917
FXUS64 KMOB 101744
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1244 PM CDT THU SEP 10 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION, MARINE, AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1241 PM CDT THU SEP 10 2026
- HIGH RAIN CHANCES CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY WITH THE POTENTIAL
FOR LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL MAINLY FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. A FEW
STRONG STORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING STRONG WIND GUSTS WILL BE
POSSIBLE.
- HIGH TEMPERATURE ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE NEXT WEEK WITH HEAT
INDICES POTENTIALLY RANGING FROM 100-107 DEGREES.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1241 PM CDT THU SEP 10 2026
THE UPPER RIDGE OVER THE AREA WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AND MOVE
EAST AS A BROAD TROUGH MOVES INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS. AHEAD OF
THIS TROUGH, A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL MOVE INTO THE TENNESSEE
VALLEY AND STALL BEFORE DISSIPATING FRIDAY NIGHT. DEEP SOUTHERLY
TO SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW WILL AID TO INCREASE PWATS BACK TO AROUND
2.1-2.3". WEAK TROUGHING PERSISTS WEST OF THE MS RIVER THROUGH
THE WEEKEND. THESE FACTORS WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE SCATTERED TO
LOCALLY NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EACH DAY, STARTING IN
THE MORNING NEAR THE COAST AND SPREADING INLAND THROUGH THE DAY.
THE RIDGE BUILDS BACK ACROSS THE AREA EARLY NEXT WEEK, RESULTING
IN LOWER RAIN CHANCES AND WARMING TEMPS.
THE CLOUDS AND RAIN WILL KEEP TEMPS IN THE UPPER 80S AND LOW 90S
THROUGH THE WEEKEND. LOW TO MID 90S RETURN FOR THE START OF NEXT
WEEK. A MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS CONTINUES THROUGH TONIGHT
WITH A LOW RISK EXPECTED THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD. /13
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1241 PM CDT THU SEP 10 2026
GENERAL VFR CONDITIONS WERE NOTED ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA WITH
LOCAL MVFR LEVELS IN CONVECTION MOVING ONSHORE CLOSER TO THE COAST
FROM AN UPPER SYSTEM CENTERED OVER THE WESTERN LOUISIANA GULF COAST.
THIS CONVECTION WILL CONTINUE CLOSER TO THE COAST THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON, WITH MORE DEVELOPING INLAND. A DOWNWARD TURN WILL OCCUR
OVERNIGHT IN THE NEAR COASTAL CONVECTION, BUT MAY STILL AFFECT
COASTAL AREAS. THIS CONVECTION WILL MOVE ONSHORE AROUND SUNRISE OR A
BIT BEFORE, WITH DROPS TO MID MVFR LEVELS POSSIBLE IN THE
CONVECTION. GENERAL SOUTHERLY WINDS 5 TO 10 KNOTS THIS AFTERNOON,
AROUND 10 KNOTS ALONG THE COAST, ARE EXPECTED INTO TONIGHT, BECOMING
LIGHT INLAND FROM THE COAST. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN THE 5
TO 10 KNOTS NEAR THE COAST TONIGHT. GENERAL SOUTHERLY 5 TO 10 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED SATURDAY MORNING, A BIT STRONGER NEAR THE COAST. /16
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1241 PM CDT THU SEP 10 2026
NO IMPACTS EXPECTED OTHER THAN LOCALLY HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS
POSSIBLE NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. /13
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 74 88 74 90 / 70 60 50 70
PENSACOLA 78 88 77 89 / 60 80 60 80
DESTIN 79 88 79 88 / 50 70 60 70
EVERGREEN 71 90 71 91 / 20 70 40 70
WAYNESBORO 72 90 72 92 / 20 90 40 70
CAMDEN 72 89 72 91 / 20 60 50 70
CRESTVIEW 73 89 73 91 / 50 60 50 80
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...NONE.
FL...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
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