456
FXUS64 KMOB 310615
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
115 AM CDT TUE MAR 31 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 115 AM CDT TUE MAR 31 2026
- RIP CURRENT RISK INCREASES TO HIGH FOR COASTAL ALABAMA AND
NORTHWEST FLORIDA BEACHES WEDNESDAY THROUGH AT LEAST FRIDAY.
- ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS EACH DAY THIS WEEK
WITH A MORE SUBSTANTIAL CHANCE FOR SOAKING RAIN LATE IN THE
WEEKEND.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 101 AM CDT TUE MAR 31 2026
DEEP ONSHORE FLOW PERSISTS THROUGH AT LEAST MID WEEK AS THE AREA
REMAINS ON THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF RIDGING ALOFT AND A SURFACE
HIGH. PATCH FOG DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE EACH NIGHT THIS WEEK IN
THIS PATTERN. A VERY SUBTLE SHORTWAVE SLIDES ACROSS THE NORTHERN
GULF ON WEDNESDAY AND MAY PROVIDE JUST ENOUGH FORCING DURING PEAK
DAYTIME HEATING FOR MORE SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS BY LATE
AFTERNOON. BEST COVERAGE FOR SHOWERS AND STORMS ON WEDNESDAY WILL
BE GENERALLY WEST OF I-65. COVERAGE ON THURSDAY AND FRIDAY WILL BE
MORE ISOLATED, DESPITE A SHORTWAVE TROUGH PIVOTING ACROSS THE
PLAINS DURING THIS TIMEFRAME AS ANY REAL FORCING REMAINS WELL
NORTH OF THE REGION. ANOTHER TROUGH SWINGS ACROSS THE PLAINS AS WE
ROLL INTO THE WEEKEND. A SURFACE LOW ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROUGH
QUICKLY EJECTS OUT OF THE PLAINS AND TOWARD THE GREAT LAKES REGION
EARLY ON SATURDAY. THE COLD FRONT TRAILING WAY BEHIND THE LOW
WILL EVENTUALLY SLIP INTO OUR AREA LATE IN THE WEEKEND. A LINE OF
SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL LIKELY ACCOMPANY THE FRONT. WHILE WE
AREN'T CURRENTLY LOOKING AT SEVERE WEATHER WITH THIS BATCH OF
STORMS OVER THE WEEKEND, WE WILL LIKELY GET SOME MUCH NEEDED RAIN.
THE FRONT WILL KNOCK BOTH THE HIGH AND LOW TEMPERATURES DOWN A
GOOD 10-15 DEGREES BY EARLY NEXT WEEK.
BEACH FORECAST - RISK FOR RIP CURRENTS IS MODERATE TODAY, BUT
QUICKLY INCREASES TO A HIGH RISK WEDNESDAY THROUGH AT LEAST FRIDAY.
07/MB
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 115 AM CDT TUE MAR 31 2026
IFR TO LIFR CEILINGS WITH PATCHY FOG WILL LIKELY BE
PREDOMINATE OVER THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL PORTIONS OF THE AREA
OVERNIGHT, THEN IMPROVE TO VFR CONDITIONS DURING TUESDAY
MORNING. ELSEWHERE, MVFR TO IFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVERNIGHT
WHICH LIKEWISE IMPROVE TO VFR TUESDAY MORNING. CALM OR LIGHT
SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS OVERNIGHT BECOME SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST AROUND 10
KNOTS ON TUESDAY. /29
MARINE
ISSUED AT 101 AM CDT TUE MAR 31 2026
NO SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEK IN THE
SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW. STRONG NORTHERLY FLOW BEHIND A COLD FRONT
EARLY NEXT WEEK MAY BRING A BRIEF PERIOD OF ADVISORY LEVEL
CONDITIONS. 07/MB
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 80 65 81 63 / 50 10 50 0
PENSACOLA 76 65 77 64 / 50 20 40 0
DESTIN 74 65 75 64 / 30 10 40 0
EVERGREEN 82 60 84 58 / 40 10 50 0
WAYNESBORO 82 63 83 62 / 60 10 70 0
CAMDEN 82 61 83 59 / 50 10 60 0
CRESTVIEW 81 61 83 59 / 40 10 40 0
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...NONE.
FL...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
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