577
FXUS64 KMOB 091746
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1146 AM CST TUE DEC 9 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1144 AM CST TUE DEC 9 2025
- BREEZY CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AHEAD OF
THE NEXT FRONT.
- WARMER TEMPERATURES EXPECTED FOR THE MIDDLE TO END OF THE WEEK
FOLLOWED BY A COOL DOWN EARLY NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 105 AM CST TUE DEC 9 2025
MUCH DRIER AND COLDER AIR CONTINUES TO FILTER INTO THE AREA EARLY
THIS MORNING BEHIND A POTENT COLD FRONT. TEMPERATURES HAVE ALREADY
CRASHED INTO THE 30S INLAND WITH LOW 40S AT THE BEACHES AS OF
MIDNIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO TUMBLE DOWN INTO THE UPPER
20S TO LOW 30S ACROSS INLAND COMMUNITIES WITH UPPER 30S AT THE
BEACHES BY AROUND SUNRISE. THE FORECAST REMAINS ON TRACK THIS
MORNING AND THROUGH THE REST OF THE PERIOD.
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE AREA IN THE WAKE OF THE COLD FRONT
TODAY. EXPECT ONE MORE DAY AND NIGHT OF CHILLY TEMPERATURES BEFORE
THE ROLLER COASTER OF TEMPERATURES BEGINS. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT
INCREASES ACROSS THE AREA ON WEDNESDAY BETWEEN THE SURFACE HIGH OVER
THE GULF AND A QUICK-MOVING SURFACE LOW PIVOTING ACROSS THE GREAT
LAKES REGION. ONSHORE FLOW RAMPS UP WITH BREEZY CONDITIONS EXPECTED
IN THE AFTERNOON ON WEDNESDAY, ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE NORTHERN HALF
OF OUR AREA. TEMPERATURES QUICKLY REBOUND ON WEDNESDAY IN THIS
REGIME WITH HIGHS TOPPING OUT IN THE 60S - A FEW SPOTS MAY EVEN
APPROACH 70°. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL SAG INTO THE AREA LATE
WEDNESDAY AS THE SURFACE LOW JET SETS OFF TO THE NORTHEAST.
TEMPERATURES WILL NOSE DIVE BACK INTO THE 30S AND 40S WEDNESDAY
NIGHT INTO EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. HIGH PRESSURE MOVES BACK INTO THE
AREA ON THURSDAY IN THE WAKE OF THAT FRONT. STEADY ONSHORE FLOW
DEVELOPS ON THE BACKSIDE OF THE HIGH AS IT CONTINUES TO TREK
EASTWARD, SO EXPECT ANOTHER MODERATING TREND WITH THE TEMPERATURES.
THE WARMEST DAY IN THE FORECAST PERIOD IS SATURDAY WITH HIGHS
TOPPING OUT IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOW 70S AREA-WIDE. YET ANOTHER FRONT
SLIDES INTO THE AREA EARLY ON SUNDAY. WHILE MOISTURE RETURN ISN'T
OPTIMAL FOR THIS FRONT (SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED FRONT),
WE CANNOT RULE OUT SOME RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING HOURS. THE
BLENDED FORECAST IS DRY RIGHT NOW, BUT DON'T BE SURPRISED IF WE SEE
RAIN CHANCES START TO CREEP UP, ESPECIALLY WEST OF I-65. OVERNIGHT
TEMPERATURES CRASH INTO THE 30S AND 40S AGAIN SUNDAY NIGHT INTO
MONDAY MORNING. THE NEXT CHANCE FOR MORE SUBSTANTIAL RAIN WILL
PROBABLY COME IN THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.
BEACH FORECAST - RIP CURRENT RISK REMAINS LOW THROUGH THE WEEKEND IN
THE CURRENT PATTERN. HOWEVER, THE CURRENT PROBABILISTIC DATA HAS
STARTED SHOWING THE POSSIBILITY OF REACHING A MODERATE RISK IN THE
LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS ON WEDNESDAY FOR OUR FLORIDA
BEACHES, ESPECIALLY DESTIN. 07/MB
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1144 AM CST TUE DEC 9 2025
VFR CONDITIONS PREVAIL THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS. /13
MARINE
ISSUED AT 105 AM CST TUE DEC 9 2025
NORTHERLY WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY RELAX EARLY THIS
MORNING. WESTERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED IN THE
MIDDLE TO END OF THE WEEK. SOUTHERLY WINDS DEVELOP ON FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY AHEAD OF ANOTHER COLD FRONT THAT SLIDES THROUGH LATE IN
THE WEEKEND. 07/MB
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 56 39 67 40 / 0 0 0 0
PENSACOLA 56 45 65 44 / 0 0 0 0
DESTIN 57 46 66 46 / 0 0 0 0
EVERGREEN 57 32 66 36 / 0 0 0 0
WAYNESBORO 55 34 64 35 / 0 0 0 0
CAMDEN 54 33 63 34 / 0 0 0 0
CRESTVIEW 57 32 66 38 / 0 0 0 0
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...NONE.
FL...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
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