177
FXUS64 KMOB 030545
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1245 AM CDT MON AUG 3 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION, AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1245 AM CDT MON AUG 3 2026
- A MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT
FOR ALL AREA BEACHES.
- DRIER AIR FILTERING INTO THE AREA WILL LOWER RAIN CHANCES
THROUGH TUESDAY.
- HEAT INDICES WILL INCREASE THE LATTER HALF OF THE WEEK, REACHING
BETWEEN 100-107 DEGREES THURSDAY INTO THE WEEKEND.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1245 AM CDT MON AUG 3 2026
THE COLD FRONT THAT PASSED THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA ON SUNDAY HAS
MOVED OFF THE COAST AS WEAK SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE
REGION FROM THE WEST. THE BOUNDARY WILL THEN WAVER ALONG THE COAST
AS A SEA-BREEZE PUSHES SLIGHTLY INLAND BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND
THEN SOUTH OF THE COAST BY TUESDAY MORNING DUE TO DEVELOPING
LAND- BREEZE. WEAK SYNOPTIC LOW-LEVEL FLOW CONTINUES THROUGH
TUESDAY, BUT THE SEA-BREEZE SHOULD PUSH AS FAR NORTH AS HIGHWAY-84
BY EARLY TUESDAY EVENING. A MORE ESTABLISHED SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL
OCCUR ON WEDNESDAY ALONG THE WESTERLY PERIPHERY OF A HIGH PRESSURE
AREA SETTING UP TO OUR EAST. THE UPPER TROUGH CURRENTLY
STRETCHING FROM THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES TO THE NORTHERN GULF WILL
SLOWLY PUSH EASTWARD WITH THE AXIS EXITING OUR AREA BY THE END OF
THE DAY. WE STILL EXPECT THIS TROUGH TO DISSIPATE TONIGHT WITH AN
UPPER CUTOFF LOW BEING LEFT BEHIND CENTERED OVER NORTHERN GEORGIA
THAT WILL SLOWLY LIFT NORTHWARD OVER THE TENNESSEE VALLEY INTO
MIDWEEK.
A VERY DRY AIRMASS ABOVE 700 MB WILL CONTINUE TO FILTER IN FROM
THE NORTH-NORTHWEST RESULTING IN MAINLY DRY CONDITIONS TODAY AND
TUESDAY. HOWEVER, WITH MOISTURE LINGERING BELOW 700 MB THROUGH
MIDWEEK, ISOLATED LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING SHOWERS AND A FEW
STORMS REMAIN POSSIBLE ACROSS OUR COASTAL AREAS DUE TO LOW-LEVEL
FORCING ALONG THE SEA-BREEZE AND ACROSS OUR EASTERN ZONES IN
CLOSER PROXIMITY TO THE UPPER LOW. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL RETURN WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON, MAINLY ALONG
AND EAST OF I-65 AS WE RETURN TO A DIURNAL CONVECTIVE PATTERN.
HIGH TEMPERATURES TODAY IN THE UPPER 80S TO LOWER 90S WILL WARM
INTO THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 90S TUESDAY THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE
WEEK. APPARENT TEMPERATURES (HEAT INDICES) WILL INCREASE EACH DAY
AS SURFACE BOUNDARY MOISTURE IS PULLED NORTHWARD FROM THE GULF,
REACHING BETWEEN 100-107 DEGREES THURSDAY INTO THE WEEKEND, BUT
SHOULD REMAIN BELOW HEAT ADVISORY CRITERIA.
BEACH FORECAST: A MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS THROUGH TONIGHT
WILL BECOME LOW TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. /22
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1245 AM CDT MON AUG 3 2026
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL THROUGH MONDAY EVENING.
CALM OR LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS OVERNIGHT BECOME NORTHWESTERLY
AROUND 5 KNOTS OVER INTERIOR AREAS ON MONDAY, WHILE CLOSER TO THE
COAST A SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW AT 5-10 KNOTS DEVELOPS IN THE
AFTERNOON. /29
MARINE
ISSUED AT 149 PM CDT SUN AUG 2 2026
MODERATE WESTERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS GRADUALLY WEAKEN TONIGHT,
BRIEFLY BECOMING NORTHWESTERLY TO WESTERLY. SMALL CRAFT SHOULD
EXERCISE CAUTION OVER THE GULF WATERS THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO THE
EVENING HOURS. A LIGHT TO MODERATE WESTERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW
DEVELOPS ON MONDAY, BECOMING MORE SOUTHERLY BY WEDNESDAY. LIGHT
TO MODERATE SOUTHEASTERLY TO EASTERLY FLOW DEVELOPS FOR THE LATTER
PART OF THE WEEK. /96
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 91 72 93 74 / 10 10 20 0
PENSACOLA 90 76 91 77 / 10 10 20 0
DESTIN 89 77 89 78 / 10 0 10 0
EVERGREEN 90 69 92 71 / 10 0 10 0
WAYNESBORO 92 70 94 71 / 0 0 0 0
CAMDEN 89 70 90 71 / 10 10 10 0
CRESTVIEW 91 70 92 71 / 10 10 30 0
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK UNTIL 6 AM CDT EARLY THIS MORNING FOR
ALZ265-266.
FL...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK UNTIL 6 AM CDT EARLY THIS MORNING FOR
FLZ202-204-206.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
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