850
FXUS64 KMOB 212322
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
622 PM CDT SAT MAR 21 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 620 PM CDT SAT MAR 21 2026
- TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN WELL ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE MIDDLE
OF NEXT WEEK.
- MODERATE TO EXTREME DROUGHT ALONG WITH LITTLE TO NO RAIN IN THE
FORECAST THROUGH NEXT WEEK WILL EXACERBATE WILDFIRE ACTIVITY.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 132 PM CDT SAT MAR 21 2026
A RATHER BENIGN SPRINGTIME PATTERN WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE
REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD WITH NO REAL SIGN OF RAIN FOR A GOOD PART
OF THE END OF MARCH. A RATHER ANOMALOUS STRONG UPPER RIDGE WILL
BE FIRMLY PLANTED OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN US ALLOWING FOR
NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT TO PERSIST FOR MOST OF THE NEXT TWO
WEEKS OR SO. THE ONLY SIGN FOR RAIN LOOKS TO COME ON WEDNESDAY
WHERE A SUBTLE UPPER SHORTWAVE WILL PROGRESS THROUGH THE
NORTHWESTERLY FLOW BRINGING A WEAK BOUNDARY DOWN TO THE GULF
COAST. MOISTURE AND LIFT WILL BE RATHER LIMITED BUT AN ISOLATED TO
POSSIBLY SCATTERED SHOWER COULD OCCUR LATE TUESDAY NIGHT INTO
WEDNESDAY. CURRENT ENSEMBLE GUIDANCE DOES SHOW AT LEAST SOME RAIN
POTENTIAL AND DESPITE THE CURRENT FORECAST BEING DRY, WOULD NOT BE
SURPRISED AS CONFIDENCE INCREASES OVER THE COMING DAYS TO SEE
SOME RAIN CHANCES INCREASE TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY. OTHER THAN THAT
THE MAIN CONCERN WILL BE OUR LIKELY WORSENING DROUGHT CONDITIONS
ACROSS THE AREA. GIVEN THE DRY CONDITIONS, THERE IS SOME CONCERNS
FOR FIRE WEATHER OVER THE COMING DAYS AS DEWPOINTS WILL BE RATHER
LOW AND WINDS COULD REMAIN ELEVATED AROUND 10 TO 15 MPH.
TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN MILD WITH HIGHS IN THE LOW TO MID 80S AND
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOW 60S. BB-8
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 622 PM CDT SAT MAR 21 2026
PATCHY FOG IS POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT, BUT OTHERWISE VFR CONDITIONS
PREVAIL THROUGH SUNDAY. SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS DIMINISH TO 5 KNOTS OR
LESS THIS EVENING, THEN INCREASE TO 10-15 KNOTS ON SUNDAY. /29
MARINE
ISSUED AT 235 AM CDT SAT MAR 21 2026
A LIGHT TO MODERATE WESTERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW CONTINUES THIS
WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK, BECOMING A LIGHT EASTERLY TO
SOUTHERLY FLOW MID TO LATE WEEK. BB-8
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MOBILE 57 80 58 84 / 0 0 0 0
PENSACOLA 61 77 61 80 / 0 0 0 0
DESTIN 61 73 61 75 / 0 0 0 0
EVERGREEN 53 84 55 84 / 0 0 0 0
WAYNESBORO 56 84 58 83 / 0 0 0 0
CAMDEN 56 84 58 82 / 0 0 0 0
CRESTVIEW 54 82 55 84 / 0 0 0 0
MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...NONE.
FL...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
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