765  
FNUS75 KBYZ 121303  
FWSBYZ  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR ELK CREEK PILES RX...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BILLINGS MT  
603 AM MST FRI DEC 12 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 MST ON DECEMBER 12.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
SNOW WILL CONTINUE OVER THE BURN SITE TODAY, GRADUALLY DECREASING  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING. EASTERLY WINDS WILL  
PREVAIL. A WEAK DISTURBANCE PASSING TO THE NORTH WILL KEEP A  
CHANCE FOR LIGHT SNOW THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. THE NEARBY OTTER  
MESONET STATION SHOWS AROUND 2 INCHES OF SNOW ACCUMULATION AS OF  
6AM. ADDITIONAL SNOW AMOUNTS FROM TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT ARE  
FORECAST TO RANGE FROM 2 TO 4 INCHES.  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SNOW. SNOW BEGINS DECREASING LATE IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................80 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....12-16.  
MIN HUMIDITY........80-85 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 11 MPH SHIFTING  
TO THE EAST IN THE AFTERNOON.  
RIDGETOP...........NORTH TO NORTHEAST 6 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
EAST IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO  
1100 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST TO NORTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH.  
 
TIME (MST) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........94 95 93 93 94 93 91 90 90 86  
WEATHER COV.....LKY DEF LKY CHC LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....SN SN SN SN SN SN SN SN SN SN  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF LTNG (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............10 9 9 9 10 12 12 12 12 14  
RH..............88 94 93 93 91 89 87 85 87 90  
20 FT WIND DIR..N NE NE NE NE NE E E E E  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 6 6 5 5 5 5 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.11 10 10 10 10 10 8 8 7 7  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW.  
CWR.................15 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....5-9.  
MAX HUMIDITY........90-95 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH BECOMING NORTH TO NORTHEAST  
6 TO 12 MPH LATE IN THE NIGHT.  
RIDGETOP...........NORTH TO NORTHEAST 6 TO 12 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 200 FT AGL OVERNIGHT.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST TO NORTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH.  
 
TIME (MST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........83 84 86 84 80 74 80 79 80 88 89 94  
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....SN SN SN SN SN SN SN SN  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF LTNG (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............13 13 13 14 14 16 16 16 16 17 16 15  
RH..............93 93 92 91 91 89 89 89 93 86 89 88  
20 FT WIND DIR..E SE SE SE E E E E NE NE N N  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.8 8 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 11 12 13  
   
SATURDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF  
SNOW IN THE MORNING.  
CWR.................10 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....20-24.  
MIN HUMIDITY........70-75 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH BECOMING SOUTHEAST LATE IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
RIDGETOP...........NORTH 6 TO 12 MPH BECOMING SOUTHEAST 7 TO 14 MPH  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 1000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 10 MPH BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND  
15 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (MST) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM  
SKY (%).........97 94 78 69  
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....SN SN NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF LTNG (%).0 0 0 0  
TEMP............11 7 10 19  
RH..............87 91 87 75  
20 FT WIND......N 6G13 NW 6G9 N 5G10 SE 5G9  
 

 
FORECASTER...PALMQUIST  
REQUESTED BY...CODY PHILLIPS  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2527548.0/BYZ  
.DELDT 12/12/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL CODY.PHILLIPS2@USDA.GOV  
 
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