396
FXUS64 KMOB 082334
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
634 PM CDT SAT AUG 8 2026
..NEW UPDATE, AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 623 PM CDT SAT AUG 8 2026
- ISOLATED TO SCATTERED STORMS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
- HEAT INDICES AROUND 100-107 DEGREES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH MID
NEXT WEEK.
- A LOW RISK OF RIP CURRENTS DEVELOPS IS EXPECTED TONIGHT THROUGH
TUESDAY AT AREA BEACHES.
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 623 PM CDT SAT AUG 8 2026
SCATTERED RAINSHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORM OVER THE AREA WILL DECREASE
IN COVERAGE AND STRENGTH THROUGH THE EVENING. A STORM MAY BECOME
STRONG TO MARGINALLY SEVERE, WITH DOWNBURSTS WINDS THE PRIMARY
MODE OF SEVERE. NO UPDATES NEEDED WITH THE CURRENT PACKAGE. /16
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 127 PM CDT SAT AUG 8 2026
THE AREA REMAINS IN BETWEEN TWO UPPER LEVELS RIDGES, ONE OVER THE
SOUTHWEST AND ANOTHER OFF THE EAST COAST. MEANWHILE, THE BERMUDA
HIGH OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC WILL BUILD WESTWARD SUNDAY INTO
MONDAY. THE RESULTING INCREASED SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL BRING MORE
DEEP LAYER MOISTURE INTO THE AREA WITH PW VALUES OVER 2 INCHES.
THIS WILL RESULT IN INCREASED CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORM
SUNDAY INTO MONDAY. GUSTY WINDS AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING WILL BE
THE MAIN THREATS. THE HIGH MOISTURE LEVELS COMBINED WITH THE SLOW
MOVEMENT OF THE STORMS WILL ALSO LEAD TO LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL
AS WELL. BY THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK, THE UPPER RIDGE BUILDS OVER
THE AREA, WITH LOWER RAIN CHANCES AND HIGHER TEMPS.
HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN THE LOW TO MID 90S THROUGH THE
PERIOD. LOW TEMPERATURES ARE GENERALLY IN THE LOW TO MID 70S EACH
NIGHT WITH UPPER 70S ALONG THE COAST. HEAT INDEX VALUES WILL RANGE
FROM 100 TO 107 IN MOST AREAS THROUGH THE PERIOD AND WIDESPREAD
HEAT ADVISORY CRITERIA IS NOT EXPECTED. /13
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 623 PM CDT SAT AUG 8 2026
GENERAL VFR CONDITIONS WITH LOCAL DROPS TO LOW END MVFR OVER THE
AREA EARLY THIS EVENING WILL BECOME GENERAL VFR AS THE CONVECTION
WEAKENS. SLOW MOVEMENT OF THE CONVECTION WILL ALLOW TRAFFIC TO
MANEUVER AROUND THEM. THE RAINSHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL
SHIFT OFFSHORE OVERNIGHT, AFFECTING NEAR COASTAL AREAS AROUND
SUNRISE. RAINSHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP INLAND IN THE
AFTERNOON, WITH DROPS TO LOW END MVFR IN THE STRONGER STORMS.
/16
MARINE
ISSUED AT 127 PM CDT SAT AUG 8 2026
NO IMPACTS EXPECTED OTHER THAN LOCALLY HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS
POSSIBLE NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. /13
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 73 91 75 91 / 10 40 30 50
PENSACOLA 77 89 78 90 / 10 30 20 30
DESTIN 78 88 79 89 / 30 30 10 20
EVERGREEN 73 92 72 91 / 10 40 10 50
WAYNESBORO 73 95 73 93 / 20 40 20 50
CAMDEN 73 91 73 90 / 10 40 20 40
CRESTVIEW 74 91 73 92 / 20 40 10 40
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...NONE.
FL...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
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