599
FXUS64 KMOB 232331
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
631 PM CDT TUE APR 23 2024
..NEW AVIATION
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 631 PM CDT TUE APR 23 2024
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH MAINLY FEW TO
SCT CUMULUS CLOUDS EXPECTED. SOUTHEAST TO SOUTH BETWEEN 5 TO 10
KNOTS BECOME MOSTLY LIGHT AND VARIABLE OVERNIGHT AND THEN
SOUTHEAST TO SOUTH 5 TO 10 KNOTS AGAIN WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. /22
PREV DISCUSSION
/ISSUED 305 PM CDT TUE APR 23 2024/
.NEW NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE
NEAR TERM...
(NOW THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 305 PM CDT TUE APR 23 2024
NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT
AND WEDNESDAY AS A WEAK SHORTWAVE TROUGH ALOFT MOVES EAST ACROSS
THE REGION. AT THE SURFACE, HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER THE
SOUTHEASTERN CONUS EARLY THIS EVENING WILL SHIFT TO JUST OFF THE
SOUTHEAST EAST COAST BY LATE WEDNESDAY, BUT CONTINUE TO RIDGE BACK
WEST ACROSS OUR AREA. ASSOCIATED LOW LEVEL LIGHT ONSHORE RETURN
FLOW WILL GRADUALLY BEGIN TO INCREASE MOISTURE ACROSS THE AREA,
WITH PWATS JUST OVER 0.50 INCHES THIS EVENING CLIMBING TO JUST
OVER 1.00 INCH BY THE END OF THE DAY WEDNESDAY. OVERALL THOUGH,
THE THE DEEP LAYER AIR COLUMN REMAINS FAIRLY DRY THROUGH
WEDNESDAY, WITH A POSSIBLE SATURATED LAYER BETWEEN 850-700MB. WITH
THIS WILL LIKELY BE LOOKING AT INCREASED MID-LEVEL CLOUDS ACROSS
THE REGION ON WEDNESDAY, AND POSSIBLY A SPRINKLE OR TWO UP ALONG
THE HIGHWAY 84 CORRIDOR. THE LIKELIHOOD OF ANY RAIN FOR NOW THOUGH
IT TOO LOW TO CARRY ANY POPS FOR WEDNESDAY. THERE COULD BE SOME
VERY PATCHY LIGHT FOG DEVELOPMENT IN A FEW SPOTS LATE
TONIGHT/EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING, BUT CONFIDENCE IN OCCURRENCE AND
THE ANTICIPATED VERY PATCHY/LIMITED NATURE OF FOG DEVELOPMENT
PRECLUDED ANY MENTION IN THE FORECAST. A LITTLE WARMER TONIGHT
WITH MIN TEMPS PRIMARILY IN THE LOW 50S OVER ALL INTERIOR
LOCATIONS NORTH OF I-10, BUT UPPER 50S TO LOWER 60S CLOSER TO AND
ALONG THE COAST. HIGHS ON WEDNESDAY REBOUNDING MAINLY INTO THE
LOWER 80S FOR MOST LOCATIONS, BUT REMAINING IN THE UPPER 70S FOR
SOME LOCATIONS, ESPECIALLY ALONG THE COAST. DS/12
LONG TERM...
(WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 305 PM CDT TUE APR 23 2024
NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT REMAINS ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA WEDNESDAY
NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT BEFORE UPPER LEVEL RIDGING PUSHES
ACROSS THE AREA. THIS WILL TRANSITION US TO A MORE WESTERLY AND
EVENTUALLY SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT AS WE HEAD INTO THE WEEKEND AND
EARLY NEXT WEEK. THE FORECAST AREA REMAINS PREDOMINATELY DRY AS
ANY APPRECIABLE SHORTWAVES PASS WELL TO THE NORTH OF THE GULF
COAST THROUGH THE WEEKEND. A SHARPER, DEEPER TROUGH MAY TRY TO
IMPINGE ON THE AREA MONDAY INTO TUESDAY WHICH MAY RESULT IN
INCREASED CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY NEXT WEEK.
TEMPERATURES REMAIN SEASONABLE IN THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 80'S FOR
HIGHS EACH AFTERNOON AND LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 60'S EACH
MORNING.
BEACH NOTE: RIP CURRENT RISK INCREASES TO MODERATE ON FRIDAY WITH
A HIGH RISK EXPECTED BY SATURDAY AS ONSHORE FLOW CONTINUES TO
INCREASE AT THE BEACHES. RCMOS PROBABILITIES INDICATE A HIGH
LIKELIHOOD OF THE RISK REMAINING HIGH THROUGH AT LEAST SUNDAY AT
ALL LOCAL BEACHES. MM/25 07/MB
MARINE...
ISSUED AT 305 PM CDT TUE APR 23 2024
NO MARINE IMPACTS ANTICIPATED THROUGH THE WEEK. ONSHORE FLOW IS
FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN WITH A GRADUAL BUILD IN SEAS LATE FRIDAY
AND INTO THE WEEKEND. /21
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 55 82 59 84 61 82 66 82 / 0 0 0 10 0 0 0 0
PENSACOLA 60 78 61 81 64 79 68 79 / 0 0 0 10 0 0 0 0
DESTIN 62 77 64 79 66 78 68 79 / 0 0 0 10 0 0 0 0
EVERGREEN 50 82 56 84 58 84 60 84 / 0 0 0 10 0 0 0 0
WAYNESBORO 50 82 56 85 59 85 63 85 / 0 10 0 10 0 0 0 0
CAMDEN 50 79 57 82 58 84 61 84 / 0 10 0 10 0 0 0 0
CRESTVIEW 50 83 56 86 57 84 61 83 / 0 0 0 10 0 0 0 0
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...NONE.
FL...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
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