949
FXUS64 KMOB 261948
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
248 PM CDT TUE MAY 26 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION, MARINE
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 248 PM CDT TUE MAY 26 2026
- MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF HEAVY RAINFALL LEADING TO POSSIBLE FLASH
FLOODING WILL OCCUR OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.
- HIGH RISK FOR RIP CURRENTS THROUGH AT LEAST THURSDAY FOR
COASTAL ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA BEACHES.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 248 PM CDT TUE MAY 26 2026
REGIONAL RADAR MOSAIC IS DETECTING NUMEROUS TO WIDESPREAD SHOWERS
WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS NORTH OF THE
I-10 CORRIDOR. ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED LATE THIS
AFTERNOON IN EARLY EVENING SOUTH OF I-10 AS CONVECTION DEVELOPS
OVER THE GULF AND MOVES ONSHORE. THIS PRECIPITATION WILL TAPER OFF
BY MID TO LATE EVENING WITH OUR AREA REMAINING LARGELY RAIN- FREE
THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE NIGHT. A CONTINUOUS STREAM OF UPPER
MINI-SHORTWAVES MOVING OVER THE REGION IN A DEEP SOUTHERLY TO
SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW WILL RESULT IN A STEADY STREAM OF MOISTURE TO
FUEL THE ONGOING WET WEATHER PATTERN WITH ADDITIONAL SHOWER AND
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK,
ESPECIALLY DURING THE DAYTIME HOURS WITH DECREASING STABILITY FROM
DIURNAL HEATING. THE HIGHEST CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION FOR THE
REMAINDER OF THE WEEK THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEKEND WILL OCCUR
NORTH OF I-10 WHERE NUMEROUS TO WIDESPREAD SHOWERS WITH EMBEDDED
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED. SCATTERED TO
OCCASIONAL NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED SOUTH
OF I-10. WIDESPREAD RAINFALL AMOUNTS FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK
THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEKEND ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM 1.5 TO
2.0 INCHES INLAND, AND FROM 1.0 TO 1.5 INCHES NEAR THE COAST.
LOCALIZED AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES WILL LIKELY OCCUR THROUGH THE
PERIOD. WE DO NOT ANTICIPATE ANY ORGANIZED SEVERE WEATHER, BUT
SOME OF THE STRONGER STORMS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL OF PRODUCING
GUSTY SURFACE WINDS AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING. IN ADDITION, SOME OF
THE SLOWER MOVING STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LOCALIZED
NUISANCE FLOODING.
BEACH FORECAST - GIVEN THE CONSISTENT ONSHORE FLOW SIGNAL OVER THE
COMING DAYS, THE RISK FOR RIP CURRENTS WILL BE HIGH THROUGH AT
LEAST THURSDAY FOR THE COASTAL ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA
BEACHES. OFFSHORE STORMS WILL ONLY ACT TO AMPLIFY THE SURF AND RIP
CURRENTS EACH DAY. /22
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1259 PM CDT TUE MAY 26 2026
MVFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH MOST OF THE FORECAST WITH
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE MAINLY
NORTH OF THE I-10 CORRIDOR. STORMS SHOULD GENERALLY SPREAD INLAND
THROUGHOUT THE EVENING LEADING TO LOCALIZED IFR VISBYS WITH THE
HEAVIEST STORMS. RAIN SHOULD SUBSIDE JUST PRIOR TO MIDNIGHT WITH
MVFR CEILINGS PREVAILING OVERNIGHT. WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT OUT OF
THE SOUTHEAST. BB-8
MARINE
ISSUED AT 248 PM CDT TUE MAY 26 2026
LIGHT TO MODERATE ONSHORE FLOW WILL PERSIST THROUGHOUT THE WEEK.
SEAS WILL GENERALLY BE 3 TO 4 FEET THROUGH MIDWEEK. SIGNIFICANT
REDUCTIONS IN VISIBILITY DUE TO PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN AND LOCALLY
HIGHER WINDS WILL OCCUR NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. MM/25
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 72 85 72 85 / 30 50 40 90
PENSACOLA 74 84 74 85 / 50 40 30 70
DESTIN 75 84 74 84 / 70 40 30 60
EVERGREEN 70 86 70 86 / 50 80 30 90
WAYNESBORO 70 86 70 84 / 20 80 30 90
CAMDEN 69 84 69 84 / 30 70 20 90
CRESTVIEW 70 86 70 88 / 60 60 20 80
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...FLOOD WATCH UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT TONIGHT FOR ALZ051>060-261>266.
HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT FOR ALZ265-266.
FL...FLOOD WATCH UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT TONIGHT FOR FLZ201>206.
HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT FOR FLZ202-204-
206.
MS...FLOOD WATCH UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT TONIGHT FOR MSZ067-075-076-078-
079.
GM...NONE.
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