602
FXUS64 KMOB 232314
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
614 PM CDT FRI OCT 23 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 612 PM CDT FRI OCT 23 2026
- MODERATE TO STRONG NORTHEAST WINDS WILL CREATE HAZARDOUS
CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT OVER MOST OF THE MARINE AREA FRIDAY
NIGHT CONTINUING INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
- A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS IS EXPECTED FOR BEACH AREAS FROM
SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1223 PM CDT FRI OCT 23 2026
LATEST WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS AN AMPLIFIED RIDGE OVER THE
CENTRAL CONUS, WITH TROUGHING ALONG THE ATLANTIC SEABOARD. AT THE
SURFACE, HIGH PRESSURE ENCOMPASSES MUCH OF THE EASTERN CONUS,
WITH NORTHEASTERLY WINDS OVER THE LOCAL AREA. CURRENTLY,
TEMPERATURES ARE IN THE MID 70S AND WITH PLENTIFUL SUNSHINE,
EXPECT HIGHS TO TOP OUT IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 80S. MEANWHILE,
THE DRIER AIR FILTERING IN HAS SENT DEWPOINTS INTO THE UPPER 40S
TO LOWER 50S AREAWIDE. WITH THE SURFACE HEATING AND BOUNDARY LAYER
MIXING, RH VALUES WILL BOTTOM OUT BELOW 30 PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON.
WINDS HAVE GENERALLY REMAINED LIGHT, BUT COLD AIR DAMMING SETTING
UP ON THE EASTERN SIDE OF THE APPALACHIANS WILL TIGHTEN THE
PRESSURE GRADIENT AND LEAD TO INCREASING WINDS BEGINNING TONIGHT
AND CONTINUING THROUGH THROUGH TOMORROW. THE COMBINATION OF LOW
RHS AND STRONG WINDS MAY SET THE SCENE FOR FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS,
SO CAUTION SHOULD BE USED IF ANY OUTDOOR BURNING IS NECESSARY.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE ON THE COOLER SIDE TONIGHT, AS RADIATIONAL
COOLING SETS UP UNDER CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS. LOWS WILL DROP
INTO THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 50S, BEFORE WARMING INTO THE 70S
DURING THE AFTERNOON. DRY CONDITIONS WILL ALSO PREVAIL THROUGH THE
DAY, WITH SUFFICIENT MIXING ALLOWING DEWPOINTS TO DROP INTO THE
40S ONCE AGAIN, LEADING TO RH VALUES IN THE 25 TO 30 PERCENT
RANGE. THIS PATTERN WILL GENERALLY CONTINUE INTO THE WEEKEND, WITH
A MODERATING TREND EXPECTED TO BEING THE NEW WORK WEEK. EXPECT
OVERNIGHT LOWS TO FALL INTO THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 50S EACH NIGHT,
WITH HIGHS NEAR SEASONAL NORMS, IN THE MID TO UPPER 70S. /73
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 612 PM CDT FRI OCT 23 2026
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE FORECAST. A TIGHTENING OF THE
PRESSURE GRADIENT OVER THE NORTHERN GULF IS EXPECTED TO BRING AN
INCREASE IN EASTERLY WINDS SATURDAY, ESPECIALLY OVER AREA CLOSER
TO THE COAST.
/16
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1223 PM CDT FRI OCT 23 2026
LIGHT TO MODERATE EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS THIS MORNING
GRADUALLY BECOME MODERATE TO STRONG THIS EVENING INTO TONIGHT AND
PERSISTING THROUGH AT LEAST MONDAY. MODERATE EASTERLY TO
NORTHEASTERLY FLOW PREVAILS TUESDAY INTO THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.
SEAS INCREASE TO 4 TO 8 FEET SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY, GRADUALLY
TAPERING TO 3 TO 4 FEET BY TUESDAY. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS
IN EFFECT FROM 1AM SATURDAY THROUGH 1AM MONDAY.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 52 76 53 77 / 0 0 0 0
PENSACOLA 57 76 58 77 / 0 0 0 0
DESTIN 57 76 59 77 / 0 0 0 0
EVERGREEN 46 75 49 75 / 0 0 0 0
WAYNESBORO 46 77 47 77 / 0 0 0 0
CAMDEN 46 72 48 73 / 0 0 0 0
CRESTVIEW 49 77 53 77 / 0 0 0 0
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY
EVENING FOR ALZ265-266.
FL...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY
EVENING FOR FLZ202-204-206.
MS...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 1 AM SATURDAY TO 1 AM CDT MONDAY FOR
GMZ650-655-670-675.
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