953
FXUS64 KMOB 041156
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
656 AM CDT SAT APR 4 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 645 AM CDT SAT APR 4 2026
- A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS CONTINUES THROUGH THE WEEKEND FOR
COASTAL ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA BEACHES.
- NEXT CHANCE FOR MEANINGFUL RAIN WILL ACCOMPANY A COLD FRONT
THIS WEEKEND, BUT IT WILL NOT BE A DROUGHT-BUSTING RAIN.
- A FEW ROUNDS OF SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY-LEVEL CONDITIONS (GUSTS
NEAR GALE-FORCE) ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE GULF AND LOCAL
BAYS/SOUNDS SUNDAY THROUGH MUCH OF NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1240 AM CDT SAT APR 4 2026
FINALLY A SHOT AT SOME SOLID RAIN SATURDAY AND SUNDAY AS THE UPPER
RIDGE FINALLY BREAKS DOWN. SUBSIDENCE SHOULD HOLD ON ENOUGH THROUGH
THE DAY TODAY AS THE RIDGE SLOWLY RETREATS EASTWARD AND THE UPPER
TROUGH NUDGES EAST. BY LATE AFTERNOON AND INTO THE EVENING THE COLD
FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPPER TROUGH WILL SLOWLY MEANDER THROUGH
CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI AND INTO OUR AREA BETWEEN SUNSET AND MIDNIGHT.
GIVEN THE UPPER TROUGH ORIENTATION AND THE TROUGH LIFTING OUT THE
FRONT WILL NOT BE MOVING TOO QUICKLY SLOWLY MAKING ITS WAY TO THE I-
65 CORRIDOR BY AROUND SUNRISE ON SUNDAY. EXPECT A WEAKENING LINE OF
SHOWERS AND A ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM TO ACCOMPANY THE FRONT AS IT
MOVES THROUGH THE AREA. RAIN SHOULD END BY MID-AFTERNOON AS DRIER
AIR QUICKLY MOVES INTO THE AREA ON THE BACK OF A STIFF NORTHERLY
WIND. UNFORTUNATELY, EVEN WITH THE SLOW MOVING FRONT IT WILL BARELY
BE ENOUGH RAIN TO PUT A DENT INTO THE ONGOING DROUGHT CONDITIONS.
SOME LOCATIONS MAY BE ABLE TO SQUEAK OUT AN QUICK INCH OR TWO OF
RAIN BUT SOILS WILL QUICKLY ABSORB THAT. BY SUNDAY NIGHT, THE FRONT
SHOULD PUSH OFFSHORE GIVING WAY TO A SIGNIFICANTLY DRIER AND COOLER
WEEK NEXT WEEK. HECK WE MIGHT EVEN SEE LOWS IN THE 40S AS EARLY
SPRING MAKES ONE LAST DITCH EFFORT BEFORE SUMMER KICKS IN.
SOME PATCHY FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF MORNING
MAINLY ALONG AND EAST OF I-65 WHERE THE INFLUENCES OF THE UPPER
RIDGE AND MOISTURE OVERLAP THE BEST. WHILE WE DO NOT EXPECT ANY
DENSE FOG AT THIS TIME, THERE ARE ENOUGH SIGNALS TO AT LEAST SUPPORT
SOME PATCHY FOG REDUCING VISIBILITIES TO AROUND 1 MILE OR LESS IN
SOME SPOTS. AS ALWAYS CONTINUE TO USE CAUTION WHEN DRIVING WITH FOG.
BEACH HAZARDS... A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS WILL LIKELY CONTINUE
THROUGH SUNDAY AS A MODERATE ONSHORE FLOW SHOULD PERSIST. WHILE THE
WINDS WILL NOT BE STRONG, THERE SHOULD BE ENOUGH OF A FETCH AND
INCREASINGLY STRONG TIDES FALLING DURING THE AFTERNOONS TO RESULT IN
LIKELY HAZARDOUS SWIMMING CONDITIONS AND RIP CURRENTS. BE SURE TO
CONTINUE TO SWIM NEAR LIFEGUARDS. BB-8
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 645 AM CDT SAT APR 4 2026
MVFR TO IFR CEILINGS PERSIST ACROSS THE AREA THIS MORNING. CEILINGS
WILL GRADUALLY IMPROVE THROUGH THE MORNING WITH TO VFR CEILINGS
EXPECTED BY EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL REMAIN
GENERALLY LIGHT ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA AND UP TO 15 KNOTS AT THE
COASTAL TERMINALS. 07/MB
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1240 AM CDT SAT APR 4 2026
A LIGHT TO MODERATE ONSHORE FLOW PREVAILS THROUGH SUNDAY
AFTERNOON. WINDS QUICKLY TURN NORTHERLY THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND
EVENING ON SUNDAY BEHIND A COLD FRONT. A MODERATE TO STRONG OFFSHORE
FLOW PERSISTS THROUGH MONDAY BEFORE WINDS GRADUALLY TURN EASTERLY ON
TUESDAY. EXPECT A FEW ROUNDS OF SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY-LEVEL
CONDITIONS NEXT WEEK BEHIND THE FRONT WITH GUSTS NEARING GALE FORCE
POSSIBLE. BB-8
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 83 66 74 53 / 30 70 90 20
PENSACOLA 79 68 74 56 / 30 30 80 30
DESTIN 76 68 74 58 / 30 20 70 40
EVERGREEN 86 65 73 50 / 40 60 90 10
WAYNESBORO 85 62 70 50 / 50 90 70 10
CAMDEN 85 63 70 49 / 40 70 90 10
CRESTVIEW 84 63 77 53 / 40 20 80 30
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING FOR ALZ265-266.
FL...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING FOR FLZ202-204-206.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
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