499
FXUS64 KMOB 191742
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1242 PM CDT SAT SEP 19 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1240 PM CDT SAT SEP 19 2026
- SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND
AND INTO THE BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK. A FEW STORMS COULD BE
STRONG WITH GUSTY WINDS BEING THE MAIN THREAT.
- ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES PUSH HEAT INDICES INTO THE 100-106
DEGREE RANGE SATURDAY THROUGH THE BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1240 PM CDT SAT SEP 19 2026
LATEST WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS A RATHER AMPLIFIED RIDGE OVER THE
PLAINS AND MISSISSIPPI VALLEY, WITH A LOW SPINNING OVER THE EASTERN
GULF AS WELL AS OVER THE NORTHERN ROCKIES. AT THE SURFACE, WINDS
ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA HAVE BEEN RELATIVITY WEAK AND UNDER PLENTIFUL
SUNSHINE, TEMPS HAVING RISEN INTO THE LOWER 90S. THROUGH THE
REMAINDER OF THE DAY, WE MAY SEE ISOLATED CONVECTION LATER IN THE
DAY, AS THE INFLUENCE OF THE AFOREMENTIONED RIDGE LESSENS AS IT
NUDGES WEST A BIT. A FEW BRIEF WIND GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE WITH ANY
STORM THAT DEVELOPS AND, LIKE IS TYPICAL, ACTIVITY WILL LIKELY
DIMINISH AFTER SUNSET.
THE UPPER LOW OVER THE EASTERN GULF WILL REMAIN NEARLY STEADY STATE
AS THE RIDGE TO OUR WEST MAINTAINS SOME HOLD THROUGH SUNDAY. DESPITE
THIS, THE COVERAGE OF RAIN ON SUNDAY IS LIKELY TO BE HIGHER THAN
NORMAL, AS WEAKNESSES IN THE RIDGE AID IN CONVECTION INITIATED BY
THE SEA BREEZE. THE BETTER CHANCES WILL BE ACROSS OUR SOUTHERN AND
EASTERN ZONES, WHERE SCATTERED TO POTENTIALLY NUMEROUS STORMS
DEVELOP. LIKE TODAY, GUSTY WINDS ARE POSSIBLE, ALONG WITH LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL. THE RIDGE WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AND RETROGRADE TO
THE WEST AS THE LOW CURRENTLY OVER THE ROCKIES SHIFTS EASTWARD
THROUGH THE PLAINS. SIMILAR CONDITIONS ARE ANTICIPATED FOR MONDAY,
THOUGH WITH LESSER COVERAGE OF STORMS. BY TUESDAY, THE RIDGE WILL BE
WEST OF THE AREA, WHILE A SHORTWAVE MOVES THROUGH THE UPPER
MISSISSIPPI AND OHIO VALLEYS. AS THE SHORTWAVE CONTINUES TO MOVE
EASTWARD, THE LOW OVER THE GULF WILL BECOME ABSORBED IN THE
SHORTWAVE AND THE SHORTWAVE WILL MOVE WELL EAST OF THE AREA BY THE
END OF THE WEEK. UPPER RIDGING WILL BUILD IN ONCE AGAIN FOR THE
LATTER HALF OF THE WORKWEEK, BRINGING A RETURN OF DRY AND HOT
CONDITIONS. /73
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1240 PM CDT SAT SEP 19 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE DURING THE AFTERNOON, BUT CONFIDENCE IS
TOO LOW TO ADD MENTION IN THE TAFS. /73
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1240 PM CDT SAT SEP 19 2026
A MAINLY LIGHT DIURNAL FLOW PREVAILS THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK
WITH WINDS TRENDING TO AN OCCASIONALLY MODERATE ONSHORE FLOW EACH
AFTERNOON THEN OFFSHORE AT NIGHT. SEAS WILL BE 1 TO 2 FEET. /73
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 73 94 73 92 / 0 30 10 40
PENSACOLA 77 91 76 90 / 10 40 30 40
DESTIN 77 89 76 88 / 10 40 30 40
EVERGREEN 70 94 69 94 / 20 20 10 10
WAYNESBORO 72 96 70 95 / 10 10 10 10
CAMDEN 71 95 71 94 / 20 20 10 10
CRESTVIEW 72 92 71 92 / 10 50 20 30
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...NONE.
FL...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
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