872
FXUS64 KMOB 231135
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
635 AM CDT THU JUL 23 2026
..NEW UPDATE, AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 628 AM CDT THU JUL 23 2026
- MINOR COASTAL FLOODING IS LIKELY THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS,
ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE NORTHERN REACHES OF MOBILE BAY.
- DANGEROUS AND LIFE-THREATENING BEACH CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST
THROUGH THE DAY.
- HEAT BUILDS OVER THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK AND HEAT
ADVISORIES OR EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNINGS MAY BECOME NECESSARY.
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 628 AM CDT THU JUL 23 2026
FORECAST IS ON TRACK WITH NO CHANGES NECESSARY THIS MORNING. MINOR
COASTAL FLOODING CONTINUES IN THE NORTHERN REACHES OF MOBILE BAY
WHERE SPLASHOVER CAN BE SEEN ON TRAFFIC CAMERAS ALONG THE
CAUSEWAY. HIGH TIDE OCCURS SOON, SO WATER LEVELS WILL BEGIN
RECEDING THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE MORNING. 07/MB
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1236 AM CDT THU JUL 23 2026
TROPICAL STORM BERTHA CONTINUES TO MOVE WESTWARD AND AWAY FROM
THE AREA. THIS WILL CONTINUE TO TAKE THE MAIN EFFECTS WELL AWAY
FROM THE AREA, HOWEVER A MOIST SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE WITH
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON. THE HIGHEST
RAIN CHANCES WILL BE ACROSS NORTHWEST AREAS CLOSER TO THE
INFLUENCE OF A WEAK UPPER TROUGH. BY THE END OF THE WEEK INTO THE
WEEKEND, THE UPPER RIDGE TO THE WEST EXPANDS EASTWARD AND SOME
DRYER AIR MOVES INTO THE AREA. THIS WILL LEAD TO LOWER RAIN
CHANCES AND WARMER TEMPS. THIS TREND CONTINUE INTO NEXT WEEK WITH
ISOLATED SHOWERS AND STORMS POSSIBLE EACH DAY. THE MAIN WEATHER
STORY WILL BE THE RETURN OF HIGH HEAT INDICES WITH HIGH
TEMPERATURES INCREASING INTO THE MIDDLE TO UPPER 90S AND APPARENT
TEMPERATURES CLIMBING TO BETWEEN 100-107 OVER THE WEEKEND AND
105-112 EARLY IN THE WORK WEEK.
A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS CONTINUES THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT
DROPPING TO MODERATE FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. /13
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 628 AM CDT THU JUL 23 2026
VFR CONDITIONS PREVAIL THROUGH THE TAF CYCLE. A FEW RAINBANDS WILL
CONTINUE TO ROTATE ONSHORE THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS WITH A BRIEF
BURST OF RAIN POSSIBLE. OCCASIONAL WIND GUSTS TO AROUND 20 KTS
ARE EXPECTED THROUGHOUT THE DAY ACROSS THE WESTERN HALF OF THE
AREA IN THE WAKE OF BERTHA. 07/MB
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1236 AM CDT THU JUL 23 2026
TROPICAL STORM BERTHA CONTINUE TO MOVE WEST ACROSS THE GULF THIS
MORNING. WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY RELAX THROUGH THE DAY
IN THE WAKE OF BERTHA WITH SEAS REMAINING ELEVATED AROUND 7-9
FEET THROUGH AT LEAST MID-MORNING FOR THE GULF WATERS. A DIURNAL
PATTERN DEVELOPS LATER THIS WEEK THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH
SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS DURING THE DAY BECOMING WESTERLY TO
NORTHWESTERLY OVERNIGHT AND INTO THE PRE-DAWN HOURS EACH DAY.
07/MB
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 91 74 94 74 / 20 10 10 0
PENSACOLA 90 77 93 77 / 10 0 0 0
DESTIN 89 77 91 78 / 0 0 0 0
EVERGREEN 93 72 95 73 / 20 0 10 10
WAYNESBORO 93 74 97 73 / 30 10 10 0
CAMDEN 91 74 92 75 / 30 10 20 0
CRESTVIEW 93 71 97 73 / 0 0 0 0
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM CDT THIS MORNING FOR
ALZ263>266.
HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK THROUGH LATE TONIGHT FOR ALZ265-266.
HIGH SURF WARNING UNTIL 3 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR ALZ265-266.
FL...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM CDT THIS MORNING FOR FLZ202-
204-206.
HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK THROUGH LATE TONIGHT FOR FLZ202-204-206.
HIGH SURF WARNING UNTIL 3 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR FLZ202-204-
206.
MS...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM CDT THIS MORNING FOR GMZ630>632.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 1 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR GMZ650-
655-670-675.
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