535
FXUS64 KMOB 221839
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
139 PM CDT TUE SEP 22 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION, MARINE
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 119 PM CDT TUE SEP 22 2026
- SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP THIS
AFTERNOON MAINLY EAST OF I-65. A FEW STORMS COULD BE STRONG
WITH GUSTY WINDS BEING THE MAIN THREAT.
- ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES PUSH HEAT INDICES INTO THE 98-104
DEGREE RANGE THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
- A COOLER AND DRIER AIRMASS MOVES INTO THE AREA LATE THIS WEEK
INTO THE WEEKEND.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 138 PM CDT TUE SEP 22 2026
AN UPPER RIDGE OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS WILL AMPLIFY THROUGH
FRIDAY AS IT REMAINS CENTERED WEST OF THE AREA. MEANWHILE, A
SHORTWAVE MOVING ACROSS THE MIDWEST WILL HELP CARVE OUT A LONG
WAVE TROUGH OFF THE EAST COAST BY FRIDAY. CURRENT VISIBLE
SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE INFLUENCE OF THE UPPER RIDGE WITH MOST
OF THE CUMULUS DEVELOPMENT EAST OF I-65 WITH STRONGER SUBSIDENCE
TO THE WEST CREATING CLEAR SKIES. RADAR IMAGERY INDICATES SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS INCREASING IN COVERAGE ACROSS AREAS EAST OF I-65
MOVING SOUTHWEST. A FEW OF THESE STORMS COULD BECOME STRONG WITH
GUSTY WINDS AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING THE MAIN THREATS. SHOWERS AND
STORMS REMAIN ISOLATED ON WEDNESDAY AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING FRONT.
THIS FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA LATE WEDNESDAY INTO
THURSDAY WITH A MUCH DRIER AND SLIGHTLY COOLER AIRMASS MOVING INTO
THE AREA. A DRY NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT PREVAILS THROUGH THE END OF
THE WEEK. BY EARLY NEXT WEEK, THE RIDGE WEAKENS AS A SHORTWAVE
DIGS ACROSS THE PLAINS STATES. INCREASING MOISTURE AND A WEAKENING
UPPER RIDGE WILL BRING RAIN CHANCES BACK INTO THE AREA FOR THE
START OF NEXT WEEK. /13
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1231 PM CDT TUE SEP 22 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD. WITH PLENTY OF
MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY IN PLACE, SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS
ARE EXPECTED FOR MOST OF THE AREA FROM NOW THROUGH THE EVENING
HOURS. ONCE DAYTIME STORMS END, WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO CALM
OVERNIGHT BEFORE YET ANOTHER MORNING OF NORTHEAST FLOW.
/KL
MARINE
ISSUED AT 138 PM CDT TUE SEP 22 2026
A LIGHT DIURNAL FLOW PREVAILS THROUGH WEDNESDAY, WITH WINDS BECOMING
ONSHORE FLOW EACH AFTERNOON THEN OFFSHORE AT NIGHT. A LIGHT
TO MODERATE NORTHEASTERLY FLOW DEVELOPS THURSDAY AND BRIEFLY BECOMES
A BIT STRONGER ON FRIDAY. SEAS WILL BE AROUND 1 FOOT, THEN SLOWLY
BUILD TO 2 TO 4 FEET THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 72 93 73 91 / 20 10 10 20
PENSACOLA 75 92 75 89 / 20 10 10 10
DESTIN 76 91 74 88 / 10 10 10 10
EVERGREEN 69 93 69 88 / 20 10 20 10
WAYNESBORO 70 94 69 91 / 0 0 0 10
CAMDEN 70 93 69 87 / 20 10 20 10
CRESTVIEW 70 93 71 89 / 20 10 10 10
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...NONE.
FL...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
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