449
FXUS64 KMOB 102354
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
654 PM CDT WED JUN 10 2026
..NEW UPDATE, AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 653 PM CDT WED JUN 10 2026
- HOT AND HUMID CONDITIONS RETURN WITH HEAT INDICES OF 100-107
THIS WEEKEND.
- RISK FOR RIP CURRENTS INCREASES TO MODERATE THURSDAY THROUGH
THE WEEKEND FOR THE COASTAL ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA
BEACHES.
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 653 PM CDT WED JUN 10 2026
THE FORECAST REMAINS ON TRACK WITH NO CHANGES PLANNED. 98/25
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 349 PM CDT WED JUN 10 2026
RELATIVELY BENIGN PATTERN REMAINS OVERHEAD WITH GENERALLY DRY
WEATHER AND WARM TEMPERATURES EXPECTED TO ROUND OUT THE WEEK. THE
SEA BREEZE CONTINUES TO PUSH INLAND ACROSS THE COASTAL COUNTIES, AS
SEEN ON SATELLITE AND RADAR IMAGERY. A FEW SPOTTY SHOWERS CAN'T BE
RULED OUT AS WE ROLL THROUGH THE LATE AFTERNOON HOURS, BUT THE VAST
MAJORITY OF THE AREA WILL REMAIN DRY TODAY.
RIDGING ALOFT WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPRESS CONVECTION THROUGH FRIDAY
WITH MINIMAL CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND STORMS LATE EACH AFTERNOON. THE
RIDGE ALOFT GETS NUDGED DEEPER INTO THE GULF OVER THE WEEKEND DUE TO
SEVERAL SHORTWAVES SLIDING THROUGH THE FLOW ALOFT. THIS WILL
ULTIMATELY INCREASE THE CHANCE FOR RAIN OVER THE WEEKEND AS WE
RETURN TO A DIURNAL PATTERN FOR SHOWERS AND STORMS. THE RIDGE REALLY
BEGINS TO BREAK DOWN AS WE HEAD INTO THE EARLY TO MIDDLE PART OF
NEXT WEEK WITH HIGHER POPS ALONG AN APPROACHING FRONT. DEPENDING ON
WHERE THE PLUME OF MOISTURE SETS UP NEXT WEEK, WE COULD BE LOOKING
AT THE POTENTIAL FOR MINOR FLOODING BY MID-WEEK ACROSS THE WESTERN
HALF OF THE AREA - DETAILS IN THE PATTERN WILL BECOME MORE REFINED
AS WE GET CLOSER IN TIME.
THE HEAT BEGINS TO CRANK IN THIS PATTERN AS WE HEAD DEEPER INTO THE
WEEK AND TOWARD THE WEEKEND. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL TOP OUT IN THE
MID TO LOW 90S ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA. THE HEAT INDEX WILL RISE TO
100-107° BY SATURDAY.
BEACH FORECAST - THE RISK FOR RIP CURRENTS INCREASES TO MODERATE
TOMORROW FOR THE COASTAL ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA BEACHES.
CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY START OUT OKAY AT THE BEACHES IN THE MORNING
HOURS WITH THE RISK INCREASING TO MODERATE BY EARLY AFTERNOON,
ACCORDING TO THE PROBABILISTIC DATA. THE RISK WILL REMAIN MODERATE
THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THE RIP CURRENT MOS DATA IS NOW HINTING AT THE
POSSIBILITY OF THE RISK INCREASING TO A HIGH BY NEXT MONDAY NIGHT OR
TUESDAY MORNING AS THE ONSHORE FLOW INCREASES. 07/MB
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 653 PM CDT WED JUN 10 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE PERIOD FOR MOST OF THE AREA.
THERE IS A LOW CONFIDENCE POTENTIAL OF PATCHY FOG IN THE 09-13Z
TIMEFRAME, ESPECIALLY OVER INLAND PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST MS,
SOUTHERN AL, AND THE WESTERN FL PANHANDLE. LIGHT AND VARIABLE
WINDS TONIGHT WILL BECOME GENERALLY SOUTHERLY AT 5-10 KNOTS ON
THURSDAY. 98/25
MARINE
ISSUED AT 349 PM CDT WED JUN 10 2026
NO IMPACTS EXPECTED OTHER THAN LOCALLY HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS
POSSIBLE NEAR THUNDERSTORMS THIS WEEKEND. 07/MB
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 72 90 73 92 / 0 0 10 20
PENSACOLA 75 89 76 91 / 0 0 0 10
DESTIN 76 88 77 89 / 0 0 0 0
EVERGREEN 72 94 72 94 / 10 0 0 20
WAYNESBORO 71 94 72 94 / 0 0 0 10
CAMDEN 72 93 72 94 / 10 0 0 10
CRESTVIEW 71 94 71 95 / 0 10 0 10
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...NONE.
FL...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
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