839
FXUS64 KMOB 232317
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
617 PM CDT THU APR 23 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 612 PM CDT THU APR 23 2026
- A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS IS EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY FOR
LOCAL AREA BEACHES.
- RAIN CHANCES ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE LATE FRIDAY INTO
SATURDAY, WITH A FEW STRONG STORMS POSSIBLE WEST OF THE ALABAMA
RIVER.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 226 PM CDT THU APR 23 2026
RAIN CHANCES WILL INCREASE ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA OVER THE NEXT
FEW DAYS AS A WEAK FRONT MOVES INTO THE SOUTHEAST AND STALLS. WEAK
SHORTWAVES MOVING ALONG THIS BOUNDARY WILL LEAD TO SCATTERED TO
LOCALLY NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND STORMS AT TIMES THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
THE BEST CHANCE OF RAIN LOOKS TO BE LATE FRIDAY NIGHT INTO
SATURDAY AS STORMS THAT DEVELOP NORTHWEST OF THE AREA ON FRIDAY
AFTERNOON MOVE INTO THE AREA. WHILE THEY ARE EXPECTED TO WEAKEN
SATURDAY MORNING, LEFT OVER OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES WILL LEAD TO
ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT THROUGH THE DAY ON SATURDAY. THE STORM
PREDICTION CENTER CURRENTLY HAS A MARGINAL RISK FOR NORTHWEST
PORTIONS OF THE AREA FOR MAINLY LATE FRIDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY
SATURDAY. THE STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO BE WEAKENING, BUT CANNOT
COMPLETELY RULE OUT A STRONG STORM WITH GUSTY WINDS. SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND STORMS REMAIN POSSIBLE ON SUNDAY AS THE BOUNDARY
LINGERS ACROSS THE AREA. UPPER RIDGING BUILDS OVER THE AREA ON
MONDAY AS ANOTHER SYSTEM MOVES ACROSS THE PLAINS STATES. THIS WILL
KEEP MUCH OF THE AREA DRY ON MONDAY. CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS INCREASE AGAIN TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY AS THE
FRONTAL BOUNDARY MOVES INTO THE AREA. UNFORTUNATELY, THERE WILL
LIKELY BE A SHARP GRADIENT IN RAINFALL AMOUNTS THROUGH NEXT WEEK.
THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE AREA WILL SEE THE HIGHEST TOTALS WITH
AMOUNTS DECREASING SHARPLY AS YOU MOVE TOWARD THE COAST.
TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO WARM THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH MID
AND UPPER 80S POSSIBLE NEXT ACROSS INLAND AREAS.
A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS CONTINUES THROUGH FRIDAY, DROPPING TO
MODERATE FRIDAY NIGHT. A LOW RISK OF RIP CURRENTS IS EXPECTED
THIS WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. /13
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 616 PM CDT THU APR 23 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL BE FOLLOWED BY PATCHY FOG AND LOW CEILINGS
DEVELOPING LATE TONIGHT MAINLY OVER INTERIOR AREAS. CONDITIONS
IMPROVE TO VFR BY MID MORNING ON FRIDAY. SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST
WINDS 5-10 KNOTS DIMINISH TO AROUND 5 KNOTS OR LESS THIS EVENING,
THEN A SOUTHERLY FLOW AROUND 10 KNOTS DEVELOPS ON FRIDAY. /29
MARINE
ISSUED AT 226 PM CDT THU APR 23 2026
A LIGHT TO MODERATE SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW PREVAILS THROUGH FRIDAY, THEN
BECOMES SOUTHERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY FOR FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH EARLY
NEXT WEEK.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 62 81 65 83 / 0 20 20 60
PENSACOLA 66 78 68 80 / 0 10 20 50
DESTIN 66 78 68 79 / 0 10 10 50
EVERGREEN 56 85 60 84 / 0 20 20 80
WAYNESBORO 58 83 63 83 / 0 30 40 80
CAMDEN 57 83 62 81 / 0 20 40 80
CRESTVIEW 57 84 61 84 / 0 10 10 60
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON FOR ALZ265-266.
FL...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON FOR FLZ202-204-
206.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
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