH
EXPECTED HEAT INDICES RISING TO NEAR 112 THURSDAY. WE'LL LIKELY
SEE SIMILAR VALUES FOR FRIDAY AND ADDITIONAL HEAT ADVISORIES WILL
LIKELY BE NEEDED. AFTERNOON STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO BE BREEZY WITH
LOCALIZED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS ASSOCIATED WITH WET MICROBURSTS
CONTINUING TO BE POSSIBLE THROUGH FRIDAY.
AS WE GET INTO THE WEEKEND, WE FINALLY SEE A BUDGE IN THE PATTERN
AS UPPER TROUGHING MOVES ACROSS THE AREA AND A WEAK FRONT TRIES TO
PUSH IN FROM THE NORTHWEST. AT A MINIMUM, THIS WILL HELP TO REDUCE
AFTERNOON DEWPOINTS SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY AND MAY FINALLY GIVE US A
REPRIEVE FROM THE HEAT ADVISORY CRITERIA HEAT INDICES. DESPITE
THIS, IT WILL REMAIN HOT AS HIGHS STAY IN THE MIDDLE TO UPPER 90'S
AND HEAT INDICES REMAIN IN THE 100 TO 108 RANGE. SATURDAY AND
SUNDAY WILL FEATURE AT BEST ISOLATED COVERAGE FOR STORMS GIVEN THE
DRIER AIR IN PLACE, BUT ANY STORM THAT CAN MANAGE TO FORM MAY
PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS.
AS WE HEAD INTO NEXT WEEK UPPER RIDGING STARTS TO WORK ITS WAY
BACK INTO THE AREA AND THE ATMOSPHERIC PROFILE BEGINS MOISTENING
UP AGAIN, ALLOWING FOR MORE TYPICAL AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WITH GUSTY WINDS AND LOCALIZED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS.
AFTERNOON HIGHS WILL GENERALLY STAY IN THE MIDDLE 90'S WITH HEAT
INDICES REMAINING IN THAT 100 TO 108 RANGE. THE RIP CURRENT RISK
WILL REMAIN MODERATE FOR FLORIDA PANHANDLE BEACHES THURSDAY INTO
THURSDAY NIGHT, DIMINISHING TO A LOW RISK FRIDAY THROUGH THE
WEEKEND FOR ALL BEACHES. MM/25
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 703 PM CDT WED AUG 19 2026
SCATTERED STRONG STORMS PRODUCING WIND GUSTS OF 30-50 KNOTS AND IFR
OR LOWER CONDITIONS WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH THROUGH AROUND 02Z.
CONDITIONS WILL THEN BECOME VFR THROUGH MUCH OF THE PERIOD. ANOTHER
ROUND OF SHOWERS AND STORMS IS POSSIBLE DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS
ON THURSDAY, ALTHOUGH CONFIDENCE IS A BIT LOWER THAN TODAY. WINDS
WILL BE GENERALLY NORTHWESTERLY ON THURSDAY, SHIFTING TO
SOUTHWESTERLY IN THE AFTERNOON AT AROUND 5-10 KNOTS WITH SOME GUSTS
OVER 15 KNOTS NEAR THE COAST. JGC/98
MARINE
ISSUED AT 237 PM CDT WED AUG 19 2026
A LIGHT TO OCCASIONALLY MODERATE MOSTLY WESTERLY FLOW PATTERN
PERSISTS INTO NEXT WEEK. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO SHIFT NORTHWESTERLY
LATE EACH NIGHT AND THEN SOUTHWESTERLY IN THE AFTERNOON. ISOLATED
TO POTENTIALLY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS CAN BE EXPECTED EACH
MORNING WITH LOCALLY HIGHER SEAS AND WINDS NEAR STORMS. /22
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 95 76 95 75 / 60 10 30 10
PENSACOLA 95 79 94 78 / 60 10 30 20
DESTIN 93 80 93 79 / 40 10 40 10
EVERGREEN 98 73 98 72 / 40 20 40 30
WAYNESBORO 100 74 99 73 / 50 20 30 20
CAMDEN 97 74 97 73 / 10 10 30 30
CRESTVIEW 96 74 96 73 / 50 10 40 20
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...HEAT ADVISORY FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM CDT THURSDAY FOR ALZ051>060-
261>266.
FL...HEAT ADVISORY FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM CDT THURSDAY FOR FLZ201>206.
MS...HEAT ADVISORY FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM CDT THURSDAY FOR MSZ067-075-076-
078-079.
GM...NONE.
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page