491
FXUS64 KMOB 101133
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
533 AM CST WED DEC 10 2025
..NEW UPDATE, AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 532 AM CST WED DEC 10 2025
- A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FROM THIS AFTERNOON
THROUGH LATE TONIGHT FOR OUR LOCAL GULF WATERS.
- AREAS OF DENSE FOG WILL AFFECT SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA UNTIL
MID MORNING.
- WARMER TEMPERATURES EXPECTED FOR FRIDAY AND SATURDAY FOLLOWED
BY ANOTHER COOL DOWN EARLY NEXT WEEK.
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 532 AM CST WED DEC 10 2025
HAVE ISSUED A DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 8 AM THIS MORNING FOR SOUTH
CENTRAL ALABAMA DUE TO AREAS OF DENSE FOG. MADE OTHER MINOR
ADJUSTMENTS. /29
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1200 AM CST WED DEC 10 2025
AN UPPER-LEVEL LONGWAVE TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN PLACE
ACROSS THE EASTERN CONUS THROUGH MUCH OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. THIS
WILL HELP TO KEEP OUR LOCAL AREA UNDERNEATH A DRY WESTERLY TO
NORTHWESTERLY FLOW PATTERN ALOFT. TWO PROMINENT EMBEDDED
SHORTWAVES LOOK TO MOVE WITHIN THIS FLOW PATTERN ALOFT OVER THE
NEXT WEEK: THE FIRST DIGGING SOUTHEASTWARD LATER TODAY, AND THE
SECOND MOVING ACROSS THE APPALACHIANS ON SUNDAY. BOTH OF THESE
TROUGHS WILL HELP TO SEND COLD FRONTS SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE LOCAL
AREA, ALLOWING FOR REINFORCING SHOTS OF COOLER AND DRIER AIR TO
FILTER IN. AT THIS TIME, WE SHOULD REMAIN DRY THROUGH AT LEAST
NEXT TUESDAY, ALTHOUGH THERE COULD BE JUST ENOUGH MOISTURE POOLING
OUT AHEAD OF THE SECOND FRONT TO PRODUCE A FEW ISOLATED SHOWERS
SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING. AHEAD OF TONIGHT'S FRONT,
BREEZY SOUTHWESTERLY TO WESTERLY WINDS WILL ALLOW FOR HIGHS TO
CLIMB INTO THE LOW TO MID 60S TODAY. AFTER THE FRONT PASSES, LOWS
TONIGHT WILL DROP INTO THE 30S AND HIGHS ON THURSDAY DROP BACK
INTO THE MID TO UPPER 50S. AS HIGH PRESSURE PUSHES OFF TO OUR
EAST, HIGHS ON FRIDAY AND SATURDAY WILL WARM INTO THE UPPER 60S TO
LOW 70S AND LOWS FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY NIGHT WILL RANGE FROM
THE MID 40S NORTH TO THE MID 50S ALONG THE COAST. TEMPERATURES
DROP ONCE AGAIN ON SUNDAY AND INTO THE BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK
AFTER THE SECOND FRONT PUSHES THROUGH THE AREA. THE RIP CURRENT
RISK SHOULD REMAIN LOW THROUGH THE PERIOD, ALTHOUGH OUR WESTERN
FLORIDA PANHANDLE BEACHES ARE EXPECTED TO SEE A BRIEF BUMP TO
MODERATE LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT. /96
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 532 AM CST WED DEC 10 2025
PATCHY THICK FOG, WITH AREAS OF DENSE FOG ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL
ALABAMA, WILL DISSIPATE BY AROUND 8-9 AM THIS MORNING. VFR
CONDITIONS ARE OTHERWISE EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT. A SOUTHWESTERLY
FLOW AT 10-15 KNOTS DEVELOPS THIS MORNING, THEN BECOMES
NORTHWESTERLY 5-10 KNOTS LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING
HOURS AS A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH. /29
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1200 AM CST WED DEC 10 2025
LIGHT SOUTHERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW THIS MORNING WILL BECOME A
MODERATE TO STRONG WESTERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY FLOW BY LATE
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
IS IN EFFECT FROM THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE TONIGHT FOR OUR
LOCAL GULF WATERS. EXERCISE CAUTION HEADLINES WILL LIKELY ALSO BE
NEEDED FOR OUR LOCAL BAYS AND SOUNDS. WINDS SUBSIDE ON THURSDAY
WITH A LIGHT ONSHORE FLOW EXPECTED FOR FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. /96
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 65 38 58 41 / 0 0 0 0
PENSACOLA 64 42 57 46 / 0 0 0 0
DESTIN 65 44 59 48 / 0 0 0 0
EVERGREEN 64 35 58 35 / 0 0 0 0
WAYNESBORO 63 33 57 36 / 0 0 0 0
CAMDEN 60 33 54 34 / 0 0 0 0
CRESTVIEW 65 37 58 36 / 0 0 0 0
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...FREEZING FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 8 AM CST THIS MORNING FOR ALZ054>060.
FL...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 6 AM CST
THURSDAY FOR GMZ650-655-670-675.
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