086
FXUS64 KMOB 181843
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
143 PM CDT WED MAR 18 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION, AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 139 PM CDT WED MAR 18 2026
- TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO WARM BY THE END OF THIS WEEK AND
WILL REMAIN ABOVE AVERAGE THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY
NEXT WEEK.
- NO HAZARDS ARE ANTICIPATED OVER THE NEXT 7 DAYS.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 139 PM CDT WED MAR 18 2026
NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MUCH OF THE PERIOD
AS OUR LOCAL AREA REMAINS SANDWICHED BETWEEN UPPER-LEVEL
TROUGHING OVER THE EASTERN US AND STRONG UPPER RIDGING OVER THE
WESTERN US. AT THE SURFACE, HIGH PRESSURE CURRENTLY CENTERED
OVERHEAD THIS AFTERNOON, WILL EVENTUALLY SETTLE OVER THE NORTHERN
GULF STARTING FRIDAY. WITH THE HIGH IN PLACE, ALONG WITH THE DRY
NORTHWESTERLY FLOW PATTERN ALOFT, NO RAIN IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE
REMAINDER OF THE WEEK AND INTO THE WEEKEND. BY EARLY NEXT WEEK,
SOME GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THAT A WEAK COLD FRONT MAY APPROACH AND
PASS ACROSS THE AREA. ALTHOUGH THE CURRENT FORECAST MAINTAINS DRY
CONDITIONS THROUGH NEXT WEDNESDAY, PROBABILISTIC GUIDANCE DOES
SUGGEST A MODEST INCREASE IN MOISTURE VALUES (20-30% CHANCE OF
PWATS EXCEEDING 1.2 INCHES) EARLY NEXT WEEK. THEREFORE, I WOULD
NOT BE SURPRISED TO SEE RAIN CHANCES COME UP SLIGHTLY OVER THE
NEXT FEW FORECAST CYCLES FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK IF THIS SOLUTION DOES
PAN OUT. OTHERWISE, TEMPERATURES WILL QUICKLY WARM OVER THE
COMING DAYS. AFTER HIGHS IN THE 60S TODAY AND LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S TO LOW 40S TONIGHT, HIGHS BY THE WEEKEND WILL REACH THE LOW TO
MID 80S (UPPER 70S ALONG THE COAST) AND LOWS WILL ONLY DROP INTO
THE UPPER 50S TO LOW 60S. A LOW RISK OF RIP CURRENTS CONTINUES
THROUGH THE WEEK AND INTO THE UPCOMING WEEKEND. /96
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 139 PM CDT WED MAR 18 2026
VFR CONDITIONS, ALONG WITH LIGHT AND RATHER VARIABLE WINDS, IS
EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. /96
MARINE
ISSUED AT 619 AM CDT WED MAR 18 2026
LIGHT TO MODERATE OFFSHORE FLOW WILL BECOME LIGHT AND VARIABLE
TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY. A LIGHT TO MODERATE WESTERLY TO
SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW BECOMES PREVALENT ON FRIDAY AND INTO THE
UPCOMING WEEKEND. /13
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 42 73 50 78 / 0 0 0 0
PENSACOLA 44 69 52 74 / 0 0 0 0
DESTIN 47 68 53 72 / 0 0 0 0
EVERGREEN 36 74 44 80 / 0 0 0 0
WAYNESBORO 40 74 48 80 / 0 0 0 0
CAMDEN 38 73 46 79 / 0 0 0 0
CRESTVIEW 34 73 43 79 / 0 0 0 0
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...NONE.
FL...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
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