435  
FNUS75 KBYZ 140922  
FWSBYZ  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR UNIT 51 N BRIDGERS...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BILLINGS MT  
322 AM MDT THU MAY 14 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 MDT ON MAY 15.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
DRY ZONAL FLOW WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE BURN SITE DURING THE  
FORECAST PERIOD. IT WILL BE RELATIVELY QUIET FRIDAY, ALBEIT  
SOMEWHAT BREEZY. MINIMUM RH READINGS WILL DROP TO THE UPPER TEENS  
FOR A BRIEF TIME LATE IN THE DAY.  
 
ANOTHER STRONG WEATHER SYSTEM WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION LATE  
SATURDAY. THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT  
CHANCE OF THUNDERSHOWERS BY MID AFTERNOON. SOME SNOW IS EVEN  
POSSIBLE BY SATURDAY EVENING...THOUGH LITTLE ACCUMULATION IS  
EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. SOUTHERLY WINDS SATURDAY MORNING WILL TURN  
WESTERLY IN THE AFTERNOON. LOOKING AHEAD FURTHER, SUNDAY INTO  
EARLY NEXT WEEK LOOKS COOLER WITH A GOOD CHANCE OF RAIN/SNOW  
SHOWERS. A COUPLE OF INCHES OF WET SNOW ON THE BURN SITE BY MONDAY  
NIGHT IS NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION. BT  
   
FRIDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....55-59.  
MIN HUMIDITY........17-21 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......WEST WINDS 6 TO 16 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 28 MPH IN  
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
RIDGETOP...........WEST AROUND 30-35 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200 FT AGL EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO  
11100 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 20-25 MPH.  
 
TIME (MDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........36 36 17 17 17 11 11 11 17 17 17  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF LTNG (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............41 45 47 49 50 51 53 54 55 55 56  
RH..............40 37 35 34 31 29 26 23 21 19 19  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..11 11 13 15 17 17 15 15 13 13 13  
20 FT WIND GUST.14 14 17 21 23 25 22 21 18 18 18  
   
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....35-39.  
MAX HUMIDITY........36-40 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT AND MORE VARIABLE.  
RIDGETOP...........WEST AROUND 20-25 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......9200 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING DECREASING TO  
0 FT AGL OVERNIGHT.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 20 IN EVENING, THEN DECREASING TO 12 MPH  
OVERNIGHT.  
 
TIME (MDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........25 25 25 24 24 24 53 53 53 69 69 69  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF LTNG (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............55 54 51 47 44 42 41 40 39 39 38 37  
RH..............20 21 24 27 30 33 35 36 37 38 39 39  
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW W W W S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..10 10 10 7 7 6 5 4 4 4 3 4  
20 FT WIND GUST.14 14 14 16 16 16 8 8 8 8 8 8  
   
SATURDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF A LIGHT SHOWER OR SPRINKLE  
BEFORE EVENING.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.3 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....55-59.  
MIN HUMIDITY........24-28 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH WITH  
GUSTS TO AROUND 21 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
RIDGETOP...........SOUTHWEST AROUND 25-30 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO  
8800 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST 13 TO  
22 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN INCREASING TO  
22 TO 30 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (MDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM  
SKY (%).........77 70 59 72  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF LTNG (%).0 0 10 10  
TEMP............38 48 54 55  
RH..............38 29 26 29  
20 FT WIND......SE 3G10 S 4G12 SW 6G21 W 7G20  
 

 
FORECASTER...TESAR  
REQUESTED BY...JAMES RAY  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2613550.0/BYZ  
.DELDT 05/14/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL JAMES.M.RAY@USDA.GOV  
 
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