059
FXUS64 KMOB 310541
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1241 AM CDT FRI JUL 31 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1232 AM CDT FRI JUL 31 2026
- THUNDERSTORM CHANCES INCREASE TODAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND. A FEW
STORMS MAY PRODUCE STRONG TO LOCALLY DAMAGING WIND GUSTS,
TORRENTIAL RAINFALL, AND FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING.
- A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS IS EXPECTED TO RETURN THIS WEEKEND
FOR ALL AREA BEACHES.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1141 PM CDT THU JUL 30 2026
AN ACTIVE PATTERN CONTINUES INTO THIS WEEKEND AS THE UPPER RIDGE
CONTINUES TO SHIFT WESTWARD AND AN UPPER TROUGH DIGS ACROSS THE
EASTERN STATES. A STRONGER SHORTWAVE MOVING THROUGH THIS TROUGH
WILL SEND A WEAK FRONT SOUTHWARD INTO THE AREA THIS WEEKEND,
LIKELY STALLING NEAR OR NORTH OF THE AREA. THE COOLER MID LEVELS
TEMPS COMBINED WITH APPROACHING BOUNDARY AND DAYTIME HEATING WILL
LEAD TO THE DEVELOPMENT OF SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS EACH DAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND. SHOWERS AND STORMS
WILL BE MOST NUMEROUS DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING
HOURS. WITH THE INCREASED RAIN CHANCES, TEMPS WILL BE IN THE UPPER
80S AND LOW 90S IN MOST AREAS. HEAT INDEX VALUES WILL GENERALLY BE
BELOW ADVISORY LEVELS, HOWEVER SOME AREAS COULD REACH AROUND 108
BEFORE STORMS DEVELOP. AS WE HEAD INTO NEXT WEEK THE UPPER TROUGH
LIFTS OUT AND WE GRADUALLY GET UPPER RIDGING TO WORK ITS WAY BACK
INTO THE AREA. AFTERNOON HIGHS WARM INTO THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 90S
AGAIN AND RAIN CHANCES DIMINISH TO MORE ISOLATED TO SCATTERED
COVERAGE EACH DAY NEXT WEEK.
A FEW STORMS COULD BECOME STRONG OR BRIEFLY SEVERE EACH DAY WITH
DAMAGING WINDS THE MAIN THREAT IN ADDITION TO FREQUENT LIGHTNING.
A VERY MOIST ATMOSPHERE COMBINED WITH SLOW MOVING STORMS WILL ALSO
CREATE LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN WHICH COULD CAUSE SOME LOCALIZED FLASH
FLOODING TO DEVELOP. A MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS CONTINUES
TODAY, BECOMING HIGH THIS WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. /13
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1241 AM CDT FRI JUL 31 2026
A FEW PATCHES OF FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT MAINLY OVER
INTERIOR AREAS, THEN MVFR CONDITIONS ARE ANTICIPATED WITH
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND STORMS THAT DEVELOP ACROSS THE
AREA MAINLY DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING HOURS. CALM OR
LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS OVERNIGHT BECOME SOUTHWESTERLY 5-10 KNOTS
ON FRIDAY. /29
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1141 PM CDT THU JUL 30 2026
LIGHT TO MODERATE WESTERLY WINDS BECOMES A MODERATE TO
OCCASIONALLY STRONG WESTERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW FOR SATURDAY
NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY BEFORE DIMINISHING ON MONDAY. SMALL CRAFT
SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION THIS WEEKEND, AND FORECAST TRENDS WILL BE
MONITORED FOR THE POTENTIAL NEED OF SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES AT SOME
POINT THIS WEEKEND. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND STORMS
BECOME POSSIBLE THROUGH LATE WEEK, WITH BEST CHANCES THIS WEEKEND.
MM/25
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 91 75 92 75 / 70 40 30 60
PENSACOLA 91 78 90 78 / 80 40 60 60
DESTIN 90 79 88 79 / 70 60 70 70
EVERGREEN 91 72 89 73 / 60 50 60 50
WAYNESBORO 92 74 92 73 / 70 30 30 30
CAMDEN 90 73 87 72 / 50 50 50 50
CRESTVIEW 92 74 89 74 / 80 50 70 60
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...NONE.
FL...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
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