964
FXUS64 KMOB 221117
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
617 AM CDT SUN MAR 22 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 614 AM CDT SUN MAR 22 2026
- TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN WELL ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH NEXT WEEK.
- MODERATE TO EXTREME DROUGHT ALONG WITH LITTLE TO NO RAIN IN THE
FORECAST THROUGH NEXT WEEK WILL EXACERBATE WILDFIRE ACTIVITY.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1038 PM CDT SAT MAR 21 2026
A NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT PERSISTS OVER THE AREA THROUGH MIDWEEK
AS AN UPPER RIDGE BUILDS OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN STATES AND A BROAD
UPPER TROF PATTERN TENDS TO PREVAIL OVER MUCH OF THE EASTERN
STATES. A SURFACE LOW PASSES WELL OFF TO THE NORTH AND BRINGS A
WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA ON MONDAY. DEEP
LAYER MOISTURE REMAINS LIMITED AND AM NOT EXPECTING PRECIPITATION
WITH THE PASSING FRONT. CHANGES IN THE PATTERN OCCUR LATER IN THE
WEEK AND INTO SATURDAY WITH THE UPPER RIDGE FIRST BUILDING ACROSS
THE SOUTHEAST STATES THEN WEAKENING AS A LARGE UPPER TROF EVOLVES
OVER MUCH OF THE EASTERN STATES. ANOTHER FRONTAL BOUNDARY LOOKS TO
MOVE THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA BETWEEN FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT,
BUT AGAIN DEEP LAYER MOISTURE LOOKS TOO LIMITED TO SUPPORT
PRECIPITATION. OVERALL AM EXPECTING DRY AND WARM CONDITIONS TO
PREVAIL THROUGH SATURDAY, THOUGH A SERIES OF SHORTWAVES COULD
ALLOW FOR SOME SPOTTY CONVECTION TO DEVELOP TUESDAY NIGHT INTO
WEDNESDAY.
SOME PATCHY FOG COULD DEVELOP MAINLY OVER INTERIOR AREAS LATE
TONIGHT AND AGAIN SUNDAY NIGHT. HIGHS EACH DAY TEND TO BE IN THE
LOWER TO MID 80S INLAND AND IN THE MID TO UPPER 70S AT THE COAST,
EXCEPT FOR A BIT WARMER ON THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. LOWS EACH NIGHT
TEND TO RANGE FROM THE MID 50S TO AROUND 60. /29
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 614 AM CDT SUN MAR 22 2026
LOW CEILINGS HAVE OVERSPREAD A MAJORITY OF THE AREA THIS MORNING
WITH PATCHES OF FOG, LOCALLY DENSE, ALSO REDUCING VISIBILITY IN
SPOTS. CEILINGS AND VISIBILITY ARE EXPECTED TO IMPROVE OVER THE
NEXT COUPLE HOURS, WITH VFR FLIGHT CATEGORY RETURNING TO THE AREA
BY MID MORNING. WINDS WILL BE OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST TODAY AROUND 5
TO 10 KNOTS, GUSTING TO 15 TO 20 KNOTS THIS AFTERNOON. WE MAY ONCE
AGAIN SEE LOW STRATUS AND/OR FOG LATE TONIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING
TEMPORARILY REDUCING FLIGHT CATEGORY IN SPOTS. MM/25
MARINE
ISSUED AT 232 AM CDT SUN MAR 22 2026
A LIGHT TO MODERATE WESTERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW CONTINUES INTO
EARLY NEXT WEEK, BECOMING A LIGHT EASTERLY TO SOUTHERLY FLOW MID TO
LATE WEEK. MM/25
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 80 58 84 59 / 0 0 0 0
PENSACOLA 77 61 81 61 / 0 0 0 0
DESTIN 73 61 76 61 / 0 0 0 0
EVERGREEN 84 55 85 56 / 0 0 0 0
WAYNESBORO 83 58 83 58 / 0 0 0 0
CAMDEN 83 58 81 56 / 0 0 0 0
CRESTVIEW 82 55 85 56 / 0 0 0 0
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...NONE.
FL...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
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