060
FXUS64 KMOB 030602
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
102 AM CDT FRI JUL 3 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 101 AM CDT FRI JUL 3 2026
- A FEW WATERSPOUTS POSSIBLE OVER THE MARINE AREA DURING LATE
NIGHT AND MORNING SHOWERS AND STORMS.
- HEAT INDICES CONTINUE TO BE IN THE 100 TO 107 RANGE FOR THE
AREA THROUGH THE END OF THIS WEEK AND INTO THE WEEKEND.
- PRECIPITATION CHANCES INCREASE OVER THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND,
ESPECIALLY FOR SUNDAY.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1111 PM CDT THU JUL 2 2026
ONCE AGAIN, HOT AND HUMID CONDITIONS CONTINUE ACROSS THE REGION. THE
UPPER RIDGE PERSISTS AND IS CENTERED OVER EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE
OH/TN RIVER VALLEYS INTO THE MID-ATLANTIC. HEAT INDEX VALUES
CONTINUE TO BE JUST BELOW THE HEAT ADVISORY THRESHOLD OF 108-112,
WITH MAXIMUM VALUES OF 100-107 FOR MUCH OF THE AREA THROUGH MID NEXT
WEEK. DRIER AIR MIXING IN WILL AID IN LOWERING AFTERNOON DEWPOINTS
TO THE UPPER 60S AND THEREFORE HEAT INDICES FOR INLAND AREAS TODAY.
EVEN THOUGH WE ARE BELOW CRITERIA, IT IS STILL VERY HOT AND
UNCOMFORTABLE OUTSIDE WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES REACHING INTO THE LOW
TO MID 90S. AS WE RETURN TO DOMINANT SOUTHERLY LOW LEVEL FLOW, THE
INCREASE IN MOISTURE MAY PUT HEAT INDICES ABOVE HEAT ADVISORY
CRITERIA AT SOME POINT MID NEXT WEEK. THERE CONTINUES BE LITTLE
OVERNIGHT RELIEF WITH LOW TEMPERATURES THROUGH MID NEXT WEEK ONLY
REACHING THE LOW TO MID 70S AND EVEN APPROACHING 80 ALONG THE COAST.
ANYBODY OUTDOORS SHOULD DRINK PLENTY OF WATER AND TAKE BREAKS IN A/C
WHEN POSSIBLE.
RAIN CHANCES INCREASE AS WE BECOME LESS DOMINATED BY THE STRONG
RIDGE AS IT WEAKENS SOME OVER THE ATLANTIC AND OUR UPPER LEVEL FLOW
WEAKENS. LOWER PWATS OF 1.5-1.7" FROM THE END OF THIS WEEK BEGIN TO
INCREASE AGAIN STARTING FRIDAY EVENING WITH THE MOISTURE RETURN OF
SOUTHERLY FLOW, REACHING 1.9-2.1" BY SUNDAY THROUGH MID NEXT WEEK.
BEGINNING THIS WEEKEND, WILL BE MORE OF A NORMAL SUMMERTIME PATTERN
WITH DAILY CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE SEA
BREEZE AND RESULTANT OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES. SS/97
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 101 AM CDT FRI JUL 3 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE PERIOD. /13
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1223 PM CDT THU JUL 2 2026
ALTHOUGH RAIN CHANCES ARE LOW OVER THE COASTAL WATERS THE NEXT
COUPLE DAYS, ANY MAINLY VERY ISOLATED LATE NIGHT AND MORNING
SHOWERS AND STORMS OVER THE MARINE AREA BRINGS THE POTENTIAL FOR
WATERSPOUTS. CHANCES MAY BECOME HIGHER AS WE MOVE INTO NEXT WEEK.
OUTSIDE OF THIS, A GENERALLY LIGHT BUT VARYING DIURNAL WIND
EXPECTED IN THE NEAR TERM WITH AN OFFSHORE FLOW LATE IN THE
NIGHT/MORNING, BECOMING MORE ONSHORE EACH AFTERNOON. HIGH PRESSURE
NOSING WESTWARD ACROSS THE FLORIDA PENINSULA INTO THE GULF FAVORS
A MORE ESTABLISHED SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW SUNDAY AND INTO EARLY NEXT
WEEK. SEAS 2 FEET OR LESS. /10
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 95 75 95 75 / 20 0 30 10
PENSACOLA 95 79 95 79 / 10 0 30 10
DESTIN 93 80 93 80 / 10 0 10 10
EVERGREEN 96 74 95 72 / 10 0 30 10
WAYNESBORO 96 75 96 74 / 10 10 20 20
CAMDEN 93 75 92 75 / 10 0 20 10
CRESTVIEW 97 74 96 74 / 10 0 40 0
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...NONE.
FL...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
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