677
FXUS64 KMOB 102341
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
641 PM CDT MON AUG 10 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 637 PM CDT MON AUG 10 2026
- ISOLATED TO SCATTERED STORMS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY.
- HEAT INDICES AROUND 100-107 DEGREES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH
TUESDAY, INCREASING MID WEEK ON.
- A MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS RETURNS TO FLORIDA BEACHES
THE LATTER HALF OF THE WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1230 PM CDT MON AUG 10 2026
HIGH PRESSURE WILL GENERALLY DOMINATE THE WEATHER PATTERN THROUGH
THE WORK WEEK. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN
POSSIBLE, GENERALLY ALONG AND NEAR THE COAST AS THE SEABREEZE MOVES
NORTHWARD. GIVEN THE RELATIVELY STAGNANT UPPER FLOW, THESE STORMS
WILL REMAIN SUB SEVERE, WITH BRIEF HEAVY RAINFALL AND GUSTY WINDS.
OUTSIDE OF THUNDERSTORMS, THE HEAT REMAINS THE PRIMARY CONCERN, AS
HIGHS CLIMB INTO THE MID 90S. THESE WILL COMBINE WITH HIGH
HUMIDITIES TO PRODUCE HEAT INDICES BETWEEN 100 AND 106 DEGREES THIS
AFTERNOON. AS WE HEAD INTO THE EVENING HOURS, ANY LINGERING
SHOWERS/STORMS WILL DISSIPATE WITH THE LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING.
EXPECT OVERNIGHT LOWS TO ONLY COOL INTO THE LOWER TO MID 70S.
THIS TREND WILL GENERALLY CONTINUE THROUGH AT LEAST MIDWEEK, WITH
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ALONG AND NEAR THE COAST.
STRONGER RIDGING WILL BUILD INTO THE REGION TOWARDS THE LATTER HALF
OF THE WEEK, INCREASING THE THREAT OF DANGEROUS HEAT WHILE REDUCING
RAIN CHANCES. HIGH TEMPS WILL NEAR 100 DEGREES FOR PORTIONS OF THE
AREA BY THE WEEKEND, WITH HEAT INDICES APPROACHING 110 DEGREES. HEAT
HEADLINES WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED BY THURSDAY IF FORECAST CONFIDENCE
REMAINS HIGH. AT THIS POINT, OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL COOL INTO THE LOWER
70S AND HEAT INDICES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW 113 DEGREES, SO
EXTREME HEAT APPEARS UNLIKELY. WE'LL REASSESS AS IT GETS CLOSER.
/73
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 637 PM CDT MON AUG 10 2026
VFR CONDITIONS PREVAIL THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD, OUTSIDE OF ANY
STORMS THIS EVENING. COVERAGE OF STORMS OVER THE NEXT 2 HOURS
SHOULD REMAIN INLAND FROM THE TAF SITES. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS
ARE EXPECTED OVERNIGHT. ANOTHER ROUND OF ISOLATED STORMS IS
EXPECTED BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON. 07/MB
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1230 PM CDT MON AUG 10 2026
LIGHT SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL SHIFT TO LIGHT SOUTHWESTERLY TO
WESTERLY LATE TONIGHT THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK AS A RIDGE
OVER THE NORTHEAST GULF SHIFTS SOUTHWARD. /73
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 91 75 92 75 / 50 10 10 0
PENSACOLA 90 78 91 78 / 40 10 20 0
DESTIN 89 79 90 79 / 10 0 10 0
EVERGREEN 93 73 94 75 / 30 0 10 10
WAYNESBORO 95 74 96 75 / 20 10 10 0
CAMDEN 92 74 93 75 / 20 10 10 10
CRESTVIEW 93 73 94 74 / 30 10 10 0
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...NONE.
FL...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
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