548  
FNUS75 KBYZ 282105  
FWSBYZ  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR FENCE CREEK FIRE...BLM  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BILLINGS MT  
305 PM MDT FRI AUG 28 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1500 MDT ON AUGUST 28.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
AS OF 1500 MDT, SHOWERS ARE MOVING OVER THE FIRE SITE. THE CHANCE  
OF SHOWERS CONTINUES THROUGH THE EVENING, WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS AS WELL. THE MAIN THREAT WITH ANY SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS TODAY IS GUSTY WINDS. WHILE THE CHANCE OF SEEING A  
WETTING RAIN IS LOW, CANNOT RULE OUT BRIEF HEAVY RAIN SHOULD A  
THUNDERSTORM IMPACT THE FIRE SITE. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST AGAIN ON SATURDAY, AND THE CHANCE  
SEEING A THUNDERSTORM IS A BIT HIGHER. WITH THIS, GUSTY WINDS AND  
BRIEF HEAVY RAIN ARE THE MAIN THREATS, WITH HAIL BEING A SECONDARY  
THREAT. OTHERWISE, WINDS WILL BE BREEZY OUT OF THE NORTHWEST  
DURING THE DAY TODAY AND SATURDAY, WITH GENERALLY SOUTHERLY WINDS  
OVERNIGHT. TONIGHT WILL ALSO SEE MODERATE TO GOOD RELATIVE  
HUMIDITY RECOVERY.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. SLIGHT CHANCE  
OF THUNDERSTORMS.  
CWR.................10 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.15 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....84-88.  
MIN HUMIDITY........21-25 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO  
AROUND 25 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.  
RIDGETOP...........NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 5400 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.  
CWR.................10 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.15 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....58-62.  
MAX HUMIDITY........68-72 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO  
AROUND 15 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING SOUTH  
4 TO 7 MPH OVERNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC  
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.  
RIDGETOP...........NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING  
SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH OVERNIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 400 FT AGL OVERNIGHT.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.  
   
SATURDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN  
THE MORNING, THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................15 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF LIGHTNING.20 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....82-86.  
MIN HUMIDITY........28-32 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTH WINDS 4 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST  
6 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH IN THE  
AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.  
RIDGETOP...........SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 7600 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
 

 
FORECASTER...ARENDS  
REQUESTED BY...RACHEL  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2620778.1/BYZ  
.DELDT 08/28/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL MTMCC@FIRENET.GOV  
 
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